Latest On Polar Vortex, AO/NAO, MJO & What's Ahead Including
Вставка
- Опубліковано 4 жов 2024
- Enjoy today's content? If so, be sure to drop a comment as well as LIKE, SHARE and SUBSCRIBE if you haven't already! MANY THANKS for your support!
Remember to visit www.markvoganwe... for monthly & seasonal forecasts for UK, Ireland and Europe + Global weather news.
COMING UP THIS WEEKEND
Sat 5/10: Tropical Outlook
Sun 11/10: #GlobalWeatherReportLIVE🔴Ed 111: Look Back At Recent Global Weather Extremes + More Winter Chat!
www.youtube.co...
LATEST ON MARKVOGANWEATHER.COM
*NEW* Europe October 2024 Outlook
www.markvoganwe...
Winter 2024-25: Early September Update
www.markvoganwe...
Early Thoughts On Winter 2024-25 & Factors to Consider Even in Mid Summer!
www.markvoganwe...
SEASONAL FORECASTS
Vogan's 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
www.markvoganwe...
For daily weather updates & more, follow me on
Twitter: / markvogan
Facebook: / markvoganweather
Fascinating to see how the systems are interlinked. So useful to see the whole world, something noone else does, to explain how and why certain features develop. Thanks Mark.
There is a school of thought that says that the polar vortex tends to centre around Greenland (the coldest place in the Arctic) and not the North Pole, as we see a general reduction of Arctic Sea Ice over time. This is kinda the pattern we're seeing at the moment.
Great update Mark,☺
Great update as always Mark
A very intresting update.
Really enjoyed the video Mark,still trying to understand AO/NAO and MJOs,but I have always been interested in the weather.
Great update Mark, although we have a strong Greenland block and south displaced Jet, we're still in relatively mild air. I remember back in March 2013 the jet was running into north Africa. That was a very unusual and extreme pattern though.
Great forecast Mark.Thankyou.
How come in the warmest place in the UK, the minimum temperature at my house has dropped below 4.5 degrees every night so far this month, but the day time temperatures have been bang on average of highs of 16, so is this likely to be a cooler than average month? I guess so.
Do you live in a rural location?
Just been looking at the GFS runs - there does seem to be some sort of signal for the cold blocked pattern to start to break down around the 3rd week of October.
Of course that could be clutching at straws, we all know how unreliable GFS can be (especially at the extended range.)
We need to keep an eye on the remnants of hurricane kirk to see where it goes exactly.
It will hit us directly.
Much as I dislike cold, this at least keeps things interesting and it definitely looks like a straightforward zonal-westerly type winter may not be on the cards this year.
There have been some comparisons on other sites with 1981-82. Personally I don't remember that one, but apparently it was quite a cold winter.
Remember it well. It was a cold one!
Great stuff Mark. Is high pressure in late October not conducive to colder temperatures?
Depends on the position of the high pressure. It can be either - on balance it's more likely to lead to colder temperatures due to lower surface temperatures and much shorter days.
However if it's situated to the east or south-east it can still tap into (relative) warmth if it's in a position to draw up a southerly wind. I will admit it is much harder (not completely impossible) to do so, however if you get a southerly wind in late October it is still possible to hit temperatures of 18-20 degrees - or (on very rare occasions) a couple of degrees higher than that.
@@LongBoi. depends on position
Just curious Mark,is weather forecasting your only job or do you have an additional job as well?Hope you dont mind me asking.
Thanking You
Hazel