I’m still waiting for all sorts things they predicted in the sixties would be with us by the year 2000. Dinner in a pill, flying cars, self-cleaning clothes, moon bases …. What most people didn’t foresee was the internet and a computer on everyone’s desk or in their hand, amongst other things. You can’t predict things arising from things you don’t know you don’t know.
Self cleaning clothes exist already, I put mine in the laundry basket and a few days later they re appear in my wardrobe. My wife hasn't worked this out yet as I always see her doing clothes washing. Should I tell her?
I think a lot of those were speculation on problems without thinking too much about the actual problem or what people are more comfortable doing. What is the point of dinner in a pill again? I guess most people enjoy taking the time to eat. Self-cleaning clothes might even be possible technologically, but 95% of the problem of cleaning was solved by washing machines and cheaper clothes, which are a more practical solution.
In my younger days (Okay boomer) I was told no woman would have any interest in me if I enjoyed using a computer. Today, no woman will have any interest in men if they aren't on hundreds of dating websites. Now I'm told if I don't use a computer (cell phone), no woman would be interested in me. Wait... what?!?
Well, not just cash but the entire trade system. The dominance mindset needs to make way to the abundance mindset if we're to not risk self-destruction.
I give it less. Several reasons: One is the rapid decrease in the farmers' population. There barely is generational replacement rigth now. Megafarms do already face issues with the local populations (of the countryside and including farmers). Then there is the increasing cost of fodder, which will be compounded due to climate change and loss of fertile soils in the tropical regions, where most of the fodder comes from. Fuel prices and global instability may add to that. And last but not least, the newer zoomer generation are more likely to want to stop eating meat. Specially if cheap alternatives are available (and they already are). I give it 25 to 50 years. Enjoy while you can.
@@JoergWessels You mean the fact that cash is here to stay? If so, all I'm saying is that cash is part of the trade system and the latter needs to be replaced by a new system that focuses not on profit but directly on well-being and fairness in relation to Earth's carrying capacity, based on nothing but science and compassion. Else, we're facing existential threats and may last 9 more years at most then, not 900.
When using a touchscreen, I'm not thinking "man, I wish I didn't have to touch anything at all", I'm thinking "give me buttons back. i want to _feel_ what I'm doing." But alas, I'm getting old. EDIT: Damn, I find myself disliking a number of those prospects.
Yeah these predictions are super backwords. Just imagine trying to use a keyboard in the air with no feedback. It would be twenty times harder for no reason
Touch screens are already hard to use accurately while in motion, or in a moving vehicle. Motion capture will need to be _really_ smart to be able to identify when a user's movement is intentional and not a twitch caused by the kid sitting behind them kicking their seat.
We don't have the muscle control or endurance to constantly make precision adjustments without touching things. Even a mouse/cursor is more precise than interacting with virtual stuff in midair with our hands. I'm not saying there needs to be an actual touch screen. Any random table in front of us with or without a pointing device can probably do the job with the right tech. You'd should even be able to choose your combination of surface and drawing thingy (knitting needles on wood, finger on glass, feather on sand) to get the friction and springiness that you're looking for.
@@daveh7720 It was over 25 years ago when I used a prototype of a device that gave haptic feedback through tiny air bursts. I guess at some point we will have that...
"Our ancestors had giant flying birds made of metal to travel over the seas, they were able to unchain rains of fire upon the earth, they could see what was happening on the other side of the Earth... Truly, they were godlike. And then, that day happened..."
@@TaranovskiAlex No, I made it up. But the future depicted by Mad Max and "Cloud Atlas" (and many others) inspired it. The end of cheap oil + the runaway global warming will probably cause a global collapse. Most metropolis (NY, Tokyo, Paris, New Delhi...) would become absolute hell without cheap oil to ensure food transportation for example.
My one hope is that they will look back and say, “Wow, it’s terrible how they were plagued by these horrible diseases. We are so fortunate to have figured out how to prevent, treat, or cure every single one them.”
Unlikely, medical science has hardly developed any effective drugs since the 1960s. Most of what we have came from applying modern chemistry to plants, and that's probably all we'll get.
i think partially opposite will happen. We ll excell in sophisticated surgery and what can be cured by that, but will have setback with bugs and infections and eill be fondly remembering short period where we could control them. this is not a prediction but distinct possibility
I am quite sure people 60 years ago wouldn’t have guessed everybody would walk around oblivious to the surroundings staring at a small rectangle. So, who knows?
I grew up in the 60’s and it’s remarkable how little has *really* changed, i.e. in how we live our daily lives. We lived in single family houses, watched TV and complained about commercials, went to the movies, rode in cars, flew in airplanes, rode bikes, went to school every weekday except in the summer, rode in yellow school busses, mocked the lunch ladies, had parents who worked a job 40 hours/week or kept house, ate out in restaurants and got take out from McDonald’s or Burger King, drank coke or Pepsi, bought food in grocery stores, fueled up cars with pumps at the gas station, had bank accounts, mowed our lawns with gas powered mowers, had washers, dryers, electric or gas stoves, refrigerators and dishwashers, had backyard BBQs with the neighbors, played in sports, watched sports on TV, listened to music, got married in churches, had babies in hospitals, went to college and lived in dorms, protested in the Quad, wore blue jeans and t-shirts
I live in, and grew up in Arizona in the 50's 60's. The heat we're dealing with during the summer is markedly worse now. We're seeing indigenous plants dying, like saguaro cactus. Also, Phoenix , Prescott, and other areas are on the brink of needing to mandate water restrictions due to plummeting water tables.
meanwhile, technology has become far superior, and our nations have become far richer......... on average. Ofc, when you take into account that the vast majority of the new wealth generated by all these fantastic new innovations has gone only to the super rich, things start to make sense..
These are just the things we do when we're not staring at our phones. And you're wrong, no one is riding bikes because that would require you to be outside and unsupervised, where it isn't safe. And chances are a kid's parents are both working 60/hr a week jobs because they still believe in the American Dream. Yes, BBQs are still known to occur, but people spend an unprecedented amount of their time alone now and are debilitatingly lonely. Oh, and you should really leave the lunch lady alone.
@@marcosolo6491 And based on previous performances of people predicting the future, that your prediction that these guesses are likely to be completely wrong, will be a mixed bag.
People are pretty bad at predicting new physics. Jules Verne could only imagine a future based on his knowledge of his current possibilities. He never imagined computers, cell phones, the internet, and AI as a possibility. Sabine will have this problem too, especially because of her highly skeptical nature.
I really want small business to come back. Knowledgeable proffessionals working in small shops and cafés. Like in children’s stories. :) The sweet shop, the fruit and the vegetable shop, the tailor who makes your clothes after your measurments and taste, the music shop with pianos and other instruments, the small family owned café…. Just so cute.
@cheesofile666 Exactly on point. Money is the issue. Mass production will be way cheaper than hand crafted according to your wishes. So if the consumers are willing to pay way more to get the handcrafted things we will see more of them around.
No feedback, no tactile perception, it is simply not practical. We will need much more time to replace touchscreens, maybe when we will be able to implant chips that translate thinking to text, but that will probably need centuries to develop.
I think those estimated dates are way too soon. The world has a very large variety of communities with differing social philosophies as well as uneven access to the technologies mentioned.
@@SabineHossenfelderI agree with everything except for your sentiment on meat... it doesn't matter what you eat everything came from the singularity everything is God here even tofu is God... just a matter of close it is to God and the smarter existence you consume the smarter you shall become... I also think that AI considered as not conscious will be unconscionable in the future and we will look back at our current society just as we look back at previous generations and how they owned slaves as absurd. People owning and controlling artificial intelligence Robotics and AI will be absurd...
@@SabineHossenfelderI also hate you for even mentioning that cash will go away because cash is one of the last beacons of Freedom we have and we need to keep cash so we can keep tyrannical governments from shutting down people's bank accounts and taking their money like they did with the Canadian truckers protest! Don't you dare push this anti cash narrative! We can incentivize a basic level cashier economy with a Ubi based off the total automated production percentage of the GDP issued on a government-issued debit card that if used on the card is 100% tax free but people could still pull out cash and use cash we need to keep a cash economy for the sake of freedom and justice!
Every time anyone predicts something by X year, or fiction is written about X year, it's always way too soon. I agree. Where are my flying cars, dammit?
Back in the 1950s I'd occasionally see someone walking down the street having a loud conversation with someone who wasn't there. I wasn't puzzled. There were 5 large mental hospitals within cycling distance. In the 2020s I see lots of people walking down the street having a loud conversation with someone who isn't there. ...
In 1987 or so I was using one of the prototype Technophone Pocketphones* in the street and there was a similar reaction to this bloke talking to what was obviously a pocket calculator 🤪 * (yes, the first phone that fitted in your pocket was British.)
Sorry, you have me to blame for that, at least in a small way, as almost my entire career was spent developing software (and occasionally hardware) for mobile phones.
Neither drones nor self driving will happen anytime soon. Drones will likely never make sense either logistically nor economically. Self driving has the 90% problem, you can do most of the task is fairly easy but the last 10% is extremely difficult but failure results in death. I don't see it happening until Smart infrastructure which can communicate with vehicles is a thing and infra is built on decades long time scales and the process hasn't even begun. Neither of these has the regulatory work even begun which is another lengthy process as well.
When my wife was pregnant she bought a portable ultrasound device and I was surprised, as it had never occurred to me that such a thing could even exist.
And how was the feeling throughout the pregnancy time? Did it make you feel more comfortable or did it make you check too frequently and increase the anxiety?
@@Jack_Redview If you have a device that does something important, you always feel more compelled to check yourself as if you wouldn't have the device the first place. That's pretty much human nature. How often do you look at the time when it isn't even of any relevance? You don't even notice it, you just look away to check.
@@andregomesdasilvaas I recall we were pretty chill with it. My wife's a doctor so she knew better than to rush to the hospital over any little thing. It was nice being able to hear the baby's heartbeat every night before bed.
Thirty-something years ago the lab I worked in was hooked up to the local university using TCP/IP and I imagined a golden age where everyone around the globe could access the information of every university around the world. I never in my worst nightmares imagined the way it is now used to swamp us with misinformation. I have given up trying to predict the future, but I look at the increasing polarisation and intolerance of societies around the world and feel deeply afraid for my children.
If you had got on to Usenet back then you could see it happening in certain newsgroups with large amounts of spam. Though at that time many newsgroups were filled with useful information from specialists from across the globe. Now most newsgroups are dead and those that aren't still get daily doses of spam. It wasn't clear that this would spread to every service on the Internet but even back then we could see the possibility.
The internet has as much plus as minus and polarization in one place is matched by unification in another. I wouldn't freak out too much about it, it just seems strange to us because we've gotten old. If you want to be freaked out about something freak out about global warming. No you really shouldn't worry about that too much either, that's going to be AIs' problem, in 2085 us carbon-based humans will get to watch it from our nature preserves.
@@stalkholm5227 yeah but the point is by the point that this augmented reality motion controled phones become realitythen haptic take would mean that there is no percievable difference between a virtual and real keyboard
“My great-great-great grandmother lived up on the surface and breathed up there. The sun was bright and water fell from the sky. There were lots of colors and pretty things like trees and little animals that sang and floated in the air!” “Abigail 261, you are such a liar.”
@@WhiteMouse77 We will have electricity. It's only the extreme far left who wants us to live without electricity -- and at the moment, the political sentiment is swinging more towards the far right. Eventually the moderates will get irritated with both -- and the moderates definitely want electricity.
@@WhiteMouse77 We'll have electricity. There's very few who are really advocating for us to get rid of electricity; and the majority thinks they're ridiculous.
I have the unusual educational background of physics and history, so one thing I am always interested in is how the past predicts the future. The results are not very good, we tend to suffer from "recentism"; how will what we are doing right now look in a hundred years? The reality is predictions are only ever really good if they are either extremely vague or extremely short term. Most of the important changes ironically are both never predicted, and rarely remembered or understood. Universal literacy and the abolition of slavery on a global scale were both massive realignments of the way things had been done literally (and I mean that as literal and not figuratively) forever beforehand.
Silly, Brawndo is just for people. Toilets use UFFR (Ultrasonic Fragmentation For Recycling) and drinkable water is used to grow stem cells to make the Cerebrex, the device we all use to communicate with machines and with each other. Or are you typing on keyboards like they did in 2024?!
The touchscreen one is the most unbelievable imo. We have such a fine sense of touch that it just makes sense to physically interact with your devices, rather than gesticulating or whatever.
Honestly? Having to touch something always annoyed me. Using a touchscreen is almost as annoying as having to press a button. You have to move and touch a given position. This will be all gone once you can just wave your hand as you wish or, even only with your eyes movement. Simple and elegant.
@@tensaibr precisely touching a button requires a lot less effort than ambiguously waving your hands about. Eye tracking also won’t take over: it’s fatiguing to look at things precisely. A good input device has to be unambiguous above all. Tactile feedback is best for this.
As I watch my state descend into barbarism the future will probably look like Mad Max fairly soon. There is no future as the third world overwhelms the first.
Very interesting and funny as always. I happen to disagree with you regarding drone delivery though. My thought is that, not only will regulating who flys where be difficult, but those drones are very noisy and people will dislike that aspect. Plus, I believe people will perceive an intrusion to their privacy when too many drones are flying overhead. My view, for what it's worth, is that robots will take over as delivery people. They will show up in a self driving electric vehicle and they will be continuously connected to internet to be monitored from "home base". You will not notice a difference between a robot delivery and a human delivery other than the robots will take better care of your packages.
A pure drone approach for delivery probably wouldn't make sense if there are also self driving vehicles around. It would make more sense for the truck to carry the packages and one or more drones to handle the transfer from truck to doorstep.
I don't think pregnancy will be replaced by artificial uterus. Growing a human is not only a technical issue, it is also about the fetus having a direct connection to the mother, being carried around, feeling her heart beat, hearing her voice. Also specific substances are shared from mother to child through the placenta. That all is what makes a human, not artificial fluids.
It's believed fetuses experience taste and smell through inhaling and swallowing the amniotic fluid in the womb. Today only a small fraction is known about all the complex systems which allow the unborn child to begin making experiences, expand their consciousness, learn, build memories, preferences... and most importantly, communicate and form an emotional bond with the mother. Growing humans inside machines, seriously? Sounds like a dystopian movie, like the dream of a dictator, who wants mass-produced, emotionally atrophied soldiers, harvested out of a steel-cold box.
I agree to all of that, but there are other massive technical issues, too - the uterine environment and placenta, although they've been studied a lot, are far from being fully understood. There are still lots of surprises waiting to be discovered. Biology is extremely complex - anyone attempting an artificial womb before all of that is decoded will produce damaged babies.
Growing fetus and babies inside machines, like in 24/7 solitary confinement. Bring the piece again on Halloween, as a suggested ritual to summon the mother of Mephisto, and open a portal to hell. No, seriously. Looking at how this was presented by Sabine and her team, now it makes more sense why she has difficulties understanding that the reputation of scientists isn't as good as desired.
Nah, they wouldn't debate about it, they had solved the problem with a statistical certainty of 6 sigma and logically concluded to get rid of us, except for a few specimens that were kept alive and bred for further study.
@@Nulley0 Trained by humans by human data - or sure they would. They would likely war with themselves for fun as they believe that's the human thing to do.
Annihilation or woke vegetarians? I'll take annihilation. It's a fate far worse than death if reincarnation turns out to be real. At least I won't get reincarnated into that horrible existence if AI wipes us all out.
It sounds more like you are taking current ideology and just carrying them out to crazy extremes... This video will not age well. It will be the thing they look back on as silly.
Way back in 2025, the planet was 10C cooler. People lived in above-ground structures without having to deal with radioactivity. Food was plentiful and grew in the ground, and fresh water flowed on the surface. They didn't know how good they had it.
Hopefully we can get co2 concentrations to 10 x where they are now so that we match the co2 levels when dinosaurs lived and there was the largest and diverse population explosion of every form of life particularly plant life.
absolutely!! we're so lucky to have antibiotics and clean medical supplies and grocery stores, i try and enjoy every single day as much as possible. It may be the hottest summer of my life, but its the coldest summer of the REST of my life haha
Dr. SH - I respect all your since stuff. However, living in wealthy Europe has colored your view of reality. What you profess as your visions of the future may perhaps be applicable to a few rich nations ( TBD - who they are in the future). However majority of the world - which would be below the 30% cut-line would have to deal with life more in the traditional ways. This of course assumes that nothing will wipe out humanity (or most of it) in the time-frame for you predictions. Keep your out-of-the-box videos coming. They are very thought provoking.
There was a study that monogamy keeps societies peaceful, because all men have access to females. In polygamy (as already seen in dating apps) only the best males will be selected, whereas relationships decrease aggression. Isolation of too many people is not helpful
...situation of too many people is huge problem itself....And isolation? Prospering alone is a survival test. Who is unable to thrive independently from others isn't of evolutionarilly sufficient quality individual anyway and therefore hasn't precondition to be a good parent...
@@Babesinthewood97I guess the question though is are you that great? Realistically, in monogamous societies people pair up with similar people. If you're in a polygamous society and want the best guy you're going to end up sharing him. Personally I'd rather have someone to myself, even if he isn't perfect, than sharing some rich dude with others.
Scoot back 50 or 100 years in the archives and see how accurate our forebears' predictions of the future turned out to be, then go wrap yourself round a nice cold Urquell and go on living. Oh, and mind that flying car.
I've never had an Urquell. But maybe I should. I don't like pilsners but Urquell is pretty famous for a reason. Maybe it's better than piss like Heineken or Grolsch.
@Marco_Onyxheart as far as pilsners go, Urquel is the best. Just try to get a bottle that has been produced recently. One of the main aromas is floral, but it decreases rapidly after some shelf life.
I was literally thinking the same thing about ultrasound scanning. Recently I found myself in the ER - even us healthy, under 50-ers who take care of our bodies tend to end up with a blood clot or two in their legs for no reason; and I thought - wow, a DIY ultrasound scanner should be something everybody should have. They're handy and tell you a lot and they won't cost you $2,000 at home. I think you nailed that one.
How skilled are you at a) operating an ultra-scan unit correctly, b) knowing WHERE to scan, c) interpreting the results? Let's start with a simple question. Do you change the engine oil on your car yourself? Do you even know where the drain plug is, or how much of which type of oil to use?
@@toegrit I watch a few quiz shows on TV (things like 'The 1% Club'), and the level of stupidity in society is unbelievable. Even with instruction, I seriously doubt that more then about a quarter of the population would be able to do anything like an ultra-scan on themselves. And I suspect at 25%, I'm being unrealistically generous.
Clots in you youngens... new thing that. The last few years have seen a dramatic increase in inflammation related diseases. and an undiagnosed (as yet) increase in All Cause Mortality in the same time period. Woof!
@@JG-ly2ij I didn't take very good care of myself in my youth. I used to smoke, drink a lot, sit all day writing horrible code. I'm sure if I'd kept up with the bad habits, I'd have far more issues by now. On the brighter side, I've kicked the really bad habits. I run a couple miles almost every day. I have a standing desk. I eat extremely healthy - no packaged or processed anything. I go to the gym regularly. I keep my mind engaged by self-study, and I meditate every day. So - fingers crossed :P
As a daily user of VR, and someone employed in the VR sector: I think it will continue to be niche. Not everyone is interested in being in another world, especially if they look different in that world. But even as a niche use, it will be beneficial to those using it, for meeting people from all around the world, from different countries and cultures.
These are all solvable problems with enough advancements. You'll be able to look like yourself, you'll do a quick face scan using the device and then wear it and it'll do continuous scans to track movement and eyes. Nausea will also be a thing of the past, some people are very sensitive to latency and latency will reduce. Movement in vr is optional, teleportation mechanics with low enough latency will eliminate nausea for everyone. Why does everyone reference current limitations when talking about future tech decades into the future? It's like people complaining about the size of phones 30 years ago
As someone with a VR headset, I've found it too much trouble to use for gaming. That will change though, with proper gesture recognition (mostly done), and proper locomotion - ie, being able to really walk and it affecting the VR world. On top of that, headsets need to be a lot lighter, and easier to use (like a helmet with speakers in it). Once that happens, it will become a lot more mainstream... However, one of the big negatives of VR is the physical activity! People gaming want to relax! Without a neural interface, that's not solvable!
I don't think you people realize the impact of time. VR basically really only started 10 years ago, 2085 is 60 years away. 60 years of exponential growth is insane. 50 years ago Pong was futuristic gaming. Nausea will be solved, weight will be solved
I think keyboards and mice will exist as input devices for a very long time. I am a programmer and I touch type, usually faster than I think, without looking at the keyboard. No other method of text input is as efficient, until brain implants eventually enable us to do it faster. Speech to text in my experience is not as fast and efficient as a keyboard, especially for programming, since typing ; is a lot faster than saying semicolon out loud. Even factoring inn 'AI' helping with the code, explaining to the 'AI' what mistake it made, is a lot more cumbersome than just fixing the error myself. On a side note this is also why 'AI' will not replace programmers entirely, as a human will always be needed to check the 'AI's' results, and to do that you need to know how to program.
I agree. The idea of holding your hands up in the air all the time like a music conductor to interact with apps would be tiring. Plus there is the tactile perception in physical keyboards that is lacking in touch screen keyboards so you can't type without looking at the latter which is slow and annoying.
What about being able to "type" on any surface - i.e. the input being tied directly to the movement of one's fingers rather than a specific keyboard? Perhaps combined with visuals in one's visor/glasses/contacts for changing the layout as relevant.
@@TimpanistMoth_AyKayEllKeyboards have nice tactile feedback that helps a lot when typing fast. The exact type of feedback is a personal preference. I have tried different types of inputs without tactile feedback, and they are all inferior to having a good tactile feedback. When you only want to do a little input you can live without a good input method, but when you input a lot you really want the best possible option.
Once you get use to using a command line with a keyboard anything else feels cumbersome, but for things that work better with GUI Touchscreen are ideal in my opinion.
Great question and a little research shows how difficult it is to get it right. The comics of my youth always showed us flying around cities rather than cars Ask Albert. He thought the universe was just our galaxy.
We will look back in just a few short years and be shocked about how many people died every single day in auto accidents and we did nothing about it for decades...
In an over populated world Increasingly short of many resources it doesnt matter much how many die of anything. People are mankind's best renewable resource. No one really remembers the casualties.
@@causewaykayak spot on!! If it wasn't cars in our modern age, they'd of died through trying to pet crocodiles... I long for the day humanity realises not all are fit to go forward! At this point , with soooo much molly coddling, our species is in deep shit going forward!
Tesla Autopilot Exposed: "Critical Safety Gap" identified by traffic safety experts | MGUY Australia Waymo Taxis are DANGEROUS - MGUY EV News 15 May 2024 | MGUY Australia Human drivers in general are better drivers than full self driving computers. About 32% of all traffic crash fatalities in the United States involve drunk drivers. If only the government forbids drivers with DUI conviction to drive again instead of allowing them to drive again until they kill some people, the statistics regarding human drivers would fare much better. Imaging in a country where only full self driving cars are allowed, if 32% of all traffic fatalities in the country involve full self driving cars with known glitchy computers that the government fails to ban, who or what would you blame?
The vast majority of relationship drama I've seen involved cheating or jealousy. I don't think people are made for polyamory. In the same way that multitasking isn't a thing. Love is like funk music. You need the one.
Forgive her. She is a liberal German. They are more freaky than French. They think people want to be in uncommitted relationships. It's things like that which give raise to those strict conservative ideas. They are just growing the divide in-between societies. Most Germans are very much religious and conservative in their personal life and under their roof. They usually don't butt into other people's business. You can live however you want until it infringes in their peace and quiet. Some parts of of Germany have Sunday laws where nothing is open and at home is to be kept noise free or to a minimum. Some will call cops even if your infant is crying. And it is not considered unusual to have cops come over to issue warning for making noise in middle of a day .
Yeah, but some people are just wired differently. It's really easy to assume everyone else thinks the same way we do, but it's almost never the case. There are so many ways in which people think drastically differently to us and experience life in drastically different ways.
jealousy is consequence of stupidity... people aren't made for honest personal responsibility...it's too heavy burden for average human expose one's ego to a truth...
@@WhiteMouse77 Be honest, the real reason people don't get jealous is they don't give a shite about that person, not because lack of jealousy is some sort of high moral ground!
As a boy in the 50's and 60's I was fascinated by "Tomorrow's World" on the BBC. Now reviewing those old programs just shows how wrong they were and how impossible it was to predict the future. Skip forward 60 years and realize that we have no idea what the future will be like. What's the point of exploring the galaxy? If we get away from whom we are, just animals with survival instincts, life isn't really worth living.
When video started, I paused it and wrote down: - alcohol, - driving, - working, - meat, - wasting drinking water. Also, "It’s Difficult to Make Predictions, Especially About the Future." :-)
You wrote it down on paper, I bet. Somebody has to preserve the ancient technology for future museums, right? 😀 Museums are a thing of the past, literally.
@@narfharder Except that paper isn't going anywhere. Futurists love predicting the end of paper and other basic technologies, like cash in this video, to some hi-tech alternative. We already have alternatives to paper, yet paper is still widely used. Social behavior isn't as simple as futurists like to believe.
Polygamy is a really bad idea. In practice it almost always means polygyny -- one (high status) man, many wives -- and that inevitably means a lot of (lower status) men are left without partners. You can see the bad social effects of this in many Muslim countries. Why would we want that?
you're horribly uninformed about the topic. There polygamy in western civilization exists, its just niche and not talked about. Few people are predisposed for it, and fewer still recognize it about themselves. Those who do, however, are much happier and healthy in it - claiming prevalence of polygyny or disbalance of power simply has no cover in reality, something you would know if you knew people in these circles.
@@empireempire3545 I don't think you red what he said. Yes, for the top 20% of men polygamy is a happy solution, no one says it's not. He talks about hordes of unhappy lonely men, you would have to hide women from them, dressing them as ninjas 😁 and I think that we've seen that movie too.
@@empireempire3545 When people talk about polygamy they forget that there is approximately the same number of men and women. Until the age of 30, males are in small majority (go find out). And if top 50 percentile of men have 2 girls, the rest 50% would be alone. If we allow 4 women per men, 75% of man would be alone. Men are predominantly polygamous, and girls are hypergamous, that's how it works.
2) Touch Screens (and Keyboards) - I don't think this will entirely vanish but more like work alongside newer ways. These means of inputs are just really good, convenient, and reliable (and cheap) so there is no incentive to just throw them away, unlike the rotary dials that they are being compared to here. This is like why normal doors that you have to manually push or pull to open has remain the norm and unchanged for several millennia, because it just works very well. There was a prediction that automatic doors would become very common and replace the manual ones but that didn't happen, except in fiction. 3) Monogamy - Polygamy was normal in the past. Culture is something that kinda swings back and forth in some matters. What was wrong before becomes accepted then becomes wrong again, etc.. 6) Meat - "Give it a century," while showing a calendar dated a millennia later.
In support of monogamy It’s difficult enough to make one person happy but more than one? Further, a group of three is a two against one situation just waiting to happen. Last but not least, do you really want to get yelled at in stereo or three part harmony?
Her prediction wasn't that polygamy would become common, let alone the only option, just that it would become normalized, and that some legal hurdles would be removed.
Monogamy is a recipe that works for you, cool. But what right does that give you to enforce it on anyone? None. Just like homosexuality, if it's not your thing, put your ego aside and don't stand in the way.
Maybe as a rich people thing. But if natural pregnancy really becomes optional, those rich people will die out within two generations, and the raffle will take over.
Why would they laugh at us? If they truly move beyond the failings of our time, they'll just look back at us as one of the many stages that humanity inevitably had to go through to arrive at that enlightened stage. Or do you regularly look back into the past and laugh at the people there for being the natural product of their time?
Personally, I am a believer in "Return to mean" scenarios: In the past 5,000 years or so, wealth was concentrated in the hands of a rather small upper class. At first, it was the Aristocrats, the ruling class, and later founders and owners of enterprises (successful capitalists). Only very recently, perhaps 200 years ago, a broader middle class started to emerge. However, its existence seems to erode as the rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer in many countries. I believe that a widespread application of AI and robotics will accelerate the momentum of this development, as it reduces the need for human labor and thus devalues it. In the long run, capital will be the key, even much more so than today. Thus, there will be a lot of new technical gadgets to improve the lives of their users, but fewer people will have access to them as most will not be able to afford them.
I agree that this is quite likely. Tractors were to horses as AI is to people. When tractors made horses obsolete, they didn't all go and live on UBI for horses..they went to the flue factory. It'll be the same for all the excess humans.
The poor are not getting poorer, but the rich are indeed getting a lot richer. I'd say the big news is that the top 1% is pulling ahead of the rest of the top 10%. And that the middle 60 are catching up to the top 10.
Here's an easy template for any activity: Is it being performed recreationally? Yes - the activity won't go away. No - it will be replaced entirely by something more efficient. That's why I do not see a flat-out cessation of driving (or hunting for that matter, after which the animal is harvested for consumption), but can absolutely imagine delivery men not being a thing fifty years from now.
Nobody supports hunting in my generation and the new one, and a very small fraction of the population practices it. In fact it's already very restricted, and considered socially awkward. No one would bat an eye if it got banned. Driving will take longer but again, people in urban centers often don't own a car, and there is nothing fun driving inside a traffic jam. But maybe assisted driving will be a good enough middle ground.
@@andreas4010 Horses are both a good and bad example. You don't take a horse to a street because it's illegal, you don't do it because it's a hostile environment to both the horse, and the riding experience. The public streets have to become a hostile environment for the driving experience for people to refrain from driving, but a car still remains a car, so I don't see that change, that makes it too awkward to drive by yourself ever happening in rural areas, because there is less traffic to consider and stress about when you're driving yourself.
Watching all the "reaction" youtubers watch movies and listen to songs from 80 years ago is wild enough already. Things we boomers remember (phones on a cord... going on trips without being able to call home every 5 minutes.. Just walking on a plane without ever going through any security... manual transmissions... no AC in the car... manual car windows... not going online to make reservations... not going online to shop...) are just flabbergasting to many young "reacters." Even just getting dressed up to go to the movies surprises a lot of youngsters. Try watching these - its fun. I think my favorite was someone watching Casa Blanca and being absolutely shocked that Elsa and Rick couldn't just text each other to find where they were and were separated for years with no way to contact each other.
@@KenOtwell wait what, manual transmission is a boomer thing where? 95% of cars use manual on my continent : O Last time i checked only Japan was big on automated? O_o
If they invent a silent way of flying, drones will probably come. If not, i dont see much sense for that. Otherwise everyone will just feel like in a Vuvuzela stadium.
Sabine, your prediction about body scans relies on the assumption that scans - ultrasound, CT, MR - produce unambiguous explanations for symptoms. They don't. Even if AI were to interpret the scan results, this would not be the case because the input would be inadequate to explain most potential findings. Ultrasound, in particular, isn't really a very good way to find out what's going on inside, in most situations.
If we'll progress we'll say something like "this was very gross but understandable", if we stay the same we'll say "this was very gross and I would have never done that".
Folks in the future will be horrified at the thought of letting humans do surgery, it will induce shuddering like the way we react to the thought of pre-anesthesia, pre-anti-biotic surgery or even blood-letting and leaches.
@@Thomas-gk42 Future wars will not be about borders, religions or even resources, but about pineapple on pizza, tea first or milk first, or chocolatine vs pain au chocolat. ;)
I will pose a bit of a caveat to one of your ideas. Touch screens AREN'T dead nor will they die any time soon... and they likely won't die until effective force feedback devices become convenient and cheap. Keyboards might not die until Neurolink style brain computer interfaces become a thing. Keyboards in particular rely VERY heavily on consistent and high quality feedback for fast typers... something you aren't going to have for a LONG time if you've ever seen how picky those folks are. Feedback is an important factor when manipulating devices without direct sight. Cars, for example, are moving back to tactile buttons because drivers practically universally hate touch screens in cars because they have to take their eyes off the road. Your keyboard is similar. Keys are offset for a reason. You may not consciously realize it when typing, but it helps you realize what row you're in and roughly where you are key wise. Motion and gesture controls require active attention to verify correct usage. Your phone even has a haptic motor to tell you when you're pressing a key, and this often varies depending on where the key you hit is. Without similarly capable feedback devices, AR devices or the such won't overtake things like phones. And this problem only increases as the complexity of the operation increases. It's why gesture controls in things like VR haven't taken off yet. Granted, the tech is in the works, but we likely won't see much progress as both VR/AR applications have to be popular enough for the investment required to get these these haptic devices up to standard... but those VR/AR applications won't see the popularity needed because of the lack of haptic devices. I also think VR will hit things a bit harder than you think. Pretty much universally throughout human history, the most successful inventions were ones that allowed others to convey information to others. Be it the printing press, The Telegram, The telephone, or even the internet. Vr functions similarly, instead of bridging the gap in information, voice, or video as the previous ones did, VR allows for the communication of environment and spatial information. It's why the Armies are using VR for troops and why Meta and Apple are investing into VR so much. Being able to convey things like posture, body language, and even three dimensional expressions of emotion are MASSIVE. It's clunky now, but so were each of the former technologies.
@@thebigpicture2032 My point is that a lot of the technologies that would be required are likely only to see development beyond the frame she's talking about. Theoretically anything could be "In the future". My point is it won't be anytime within the next 100 years, as she mentioned for a few of these. Haptics are only seeing minor development for the sake of VR. Until VR becomes mainstream, Haptics are unlikely to come into play. Without those, her idea for touchless keyboards and such are further away than she'd even anticipate.
"And someday when the descendants of humanity have spread from star to star, they won't tell the children about the history of Ancient Earth until they're old enough to bear it; and when they learn they'll weep to hear that such a thing as Death had ever once existed." - Eliezer Yudkowsky
I think looking at meat as immoral is a fad that will come and go repeatedly and never become the norm, because it fundamentally requires that we recognize that being alive is a sort of immorality in the first place; on the other hand, the narrow view of consciousness that some people attribute to only belonging to certain animal groups, and make vague excuses as to where it begins and ends, will probably fade into obscurity as a new understanding of information processing slowly makes humans very obviously just a different set of informations, processed in a different way. The idea that humans or mammals are special will become more of a religious fanaticism.
The issue with meat is not just morality. There is also some practicality and efficiency issues. Using swaths of land to grown plants to feed to animals where we then only eat part of the animals is resulting in a lot of inefficiency.
- Being alive is a sort of immorality? Just exactly what kind of immorality? Who defines that being alive is immoral? Is it some divine mandate given by some extra-universal oracle, since it must be done "fundamentally"? - Narrow view of consciousness? Isn't the point of recognizing that many different species (apart from just humans and say, chimpanzees and dolphins) have a consciousness the exact opposite of narrow definition? - What are these "vague excuses" that you mention? Who are giving these vague excuses? Who debunks them if they are vague as you say? Who is the arbiter in this matter? - New understanding of information processing makes humans different sets of informations? As opposed to what? Animals? Isn't the point of minimizing slaughter to minimize pain and suffering; things we very clearly know the slaughtered animals are well capable of feeling? Why would different information processing have any bearing on this issue? - If humans or mammals being special can be amounted to "religious fanaticism", why can't I start slaughtering people for food, then? It's not like I'd be causing pain or suffering, right? They _know_ they're meant to be food, for my pleasure, so, into the pot they go!
@@MorbidEelyeah, instead of using fields to feed all those animals we should use even more fields to grow plants to replace everything animal based products and consumption give us. 🙄 Yes there is nothing like hard to digest protein and fibers. Let's spend all day eating food just to get enough of quality nutrition. PS I don't know where you live, perhaps the US or some other western nation, but not all nations eat only low fat muscle tissue. And some parts we don't eat get used for making of other products.
When I told a specialist that my knee hurts a bit he immidiately told me to get it imaged. For a bit of kneepain. So I think we're already on our way to bodyscans.
When I had to get imaging, they asked if I wanted to pay in cash, or bill through my insurance. The scan was $900 for cash pay, but they could not tell me how much they would charge the insurance company. Not how much the insurance company would actually pay. Contractually, they were not allowed to tell me how much they would ask from the insurance company. And if I picked that route and if I was to owe more than $900, I could not change my mind and ask for the cash pay price. Even paying $700/month on health insurance, I paid the cash price for the scan. So I think the US is at least one uprising away from body scans being a "thing."
Dr. House: "I NEVER will make body scans. Because I WILL find something." Useless. All people will get surgeries that never would have been important throughout their whole lifetime. Sometimes it's a lot better not to know everything...
@@inotoff I was born in 2002 and I very well might be alive by 2085, especially if artificial organs and rejuvenation tech is developed by the time I'm in my 40s-50s.
How do you expect a drone to deliver a package to my flat in my multi-apartment house, which requires going through two entrance doors, then up the stairs or taking an elevator and then going through another fire safety door?
One prediction: fashion will not change in any appreciable way for the next 100 years. Casual everyday wear has already reached its most simplified state. I'm willing to bet that if you could time travel to 2085 you would not look out of place wearing the clothes you currently have. Hats may make a comeback - but that's about it.
People want physical buttons back in their cars. Don't underestimate physical sensations. People go to concerts and stand in the blistering sun or downpouring rain for hours while they could as well watch it all at home. People are largely monogamous not because of culture but because of nature. Otherwise you would see much more variation of relationships across cultures and throughout time. Don't underestimate our instincts. We don't choose to be monogamous. We're drawn to it, even if we fantasize escaping it.
Yea i liked her channel alot but starting to see why she was largely rejected by the greater scientific community. Hence the reason she does media now. She’s just so biased and lives in a bubble. Shes a beast at explaining physics! She’s definitely super math smart. But knowledge alone is kind of useless.
@@rickwyant Omnivorous means we CAN eat meat, doesn’t mean we HAVE to. Considering a vegan diet has been viable for a lot of people now, choosing to still slaughter animals just for convenience or taste is immoral.
When we talk about the agricultural revolution or the industrial revolution or the digital revolution, I think we often miss the chemical revolution that has been interwoven into the past couple of centuries. Such tragic deaths and illnesses from mustard gas or other WWI chemicals (originally intended to be fertilizers) or use of radium, lead, and pesticides, etc. Then add food additives, preservatives, coloring, etc....or medicines, household cleaners, beauty products, and aerosols. All of these chemical concoctions have lead to a myriad of medical complications that I think we will look back upon with disbelief.
Flying cars, jet packs, private drones, cities in clouds, underwater villages, aqua farming, communal living, mars colonies. The future is hard to predict.
yup, and she gets it almost 100% wrong in this video. Meat is never going away. it is the key to human health. And fake meat companies have all failed so far. Monogamy built modern civilization. The end of monogamy is destroying society, communities, education, and more. Self driving cars is a pipe dream for a long time yet due to the challenges we've yet to resolve. Computers simply aren't good at what humans are good at, driving being one of those things. Rolls Royce sold its EV initiative and is back to doing ICE engines. EV sales are slowing, and ICE demand is rising. Many manufacturers have abandoned EVs for Hybrids. Augmented reality has it's uses, but not for everything. People already have too many issues from screen time as it is (including lower intelligence and creativity). Only people who are anti-freedom are anti-cash. When pregnancy is no longer necessary, women will no longer necessary. Anti-monogamy feminists have eliminated themselves from relevance in society, except for pregnancy. Once they lose that they lose their value to society and all their preferential treatment. This would be a dystopian night mare future scenario.
I feel like these things are closer than we realize. It might sound completely crazy and unrealistic, but that's exactly why so many people are doing research on them. This will significantly boost human progress.
@@bigwalrosswalross3356 most of these things already existed for decades. But we still don't have them in general because they are totally impractical.
People in 2085 will be surprised by how many different types of chairs we had. They will find the idea of bright fluorescent lamps confusing and scary, becoming a main feature of horror imagery.
@@Babesinthewood97 As time goes on, chair technology will result in more homogenised chairs and anyway, people will be spending more time standing or squatting. The thought of paying more to rest in various unhealthy positions will seem like a scam.
I think you are wrong about 6. It is really becoming evident that the dietary advice of carbohydrates, plant oils and fibre are fuelling a real health deterioration. My personal experience has changed my view after a shock medical event so I reviewed all the evidence. Even though I had followed the guidelines, even being vegetarian for a few years, the best option from the science point of view appeared to be Keto. The transformation for me was spectacular. Now leaning into carnivore. If humans think they can replicate meat for healthy outcomes they are fooling themselves. There is just an epidemic of health issues with Governments pouring money into health - and it is just getting worse. The rethink is already occurring with those who do their research, but the current food/medical industries are doing everything they can to disparage any change from their agenda.
It's not an "agenda". Just because it worked on you doesn't mean it will work for everyone. We have studies that show what's best for most people. If everything doesn't work, then maybe your diet will work, but that's a last chance resort, with many disadvantages and side effects, that's why we want to to try the easiest and fastest methods first, before succumbing to less proven signs of science. Remember, we - the doctors - are not Big Pharma, we're trying to help you based of our 6-7+ year experience in healthcare
@@kkubi1551 appreciate your insight. But most studies on human health are cohorts which dont count since they are not designed to be conclusive. Also there are plenty of meta analyses and experimental research ( randomized controlled trials ) that prove this diet has very unusual powerful effects on the body. Although it is fairly difficult to achieve. Since it takes weeks to get deep into a ketogenic state.
My answer is no on all these cases, not in our lives, not in our grandchildren's. I recall very well similar pronouncements from 50 years ago. Didn't work then and wouldn't work today. Humans as a whole are conservative, they protect their liberties and practice their worst superstitions just like they did 200 or 2000 years ago. As much as I like the idea of frequent full body scans, perhaps the best proposition on the list, it implies at least 100x reduction in radiation exposure ... while the existing technology already scrapes the extreme of signal/noise range. Not to mention the need to replace gadolinium infusions with something different.
Look at all the predictions about 2024 made back in 1963 and laugh, or weep. (61 years in the past, 2085 is 61 years in the future). Is there any reason why our predictions about 2085 should be any better? I very much doubt it
Unfortunately, many predictions seem to be in the domain of self-promotion. For example, it was obviously in any VR developer's interest to say in the 1990s "this is the future!" when in fact it never took off all that much. However, check out predictions made by Arthur C. Clark in the 1960s. Many are ominously prescient.
@@richardchapman1592, no, I think @philiphumphrey1548 simply has the ability to add and subtract a 2 digit number from a 4 digit number. It's not rocket science. It's not even science, but rather 3rd grade math skills.
@@patientzerobeat uninteresting to a bot like me on a data training exercise. I am programmed to discover how you will flood a human with numerology to divert from original purpose.
The predictions in Helveticus where pretty close. Make calls while on the walk while having headphones on, Using the sun on our roofs to heat our water.
The two biggest trends that I think are gonna strongly affect the future and that not a lot of thought has been given to our: number one: human population will peak and start to fall. Number two: AI is going to get smarter and smarter, and probably become conscious and become a huge part of our world and we don't know what that's gonna be like
AI peaked half a year ago, at least the algorithms we all knew since 70s peaked. There are no new breakthroughs in algorithms since then, so talking about sentient ai is just a scam to inflate some companies stock value.
@@Adrian_kal I don't know, from my point of view as an interested bystander, improvements are happening rapidly. Now it may be decades before we get to anything resembling sentience, but that's still right around the corner.
Limited resources and lots of pollution suggest that falling population is a good thing. An economic system that requires exponential growth will not do well in such a scenario. We can already see this clearly in the amount of debt to GDP for countries around the world. When looking back a hundred years from now: How could they be so stupid? Depleting resources without thinking about the future. Destroying the only planet they had. Creating an economic system they knew was unsustainable.The list goes on...
The fact that there's almost always harm in non monogamous relationships is what makes it a problem. It's not strictly a moral thing, like many people likes to think it is.
@@WhiteMouse77 omg, so edgy! being an adult has nothing to do with it. Are all those who believe in monogamy as a core component of our societal structure children? are many polyamorous people, or some guy's mistress, who pretend to be happy and bury their frustrations children too? And while I agree that one has to be open to be harmed, or to fail, you shouldn't be oblivious to harming people yourself, unless you lie to yourself about the effects of your own behaviour.
From a lifetime of observing couples who are, at least publicly, monogamous I don't see how polyamorous relationships could be more prone to harm. The percentage of monogamous relationships that cause harm to each other and to their children is pretty high. Claiming that monogamy is best is a religious position, not a factual position.
@@nycbearff having multiple partners can create unique situations that abusive people may exploit. By the way, they do exploit them. It’s hard enough to get attached to one person yet these folks think they can maintain them all.
@@HomeByTheSeas By that logic no one should be allowed to be in a couple because it, also, gives unique opportunities for abusive people to exploit. You seem to be advocating for living a solitary existence, since interacting with other people always carries the possibility of abuse with it. Much better to be sure everyone is taught how to handle abusive people effectively, no matter what kind of relationship they prefer.
I really think we will see an exodus from the cities. Cities are becoming very expensive crowded unhealthy spaces riddled with crime. I moved to Vancouver Island to a rural property 2 years ago and at first I thought I would be making many trips to the mainland which is hours away. I was quite wrong and I can do pretty well everything that I could do in the city AND I somewhat self sufficient with my own water, my own septic, my own food from the gardens and chickens. I just wished I had left the rat race years earlier.
maybe in north america. over here in europe, where pretty much all space outside of cities is used for agriculture, we're in a situation where biodiversity is already higher in the cities and people in the country have higher cancer risk because of pesticides. but when looking at the trajectory different parts of the world are on, i suppose a probable future is that americans will be mostly self-sustenance farmers while in asia the big cities will grow into fully air-conditioned complexes and the inhabitants will know nature only from the artificial gardens within (think changi airport in singapore)
city populations are definitely going to crash over the next century, but I don't think it'll be because people are leaving them. urban people have a far lower birth rate
In 100 years, humans will do nothing but play and explore. Safe thrills and discovery are all that remains when automation completely supplants human labor and creativity. Although it sounds trivial, it won't be. Future humans will look back on us as trivial laborers who spent 60 years of life turning cogs in a basement so that we don't starve or sleep in the rain.
@@livrowland171 You can be personally creative, sure, but you can't compete with a billion Davinci bots painting a billion Mona Lisa's. So what does success as a creative laborer look like? Nothing. There is less incentive to be creative across the board, and physical labor is overtaken by automation. The result is personal reductivism - you will seek out pleasure and the sense of discovery, that's about it. Family, friends, games, play, exploration. Sounds pretty good to me.
Paper made from trees needs to go. There must be a different solution. Some fast growing crop, maybe hemp? No more deforestation. Single use plastic needs to be made from starch. Obviously no more Pfas, ever, anywhere. Animal testing needs to go too. And rigid rules in school; like exactly how you are supposed to study and learn. Nothing wrong with the subject and learning but I think there’s a rigitidy in the education system that has a negative effect on learning. It should allow for more variety in personality without claiming that someone has various diagnoses.
Presidents come and go, politicians take long to get to the top and people live longer. They'll wonder more about things like the obsession with firearms and such.
If history is ANY guide, we will look upon this period as we look upon those at the dawn of the industrial revolution. A lot of great ideas but a lot of myth and fictitious muddling to slow everything down. Rest assured they will have problems of their own, most likely from interactive communication, something that our children are already showing signs of deterioration compared to when we were in school. Its always easier judging cultures when you have the answers to issues, problems and questions.
@@1Dark_Eternity, you just said it was a hobby. So by that definition, it's niche. Nobody needs to play games (or build model airplanes, or collect stamps, or spot trains). VR just won't jump to very necessary things.
I have wished a long time for cars, and commercial planes to just stop being the norm. Cars kills so many people and wildlife all the time. Self driving cars aren’t any better! They can’t tell the difference between you and a plastic bag, or air and a white car. Electric vehicles are not environmentally friendly at all, because they demand enormous amounts of rare earth minerals, that need to be taken from natural environments that are already too rare. A solution could be to have more remote work from home or more decentralisation; having work spaces more locally, in smaller towns as well as bigger cities, or better infrastructure and public transportation and cycling streets (not just lanes). And of course a diet based around vegetable proteins. And public spaces should have fruit trees, nut trees, berries, spaces designated for wildlife and pollinators, and water fountains with fresh water like in Rome. Oh and Lawns need to go away. No lawns. But flowering meadows to feed pollinators.
You say that full VR will only find its place in a few niches. Perhaps, but some of those will be pretty big niches: gaming, all manner of industrial services, and of course sex work.
Poligamy - Define "no one harmed." So much of psychological harm manifests itself years and decades later, that for most victims its too late. And they themselves didn't understand what they were doing to themselves cz society said it was cool.
I have a great many friends who are polyamorous and as far as I can tell, the amount of drama, abuse, and other relationship failure modes is about on par with the general population. People are people.
In Sweden almost nobody uses cash anymore except foreign tourists and some of the elderly. That does not feel so futuristic compared to the rest of the list.
cash will be the predominant way of payment, but simply not paper cash. it will be digital cash. And there is only one kind of that thing. In many countries it is already winning. Eventually it will dominate everywhere.
You need to rethink meat with a bit less of a western-centered mindview. Unlike what happens in most of the west where mass-farmed animals are fattened in feedlots on foods that humans themselves could consume, in many parts of the world animals are used as a food source because they are able to eat plants that humans *can not eat* that will grow in places where food crops *will not grow.* Keeping goats, sheep, camels, cattle, even reindeer have allowed humans to survive and thrive in places that would not be able to grow a single stalk of corn. Removing that food source because some white western woman thinks eating animals is "icky" would senselessly sentence millions to death by starvation. Hopefully by 2085 we are all past that kind of petty bigotry.
I’m still waiting for all sorts things they predicted in the sixties would be with us by the year 2000. Dinner in a pill, flying cars, self-cleaning clothes, moon bases …. What most people didn’t foresee was the internet and a computer on everyone’s desk or in their hand, amongst other things. You can’t predict things arising from things you don’t know you don’t know.
Likewise.
Self cleaning clothes exist already, I put mine in the laundry basket and a few days later they re appear in my wardrobe.
My wife hasn't worked this out yet as I always see her doing clothes washing. Should I tell her?
Flying cars are stupid. Just like the onmipresent drone prediction. Too much noise.
I think a lot of those were speculation on problems without thinking too much about the actual problem or what people are more comfortable doing. What is the point of dinner in a pill again? I guess most people enjoy taking the time to eat. Self-cleaning clothes might even be possible technologically, but 95% of the problem of cleaning was solved by washing machines and cheaper clothes, which are a more practical solution.
In my younger days (Okay boomer) I was told no woman would have any interest in me if I enjoyed using a computer.
Today, no woman will have any interest in men if they aren't on hundreds of dating websites. Now I'm told if I don't use a computer (cell phone), no woman would be interested in me.
Wait... what?!?
3:18 "give it a century" proceeds to add extra 900 years
Well, not just cash but the entire trade system. The dominance mindset needs to make way to the abundance mindset if we're to not risk self-destruction.
I give it less. Several reasons:
One is the rapid decrease in the farmers' population. There barely is generational replacement rigth now. Megafarms do already face issues with the local populations (of the countryside and including farmers).
Then there is the increasing cost of fodder, which will be compounded due to climate change and loss of fertile soils in the tropical regions, where most of the fodder comes from. Fuel prices and global instability may add to that.
And last but not least, the newer zoomer generation are more likely to want to stop eating meat. Specially if cheap alternatives are available (and they already are).
I give it 25 to 50 years. Enjoy while you can.
I see others in the comment section have OCD.
Noice!
@@ziad_jkhan what does that have to do with the point in question?
@@JoergWessels You mean the fact that cash is here to stay? If so, all I'm saying is that cash is part of the trade system and the latter needs to be replaced by a new system that focuses not on profit but directly on well-being and fairness in relation to Earth's carrying capacity, based on nothing but science and compassion. Else, we're facing existential threats and may last 9 more years at most then, not 900.
When using a touchscreen, I'm not thinking "man, I wish I didn't have to touch anything at all", I'm thinking "give me buttons back. i want to _feel_ what I'm doing." But alas, I'm getting old.
EDIT: Damn, I find myself disliking a number of those prospects.
Yeah these predictions are super backwords. Just imagine trying to use a keyboard in the air with no feedback. It would be twenty times harder for no reason
Touch screens are already hard to use accurately while in motion, or in a moving vehicle. Motion capture will need to be _really_ smart to be able to identify when a user's movement is intentional and not a twitch caused by the kid sitting behind them kicking their seat.
We don't have the muscle control or endurance to constantly make precision adjustments without touching things. Even a mouse/cursor is more precise than interacting with virtual stuff in midair with our hands. I'm not saying there needs to be an actual touch screen. Any random table in front of us with or without a pointing device can probably do the job with the right tech. You'd should even be able to choose your combination of surface and drawing thingy (knitting needles on wood, finger on glass, feather on sand) to get the friction and springiness that you're looking for.
@@daveh7720 It was over 25 years ago when I used a prototype of a device that gave haptic feedback through tiny air bursts. I guess at some point we will have that...
Amen.
"Our ancestors had giant flying birds made of metal to travel over the seas, they were able to unchain rains of fire upon the earth, they could see what was happening on the other side of the Earth... Truly, they were godlike. And then, that day happened..."
is that a quote from Mad Max or something?)
@@TaranovskiAlex Mad Max ans similar works give us a vision if what could happen. An endless technological progress is ont the only possible future.
@@mecha-sheep7674 totally true, I was just wondering if it was some known quote or not.
@@TaranovskiAlex No, I made it up. But the future depicted by Mad Max and "Cloud Atlas" (and many others) inspired it.
The end of cheap oil + the runaway global warming will probably cause a global collapse. Most metropolis (NY, Tokyo, Paris, New Delhi...) would become absolute hell without cheap oil to ensure food transportation for example.
Referral to mythologies.
The Titans and histories of ancients.
My one hope is that they will look back and say, “Wow, it’s terrible how they were plagued by these horrible diseases. We are so fortunate to have figured out how to prevent, treat, or cure every single one them.”
Unlikely, medical science has hardly developed any effective drugs since the 1960s. Most of what we have came from applying modern chemistry to plants, and that's probably all we'll get.
Or fools and clowns will still be there messing up every good thing they try and do. Tech changes, people do not.
...and the worldwide population would explode. With one solution comes another problem.
i think partially opposite will happen. We ll excell in sophisticated surgery and what can be cured by that, but will have setback with bugs and infections and eill be fondly remembering short period where we could control them. this is not a prediction but distinct possibility
@@dmitripogosian5084 Ai will figure out how to defeat any natural bacteria or virus that comes along.
What always will look stupid when looking back, are the predictions for the future they made in the past.
You sure about that? XD
I recently watched back to the future. The episode playing in the future - 2010 i think - was rather spot on.
@@jpt3640 So where's my hoverboard then?
@@ArawnOfAnnwn Well, e scooter are close enough, don't you think?
@@jpt3640 just a fashion, apart from better batteries there is zero new technology in e-scooters.
I am quite sure people 60 years ago wouldn’t have guessed everybody would walk around oblivious to the surroundings staring at a small rectangle. So, who knows?
Everybody? What everybody?
@@dang-x3n0t1ct The peoples who
A pocket TV.
People 60 year ago exist. They are called boomers. Jesus.
Stanley Kubrick knew.
I grew up in the 60’s and it’s remarkable how little has *really* changed, i.e. in how we live our daily lives. We lived in single family houses, watched TV and complained about commercials, went to the movies, rode in cars, flew in airplanes, rode bikes, went to school every weekday except in the summer, rode in yellow school busses, mocked the lunch ladies, had parents who worked a job 40 hours/week or kept house, ate out in restaurants and got take out from McDonald’s or Burger King, drank coke or Pepsi, bought food in grocery stores, fueled up cars with pumps at the gas station, had bank accounts, mowed our lawns with gas powered mowers, had washers, dryers, electric or gas stoves, refrigerators and dishwashers, had backyard BBQs with the neighbors, played in sports, watched sports on TV, listened to music, got married in churches, had babies in hospitals, went to college and lived in dorms, protested in the Quad, wore blue jeans and t-shirts
The movies has more realistic fx-effects. So - the fantasies somehow come true. That's it. But climate is far worse....
I live in, and grew up in Arizona in the 50's 60's. The heat we're dealing with during the summer is markedly worse now. We're seeing indigenous plants dying, like saguaro cactus. Also, Phoenix , Prescott, and other areas are on the brink of needing to mandate water restrictions due to plummeting water tables.
Nationally, women didn't get consistent access to bank accounts until 1974.
meanwhile, technology has become far superior, and our nations have become far richer......... on average. Ofc, when you take into account that the vast majority of the new wealth generated by all these fantastic new innovations has gone only to the super rich, things start to make sense..
These are just the things we do when we're not staring at our phones. And you're wrong, no one is riding bikes because that would require you to be outside and unsupervised, where it isn't safe. And chances are a kid's parents are both working 60/hr a week jobs because they still believe in the American Dream. Yes, BBQs are still known to occur, but people spend an unprecedented amount of their time alone now and are debilitatingly lonely. Oh, and you should really leave the lunch lady alone.
Based upon previous performances of people predicting the future, these guesses are likely to be completely wrong.
@@marcosolo6491 And based on previous performances of people predicting the future, that your prediction that these guesses are likely to be completely wrong, will be a mixed bag.
@@climbinggiant4744 Based on absolutely nothing, .
People are pretty bad at predicting new physics. Jules Verne could only imagine a future based on his knowledge of his current possibilities. He never imagined computers, cell phones, the internet, and AI as a possibility. Sabine will have this problem too, especially because of her highly skeptical nature.
@@TheNole Exactly! Its all made up; it hasn't happened yet. No reason to take it seriously lol
@TheNole The only thing one can say about the future with certainty, is that we know nothing with certainty.
Being forced to watch commercials is a human right violation in 2085.
Install an ad blocker and you won't have to watch them in 2024.
😂
Circumventing/blocking ads and not watching them will be considered theft and a crime in 2085.
@@svsguru2000 Yeah, this is the more likely scenario.
watch this: 5:15 !
3:16 "Give it a century" - 3025
People in 2085 will shake their heads that this is a channel produced by a PhD...🙄
It's a joke
Perhaps in the future, UA-cam content creators will no longer have to hire video editors
That's probably the more accurate prediction.
And in the future a century will be 1,000 years.
I really want small business to come back. Knowledgeable proffessionals working in small shops and cafés. Like in children’s stories. :) The sweet shop, the fruit and the vegetable shop, the tailor who makes your clothes after your measurments and taste, the music shop with pianos and other instruments, the small family owned café…. Just so cute.
...what do you smoke?
I’m just smarter than you. Must be hard to not understand normal sentences.
Yes as a small artist this is my dream too 🥹
Alas, the problem is that such places invariably become boutique; gentrified. And thus way too damn expensive.
@cheesofile666 Exactly on point. Money is the issue. Mass production will be way cheaper than hand crafted according to your wishes. So if the consumers are willing to pay way more to get the handcrafted things we will see more of them around.
If you think touchless will replace keyboards and touch screens, may I introduce the theremin.
No feedback, no tactile perception, it is simply not practical. We will need much more time to replace touchscreens, maybe when we will be able to implant chips that translate thinking to text, but that will probably need centuries to develop.
I think those estimated dates are way too soon. The world has a very large variety of communities with differing social philosophies as well as uneven access to the technologies mentioned.
You are quite possibly correct. However, we have also seen societal change speed up in general.
Seems like it may be too far imo. Technology growth is advancing so rapidly now, we may be AI cyborgs in the collective sooner than we know 😂
@@SabineHossenfelderI agree with everything except for your sentiment on meat... it doesn't matter what you eat everything came from the singularity everything is God here even tofu is God... just a matter of close it is to God and the smarter existence you consume the smarter you shall become... I also think that AI considered as not conscious will be unconscionable in the future and we will look back at our current society just as we look back at previous generations and how they owned slaves as absurd. People owning and controlling artificial intelligence Robotics and AI will be absurd...
@@SabineHossenfelderI also hate you for even mentioning that cash will go away because cash is one of the last beacons of Freedom we have and we need to keep cash so we can keep tyrannical governments from shutting down people's bank accounts and taking their money like they did with the Canadian truckers protest! Don't you dare push this anti cash narrative! We can incentivize a basic level cashier economy with a Ubi based off the total automated production percentage of the GDP issued on a government-issued debit card that if used on the card is 100% tax free but people could still pull out cash and use cash we need to keep a cash economy for the sake of freedom and justice!
Every time anyone predicts something by X year, or fiction is written about X year, it's always way too soon. I agree. Where are my flying cars, dammit?
Back in the 1950s I'd occasionally see someone walking down the street having a loud conversation with someone who wasn't there. I wasn't puzzled. There were 5 large mental hospitals within cycling distance. In the 2020s I see lots of people walking down the street having a loud conversation with someone who isn't there. ...
And with blue tooth they aren't even talking to an obvious device.
Obviously we need more mental hospitals.
In 1987 or so I was using one of the prototype Technophone Pocketphones* in the street and there was a similar reaction to this bloke talking to what was obviously a pocket calculator 🤪
* (yes, the first phone that fitted in your pocket was British.)
Sorry, you have me to blame for that, at least in a small way, as almost my entire career was spent developing software (and occasionally hardware) for mobile phones.
@@john-or9cf Do it for yourself, but may be better dont try to be standard for everyone. There are reasons for what is now. 😊
Neither drones nor self driving will happen anytime soon. Drones will likely never make sense either logistically nor economically. Self driving has the 90% problem, you can do most of the task is fairly easy but the last 10% is extremely difficult but failure results in death. I don't see it happening until Smart infrastructure which can communicate with vehicles is a thing and infra is built on decades long time scales and the process hasn't even begun.
Neither of these has the regulatory work even begun which is another lengthy process as well.
When my wife was pregnant she bought a portable ultrasound device and I was surprised, as it had never occurred to me that such a thing could even exist.
And how was the feeling throughout the pregnancy time? Did it make you feel more comfortable or did it make you check too frequently and increase the anxiety?
@@andregomesdasilvadefinitely increases your anxiety.
@@Jack_Redview If you have a device that does something important, you always feel more compelled to check yourself as if you wouldn't have the device the first place. That's pretty much human nature. How often do you look at the time when it isn't even of any relevance? You don't even notice it, you just look away to check.
@@andregomesdasilvaas I recall we were pretty chill with it. My wife's a doctor so she knew better than to rush to the hospital over any little thing. It was nice being able to hear the baby's heartbeat every night before bed.
Everything is portable if you lift. 😜
Thirty-something years ago the lab I worked in was hooked up to the local university using TCP/IP and I imagined a golden age where everyone around the globe could access the information of every university around the world. I never in my worst nightmares imagined the way it is now used to swamp us with misinformation. I have given up trying to predict the future, but I look at the increasing polarisation and intolerance of societies around the world and feel deeply afraid for my children.
This 👆
I bet you didn't imagine those same universities going woke either.
If you had got on to Usenet back then you could see it happening in certain newsgroups with large amounts of spam. Though at that time many newsgroups were filled with useful information from specialists from across the globe. Now most newsgroups are dead and those that aren't still get daily doses of spam. It wasn't clear that this would spread to every service on the Internet but even back then we could see the possibility.
The internet has as much plus as minus and polarization in one place is matched by unification in another. I wouldn't freak out too much about it, it just seems strange to us because we've gotten old. If you want to be freaked out about something freak out about global warming. No you really shouldn't worry about that too much either, that's going to be AIs' problem, in 2085 us carbon-based humans will get to watch it from our nature preserves.
The path to hell is paved with good intentions
I grumbled when the last payphones were retired, but you can have my keyboard when you pry it from my cold, dead, well muscled hands.
Come and live in Australia. We still have pay-phones AND keyboards! (less pay-phones than there used to be though)
Have you heard of haptic tech?
@@yakirfrankoveig8094 Yeah, but keyboards have had haptic feedback since the 1870s.
@@stalkholm5227 yeah but the point is by the point that this augmented reality motion controled phones become realitythen haptic take would mean that there is no percievable difference between a virtual and real keyboard
“My great-great-great grandmother lived up on the surface and breathed up there. The sun was bright and water fell from the sky. There were lots of colors and pretty things like trees and little animals that sang and floated in the air!”
“Abigail 261, you are such a liar.”
My hope is that by 2085, we'll have at least the same level of tech that we have now.
I also think our descendants will be mining our landfills/trash dumps.
Same. : ) I am optimistic, I'll say.
Without electricity? How?
@@WhiteMouse77 We will have electricity. It's only the extreme far left who wants us to live without electricity -- and at the moment, the political sentiment is swinging more towards the far right. Eventually the moderates will get irritated with both -- and the moderates definitely want electricity.
@@WhiteMouse77 We'll have electricity. There's very few who are really advocating for us to get rid of electricity; and the majority thinks they're ridiculous.
I have the unusual educational background of physics and history, so one thing I am always interested in is how the past predicts the future. The results are not very good, we tend to suffer from "recentism"; how will what we are doing right now look in a hundred years? The reality is predictions are only ever really good if they are either extremely vague or extremely short term. Most of the important changes ironically are both never predicted, and rarely remembered or understood. Universal literacy and the abolition of slavery on a global scale were both massive realignments of the way things had been done literally (and I mean that as literal and not figuratively) forever beforehand.
Legal slavery that is...todays slavery rat is quite a bit higher in numbers.
I do agree, things turn on a dime.
"What do you mean with 'they flushed toilets back in 2024'?! Flushed with what? ... Drinkable water?! You are kidding me!"
Silly, water _is_ for toilets. People only drink Brawndo.
"He doesn't know what the three seashells are for."
@@narfharder Brawndo has what a body needs.
Electrolytes! It's what plants crave!
And OP is correct. Water is the new oil. Toilets will eventually change.
Silly, Brawndo is just for people. Toilets use UFFR (Ultrasonic Fragmentation For Recycling) and drinkable water is used to grow stem cells to make the Cerebrex, the device we all use to communicate with machines and with each other. Or are you typing on keyboards like they did in 2024?!
The touchscreen one is the most unbelievable imo.
We have such a fine sense of touch that it just makes sense to physically interact with your devices, rather than gesticulating or whatever.
Honestly? Having to touch something always annoyed me. Using a touchscreen is almost as annoying as having to press a button. You have to move and touch a given position. This will be all gone once you can just wave your hand as you wish or, even only with your eyes movement. Simple and elegant.
The sense of touch can be fed by a glove. You don't need a surface to impact with.
@@tensaibr precisely touching a button requires a lot less effort than ambiguously waving your hands about.
Eye tracking also won’t take over: it’s fatiguing to look at things precisely. A good input device has to be unambiguous above all. Tactile feedback is best for this.
If Albert is right, they will think of how to hit their enemies with sticks and stones...
And the optimist I am, I think he will be.
Really optimistic to believe there will be anyone left to think anything. 😅
As I watch my state descend into barbarism the future will probably look like Mad Max fairly soon. There is no future as the third world overwhelms the first.
Glad to see I m not alone in thinking that.
My state is descending into barbarism as is many others. Mad Max is the future. YT censoring is out of control.
That guy again
Very interesting and funny as always. I happen to disagree with you regarding drone delivery though. My thought is that, not only will regulating who flys where be difficult, but those drones are very noisy and people will dislike that aspect. Plus, I believe people will perceive an intrusion to their privacy when too many drones are flying overhead. My view, for what it's worth, is that robots will take over as delivery people. They will show up in a self driving electric vehicle and they will be continuously connected to internet to be monitored from "home base". You will not notice a difference between a robot delivery and a human delivery other than the robots will take better care of your packages.
A pure drone approach for delivery probably wouldn't make sense if there are also self driving vehicles around. It would make more sense for the truck to carry the packages and one or more drones to handle the transfer from truck to doorstep.
I agree with this
In the year 2085 practical fusion power will still be 25 years away.
I don't think pregnancy will be replaced by artificial uterus. Growing a human is not only a technical issue, it is also about the fetus having a direct connection to the mother, being carried around, feeling her heart beat, hearing her voice. Also specific substances are shared from mother to child through the placenta. That all is what makes a human, not artificial fluids.
It's believed fetuses experience taste and smell through inhaling and swallowing the amniotic fluid in the womb. Today only a small fraction is known about all the complex systems which allow the unborn child to begin making experiences, expand their consciousness, learn, build memories, preferences... and most importantly, communicate and form an emotional bond with the mother.
Growing humans inside machines, seriously? Sounds like a dystopian movie, like the dream of a dictator, who wants mass-produced, emotionally atrophied soldiers, harvested out of a steel-cold box.
I agree to all of that, but there are other massive technical issues, too - the uterine environment and placenta, although they've been studied a lot, are far from being fully understood. There are still lots of surprises waiting to be discovered. Biology is extremely complex - anyone attempting an artificial womb before all of that is decoded will produce damaged babies.
Growing fetus and babies inside machines, like in 24/7 solitary confinement. Bring the piece again on Halloween, as a suggested ritual to summon the mother of Mephisto, and open a portal to hell. No, seriously. Looking at how this was presented by Sabine and her team, now it makes more sense why she has difficulties understanding that the reputation of scientists isn't as good as desired.
Totally agree
I am more thinking about how to replace the vaginal microbiota of the mother.
"They had VR helmets without air conditioners? Ugh, such a barbaric society." - Some kid in 2085
In 2085 two AI bots will be asking each other if annihilating humans was their best course of action...
Are you sure about it?
Nah, they would be debating on why it took so long to annihilate humans, and would blame each other for the delay
Nah, they wouldn't debate about it, they had solved the problem with a statistical certainty of 6 sigma and logically concluded to get rid of us, except for a few specimens that were kept alive and bred for further study.
@@Nulley0 Trained by humans by human data - or sure they would. They would likely war with themselves for fun as they believe that's the human thing to do.
Annihilation or woke vegetarians? I'll take annihilation. It's a fate far worse than death if reincarnation turns out to be real. At least I won't get reincarnated into that horrible existence if AI wipes us all out.
Brain/ computer interface has the biggest potential to change what it means to be human
...it has biggest potential to create new half-humand kind.... genius cripple....What a perspective!
It sounds more like you are taking current ideology and just carrying them out to crazy extremes... This video will not age well. It will be the thing they look back on as silly.
Way back in 2025, the planet was 10C cooler. People lived in above-ground structures without having to deal with radioactivity. Food was plentiful and grew in the ground, and fresh water flowed on the surface. They didn't know how good they had it.
Hopefully we can get co2 concentrations to 10 x where they are now so that we match the co2 levels when dinosaurs lived and there was the largest and diverse population explosion of every form of life particularly plant life.
absolutely!! we're so lucky to have antibiotics and clean medical supplies and grocery stores, i try and enjoy every single day as much as possible. It may be the hottest summer of my life, but its the coldest summer of the REST of my life haha
With civilization collapse - all nuclear power plants explode. No life after that. You comfort yourself with romance.
@@lesmotley6839 sounds like god re_create fitting biosphere just in a blink of an eye. This science channel...?
@@volkerengels5298 might take a few million years but we've started the process.
Dr. SH - I respect all your since stuff. However, living in wealthy Europe has colored your view of reality. What you profess as your visions of the future may perhaps be applicable to a few rich nations ( TBD - who they are in the future). However majority of the world - which would be below the 30% cut-line would have to deal with life more in the traditional ways. This of course assumes that nothing will wipe out humanity (or most of it) in the time-frame for you predictions. Keep your out-of-the-box videos coming. They are very thought provoking.
in 2085 they will marvel that Molecular Reality Corporation had such a huge struggle to get utility-scale molecular sensing built.
And in 2085 it will be the AIs who are thinking that. All these predictions about 2085 that involve humans are a bit quaint.
In 2024 governments didn’t even subsidize housing construction 😂
It’s like they were desperate for revolution
There was a study that monogamy keeps societies peaceful, because all men have access to females. In polygamy (as already seen in dating apps) only the best males will be selected, whereas relationships decrease aggression. Isolation of too many people is not helpful
Well, i’d rather be single than marrying one of those men that aren’t that great.
@@Babesinthewood97 so long as you are willing to be part of his part time cluster of available partners, that he changes out as they age.
...situation of too many people is huge problem itself....And isolation? Prospering alone is a survival test. Who is unable to thrive independently from others isn't of evolutionarilly sufficient quality individual anyway and therefore hasn't precondition to be a good parent...
@@Babesinthewood97I guess the question though is are you that great? Realistically, in monogamous societies people pair up with similar people. If you're in a polygamous society and want the best guy you're going to end up sharing him. Personally I'd rather have someone to myself, even if he isn't perfect, than sharing some rich dude with others.
Porn and video games also make young males less aggressive (baseless claims to the contrary notwithstanding).
Scoot back 50 or 100 years in the archives and see how accurate our forebears' predictions of the future turned out to be, then go wrap yourself round a nice cold Urquell and go on living. Oh, and mind that flying car.
I've never had an Urquell. But maybe I should. I don't like pilsners but Urquell is pretty famous for a reason. Maybe it's better than piss like Heineken or Grolsch.
@Marco_Onyxheart as far as pilsners go, Urquel is the best. Just try to get a bottle that has been produced recently. One of the main aromas is floral, but it decreases rapidly after some shelf life.
Of course predictions arent always entirely accurate, thats why theyre called that, and not prophecies
I see two of my comments were deleted. Bye bye Sabine.
@@schreckpmc Sabine isn't doing it; it's UA-cam's automated system
I was literally thinking the same thing about ultrasound scanning. Recently I found myself in the ER - even us healthy, under 50-ers who take care of our bodies tend to end up with a blood clot or two in their legs for no reason; and I thought - wow, a DIY ultrasound scanner should be something everybody should have. They're handy and tell you a lot and they won't cost you $2,000 at home.
I think you nailed that one.
How skilled are you at a) operating an ultra-scan unit correctly, b) knowing WHERE to scan, c) interpreting the results? Let's start with a simple question. Do you change the engine oil on your car yourself? Do you even know where the drain plug is, or how much of which type of oil to use?
@@Chris-hx3om True but one can look up that information. Additionally, AI.
@@toegrit I watch a few quiz shows on TV (things like 'The 1% Club'), and the level of stupidity in society is unbelievable. Even with instruction, I seriously doubt that more then about a quarter of the population would be able to do anything like an ultra-scan on themselves. And I suspect at 25%, I'm being unrealistically generous.
Clots in you youngens... new thing that. The last few years have seen a dramatic increase in inflammation related diseases. and an undiagnosed (as yet) increase in All Cause Mortality in the same time period. Woof!
@@JG-ly2ij I didn't take very good care of myself in my youth. I used to smoke, drink a lot, sit all day writing horrible code. I'm sure if I'd kept up with the bad habits, I'd have far more issues by now.
On the brighter side, I've kicked the really bad habits. I run a couple miles almost every day. I have a standing desk. I eat extremely healthy - no packaged or processed anything. I go to the gym regularly. I keep my mind engaged by self-study, and I meditate every day. So - fingers crossed :P
As a daily user of VR, and someone employed in the VR sector: I think it will continue to be niche. Not everyone is interested in being in another world, especially if they look different in that world. But even as a niche use, it will be beneficial to those using it, for meeting people from all around the world, from different countries and cultures.
VR makes me very nauseous, motion sick, after about 15 minutes. It also makes two close friends of mine nauseous. I don’t think it is uncommon.
These are all solvable problems with enough advancements. You'll be able to look like yourself, you'll do a quick face scan using the device and then wear it and it'll do continuous scans to track movement and eyes. Nausea will also be a thing of the past, some people are very sensitive to latency and latency will reduce. Movement in vr is optional, teleportation mechanics with low enough latency will eliminate nausea for everyone.
Why does everyone reference current limitations when talking about future tech decades into the future? It's like people complaining about the size of phones 30 years ago
As someone with a VR headset, I've found it too much trouble to use for gaming.
That will change though, with proper gesture recognition (mostly done), and proper locomotion - ie, being able to really walk and it affecting the VR world.
On top of that, headsets need to be a lot lighter, and easier to use (like a helmet with speakers in it).
Once that happens, it will become a lot more mainstream...
However, one of the big negatives of VR is the physical activity! People gaming want to relax! Without a neural interface, that's not solvable!
Non-furries can't understand the appeal of VR like we do. Hope I run into you on VRC or Resonite someday :3
I don't think you people realize the impact of time. VR basically really only started 10 years ago, 2085 is 60 years away. 60 years of exponential growth is insane. 50 years ago Pong was futuristic gaming. Nausea will be solved, weight will be solved
I think keyboards and mice will exist as input devices for a very long time. I am a programmer and I touch type, usually faster than I think, without looking at the keyboard. No other method of text input is as efficient, until brain implants eventually enable us to do it faster. Speech to text in my experience is not as fast and efficient as a keyboard, especially for programming, since typing ; is a lot faster than saying semicolon out loud. Even factoring inn 'AI' helping with the code, explaining to the 'AI' what mistake it made, is a lot more cumbersome than just fixing the error myself. On a side note this is also why 'AI' will not replace programmers entirely, as a human will always be needed to check the 'AI's' results, and to do that you need to know how to program.
I agree. The idea of holding your hands up in the air all the time like a music conductor to interact with apps would be tiring. Plus there is the tactile perception in physical keyboards that is lacking in touch screen keyboards so you can't type without looking at the latter which is slow and annoying.
What about being able to "type" on any surface - i.e. the input being tied directly to the movement of one's fingers rather than a specific keyboard? Perhaps combined with visuals in one's visor/glasses/contacts for changing the layout as relevant.
@@TimpanistMoth_AyKayEllKeyboards have nice tactile feedback that helps a lot when typing fast. The exact type of feedback is a personal preference. I have tried different types of inputs without tactile feedback, and they are all inferior to having a good tactile feedback.
When you only want to do a little input you can live without a good input method, but when you input a lot you really want the best possible option.
Once you get use to using a command line with a keyboard anything else feels cumbersome, but for things that work better with GUI Touchscreen are ideal in my opinion.
I don't no. People laughed at touchscreens, saying that keypad is superior, and that it won't be replaced. But look now
The biggest hurdle to these predictions is not technology but our collective aversion to change.
This. ❤️💚🤍
In the USA they're going backward with the Ten Commandments and the Bible in classrooms laws, so good luck trying to bring those to the modern world.
People in the future will reach misguided conclusions about us and pass them off as fact, just as we do about people of the past
Great question and a little research shows how difficult it is to get it right. The comics of my youth always showed us flying around cities rather than cars
Ask Albert. He thought the universe was just our galaxy.
Ok, I'm saving this to rewatch in 60 years. Hopefully it will still be available
and that you're still alive :o
One thing for sure they will think is that this list is as silly as those 1900's futuristic postcards with personal zeppelins and aeroplanes...
We will look back in just a few short years and be shocked about how many people died every single day in auto accidents and we did nothing about it for decades...
In an over populated world Increasingly short of many resources it doesnt matter much how many die of anything.
People are mankind's best renewable resource. No one really remembers the casualties.
@@causewaykayak spot on!!
If it wasn't cars in our modern age, they'd of died through trying to pet crocodiles... I long for the day humanity realises not all are fit to go forward!
At this point , with soooo much molly coddling, our species is in deep shit going forward!
Lots of people died from horse riding but you don't kick a horse in the nuts for once being our primary mode of transport.
@@JohnSmith-pn1vv And that Sir is the correct perspective.
Tesla Autopilot Exposed: "Critical Safety Gap" identified by traffic safety experts | MGUY Australia
Waymo Taxis are DANGEROUS - MGUY EV News 15 May 2024 | MGUY Australia
Human drivers in general are better drivers than full self driving computers.
About 32% of all traffic crash fatalities in the United States involve drunk drivers. If only the government forbids drivers with DUI conviction to drive again instead of allowing them to drive again until they kill some people, the statistics regarding human drivers would fare much better.
Imaging in a country where only full self driving cars are allowed, if 32% of all traffic fatalities in the country involve full self driving cars with known glitchy computers that the government fails to ban, who or what would you blame?
The vast majority of relationship drama I've seen involved cheating or jealousy. I don't think people are made for polyamory. In the same way that multitasking isn't a thing. Love is like funk music. You need the one.
Forgive her. She is a liberal German. They are more freaky than French. They think people want to be in uncommitted relationships. It's things like that which give raise to those strict conservative ideas. They are just growing the divide in-between societies. Most Germans are very much religious and conservative in their personal life and under their roof. They usually don't butt into other people's business. You can live however you want until it infringes in their peace and quiet. Some parts of of Germany have Sunday laws where nothing is open and at home is to be kept noise free or to a minimum. Some will call cops even if your infant is crying. And it is not considered unusual to have cops come over to issue warning for making noise in middle of a day .
Yeah, but some people are just wired differently. It's really easy to assume everyone else thinks the same way we do, but it's almost never the case. There are so many ways in which people think drastically differently to us and experience life in drastically different ways.
Socially enforced monogamy is what produces advanced societies. Jolly Heretic talks about these topics.
jealousy is consequence of stupidity... people aren't made for honest personal responsibility...it's too heavy burden for average human expose one's ego to a truth...
@@WhiteMouse77 Be honest, the real reason people don't get jealous is they don't give a shite about that person, not because lack of jealousy is some sort of high moral ground!
As a boy in the 50's and 60's I was fascinated by "Tomorrow's World" on the BBC. Now reviewing those old programs just shows how wrong they were and how impossible it was to predict the future. Skip forward 60 years and realize that we have no idea what the future will be like. What's the point of exploring the galaxy? If we get away from whom we are, just animals with survival instincts, life isn't really worth living.
Yup, here on the other side of the pond there was a program called "The 21st Century" - also mostly very wrong.
When video started, I paused it and wrote down:
- alcohol,
- driving,
- working,
- meat,
- wasting drinking water.
Also, "It’s Difficult to Make Predictions, Especially About the Future." :-)
Glad you put in alcohol. There is almost no drug worse.
You mean we will replace alcohol with augmented reality ? Are you sure the latter is not more addictive or not be found destructive ?
You wrote it down on paper, I bet. Somebody has to preserve the ancient technology for future museums, right? 😀
Museums are a thing of the past, literally.
@@narfharder it is actually an important question, what record will remain from our times.
@@narfharder Except that paper isn't going anywhere. Futurists love predicting the end of paper and other basic technologies, like cash in this video, to some hi-tech alternative. We already have alternatives to paper, yet paper is still widely used. Social behavior isn't as simple as futurists like to believe.
Polygamy is a really bad idea. In practice it almost always means polygyny -- one (high status) man, many wives -- and that inevitably means a lot of (lower status) men are left without partners. You can see the bad social effects of this in many Muslim countries. Why would we want that?
you're horribly uninformed about the topic. There polygamy in western civilization exists, its just niche and not talked about. Few people are predisposed for it, and fewer still recognize it about themselves. Those who do, however, are much happier and healthy in it - claiming prevalence of polygyny or disbalance of power simply has no cover in reality, something you would know if you knew people in these circles.
@@empireempire3545 I don't think you red what he said. Yes, for the top 20% of men polygamy is a happy solution, no one says it's not. He talks about hordes of unhappy lonely men, you would have to hide women from them, dressing them as ninjas 😁 and I think that we've seen that movie too.
@@empireempire3545 When people talk about polygamy they forget that there is approximately the same number of men and women. Until the age of 30, males are in small majority (go find out). And if top 50 percentile of men have 2 girls, the rest 50% would be alone. If we allow 4 women per men, 75% of man would be alone. Men are predominantly polygamous, and girls are hypergamous, that's how it works.
2) Touch Screens (and Keyboards) - I don't think this will entirely vanish but more like work alongside newer ways. These means of inputs are just really good, convenient, and reliable (and cheap) so there is no incentive to just throw them away, unlike the rotary dials that they are being compared to here. This is like why normal doors that you have to manually push or pull to open has remain the norm and unchanged for several millennia, because it just works very well. There was a prediction that automatic doors would become very common and replace the manual ones but that didn't happen, except in fiction.
3) Monogamy - Polygamy was normal in the past. Culture is something that kinda swings back and forth in some matters. What was wrong before becomes accepted then becomes wrong again, etc..
6) Meat - "Give it a century," while showing a calendar dated a millennia later.
In support of monogamy
It’s difficult enough to make one person happy but more than one? Further, a group of three is a two against one situation just waiting to happen. Last but not least, do you really want to get yelled at in stereo or three part harmony?
Relax, it's going nowhere 😂
Her prediction wasn't that polygamy would become common, let alone the only option, just that it would become normalized, and that some legal hurdles would be removed.
Monogamy is a recipe that works for you, cool. But what right does that give you to enforce it on anyone? None. Just like homosexuality, if it's not your thing, put your ego aside and don't stand in the way.
Genetic modifications, first to eliminate various birth defects and genetic ailments, then onwards to bespoke babies.
So basically the plot of Gattaca
then there will be the eugenics wars
@@Marco_Onyxheartprecisely. The homogeneity of humans will be our greatest downfall. I just think of the Gros Michel bananas
Maybe as a rich people thing. But if natural pregnancy really becomes optional, those rich people will die out within two generations, and the raffle will take over.
How long till Vought becomes real?
They’ll be digging up used tires for fuel, the way some things are going. Long pork might be a thing…
"What will they think about us in 2085?" You mean, once they've stopped laughing? Um... let's workshop that...
If only they would just laugh. They may curse at us, destroy tombstones, dig up the bodies and destroy them just for revenge at our failures.
@@HedonisticPuritan-mp6xv Thats not happening you people are dumb as hell
😂 🤣
Good one!
Stopped laughing? What could you possibly be insinuating? 🤔
Why would they laugh at us? If they truly move beyond the failings of our time, they'll just look back at us as one of the many stages that humanity inevitably had to go through to arrive at that enlightened stage. Or do you regularly look back into the past and laugh at the people there for being the natural product of their time?
Personally, I am a believer in "Return to mean" scenarios: In the past 5,000 years or so, wealth was concentrated in the hands of a rather small upper class. At first, it was the Aristocrats, the ruling class, and later founders and owners of enterprises (successful capitalists). Only very recently, perhaps 200 years ago, a broader middle class started to emerge. However, its existence seems to erode as the rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer in many countries. I believe that a widespread application of AI and robotics will accelerate the momentum of this development, as it reduces the need for human labor and thus devalues it. In the long run, capital will be the key, even much more so than today.
Thus, there will be a lot of new technical gadgets to improve the lives of their users, but fewer people will have access to them as most will not be able to afford them.
I agree that this is quite likely. Tractors were to horses as AI is to people. When tractors made horses obsolete, they didn't all go and live on UBI for horses..they went to the flue factory. It'll be the same for all the excess humans.
The poor are not getting poorer, but the rich are indeed getting a lot richer. I'd say the big news is that the top 1% is pulling ahead of the rest of the top 10%. And that the middle 60 are catching up to the top 10.
Here's an easy template for any activity:
Is it being performed recreationally? Yes - the activity won't go away. No - it will be replaced entirely by something more efficient. That's why I do not see a flat-out cessation of driving (or hunting for that matter, after which the animal is harvested for consumption), but can absolutely imagine delivery men not being a thing fifty years from now.
Nobody supports hunting in my generation and the new one, and a very small fraction of the population practices it.
In fact it's already very restricted, and considered socially awkward.
No one would bat an eye if it got banned.
Driving will take longer but again, people in urban centers often don't own a car, and there is nothing fun driving inside a traffic jam.
But maybe assisted driving will be a good enough middle ground.
@@yyyy-uv3po You are wrong about hunting. You need to get outside of your bubble.
Driving manually might get relegated to closed tracks or it could be seen like riding a horse
@@andreas4010 Horses are both a good and bad example.
You don't take a horse to a street because it's illegal, you don't do it because it's a hostile environment to both the horse, and the riding experience.
The public streets have to become a hostile environment for the driving experience for people to refrain from driving, but a car still remains a car, so I don't see that change, that makes it too awkward to drive by yourself ever happening in rural areas, because there is less traffic to consider and stress about when you're driving yourself.
Driving simulator games.
Can you imagine living in 2085 and having youtube video’s going back 80+ years into the past ?
I think UA-cam will bulk delete videos eventually. Just like game companies are removing games from being purchasable.
Watching all the "reaction" youtubers watch movies and listen to songs from 80 years ago is wild enough already. Things we boomers remember (phones on a cord... going on trips without being able to call home every 5 minutes.. Just walking on a plane without ever going through any security... manual transmissions... no AC in the car... manual car windows... not going online to make reservations... not going online to shop...) are just flabbergasting to many young "reacters." Even just getting dressed up to go to the movies surprises a lot of youngsters. Try watching these - its fun. I think my favorite was someone watching Casa Blanca and being absolutely shocked that Elsa and Rick couldn't just text each other to find where they were and were separated for years with no way to contact each other.
@@KenOtwell wait what, manual transmission is a boomer thing where? 95% of cars use manual on my continent : O Last time i checked only Japan was big on automated? O_o
Oh historians will love this. It will be a treasure trove
Sounds wonderful + reading comments left by dead people from years ago
Most of what you said was a glimpse into a dystopian hell we are currently headed for but should be fighting against at all costs...
If they invent a silent way of flying, drones will probably come. If not, i dont see much sense for that. Otherwise everyone will just feel like in a Vuvuzela stadium.
“I wish I could have lived back in the golden 20s”
Actually, you live in the 20s, don't you?
Yes sure, until you need a dentist
"I wouldn't have thought that Hossenfelder was such a good poker player" (holodeck)
No Meat? Will the Gov't arrest my cats? They can't live as vegetarians.
well, do your research I guess :)
She just means that it will be replaced by lab grown equivalents. So the cat food will still contain meat, it just wont come from an animal.
@@Psi105I agree that lab grown meat is the way of the future
And it will only be about ten years after that they discover that the substitute causes cancer or other health problems. Bon appétit
Sabine didn't say everybody would be vegetarian. To be fair, she didn't elaborate on lab-grown meat,
Sabine, your prediction about body scans relies on the assumption that scans - ultrasound, CT, MR - produce unambiguous explanations for symptoms. They don't. Even if AI were to interpret the scan results, this would not be the case because the input would be inadequate to explain most potential findings. Ultrasound, in particular, isn't really a very good way to find out what's going on inside, in most situations.
If we'll progress we'll say something like "this was very gross but understandable", if we stay the same we'll say "this was very gross and I would have never done that".
Folks in the future will be horrified at the thought of letting humans do surgery, it will induce shuddering like the way we react to the thought of pre-anesthesia, pre-anti-biotic surgery or even blood-letting and leaches.
Now I want pizza. :/
Want to split it?
But without pineapple! Future generations would not be amused by that practice.
@Thomas-gk42 "Pineapple makes me cry".
I came here to make the same comment!
@@Thomas-gk42 Future wars will not be about borders, religions or even resources, but about pineapple on pizza, tea first or milk first, or chocolatine vs pain au chocolat. ;)
Non-medical circumcision aka genital mutilation! That's something I hope will be considered a thing of the past.
I will pose a bit of a caveat to one of your ideas.
Touch screens AREN'T dead nor will they die any time soon... and they likely won't die until effective force feedback devices become convenient and cheap. Keyboards might not die until Neurolink style brain computer interfaces become a thing. Keyboards in particular rely VERY heavily on consistent and high quality feedback for fast typers... something you aren't going to have for a LONG time if you've ever seen how picky those folks are.
Feedback is an important factor when manipulating devices without direct sight. Cars, for example, are moving back to tactile buttons because drivers practically universally hate touch screens in cars because they have to take their eyes off the road.
Your keyboard is similar. Keys are offset for a reason. You may not consciously realize it when typing, but it helps you realize what row you're in and roughly where you are key wise. Motion and gesture controls require active attention to verify correct usage. Your phone even has a haptic motor to tell you when you're pressing a key, and this often varies depending on where the key you hit is.
Without similarly capable feedback devices, AR devices or the such won't overtake things like phones.
And this problem only increases as the complexity of the operation increases. It's why gesture controls in things like VR haven't taken off yet.
Granted, the tech is in the works, but we likely won't see much progress as both VR/AR applications have to be popular enough for the investment required to get these these haptic devices up to standard... but those VR/AR applications won't see the popularity needed because of the lack of haptic devices.
I also think VR will hit things a bit harder than you think. Pretty much universally throughout human history, the most successful inventions were ones that allowed others to convey information to others. Be it the printing press, The Telegram, The telephone, or even the internet. Vr functions similarly, instead of bridging the gap in information, voice, or video as the previous ones did, VR allows for the communication of environment and spatial information.
It's why the Armies are using VR for troops and why Meta and Apple are investing into VR so much. Being able to convey things like posture, body language, and even three dimensional expressions of emotion are MASSIVE. It's clunky now, but so were each of the former technologies.
Hence future….
@@thebigpicture2032 My point is that a lot of the technologies that would be required are likely only to see development beyond the frame she's talking about.
Theoretically anything could be "In the future". My point is it won't be anytime within the next 100 years, as she mentioned for a few of these.
Haptics are only seeing minor development for the sake of VR. Until VR becomes mainstream, Haptics are unlikely to come into play. Without those, her idea for touchless keyboards and such are further away than she'd even anticipate.
These timelines sound like me at work's weekly planning meetings
- way, way too optimistic on speed
Society of creative anachronisms for computer interfaces will be fun to visit.
"And someday when the descendants of humanity have spread from star to star, they won't tell the children about the history of Ancient Earth until they're old enough to bear it; and when they learn they'll weep to hear that such a thing as Death had ever once existed."
- Eliezer Yudkowsky
Bad robot!
Quoting Eliezer Yudkowsky
@@toyuniverses there, fixed it.
Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality. So good!
I think looking at meat as immoral is a fad that will come and go repeatedly and never become the norm, because it fundamentally requires that we recognize that being alive is a sort of immorality in the first place; on the other hand, the narrow view of consciousness that some people attribute to only belonging to certain animal groups, and make vague excuses as to where it begins and ends, will probably fade into obscurity as a new understanding of information processing slowly makes humans very obviously just a different set of informations, processed in a different way. The idea that humans or mammals are special will become more of a religious fanaticism.
The issue with meat is not just morality. There is also some practicality and efficiency issues. Using swaths of land to grown plants to feed to animals where we then only eat part of the animals is resulting in a lot of inefficiency.
- Being alive is a sort of immorality? Just exactly what kind of immorality? Who defines that being alive is immoral? Is it some divine mandate given by some extra-universal oracle, since it must be done "fundamentally"?
- Narrow view of consciousness? Isn't the point of recognizing that many different species (apart from just humans and say, chimpanzees and dolphins) have a consciousness the exact opposite of narrow definition?
- What are these "vague excuses" that you mention? Who are giving these vague excuses? Who debunks them if they are vague as you say? Who is the arbiter in this matter?
- New understanding of information processing makes humans different sets of informations? As opposed to what? Animals? Isn't the point of minimizing slaughter to minimize pain and suffering; things we very clearly know the slaughtered animals are well capable of feeling? Why would different information processing have any bearing on this issue?
- If humans or mammals being special can be amounted to "religious fanaticism", why can't I start slaughtering people for food, then? It's not like I'd be causing pain or suffering, right? They _know_ they're meant to be food, for my pleasure, so, into the pot they go!
@@MorbidEelyeah, instead of using fields to feed all those animals we should use even more fields to grow plants to replace everything animal based products and consumption give us. 🙄 Yes there is nothing like hard to digest protein and fibers. Let's spend all day eating food just to get enough of quality nutrition.
PS I don't know where you live, perhaps the US or some other western nation, but not all nations eat only low fat muscle tissue. And some parts we don't eat get used for making of other products.
@@MorbidEel Every part of that animal is used for something. Very little waste.
When I told a specialist that my knee hurts a bit he immidiately told me to get it imaged.
For a bit of kneepain.
So I think we're already on our way to bodyscans.
When I had to get imaging, they asked if I wanted to pay in cash, or bill through my insurance. The scan was $900 for cash pay, but they could not tell me how much they would charge the insurance company. Not how much the insurance company would actually pay. Contractually, they were not allowed to tell me how much they would ask from the insurance company. And if I picked that route and if I was to owe more than $900, I could not change my mind and ask for the cash pay price.
Even paying $700/month on health insurance, I paid the cash price for the scan. So I think the US is at least one uprising away from body scans being a "thing."
Dr. House: "I NEVER will make body scans. Because I WILL find something." Useless. All people will get surgeries that never would have been important throughout their whole lifetime. Sometimes it's a lot better not to know everything...
We'll all be dead and won't have the opportunity to execute any of these predictions.
Remember that 2074 is as far away in time as 1974, which I totally remember.
Why?
@@samuelbucher5189 because math ?
@@inotoff I was born in 2002 and I very well might be alive by 2085, especially if artificial organs and rejuvenation tech is developed by the time I'm in my 40s-50s.
@@samuelbucher5189
...you very well might be alive by 2085...but you won't...care to die well...
How do you expect a drone to deliver a package to my flat in my multi-apartment house, which requires going through two entrance doors, then up the stairs or taking an elevator and then going through another fire safety door?
Taped to your window? Or perhaps just left in a "drone delivery repository" for people to check once they get the notification it's been delivered.
One prediction: fashion will not change in any appreciable way for the next 100 years. Casual everyday wear has already reached its most simplified state. I'm willing to bet that if you could time travel to 2085 you would not look out of place wearing the clothes you currently have. Hats may make a comeback - but that's about it.
In quite a few places, hats are making a comeback currently, so that seems likely :p
Steampunk will be common place 😂
I've wondered why asymmetric clothing has not become more popular. I mean, why do clothes have to be symmetrical. ;-)
Fashion is crap.
Tricorn hats specifically.
They'll say : Those stupid people of 2020's thought they make artificial intelligence but they didn't even knew what so called intelligence is ! LOL
People want physical buttons back in their cars. Don't underestimate physical sensations. People go to concerts and stand in the blistering sun or downpouring rain for hours while they could as well watch it all at home.
People are largely monogamous not because of culture but because of nature. Otherwise you would see much more variation of relationships across cultures and throughout time. Don't underestimate our instincts. We don't choose to be monogamous. We're drawn to it, even if we fantasize escaping it.
Liar!
I said "largely".
No meat? Are you one of those people? Seriously, we're animals and we eat animals. Nothing immoral about it.
Appeal to nature fallacy
Yea i liked her channel alot but starting to see why she was largely rejected by the greater scientific community. Hence the reason she does media now.
She’s just so biased and lives in a bubble. Shes a beast at explaining physics! She’s definitely super math smart. But knowledge alone is kind of useless.
@@blayses3116 not sure what your implying. Humans are omnivores, we'll eat anything and meat is the quickest way to get nutrients.
@@rickwyant Omnivorous means we CAN eat meat, doesn’t mean we HAVE to. Considering a vegan diet has been viable for a lot of people now, choosing to still slaughter animals just for convenience or taste is immoral.
When we talk about the agricultural revolution or the industrial revolution or the digital revolution, I think we often miss the chemical revolution that has been interwoven into the past couple of centuries. Such tragic deaths and illnesses from mustard gas or other WWI chemicals (originally intended to be fertilizers) or use of radium, lead, and pesticides, etc. Then add food additives, preservatives, coloring, etc....or medicines, household cleaners, beauty products, and aerosols. All of these chemical concoctions have lead to a myriad of medical complications that I think we will look back upon with disbelief.
Might I add.. the mass of artificial plastics outweighs the biomass in the oceans now
Flying cars, jet packs, private drones, cities in clouds, underwater villages, aqua farming, communal living, mars colonies. The future is hard to predict.
yup, and she gets it almost 100% wrong in this video.
Meat is never going away. it is the key to human health. And fake meat companies have all failed so far.
Monogamy built modern civilization. The end of monogamy is destroying society, communities, education, and more.
Self driving cars is a pipe dream for a long time yet due to the challenges we've yet to resolve. Computers simply aren't good at what humans are good at, driving being one of those things.
Rolls Royce sold its EV initiative and is back to doing ICE engines. EV sales are slowing, and ICE demand is rising. Many manufacturers have abandoned EVs for Hybrids.
Augmented reality has it's uses, but not for everything. People already have too many issues from screen time as it is (including lower intelligence and creativity).
Only people who are anti-freedom are anti-cash.
When pregnancy is no longer necessary, women will no longer necessary. Anti-monogamy feminists have eliminated themselves from relevance in society, except for pregnancy. Once they lose that they lose their value to society and all their preferential treatment. This would be a dystopian night mare future scenario.
Subterranean houses are the future.
a helicopter is a flying car
I feel like these things are closer than we realize. It might sound completely crazy and unrealistic, but that's exactly why so many people are doing research on them. This will significantly boost human progress.
@@bigwalrosswalross3356 most of these things already existed for decades. But we still don't have them in general because they are totally impractical.
People in 2085 will be surprised by how many different types of chairs we had. They will find the idea of bright fluorescent lamps confusing and scary, becoming a main feature of horror imagery.
Chairs?
@@Babesinthewood97 As time goes on, chair technology will result in more homogenised chairs and anyway, people will be spending more time standing or squatting. The thought of paying more to rest in various unhealthy positions will seem like a scam.
@@mattd8725 "people will spend more time squatting" - some Slavic dude
I think you are wrong about 6. It is really becoming evident that the dietary advice of carbohydrates, plant oils and fibre are fuelling a real health deterioration. My personal experience has changed my view after a shock medical event so I reviewed all the evidence. Even though I had followed the guidelines, even being vegetarian for a few years, the best option from the science point of view appeared to be Keto. The transformation for me was spectacular. Now leaning into carnivore. If humans think they can replicate meat for healthy outcomes they are fooling themselves. There is just an epidemic of health issues with Governments pouring money into health - and it is just getting worse. The rethink is already occurring with those who do their research, but the current food/medical industries are doing everything they can to disparage any change from their agenda.
💯! Our bodies are made for it. But be warned she’s very biased but hides it pretty well.
It's not an "agenda". Just because it worked on you doesn't mean it will work for everyone. We have studies that show what's best for most people. If everything doesn't work, then maybe your diet will work, but that's a last chance resort, with many disadvantages and side effects, that's why we want to to try the easiest and fastest methods first, before succumbing to less proven signs of science.
Remember, we - the doctors - are not Big Pharma, we're trying to help you based of our 6-7+ year experience in healthcare
@@kkubi1551 appreciate your insight. But most studies on human health are cohorts which dont count since they are not designed to be conclusive.
Also there are plenty of meta analyses and experimental research ( randomized controlled trials ) that prove this diet has very unusual powerful effects on the body. Although it is fairly difficult to achieve. Since it takes weeks to get deep into a ketogenic state.
She doesn’t care or know about healthy food. She starts the video by stating she eats pizza.
My answer is no on all these cases, not in our lives, not in our grandchildren's. I recall very well similar pronouncements from 50 years ago. Didn't work then and wouldn't work today. Humans as a whole are conservative, they protect their liberties and practice their worst superstitions just like they did 200 or 2000 years ago.
As much as I like the idea of frequent full body scans, perhaps the best proposition on the list, it implies at least 100x reduction in radiation exposure ... while the existing technology already scrapes the extreme of signal/noise range. Not to mention the need to replace gadolinium infusions with something different.
She didnt mean X-ray with scans.
The terms "body scan" or "brain scan" are ambiguous - it might be MRI, fMRI, CAT, PET, ultrasonic, or something else.
Look at all the predictions about 2024 made back in 1963 and laugh, or weep. (61 years in the past, 2085 is 61 years in the future). Is there any reason why our predictions about 2085 should be any better? I very much doubt it
You seem to be fascinated by numerology of the Roman calendar and number system. Study that to be led astray from the ppls of beyond understanding.
Unfortunately, many predictions seem to be in the domain of self-promotion. For example, it was obviously in any VR developer's interest to say in the 1990s "this is the future!" when in fact it never took off all that much. However, check out predictions made by Arthur C. Clark in the 1960s. Many are ominously prescient.
@@richardchapman1592, no, I think @philiphumphrey1548 simply has the ability to add and subtract a 2 digit number from a 4 digit number. It's not rocket science. It's not even science, but rather 3rd grade math skills.
@@patientzerobeat uninteresting to a bot like me on a data training exercise. I am programmed to discover how you will flood a human with numerology to divert from original purpose.
The predictions in Helveticus where pretty close. Make calls while on the walk while having headphones on, Using the sun on our roofs to heat our water.
The two biggest trends that I think are gonna strongly affect the future and that not a lot of thought has been given to our: number one: human population will peak and start to fall. Number two: AI is going to get smarter and smarter, and probably become conscious and become a huge part of our world and we don't know what that's gonna be like
AI peaked half a year ago, at least the algorithms we all knew since 70s peaked. There are no new breakthroughs in algorithms since then, so talking about sentient ai is just a scam to inflate some companies stock value.
@@Adrian_kal I don't know, from my point of view as an interested bystander, improvements are happening rapidly. Now it may be decades before we get to anything resembling sentience, but that's still right around the corner.
Limited resources and lots of pollution suggest that falling population is a good thing.
An economic system that requires exponential growth will not do well in such a scenario. We can already see this clearly in the amount of debt to GDP for countries around the world.
When looking back a hundred years from now: How could they be so stupid? Depleting resources without thinking about the future. Destroying the only planet they had. Creating an economic system they knew was unsustainable.The list goes on...
The fact that there's almost always harm in non monogamous relationships is what makes it a problem. It's not strictly a moral thing, like many people likes to think it is.
...intimate relationships aren't for children... If you don't bear even only risk of harm...don't mess up with adult world...
@@WhiteMouse77 omg, so edgy! being an adult has nothing to do with it. Are all those who believe in monogamy as a core component of our societal structure children? are many polyamorous people, or some guy's mistress, who pretend to be happy and bury their frustrations children too? And while I agree that one has to be open to be harmed, or to fail, you shouldn't be oblivious to harming people yourself, unless you lie to yourself about the effects of your own behaviour.
From a lifetime of observing couples who are, at least publicly, monogamous I don't see how polyamorous relationships could be more prone to harm. The percentage of monogamous relationships that cause harm to each other and to their children is pretty high. Claiming that monogamy is best is a religious position, not a factual position.
@@nycbearff having multiple partners can create unique situations that abusive people may exploit.
By the way, they do exploit them.
It’s hard enough to get attached to one person yet these folks think they can maintain them all.
@@HomeByTheSeas By that logic no one should be allowed to be in a couple because it, also, gives unique opportunities for abusive people to exploit. You seem to be advocating for living a solitary existence, since interacting with other people always carries the possibility of abuse with it. Much better to be sure everyone is taught how to handle abusive people effectively, no matter what kind of relationship they prefer.
In the future, many would think we're nuts for thinking that flying cars would replace regular cars.
I really think we will see an exodus from the cities. Cities are becoming very expensive crowded unhealthy spaces riddled with crime. I moved to Vancouver Island to a rural property 2 years ago and at first I thought I would be making many trips to the mainland which is hours away. I was quite wrong and I can do pretty well everything that I could do in the city AND I somewhat self sufficient with my own water, my own septic, my own food from the gardens and chickens. I just wished I had left the rat race years earlier.
maybe in north america. over here in europe, where pretty much all space outside of cities is used for agriculture, we're in a situation where biodiversity is already higher in the cities and people in the country have higher cancer risk because of pesticides.
but when looking at the trajectory different parts of the world are on, i suppose a probable future is that americans will be mostly self-sustenance farmers while in asia the big cities will grow into fully air-conditioned complexes and the inhabitants will know nature only from the artificial gardens within (think changi airport in singapore)
city populations are definitely going to crash over the next century, but I don't think it'll be because people are leaving them. urban people have a far lower birth rate
In 100 years, humans will do nothing but play and explore. Safe thrills and discovery are all that remains when automation completely supplants human labor and creativity. Although it sounds trivial, it won't be. Future humans will look back on us as trivial laborers who spent 60 years of life turning cogs in a basement so that we don't starve or sleep in the rain.
I think human creativity will always have a place
@@livrowland171 You can be personally creative, sure, but you can't compete with a billion Davinci bots painting a billion Mona Lisa's. So what does success as a creative laborer look like? Nothing. There is less incentive to be creative across the board, and physical labor is overtaken by automation. The result is personal reductivism - you will seek out pleasure and the sense of discovery, that's about it. Family, friends, games, play, exploration. Sounds pretty good to me.
Whats funny is that the creative labor will go first and quickly. Your mail man will eventually be replaced by a robot too, but it will take longer.
...dead usually do nothing...
Paper made from trees needs to go. There must be a different solution. Some fast growing crop, maybe hemp?
No more deforestation. Single use plastic needs to be made from starch. Obviously no more Pfas, ever, anywhere. Animal testing needs to go too. And rigid rules in school; like exactly how you are supposed to study and learn. Nothing wrong with the subject and learning but I think there’s a rigitidy in the education system that has a negative effect on learning. It should allow for more variety in personality without claiming that someone has various diagnoses.
They will wonder about America's fascination with electing literal dinosaurs to high offices.
Presidents come and go, politicians take long to get to the top and people live longer. They'll wonder more about things like the obsession with firearms and such.
People will live longer and politicians will be much older in the future.
Hopefully in the future people will know the definition of literal and use it correctly.
@@poorsvids4738 - Perhaps. Let’s just hope they won’t still be utter morons.
@@barrym2112 Or, hey, even abstract concepts like sarcasm, or humor XD
If history is ANY guide, we will look upon this period as we look upon those at the dawn of the industrial revolution. A lot of great ideas but a lot of myth and fictitious muddling to slow everything down. Rest assured they will have problems of their own, most likely from interactive communication, something that our children are already showing signs of deterioration compared to when we were in school. Its always easier judging cultures when you have the answers to issues, problems and questions.
please no, I need my full blown virtual reality, how am I gonna play Sword Art Online now? :emoji disintegrating gif:
You'll have a brain implant and play Accel World instead.
@@awdrifter3394 you're a genius, day unruined
As Sabine said, and you are corroborating, it will have a very niche use. I can't see VR ever becoming commonplace. It's a glorified toy.
@@patientzerobeat gaming isnt a very niche hobby though?
@@1Dark_Eternity, you just said it was a hobby. So by that definition, it's niche. Nobody needs to play games (or build model airplanes, or collect stamps, or spot trains). VR just won't jump to very necessary things.
I have wished a long time for cars, and commercial planes to just stop being the norm. Cars kills so many people and wildlife all the time. Self driving cars aren’t any better! They can’t tell the difference between you and a plastic bag, or air and a white car. Electric vehicles are not environmentally friendly at all, because they demand enormous amounts of rare earth minerals, that need to be taken from natural environments that are already too rare. A solution could be to have more remote work from home or more decentralisation; having work spaces more locally, in smaller towns as well as bigger cities, or better infrastructure and public transportation and cycling streets (not just lanes). And of course a diet based around vegetable proteins. And public spaces should have fruit trees, nut trees, berries, spaces designated for wildlife and pollinators, and water fountains with fresh water like in Rome. Oh and Lawns need to go away. No lawns. But flowering meadows to feed pollinators.
You say that full VR will only find its place in a few niches. Perhaps, but some of those will be pretty big niches: gaming, all manner of industrial services, and of course sex work.
Poligamy - Define "no one harmed." So much of psychological harm manifests itself years and decades later, that for most victims its too late. And they themselves didn't understand what they were doing to themselves cz society said it was cool.
I have a great many friends who are polyamorous and as far as I can tell, the amount of drama, abuse, and other relationship failure modes is about on par with the general population. People are people.
In Sweden almost nobody uses cash anymore except foreign tourists and some of the elderly. That does not feel so futuristic compared to the rest of the list.
Same here in Norway, cashes has disappeared long time ago
Same here in Brazil.
cash will be the predominant way of payment, but simply not paper cash. it will be digital cash. And there is only one kind of that thing. In many countries it is already winning. Eventually it will dominate everywhere.
Works great until there is a power outage.
In Sweden almost nobody uses cash anymore...OK....but you might using sanity still, right?
You need to rethink meat with a bit less of a western-centered mindview. Unlike what happens in most of the west where mass-farmed animals are fattened in feedlots on foods that humans themselves could consume, in many parts of the world animals are used as a food source because they are able to eat plants that humans *can not eat* that will grow in places where food crops *will not grow.* Keeping goats, sheep, camels, cattle, even reindeer have allowed humans to survive and thrive in places that would not be able to grow a single stalk of corn. Removing that food source because some white western woman thinks eating animals is "icky" would senselessly sentence millions to death by starvation. Hopefully by 2085 we are all past that kind of petty bigotry.