yeah but some of his (great) advice is like "analyze the cash flow" That by itself is like half a college accounting class. So he basically laid out like 1/2 of an MBA courseload and you can go figure it out for yourself =D No snark intended, I love Plain Bagel, but his advice isn't exactly trivial to absorb
@@IntegralKing yeah I'm studying my PhD in math finance. What impressed me is he was able to talk about it in a way where people who don't know that stuff still learned enough to begin researching it
You demonstrate just how much work goes into your job beneath the veil, the fact you can do this and run a youtube channel is a testament to your work ethic - thank you Richard
This video made me realize just how outrageous those investment TikToks and internet gurus really are when they talk about investment being easy. It really is a highly-technical job with years of experience required and not something you can do by finding silly "patterns" on a graph in your bedroom. Thank you Bagel, for opening my eyes.
Which is why I'm perfectly content to just throw my money in an ETF and let it ride. I ain't got the time nor the skill to run with the professionals, so why would I think I can beat them at their own game?
@@ArawnOfAnnwn I've had decent success with my 3 fund (Boglehead) portfolio. The three ETF's I currently own are: VTI, BND and VXUS. There are of course different ETF's you can use (like VOO instead of VTI for example).
This is a really good concise guide on how to do fundamental analysis. When people say “do your own research”, they never say how to do it. Kudos to you for changing that!
This is why I love this channel. An actual professional showing how actual research is done. So many people these days say they “researched” something when they really just mean they read what other people said about it on Twitter 😂
@@alexweitz To go in-depth, yes. But that kind of depth would also involve revealing proprietary information from his employer that he would not want to reveal. But a basic overview could be done in a normal-length video or short series. And I wouldn't want one of the very top stocks that gets all the headlines anyway. Something random from the bottom 100 of the S&P 500 or somewhere around there would be ideal.
How do i make money from the market crash? i want to redistribute around $200K stocks in my portfolio. what strategy should I use to maximize gains rn.
stock market crying with little down tick while we have been dealing with double digit real inflation for a year. consult with an advisor so you don't get burnt in the market.
you are completely right, Advisors have information and paths that are not disclosed to the public.. I profited $560k in 2023 under the tutelage of my Fiduciary-counselor. Am I selling? Absolutely not.. I am going to sit back and observe how this all plays out.
I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for financial advisors online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?
'Sharon Ann Meny' is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment
Totally agree. Bloom Berg excel plug in has saved me so much time. All I have to do is input the ticker and all of the data I am interested in is organized instantly. (Instead of spending 10 minutes inputting different commands into bloomberg)
really great info. I think it's also worth pointing out specifically that the important thing is understanding how to evaluate a stock and not just blindly following a method you find online. Too many people just try to copy what they think successful people do without having any idea of what any of it means and seeing it just as abstract numbers. I know you talk about this a lot in other videos.
Yeah. I've found for me looking at valuation first is best since I can then remove a lot of unnecessary contenders for more interesting ones. Like if something is down 99% all time or it's at a 200 PE growing 30%/y then I'll look into it for a very short time and often conclude it's not worth it. Then I don't waste time.
@@fanban2926 Right. I agree you. Adding a few valuation criteria to your screener is what I've always done as well. But I think his point to saving that to the end of the process was so that he didn't pollute his decision of whether its a good long term company with any short term performance misstep the company may be finding itself in right now. If it turns out to be a good company long term based on his first four steps, but with short term troubles, then put it on the watchlist and monitor for the eventual turn around.
0:53. I REALLY appreciate you starting with the statistics of how strong the S&P500. Back when I knew absolutely nothing about investing, all I saw were channels from people going over what to do. Had I known that it would be extremely difficult to beat the S&P500, I wouldn't have spent all that time researching company reports.
What I appreciate about the bagel: -He didn’t fall into the honeypots of sponsorships alike FTX or the Scottish lords thing. When the bagel stays plain without sugarcoat, that is credibility.
@@user-wp5tm2ne3s Established Titles drama. Iirc you pay them to buy part of land in scotland, then you can call yourself a lord as per scottish culture.
Wow, I really needed this content, I am currently studying Financial Management and I want to work in the field of investment management soon. I have searched and watched a lot of videos to know what the work process is like in this field and all they told are just some broad terms which is hard to understand clearly. I am lucky that I subscribed to this channel and I am now confident in my career knowing what it will be like in the workplace.
Exciting times for semiconductor stocks TSMC, AMD and NVDA. which are all experiencing a surge in value. It's interesting to watch the competition develop, given these stocks are major contributors to Al chip growth. On the increase of my personal holdings, I've witnessed amazing impact on my shares.
Intel and AMD will definitely have their share of the market. TSMC is at max capacity and investing in other semiconductor companies will be an absolute power move, Different chips are good at different things and Nvidia has been very specialised, which leaves other aspects of Al open.
certainly, i had bought NVDA shares at $300, $475 cheap b4 the 10 for 1 split and with huge interest I keep adding, i’m currently doings the same for PLTR, POET and AMD constructively. Best possible way to get ahead, is participating behind top experienced performers.
I agree, i own three business, right now I'm compiling and picking stocks that l'd love to hold on to for a few years before retirement, do you think these stocks would do better over the years? My goal is to have at least $2 million saved for retirement.
This is the first UA-camr who has a background beat in his intro, has clear glasses and a head full of hair but nonetheless spits real financial knowledge not talk about chilling on a beach, straight up knowledge.
... NVDA has some of the WORST metrics in the semiconductor space. It's so overpriced and growth-oriented I don't know how you got to that conclusion based on this video. I'm not saying it's bad; I'm saying the principles laid out in this video doesn't support your conclusion
Really impressive summary - went in my permanent save watch-list for all the useful information. IMHO though, I think this level of analysis can present the risk of analysis paralysis for the somebody interested in picking stocks. It's often been said by the like of Buffet and Lynch that temperament plays a hugely important role - can do all the analysis in the world but if somebody doesn't have the nerve they'll end up selling the moment there's a slight downturn. In my own experience I've found learning and expanding my understanding makes it much easier to not worry. Perfect example was last year and the tech sell-off. I understood why a profitless Uber would be losing market share but Microsoft made no sense at all. Sure interest rates were climbing and again companies operating off debt will be in trouble but Microsoft sits on more loot than Smaug and has a credit rating better than the US Government. So I wasn't worried in the slightest over the tech stock price slide, I knew much of my portfolio would be coming back.
Yes!!! You really are one of the UA-camrs whose opinion I respect the most on investing and I'm really interested to know how you think on the matter and what is your strategy!
@@ajp642 I was literally going to suggest Prof. Damodaran, too. Though fair warning, the classes are long, detailed, and sometimes they get boring. But that's the nature of the beast when you really want to learn something, isn't it? It isn't always exciting.
Yahoo: no one might use their search engine, and they might be made fun of for the quality of their news, but I love their financial page and news. I find their layout easiest to look at (for my amateur investor talents).
Probably not with the frankness required. I imagine some of the conversations about some stocks are pretty brutal, and would likely just be a headache to have to deal with the PR backlash from said company or fans of the company. Additionally, I think this falls into the category of not giving stock picks.
I know next to nothing about stocks or how to analyze them. But man I swear I could teach a class after this. Not one word you said was wasted. And there is something about your voice that’s easy to listen to. As a auditory learner this is profoundly helpful
I have learned DCF, dividend models, grenblattt books read, multiples. Of all possible, technical analysis made me the most money, without looking at fundemantals at all
This is great. Thank you for posting. It seems very daunting though. Using public sources seems like it would take a week to analyze one company. At that rate it would take just under 10 years to analyze every company in the S&P 500.
Which is why he does mention that you are better off letting the professionals do the work they have a dedicated staff that gathers information. This is probably why you need to be interested in the company or field the company is in because you probably find that you have some general understanding and maybe spot problems faster
Thank you so much Richard, I totally agree that investing every penny to my name into the Motley Fools “All In” stock is the key to being a successful investor 🙏🏼
I've been watching this channel for a while every now and then when UA-cam recommends it, but this video actually made me subscribe, nice job! I have two questions I think could make a couple new videos: 1 - After the research, once the valuation becomes attractive, how do you think about position sizing? You mentioned dollar cost averaging within an acceptable valuation range, but how big are you willing to make the new position in a portfolio and how big are you allowing it to grow? And how do you decide the appropriate size for different stocks? 2 - What makes you think about selling? Maybe position sizing (previous question) has a role, but what about extreme overvaluation, fundamental changes in the company and the need to raise cash for an even more attractive opprtunity? Or do you see other situations where selling is necessary? Thanks!
I appreciate the subscription! Sizing is usually pretty easy; we’ll either take a full position (a set amount based on the portfolio size that leaves room for further buying up to a limit), or half a position if we think the stock may come down further but want to hedge our exposure. As for selling, that’s a tough one - we usually give a stock at least three years and then evaluate how it’s performing. I’ve trimmed when valuation became stretched but don’t often sell on valuation alone. The biggest thing I consider is whether management followed through on promises, or risks of permanent impairment (eg fundamental changes in the business/industry)
Great summary, very informative. Something I have learnt very quickly after starting to tip my toes in the world of financial investments is that doing it right is really complicated, and if it was as easy as some "gurus" claim it to be, then everyone would be filthy rich.
For some criticism you asked: 8:39 I wouldn't say "adjusted" means "not adhering to accounting rules". Iirc, IAS 1 literally prescribes management to report these adjustments if the prescribed methods would materially misrepresent the company's position. So I agree it that it could be used to make company look good, but it can equally make a successful company not look bad. This is doubly important for the US, as GAAP IFRS double reporting can present two entirely different sets of ratios.
👍Great explainer of how a value investor does fundamental analysis. I'd like to know how a growth investor selects stocks and how Keynes selected stocks and ran a portfolio in only 30 minutes a day.
Thank you for demonstrating why most people are better served by using a professional or just passive index. Can you make video about robo advisers? A part of my portfolio is managed by Fidelity's robo advisor. I would like to hear what you have to say about robo vs target date funds. Thank you.
this is why I watch you and Patrick Boyle and not that hype bunch of fake economics gurus on YT. I didn't understand a bit of what you said, but it is clear that you are not a random guy on the interwebs, making "non-financial advises" and then inviting me to join his online course to get rich quick :)
Amazing Amazing presentation !Thank you! Please Keep it coming where you can make it easier and easier for many new investors to understand the importance of researching a stock before getting into it.
Thank you so much for sharing the resources, such as EDGAR! It would be amazing if you could do a video doing an overview of open source informational resources that are available and reliable
Thank you so much. I will now rest easier buying indexes. Up until this point I just felt lazy. But with all the work I am doing there is simply no space for all this(which I wanted to do if I were to go into buying solo stocks). So many people say "fundamentals", but no one has gone this much into it, making 10 minute surface level videos for 20second segments of this one and never getting anywhere.
Curious about the execution side of things. How do you size up a position, do you DCA into it or buy-in over time using technicals/quant indicators, or do you lump-sum all of the allocation. And is that done in-house or via S&T/block trades. When would you go for derivatives, debt instruments, or warrants over just the equity/shares, etc. You could definitely add many parts to this and do a video series.
Thank you brother. I do like how you cover current events and your original content but some practical know how from you is valuable. I know I still have to do the legwork but this helps. Wishing you continued success.
Great video! I would add that the stock analysis on the short run is highly driven by market dynamics, so a stochastic model is needed (like montecarlo or black-scholes-merton). The process in this video is better for the stock's asymptotic convergence, an ECM origination or to better value the company, but for stock transactions, modeling is pivotal.
All your strategies are great. I'm just going to test it out and keep monitoring it. I am grateful to have you around to teach us how to do good work to make a profit and learn new market strategies. Thank you very much again.🌐
Top tip for plebs, research and invest in the companies that you already keep track of for non-financial motives. If you’re already keeping track of thr company before you invest in them, you’re going to have much more knowledge about a company than most analysts.
Thank you so much for giving this complete overview on fundamental analysis. Even though the video is 20 minutes you have put together a lot of information in there. I have also watched some of your other videos and found those very informative and useful. Can you please do a video on your process when it comes to selling stocks in your portfolio? Like, how you decide when to sell part or entire holdings.
How do you know that your process works well? In other words, do you measure your "performance" at stock research, and find ways to improve the process?
Great question! The company does track my performance over time (ie what the stock returns after I recommend it) but it’s unfortunately not a cut and dry approach - sometimes companies do well/poorly for reasons completely outside the scope of your research (e.g. a pandemic kills their revenue). But we do revisit positions, discuss what happened, and try to improve based off that
I am regretting not investing in Nvidia stocks ever since my wife did. But still grateful i kept money in the money market. With about $200k maturing soon, i plan investing well in it. But then what other stocks should I look into as a newbie to safely grow my money?
Thats when you hire someone to manage your money. You need a (CFP) straight up! personally, I would invest in ETF's and also love investing in individual stocks.
I took charge of my portfolio but faced losses in 2022. Realizing the need for a change, I sought advice from a fiduciary advisor. Through restructuring and diversification with dividend stocks, ETFs, Mutual funds, and REITs, my $1.2M portfolio surged, yielding an annualized gain of 28%.
'Natalie Ann Brinkman'. One of the finest portfolio managers in the field also widely recognized. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with and set up an appointment.
Personally love Koyfin use it everyday for my portfolio at work. Works great still missing some features but overall its a great app for researching and following companies. Only real downside is my portfolio is an international one and at times data can be hard to find/not updated frequently, but its not the end of the world!
Also the news function for international companies could be better. And wish you could search by free cash flow yields in your custom screens but that’s just me
One of the best fonancial channels and i hope it stays away from stock picking. I was bit surprised by the DCF model despite being blurry. I am skeptical of models with a gazillion inputs, as each one is a potential source of error. Not even Aswath Damodaran's model seems to be that complex. Just my humble opinion.
Recently bought some recommended stocks and now they are just penny stocks. There seems to be more negative portfolios in the last 3rd half of 2023 with markets tumbling, soaring inflation, and banks going out of business. My concern is how can the rapid interest-rate hike be of favor to a value investor, or is it better avoiding stocks for a while?
wait wait wait wait .... wait You're telling, when WSB said to "do your own research", I have to do MORE THAN LOOK AT THE COMMENT SECTION ON ROBINHOOD AND WEBULL ???? Love your channel for bringing fundamental, practical, down to earth understanding to investing. I would say "the world needs more people like you" but then that doesn't help you're channel, so I'll just say "the world needs more of you" :)
Awesome video! Extremely detailed and concise .... Plain Bagel would be permit to make this video a video series breaking down what you can and the process
This sort of takes me back to my first week in Corporate Finance Course. Someone asked how can we tell which stocks and shares to invest in? And almost with missing a beat the prof replied, you are in the wrong class then you need to take Administrative Policy which was more the business strategy class that would discuss business fundamentals. It's like "The Big Short" when the advisor is talking to the stripper about mortgages and immediately cuts to him on the phone "He's right there is a bubble."
Golden nuggets in this video! Except that I absolutely fixed a sink after watching a plumber explain how to do so on UA-cam. Unfortunately the reality of trading or investing is much complicated!
Wow, love the video and the tag. I myself love morning brew and listen to the pod everyday. Great sponsor. Think I’ll stick around for more content. Suggested by “the young investor podcast” Question: How far back do u go in each segment of your analysis?
Honestly i think Benjamin Graham is somewehere smiling because of this video... long story short for anyone about to watch, it aint easy. But im sure figuring out this video will be helping in the long run. This is a great HUGE step in the right direction,
Hey Richard, I wanted to ask if you would consider doing a video for individual investors on topics like setting profit goals, taking of profits and how to reallocate the profits.
Could you do a video about becoming an analyst? What education is required, how likely is it to find a career, salary scale, perks to the career, what it’s like when your just beginning the career and more. Thanks
Great video, it would be interesting a video comparing pros and cons of fundamental analysis and quantitative investing especially for bigger account that can afford to diversify in hundreds of equity (in this case I see several advantages of the quant investing in particular for the less experienced investors)
Happy Friday everyone! Visit morningbrewdaily.com/theplainbagel to sign up for Morning Brew's awesome newsletter (today's sponsor)!
How I Research Stocks - Step-By-Step Fundamental Analysis
I'm legitimately impressed you summarized all that in 20 minutes
Right? Complex
yeah but some of his (great) advice is like "analyze the cash flow" That by itself is like half a college accounting class. So he basically laid out like 1/2 of an MBA courseload and you can go figure it out for yourself =D
No snark intended, I love Plain Bagel, but his advice isn't exactly trivial to absorb
@@IntegralKing yeah I'm studying my PhD in math finance. What impressed me is he was able to talk about it in a way where people who don't know that stuff still learned enough to begin researching it
@@RomanNumural9rip your PhD… not a great area for work. Prove me wrong
@@dirtydan6098 it's great because I want to do research. I'd rather love what I do
You demonstrate just how much work goes into your job beneath the veil, the fact you can do this and run a youtube channel is a testament to your work ethic - thank you Richard
Holy shit, FINALLY a video that explains what Analysts/portfolio managers ACTUALLY DO.
This video made me realize just how outrageous those investment TikToks and internet gurus really are when they talk about investment being easy. It really is a highly-technical job with years of experience required and not something you can do by finding silly "patterns" on a graph in your bedroom. Thank you Bagel, for opening my eyes.
Which is why I'm perfectly content to just throw my money in an ETF and let it ride. I ain't got the time nor the skill to run with the professionals, so why would I think I can beat them at their own game?
@@USMCHolo Which ETF tho? Loads of different funds out there, and that's just one type of fund among many others.
@@ArawnOfAnnwnmarket index funds of course, like QQQ and IVV
@@ArawnOfAnnwn I've had decent success with my 3 fund (Boglehead) portfolio. The three ETF's I currently own are: VTI, BND and VXUS. There are of course different ETF's you can use (like VOO instead of VTI for example).
Either that or you just ignore everything and put your money to VTI and bonds.
This is a really good concise guide on how to do fundamental analysis.
When people say “do your own research”, they never say how to do it. Kudos to you for changing that!
This is why I love this channel. An actual professional showing how actual research is done. So many people these days say they “researched” something when they really just mean they read what other people said about it on Twitter 😂
“How the bagels are made” 😂😂
How I Research Stocks - Step-By-Step Fundamental Analysis
That made me giggle too
Gotta get that bread
Disappointed no actual bagels were made in this video...😢
(remember they called their baby bagel bite)🤔🤨
It would be interesting to do a walk-through of this process on a particular stock, just to show how it actually works in practice.
That would be helpful ❤❤❤
You would probably need a 30 hour video
@@alexweitz To go in-depth, yes. But that kind of depth would also involve revealing proprietary information from his employer that he would not want to reveal.
But a basic overview could be done in a normal-length video or short series.
And I wouldn't want one of the very top stocks that gets all the headlines anyway. Something random from the bottom 100 of the S&P 500 or somewhere around there would be ideal.
Not only is this video informative, it helps put into perspective that my day job isn't really that boring after all
I think it's the opposite, this is fun!
@@fanban2926 it's very cool, but if I had to do it for 8+ hours a day, I would be miserable. But I can see how some people would enjoy it!
curious what u do for work?
@@odomobo ^
@@connordewhirst2332 I maintain order-processing software
Literally the best UA-cam channel I’ve ever watched, should have 1 billion subscribers
How do i make money from the market crash? i want to redistribute around $200K stocks in my portfolio. what strategy should I use to maximize gains rn.
stock market crying with little down tick while we have been dealing with double digit real inflation for a year. consult with an advisor so you don't get burnt in the market.
you are completely right, Advisors have information and paths that are not disclosed to the public.. I profited $560k in 2023 under the tutelage of my Fiduciary-counselor. Am I selling? Absolutely not.. I am going to sit back and observe how this all plays out.
I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for financial advisors online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?
'Sharon Ann Meny' is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment
Searched the web and saw her profile and accreditations, someone with great experience I must say, thanks!
Still prolly one of the best if not the best and most honest information
Yea he is probably the only one left besides how money works
Totally agree. Bloom Berg excel plug in has saved me so much time. All I have to do is input the ticker and all of the data I am interested in is organized instantly. (Instead of spending 10 minutes inputting different commands into bloomberg)
really great info. I think it's also worth pointing out specifically that the important thing is understanding how to evaluate a stock and not just blindly following a method you find online. Too many people just try to copy what they think successful people do without having any idea of what any of it means and seeing it just as abstract numbers. I know you talk about this a lot in other videos.
Yeah. I've found for me looking at valuation first is best since I can then remove a lot of unnecessary contenders for more interesting ones. Like if something is down 99% all time or it's at a 200 PE growing 30%/y then I'll look into it for a very short time and often conclude it's not worth it. Then I don't waste time.
@@fanban2926 Right. I agree you. Adding a few valuation criteria to your screener is what I've always done as well. But I think his point to saving that to the end of the process was so that he didn't pollute his decision of whether its a good long term company with any short term performance misstep the company may be finding itself in right now. If it turns out to be a good company long term based on his first four steps, but with short term troubles, then put it on the watchlist and monitor for the eventual turn around.
This is by far the most thorough and comprehensive analysis breakdown I’ve ever seen. Really great job
0:53. I REALLY appreciate you starting with the statistics of how strong the S&P500. Back when I knew absolutely nothing about investing, all I saw were channels from people going over what to do. Had I known that it would be extremely difficult to beat the S&P500, I wouldn't have spent all that time researching company reports.
What I appreciate about the bagel:
-He didn’t fall into the honeypots of sponsorships alike FTX or the Scottish lords thing.
When the bagel stays plain without sugarcoat, that is credibility.
whats that about Scottish lords?
@@user-wp5tm2ne3s Established Titles drama. Iirc you pay them to buy part of land in scotland, then you can call yourself a lord as per scottish culture.
Wow, I really needed this content, I am currently studying Financial Management and I want to work in the field of investment management soon. I have searched and watched a lot of videos to know what the work process is like in this field and all they told are just some broad terms which is hard to understand clearly. I am lucky that I subscribed to this channel and I am now confident in my career knowing what it will be like in the workplace.
Exciting times for semiconductor stocks TSMC, AMD and NVDA. which are all experiencing a surge in value. It's interesting to watch the competition develop, given these stocks are major contributors to Al chip growth. On the increase of my personal holdings, I've witnessed amazing impact on my shares.
Intel and AMD will definitely have their share of the market. TSMC is at max capacity and investing in other semiconductor companies will be an absolute power move, Different chips are good at different things and Nvidia has been very specialised, which leaves other aspects of Al open.
This is the type of in-depth detail on the semiconductor market that investors need, also the right moment to focus on the rewarding AI manifesto.
certainly, i had bought NVDA shares at $300, $475 cheap b4 the 10 for 1 split and with huge interest I keep adding, i’m currently doings the same for PLTR, POET and AMD constructively. Best possible way to get ahead, is participating behind top experienced performers.
I agree, i own three business, right now I'm compiling and picking stocks that l'd love to hold on to for a few years before retirement, do you think these stocks would do better over the years? My goal is to have at least $2 million saved for retirement.
Amazingly, people are starting to get the uniqueness of Palantir.
This is the first UA-camr who has a background beat in his intro, has clear glasses and a head full of hair but nonetheless spits real financial knowledge not talk about chilling on a beach, straight up knowledge.
Now that I know for sure how to do analysis real good, I feel even more confident in putting all my money into NVIDIA. Thanks.
Smh
Make sure to leverage so you don't leave any money on the table. It literally cannot go tits up.
Beware confirmation bias
... NVDA has some of the WORST metrics in the semiconductor space. It's so overpriced and growth-oriented I don't know how you got to that conclusion based on this video. I'm not saying it's bad; I'm saying the principles laid out in this video doesn't support your conclusion
@@IntegralKing this guy just ready to “invest” in a large company that just had a big increase which wont sustain
Excellent video as always Plain Bagel, Im gonna stop right now at the beginning and watch it later.
How do you know if the video is ‘excellent’, if you haven’t watched it?
You better watch it later soon. The algorithm thinks videos that people stop watching at the beginning must be all click bait low quality videos.
@@themoodyteam It was a joke, hope this helps.
@@aglioeoilo please explain the joke. I’ve obvs had (and are still having) a whoosh 💨 moment
Really impressive summary - went in my permanent save watch-list for all the useful information. IMHO though, I think this level of analysis can present the risk of analysis paralysis for the somebody interested in picking stocks. It's often been said by the like of Buffet and Lynch that temperament plays a hugely important role - can do all the analysis in the world but if somebody doesn't have the nerve they'll end up selling the moment there's a slight downturn. In my own experience I've found learning and expanding my understanding makes it much easier to not worry. Perfect example was last year and the tech sell-off. I understood why a profitless Uber would be losing market share but Microsoft made no sense at all. Sure interest rates were climbing and again companies operating off debt will be in trouble but Microsoft sits on more loot than Smaug and has a credit rating better than the US Government. So I wasn't worried in the slightest over the tech stock price slide, I knew much of my portfolio would be coming back.
Yes!!! You really are one of the UA-camrs whose opinion I respect the most on investing and I'm really interested to know how you think on the matter and what is your strategy!
Now make it a series doing a deeper dive into each step!
While I agree, that starts getting into paid content and he'd like a job lol
Martin shkreli
Watch Martin Shkreli do a DCF analysis for more in depth
There's a lot of books. The Swedish Investor channel has u covered. For deep dive into valuation Aswath Damoderan is all free classes!
@@ajp642 I was literally going to suggest Prof. Damodaran, too. Though fair warning, the classes are long, detailed, and sometimes they get boring. But that's the nature of the beast when you really want to learn something, isn't it? It isn't always exciting.
When I was in University and worked as an Intern, there is one lesson I learned investing/trading is about 90% research 10% execution
Yahoo: no one might use their search engine, and they might be made fun of for the quality of their news, but I love their financial page and news. I find their layout easiest to look at (for my amateur investor talents).
best finance channel. although i hold 80 percent index but for that 20 percent i like to watch these things
This is a great video. Could you apply this formula over a sample company, so we can see an example of how you analyze a stock?
Probably not with the frankness required. I imagine some of the conversations about some stocks are pretty brutal, and would likely just be a headache to have to deal with the PR backlash from said company or fans of the company. Additionally, I think this falls into the category of not giving stock picks.
what I love about this channel is that it guides instead of directing me
I know next to nothing about stocks or how to analyze them. But man I swear I could teach a class after this. Not one word you said was wasted. And there is something about your voice that’s easy to listen to. As a auditory learner this is profoundly helpful
I have learned DCF, dividend models, grenblattt books read, multiples. Of all possible, technical analysis made me the most money, without looking at fundemantals at all
This is great. Thank you for posting. It seems very daunting though. Using public sources seems like it would take a week to analyze one company. At that rate it would take just under 10 years to analyze every company in the S&P 500.
Bagel did mention that he sometimes takes a week or two to analyze a company.
Which is why he does mention that you are better off letting the professionals do the work they have a dedicated staff that gathers information. This is probably why you need to be interested in the company or field the company is in because you probably find that you have some general understanding and maybe spot problems faster
@@lostboy8084Having industry knowledge is a must imo, otherwise you're doomed.
Thank you so much Richard, I totally agree that investing every penny to my name into the Motley Fools “All In” stock is the key to being a successful investor 🙏🏼
Cool to see you touch on a bunch of stuff I had during finance classes at uni for valuing a company
Hope you make a full 40 minute series.
Love you brother❤
I really enjoyed this video, very focused on the topic and not drifting off topic for humor sake.
Awesome stuff, you gained a new subscriber
I've been watching this channel for a while every now and then when UA-cam recommends it, but this video actually made me subscribe, nice job!
I have two questions I think could make a couple new videos:
1 - After the research, once the valuation becomes attractive, how do you think about position sizing? You mentioned dollar cost averaging within an acceptable valuation range, but how big are you willing to make the new position in a portfolio and how big are you allowing it to grow? And how do you decide the appropriate size for different stocks?
2 - What makes you think about selling? Maybe position sizing (previous question) has a role, but what about extreme overvaluation, fundamental changes in the company and the need to raise cash for an even more attractive opprtunity? Or do you see other situations where selling is necessary?
Thanks!
I appreciate the subscription! Sizing is usually pretty easy; we’ll either take a full position (a set amount based on the portfolio size that leaves room for further buying up to a limit), or half a position if we think the stock may come down further but want to hedge our exposure. As for selling, that’s a tough one - we usually give a stock at least three years and then evaluate how it’s performing. I’ve trimmed when valuation became stretched but don’t often sell on valuation alone. The biggest thing I consider is whether management followed through on promises, or risks of permanent impairment (eg fundamental changes in the business/industry)
A good look at how a sane and intelligent person works in this field.
Thanks for making me really understand why I invest in mutual funds.
As a general rule of thumb, I smash the like button even before hearing what the video is about
Great summary, very informative.
Something I have learnt very quickly after starting to tip my toes in the world of financial investments is that doing it right is really complicated, and if it was as easy as some "gurus" claim it to be, then everyone would be filthy rich.
For some criticism you asked:
8:39 I wouldn't say "adjusted" means "not adhering to accounting rules". Iirc, IAS 1 literally prescribes management to report these adjustments if the prescribed methods would materially misrepresent the company's position. So I agree it that it could be used to make company look good, but it can equally make a successful company not look bad. This is doubly important for the US, as GAAP IFRS double reporting can present two entirely different sets of ratios.
Best stock analysis software
Your lessons always contain a lot of useful information about trading. Thanks for your valuable help!
👍Great explainer of how a value investor does fundamental analysis.
I'd like to know how a growth investor selects stocks and how Keynes selected stocks and ran a portfolio in only 30 minutes a day.
Thank you for demonstrating why most people are better served by using a professional or just passive index. Can you make video about robo advisers? A part of my portfolio is managed by Fidelity's robo advisor. I would like to hear what you have to say about robo vs target date funds. Thank you.
this is why I watch you and Patrick Boyle and not that hype bunch of fake economics gurus on YT. I didn't understand a bit of what you said, but it is clear that you are not a random guy on the interwebs, making "non-financial advises" and then inviting me to join his online course to get rich quick :)
Amazing Amazing presentation !Thank you! Please Keep it coming where you can make it easier and easier for many new investors to understand the importance of researching a stock before getting into it.
THIS is the content I've been wanting
This is my favourite youtube channel thank you for the teacing. I like you and love you
Thank you so much for sharing the resources, such as EDGAR! It would be amazing if you could do a video doing an overview of open source informational resources that are available and reliable
Great Job...Keep up the Great Work...Your Content Really Helps....Let the Scammers be Cool...We Here for Knowledge....😁🙋🏾💰✌🏾🔥
Wow! You are a principality, with due respect this is mind blowing
Thank you so much.
I will now rest easier buying indexes. Up until this point I just felt lazy. But with all the work I am doing there is simply no space for all this(which I wanted to do if I were to go into buying solo stocks).
So many people say "fundamentals", but no one has gone this much into it, making 10 minute surface level videos for 20second segments of this one and never getting anywhere.
I hope this is a continuing series , would love to see more of such videos
Options trading tips on daily, weekly and monthly charts is a great idea that I will definitely try. Thanks for the advice.
Curious about the execution side of things. How do you size up a position, do you DCA into it or buy-in over time using technicals/quant indicators, or do you lump-sum all of the allocation. And is that done in-house or via S&T/block trades. When would you go for derivatives, debt instruments, or warrants over just the equity/shares, etc. You could definitely add many parts to this and do a video series.
Thank you brother. I do like how you cover current events and your original content but some practical know how from you is valuable. I know I still have to do the legwork but this helps. Wishing you continued success.
Great video! I would add that the stock analysis on the short run is highly driven by market dynamics, so a stochastic model is needed (like montecarlo or black-scholes-merton). The process in this video is better for the stock's asymptotic convergence, an ECM origination or to better value the company, but for stock transactions, modeling is pivotal.
All your strategies are great. I'm just going to test it out and keep monitoring it. I am grateful to have you around to teach us how to do good work to make a profit and learn new market strategies. Thank you very much again.🌐
greatest video of all time
I've got 80 shares of vici properties and hope to have 100 by the end of the year. I think it's a good choice.
Very Damodaran approach
This is a video that had yet to exist.
Top tip for plebs, research and invest in the companies that you already keep track of for non-financial motives. If you’re already keeping track of thr company before you invest in them, you’re going to have much more knowledge about a company than most analysts.
Like I said before best financial educational content on you tube.
Thank you for sharing with regular people a path to better investing.
Thank you so much for giving this complete overview on fundamental analysis. Even though the video is 20 minutes you have put together a lot of information in there.
I have also watched some of your other videos and found those very informative and useful.
Can you please do a video on your process when it comes to selling stocks in your portfolio? Like, how you decide when to sell part or entire holdings.
Excellent video as always Plain Bagel, Im gonna stop right now at the beginning and watch it later.
Thanks so much! I just started writing for Seeking Alpha, and this definitely helps.
How do you know that your process works well? In other words, do you measure your "performance" at stock research, and find ways to improve the process?
Great question! The company does track my performance over time (ie what the stock returns after I recommend it) but it’s unfortunately not a cut and dry approach - sometimes companies do well/poorly for reasons completely outside the scope of your research (e.g. a pandemic kills their revenue). But we do revisit positions, discuss what happened, and try to improve based off that
@theplainbagel
Are you allowed to say how many companies you have in your portfolio?
Seeing the level of research that goes into even one investment decision makes me really happy that I'm investing in index funds.
This video is so golden! Thank you for your dedication.
Sinking my entire life savings into Bagel Co. stock immediately!
Thank you. I learned so much from you & George Gammon/Rebel Capitalist.
I am regretting not investing in Nvidia stocks ever since my wife did. But still grateful i kept money in the money market. With about $200k maturing soon, i plan investing well in it. But then what other stocks should I look into as a newbie to safely grow my money?
Thats when you hire someone to manage your money. You need a (CFP) straight up! personally, I would invest in ETF's and also love investing in individual stocks.
I took charge of my portfolio but faced losses in 2022. Realizing the need for a change, I sought advice from a fiduciary advisor. Through restructuring and diversification with dividend stocks, ETFs, Mutual funds, and REITs, my $1.2M portfolio surged, yielding an annualized gain of 28%.
Do you mind sharing info on the adviser who assisted you?
'Natalie Ann Brinkman'. One of the finest portfolio managers in the field also widely recognized. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with and set up an appointment.
Thank you for sharing. it was easy to find her, then I scheduled a phone call with her. She seems proficient considering her résumé.
Yes thank you for this video! It's pure gold!
Personally love Koyfin use it everyday for my portfolio at work. Works great still missing some features but overall its a great app for researching and following companies. Only real downside is my portfolio is an international one and at times data can be hard to find/not updated frequently, but its not the end of the world!
Also the news function for international companies could be better. And wish you could search by free cash flow yields in your custom screens but that’s just me
One of the best fonancial channels and i hope it stays away from stock picking. I was bit surprised by the DCF model despite being blurry. I am skeptical of models with a gazillion inputs, as each one is a potential source of error. Not even Aswath Damodaran's model seems to be that complex. Just my humble opinion.
Recently bought some recommended stocks and now they are just penny stocks. There seems to be more negative portfolios in the last 3rd half of 2023 with markets tumbling, soaring inflation, and banks going out of business. My concern is how can the rapid interest-rate hike be of favor to a value investor, or is it better avoiding stocks for a while?
wait wait wait wait .... wait
You're telling, when WSB said to "do your own research", I have to do MORE THAN LOOK AT THE COMMENT SECTION ON ROBINHOOD AND WEBULL ????
Love your channel for bringing fundamental, practical, down to earth understanding to investing.
I would say "the world needs more people like you" but then that doesn't help you're channel, so I'll just say "the world needs more of you" :)
Awesome video! Extremely detailed and concise .... Plain Bagel would be permit to make this video a video series breaking down what you can and the process
This sort of takes me back to my first week in Corporate Finance Course. Someone asked how can we tell which stocks and shares to invest in? And almost with missing a beat the prof replied, you are in the wrong class then you need to take Administrative Policy which was more the business strategy class that would discuss business fundamentals. It's like "The Big Short" when the advisor is talking to the stripper about mortgages and immediately cuts to him on the phone "He's right there is a bubble."
Golden nuggets in this video!
Except that I absolutely fixed a sink after watching a plumber explain how to do so on UA-cam. Unfortunately the reality of trading or investing is much complicated!
Wow, love the video and the tag. I myself love morning brew and listen to the pod everyday. Great sponsor. Think I’ll stick around for more content. Suggested by “the young investor podcast”
Question: How far back do u go in each segment of your analysis?
This is a really useful and unique video, thanks dear Bagel
Honestly i think Benjamin Graham is somewehere smiling because of this video... long story short for anyone about to watch, it aint easy. But im sure figuring out this video will be helping in the long run. This is a great HUGE step in the right direction,
What an absolute unit of a bagel!
Thank you so much for making this! These type of videos are great.
Thank you for this; it's convinced me to stay in ETFs and Mutual funds
FINALLY, I HAVE BEEN WAAAAITING FOR THIS. HUGE Thank You
Fundamental Analysis is best.
Hey Richard, I wanted to ask if you would consider doing a video for individual investors on topics like setting profit goals, taking of profits and how to reallocate the profits.
Could you do a video about becoming an analyst? What education is required, how likely is it to find a career, salary scale, perks to the career, what it’s like when your just beginning the career and more. Thanks
Thanks for sharing! That's a lot of great info crammed into 20 minutes!
Great video, it would be interesting a video comparing pros and cons of fundamental analysis and quantitative investing especially for bigger account that can afford to diversify in hundreds of equity (in this case I see several advantages of the quant investing in particular for the less experienced investors)
I would love for you to do a video comparing the main investing approaches: growth vs value, technical vs quantitative vs fundamental, etc.
This is gold, thank you very much for sharing this knowledge.