Abhijit Iyer-Mitra Unfiltered! - How Close Are We to World War 3? Israel, Iran, Ukraine | ACP 72
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- Опубліковано 29 тра 2024
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Abhijit Iyer-Mitra is a prominent Indian geopolitical expert known for his outspoken and often controversial views on defense, security, and foreign policy. With a background in defense studies, he frequently contributes to discussions on strategic affairs, emphasizing India's military and technological capabilities. Abhijit is a senior fellow at the Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies in New Delhi and has testified before the Indian Parliament on matters of critical national interest. His expertise is regularly sought in media and academic circles, where he provides analysis on complex international relations and defense issues, bringing a sharp and candid perspective to the geopolitical dialogue.
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In today’s podcast with Mr. Abhijit Iyer Mitra, we delve into a detailed analysis of military and intelligence failures related to deterrence strategies, particularly focusing on the historical context and recent events involving Israel and Hamas. Abhijit discusses the perceived failure of deterrence since the 2006 Lebanon War, suggesting that deterrence might not be effective against organizations like Hamas, described as a "death cult." The video explores the tactical and intelligence lapses that allowed Hamas to execute a well-planned attack on Israel, critiquing the reliance on static defenses, which history shows to be ineffective, as evidenced by the Great Wall of China and the Maginot Line.
Additionally, the discussion touches on the modern implications of ancient practices of child sacrifice in the context of Hamas's tactics, suggesting a deep-rooted cultural continuation that impacts current conflict dynamics. AIM also provides a technical breakdown of the October 7 attack, highlighting the sequential failures of Israeli defenses and the sophisticated planning by Hamas. The video concludes with thoughts on the future of Israeli security strategies, emphasizing the need for a shift from traditional concepts of deterrence to more dynamic and proactive defense mechanisms.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Introduction
01:15 - Israel's view on deterrence and past conflicts
02:26 - History of child sacrifice in certain cultures
07:06 - Hamas using hostages as deterrents
09:22 - Intelligence failure in recognizing threat signals
13:51 - Intelligence failures that led to Hamas attack
15:56 - What should Israel do?
19:57 - Civilian casualties and Hamas involvement in conflict
22:02 - Israel's strategy towards Hezbollah and recent strikes
34:02 - Armenia's geopolitical choices and Iran's support
45:57 - Russia's strategy in Ukraine conflict
49:59 - Potential objectives of Xi Jinping
55:28 - Potential scenarios of India-China war
01:14:46 - Russia facing pressure from China
01:18:49 - Increasing reliance on Russian commodities
01:20:53 - America's failure to see unwinnable war in Ukraine
01:25:12 - Pakistan should be psychologically pacified for stability
01:27:09 - Pakistan's lack of leverage on US
01:33:25 - NRI's need for validation leads to overboard loyalty
01:37:32 - Criticism of foreigners claiming to know India better
01:43:41 - End
About:
The Abhijit Chavda channel is an expansive library of content that offers insights into geopolitics, contemporary world affairs and history from an Indian perspective.
Abhijit Chavda's unique research-backed worldview has made him one of the strongest voices in the Indian Digital Space, and he has represented India at international forums, including the G20 summit.
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Nehru's miracles
1. Rejected a permanent seat at the UN
2. Rejected Nepal’s offer to join Bharat
3. Rejected Balochistan’s offer to join Bharat
4. Created the Kashmir issue
5. Presided over the disastrous Sino-Bharat war
6. Refusal To Enter Nuclear Deal
7. Nehru rejected a US offer of helping Bharat with the development of a nuclear device in 1964 perhaps because he was a proponent of
non-violence.
8. Led the ill-conceived Non-Aligned Movement
9. Indifference towards Goa
10. Favoured Socialism instead of free-market Capitalism.
11. Ignored Corruption
12. Clung to Power for too long
13. Curbed journalistic freedom and freedom of expression
14. Failure to encourage, promote and implement universal primary education
15. Toppled democratically elected Kerala government in 1957
16. Gifted Pakistan
17. Didn't allow Sardar Patel to be the PM
18. Gifting Manipur's Kabo valley to Burma
19. Gifting the strategically located Coco Islands to Burma
20. Refusing the Sultan of Oman's gift of Gwadar port
21. Giving up on Tibet, placing Bharat's water security and northern border at China's mercy
22. Signing the most unequal treaty in history
in 1960, PM Nehru, for the sake of "friendship" and "goodwill" signed one of the most unequal, lopsided treaties ever - the Indus Waters Treaty, giving Pakistan ownership of over three-fourths of the water that flows through the Indus System of Rivers located in Bharat. Pakistan reciprocated Nehru's gesture of goodwill by invading Bharat just five years later.
23. Hostility towards Sardar Patel's restoration of the Somnath Temple
24. Obstructing Sardar Patel's plan to liberate Hyderabad from the murderous Nizam
25. Nehru had a total impractical approach to integrating Kashmir with rest of Bharat. He didn't allow Sardar Patel to deal with Kashmir issue. Patel was quite successful in integrating other troubled regions such as Hyderabad Nizam's province with Bharat.
26. During the Bharat-Pak war of 1948 when Bharat was gaining back the Kashmir captured by the invaders, he prematurely went to the UN Security Council. This was a great strategic mistake. Bharat now wants to distance itself from 3rd party intervention in the dispute and the UN resolutions on this, but it is Nehru who did it in the first place.
27. Moreover, We were winning the war against CHlN but Nehru didn't allow Bhartiya Air Force to participate and we lost Aksai Chin area
28. No Initiative on Sri Lankan Tamil Problem
29. Giving Away 55 Crores to Pakistan
30. Usurping Congress Presidentship in 1929
31. Nehru’s Undemocratic Elevation as the First PM
32. Unplanned & Grossly Mismanaged Partition
33. Article-370 thanks to Nehru
34. Article 35A for J&K, Again thanks to Nehru
35. Ignoring Illegal
Pr0seIytization
36. Neglect of Agriculture
37. Throttled Industrialisation
38. Messy Reorganisation of States
39. Messing Up the Language Issue, Promoting Urdu & Persian-Arabic Script, Neglect of Sanskrit
40. Setting Jinnah on Path to Pakistan
41. Nehru-Liaquat Pact 1950
42. Erroneous Nehru-Era Map
43. Rebuffing Israel, the Friend-in-Need
44. Scoring Self-Goal-Ministry Resignations, 1939
45. Assam’s Security Compromised
46. Aborted ‘Cabinet Mission Plan’ for United Bharat
47. NWFP Blunder 1946
48. Distorted, Self-Serving Secularism & Minorityism
49. Not Seeking Reparations from the British
Nehru and the Distortion of Bhartiya History & Heritage
50. Paying Respects to Babar
51. Nehru & Netaji's Stolen War Chest
52. Gross Treatment of INA
53. Gross Treatment of Netąji Bose
54. Gross Treatment of Bhagat Singh & Azad
55. Gross Treatment of Veer Savarkar
56. Gross Treatment of Sardar Patel
57. Gross Treatment of Sardar Patel's Daughter Maniben
58. Gross Treatment of Ambedkar
59. Gross Treatment of Dr Shyama Prasad Mukherjee
60. Gross Treatment of Dr Rajendra Prasad
61. Gross Treatment of PD Tandon
62. Gross Treatment of Bordoloi
63. Gross Treatment of General Thimayya
64. Gross Treatment of Public
65. Special Treatment for Edwina Mountbatten
You gotta be fucking kidding me
Its true, its damn true
Blunderman
😮😮😮😮😮
Well it’s all true but we have to appreciate nehru for not creating political instability and turn it into a military dictatorship like pakistan. Nehru and Indra Gandhi’s tenure at least gave india strong political figures which hold india together in one place and that is congress’ biggest achievement
What a gem. This gentleman is very knowledgeable. All the best from American Israeli.
Amazing, but India has many really good analysts and they understand the full picture. Hats off
How does it matter. Indians don't have influence in the West. And the West runs the world
He is real gem ❤AIM
My two absolute favorite Abhijits. A great combination of deep geopolitical wisdom, humor and sarcasm. God bless both of you and a great appreciation for your hard work of educating us.
Good to hear but both talking about different scenarios being played outside the border. The main question is how the Congress and its nutjobs will behave inside the border when it hits the fan. Cant fight on both sides of the border.
@@mayankexodusCongress and its puppet like dhruv rathee is fighting media warfare with the government.
I think congress will become weak day by day.
Abhijit Bhattacharya ke aage koi bol sakta hai kya!
@@XykonNoir bhattacharya?
what do you smoke? 🤣
the line, "indira was 10x more man than her father ever was." completely agreed
I really enjoyed the podcast watching u from Chad 🇹🇩 🙏
❤
This is a refreshing perspective. Greetings from South Africa .
This is gonna be awesome! Much Love from the Philippines.
Kind of worried for you pinoy bros. You guys are in a dangerous neighborhood as well. A tinder box.
Send my love to Kim Jong un
@prateek752 king kong
Philippines is really close to my heart bcz I got my MD degree from Philippines 💗 .. love for Philippines and Filipinos .. mabuhay
❤
@@The-lefthandeddoc Mabuhay!❤👊
AIM must focus on hia health....we need him for very long years with us...
Yes
what happend to him
@@harshkumar-kk2dopet dekh na bhai uska..phatt ke bahar a jayega aisa lag rha
He is taking care and eating healthy vegetarian meals. I am not his cook, don't mind to be one.
Abhijit ji. Take care of your health, sir. Please reduce your weight. Eat healthy food.
You are a precious person. We need you alive and active for many more years.
He lost weight and again gained weight I think. But he is now looking very obese.
I was going to post the same
He doesn't want to be in the world after dedollarisation. He hypothesises that the world will go bonkers after loss of US hegemony.
Can the guy live?? Jesus Christ
@@Randallwolfshieldhe will live if he loses weight
India should hyper-industrialize the defense industry on a war footing! Also the population should also be prepared for sacrifice!
We should also look to diplomatic solutions. If we can peacefully settle the border dispute with China itvwould be best for us.
3:37 "To the modern mind, it just sounds so horrific. Where we don't realise that there are still people around with this kind of obsolete bronze or stone age mindset that has still survived into the modern day and age". This statement is very very important. That mindset is so alien to us that our mind just chooses to ignore it.
I need to see a proof of this statement - a clear foundation.
Certainly mothers love their children, its built into us as humans.
I have seen nothing that tells me Palestinian mothers are any different. I see them wail and weep at the loss of their loved ones. And they have wailed and weeped much!!
😂😂😂@@larrymullin265
@@larrymullin265 and train them hating on non believers
@@dm-hn2wtexactly😂
@@larrymullin265 and are also happy their children will go to jannat(heaven)
Two of the Real Intelligent treasures of India.
Always delighted to see AIM
Only one
@@Devid1971I agree chawda on more on physics n history. Mr Mitra is more on geopolitics
@@Devid1971some intelligent people are eccentric, its ok
@@Devid1971 disagree .
😂 now avg podcasters are treasures
Abhijit and Abhijit what a combination flow of wisdom ❤❤
Abhijit x Abhijit - Legends in single frmae
Abhijit x Abhijit is a conversation I will always listen to.
Keep bringing these forever.
There was a time these conversations used to happen in every house, market (chai Wale pe) etc. So glad to see revival of that tradition on podcasts.
Honest and intelligent conversations served straight up. Loved it! ❤
It happens even now....even in cities and rural villages.
This is a pure gem! Thank you Abhijit and Chavdaji! 🙏
Cadbury wala
That massacre happened mainly for 2 reasons : 1. Employing Muslims in their homes & facilities 2. Over dependency on gadgets and software bypassing constant human engagement for overseeing threat signs & react
Agreed, stark contrast to the Fauda Netflix shows portrayal of Mossad. The myth surrounding the Mossad has clearly been destroyed due to the attacks.
💯
October 7th happened because highly sophisticated simple humans were dining with assumed pet reptiles
Hindus should not repeat the same mistakes. Stop buying stuff from Muslims, buy from Hindus, employ Hindus and support Hindus only.
1:43:01 Indian constitution was also written as an exercise on seeking white man validation.
00:00 - Introduction
01:15 - Israel's view on deterrence and past conflicts
02:26 - History of child sacrifice in certain cultures
07:06 - Hamas using hostages as deterrents
09:22 - Intelligence failure in recognizing threat signals
13:51 - Intelligence failures that led to Hamas attack
15:56 - What should Israel do?
19:57 - Civilian casualties and Hamas involvement in conflict
22:02 - Israel's strategy towards Hezbollah and recent strikes
34:02 - Armenia's geopolitical choices and Iran's support
45:57 - Russia's strategy in Ukraine conflict
49:59 - Potential objectives of Xi Jinping
55:28 - Potential scenarios of India-China war
01:14:46 - Russia facing pressure from China
01:18:49 - Increasing reliance on Russian commodities
01:20:53 - America's failure to see unwinnable war in Ukraine
01:25:12 - Pakistan should be psychologically pacified for stability
01:27:09 - Pakistan's lack of leverage on US
01:33:25 - NRI's need for validation leads to overboard loyalty
01:37:32 - Criticism of foreigners claiming to know India better
01:43:41 - End
Abhijit Chavda and Abhijit Iyer Mitra are my two Heroes. They are like Sachin and Sehwag to me. They have conditioned their brain to seek useful information and retain it and it’s all for the greater good of our nation. I would pay to watch them… ❤️❤️🇮🇳🙏🏼🙏🏼
much love.. Jai Hind..
I can't decide which Abhijit I love more. Love you both Abhijits ❤❤
Behnoi bna lo dono ko...😂
@@hk8018 Duniya me kuch bhi ho bakchodi khatam nahi honi chaiye 😂😂
Loved the way Abhijit Chavda sir said Jai shree Ram ❤❤
Thanks a lot to both the Abhijits and other team members for the pragmatic appraisal. We shall give our best
14:23 Snakes will always be snakes. Don't trust them. A lesson for Indians who expect and advocate trade, peace, cricket and cultural exchange with our western neighbours.
Yep. Indians should never allow Pakistan to join BRICS.
End mein AIM ne Angrezon ki dhulai ki hai, kasam se majaa aa gaya 😅!
Lovely discussion
Not all NRI are snowflakes
Post Modi, post Jaishankar post X, post podcasts like abhijeet - a new wave is out here and assertively taking stand for India
Bootlickers will always be around
Plus when we see Indians as CEOs and country leaders as Indians... more and more of complex goes away
I absolutely agree with you!❤🇮🇳
@@gandharvagrover8396 Most of the CEO NRIs are silicon valley librandus only.
I don't care about CEOs man, I see grass roots level discussion among commoners NRIs and there has been a fundamental shift
YESSSSSSSSSSSSS HAD BEEN WAITINGGGGGGGG THANKYOU SO MUCHH to both youuu abhijit's!!
No need for thanks, it’s my duty
Fascinating in-depth conversation of two wonderful gentlemen.
India needs to buy a large newspaper company ASAP so that it can crush anti-Indian narratives in Western society and act as evidence/ record to review/use at a later date.thank you for the video
Abhijit calling Abhijit... When two fierce gentlemen meet, it's quite the spectacle! What a remarkable video!
BEST COMBINATION EVER!!!
discussion on China was🔥🔥🔥🔥
Fantastic podcast 🔥 looking more such podcast 😊
49:00 to 1:18:00
AIM is such a blessing for ears
His Personality makes you a fan of him
Thanks nadi
Listening to Abhijit's eloquent conversation, is a real pleasure
Wow! Looking forward to seeing this podcast!
1:08:01 Tremendous respect for Japanese. Small consolidated homogenous population that speak, write, engage in their own mother tongue and can therefore think beyond the western mind without feeling ashamed of their language or culture.
PS: Hindi or Hindustani is not native language but a language born under mughals, it is heavily persian,arabic and chagatai in nature.
Just watch some videos about how many they killed in WWII and how
@@Nationalist04 Keep on harping with you moral high horse jaina-buddha influenced mind.
@@OrichalcumHammer do you know that the Japanese Army exploited the people of their occupied territories during World War 2 as sex slaves and that Netaji's INA did not protest this even when the Japanese occupied North East India ? Abhijit Iyer Mitra himself mentioned this aspect of Netaji in one of his videos.
The Japanese lexicon today has over 33,000 modern loanwords, mostly from English. Almost half of the older Japanese words have a Chinese origin. English itself is comprised of mostly loanwords, which is the norm among modern languages. If you want cultural purity, then you don't want modernity.
@@MarshallTheArtist English has enormous loanwords too but there is clear basis of diffusion and osmosis.
The component of invasion and slave mentality of north indian toward islam or muslim which is pretty evident from north indian politicians from Nehru to Mani Aiyar who have been conditioned by this disg ustin language that refers to woman as aurat(search for arabic root origin) and man as aadmi(children of adam).
Two great minds talking heads. Just wealth of wisdom
I'd love to be a 🪰 fly on the wall between these 2 in the same interview discussions. The level of intelligence and wisdom is on the next level.
Always love it when the 2 Abhijit's come together
Always great to see two legends in one frame
It's an absolute delight for Intellectual geo politics absorvers to listen to both of you in conversation.
I somehow enjoy the free flowing conversation between the two Abhijits’. Best thing ever. I can hear them discuss geopolitics and defence strategy for at least 4 hours straight.
очень интересно! спасибо. всегда рад этому собеседнику
What language is this
@@sumedhajoshi8380 russia
@@sumedhajoshi8380 russia
A great collab. Loved the conversation.
Love to see Abhijit & Abhijit
I think this may be the best one with both of you guys. Good job and a wide ranging issue.
Amazing duo.Truly precious 😊
Mitraji u are not only speaking to chavdaji but to the wide range of audiences who would like to hear a slightly simplified version with references so that novice listeners like me have a better comprehension of ur vast knowledge sir..
Nevertheless a excellent podcast as always
Watch his other videos, you will understand with time. He does so many podcasts and this one is very sophisticated. You need a lot of understanding, which takes time but you will get there because you are smart.
We should be prepared for all scenarios on our borders and seas. This is a must. Our politicians should work together on such issues. There should be clear law that should bind even the parliament members to work together.
Always nice to see these two gentlemen have such fine conversation❤
Bharat is born to literate and civilise the world .
1:25:25 it is Gen Pershing who led the Mexican raid to nab poncho villa in 1915, not Omar Bradley. Omar Bradley participated in that campaign as a fresh 2nd Lt.
Two handsome gentlemen who can be named Encyclopedia.
Shaashtang Dandvat Pranam.
Mr Iyer ,you look so good in that attire but take care of your fitness.
Mr. Chavda, waiting to see you in Bhartia paridhan.
Podcast was super mind blowing.
Mr. Iyer would be my ideal Dinner Guest. I love him❤.
The dinner will end at breakfast next morning 😂
Clearly you don't understand the protocol of 'Civilised Life'. Cooking food for a Guest is an expression of Love and Appreciation.
It is an understanding of Tastes, Flavours and Cooking Techniques......that involve years of study. But YOU would not understand that.
Mr. Iyer WOULD understand that because he has an APPRECIATIVE SOUL. Fuck off and eat a Burger!
I never miss anything from AC or AIM, Talk about both of them together 🔥🗿🗿
❤ Abhijeet²
Please keep these coming 👌🏻
Excellent discussion! Totally agree with the NRIs, having been there for 8-9 years..
This is the best collaboration ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
Great podcast. Totally absorbing.👌 Thank you so much Abhijitji & AIMji.
A fantastic video. Extremely informational, realistic, and bitterly true. Liberating
Very well informed discussion 👍- thank you.
Nice to have Abhijit X Abhijit in this Podcast. Superb. Keep it up!
Both my favorites Abhijit's! ❤❤
An amazing insightful Podcast again!
Towards the back end, the conversation got boooooom 💥💥💥 🔥🔥🔥
Abhijit mitra has a great command on history and it's corelation with community within cumminity...
Dear Abhijit Mitra Ayyer how much of knowledge you have, TOTAL RESPECT . Same respect also for Chavda.
Abhijeet + Abhijeet = 2 Jeets. 🖤
Very engaging conversation 👍 Super informative & Geo Politics at its best...
Abhijit sir, please invite "Aabhaas Maldahiyar" for a podcast on HISTORY.🙏👌👌👍
Will there be a part 2 to this episode? The harsh reality of China's targets and how India can overcome them was the most interesting part. Maybe the next episode can cover this topic in more detail perhaps?
Finally coming together
1:42:55 this was 👌👌👌 Too good
Love abhijit's anger expressed with deadpan sacrasm.. abhijit is 🔥🔥
The best and most informative geopolitical podcast, specially with a focus on India-China possibilities, that I have ever listened to. Thank you. This was enlightening.
What a discussion! It’s been some time since I have listened to such splendid analysis of affairs.
Loved the Podcast.. keep going.
Abhijit & Abhijit podcasts are like fireworks 🎇
2 hours feel like 30 mins when 2 great men have an intelligent discussion
Great one!
Wide range of issues discussed..appreciate your efforts
Masterclass of recent times...wish to see another remote symposium involving Dr Ankit Shah, Col Ajay Raina, Maj Gen Rajiv Narayanan and Dr Abhijit Iyer Mitra...on the same issue, if possible together...🙏🏻🇮🇳🙏🏻
Excellent ❤❤
Great conversation
This man is a genius. Iyyar Ji you are a GENIUS.
2 Abhijits in one single frame❤
Thanks!
great info from this A and A convo.
Great work and analysis 🙏🏽🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳
🙏💖only love and respect!
awesome discussion!
My kind of fellow Jai Bharat
Much awaited podcast ❤
I'm impressed with these two's very sensible conversations 🙏
I have been wanting for long time to see this podcast
Wonderful session. Thank you both for educating on Geopolitics. Enjoyed every moment.🙏🙏🙏👏👏👏❤️❤️❤️❤️
When I see Abhijit and Abhijith, I press like 😊
Thank you to both the Abhijit. Very interesting and hard hitting.
I enjoyed every minute of the wonderful conversation
Wonderful discussion. Loved every word of it.More of it Mr Chavda.