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I’ve read most of his books and the ‘Foundation Trilogy’ defined my life’s work, but I had never heard him speak. He is a formidable lecturer, fluent and forceful. Thank you for the upload.
Mark Ahrens : Read the Foundation Trilogy (Foundation, Foundation and Empire, Second Foundation), then the Robot novels, then the rest of the Foundation series. After that tge choice is yours.
@@paulziolo9241 100% agree! Apple+ is in post production on the Foundation series, I HIGHLY recommend reading the trilogy BEFORE 2021 when it drops. I predict that it's going to fall well short of the classic genius behind the series. Oh well, I have hope... just a fair lack of confidence.
His science fiction brought me to his work in chemistry and physics. He had a way of using common words to bring understanding to the most complex of principles.
He has the right to predict the future: he wrote our science and physics books. He wrote the science fiction our scientists attempt to reproduce. He shaped our century like Harry seldon.
A beautiful human being and shining example of what we should strive to be. One of the best minds I've read or heard. I hope we can take to heart and put into practice the concepts he has so competently presented.
In 1980 I took a cruise from New York City to Bermuda for the purpose of astronomical viewing from a dark sky and Issac Asimov accompanied us, and of course, gave a short talk before the viewing commenced. The first item viewed was Saturn and a line formed. Asimov's wife was kind of pushy and, instead of getting in line, went right to the front....of me. I'll never forget when she looked in the eyepiece at Saturn, and exclaimed with obvious surprise, "Why, it's got a ring around it!"
you mean Gertrude Blugerman? Or his rebound girl, Janet Jeppson, who later assumed Asimov's last name. They were married on November 30, 1973. Only two weeks after Asimov's divorce from Gertrude!
It is great to see he was humble enough to not put on blinders in bringing up possible solutions. He doesn’t claim any solution is without problems and he doesn’t dismiss those problems as being without merit.
You’re right on target! There’s always the risk that the solution is worse than the problem. Look at the Aswan High Dam. (It’s ruining the Nile and the Mediterranean)
There is a lot of respect due to Isaac Asimov´s amazing books, and here we see him 1) prescribe feminism as a population control method 2) severely over-estimate nuclear fusion´s near-term potential as an energy source 3) Quickly offer solar radiation management to cope with global heating without providing any detail 4) Offer clever guidance on modern warfare 5) Place the moon as opposed to China as the Japan of the 21st century claiming this will motivate a world government 6) Indirectly but not necessarily unwittingly solve the Fermi Paradox.
why? His courage isn't part of the equation. Like Dennis Bergkamp, but brilliance in certain facets doesn't give any guarantees on other topics. And Bergkamp even had the conformation regarding safety per travelled kilometer.
He is still one of my favorite authors and was one of my favorite people.. The world is a sadder place now that he is gone.. Sorry to see you go Isaac..
I'm up on top of a mountain on a beautiful day listening to this rt now. The slight echo makes it like the voice of God booming from the sky. I find this experience acceptable.. its almost like he's an alien disguised as a human , giving us the solutions to our problems, and waiting for us to grow up so we join the intergalactic party...but we're too into money, racism, and narcissism.
Yes. Strangely enough one person who brought me to Sf is a bengali writer called Adrish Bardhan. He translated Asimov Clarke writings in Bengali for us. He has passed away. Thank you
@Tony Moca The best translations usually are by good writers. Sadly, Stanislaw Lem was mostly translated into English by a terrible writer. His best books are ruined, but a few have been translated by others and they are very well done.
Its dated but what a great man. 2020 we are taxing solar and subsidizing coal. What nobody talks about is the earthquakes and that come with sea level rise. Those will shut all of us down.
Coal is dying out due to competition from natural gas. Governments always seem to subsidize shrinking industries. The Fouding Fathers would have laughed at you if you claimed that in the future farming would be reduced to 3% of the population and "need" subsidies.
Sure, he was, but he only had a more highly developed sense and skill of something that we all have: imagination 🤔 also that was his job. He had the freedom and mental space to be able to do it. That’s what we need ...
he was wrong on any point concerning human involvement. his refdrence to energy are proof . he should Have stuck to s.f. prophecy was not a strong point of his.
Very rarely in the whole existence of biological evolution a self-conscious entity forms that is capable to formulate it's own complex reason and collective responsibility in such attractive manner like this dude.
Thanks for sharing this. It was quite interesting to hear his thoughts on the future, 42 years after he spoke in that lecture hall. He was truly a man ahead of his time in so many ways. Yet he was also somewhat a man of his time, as evidenced by his expectations that we would have run out of oil by 2008. He did however estimate almost exactly how many humans would be alive in 2018, by doing math in his head as he spoke which is arguably quite amazing. I hope one day that Humanity may yet bring into fruition ideas like harnessing solar power and mining the Moon to meet our energy needs.
This is my first time ever hearing him speak, and damn he's brilliant. I've never read any of his books before, but I just bought Foundation, and I think I'll like it
There should be a maximum number of children each family can have. This, of course, would be difficult to enforce without invasive measures or a worldwide change in attitude toward having children. The main problem mankind (womankind?) faces is not contamination of the earth but the population of the earth outstripping the resources needed by people. This is a far more pertinent concern than just a problem with equitable distribution of the earth's resources. Yes, one or two children per family is plenty (and choosing not to have children should never be stigmatized, but respected).
@@dougfielding8215 still, people somehow fail to realize (including you?) that it's not the western world that's facing overpopulation. We are not having enough children to sustain the population, overpopulation should be the least of our concerns. The Chinese actually did a good job of enforcing one child per family for a while but had to relax the rules after a while.
@@bojankotur4613 I was thinking globally. If the western world makes fewer babies the influx of immigrants, (hopefully skilled) will easily pick up that slack. The overuse of global resources to satisfy overpopulation is a global problem, not just Eastern.
He was right on many things but one area of prediction he failed on miserably was oil. He predicted we would run out by 2000 and could at best extend that to 2010 if consumption didn't increase, which it has, now 2020 we have an oil glut and it is clear we will run out of atmosphere before we ever run out of fossil fuels.
I believe you are not looking at the whole picture. The current oil glut is caused by the drop in demand , obviously. The only thing that has prevented the collapse in the growth of oil consumption is the added fuel from the result of tar sands, shale, and fracking, none of which is really profitable, most is not. They require more calories to produce usable fuel, then the return on usable calories. He just didn't know these technologies were coming decades after this speech was made.
I wonder if you realize how many books he's written. I was looking on archive [dot] org for a particularly book of his that I one held. I didn't find that book (Asimov's Encyclopedia of Science, I think), but I found that he wrote tons of books, math, etc, etc!
it was pretty much spot on, demand outstripped supply for the first time in 2005 leading to global recession and reduction in oil use. He did get cause and effect the wrong way round with women's education and fertility, but most people still do.
He didn't understand that we never run out of oil, it just gets too expensive for us to maintain enough growth to keep ahead of our debt. Most people still don't understand that, which is why they don't understand we have been living on borrowed time for several decades already. Ultimately the end comes when the financial system goes down under the impossible weight of debt in a deflationary depression. This will come out of the blue and leave indebted countries back in the 1930s.
arkdark555 Probably Charles Hamilton although you know it’s hard to know for sure because there are millions of people writing all the time who don’t get published. So all we can say for sure are the published writers. Read the article. It’s interesting.
He was a very clever man and I greatly enjoy his monologues. Why do we keep electing venal idiots when we have a cadre of moral clever people available?
Most politicians are lawyers, it's why they have trouble with dealing with China, since most of the modern Chinese leaders have been engineers who can think in mathematical terms.
I think that Isaac Asimov was a very visionary and insightful writer, who made some amazing predictions about the future. He was able to foresee some of the technological and social changes that would happen in the 21st century, such as video calls, satellite phones, robots, and miniaturized computers. He also anticipated some of the challenges and dangers that humanity would face, such as nuclear war, environmental degradation, and overpopulation. However, he also made some predictions that were not so accurate or realistic, such as underwater housing, levitating cars, and solar-space farms. He also underestimated the complexity and difficulty of some scientific and engineering problems, such as artificial intelligence, nuclear fusion, and space colonization. He also overestimated the progress and impact of some fields, such as education, psychiatry, and sociology. Overall, I think that Asimov’s predictions were remarkable for their time, but they also reflect his own biases and assumptions. He was more optimistic about the potential of science and technology than the actual state of affairs. He was also more influenced by his own cultural and historical context than the diversity and dynamism of the world.
I am 66 years old and when I was growing up I read a lot of books by Isaac Asimov. He was my favorite author. Everything he said in this speech was true, at the time. Of course he could not have foreseen the way that trends have changed in society. Today, even in many first world countries, population rates are declining rapidly. Many parts of the world are below zero population growth. Dr. Asimov also didn't understand the technology trends that greatly increased food and energy production. Don't get me wrong, we still have lots of threats to overcome, but they aren't the threats we used to think of. Dr. Asimov mentioned nuclear fusion and solar power but he should have realized that nuclear fission works pretty well; it is carbon neutral, and the waste it creates is far less dangerous that many people believe. We have Hollywood and irresponsible journalists to blame for making us think that it is terribly dangerous. Dr. Asimov's talk about solar power from space and putting industrial processes in space are on line, but they will take a while. We are lucky to have sufficient resources to provide power in the interim, with oil, natural gas, and fission until we get there. For all of you who believe the problems at Three Mile Island and Japan prove that fission is too dangerous, consider this: no one was killed due to radiation exposure in either one of those incidents. All of the deaths in Japan were a direct result of the tsunami. Yes, serious mistakes were made and they should never happen again. At Chernobyl, the reactor design would never have been approved in the free world. These things can be corrected and the fear of nuclear power is mostly media driven. I still have great respect for Dr. Asimov.
I agree with you about fission as an interim solution. There is a finite amount of U, Pu, and Th in the ground (until the next deep space asteroid crashes), so we will eventually have to replace it as we will have to replace oil as our current cheap supply. Solar should be the ultimate goal: it should last for a few billion more years according to calculations. Now, calculations can be wrong, and we will certainly learn a lot more about the universe in the future. We’re not done learning, folks, and there’s a lot more to be done!
As much as I admire Isaac's visionary skills, wit and powerful intellect, his theory that we need a one world government is wrong. Putting too much power into the hands of the few is historically proven to always end in self-collapse and destruction.
Depends on who you put and how much power you give. Resources should go to global infrastructure, education, healthcare, research, not for the new F-35 or S-500 systems to enrich the military industries. Global government is a natural evolution and a necessity of going into space. Check the Expanse.
@@MICHAELIAKOVIDIS Global governance is more of a devolution actually. (I'm not going to go into detail on this in a UA-cam comment) You also don't need it to empower meaningful resources - that can be achieved on a national level. Also, space projects are already collaborative between countries. Just think in terms of innovation for example - if you have multiple teams finding a solution, from different backgrounds, different budgets, different conditioning, culture, perspectives (the list goes on) then you will always have a better outcome then if you had multiple teams that were all managed by one global team. That's obviously an extremely basic example but hopefully you get my point.
Exactly look what’s happening now. The fabians were talking about this in Australia in 1961 the New World Order. Ring any bells anyone they’re talking about Agenda 21.
The True Life of the Scientific Future is directly proportional to the moral integrity of the ethical scientists who sincerely seek to know the Truth rather than to be known by their public & peers!
120 years ago infant mortality rates were very high. The average lifespan was 30 odd years maybe but if you made it through childhood and avoided accidents and diseases you could easily live to be an old man. The median and the mode averages would be much higher than 30. And scientists have just announced that the world is facing a depopulation catastrophe by the end of the century. So he was way off.
But is it? Considdering what happened in our recent past with the virus and all... I would say that predicting the future is per defination unreliable , but this guy's predicton was pretty darn good!!
ytgomer So what? He was out by a few years because man found more oil and more efficient (and damaging) ways of retrieving it. It’s still a limited resource and alternatives are the future.
chump .. why the sneer in your reply? I'm likely as much as or more of a fan of Asimov as you... nobody sees it all ... was I think my point. Scoffing fanboys in search of perfection baffle me. If I was to be more general in my criticism of Asimov .. it would be that he seems to have gotten used to fanboys idolizing him... not a flattering aspect of his character.
Very interesting. I am 69 YOA. I have known of Issac Asimov for most of my life. I had been mostly aware of him as the man who said in 1980 that the 21st century will probably be the end of the human species for reasons he only touches on during this 1978 lecture. But the thing I have learned here is that Asimov was more than a little naive. He was an idealist, at least at this point. He did not realize the consistency of the capacity for human corruption which always affects those who gain power "absolute power corrupts absolutely." It's 1978 and he doesn't realize that Feminism had already announced its intention to enslave men, or perhaps even eventually eliminate them. He seems to only understand the Betty Freidan version of feminism. By 1980, Freidan was decrying the horrors of the brand of feminism that had emerged in the 60s by her influence. By the 1980s, NOW had become a racial revenge organization pushing genocide by declaring that "no conscientious white woman should ever bear the child of a white man. Increasing numbers of white women have taken that route, often not even realizing that they have been manipulated into their interracial relationship. When Globalization was tried, China rushed in and cheated its tail off, so that today, it is a threat to world peace as a brutal regime that will stop at nothing for achieving the goal of global domination while the tree world pretends that it is doing something about Global Warning in allowing China to pollute as much as it wishes while restricting Europe and North America. Asimov's future he hopes he presents here are never going to happen. If he were alive today, he would know that as with his prediction of interplanetary aliens on Mt. Everest, if he could have waited a little while, he'd know that universal harmony and cooperation were as realistic as pigs with wings. Maybe he had by 1980, and that is why he made his far less optimistic comments to the Futurist Society then.
You're right. I grew up on Asimov when i was 13, loved the books. This is literally the first time i ve heard him speak. And now i recognise he was advocating feminism. As quite literally a way to curb population. I wonder if they realise that? Even if they do... he couldn't possibly have known all the downsides, why would he? it makes me wonder, quite seriously. All good intentions paved with gold. Feminism, while i wasn't conscious at the time, must have been quite twisted, and these people gave birth to more twisted, and those people gave birth to more twisted and the internet. We are so fucked.
An interesting read because some of his discussions of feminism seem to skew a little old fashioned - often referring to women like they need to be *convinced* to liberate themselves, maybe this was an actual point of the feminist movement of the era - but also for his discussion of the state of war which was clearly wrong, and mostly justified by us running out of petroleum in thirty years ('And don't tell me we're going to find more petroleum - we might find ten years more at the most') I know for a fact petroleum is alive and well, how did that happen too? Of course, love his books and his lucid style of speaking here. Anything I've left unsaid about this lecture is positive.
Reminds me of myself rambling. Wish i could have met the man. The energy issue could have used more thought. Solar for daytime and have a hydro generater next to the solar on a river or something of the sort. I like people like this, it strokes my ego.
Concerning Asimov's talk about war, this piece is incredibly prophetic. It is exactly what is going on today reinforced by a theatrical cable media. “CUT YOUR TV CABLE!”
@Vegetable Television: Lol?! Television/Cable TV has been `demonized` as basically one thing with, really, two different versions. 1. A `mInD cOnTrOl` device. Used by multi-national corporations to tell us what we want to buy, who to vote for, etc. 2. A `mInD cOnTrOl` device. Used by Satan to tell us what we want to buy, who to vote for, etc. It's a `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY` and it's completely FAKE. Television is a tool. It's a way to access &, through which, to acquire information. And like any tool it can be misused. If, and...yes...I am stressing "IF", the tool is misused do you blame the tool?! Because, well, obviously, it's the tools' fault, right?¿ Seriously! You're not right in the head if you believe this crap!
SpookeyR I won’t go as far as conspiracy but the video screen is so powerful that it almost has become primarily used for mind control, propaganda, mis-/dis-information. Turning off the screen is not a bad idea. I hate ads and someone is always trying to sell me something I don’t need or want. Turn off the tube and read. Reading stimulates the brain and leads to THINKING ... hmm what an idea.
@Ken Surrency: That IS a `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY`!! You are a bottom-feeding crybaby if you are not doing anything more than trolling for your `shits & giggles`! It does not look good for you.
The True Life of the Scientific Future is directly proportional to the moral integrity of the scientists who sincerely seek to know the Truth rather than to be known by their peers. Once all of the scientists are not self-concerned we'll have much better science, once and for all!
Uh, what species do you belong to? Humans have all sorts of motives. Even Scientists. Moral perfection among Scientists or any other groups of humans ain't never going to happen.
I read most of his books, I read “under the fires of the sun” in French I don’t know the original title, but it was about social distancing ....
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...'they' have lied to us about that also. ...people lived a lot longer in the distant past. ...it was an emperor of china who got his 'medicine man' to investigate why people of the past lived longer,(into the hundreds of years) than people of the time, and even back then people were living into their 70s. ...that's were herbal medicine began the last time around. ...the Earth has been populated by DOZENS of advanced civilizations.
@ lol Extraordinary Claims require Extraordinary Evidence. Have any? Nope
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@@Foolish188...what extraordinary claims, it's all there for anyone with 2 brain cells and not too lazy to do their own due diligence (that means research) ...the Sumerian texts, the Vedic texts, the Huangdi neijing (The Yellow Emperor’s Inner Classic), Huang Ti during his reign over China, which started about 2697 b.c, the bible. " Biblical Overview of Longevity The Biblical record reveals that all of the pre-flood patriarchs lived almost 1,000 years. Enoch was a notable exception he died prematurely (Genesis 5:23-24). Figure 2 lists the longevity of Mendez 4Longevity of the Patriarchs" (next paragraph is a graph which jutube will not allow me to paste, see the link for the graph and entire article) ('The Scientific Evidence for Biblical' amendez.com/NAES/Noahs_Ark_Articles_files/NAS%20The%20Scientific%20Evidence%20for%20Biblical%20Longevity.pdf) Longevity01002003004005006007008009001000Adam Seth Enos Kenan Mahaleel Jared Mehtus Lamech Noah Shem Arphax. Salah Eber Peleg Reu Serug Nahor Terah Abrah. Isaac Jacob Job Levi Kohath Amaram Moses Joshua EliGenerationsLife SpanThe FloodFigure 2. A graph of the life span of the patriarchs. Compare the life spans beforethe flood with those after the flood. The life span average before the flood was 912years, after the flood 222 years.various Biblical characters as mentioned in Genesis 5 and 11. This indicates that the lifespans were quite long before the flood and tapered off quickly after the flood. There seems to be no difference in the first generation, Adam, with the last pre-flood generation of Noah. In fact Noah actually lived longer than Adam. This seems to indicate that the factors that were responsible for the extended lifespans were still functioning at the beginning as well as the end of the pre-diluvial regime. Many ancient historians state that the pre-flood inhabitants had long life spans. Even though this is the case, many believe that they were simply exaggerations or historical inaccuracies (6). Exponential Decay Curve Evidence It can be shown very simply that the long ages were not myths. This can be done by an understanding of the exponential (natural) decay rate. In nature all things decay at a certain rate. For example if a container of living organisms is exposed to a radioactive substance they will die off in what is called a natural decay rate or curve. If their life spans are plotted on a graph this type of curve is shown in fig 3. This is the same type of curve that is produced by the death rate of organisms exposed to lethal doses of gas or other toxins. Mendez 5Longevity after the Floody = 487.78e-0.0907xR2 = 0.88901002003004005006007008009001000Shem Arphax Salah Eber Peleg Reu SerugNahor Terah Abra. Isaac Jacob Job Levi Kohath Amara Moses Joshua Eli DavidGenerationsLife SpanFigure 3. Graph showing the declining life span after the flood.It took 20 generations for a new equilibrium of 70 to bereached. Peleg's brother was Joktan, which means: "he shall bemade little or small," notice the life span decline with Peleg! If the points of the population in question are graphed this will show how close the actual decay rate or curve fits the exponential decay curve. This will yield an equation and a value that is called the coefficient of determination. This is a mathematical ratio that reveals how close your graph fits the exponential decay curve. This coefficient of determination will have a value of 0-1. If the coefficient is 1 this is considered a perfect match. The patriarchs before the flood had extremely long life spans. After the flood the life spans decayed until a norm of 70 years was reached. These life spans can be plotted and the decay curve calculated to see how close the actual decay curve is when compared to the mathematically perfect exponential decay curve, which has a coefficient of determination of 1. When this is done it shows that the ages given for the death of the patriarchs after the flood were not fabricated, myths, or exaggerations. Note in fig. 3 that the coefficient of determination (R2) is almost 0.89. This means that the decay rate of the patriarch's death after the flood was only 11% from being a perfect match. In other words the decay rate for the declining life span for the patriarch after the flood is very close to being a match to the exponential (natural) decay curve. Implications of the Exponential Decay Curve • The information source (divine revelation) for the ages of the patriarchs provided ages that closely matches a natural exponential equation. • It is highly unlikely that people living at this time knew the mathematics of the exponential decay curve. • It is very unlikely that the ages were fabricated since they closely match the exponential decay curve, which occurs naturally. • The ages of death show that the post genesis flood world was being affected by some natural factors that were causing the declining life spans. All of these factor indicate that the ages given were genuine and not fabrications." ....CHECK MATE
@ Checkmate, lol. Obvious questions. If they lived to be a 1000 years old, why did they have so few children? Each generation should have expanded by an exponential amount. Somehow we have never found evidence of the billions who would have been born. Did they sacrifice the babies to Baal? In a 1000 years how often would you break your bones? Somehow no individual body has ever been found with dozens of different healed broken legs. Did their teeth somehow resist wearing down, or did they gum their food for 900 years? Where are all the remains of the 1000 year old animals? Or was it only humans? Why doesn't the Archeological record show nothing? Could it be that the writers of Genesis wanted to show that we were descended from perfection and now we are degenerate? Sorry, but you will need EVIDENCE to back up your claim.
i dont understand why ppl were laughing.. one of the most brilliant writer and man of our modern era talking deep truths. only about atomic eergy he had not enough infos to understand it..but it was right about oil..alternative sources
He was obviously looking for laughs - nice that he did not take himself too s eriously. They laughed because he is hilarious when telling these home truths. Not up his own backside!!
tnx..i understood he was i😁😅ronical listening more. i am italian and probably american irony from more than 60 years ago has been difficult to detect for me. topics were more actual now then then
I have'nt seen this interview yet. See the one taped ten years later. I wish I had a photographic memory so that I did'nt have to read The Foundation Trilogy again.
A prophet is not necessarily someone who sees the future by some "magic way", ..A real prophet is an individual who sees and understands the PRESENT more logically than most of us,, Asimov was one of them, hats off to his brilliant mind
It is true that women’s rights and situation has everything to do with population growth. It’s also that the men just take sex whenever they want it if women have no rights. And the woman has no ability to choose birth control. So access to birth control is another factor. But the problems of overpopulation are largely the result of not having access to resources to be able to avoid the problems overpopulation in an area causes. And the problem of overpopulation is also directly related to the amount of resources one consumes. This is the true threat of human population and most of that problem is caused by those in the richest countries...that are never the ones considered to be overpopulated.
Don't worry chaps. Nature is a serial killer and she'll find a way. She's done it in the past and will do it again! Remember the dinosaurs and large mammals?! Two of which come instantly to mind.
@@bonumdalek7107 Nature is a liver of life, more than it is a serial killer. Otherwise it would be dead already. If you can only muster up a couple of instances, then you'd better hurry on. More than 99% of all known life is already extinct. Man is the only lifeform _capable_ of surviving his own extinction, having started this process already.
@@tonyduncan9852 Hi Tony, thank you for refreshing my memory of Prometheus! The struggle of life and recycling of life. The obstacles nature puts forward is a means of overcoming extinction allowing future generations to progress. We are physically weak, but with our large grey matter that has allowed us to overcome many perils. By inventing machines and medicines to overcome our rivals on this planet we have been successful so far. My point was that nature has a way of putting a spanner in the works. Humans are tribal hunters by nature and you can still see this in our flags. Weak physically and often weak minded. We've overcome other creatures large and small for the fight for food (survival), but our natural instincts for fighting for life my actually be our weakness at this point not our strength. All has to change to remain the same. Hence your remark on liver regeneration. As for your remark to undo my life was very weak.
As for women's lib I'm all in favour for it. It can only bring about positive change and stop mens bigotry, which so many societies and institutions have...
Dr.Asimov gives it to you straight. Great stuff AGATAN; a superb choice for more anti-theistic content! Indeed, if money were no object to me, I'd be broadcasting his voice in Nyork with Howard Stern as the, err...MC. Watch for the first politician who actually suggests that she'd like to see the number of voters, the number of her constituents, actually drop. I'll be keeping an eye out, but I certainly will not be holding my breath. This speech/lecture is absolutely beautiful. I'm not a fan of using religious language...ever... unless the objective is to laugh at it, or expose the severe dishonesty which inevitably lurks at the core of all religions, but Dr.A. was in full-on prophet mode here, just as the JPL is the closest thing one can truly get towards hallowed ground. Drs.Sagan + Asimov (which ought to be spelled with a "Z", I do believe...) RIP. 😈😈👍👍❤️❤️😢😢✨🌎💥😯🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠Grr. We warned you.
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Isaac Asimov was more than an incredible author . My life was greatly influenced from his writings.
Dave a retired small particle physicist.
Jim a retired CPU design engineer. ditto
do you live at arkham asylum, tell me I will drop you some candies once in a while
@ church took over the asylum you should know
First science book I ever read as a kid was ‘Atom’. I had so many ‘wow!’ Moments from that book. Asimov was brilliant!
He was, for me, essentially a 3rd parent.
I’ve read most of his books and the ‘Foundation Trilogy’ defined my life’s work, but I had never heard him speak. He is a formidable lecturer, fluent and forceful. Thank you for the upload.
foundation is very slow boring book
Does it hold up?
What should I read first of his?
Mark Ahrens : Read the Foundation Trilogy (Foundation, Foundation and Empire, Second Foundation), then the Robot novels, then the rest of the Foundation series. After that tge choice is yours.
@@paulziolo9241 100% agree! Apple+ is in post production on the Foundation series, I HIGHLY recommend reading the trilogy BEFORE 2021 when it drops. I predict that it's going to fall well short of the classic genius behind the series. Oh well, I have hope... just a fair lack of confidence.
His science fiction brought me to his work in chemistry and physics. He had a way of using common words to bring understanding to the most complex of principles.
He has the right to predict the future: he wrote our science and physics books. He wrote the science fiction our scientists attempt to reproduce. He shaped our century like Harry seldon.
Since my teens, when I started reading his novels, I've always felt like Prof. Asimov was a good-humoured personal friend.
Hi s
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Eloquence, Brilliance and Cogency, all together. So very rare. Thank you for uploading.
cogency? Like coherence?
But yeah, I'm attracted to his personality as well, although he doesn't arouse me.
This truly is a valuable broadcast.
A beautiful human being and shining example of what we should strive to be. One of the best minds I've read or heard. I hope we can take to heart and put into practice the concepts he has so competently presented.
Just stumbled upon. This is the first time I've heard Asimov speak. Amazing orator.
amazingly shitty boring and a liar can't forget condescending and Im guessing a plagiarist after reading his work and hearing this garbage ...
@@mixerguru Dunning and Krueger told me about you. Most stark example that I've seen in a while.
I owe my worldview to Isaac Asimov. A person in a million! Thanks Dr. Asimov!
Robert Betz expand your thinking
@@markstatham6158 😐
In 1980 I took a cruise from New York City to Bermuda for the purpose of astronomical viewing from a dark sky and Issac Asimov accompanied us, and of course, gave a short talk before the viewing commenced. The first item viewed was Saturn and a line formed. Asimov's wife was kind of pushy and, instead of getting in line, went right to the front....of me. I'll never forget when she looked in the eyepiece at Saturn, and exclaimed with obvious surprise, "Why, it's got a ring around it!"
you mean Gertrude Blugerman?
Or his rebound girl, Janet Jeppson, who later assumed Asimov's last name. They were married on November 30, 1973. Only two weeks after Asimov's divorce from Gertrude!
So utterly likable open and honest, funny too. And truthful. Love it.
One of my favorite writers... this is my first time to hear him speak. I enjoyed this, thanks for the upload.
he understood irony, and, had a sense of humour
We all did!
that's, not, how you use, commas.
@@crieverytim it's how, i, use them, OK ?
@@crieverytim that IS how you use them!--to express in writing exactly how it comes out of your mouth.
It is great to see he was humble enough to not put on blinders in bringing up possible solutions. He doesn’t claim any solution is without problems and he doesn’t dismiss those problems as being without merit.
You’re right on target! There’s always the risk that the solution is worse than the problem. Look at the Aswan High Dam. (It’s ruining the Nile and the Mediterranean)
He is so spectacular even 50 years later.
With all due respect he looks 100 in the picture above. He's still alive?
There is a lot of respect due to Isaac Asimov´s amazing books, and here we see him 1) prescribe feminism as a population control method 2) severely over-estimate nuclear fusion´s near-term potential as an energy source 3) Quickly offer solar radiation management to cope with global heating without providing any detail 4) Offer clever guidance on modern warfare 5) Place the moon as opposed to China as the Japan of the 21st century claiming this will motivate a world government 6) Indirectly but not necessarily unwittingly solve the Fermi Paradox.
50 years?
@@fabiopilnik827 I never knocked or praised his speech, although I hear you. Simply surprised he's still alive. Good for him. You need to relax.
@@СтивСкотт I'm deleting these comments. They don't deserve to be on this channel and this video. Grow old with grace and I'll do the same.
Isaac was a very brilliant writer and visionary. I remember one interview he gave revealing he was afraid of flying. What a paradox.
why? His courage isn't part of the equation.
Like Dennis Bergkamp, but brilliance in certain facets doesn't give any guarantees on other topics. And Bergkamp even had the conformation regarding safety per travelled kilometer.
Incorrect. Ironic is accurate.
In the photograph he has two arms growing out of his head. Truly futuristic.
He is still one of my favorite authors and was one of my favorite people.. The world is a sadder place now that he is gone.. Sorry to see you go Isaac..
I'm up on top of a mountain on a beautiful day listening to this rt now. The slight echo makes it like the voice of God booming from the sky. I find this experience acceptable..
its almost like he's an alien disguised as a human , giving us the solutions to our problems, and waiting for us to grow up so we join the intergalactic party...but we're too into money, racism, and narcissism.
Yes. Strangely enough one person who brought me to Sf is a bengali writer called Adrish Bardhan. He translated Asimov Clarke writings in Bengali for us. He has passed away. Thank you
@Tony Moca Both
He had some books in Bengali
@Tony Moca The best translations usually are by good writers. Sadly, Stanislaw Lem was mostly translated into English by a terrible writer. His best books are ruined, but a few have been translated by others and they are very well done.
It is so refreshing and uplifting every time you experience human potential realised
I had no idea that Asimov was this great speaker. It’s funny how our misconceptions and polarization shape us so much. About as funny as death!
Its dated but what a great man. 2020 we are taxing solar and subsidizing coal. What nobody talks about is the earthquakes and that come with sea level rise. Those will shut all of us down.
Coal is dying out due to competition from natural gas. Governments always seem to subsidize shrinking industries. The Fouding Fathers would have laughed at you if you claimed that in the future farming would be reduced to 3% of the population and "need" subsidies.
That few finishing sentences 🤯 goosebumps... What a beautiful mind, RIP dear good man and thanks
Excellent talk! I thought the parts on population and women’s rights were especially well articulated. Thanks for sharing.
I’m only 3 minutes in at this point…this guy is great! This tiny bit is funnier than most stand up comics these days😂
Since any other option requires sanity, rationality, cooperation, and concerted action, Catastrophe is the default decision.
He has always been far ahead of his time.
He is forever destined to be so.
Sure, he was, but he only had a more highly developed sense and skill of something that we all have: imagination 🤔 also that was his job. He had the freedom and mental space to be able to do it. That’s what we need ...
he was wrong on any point concerning human involvement. his refdrence to energy are proof .
he should Have stuck to s.f. prophecy was not a strong point of his.
Very rarely in the whole existence of biological evolution a self-conscious entity forms that is capable to formulate it's own complex reason and collective responsibility in such attractive manner like this dude.
Thank you so much ... like others I have never heard his voice.
16:20 That casual, dry humor is so great :D
Something in the quality of his speaking reminds me of WS Burroughs.
Thanks for sharing this. It was quite interesting to hear his thoughts on the future, 42 years after he spoke in that lecture hall. He was truly a man ahead of his time in so many ways. Yet he was also somewhat a man of his time, as evidenced by his expectations that we would have run out of oil by 2008. He did however estimate almost exactly how many humans would be alive in 2018, by doing math in his head as he spoke which is arguably quite amazing.
I hope one day that Humanity may yet bring into fruition ideas like harnessing solar power and mining the Moon to meet our energy needs.
This is my first time ever hearing him speak, and damn he's brilliant. I've never read any of his books before, but I just bought Foundation, and I think I'll like it
Well, he wasn't wrong there. In 40 years, we got about 8 billion people on Earth.
Yep and still haven't moved from reliance on oil.
There should be a maximum number of children each family can have. This, of course, would be difficult to enforce without invasive measures or a worldwide change in attitude toward having children. The main problem mankind (womankind?) faces is not contamination of the earth but the population of the earth outstripping the resources needed by people. This is a far more pertinent concern than just a problem with equitable distribution of the earth's resources.
Yes, one or two children per family is plenty (and choosing not to have children should never be stigmatized, but respected).
@@dougfielding8215 still, people somehow fail to realize (including you?) that it's not the western world that's facing overpopulation. We are not having enough children to sustain the population, overpopulation should be the least of our concerns. The Chinese actually did a good job of enforcing one child per family for a while but had to relax the rules after a while.
The message from this is equal freedom of men and women
@@bojankotur4613 I was thinking globally. If the western world makes fewer babies the influx of immigrants, (hopefully skilled) will easily pick up that slack. The overuse of global resources to satisfy overpopulation is a global problem, not just Eastern.
Wauw this talk is more actual as it was when it was made! Thanks for sharing!
Man I wish millions of people would listen to him 🌍🌎🌏🌚😜
In the time since this speech was given, our population has doubled.
He was right on many things but one area of prediction he failed on miserably was oil. He predicted we would run out by 2000 and could at best extend that to 2010 if consumption didn't increase, which it has, now 2020 we have an oil glut and it is clear we will run out of atmosphere before we ever run out of fossil fuels.
I believe you are not looking at the whole picture. The current oil glut is caused by the drop in demand , obviously. The only thing that has prevented the collapse in the growth of oil consumption is the added fuel from the result of tar sands, shale, and fracking, none of which is really profitable, most is not. They require more calories to produce usable fuel, then the return on usable calories. He just didn't know these technologies were coming decades after this speech was made.
I wonder if you realize how many books he's written. I was looking on archive [dot] org for a particularly book of his that I one held. I didn't find that book (Asimov's Encyclopedia of Science, I think), but I found that he wrote tons of books, math, etc, etc!
He wasn't incorrect at the time of his speech - that was the best information. Your comment uses today's best information too.
it was pretty much spot on, demand outstripped supply for the first time in 2005 leading to global recession and reduction in oil use. He did get cause and effect the wrong way round with women's education and fertility, but most people still do.
He didn't understand that we never run out of oil, it just gets too expensive for us to maintain enough growth to keep ahead of our debt. Most people still don't understand that, which is why they don't understand we have been living on borrowed time for several decades already. Ultimately the end comes when the financial system goes down under the impossible weight of debt in a deflationary depression. This will come out of the blue and leave indebted countries back in the 1930s.
what a legend, in fact, to have a mind of his is something I could only dream of having, which also wrote fine books.
Asimov wrote 457 books in total, much much more than any writer on Earth. He, without a doubt, is a master.
oh puke.
While that's impressive, it's not more than any writer on Earth.
He’s on the top ten list, but definitely not the most prolific. See
www.barnesandnoble.com/blog/6-of-the-most-prolific-authors/
Ken Surrency
Who’s number one?
arkdark555 Probably Charles Hamilton although you know it’s hard to know for sure because there are millions of people writing all the time who don’t get published. So all we can say for sure are the published writers. Read the article. It’s interesting.
What fantastic orator , never mind author ………very comedic and poetic……great stuff 🤙🏻
Good guy Isaac Asimov. He is a hero. What a brilliant mind!
Take A Moment
Sir, you still stand on the heads of Giants.
Keep Talking
Stay Safe
Stay Free
absolutely brilliant Dr. Asimov.
His humor is sometimes fucking else. I love the man.
He was a very clever man and I greatly enjoy his monologues.
Why do we keep electing venal idiots when we have a cadre of moral clever people available?
Probably because most of us still are primal animals that vote for strong pack leaders instead of intelligent leaders.
Because the likes of Asimov don't express an interest in running for office, usually.
Intellectual politicians? I doubt they would cope in such a filth infested, corrupt system without having a breakdown.
Most politicians are lawyers, it's why they have trouble with dealing with China, since most of the modern Chinese leaders have been engineers who can think in mathematical terms.
His gasoline estimations might be wrong, but he was a brilliant mind and had a far foresight and understanding of the universe and humanity!
His cadence reminds me of Bernie Sanders.
and a bit of christopher walken
What a delight! Imagine him in a conversation with Gore Vidal now...
"1.5 day is not enough for promotions to come through!!" what an epic line.
How is he smiling with an arm growing out of his ear?
Kassetten Studios [Psychedelic Rock & Music Videos] because he knows he has glorious chops that overshadow any genetic abnormality
yes, he sought medical advice over that and the Dr asked how it got like that and the arm said "it all started with a pimple on my butt"
Because three hands are better than two?
True. Maybe it also explains how he could write that much 🤔
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
I think that Isaac Asimov was a very visionary and insightful writer, who made some amazing predictions about the future. He was able to foresee some of the technological and social changes that would happen in the 21st century, such as video calls, satellite phones, robots, and miniaturized computers. He also anticipated some of the challenges and dangers that humanity would face, such as nuclear war, environmental degradation, and overpopulation.
However, he also made some predictions that were not so accurate or realistic, such as underwater housing, levitating cars, and solar-space farms. He also underestimated the complexity and difficulty of some scientific and engineering problems, such as artificial intelligence, nuclear fusion, and space colonization. He also overestimated the progress and impact of some fields, such as education, psychiatry, and sociology.
Overall, I think that Asimov’s predictions were remarkable for their time, but they also reflect his own biases and assumptions. He was more optimistic about the potential of science and technology than the actual state of affairs. He was also more influenced by his own cultural and historical context than the diversity and dynamism of the world.
The only way I can prove I'm smart is if I make a finely timed joke about the arm growing from Issac's head.
That's freaking huge!
I am 66 years old and when I was growing up I read a lot of books by Isaac Asimov. He was my favorite author. Everything he said in this speech was true, at the time. Of course he could not have foreseen the way that trends have changed in society. Today, even in many first world countries, population rates are declining rapidly. Many parts of the world are below zero population growth. Dr. Asimov also didn't understand the technology trends that greatly increased food and energy production. Don't get me wrong, we still have lots of threats to overcome, but they aren't the threats we used to think of. Dr. Asimov mentioned nuclear fusion and solar power but he should have realized that nuclear fission works pretty well; it is carbon neutral, and the waste it creates is far less dangerous that many people believe. We have Hollywood and irresponsible journalists to blame for making us think that it is terribly dangerous. Dr. Asimov's talk about solar power from space and putting industrial processes in space are on line, but they will take a while. We are lucky to have sufficient resources to provide power in the interim, with oil, natural gas, and fission until we get there. For all of you who believe the problems at Three Mile Island and Japan prove that fission is too dangerous, consider this: no one was killed due to radiation exposure in either one of those incidents. All of the deaths in Japan were a direct result of the tsunami. Yes, serious mistakes were made and they should never happen again. At Chernobyl, the reactor design would never have been approved in the free world. These things can be corrected and the fear of nuclear power is mostly media driven. I still have great respect for Dr. Asimov.
I agree with you about fission as an interim solution. There is a finite amount of U, Pu, and Th in the ground (until the next deep space asteroid crashes), so we will eventually have to replace it as we will have to replace oil as our current cheap supply. Solar should be the ultimate goal: it should last for a few billion more years according to calculations. Now, calculations can be wrong, and we will certainly learn a lot more about the universe in the future. We’re not done learning, folks, and there’s a lot more to be done!
@@kensurrency2564 Interesting Fact: Solar is more deadly than nuclear per megawatt generated due to installers tripping off roofs.
Jane Elliot, Jr. what’s your plan?
Holophonic shit, I didn’t think about that. 👍
As much as I admire Isaac's visionary skills, wit and powerful intellect, his theory that we need a one world government is wrong. Putting too much power into the hands of the few is historically proven to always end in self-collapse and destruction.
Depends on who you put and how much power you give. Resources should go to global infrastructure, education, healthcare, research, not for the new F-35 or S-500 systems to enrich the military industries. Global government is a natural evolution and a necessity of going into space. Check the Expanse.
@@MICHAELIAKOVIDIS Global governance is more of a devolution actually. (I'm not going to go into detail on this in a UA-cam comment) You also don't need it to empower meaningful resources - that can be achieved on a national level. Also, space projects are already collaborative between countries. Just think in terms of innovation for example - if you have multiple teams finding a solution, from different backgrounds, different budgets, different conditioning, culture, perspectives (the list goes on) then you will always have a better outcome then if you had multiple teams that were all managed by one global team. That's obviously an extremely basic example but hopefully you get my point.
I believe the way COVID was managed at national level ended up as a global disaster. Nationalism is as real as borders, religions, races...
Exactly look what’s happening now. The fabians were talking about this in Australia in 1961 the New World Order. Ring any bells anyone they’re talking about Agenda 21.
The True Life of the Scientific Future is directly proportional to the moral integrity of the ethical
scientists who sincerely seek to know the Truth rather than to be known by their public & peers!
The logic of his vision of the future is undeniable .
maybe, except 39:40
120 years ago infant mortality rates were very high. The average lifespan was 30 odd years maybe but if you made it through childhood and avoided accidents and diseases you could easily live to be an old man. The median and the mode averages would be much higher than 30. And scientists have just announced that the world is facing a depopulation catastrophe by the end of the century. So he was way off.
But is it? Considdering what happened in our recent past with the virus and all...
I would say that predicting the future is per defination unreliable , but this guy's predicton was pretty darn good!!
This Makes a Lot of Sense... I'm sharing this on Facebook with my Friends and Family...
In 1978 he saw it all.Thanks.
@@Dice69aooooww contaminated blood during an operation.
except how much oil we have (40 years later) .. 39:40
ytgomer
So what? He was out by a few years because man found more oil and more efficient (and damaging) ways of retrieving it. It’s still a limited resource and alternatives are the future.
chump .. why the sneer in your reply? I'm likely as much as or more of a fan of Asimov as you... nobody sees it all ... was I think my point. Scoffing fanboys in search of perfection baffle me. If I was to be more general in my criticism of Asimov .. it would be that he seems to have gotten used to fanboys idolizing him... not a flattering aspect of his character.
We are still as clueless at then
What a vision so acurate !
Very interesting. I am 69 YOA. I have known of Issac Asimov for most of my life. I had been mostly aware of him as the man who said in 1980 that the 21st century will probably be the end of the human species for reasons he only touches on during this 1978 lecture. But the thing I have learned here is that Asimov was more than a little naive. He was an idealist, at least at this point. He did not realize the consistency of the capacity for human corruption which always affects those who gain power "absolute power corrupts absolutely." It's 1978 and he doesn't realize that Feminism had already announced its intention to enslave men, or perhaps even eventually eliminate them. He seems to only understand the Betty Freidan version of feminism. By 1980, Freidan was decrying the horrors of the brand of feminism that had emerged in the 60s by her influence. By the 1980s, NOW had become a racial revenge organization pushing genocide by declaring that "no conscientious white woman should ever bear the child of a white man. Increasing numbers of white women have taken that route, often not even realizing that they have been manipulated into their interracial relationship. When Globalization was tried, China rushed in and cheated its tail off, so that today, it is a threat to world peace as a brutal regime that will stop at nothing for achieving the goal of global domination while the tree world pretends that it is doing something about Global Warning in allowing China to pollute as much as it wishes while restricting Europe and North America. Asimov's future he hopes he presents here are never going to happen. If he were alive today, he would know that as with his prediction of interplanetary aliens on Mt. Everest, if he could have waited a little while, he'd know that universal harmony and cooperation were as realistic as pigs with wings. Maybe he had by 1980, and that is why he made his far less optimistic comments to the Futurist Society then.
You're right. I grew up on Asimov when i was 13, loved the books. This is literally the first time i ve heard him speak. And now i recognise he was advocating feminism. As quite literally a way to curb population. I wonder if they realise that? Even if they do... he couldn't possibly have known all the downsides, why would he? it makes me wonder, quite seriously. All good intentions paved with gold. Feminism, while i wasn't conscious at the time, must have been quite twisted, and these people gave birth to more twisted, and those people gave birth to more twisted and the internet. We are so fucked.
Listen to the man, he knows his stuff.
Writers, storytellers, producers and directors are running the show we all live in
He also held a PhD in Chemistry from Columbia University
Inevitable - if we don’t blow everything first...
If they didn't in the 1980s, God willing it won't happen ) Growing up in the Soviet Union, I know what I'm talking about
An interesting read because some of his discussions of feminism seem to skew a little old fashioned - often referring to women like they need to be *convinced* to liberate themselves, maybe this was an actual point of the feminist movement of the era - but also for his discussion of the state of war which was clearly wrong, and mostly justified by us running out of petroleum in thirty years ('And don't tell me we're going to find more petroleum - we might find ten years more at the most') I know for a fact petroleum is alive and well, how did that happen too?
Of course, love his books and his lucid style of speaking here. Anything I've left unsaid about this lecture is positive.
Good Man
Reminds me of myself rambling. Wish i could have met the man. The energy issue could have used more thought. Solar for daytime and have a hydro generater next to the solar on a river or something of the sort. I like people like this, it strokes my ego.
Takes a genius to be able to grow an arm out of your head so easily.
Wonderful. Bravo Azimov Issac! I agree with your vision of the future. Except nuclear fusion as a timeless energy source. Because it is so risky...
“We have the Chinese word for that”. Even in 1978.
Watching in June 2022 and wow! So right!
He could have been a stand-up
8 billion in 2023, and the poverty rate is the lowest ever, nothing to worry about
Concerning Asimov's talk about war, this piece is incredibly prophetic. It is exactly what is going on today reinforced by a theatrical cable media. “CUT YOUR TV CABLE!”
A `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY`¿? That's what you believe?
what kind of immature asshole are you?
@Vegetable Television: Lol?!
Television/Cable TV has been `demonized` as basically one thing with, really, two different versions.
1. A `mInD cOnTrOl` device. Used by multi-national corporations to tell us what we want to buy, who to vote for, etc.
2. A `mInD cOnTrOl` device. Used by Satan to tell us what we want to buy, who to vote for, etc.
It's a `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY` and it's completely FAKE. Television is a tool. It's a way to access &, through which, to acquire information. And like any tool it can be misused. If, and...yes...I am stressing "IF", the tool is misused do you blame the tool?! Because, well, obviously, it's the tools' fault, right?¿
Seriously! You're not right in the head if you believe this crap!
SpookeyR I won’t go as far as conspiracy but the video screen is so powerful that it almost has become primarily used for mind control, propaganda, mis-/dis-information. Turning off the screen is not a bad idea. I hate ads and someone is always trying to sell me something I don’t need or want. Turn off the tube and read. Reading stimulates the brain and leads to THINKING ... hmm what an idea.
@Ken Surrency: That IS a `cOnSpIrAcY tHeOrY`!!
You are a bottom-feeding crybaby if you are not doing anything more than trolling for your `shits & giggles`!
It does not look good for you.
The True Life of the Scientific Future is directly proportional to the
moral integrity of the scientists who sincerely seek to know the Truth
rather than to be known by their peers. Once all of the scientists are
not self-concerned we'll have much better science, once and for all!
Uh, what species do you belong to? Humans have all sorts of motives. Even Scientists. Moral perfection among Scientists or any other groups of humans ain't never going to happen.
Sane governments, now thats a radical idea lol.
Wonderful man. More a product of his time than I imagined but still wonderful
How long had you known him? Did you hang out often?
I cant Imagine conversations with him
"...share with each-other..."
It's crazy to think that it's 45 years later, and fusion power plants are still a long way away.
Hi. I want to subtitle this in portugese. Would you place the subtitles if I send you a .doc with the translation?
His positive scifi contributed to my imaginative teenage years
I read most of his books, I read “under the fires of the sun” in French I don’t know the original title, but it was about social distancing ....
...'they' have lied to us about that also.
...people lived a lot longer in the distant past.
...it was an emperor of china who got his 'medicine man' to investigate why people of the past lived longer,(into the hundreds of years) than people of the time, and even back then people were living into their 70s.
...that's were herbal medicine began the last time around.
...the Earth has been populated by DOZENS of advanced civilizations.
@ lol Extraordinary Claims require Extraordinary Evidence. Have any? Nope
@@Foolish188...what extraordinary claims, it's all there for anyone with 2 brain cells and not too lazy to do their own due diligence (that means research)
...the Sumerian texts, the Vedic texts, the Huangdi neijing (The Yellow Emperor’s Inner Classic), Huang Ti during his reign over China, which started about 2697 b.c, the bible.
" Biblical Overview of Longevity The Biblical record reveals that all of the pre-flood patriarchs lived almost 1,000 years. Enoch was a notable exception he died prematurely (Genesis 5:23-24). Figure 2 lists the longevity of
Mendez 4Longevity of the Patriarchs"
(next paragraph is a graph which jutube will not allow me to paste, see the link for the graph and entire article)
('The Scientific Evidence for Biblical'
amendez.com/NAES/Noahs_Ark_Articles_files/NAS%20The%20Scientific%20Evidence%20for%20Biblical%20Longevity.pdf) Longevity01002003004005006007008009001000Adam Seth Enos Kenan Mahaleel Jared Mehtus Lamech Noah Shem Arphax. Salah Eber Peleg Reu Serug Nahor Terah Abrah. Isaac Jacob Job Levi Kohath Amaram Moses Joshua EliGenerationsLife SpanThe FloodFigure 2. A graph of the life span of the patriarchs. Compare the life spans beforethe flood with those after the flood. The life span average before the flood was 912years, after the flood 222 years.various Biblical characters as mentioned in Genesis 5 and 11. This indicates that the lifespans were quite long before the flood and tapered off quickly after the flood. There seems to be no difference in the first generation, Adam, with the last pre-flood generation of Noah. In fact Noah actually lived longer than Adam. This seems to indicate that the factors that were responsible for the extended lifespans were still functioning at the beginning as well as the end of the pre-diluvial regime. Many ancient historians state that the pre-flood inhabitants had long life spans. Even though this is the case, many believe that they were simply exaggerations or historical inaccuracies (6). Exponential Decay Curve Evidence It can be shown very simply that the long ages were not myths. This can be done by an understanding of the exponential (natural) decay rate. In nature all things decay at a certain rate. For example if a container of living organisms is exposed to a radioactive substance they will die off in what is called a natural decay rate or curve. If their life spans are plotted on a graph this type of curve is shown in fig 3. This is the same type of curve that is produced by the death rate of organisms exposed to lethal doses of gas or other toxins.
Mendez 5Longevity after the Floody = 487.78e-0.0907xR2 = 0.88901002003004005006007008009001000Shem Arphax Salah Eber Peleg Reu SerugNahor Terah Abra. Isaac Jacob Job Levi Kohath Amara Moses Joshua Eli DavidGenerationsLife SpanFigure 3. Graph showing the declining life span after the flood.It took 20 generations for a new equilibrium of 70 to bereached. Peleg's brother was Joktan, which means: "he shall bemade little or small," notice the life span decline with Peleg! If the points of the population in question are graphed this will show how close the actual decay rate or curve fits the exponential decay curve. This will yield an equation and a value that is called the coefficient of determination. This is a mathematical ratio that reveals how close your graph fits the exponential decay curve. This coefficient of determination will have a value of 0-1. If the coefficient is 1 this is considered a perfect match. The patriarchs before the flood had extremely long life spans. After the flood the life spans decayed until a norm of 70 years was reached. These life spans can be plotted and the decay curve calculated to see how close the actual decay curve is when compared to the mathematically perfect exponential decay curve, which has a coefficient of determination of 1. When this is done it shows that the ages given for the death of the patriarchs after the flood were not fabricated, myths, or exaggerations. Note in fig. 3 that the coefficient of determination (R2) is almost 0.89. This means that the decay rate of the patriarch's death after the flood was only 11% from being a perfect match. In other words the decay rate for the declining life span for the patriarch after the flood is very close to being a match to the exponential (natural) decay curve. Implications of the Exponential Decay Curve • The information source (divine revelation) for the ages of the patriarchs provided ages that closely matches a natural exponential equation. • It is highly unlikely that people living at this time knew the mathematics of the exponential decay curve. • It is very unlikely that the ages were fabricated since they closely match the exponential decay curve, which occurs naturally. • The ages of death show that the post genesis flood world was being affected by some natural factors that were causing the declining life spans. All of these factor indicate that the ages given were genuine and not fabrications."
....CHECK MATE
@ Checkmate, lol. Obvious questions.
If they lived to be a 1000 years old, why did they have so few children? Each generation should have expanded by an exponential amount. Somehow we have never found evidence of the billions who would have been born. Did they sacrifice the babies to Baal?
In a 1000 years how often would you break your bones? Somehow no individual body has ever been found with dozens of different healed broken legs.
Did their teeth somehow resist wearing down, or did they gum their food for 900 years?
Where are all the remains of the 1000 year old animals? Or was it only humans?
Why doesn't the Archeological record show nothing? Could it be that the writers of Genesis wanted to show that we were descended from perfection and now we are degenerate?
Sorry, but you will need EVIDENCE to back up your claim.
@ Well yes, anyone who doesn't has an inability to evaluate Scientific Evidence. That so many don't is very sad.
God bless this genius of a man Isaac Asimov ♥️🇺🇸🗽‼️ American Patriot and scientist ♦️♦️♦️
39:40 .. prediction is hard, particularly about the future
I just want to note that electric cars have always been more economical but only now they have also become convenient enough.
i still say that predicting the future is difficult
@Whassname Whassname 👏
@Whassname Whassname Yeah, I want my Friggin Flying Car!! And my vacation on the Moon!
i dont understand why ppl were laughing.. one of the most brilliant writer and man of our modern era talking deep truths. only about atomic eergy he had not enough infos to understand it..but it was right about oil..alternative sources
They are laughing because Asimov is relaying interesting information in an entertaining way, by making good use of humor.
He was obviously looking for laughs - nice that he did not take himself too s eriously. They laughed because he is hilarious when telling these home truths. Not up his own backside!!
tnx..i understood he was i😁😅ronical listening more. i am italian and probably american irony from more than 60 years ago has been difficult to detect for me. topics were more actual now then then
the best guy in the world a genius! this will make me smart thank you
oh and others
@Jada Whitt is ABSOLUTELY correct... DO NOT listen to this is you are already a GENIUS... It will make you SMART
Brilliant stuff, brilliant man.
He’s got more cheek fur than my Persian cat. Amazing guy though
I have'nt seen this interview yet.
See the one taped ten years later. I wish I had a photographic memory so that I did'nt have to read The Foundation Trilogy again.
He comes off as a Malthusian from the Frankfurt School of Socialist/Communist.
Amazing Thank you so much
He sounds a bit like Jacky Mason 😁
I was thinking, Richard Feynmann
@@StefanTravis 😁
@Robert Lee, Countertenor Yes Jacky Mason was Jewish
Excellent speech!!
We are going a million miles an hour on wrong direction
A prophet is not necessarily someone who sees the future by some "magic way", ..A real prophet is an individual who sees and understands the PRESENT more logically than most of us,, Asimov was one of them, hats off to his brilliant mind
So you should call him a witch soothsayer and clairvoyant not a prophet
18:00 I think Bill Gates was inspired by this idea when he talks about reducing the world population by increasing the quality of life.
Spot on, on so many counts.
It is true that women’s rights and situation has everything to do with population growth. It’s also that the men just take sex whenever they want it if women have no rights. And the woman has no ability to choose birth control. So access to birth control is another factor.
But the problems of overpopulation are largely the result of not having access to resources to be able to avoid the problems overpopulation in an area causes. And the problem of overpopulation is also directly related to the amount of resources one consumes. This is the true threat of human population and most of that problem is caused by those in the richest countries...that are never the ones considered to be overpopulated.
Quite right. *_Absolute_* equality for women brings an end to overpopulation and war, and a beginning for economic stability.
Don't worry chaps. Nature is a serial killer and she'll find a way. She's done it in the past and will do it again! Remember the dinosaurs and large mammals?! Two of which come instantly to mind.
@@bonumdalek7107 Nature is a liver of life, more than it is a serial killer. Otherwise it would be dead already. If you can only muster up a couple of instances, then you'd better hurry on. More than 99% of all known life is already extinct. Man is the only lifeform _capable_ of surviving his own extinction, having started this process already.
@@tonyduncan9852 Hi Tony, thank you for refreshing my memory of Prometheus! The struggle of life and recycling of life. The obstacles nature puts forward is a means of overcoming extinction allowing future generations to progress. We are physically weak, but with our large grey matter that has allowed us to overcome many perils. By inventing machines and medicines to overcome our rivals on this planet we have been successful so far. My point was that nature has a way of putting a spanner in the works. Humans are tribal hunters by nature and you can still see this in our flags. Weak physically and often weak minded. We've overcome other creatures large and small for the fight for food (survival), but our natural instincts for fighting for life my actually be our weakness at this point not our strength. All has to change to remain the same. Hence your remark on liver regeneration. As for your remark to undo my life was very weak.
As for women's lib I'm all in favour for it. It can only bring about positive change and stop mens bigotry, which so many societies and institutions have...
Dr.Asimov gives it to you straight.
Great stuff AGATAN; a superb choice for more anti-theistic content! Indeed, if money were no object to me, I'd be broadcasting his voice in Nyork with Howard Stern as the, err...MC.
Watch for the first politician who actually suggests that she'd like to see the number of voters, the number of her constituents, actually drop. I'll be keeping an eye out, but I certainly will not be holding my breath.
This speech/lecture is absolutely beautiful.
I'm not a fan of using religious language...ever... unless the objective is to laugh at it, or expose the severe dishonesty which inevitably lurks at the core of all religions, but Dr.A. was in full-on prophet mode here, just as the JPL is the closest thing one can truly get towards hallowed ground.
Drs.Sagan + Asimov (which ought to be spelled with a "Z", I do believe...) RIP. 😈😈👍👍❤️❤️😢😢✨🌎💥😯🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠😠Grr. We warned you.