One of the greatest teacher of value investing. You literally provide value for free. We love you Sven!
Rewatched this today after being bombarded by a sea for noise "news" on China over the past week. Sven always cuts through the B.S. and manages to bring us back to the big picture framework. So many things well said and I'm not going to be part of the 80% dropout - haha!
Same here. And bought more today. Need to keep reminding myself that price going down because if all this noise is a good thing.
I made a similar comment. I've been catching "falling knives" lately but missed the 155 level.
One of your best videos yet imo. Thank you for taking the time making these videos and using the profits to make a better world. It is rally appreciated.
I love your channel! Just discovered it. I like your rational "boring" approach as opposed to most other channels that run on click bait, fear and contrarian outlooks. You put in a lot of work into your videos. Plus you seem trust worthy :)
It's an honour to learn from you Professor Carlin. Keep adding value to real value investors.
Thank you for explaining the herd mentality and the reality so well. That's why some wins in life and some don't. I am recommending your channel to others. Good stuff.
The voice of reason on UA-cam. Exactly what we need to ground ourselves from all these nonsense news out there. Focus on what matters! Hvala Sven.
It is interesting: we always hope for crashes but when it happens the most part of people refuse to even put a penny into it! Time to focus on businesses and risk reward opportunity here. Thank you sven for doing educational videos like this one!
Another great video! I think we appreciate this type of long form in depth analysis. To your point I remember you mentioning a while back that one question we need to ask ourselves is that "if the stock market disappeared, will you still be happy owning that business?" If the answer is no then you need to rethink your investing strategy.
Keep up the great content!
After years of following many UA-cam content creators in the investment and trading circles....this guy is GOOD!!! Thank you Sven ❤️
This is just the video I’ve been waiting for! Thanks Sven 🙌🏻
You have changed my life with educational videos. I am hoping BABA keeps dropping so we can make huge returns in 10 years!
Thanks for everything you do Sven :)
Had to comment because this is one of the best investment videos I've seen at least in a year. Great job, really.
I am
Hitting the like button even before I watch it! Always learn something new from you Sven!
Posted 2 minutes ago but 27 likes. Only the best have such loyal followers, and you Sven are the best!
Words cannot express my gratitude to you for making this video. Your rationality and plain basic common sense is all that I need. I am going to place your photo next to Charlie's on my Wall of Honour. Love it.
This got real when you mentioned you'd likely lose subs if BABA keeps dropping. I love your confidence, Sven. I'm here to stay
My subscription is indefinite 😎😎😎😎😎😎😎 staying regardless of what happens
I, like Warren Buffet wants to buy a dollar for 50 cent. So I bought Alibaba this week.
Great video Sven 👍
You are great Sven! Long China. It took me only 1 month of traveling around the country to realize the future is there.
I spent a few weeks in China some years ago. There was pretty amazing sense of energy while I was there. There were people doing business in hotel lobbies (western entrepreneurs meeting Chinese manufacturers) and I saw some photoes of the the cities taken with a few years between them and the change was so apparent in them. It felt like how I imagined US was during the gold rush: "do you want to sell shovels there".
@@sacha7607 Totally agree. People don't realize increasing global censorship, loss of freedom through shelter in place orders, compulsory vaccines, confucious institues on campuses, monitoring etc. have roots in communist ideology, i.e. CCP. The democratic world needs India to grow quickly.
Your videos make us calm and reflect on what is really important - FUNDAMENTALS and LONG TERM VIEW. Thanks for doing this. Even if you lose 80% of your subscribers, you are never going to lose the core 20% who actually try to learn things. Please keep up the good work!!
It’s crazy Baba stock is so low with the type of income they make… Majority of the items sold on Amazon are bought from Baba.
I like your closing comment “ this is not a sentiment channel” fully agree 👍
Been waiting for this video since many days. Very comforting since i'm owning many chinese stocks and i profited from this crash to enlarge my portfolio.
Very nice analysis. Keep up the good work
24:43 "2023, the fed was increasing interest rates - and that happened in 2023"
It's confirmed, Sven has come back from the future to warn us all about the future interest rate crisis
LOL! He was just forecasting and that it is a likelihood that will affect the market in 2023, when the Feds already stated they will most likely be increasing interest rates at that time. Sven just got excited hahaha
@@Rogelio_007 It is funny to think Sven really does know the future, but knows by not telling us we will learn how to be better investors. Like a wise old teacher who has seen the future, but knows by keeping the truth he can teach the virtue of patience.
of course, how else would I do what I do that good without a time machine!
Always nice to hear a rational perspective in a sea of fear doubt and uncertainty.
Haha Sven I really liked the Cathie Wood JD graph. I liked it that you gave her the benefit of the doubt that she’s doing this because of pressure from investors, I think she is just moved by panic and sentiment like the Jim Cramers of the world
Sven nice job with the subtle "distraction" / "destruction" slip of the tongue!
I liked this one Sven. So rich with general advice and wisdom 👌 funny with ARK = buy high, sell low 😄
“Buy when there is blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own.” Baron Rothschild
You don’t build wealth without risk. You have to temper your fear, with rationality.
actually if you buy value, your risk is lower when there is blood on the streets - volatility is not risk!
The lower the price the more margin of safety. As long as the value is there and not eroding
@@thewarrenbuffettspreadsheet i like your spreadsheets. Downloaded them long time ago 😄 good to see you here
@20:14 - I think it would be Awesome 😎 to do a video series covering your past investments & the analysis behind them. I would definitely watch those!
thanks for suggesting! But investing is a process, and I would not talk to the idiot I was 12 months ago - so we always keep learning! Compounding KNOWLEDGE!
@@Value-Investing The most important thing from the past is you learned from those experiences & WE are all better for that & your channel! Thanks Dr. Sven!
I love Cathie, I also buy high and sell low xd xd
Sven great video also read your 37 page report on the platform on this subject and you are spot on
Great video Sven, one of the small minority of those on UA-cam (and elsewhere) taking a logical approach to investing. As someone who works in the asset management industry I still learn from you. Thanks
Thank you. I have no words to thank you. I never miss your video.
The only Chinese firm I am invested in is Bank of China (2nd or 3rd largest bank in China). I am thinking about adding ICBC too (largest bank in China). They pay good dividends, are basically undestructible and also protected by the chinese gov.
Are you american or european? Reason I ask is I havent found a good way to invest in Hong Kong stock exchange.
I keep my fingers off Chinese stocks these days - not because BABA or other companies won't do well, but becauses I do not trust Xinnie Jin Pooh for a dime. My only exposure to BABA and such is through Lyxor's Emerging Markets ETF, which I find a reasonable approach as the ETF also contains companies from for example Taiwan and such.
You know how my mind works?!!! (That's what you video says at 28:04). Please talk to my wife. She needs a LOT of help understanding her husband.... But seriously, excellent timing on the video, Dr. S! I was becoming uncomfortable with the losses I am experiencing with my Chinese stocks. I must remember to stay calm and not let my emotions take over... I need to use my rational brain, not my greed/fear brain.
Cathie Wood: Buy high, Sell low and charges management fees
you know what is funny to me, she hold shit ton of unprofitable biotech companies that are still burning cash and waiting for FDA approval and she panic sells chinese companies
Well Sven, if 80% people unsubscribe to your platform at the lower rate, they may regret it later and buy back in at $2000 a year :D
You provide immense value and I'd be a fool to unsubscribe.
I can‘t believe you are giving all this Information for free. Looove your analysis! I cannot thank you enough!
Usually UA-cam business works with quite a lot of free goodies to hook the customer. Like give away juice samples in your grocery store. Then, presumably, you want more and make purchases.
As Buffett says, the stock market is the only place where people run away from a sale. Keep doing your thing Sven!
Hi Sven would you be able to talk a bit on investing on HK stock exchange Vs NYSE?
I'm a bit newer to the market and have it on NYSE but I'm not fully sure if this is a problem
They should be fungible by a rate of 1 BABA to 8 HK 9988 (Alibaba), but you have to check with your broker.
I wouldn't worry about it, depending on how big your position is of your portfolio it can be a good idea to have both NYSE and HK Alibaba, atleast that is my plan when increasing my position above 20% of total portfolio.
Sven what position are you holding in Chinese stocks? I am looking to buy, but don't know which one.
Excellent reality check, Sven. I was waiting for your take on this last weeks Chinese sell-off and you did not disappoint. Keep it up.
Haha Sven, Great Analysis as always :) I had to laugh because of what you said in the last video about the Word "Crash" in the title :) Maybe you should keep writing "Crash" in the title no matter what the video is about :) Your Videos and Plattform should receive far more views and subs anyway!
Spoken like a true boss. William Green is going to contact you for his next book! :-)
@@Value-Investing Sven, I think ARK LOVES BUYING HIGH & SELLING LOW 🙄🙄
Hi Sven,
Thanks for the video. It's helpful.
1 criticism: your video opening frames are really complex and confusing. Maybe consider having a simple white screen with 2 or 3 key words ?
I would be careful with where my money, energy and time end up going, and what kind of future my investment contributes to instead of blindly chasing "cheap" stocks
Great insights Sven! Would you say ATHM is in the same situation as BABA? Way undervalued now and worth investing over long term?
Brilliant content Sven!! Look forward to ur views ans analysis on tencent
I think this is a great analysis and video. Especially the cathie wood chart, i love it :)
i love how you are rationally explain through model logic and true understanding of the chinese. keep it out.
Like Warren once said Be fearful when others are greedy and Greedy when others are fearful. I bought more Baba now that it’s on the low low.
In my portfolio I have a China fund that are actively managed 5% (no big tech like alibaba, tencent etc). Combined with an Emerging markets index fund that has roughly 40% china weight (including all the big tech firms) that makes up 10% of my portfolio.
So all in all I have roughly 9% in total of my portfolio dedicated to China, this dip was perfect timing to tweak the stake.
I manage my portfolio monthly, with monthly saving and to adjust the portfolio so the % of my funds remain roughly the same. I made a % plan in a document, and just adjust it to my original plan, I never sell, I just input more money in the funds that is lagging behind their %.
Thanks as always for the video Sven 👍 I watch it because I love learning about new perspectives.
i've been listening a lot to you to get away from all the noise going around and hear a deeper view on the world of investing. I just subscribed because i just heard your honesty when you said "if BABA goes to $100 i probably lose 80% of my subscribers even if that is the best for us as we can accumulate on it" The same way I want a ceo of a company who is honest with its shareholders, when I follow and listen to someone on a podcast or video for more guidance, I want the same: HONESTY! greatly appreciate your content! thank you
Insightful, practical and well presented investment thesis Dr Sven...appreciate your thoughtful and useful discourse - Thank you and keep up the helpful research
What a fantastic video. Thanks for sharing Sven! You should share your opinions on the top books to read for value investors!
Honestly, when I read about these regulations, they sound really reasonable to me. In fact, you can find the US and EU imposing the same regulations. But because this is the Chinese government, everything suddenly sounds much scarier.
yes, just life! Only the western media makes it look like crazy! I remember a family member of mine lost his cow farm because he couldn't make the investment for a 10 ton bridge to get there (this was the Netherlands in the 1980) - so nothing different.
I bet heavily on China this week, time will tell if it was a good decision:) great video Sven!
I might be crazy but I have gone in a hard on Alibaba.. If it drops I will buy more
People are scared of the Chinese government but they are business people first and the vision is long-term. They have no interest in anything other than being number one
Assuming US will just standby and let that happen (they’re already trying to interfere)
@@CROSSNSHOOT Not saying you're wrong, but I wouldn't be so sure. I'm invested in BABA. Just not alot for the reason I stated. US has their agenda. China has theirs. When their agendas conflict instead of working together, tensions rise.
Love this guy. Most likely the best investing/finance channel on UA-cam at the moment. Keep it up Sven!
doubled down on alibaba at 181$. Bargain if the official numbers are correct and we have no delisting…
I agree it is a great value! But I don't think Baba or Tencent will ever be delisted. I like how Sven is open-minded, we must consider any possibility, but I just don't see that extreme step happening. It would be too damaging to China, to world wide hedge funds, to many etfs, and to US pension funds. I think the ripple effect would be a tsunami. I will just hold baba. But anyway Goodluck all.
Future Sven calls market crash in 2023!
I scooped more BABA and BILI this week. Thanks for the excellent content Sven 😘.
I'm long on China and I'm not concerned about all this noise in the short-term. Said that, has anyone seen Amazon "crash" today? Just bought a couple stocks as I couldn't miss this opportunity. :-)
Value as usual Sven. Which Chinese index I should study nowadays? Just to have a frame of what’s going on.
All the best from Italy.
indivual stocks are the best approach, a lot of garbage in an index.
@@Value-Investing I feel more confident in watching an Index (not Etf)
Sven what are you talking about 2023 in minute 24:45, FED raises interest rates….
Is it your prediction or did you time travel? 😂
Sven, I love your channel and I even have your book. But I find the formula a bit confusing. When you value the stocks, the Sum 603.70 is that in US dollars? Because the current Mkt Cap is 530 and 603 does not seem that attractive. I know sometimes you use EU and I am just not sure what currency is being used.
I also tweaked your excel a bit by adding shares outstanding to get the stock price. Cheers, buddy!
that is the value for a certain expected return in the future - svencarlin.com/how-to-calculate-intrinsic-value-formula/
Thank you. Very useful info on Didi and education was much appreciated.
Another very insightful video. Can't thank you enough for these Sven!
Hi sven! It would be interesting to hear your thoughts on why undervalued stocks are sometimes trashed. What other then news and sentiment makes this unrasonal behaviour happen and more importantly last for a long time making undervalued investments underperform the market over time, further making timing of buying far more important then it should be.
Thank you!
Bots and algos selling maybe. No investor interest, low market cap. Etc
Great analysis of the situation. Thanks for sharing Sven!
Amazing as always Sven! Do u recommend to buy Baba at HK exchange better than at the Us market?;)
Buying on the dip! I love discounts :) # BABA
@@Value-Investing thank you for your incredible content :) Been following since you had less than 20k subs (with other account) & you have been so incredibly consistent in your message - much respect for that!
damn sven you werent kidding about focusing even more on quality. another amazing one :)
Thanks for this video, Sven. I've observed the emotions you describe in myself throughout my previous investments. Investing during bad sentiment usually leads to far superior results, even though it feels terrible at times initiating that buy order. A high degree of conviction is the only thing that helps that feeling in my opinion. Thanks for the work you're doing.
you feel stupid while it is down, but it is about the risk and reward in relation to the value, not the market!
China + Crash in the title should result in 1,000,000 views. You forgot to caps lock the word CRASH
And here's me thinking Cathie takes a " five year investment time horizon " as she says on every interview.
Dear Sven. Amazing video. I still can't figure whether it's smarter to buy baba or 9988? Don't need financial advice, just education please
WARNING: As the channel grows (thank you all for that), there are more and more scammers impersonating me. They are even commenting under each of my comment!! The only thing I am selling is my Research Platform and Book sven-carlin-research-platform.teachable.com/p/stock-market-research-platform
All that I do, the real links to my content are in the description of the video, I don't give out my Whatsapp number and I don't sell any Cryptocurrency related things! BE CAREFUL OUT THERE!
What index or etf would you recommend for Chinese stocks?
You can call it FUD all you want but when you own a Chinese stock you don’t own the company. You own a company in the caymans who owns a company who owns a company who owns the Chinese stock supposedly. China is an authoritarian country that at any time can do anything they want how a couple people in the upper CCP feel. Surprised you don’t get this risk. Yea all of a sudden you have a point but as a long term investor who always viewed this risk for over a decade you are simply wrong about the risk. Just because mainstream and Wall Street realize it all of a sudden doesn’t mean they are now wrong. They were wrong all along previous
Owning Tesla that has one factory in China compared to NIO is two different things. Yea Tesla can get hurt but not go bankrupt. NIO can lose all value in a day
Also Tesla “WAS” the markets hottest stock. In the same time frame Chinese stocks sold off Tesla has not gone up either. Extremely poor example. Also Tesla is an industry creating company that is transforming an industry and world. How can you compare that excitement too a online seller with many companies already out their such as Amazon, Walmart, etc
@@robb5270 I doubled my money in NIO but got out. I also made big gains in BABA between when I got in in 2019 and sold in 2020 to buy apple and tesla pre split. I guess those Cayman guys at least gave me money.