I guess the case for MHJ is that it’s becoming more commonplace for rookie WR’s to post WR1 numbers. Since 2020 (except 2022), one rookie pulled off WR1 numbers: JJ, Chase, Puka. It does seem slightly random, but MHJ’s talent, projected volume, a healthy Kyler with a bottom 5 defense, he does seem to be in the best rookie situation to achieve WR1 numbers. Not Nabers, not Keon Coleman, not Odunze…maybe Brian Thomas Jr
This guy who made this video needs his ass beat harrison jr is going to get over it 1000 easily if healthy puka did it why cant this kid thats learned from his hall of fame dad and was one of a few top players at the position was puka top wr before getting drafted ? Ohh so he had work to do ? Marv is already passed that and he dont have a cooper kupp sharing the load its all him .. and puka wasnt getting fed the same when kupp came back .. PUKA should be on the dont draft list goofy
Agree with this list, except the Zamir thing. He was drafted late round because he was coming ACL injury. But he most definitely has 1st/2nd round talent. He would've went late 1st early 2nd round if not for the injury.
They had that same argument about LaPorta last year when it was proven wrong. He is a part of the offense and is not just an afterthought.they run plays specifically for him. Also, Detroit is a really good team.
You’re right-LaPorta being a key part of the offense and Detroit being a strong team adds value to him. It’s clear they’re making plays for him, which boosts his potential despite past doubts.
Kelce upside is 1300 yds and double digit TD’s..LaPorta is being drafted ahead of him in some drafts. His ADP is too high. Jared Goff is not Mahomes. The Lions offense is not the Chiefs.
@@WaveChronicles0I took Laporta over Kelce in the 4th after owning Kelce for the first time last year and taking him in the 1st. Kelce is washed and distracted.
Harrison Jr should be in the 25-30 range. He’s going that high because of how rookie WRs go crazy nowadays. He’s being viewed as a JJ, Chase, Nakua, etc; type season.
of course you’re right about Achane but I’ll likely draft him anyway. I won’t win the league (MIA plays at CLE during fantasy playoffs), but I’ll have fun and he’ll win me 2 or 3 weeks.
Solid rationale for all these players. I'm a little less risk averse and Achane is often sliding into late 2nd early 3rd so I could see taking a shot on him depending how your draft goes.
That’s a smart approach-if Achane falls to a value spot in the late 2nd or early 3rd, taking the shot could pay off. His potential upside might be worth the risk, especially if it fits well with the rest of your draft strategy.
Had my draft this past saturday with the 9th pick in a 12 team ppr 1st: AJ Brown 2nd: Harrison Jr. 3rd Achane 4th LaPorta Personally, I'm pretty stocked and thought I got really good value considered where I took them lol
Ain't no other rbs on the raiders. From what I seen so far he's going to be a bellcow in the 6th rd. I'll gamble with that. Plus I expect their d to be much better this year. Which results in more carries. Just something to think about fellow ff nerds
Achane will be unleashed this year, mark my words. Dude is going to go crazy. Mostert, 32, will take more of a backseat with a year under Achane’s belt and understanding the offense.
Mostert with more limited touches should keep him on the field. At 32 and a lot of injuries and Miami in a win now with Tyreek at his age and some nice pieces on defense who might not be their next season, run Achane hard. I was getting Achane in 3rd rounds which is great imo. Him and Breece Hall remind me a lot of each other. I’m taking the chance he stays healthy.
Drafted Achane at the end of the 3rd and I have zero worry about him because my RB depth is the best in my league. Achane will remain in my flex until he gets hurt. JT Achane Josh Jacobs Javonte Gus
Tight end depends on matchups for the season. If it winds up being mostly weak te d most games LaPorta will still kill it. His first year he did amazing so it's hard to top. I don't normally drsft te that high. Every time I try they f me
Drafting tight ends early has burned you before, so I get the hesitation. LaPorta has great potential, but sticking to your usual strategy of waiting on a TE might be the safer play.
Puka is my #1 bust for this year. Done it only once as well like you mentioned with Laporta, but he doesn't have a healthy Cooper Kupp coning back to take targets. Puka is going much too high for my taste.
HAHA... Yea, he only put up 9rec 181 & TD in a playoff game to end the season.... HE IS A COMPLETE BUST AS YOU SAID. You are right! Let one of your idiot leaguemates have him.
Although A Richardson is not a perfect passer, he's one hell of a runner who can get several rushing TDs for you, and if you are in a league where a passing TD is only 4 points....he's a must have on your team imo.
Yet another video that criticizes Achane for being small when, by all accounts, he is the same height and just 5 lbs lighter than Gibbs . Montgomery is in Detroit and Mostert is in Miami, both of which will get legitimate work in offenses that are both immensely valuable to the running back position. But if you're telling me I have to take Gibbs in the late first or early second round and I can get a running back in a nearly identical situation, who has a nearly identical build, but is perhaps the most dynamic and explosive running back in the NFL after Gibbs, I'm going to take it - 10/10 times. Gibbs was banged up last year too and is banged up this year. Everybody seems to ignore this. If we are going to claim Achane is small and is an injury risk and is therefore going to be a bust when his ADP is at least a half-dozen picks behind Gibbs in most drafts and sometimes a full round or more behind him, well then I think we are deceiving ourselves.
Arguably more dynamic and explosive than Gibbs too. And Gibbs had the hamstring injury. I’d just grab mostert or wright too and lock up as many dolphins as possible
Gibbs ADP 12 & Achane ADP 20 or Montgomery ADP 63 & Mostert ADP 76 In a 12 team league, I'd much rather pick a RB like Barkley, Taylor, Williams, Etienne, Henry, Pacheco & Jacobs over a guy who's gonna be splitting carries.
@@FGF-om6nm I can see the possibility of elite upside for everyone you listed except Henry and Taylor. The Ravens O-line is far, far worse than last year and they do not throw to their backs (nor does Henry catch passes anyway). Also, to some degree, he'll be sharing carries with his quarterback so there is that. Taylor is similar but better and worse in different ways. I think he's going to catch more passes than Henry, though not nearly enough for it to be elite. Combine that with the fact that likely Richardson will get a TON of carries inside of the five which will severely hurt Taylor's touchdown upside. Taylor will get a lot of the work between the twenties but he won't catch tons of passes and he won't get as many touchdowns as he could with Richardson vulturing a significant number, likely. Remember, when Taylor was the number one running back overall he basically get twice as many carries with goal to go as the second place running back in the league and that will not happen with Richardson around. Henry on the other hand will get more touchdowns and fewer catches but neither one of them have elite level upside this year. The differences between Taylor and Barkley are that the Eagles have a new offensive coordinator who does throw to the back more than the Eagles have historically and Barkley is a proven pass catching threat. Hurts does vulture touchdowns but not nearly to the level that people seem to be thinking. The tush push from the one is where he gets the bulk of his touchdowns and this will likely still hold true but without Swift falling down at the 1-yard line 20 times he won't have as many of those opportunities and inside of the five they'll likely still hand the ball off to Barkley. Also, keep in mind that Washington, Dallas, and the Giants were all three in the bottom half of run defenses last year and aren't likely to make any significant strides in the positive direction this year and those three teams comprise six games that Barkley will have this year.
I guess the case for MHJ is that it’s becoming more commonplace for rookie WR’s to post WR1 numbers. Since 2020 (except 2022), one rookie pulled off WR1 numbers: JJ, Chase, Puka. It does seem slightly random, but MHJ’s talent, projected volume, a healthy Kyler with a bottom 5 defense, he does seem to be in the best rookie situation to achieve WR1 numbers. Not Nabers, not Keon Coleman, not Odunze…maybe Brian Thomas Jr
This guy who made this video needs his ass beat harrison jr is going to get over it 1000 easily if healthy puka did it why cant this kid thats learned from his hall of fame dad and was one of a few top players at the position was puka top wr before getting drafted ? Ohh so he had work to do ? Marv is already passed that and he dont have a cooper kupp sharing the load its all him .. and puka wasnt getting fed the same when kupp came back .. PUKA should be on the dont draft list goofy
Agree with this list, except the Zamir thing. He was drafted late round because he was coming ACL injury. But he most definitely has 1st/2nd round talent. He would've went late 1st early 2nd round if not for the injury.
In 2020, Kyler supported Hopkins on his way to 115 1407 and 6 TDs. That's pretty darn close to 1300 and 8 TD benchmark you are using here.
Nobody drafted Hopkins in the first round that year either.
@@jack7052402exactly
The first 3 proved (so far) to be spot-on. Wish I'd seen this and dodged AR5, but I fell right into the trap.
GREAT analysis! love it!
Glad you enjoyed it
They had that same argument about LaPorta last year when it was proven wrong. He is a part of the offense and is not just an afterthought.they run plays specifically for him. Also, Detroit is a really good team.
You’re right-LaPorta being a key part of the offense and Detroit being a strong team adds value to him. It’s clear they’re making plays for him, which boosts his potential despite past doubts.
Kelce upside is 1300 yds and double digit TD’s..LaPorta is being drafted ahead of him in some drafts. His ADP is too high. Jared Goff is not Mahomes. The Lions offense is not the Chiefs.
@@WaveChronicles0Kelce doesn’t have that upside anymore.
@@WaveChronicles0I took Laporta over Kelce in the 4th after owning Kelce for the first time last year and taking him in the 1st. Kelce is washed and distracted.
Hey! I actually caught a YT video today. Can't wait to get off and catch the next podcast.
Got richardson at mid 6th... didn't hate the value. Scooped Tua off waivers just to be safe...
MHJ had the most egregious ADP I’ve ever seen in my 20 years of playing fantasy. Never seen anything like it. Maybe he has a good year but WOW
Rookie fever. He had 1 catch week one 😂
Harris welcome back!!!
Hey!
I've done one draft so far and it surprised me how early MHJ went. I agree with this list
Harrison Jr should be in the 25-30 range. He’s going that high because of how rookie WRs go crazy nowadays. He’s being viewed as a JJ, Chase, Nakua, etc; type season.
Love your content Chris.
of course you’re right about Achane but I’ll likely draft him anyway. I won’t win the league (MIA plays at CLE during fantasy playoffs), but I’ll have fun and he’ll win me 2 or 3 weeks.
Would you trade Achane for Josh Jacob’s?
Solid rationale for all these players. I'm a little less risk averse and Achane is often sliding into late 2nd early 3rd so I could see taking a shot on him depending how your draft goes.
That’s a smart approach-if Achane falls to a value spot in the late 2nd or early 3rd, taking the shot could pay off. His potential upside might be worth the risk, especially if it fits well with the rest of your draft strategy.
Had my draft this past saturday with the 9th pick in a 12 team ppr
1st: AJ Brown
2nd: Harrison Jr.
3rd Achane
4th LaPorta
Personally, I'm pretty stocked and thought I got really good value considered where I took them lol
Let’s go Chris!
Ain't no other rbs on the raiders. From what I seen so far he's going to be a bellcow in the 6th rd. I'll gamble with that. Plus I expect their d to be much better this year. Which results in more carries. Just something to think about fellow ff nerds
Achane will be unleashed this year, mark my words. Dude is going to go crazy. Mostert, 32, will take more of a backseat with a year under Achane’s belt and understanding the offense.
Mostert with more limited touches should keep him on the field. At 32 and a lot of injuries and Miami in a win now with Tyreek at his age and some nice pieces on defense who might not be their next season, run Achane hard. I was getting Achane in 3rd rounds which is great imo. Him and Breece Hall remind me a lot of each other. I’m taking the chance he stays healthy.
interesting take on a few of these players. Did you just start playing FF lol?
Got Harrison Jr in the 4th round and Achane in the 5th round...so I don't think these guys are going as high as you think
RIP Alex Collin’s. He pulled a Ced Benson.
Drafted Achane at the end of the 3rd and I have zero worry about him because my RB depth is the best in my league. Achane will remain in my flex until he gets hurt.
JT
Achane
Josh Jacobs
Javonte
Gus
I got Marv in the middle of the 3rd 10 men league.
Ma and pa league
Would you have drafted Jefferson in the 1st round in his rookie year when he caught 7 TDs for 1400 yards ? Yes, I would
Check out Zamir White’s last 3 games last yr. He is far from underwhelming. This is just a lazy take
He’s a mid RB who’s also in a timeshare. Easy fade
3 game sample size proves nothing 😂
Thats tough man, Zamir is awful hahahaha
Tight end depends on matchups for the season. If it winds up being mostly weak te d most games LaPorta will still kill it. His first year he did amazing so it's hard to top. I don't normally drsft te that high. Every time I try they f me
Drafting tight ends early has burned you before, so I get the hesitation. LaPorta has great potential, but sticking to your usual strategy of waiting on a TE might be the safer play.
@HarrisFootball I waited and took bowers and Schultz. In my draft LaPorta went near the end of the 2nd rd
@@grouchygrundle 12 man?
@tonycamaj4560 yes. 12 man league
Good stuff! Hope that you are wrong about Z. White(6/02) SBFFC. I nominate Saquan Barkley.
Drake London in 2nd round unacceptable to me
I got richardson and daniels so i feel better
You’ve triggered all the achane owners of the world.
I got zamir in 8th not 6th. 10 team ppr
Nice
I could only click the Like button, no smashing available sorry.
Puka is my #1 bust for this year. Done it only once as well like you mentioned with Laporta, but he doesn't have a healthy Cooper Kupp coning back to take targets. Puka is going much too high for my taste.
HAHA... Yea, he only put up 9rec 181 & TD in a playoff game to end the season.... HE IS A COMPLETE BUST AS YOU SAID. You are right! Let one of your idiot leaguemates have him.
What does bust mean for you? I feel like he's pretty much a lock for 1000 yards + 6 TDs
All Nonsense. In 1998, I drafted a rookie with my 2nd pick. Everybody went silent. Who!? In chorus. Randy Moss! I Shouted.
If you're gonna be small ya gotta be tough. Or 🤪
1:33 Would you show us your rosters? 🤷🏾♂️
🤦🤡
Although A Richardson is not a perfect passer, he's one hell of a runner who can get several rushing TDs for you, and if you are in a league where a passing TD is only 4 points....he's a must have on your team imo.
FIRST FIRST FIRST FIRST
🐾
Yet another video that criticizes Achane for being small when, by all accounts, he is the same height and just 5 lbs lighter than Gibbs . Montgomery is in Detroit and Mostert is in Miami, both of which will get legitimate work in offenses that are both immensely valuable to the running back position. But if you're telling me I have to take Gibbs in the late first or early second round and I can get a running back in a nearly identical situation, who has a nearly identical build, but is perhaps the most dynamic and explosive running back in the NFL after Gibbs, I'm going to take it - 10/10 times. Gibbs was banged up last year too and is banged up this year. Everybody seems to ignore this. If we are going to claim Achane is small and is an injury risk and is therefore going to be a bust when his ADP is at least a half-dozen picks behind Gibbs in most drafts and sometimes a full round or more behind him, well then I think we are deceiving ourselves.
He’s lower than adp on Gibbs too, so not sure who you’re arguing with
💯 agree! They are gonna be eating crow when achane becomes a league winner!
Arguably more dynamic and explosive than Gibbs too. And Gibbs had the hamstring injury. I’d just grab mostert or wright too and lock up as many dolphins as possible
Gibbs ADP 12 & Achane ADP 20 or Montgomery ADP 63 & Mostert ADP 76
In a 12 team league, I'd much rather pick a RB like Barkley, Taylor, Williams, Etienne, Henry, Pacheco & Jacobs over a guy who's gonna be splitting carries.
@@FGF-om6nm I can see the possibility of elite upside for everyone you listed except Henry and Taylor. The Ravens O-line is far, far worse than last year and they do not throw to their backs (nor does Henry catch passes anyway). Also, to some degree, he'll be sharing carries with his quarterback so there is that. Taylor is similar but better and worse in different ways. I think he's going to catch more passes than Henry, though not nearly enough for it to be elite. Combine that with the fact that likely Richardson will get a TON of carries inside of the five which will severely hurt Taylor's touchdown upside. Taylor will get a lot of the work between the twenties but he won't catch tons of passes and he won't get as many touchdowns as he could with Richardson vulturing a significant number, likely. Remember, when Taylor was the number one running back overall he basically get twice as many carries with goal to go as the second place running back in the league and that will not happen with Richardson around. Henry on the other hand will get more touchdowns and fewer catches but neither one of them have elite level upside this year. The differences between Taylor and Barkley are that the Eagles have a new offensive coordinator who does throw to the back more than the Eagles have historically and Barkley is a proven pass catching threat. Hurts does vulture touchdowns but not nearly to the level that people seem to be thinking. The tush push from the one is where he gets the bulk of his touchdowns and this will likely still hold true but without Swift falling down at the 1-yard line 20 times he won't have as many of those opportunities and inside of the five they'll likely still hand the ball off to Barkley. Also, keep in mind that Washington, Dallas, and the Giants were all three in the bottom half of run defenses last year and aren't likely to make any significant strides in the positive direction this year and those three teams comprise six games that Barkley will have this year.