Invest Now or Wait for Another Stock Market CRASH - 2023 Update

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  • Опубліковано 28 чер 2024
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 133

  • @matildaphilip
    @matildaphilip Рік тому +360

    Investing in alternative income streams that are independent of the government should be the top priority for everyone right now. especially given the global economic crisis we are currently experiencing. A variety of stocks and digital currencies are still attractive investments right now.

    • @anniehay
      @anniehay Рік тому

      High moving stocks are not the path to big profits. It is the management of risk in relation to reward. Putting on the appropriate size and twisting your edge as many times as necessary to achieve your aim. That applies to everything from long-term investing to day trading.

    • @americawillbegreatagain
      @americawillbegreatagain Рік тому

      I agree that my profit has been fairly consistent, regardless of market conditions. I started investing in early 2020, but the persistent downtrends and losses discouraged me. I sold off, and I later re-invested in December 2021, this time with advice from a portfolio adviser who had been praised by a well-known economist on a subreddit. To make a long story short, it's been two years, and I've made over $850k by following her advice.

    • @anthonybonarte5861
      @anthonybonarte5861 Рік тому

      The news I've been seeing in the market hasn't been very positive, so I've really been looking at advisors lately. What individual is directing you?

    • @americawillbegreatagain
      @americawillbegreatagain Рік тому

      @@anthonybonarte5861
      The versatile and knowledgeable Lauren Casey Hejl can meet your unique requirements. You are free to look her up and make use of her.

    • @anthonybonarte5861
      @anthonybonarte5861 Рік тому

      @@americawillbegreatagain Thanks, I merely looked her up on Google and was highly impressed by her credentials; I got in touch with her because I need all the help I can get. I just set up a meeting via her email

  • @AshtonGrace
    @AshtonGrace Рік тому +442

    Nice timing, great video. Only if a good amount of folks do what you guys teach, just imagine how many millionaires we already have or will have in the future. Not the sad statistics where at least 50% of people are living paycheck to paycheck, even for high income earners. Great contents as always!

    • @ReidCoffman1
      @ReidCoffman1 Рік тому +4

      @@Rachelschneider03 >>Hold long term good growth companies DON'T LOOK AT IT DAILY…. Hold 5-10 years .. AMZN, GOOG, TESLA, META, MST …. Etc companies>> that are flush with money .. and don’t worry …. These companies are like mutual funds in of themselves … they are invsted in so many different things …JUST HOLD … also buy NOW they are on sale.

  • @sp5638
    @sp5638 Рік тому +4

    Would like an update video on intel now that they cut dividends

  • @axa.axa.
    @axa.axa. Рік тому +4

    "Hi I'm Jimmy"... Classic.

  • @BlaWra9_
    @BlaWra9_ Рік тому

    Great content! Thanks for sharing 👍

  • @eh7599
    @eh7599 Рік тому

    Asking for opinion: I am torn between investing in VOO vs VTV. Please advise. TY

  • @barryallen6927
    @barryallen6927 Рік тому +2

    Strap in for a second wave of inflation.

  • @TastelessHyena
    @TastelessHyena Рік тому

    What is the best to use for paper trading?

  • @barryallen6927
    @barryallen6927 Рік тому +1

    1. Since the 1960s every recession followed the inverted yield curve.
    2. The spread between 2 yr and 10 yr is the highest in 40 years.
    3. S&P500 CAPE ratio near 30, which has been in all the bubbles in the past.
    4. Highest debt-to-GDP ratio in history.

  • @xzx3
    @xzx3 Рік тому

    Pretty fair analysis based on the stats shown. i love this plain vanilla approach of your videos. keeping finance at the centre rather than creating beautiful videos without substance

  • @eh7599
    @eh7599 Рік тому

    Very fair and well done!

  • @GHIBaal
    @GHIBaal Рік тому

    Thank you for the Video.

  • @nixielee
    @nixielee Рік тому +1

    The best argument I've seen for investing in uncertain times is that the biggest returns happens on a few days each year, often adjacent to a big crash. That's why it never makes sense to time the market and why DCA is a good all-round strategy.

  • @Michael-uf1hz
    @Michael-uf1hz Рік тому +1

    Buy buy buy and keep buying, this too shall pass

  • @sbkpilot1
    @sbkpilot1 Рік тому +2

    Don't time the market... keep investing

  • @seesidesummerhouse6112
    @seesidesummerhouse6112 Рік тому +1

    I’m 2/3 stocks 1/3 cash in my portfolio. Im quite happy with that balance for now. Plan to invest more ~sep/oct. I think early/mid 2024 is when rates will come down.

  • @AndreaBoost
    @AndreaBoost Рік тому +1

    Glad you are back Jimmy :)

  • @juicethemodeller
    @juicethemodeller Рік тому

    XHB, the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF is up 10% YTD. It was up even more two weeks ago.

  • @danijmartinez
    @danijmartinez Рік тому

    You're the man Jimmy!

  • @TheNimbleNomad
    @TheNimbleNomad Рік тому

    Jimmy… missed you!! Been waiting for ages!
    Intel! We need an update video!!

  • @michaelfriend3990
    @michaelfriend3990 Рік тому

    Jimmy is back!

  • @David.Marquez
    @David.Marquez Рік тому

    The yield curve has been inverted for a few months now, would a yield curve that stays inverted for a while be given a higher weight than usual or is this still just a "minor" indicator?

    • @barryallen6927
      @barryallen6927 Рік тому

      Since the 1960s every recession followed an inverted yield curve. The 2 yr - 10 yr spread now is also the widest in 40 years.

  • @kodeypatterson8973
    @kodeypatterson8973 Рік тому +1

    Are you missing 2022 in your graphs?

  • @mbg9650
    @mbg9650 Рік тому +1

    If stock market is not pricing a bear outlook, how to position our portfolio if we agree with the bear outlook?

    • @calebwert1057
      @calebwert1057 Рік тому +1

      Buy companies that are undervalued and have a strong competitive advantage. Use a margin of safety and ignore macroeconomics.

  • @gtavtheavengergunnerlegend3340

    DG. buy it up

  • @damianmysciak3264
    @damianmysciak3264 Рік тому +6

    Intel cut dividend btw

    • @Duke_of_Prunes
      @Duke_of_Prunes Рік тому

      Yes, by 66%. I own 157 shares, but am afraid that Intel is going to become a meme stock -- if it already doesn't qualify.

    • @HassanPoyo
      @HassanPoyo Рік тому +2

      Sold 15% of my stake

    • @Negative0ne
      @Negative0ne Рік тому +2

      I think it's a wise decision for INTC to downscale the dividend in this volatile market. I have 333 shares and I'm gladly buying more each month.

  • @gabriodritan3562
    @gabriodritan3562 Рік тому +348

    Instead of trying to predict whether or not we’re going into more recession and keep losing your money, a better strategy is simply having a portfolio that’s well prepared for any eventually, that’s how some folks' been averaging 150K every quarter according to Bloomberg.

    • @alyssabjorg4113
      @alyssabjorg4113 Рік тому +2

      That’s crazy, I’m just doing everything wrong with my portfolio

    • @alrikclemens
      @alrikclemens Рік тому +3

      @@alyssabjorg4113 same here TBH, 25% of my entire portfolio is in the red and I really don’t know how long I can stomach the losses. I’m beginning to reach a breaking point.

    • @geertDman
      @geertDman Рік тому +2

      @@alrikclemens The US-Stock Mrkt had been on it’s longest bull-run in history, so the mass hysteria and panic is relatable considering we’re not accustomed to such troubled mrkts, but there are avenues lurking around if you know where to look. Till date, I’ve netted over $850k in the past 10months.

    • @geertDman
      @geertDman Рік тому +1

      @Georgina Louis Funny that you brought that up-I can definitely sympathize Louis. I'm not sure whether I can say this, but look up Sharon Madorsky Davison; she received a lot of press in 2020. She also manages my portfolio.

  • @johnkiin219
    @johnkiin219 Рік тому

    Hey great video, could you do one on Accenture? They have a growing cyber security business.

  • @Viorin1
    @Viorin1 Рік тому

    I don't understand. Is it time to invest or sell?

  • @vevenaneathna
    @vevenaneathna Рік тому

    80% of my money in VGLT right now at about 61$/100$ bond avg...
    im just waiting for these things to pop when more pieces start to fall off the stock market. it has basically the highest "interest rate risk" out of any bond etf... basically like a 20 yr treasury but more like 17 years coz of recent restructuring. if u calculate how the price should change due to interest rate exposure risk, this etf should go up to like 90-105$ each.... assuming things implode and the fed cuts rates to zero... which they always do... idk worst case scenario i sit tight ad continue to collect something like 3% coupon or 4% SEC yield until the market does correct. cant loose.... these bonds are artitifially low coz banks had to fire sell bonds and messed up these older bond prices imo...

  • @GeorgiaMoore.
    @GeorgiaMoore. Рік тому

    Yeah

  • @SergiMedina
    @SergiMedina Рік тому

    Most interesting as always, thank you! Will you make an update on INTC? Are we good or should we be worried about it?

    • @LearntoInvest
      @LearntoInvest  Рік тому +1

      I’m working on the research now, should have a video out within a day or two

    • @SergiMedina
      @SergiMedina Рік тому

      @@LearntoInvest Thank you!

  • @jjsheets330
    @jjsheets330 Рік тому +11

    But wait Jimmy, it’s different this time….

    • @LearntoInvest
      @LearntoInvest  Рік тому +2

      It always is :)

    • @1lovefootball
      @1lovefootball Рік тому

      This time is different because now we got governments working together to create CBDC’s for QE4.0

    • @jjsheets330
      @jjsheets330 Рік тому +1

      @@1lovefootball I knew it wouldn’t take long for someone to respond that it’s truly different this time. I’m shocked it took two hours tho, sad.

  • @sushmithhiremath
    @sushmithhiremath Рік тому +12

    Excellent video as always. Thank you

    • @kourtneyrice8667
      @kourtneyrice8667 Рік тому +5

      Excellent video❤️ I keep getting $100,000 every week from a trading platforms in town

    • @jamewilliams7660
      @jamewilliams7660 Рік тому +2

      How!! I know it’s possible because my sister gets $32,000 every week, I will be happy if you teach me how to go about it

    • @victoriasteven6328
      @victoriasteven6328 Рік тому

      After I got upto 900k trading with expert valerie Anne yarvin .I bought a new House and I'm now able to send my kids to a better school in the states When someone is straight forward with what he or she is doing people will always speak up for them.

    • @anjuladudhoria6447
      @anjuladudhoria6447 Рік тому

      I’ve heard a lot about trading with her but how competent and trustworthy is she? Can I trust her with my investment I need your opinion please 🙏

    • @burrinch5142
      @burrinch5142 Рік тому

      How can I get in touch with her I’m in need of her assistance

  • @sandeshsinha9174
    @sandeshsinha9174 Рік тому

    Jeeee Jammm JIMMY Boom!!!!

  • @davidolds1972
    @davidolds1972 Рік тому

    Maybe you could do something on short term.. If you are in your fifties and sixties and you don't have much time .

  • @Robinhooder
    @Robinhooder Рік тому

    I feel you got wrong a lot of your index, it is a debt drive economy, you should take a look at the debt for corporations, and if the feds keep increasing interest rates it is going to be a bear market.

  • @Pegaroo_
    @Pegaroo_ Рік тому

    Alternative video title.
    Let try to time the market

  • @krakhour2
    @krakhour2 Рік тому

    maybe invest in gold but dont think anything else will be positive this year

  • @marcelmed4574
    @marcelmed4574 Рік тому

    You should plot all these charts against the stock market performance in the last 50 years. You’ll find disjointed data. Unfortunately the stock market is not performance driven, it’s mainly driven by consumer confidence.

  • @marcdzik
    @marcdzik Рік тому

    Consumer recovery hepend but FED wants to destroy it

  • @chaboi8543
    @chaboi8543 Рік тому

    I almost feel that every point you have to the bulls there was a big “BUT”.

  • @jake5403
    @jake5403 Рік тому

    All of this information is valuable just to understand how the economy works, but if you go too deep into you can find yourself in analysis paralysis. I remember when I got out of college I started investing in the stock market when all of my friends were waiting for the “right time”. Most were actually quite intelligent and educated people, but they did too much research and would never pull the trigger. I’ve worked the same job since college and started investing in conservative stocks every month at 22 (im 54 now) with my modest $50k - $80k salary. My portfolio now sits at around $300,000, despite that value dropping 15-20% in the last year.
    Don’t analyze too much and just put your money in. Over 30 years it’s going to increase and you’ll give yourself a stable future. Cheers

  • @WestyMain
    @WestyMain Рік тому

    We are both in our 60s and we are buying good companies with 3%+ dividends and holding until or if we need the money. Right now those holdings are just DRIPping along...

  • @martinezcolonh
    @martinezcolonh Рік тому

    Dogs of the Dow, for your UA-cam followers, 🙏

  • @geraldsahd3413
    @geraldsahd3413 Рік тому +1

    Consumer Confidence- BEAR as the confidence rate is still low. Higher Income people will rate high, middle class and low-income rate low and that is why there is a small increase. Unemployment- look at U6 in terms of participation rate and it is a clear BEAR. This has been a long-term issue and a constraint on the economy for years.
    My question- how much has the market already built the future outlook? Judging by yesterday's reaction, there is more downside.

  • @sebholding
    @sebholding Рік тому

    The stock market move based on anticipations, not based on already known datas

  • @davidp252
    @davidp252 Рік тому

    Looking at macro and charts on macro is a waste of time. Better to focus on analyzing companies. That's what I'm interested in.

  • @jakemullins4002
    @jakemullins4002 Рік тому

    Abolish the Fed and go back to the gold standard 💥 fixed it

  • @krakhour2
    @krakhour2 Рік тому

    jimmy my wages have been flat. was making the same since 2000

  • @krakhour2
    @krakhour2 Рік тому

    what we have more debt than ever. you can really think thats a positive. the interest rates were high back but we had less government debt if you raise interest rates to 12 there would be no way the government could pay its own interest on the 30 trillion they owe......

  • @DavidYoung81
    @DavidYoung81 Рік тому +2

    Investing is SIMPLE, wait for me to finish DCA my lump sum and then it'll crash ... invest then 😃

  • @graham8314
    @graham8314 Рік тому

    I get that if you can get a stock for a good price it's always worth it.
    I suppose the question I'm asking in my head is, if I had a large lump sum would I invest now? Forecasts are almost always made with a bias in favour of how the overall economy is doing - which makes using a DCF calculation that much harder, particularly when the S&P 500 is so overvalued

    • @calebwert1057
      @calebwert1057 Рік тому +1

      I have an idea for you. Buy a 1 year treasury yielding 5% right now. Wait patiently for the S&P 500 to return to its historical 15 times earnings metric or $2800 and sell the treasury and buy an index fund.

    • @graham8314
      @graham8314 Рік тому +1

      @@calebwert1057 Bonds are seeming more appealing ngl, with the valuation of the S&P now I can't see stocks going up in the forseeable future

    • @calebwert1057
      @calebwert1057 Рік тому

      @@graham8314 plus you get liquidity in t bills and can sell at any time if stocks get cheap

  • @AmandaRae757
    @AmandaRae757 Рік тому +90

    Thanks bud for keepin us financially Educated!
    Regardless of how bad it gets on the economy

    • @SierraLeighanne
      @SierraLeighanne Рік тому

      I heard a lot about Juliann Hart and how good she is, please how safe is she

    • @Bradleyschaeffer376
      @Bradleyschaeffer376 Рік тому

      She's unique in the field just got to keep to her instructions and you Excel.

    • @AdelinaLanoszka1299
      @AdelinaLanoszka1299 Рік тому

      Have seen lots of inspiring testimonies about this broker lately...I guess she must be really good…l'll definitely make out time to connect with her anyways

  • @chamindasilva3191
    @chamindasilva3191 Рік тому

    Consumer confidence and low unemployment rate are the root causes for the record inflation. Once the summer spending is over things will get worse. People are planning their summer vacations on plastic cards. Walmart and Home Depot are painting are gloomy picture. The market is 60% overvalued compared to the GDP. These valuations are absurd and can't be sustained. There will be a correction we don't whether it is soft or hard landing. As Jimmy said we can still opportunistically invest. Tanks.

    • @krakhour2
      @krakhour2 Рік тому

      Wrong the inflation was created by Biden and his buddies spending and printing record amounts of money. Left wing wants to destroy free enterprise and have government control. A world where you get 3 meals a day a social healthcare where it takes 3 months to see a doctor and you own nothing

  • @darekaushi
    @darekaushi Рік тому

    This channel should change its name to "Learn to invest in dividend traps" 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • @1lovefootball
    @1lovefootball Рік тому

    Globally governments working together to create CBDC’s to continue money supply QE4.0 rather than paying for today’s Debt

  • @patriarch_1776
    @patriarch_1776 Рік тому

    This dude is presenting this video like he’s going through withdrawals

  • @breckykent9910
    @breckykent9910 Рік тому +2

    °°How can I get more profitable investment in the market? Is this pump shorts getting wrecked and liquidated, or any indication of whale, corporate treasury buys?

  • @oscarnogueraballester3994
    @oscarnogueraballester3994 Рік тому

    Doesnt it make sense for the yield curve to be inverted in an interest rate raising environment?

  • @getitup100
    @getitup100 Рік тому

    Unbelievable the amount of bull shitters and scammers in the comments all over the net the same con job, you would think they would come up with a new game plan.

  • @leandrobalmaceda5631
    @leandrobalmaceda5631 Рік тому +2

    I get all the points. But from a FED perspective, I think that the "bull" points are actually "bear" for the stock market, since the market goes down when new and higher rate hikes are expected. And these rate hikes will become even more as long as the economy remains strong. So I would say that, for example, a good perspective on jobs is great for the economy, but it's not good for the market in the sense that this implies that the FED needs to raise interest rates even higher. And we know interest rates hikes are not good for stocks.

  • @autophenom32648
    @autophenom32648 Рік тому +1

    Would love to hear your input on the news of Intel slashing its dividend today...

  • @theresahall2364
    @theresahall2364 Рік тому +4

    I'm 43 years old single mother living in Lyon. I'm hoping to retire at 50 if things keep going well for me. Bought my first house last month and I can't be more proud than I am right now. I'm so glad made great decisions about my finances that changed me forever.

    • @josephtownley7839
      @josephtownley7839 Рік тому

      Congratulations. You're really doing well at your age. I'm 48 and my finances are in a mess right now. Any great tips would really go a long way in shaping my life. I want to buy my own house, that's really really.

    • @theresahall2364
      @theresahall2364 Рік тому

      @@josephtownley7839 The first step to successful investing is figuring out your goals and risk tolerance either on your own or with the help of a financial professional but is very advisable you make use of a professional like I did. If you get the facts about saving and investing and follow through with an intelligent plan, you should be able to gain financial security over the years and enjoy the benefits of managing your money.

    • @anyabxb2373
      @anyabxb2373 Рік тому

      Please I need someone to help me trade. because I'm tired of trading in losses myself. I've blown my account twice and it's frustrating.

    • @theresahall2364
      @theresahall2364 Рік тому

      If you are not conversant with the markets, I'd advise you to get some kind of advise or assistance from a financial/investing coach. It might sound basic or generic, but getting in touch with an investment broker was how I was able to outperform the market and raise a profit of $300,000 For me, its the most ideal way to jump into the market these days

    • @josephtownley7839
      @josephtownley7839 Рік тому

      That's sum cool profit. dream of that.

  • @Clementinelily852
    @Clementinelily852 Рік тому +3

    The market is RED. I won't trade until the market is stable. I will hold my USDT to buy when it's time to buy. For now, I am just watching the market.

    • @maryreagan912
      @maryreagan912 Рік тому +2

      Every $1 you invest today is a little bit of time that you buy back in the future. The more you invest, the more free time you can afford in the future. Having time and freedom to choose what to do are the ultimate investing.

    • @Luciaoakley
      @Luciaoakley Рік тому +1

      ​@@maryreagan912 Exactly, that expression "buy back your time". Well, that's what investing allows you to do

  • @Snippets-of-Mendi
    @Snippets-of-Mendi Рік тому +1

    In terms of consumer confidence, my business whose target customers are 50 and over and relies on disposable income is down 32% YTD over last year and years prior. I thought maybe I would see a bump upwards when social security was bumped up in January, but it's been minimal. Personally I think that's a point for the bears, but I'm sure certain industries aren't feeling it as much as mine.

  • @noysydanon8804
    @noysydanon8804 Рік тому

    What happened?you lost lots of weight. Now you look like Angus young

    • @LearntoInvest
      @LearntoInvest  Рік тому

      Have I really lost weight? Its been a stressful few months, maybe that's why