Arthur Berman: “The Devil is in the Diesel” | The Great Simplification #44

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  • Опубліковано 13 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 320

  • @lynncrouse4737
    @lynncrouse4737 10 місяців тому +4

    This is the best discussion on crude oil supply and refinement worldwide and what is produced out of a barrel of crude oil! Thanks to Nate in assisting Art, who is very informative, in helping discuss in layman's terms the complex topic of oil supply, refinement and refinement products and how the US fits into that overall complexity! Thanks to the both of you for this particular discussion. I would love for your both to have a discussion on "shale oil" and its refinement and the reasons to blend with heavier crude oil.

  • @DawsonHillManor
    @DawsonHillManor 2 роки тому +29

    My heart is beatin' like a little bunny! Thank you Arthur for helping me finally understand why and how refining oil matters so much to the big picture! And Nate, thank you for consistently finding and bringing us the people who shed light on those specific areas critical to our problem-solving adventure. It feels like I'm sitting at a table watching you fit the puzzle pieces of eternity into place.

    • @johnbanach3875
      @johnbanach3875 2 роки тому +3

      Eternity is too big a time frame if humans have only been around for 300,000 years out of 13.8 billion (and only two hundred years using oil as the primary source of energy) and with the universe continuing on for billions of years with or without us. But I did really love this conversation, too! It was clear as a bell.

    • @erwin643
      @erwin643 2 роки тому +4

      This is probably the best interview of Art Berman I've ever listened to, because, well, Nate was conducting it.

    • @PT-cu2fg
      @PT-cu2fg 2 роки тому +1

      @@erwin643 And very importantly, conducting it with great humility.

    • @jennifs6868
      @jennifs6868 2 роки тому

      @@johnbanach3875 assuming that we were not imported from somewhere else.

    • @siddarthp6231
      @siddarthp6231 Рік тому

      K(7

  • @cal48koho
    @cal48koho 2 роки тому +12

    It is always good to hear Art's take on oil and Nate is a brilliant interviewer. I am an energy analyst and there was nothing new I learned from his answers about oil extraction and refining , consumption and distribution but few people outside of the energy field do. It is complicated with a lot of moving parts. Art's most important contribution to this discussion was his advice to cooperate. He condemned the aggression and stupidity of our media pundits and political leaders which have lead the world to this precipice. I will not name names but you know who they are and if they remain in power, the trajectory is obvious. Ted Williams said"life is hard but it is a lot harder if you are stupid." Stupid people make stupid mistakes and if we can't educate the so called leaders, our only hope is to educate our populace and hope for the best.

    • @christinearmington
      @christinearmington 2 роки тому

      Stupid people are easier to manipulate. 😑

    • @sanpotkins4705
      @sanpotkins4705 Рік тому

      Cooperation and 15 min cities. you like that ah? Idealistic eunuchs like you love all that. That's why their is no name beside your comments.

    • @gking407
      @gking407 Рік тому

      We let our competitive and tribal instincts get the best of us and our children will pay the ultimate price

  • @zekeabercrombie3583
    @zekeabercrombie3583 2 роки тому +21

    An hour fifteen everybody needs to hear. Art has an amazing way of clearly explaining the complex.

    • @stringlarson1247
      @stringlarson1247 2 роки тому +1

      Adding 100 extra thumbs up here.

    • @rd264
      @rd264 2 роки тому

      hes not correct on alot of his assertions but at least hes trying.

  • @dankoepp68
    @dankoepp68 2 роки тому +10

    I am happy to learn that the circle of listening to smarter and more eloquent people than me started with Nate Hagens than brought me to Vaclav Smil`s books and now brought me back to the Great Simplification pot casts from Nate Hagens. Enlighthning indeed! THANK YOU!

  • @tinaeden8317
    @tinaeden8317 2 роки тому +7

    If I ever run into Art Berman, I'll buy him a coffee and a danish. He's great! Thanks for having him on your show.

  • @robertryan1663
    @robertryan1663 2 роки тому +8

    Absolutely fabulous conversation. This is the type of realism we all need to hear especially our politicians.

  • @heidi22209
    @heidi22209 2 роки тому +9

    Nate Sir. Glad you and ur hair are part of my life. The guests are amazing. You have sparked me on a deep dive to seek out more information. Thank you again.

    • @EnemyOfEldar
      @EnemyOfEldar 2 роки тому +1

      Just want chine in to say Nate's hair is awesome, yes.

  • @paulwhetstone0473
    @paulwhetstone0473 2 роки тому +11

    “Our grubby little human hands” pretty much sums up the situation. lol

  • @stringlarson1247
    @stringlarson1247 2 роки тому +10

    Thanks Nate and Art. I've been follow both of you for the past decade and appreciate having this discussion to pass on to people who ask me about these issues. Plus I learned some new stuff as well :)

  • @anewagora
    @anewagora 2 роки тому +8

    Side note on all this, electricity cannot replace fossil fuels as it stands today. I have a used electric car and I didn't get it thinking it was better for the environment. I was in a pretty bad position and I only got the car trying to solve my issues being isolated from jobs and stability. Car ownership keeps Americans in poverty and precarious positions for little benefit. But I notice a decent number of people still think electric cars are better for the environment.
    The technology can't be scaled up without environmental destruction, and the cars are substantially less powerful than oil-powered vehicles, so you have to waste a lot more resources to achieve the goal. I strongly believe Americans in particular need to adapt the infrastructure necessary to reduce car-use or live car-free. I'm from Minneapolis, Nate's home turf. I was car-free there my whole life and it was awesome.
    And rather than trying to replace fossil fuels with substandard alternatives, we should transition towards "oil minimalism". The super-organism has to go through rehab; we can't quit all at once or it's dangerous. I strongly believe if people band together in groups and begin finding ANY path to cutting down car/oil use, we will find the solutions we are looking for along the way. Partner with other people, form a carpool club, consolidate your time and resources.

    • @gking407
      @gking407 Рік тому

      If you utter the words “car-free” or “mass transit” in Texas or Oklahoma they will string you up very quickly

  • @BrianFeugret
    @BrianFeugret 2 роки тому +8

    Thank you for this very interesting segment. I look forward to your next interview with Mr. Berman whose clarity and measured tone make it a real pleasure to learn from his expertise. I watch your podcast regularly and command you for thr quality of your contents. I spend a lot of time learning about our human predicament from both thr energy lens and climate change / ecology perspective. I started on that journey back in 2018 after reading the IPCC special report on + 1.5C of warming and it radically changed my perception of the future while setting in motion my need to dig much deeper into energy and climate topics. Your voice is amongst those i respect the most. Thank you for your work.

  • @MrNomyar
    @MrNomyar Рік тому +1

    Like the realization that oil is basis of most products we use in daily life. Heating, plastics, asphalt etcetera. This complicates the transition, but is not taken along by politicians. Good to see that this podcast is realistic. Transition is extremely complex.

  • @jenniferrayburn1011
    @jenniferrayburn1011 Рік тому +4

    This discussion has given me a totally new perspective on going green. I agree, this is a very complex problem that will not be solved in the near future. These conversations are so important.

  • @pigstonwidget
    @pigstonwidget 2 роки тому +6

    Well there were quite a few of 'I didn't know that' moments from me! Thank you!!

    • @aegaeon117
      @aegaeon117 2 роки тому

      You might find this interesting, there are sunken world war II era ships that are corroding away at the bottom of the sea containing billions of gallons of oil.

  • @olander0808
    @olander0808 2 роки тому +6

    Hair looks amazing Nate! Looking forward to this episode.

    • @thegreatsimplification
      @thegreatsimplification  2 роки тому +10

      Goals: 1) for hair to look amazing 2) help society navigate coming Great Simplification

    • @anitashore5050
      @anitashore5050 2 роки тому +2

      @@thegreatsimplification LOL

  • @321joe
    @321joe 2 роки тому +7

    Brilliant work, Nate - thank you.

    • @321joe
      @321joe 2 роки тому +1

      Immediate next thought is of how the US defence network interacts with this market (and are most of us military blind?) Would love to hear you go digging in that direction.

    • @noahbrown4388
      @noahbrown4388 2 роки тому

      The US ‘defense’ budget is a GIANT black hole. Wonder where all those extra billlions of unaccountable dollars are going.. 🧐

  • @jamescooper1702
    @jamescooper1702 Рік тому +1

    Humility and co-operation 👍👍👍

  • @jasonlehfeldt1577
    @jasonlehfeldt1577 2 роки тому +4

    Love your work Nate. Many thanks.

  • @danleclaire8110
    @danleclaire8110 2 роки тому +5

    Great conversation Nate. First time here, I appreciate your style and your sense of objectivity. Thank you so much.

  • @ValiRossi
    @ValiRossi 2 роки тому +2

    @20:35. Not sure I agree with that number 400 c. A refinery starts with a big asphalt unit and a big fractionator. Years ago I was responsible for a transmix fractionator at Conoco Phillips. This unit separated gasoline from #2 oil(diesel) that had become mixed in the pipelining of the product from Texas to Indiana. The basic parameters were as follows:
    Furnace outlet temp: 450+ F
    Tower bottoms temp 400+ F
    Tower tray #x temp(around 380+ ish)
    Heat exchanger inlet temp from the mix tank on a summer day: 60 F ish
    Heat exchanger outlet temp from the mix tank into the tower: 390+ F
    Tower pressure: 17 PSI.
    Can't remember which but either the asphalt unit or the fractionator in a refinery is a vacuum tower. So a lower temp is needed to get the boil so to speak.
    Looked it up and it is around 350 to 400 C so Art is referring to taking diesel out of the heavier components.

  • @vexy1987
    @vexy1987 2 роки тому +6

    Nate, one of my favourite episodes to date, as ever, deep gratitude for sharing this knowledge with the word. I felt obliged to leave a comment. You both touched on the Haber-Bosch process but not by name, and there was a claim that the only reason that there are ~8billion on planet earth is because we learned to liquify air to harvest the nitrogen. Whilst it is true, from a historical perspective, it led to the 'green' revolution, it's important that more people become aware that plant life also has an answer for harvesting nitrogen from the air, and in a manner which requires very little human labour. Intelligent combinations of symbiotic and regenerative plant life can continue to feed the world in the absence of HB process.
    We've never managed it before on such a grand scale, because this information was not widely shared in the ways which are possible today, but it's possible (albeit with far less potential for automated mechanical harvesting) we can rely on nitrogen fixing plants (actually the bacteria that those plants attract in their root systems!) to provide all the nitrogen our crops need. Someone will surely respond, well what about the P&K from the NPK... well, there are soluiontions for that too... Sure, these techniques don't lend themselves well to mechanical sowing and harvesting equipment, more labour will be needed in our countrysides, but we don't have to starve, and let's face it, cities will be less attractive in the wake of energy shortages. Permaculture has many answers to our predicament. Times will be lean, and the age of abundance is over, sure, but we could probably support several billions more than we suspect if those practices become widespread. I hope you have a guest on soon who will cover regenerative agriculture.... wink wink. ;)

    • @brianhawes3115
      @brianhawes3115 Рік тому

      My ancestors left the farm for the city, lost all that knowledge and I’m trying to learn that stuff from scratch

    • @vexy1987
      @vexy1987 Рік тому +1

      @@brianhawes3115 despite popular narrative that industrialisation was the cause of urbanisation, it was only sped up by technology, the revolution may not even have occured here in the UK if it were not for the land enclosures that forced needed factory workers (into terrible working/living conditions) into the hands of the (at the time) new capitalist classes. People need to be educated about the ramifications of enclosure and persecution of indigenous cultures. I hope Nate will have someone to discuss the roots of this issue sometime.

    • @brianhawes3115
      @brianhawes3115 Рік тому +1

      @@vexy1987 I saw a show Nate had were he has Vandana Shiva on, she’s great, also have a friend who’s been telling me to check out Korean natural farming

  • @thurstonhowellthetwelf3220
    @thurstonhowellthetwelf3220 2 роки тому +2

    Top notch again ...many thanks..

  • @davidmac2541
    @davidmac2541 Рік тому +2

    Art Berman is just amazingly informative

  • @quasimandias
    @quasimandias 2 роки тому +5

    It would be important to add that one of the reasons diesel is so important is its inherent safety due to low vapor pressure.

  • @DinoArchon
    @DinoArchon Рік тому

    Wow. What a great video. I think I want to read the book.

  • @treefrog3349
    @treefrog3349 2 роки тому +15

    As a species we are evolving towards global "islands" of relative prosperity and power adjacent to vast swaths of the Earth that are deemed "expendable" EXCEPT for their resources. That dynamic portends horrors greater than colonialism ever imagined.

    • @zeamaiz945
      @zeamaiz945 2 роки тому +2

      which is why the more those "islands" internally implode, the better

    • @gking407
      @gking407 Рік тому +1

      The externalities of doing business this way will fairly soon overwhelm our ability to adapt, unless we change course

  • @justcollapse5343
    @justcollapse5343 2 роки тому +1

    Thanks Nate and Arthur for an enlightening and useful conversation. Some very useful detail. Much appreciated.

  • @GlobeHackers
    @GlobeHackers 2 роки тому +1

    I always love it when you talk with Art Berman.

  • @noahbrown4388
    @noahbrown4388 2 роки тому +2

    Thanks Art and Nate, as always!! 🙏🏻

  • @warrenwood3212
    @warrenwood3212 2 роки тому +1

    What an astounding conversation. So informative, so disarming, on and on , thanks both of you.

  • @carolspencer6915
    @carolspencer6915 2 роки тому +1

    Good afternoon Arthur and Nate
    'Green paint',
    Sounds a fitting expression to use for a description of how I feel/think about mental health nursing, outcomes and its obstacles within practice/treatment medical models. From patient assessment(medical/nursing model) to out sourcing treatment practices (third sector).
    Exporting Green paint. Unmeasurable!
    Nothing is intellectually/consciously joined up therefore the system is nearly broken.
    Thankyou for your shared conversation.💜

  • @jimwelsh8004
    @jimwelsh8004 2 роки тому +9

    our problem as a species is profane more than propane. 'Me fame' more then methane. Insane in the membrane becoming inhumane. Great podcast as always Nate. thank you

  • @Valerieanai
    @Valerieanai 6 місяців тому

    Very clear and interesting, thank you

  • @EmLasker
    @EmLasker 2 роки тому +1

    Berman for Energy Secretary!

  • @aegaeon117
    @aegaeon117 2 роки тому +4

    We're also running out of sand for concrete and desert sand is not a replacement.

  • @lieshtmeiser5542
    @lieshtmeiser5542 Рік тому

    Its a good discussion. It takes a broad look at the issues.

  • @TennesseeJed
    @TennesseeJed 2 роки тому +6

    Wow! Nate and his guest always up my understanding of the world.

    • @PeterTodd
      @PeterTodd 2 роки тому +2

      Double bonus day, with new content from both Rachel and Nate -you must be as happy as me :)

    • @TennesseeJed
      @TennesseeJed 2 роки тому +3

      @@PeterTodd I know!! Usually a Thursday thing, it was a pleasant surprise a day early. Guy McPherson also did a video on the same day too. Us collapse aware sorts were nourished quite properly!

  • @ericwang8458
    @ericwang8458 2 роки тому +1

    Another great episode with great guest, thank you

  • @everythingmatters6308
    @everythingmatters6308 2 роки тому

    Nate asked all the right questions. I have a much better understanding of things now. Thanks so much.

  • @the_earthway
    @the_earthway 9 місяців тому

    Thanks, Guys
    As a follower of the “Peak Oil” subject for many years I had a lot of “I didn't know that” in this talk.

  • @georgeshepherd3381
    @georgeshepherd3381 2 роки тому +1

    This is great... Though I found myself tightening up as I listened!

  • @slavaukrayini4442
    @slavaukrayini4442 Рік тому

    Most excellent and informative clip!

  • @DarrenMooreJr
    @DarrenMooreJr Рік тому

    Subscribed, this is a great channel.

  • @totallypluggedin
    @totallypluggedin 9 місяців тому +2

    Great conversation but one major thing which I feel never gets the attention it deserves is that without the environment the economy does not exist. You know that Nate! We often speak about these topics as though paying attention to the climate is optional. Ditching fossil fuels may not appear to be feasible, however ignoring the climate is also not feasible. The score when it’s Fossil fuel economy vs Mother Nature: 0:1. Let’s not get to the end of that match!

    • @ECEAT
      @ECEAT 4 місяці тому +1

      Looks like Nate does want to upset his interviewes too much, but yes, at least one question like: if you have a magic wand to stay under the 1.5 degrees, what would be some of the solutions for the oil industry to work on?

  • @jenniferrayburn1011
    @jenniferrayburn1011 Рік тому

    This discussion is fantastic!

  • @ancientsage4071
    @ancientsage4071 2 роки тому +28

    I agree that humility and cooperation are 2 of the most important ingredients needed for a viable solution. Unfortunately those have been severely undervalued by our American culture. We don't teach those things - we teach how to compete, how to put yourself ahead of others, how to win.

    • @skeetorkiftwon
      @skeetorkiftwon 2 роки тому

      I'm fairly certain we're teaching kids how to surrender, assume responsibility for grievances past, and confusing them about their gender so they can't manage a fight against an aggressor. What school is teaching "Americans" to fight to the death?

    • @sanpotkins4705
      @sanpotkins4705 Рік тому

      If you don't like it....move your **s to a developing country that has no oil, no freedom of movement or property rights. Leave our country alone.

    • @sanpotkins4705
      @sanpotkins4705 Рік тому

      Cooperation? Or wealth redistribution?

    • @gking407
      @gking407 Рік тому

      Awesome point. This might even be the largest problem facing our society.
      If we the people work together we can’t be stopped, and I suspect our rulers already figured that out a long time ago.

  • @AndrewCharnley
    @AndrewCharnley Рік тому +1

    Wholesome with insights that took my understanding by surprise as I know realise I had not understood adequately the supply and mix system, if I may call it that. Thank you...

  • @karenshuman1789
    @karenshuman1789 Рік тому +1

    Thanks to both of you. Art Berman has a talent to explain these subjects for the lay audience. I learned so much. Who knew about Putin!? Yes, Vaclav Smil would be great. THANKYOU.

  • @rickricky5626
    @rickricky5626 2 роки тому +1

    great video for sure

  • @boombot934
    @boombot934 Рік тому

    Great conversation💭💬🗯 serious topic, thank you Arthur and Nate👍

  • @hedge68
    @hedge68 Рік тому +1

    Great conversation, my history pedant hat has been firmly placed on my head by Arthur's statement that the motor car was invented in the USA. The germans want their creation back. Again great conversation keep up the good work.

    • @CMeosuarra
      @CMeosuarra Рік тому +1

      I was about to say the same thing , Americans are very funny .

  • @JayFortran
    @JayFortran 10 місяців тому

    At 27:20, Art mentions cleaning up the shipping fuel, which we're now learning creates warmer sea temperatures from clearer skies😭

  • @aristocraticrebel
    @aristocraticrebel 2 роки тому +1

    Art Berman knows his stuff.

  • @josephdibello846
    @josephdibello846 Рік тому +1

    Great conversation. Very informative. But I disagreed with some comments at the end. A windfall profits tax is not unreasonable or the viewpoint of people who haven’t thought deeply enough. Several European countries have enacted this tax in the past two years. It is especially appropriate, given that a trend toward monopolization began about 40 years ago, and has continued unabated.

  • @coweatsman
    @coweatsman 2 роки тому +3

    Road are interesting but roads do predate cars and oil production. The predecessor of the asphalt road was gravel or dirt and on busier roads paving with bricks or stones. Horse drawn vehicles travelled at about 15 kph. Wheels without oil sourced material were wooden or metallic and did not make for a comfortable ride. It's no wonder railways quickly became popular in the 19th century being more comfortable and a lot faster.

  • @dawnnewway3824
    @dawnnewway3824 Рік тому +1

    Thanks guys! Very informational.
    Now when I "lubricate my bearings" with something "thick and pastey" I will understand how thankful I should be to oily characters far distant.

  • @williamjmccartan8879
    @williamjmccartan8879 2 роки тому +2

    Bunker fuel, Bunker Oil in Norway, the oil used to be stored in the coal bunkers. Now you have bunker fuel, taadaa. At least according to wikipedia. We in the north provide over 60% of the American oil supply. Biodiesel, what a horrible idea, let's put food in cars and trucks. Never should have happened. Thank you both very much for a great lesson in the breakdown of a barrel of oil, and it's component parts.

    • @justinelliott3529
      @justinelliott3529 Рік тому +1

      Biodiesel is not something we should rely on, of course. I see no Problem though with using waste oil (not creating oil for it) and blending

    • @williamjmccartan8879
      @williamjmccartan8879 Рік тому +1

      @@justinelliott3529 Agreed 100%

  • @matthewdolan5831
    @matthewdolan5831 2 роки тому +2

    Really educational, 'hope' it's not too late?

  • @blueskiesandgreenpasturesp3848
    @blueskiesandgreenpasturesp3848 2 роки тому +1

    Very interesting

  • @peaksurferalbert
    @peaksurferalbert 2 роки тому +2

    Hi Nate. I have a solution for fossil free asphalt. Biochar. We are laying the first N. American demonstration of "green asphalt" roadway in my ecovillage with our partner, Advanced Carbon Technology, in late 2023. One mile of pavement takes 300 tons of biochar, no fossil fuels, and sequesters 880 tons of CO2.

  • @robinschaufler444
    @robinschaufler444 Рік тому

    Best explanation yet of how refineries work, the different grades of crude, why the US has to both export and import crude, and the fundamental building blocks of modern society. Plastic, steel, cement, and fertilizer. Your regenerative agriculture guests would dispute the necessity of the last one. Can you find another guest, maybe Simon Michaux, who can make a deeper dive into cement and its dependencies on fossil fuels?

  • @raiksqueeze3587
    @raiksqueeze3587 2 роки тому

    Great interview!

  • @martypatterson7382
    @martypatterson7382 Рік тому +2

    You use coal/coke, for steel production for two reasons. The heat for the smelting sure, but it also adds necessary carbon to pig iron, which will later create the oxygen content to superheat and burn that carbon off later on when producing mild steel, for construction. High carbon steel is basically files, razors, and some cutlery. It's far to brittle to use for infrastructure. So anyways, coal and steel exist together.

  • @h.e.hazelhorst9838
    @h.e.hazelhorst9838 Рік тому

    @22:00 mr Berman basically tells us what was in my secondary school chemistry lessons! Organic chemistry, that is.
    @36:00 suppose we would stop eating meat and most of dairy, you would free up a lot of organic sources. Would that be enough to produce enough biodiesel?

    • @wheel-man5319
      @wheel-man5319 Рік тому

      No. People are omnivores...

    • @h.e.hazelhorst9838
      @h.e.hazelhorst9838 Рік тому

      @@wheel-man5319That is not an answer to my question!

    • @wheel-man5319
      @wheel-man5319 Рік тому

      @@h.e.hazelhorst9838 While a diet heavy in fresh vegetables is good for us, I'd say that it is necessary that we have a certain amount of animal protein.
      Diverting food in any way to the fuel stream is very bad for the poorest people in the world. I don't know the exact costs involved, but if we're going to pretend to be using 'renewables' then we need to use materials that we're throwing away currently. What I'm talking about is methane, or natural gas. I'm certain that something could be done to run municipal sewage through a methane converter as part of the water treatment process of dealing with sewage.
      At this point as I said I don't know the exact costs involved. Usually, though methane is so cheap that it doesn't make economic sense to build giant machines to recover it from municipal sewage.

  • @TheJovola
    @TheJovola Рік тому +1

    The complex systems have to be unraveled gradually, but it's far from impossible, food production, and production in general can be moved closer to the users. Waste management, concepts of consumption are also far from optimal. We can instantly get information on the needs in an area, which just 50 years ago was a much harder task. There are many issues in global logistics, which greatly stem from the wealth distribution which amplifies the energy crisis.

  • @juanedocordero7127
    @juanedocordero7127 2 роки тому

    Thanks a lot...great stuff...greetings from🇨🇱

  • @BobQuigley
    @BobQuigley 2 роки тому +4

    Another EV/oil connection is cobalt. Since the rise of EV's industries groups opposed to them fear monger artisanal mining of cobalt by children in Congo. This is comical in that refineries were and possibly still are the largest users of cobalt. Used to remove sulphur and possibly other contaminants. Great enlightening presentation, thanks

  • @isakfalk-eliasson1675
    @isakfalk-eliasson1675 2 роки тому +1

    Super conversation. But did Nate and Art say that Russia was in Ukraine for energy reasons? I tried to look at this briefly and Ukraine does hold the second largest gas reserves in Europe, but Russia already has gas. Reserves also do not seem to be located in the east (but other important minerals do seem to be).

    • @christinearmington
      @christinearmington 2 роки тому

      I’m going to have to re-listen to that last bit again.

    • @isakfalk-eliasson1675
      @isakfalk-eliasson1675 2 роки тому

      @Aristocrat of the Soul But if the gas is not located in the occupied region, how? You mean that they ment that the invasion was to destabilize the energy situation in Europe?

    • @isakfalk-eliasson1675
      @isakfalk-eliasson1675 2 роки тому

      @Aristocrat of the Soul Alright. I don't care to listen again, but hopefully our thoughtful conversation can serve as a lighthouse for future listeners in the dark.

  • @walkerdb84
    @walkerdb84 Рік тому

    Great level-headed discussion! New sub here!

  • @carly09et
    @carly09et 2 роки тому +2

    One quibble here Diesel is an engine cycle - not a fuel - it can use a broad range of fuels.
    Cars use diesel cycle(gasoline is just a fraction that is more convenient).
    The higher the engine compression the closer it is tuned to the diesel cycle.
    Petrol engines were smaller than diesel engines - this is what drove the car industry - technological progress has reduced this driver.

    • @NullHand
      @NullHand 2 роки тому

      I think you mean ”Cars use Otto cycle".
      A more usefull nomenclature for the vast majority of the population without thermodynamics education would be ”spark ignition” vs ”compression ignition” engine cycles.

    • @carly09et
      @carly09et 2 роки тому +1

      @@NullHand thanks.
      the choice in the 1900's still sets the standard NOW. Even though a known better standard has been available for half a century -

    • @bipl8989
      @bipl8989 2 роки тому +2

      Oh come on. Diesel is both a name of a combustion process (Diesel cycle) and a fuel (diesel, not capitalized).

    • @carly09et
      @carly09et 2 роки тому

      @@bipl8989 Yep AND they get it wrong in the context. That is what I am noting. Americans have this defect in their thinking a lot. Diesel engines can run on a lot of fuels -they are efficient - modern cars use fuel injection a diesel like feature. If the market was rational diesel would have replaced 'petrol' thirty years ago.
      Look at the history of diesel cars... It is a case study of politics.

    • @bipl8989
      @bipl8989 2 роки тому

      @@carly09et Which brings to mind gasoline and petrol, two words for the same fuel, not to mention in other places its referred to as benzene, and in America, at least popularly, as "gas", which it isn't usually at all. Handy for crossword puzzles.

  • @AlchymicusWizardikus
    @AlchymicusWizardikus Рік тому

    This was a great convo, plenty of insight. I just wish Arthur would have paid attention in chemistry class 🥴

  • @gking407
    @gking407 Рік тому

    Great conversation, should have been in national discussion decades ago back when big oil companies first discovered the future impact of their products. Hope there’s still time to sort out the complexities before the bulk of humanity dies off. Unless that is the plan?

  • @CamGreen
    @CamGreen 2 роки тому +3

    Enjoyed this, but just wanted to point out that Americans didn't invent the automobile, they just made it their religion.

  • @BudahOfBirmingham
    @BudahOfBirmingham Рік тому

    The answer to one question you asked, glass roads. Hexagonal pieces that fit together.

  • @bennjamieson1626
    @bennjamieson1626 2 роки тому +3

    Another great guest, thankyou. I have a stupid question: there is a presumption that oil/etc becomes too expensive to extract at a point past the peak. As oil is fundamental to our civilisation, what is to stop governments subsidising the costs by taking on oil companies debts via subsidies then writing off the debts when they get too big? Money is mostly fantasy anyway, so why not just erase it from the books and start again? Sort of UBI for oil companies? This could enable full extraction.

    • @thegreatsimplification
      @thegreatsimplification  2 роки тому +4

      I’ve long expected that to happen. Or pseudo-nationalization. Not there yet but it’s coming

    • @erkinalp
      @erkinalp Рік тому

      Debt forgiveness causes hard-to-predict shifts in power, hence they are avoiding it at all costs.

  • @bevcourtney4777
    @bevcourtney4777 2 роки тому +4

    Great video, Nate! I learned a lot. Interesting remarks about Putin near the end. I've always felt he knew what he was doing.

    • @chookbuffy
      @chookbuffy 2 роки тому +2

      That was an insane insight...that actually is quite terrifying. I can't believe nobody has picked up what a big deal that is. It seems like Putin is hte only world leader who gets wat Nate is talking about...and thats scary

  • @paulwright2906
    @paulwright2906 Рік тому +1

    Diesel is far less volatile than petrol , so it's safer to store in large quantities. It's also more stable and doesn't evaporate like petrol.

  • @MAKLOUGH
    @MAKLOUGH 2 роки тому +2

    Great discussion, thanks! Decarbonisation is going to be more difficult than most people realise. It's clear from discussions like this that our modern civilisation is totally dependent on oil and its byproducts. Re Putin's dissertation; "Strategic planning for the production of the mineral resource base of the region during conditions of the formation of market relations", the daughter of the rector of the university in St. Petersburg where Putin defended his thesis claimed that her father, Vladimir Litvinenko, wrote this thesis. It was common practice at that time for rising bureaucrats to embellish their credentials with a Ph.D. and it was almost 100% completed by ghost writers. Of course this doesn't detract from Art's point that Putin understands the global energy markets probably better than most leaders.

    • @user-nx6ji9tk8i
      @user-nx6ji9tk8i Рік тому

      Lord Monkton at the Oxford Union covers the Russian involvement. ua-cam.com/users/results?search_query=oxford+union+lord+monckton+

  • @riverat7558
    @riverat7558 Рік тому

    Don't worry about it!

  • @freeforester1717
    @freeforester1717 Рік тому +1

    Danish toy manufacturer LEGO just gave up trying to find and use an eco-friendlier plastic for producing their little bricks out of - after trying literally hundreds of potential other types and varieties of ‘lower carbon’ plastics and polymers. Big Government is trying to take the kids toys away, but it just ain’t as simple as carving them all outta wood.

  • @Pratiquement-Durable
    @Pratiquement-Durable Рік тому

    Very interesting as usual. Refineries produce one more important product, above all for producing metals for the "green economy": sulfur, which is used to produce solvents. According to the IEA, demand for solvents increases rapidly and sulfur coming out of refineries decreases as the economy decarbonizes. By 2050, the world economy will lack about 300 million tons of sulfur needed to produce or recycle batteries.

  • @anabolicamaranth7140
    @anabolicamaranth7140 2 роки тому +9

    “We’ve got too many people” Well said.

    • @edsteadham4085
      @edsteadham4085 2 роки тому +3

      Too many people? Who would you like gone?

    • @Skoda130
      @Skoda130 Рік тому +1

      ​@@edsteadham4085 a bit of everyone.

    • @themountain3461
      @themountain3461 Рік тому

      ​@@edsteadham4085future generations. Once AI becomes advanced enough, we don't even have to make more kids to supply brainpower

    • @wheel-man5319
      @wheel-man5319 Рік тому +1

      BS

    • @wheel-man5319
      @wheel-man5319 Рік тому +1

      ​@@Skoda130you go first!

  • @jiri4023
    @jiri4023 2 роки тому +1

    Awesome content. Thank you! I hope you can convince Mister Smil to participate but from what I've seen about him, he's extremely private and reclusive. Now I have quite a few books to catch up with. However, it would be interesting to have a little podcast about him and his views, he seems to be very much in line with everything I've heard you say.

  • @cezar17negru
    @cezar17negru Рік тому

    The Tesla Giga Press uses electricity for smelting metal (at least in part of the process). Quote "Ovens
    The Giga Press uses two sets of ovens for handling the aluminum alloy. One functions as a melting oven powered by natural gas and operates at 850°C temperature. Another oven stores the liquid metal heated by electrical power and operates at 750 to 850°C temperature."

  • @liamtaylor4955
    @liamtaylor4955 2 роки тому

    Great discussion. We are so fcuked.

  • @kennethdavis6666
    @kennethdavis6666 2 роки тому +2

    Art has propane and butane backwards. Propane has 3 carbons per molecule, butane has 4 carbons per molecule.

    • @thegreatsimplification
      @thegreatsimplification  2 роки тому +4

      Yes we noticed that after and corrected in pdf and show notes. Thanks

    • @NullHand
      @NullHand 2 роки тому +3

      Chem major here. The guest kinda disclaimed himself as petroleum-geologist-not-chemist at the very start.
      I think as a specialty we should have the bravery to simplify our vocabulary for the rest of humanity. Once we started Greek prefixing the alkanes we shoulda back-edited the peri-alchemy era nomenclature. Methane should be monane, ethane diane, propane triane, butane tetrane.... the rest are already consistent.

    • @thegreatsimplification
      @thegreatsimplification  2 роки тому +2

      @@NullHand thank you - that was a classey comment :-). Seriously, by the sheer breadth of topics covered in my videos and by the guests there WILL be mistakes. I appreciate the spirit (and erudition) of your comment. I dream of online community that builds and strengthens the truth and viable paths forward. Your comment - and others like it- make me miss the early years of theoildrum. Thank you

  • @Bucky1836
    @Bucky1836 2 роки тому +2

    So whats the soultion , we can talk about the problem till Armageddon...what do we do?

  • @vinsonhelton7141
    @vinsonhelton7141 Рік тому +1

    If you use bio fuel wouldn't you need more fertilizer and crop expansion to produce it. So you need more fertilizer and where would you get that if it comes from oil now.

  • @nikolaussoral3823
    @nikolaussoral3823 2 роки тому

    Nate/Art: excellent video thank you so much! one thing I didn’t understood was if the US has plenty of light crude and Canada plenty of heavy oil - isn’t that a match made in heaven? And could Us/Canada be together energy independent from the outside? Or is it a problem of refining capacity? Thank you

  • @paranoah1925
    @paranoah1925 2 роки тому +7

    Nate, please talk about the finding in this year's UN world population report that almost half of all pregnancies in the world are unwanted/unplanned. We can't address climate change without addressing the most obvious thing- access to safe and convenient family planning options and access to information on it.

    • @paranoah1925
      @paranoah1925 2 роки тому +5

      I live in a 'third world' country and trust me overpopulation is an issue and it affects the quality of life of the young and poor in our countries. The more young people we have, the more we have a surplus of workers and thus they have less bargaining power. As a result, we become attractive to corporations from countries like the US to seek out our 'cheap labour' for overproduction of low quality clothes and other things.
      Since our economy was opened up to liberalisation, the inequality just increased and more people lost their land and became cheap labour

    • @paranoah1925
      @paranoah1925 2 роки тому

      This is a good podcast channel to look at
      ua-cam.com/video/aZ6uFHDQzbA/v-deo.html

    • @garyhoover9750
      @garyhoover9750 2 роки тому +2

      I appreciate the points you have made, Para Noah. It is good to get some perspective from folks who live in the Global South or what some people refer to as “third world” regions

    • @edsteadham4085
      @edsteadham4085 2 роки тому

      There is somewhere in the world with huge swaths of people who don't know about birth control? Any nation of significance? China? India? All the western nations?

    • @edsteadham4085
      @edsteadham4085 2 роки тому

      With any luck every one of those corporations will leave. That will be a happy day. Especially for anyone who works for those corporations

  • @skeetorkiftwon
    @skeetorkiftwon 2 роки тому +2

    Octane is gasoline. 22:45

  • @MrNomyar
    @MrNomyar Рік тому +1

    Discussion is very correct, temperatures are not correct. Profane, butane are gaseous at atmospheric pressure. Propane is c3, butane is c4. This is recersed in discussion. A crude oil is characterised with a standard distillation curve. Heating is limited, because temperatures over 200 deg C results in thermal degradation.
    Arthur clearly very knowledgeable, but not a chemical background.
    Heavier fractioneel are cracked or hydrogenated to reach lower boiling component or shift C/H ratio. Heavy fractions have higher C/H ratio than low boiling fractions. Compare e.g. methane with hexane.

  • @Nhoj737
    @Nhoj737 2 роки тому +4

    "The crisis now unfolding, however, is entirely different to the 1970s in one crucial respect… The 1970s crisis was largely artificial. When all is said and done, the oil shock was nothing more than the emerging OPEC cartel asserting its newfound leverage following the peak of continental US oil production. There was no shortage of oil any more than the three-day-week had been caused by coal shortages. What they did, perhaps, give us a glimpse of was what might happen in the event that our economies depleted our fossil fuel reserves before we had found a more versatile and energy-dense alternative. . . . That system has been on the life-support of quantitative easing and near zero interest rates ever since. Indeed, so perilous a state has the system been in since 2008, it was essential that the people who claim to be our leaders avoid doing anything so foolish as to lockdown the economy or launch an undeclared economic war on one of the world’s biggest commodity exporters . . .
    And this is why the crisis we are beginning to experience will make the 1970s look like a golden age of peace and tranquility. . . . The sad reality though, is that our leaders - at least within the western empire - have bought into a vision of the future which cannot work without some new and yet-to-be-discovered high-density energy source (which rules out all of the so-called green technologies whose main purpose is to concentrate relatively weak and diffuse energy sources). . . . Even as we struggle to reimagine the 1970s in an attempt to understand the current situation, the only people on Earth today who can even begin to imagine the economic and social horrors that await western populations are the survivors of the 1980s famine in Ethiopia, the hyperinflation in 1990s Zimbabwe, or, ironically, the Russians who survived the collapse of the Soviet Union." ?
    consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2022/07/01/bigger-than-you-can-imagine/

  • @macgp44
    @macgp44 Рік тому +1

    Great overview of the energy system for us neophytes. Let's face it, folks. We need to invest in adaptation to climate change as well as renewables because there's no way we'll get to net zero by 2050.

  • @felipearbustopotd
    @felipearbustopotd Рік тому

    I wonder how many people have any idea how many derivatives come from oil?
    As for the quality of the upload, priceless. Worth listening to again and again.
    Thank you for uploading and sharing.

    • @user-yq2wk6yg8s
      @user-yq2wk6yg8s Рік тому +1

      Look on the bright side! We found an alternative to plastic drinking straws! Hooray!

  • @northerncaptain855
    @northerncaptain855 Рік тому +1

    Pleased to see some informed discussion on the complex ballet involved in the petroleum industry. Over a 50 year career, I’d worked in, on and about deep water drilling vessels (exploration and development) , refineries (processing)and tank ships (transportation). It is a fascinating business run by very bright people.

  • @MrDschubba
    @MrDschubba Рік тому

    Unintended consequence of shutting down NZ refinery was no CO2 for making beer

  • @jenpsakiscousin4589
    @jenpsakiscousin4589 Рік тому +2

    Trucks trains and ships burn diesel. Your food moves by truck train and ship.

    • @jenpsakiscousin4589
      @jenpsakiscousin4589 Рік тому +1

      Technically container ships run on heavy oil which is the heavy material leftovers from distilling. Heavy rail transport is far more efficient at moving tons of goods per gallon of fuel. American heavy rail infrastructure has been neglected for decades.

    • @erkinalp
      @erkinalp Рік тому

      @@jenpsakiscousin4589 True for mechanically driven ones. Some container ships use diesel-electric propulsion, which run on fuels closer to automotive diesel or fuel oil.

    • @jenpsakiscousin4589
      @jenpsakiscousin4589 Рік тому

      @@erkinalp I always forget about heavy fuel oil. We have a big motor generator at work that burns heavy fuel oil, more like tar than oil.

  • @Pasandeeros
    @Pasandeeros 2 роки тому +4

    I'm just 20 minutes in but so far you forgot to mention that our food is produced with diesel.