Ali, you are a breath of fresh air on UA-cam! Thank you for sharing the basis for building logical, simple and robust strategies. Market Edge over Market Structure!
continuous futures contract add or deduct a premium to stich every contract. To lookup the real value you need to see the spot price for that instrument.
to backtest you always need to use continuous contracts. so for Crude Oil it is @CL the average trade will not be affected even if the price does not match the spot price, but percentages will be affected
Thank you for this video Ali! Do you think these directional edges are there as a result of the fundamentals of any market and its super long term trend? And even though some of them have existed for decades, why is it safe to assume that they will continue to exist? Because unlike an up trend that can theoretically exist forever, a down trend can't go on forever right?!
When the edge in direction is down it doesn’t mean the price is going to zero, it just means that you win more on the down side. The price can go up $1 in one bar and down $0.25 in 4 bars so net change is zero but we have more down bars than up
I like it. For your personal trading, do you have strategies that trade both long and short, or are most or all of your strategies trading in just one direction? Interesting I've found wheat in particular hard to build strategies for. I've built many, but they tend to fall apart relatively quickly, even with good proper back-testing. For whatever reason, KW is easier to work with for me.
@@StatOasis because this is what a lot of us must do with our prop firm account. We cannot hold overnight positions, we have trailing drawdowns, we cannot trade the opens, cannot trade during news events, So we have to trade in between: scalping. I think your analytical approach can help a lot of us.
I see, I think the best approach would be to trade markets with massive edge in one direction like S&P500 and Natural Gas, then build any signal in that direction, like breakout, oscillators, etc. and use regime filter so you don't trade everyday. Just know you will make a lot less money because you are not capturing the full move as you have to exit end of day.
Great video Ali, as always!
Thank you for your kind words
Really nice way to explain it. Appreciate the video.
Glad it was helpful!
Ali, you are a breath of fresh air on UA-cam! Thank you for sharing the basis for building logical, simple and robust strategies. Market Edge over Market Structure!
I appreciate that!
What is the data in the video Crude Oil was around $67 in 2007 not 110? Thanks
continuous futures contract add or deduct a premium to stich every contract. To lookup the real value you need to see the spot price for that instrument.
So what is the symbol used in the video?
to backtest you always need to use continuous contracts. so for Crude Oil it is @CL
the average trade will not be affected even if the price does not match the spot price, but percentages will be affected
Thank you for this video Ali!
Do you think these directional edges are there as a result of the fundamentals of any market and its super long term trend? And even though some of them have existed for decades, why is it safe to assume that they will continue to exist? Because unlike an up trend that can theoretically exist forever, a down trend can't go on forever right?!
When the edge in direction is down it doesn’t mean the price is going to zero, it just means that you win more on the down side. The price can go up $1 in one bar and down $0.25 in 4 bars so net change is zero but we have more down bars than up
Sur le blé, l'effet contago explique beaucoup la baisse sur le future continu.
Like i mention in the video, there are fundamental reasons why these edges exist
I like it. For your personal trading, do you have strategies that trade both long and short, or are most or all of your strategies trading in just one direction? Interesting I've found wheat in particular hard to build strategies for. I've built many, but they tend to fall apart relatively quickly, even with good proper back-testing. For whatever reason, KW is easier to work with for me.
Always develop long and short separately, you can always combine later in a portfilio
I would love some intrady scalping videos
would you share why you are searching for scalping videos?
@@StatOasis because this is what a lot of us must do with our prop firm account. We cannot hold overnight positions, we have trailing drawdowns, we cannot trade the opens, cannot trade during news events, So we have to trade in between: scalping. I think your analytical approach can help a lot of us.
I see, I think the best approach would be to trade markets with massive edge in one direction like S&P500 and Natural Gas, then build any signal in that direction, like breakout, oscillators, etc. and use regime filter so you don't trade everyday. Just know you will make a lot less money because you are not capturing the full move as you have to exit end of day.
Mr Casey is it possible for an EA to make 1% per month??? .😂
Anything is possible