What To Expect From The First Presidential Debate | 538 Politics Podcast
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- Опубліковано 28 вер 2024
- This Thursday, President Biden and former President Donald Trump will go head-to-head in the earliest presidential debate ever. It is also the first contest between a president and former president in over a century and the first debate not run by the Commission on Presidential Debates since 1988.
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether historical expectations for presidential debates will apply in this unique situation. They also dissect some questionable uses of polling and preview a couple of high-profile primary races in New York and Colorado.
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At the very least, an explanation as to why full episodes and videos aren't available here would be nice rather than constantly ignoring the complaints.
It's just not the same without video
I think no more video is my fault y'all, I kept lusting after Galen and Elliott in the comments and now I've ruined it for all of us!
Lol
The first debate is going to have clips going around the internet all summer
Well I'm never swimming in fresh water again
😂
On the bright side, a snake with a fish in their mouth is kind of stuck, and can't bite you.
@@georgeharris6851 Catfishs have some nasty spines ... the snake was wielding a weapon!
@@porecemusnox8805 I've skinned catfish, and I've seen a copperhead eating a fish. The snake is very vulnerable at that time, and I'd rather deal with a snake with a fish in its mouth, than one ready to bite.
@@georgeharris6851 I agree. I'd like to avoid close proximity to Cottonmouths or Coppers, too. That being said, my comment was not meant to be taken seriously. 🙂
The little comical preview at the beginning of each episode (or now podcast?) is completely ununegaging and ineffective now that theres no accompanying video.
Might as well just scrap it because its complerely pointless.
No video? I guess you're done with video. I'm unsubscribing, thanks for the good content in prior years.
It's ok they're kinda useless anyway
Girl, same.
I am not developmentally stunted, so the lack of video doesn't bother me😊
I expect CNN to be in Biden's pocket and give him the questions in advance
Just remember a vote for a Third Party candidate is in effect a vote for Trump and autocracy
Biden falls down at the podium. That would be a debate point for Trump people would consider.
We expect bias from CNN
Can we expect an apology when none/little of this happens?
For all those who wondered what they would have done in Nazi Germany, we are about to find out...
BOOOOOOO!!
again no video, please upload with the video, content is much more engaging
At least give us the dancing fox animation
You discuss the apparent disparity between how much experts say the debates can change the polling (3%) versus 17% of people saying the presidential debate has _ever_ changed their vote.
These two stats are compatible.
Firstly, the average voter in the USA is about 50 years old and has seen about 8 presidential elections as an adult. If they say that the debates affected them _ever_, it could be one time in eight.
Secondly, the number of voters who switch their voting intention because of a particular debate is going to be greater than the expected poll change. 3% could change from Trump to Biden, 4% could change from Biden to Trump, that would be 7% of the population changed their voting intention but the overall poll change is 1%.
Wish we had video. It helps some of us to be able to read lips.
I agree with Mary. People who say they will probably vote for a particular candidate will probably vote for that particular candidate.
You guys should experiment with doing a live reaction to the debate on UA-cam on Thursday😉
I will be watching while enjoying pizza, crudites and a mango smoothie.
Is that you, Dr Oz?
Based
I'll be breaking a 48 hour fast with whiskey
This episode was a cope fest 😂
Is You Tube monitoring its 3rd partiers? Commercials galore now chopping up into 2 minutes...GREEDY...comments and quality interrupted.😡
I expect it to be simultaneously the best comedy and the best tragedy on television that night.
where video?
Could it be that right now, a lot of the polling is a referendum on the incumbent, especially President. And as the election draws closer. Then it becomes a true horse race between the two candidates?
Possibly. Really hard to say what's influencing peoples' responses to polls.
really enjoying these, thanks for uploading them
;j'aime
It's clear that 538 is not paying their Video Editor enough money.
Probably laid them off. ABC has killed 538.
$5.38/hr
Expect Dementia Don to poop his pants and run away.
Ok, don’t let me down!!!!!
Welp, they do have a couple of breaks built in.
Never thought I'd see the President of the United States debate a convicted felon.
Watch that flip...lol
@@dadejazzba402 conspiracy theories are snuggle blankets for adults
Biden needs to take a drug test prior to the debate!!!!!!!
don't be foolish with your confirmation bias bs.
MAGA needs excuses 🤣🤣🤣
So does DT. The debate pre-show should be mouth swabs, blood draws.
It will be a complete s#!tshow
Spin lie spin lie
The White House physician will be arrested for malpractice.
You know Trump is going to lose 🤣🤣🤣
They don't want their faces revealed.