Hurricane U: Seasonal Forecasting with Dr. Phil Klotzbach
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- Опубліковано 28 вер 2024
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I can’t thank Dr Phil enough. My insurance company cited these forecasts when my rate went up 50% this year.
Would love to see the paperwork on that if you’d feel comfortable sharing it. Not sure of the legality of an insurance company raising rates that much based on a seasonal forecast that has included with it the probabilities of different scenarios happening. Within those probabilities we can see that it wasn’t 100% so how can an insurance company justify a 50% rate increase? And, following that logic, did they indicate that they would reduce the rate by X % in any season that is predicted to be below average?
@@hurricanetrack When I called my agency to inquire about the 50% rate increase, I was told there were 23 named storms projected for 2024. They didn't put that in writing, and certainly wouldn't now.
Dr. Klotzbach has done a ton of interviews this year i know hes tired but im thankful for his contributuons. Bless his heart and yours mark
Thx Mark and Doc
I'm obviously curious then on how old Dr. Klotzbach was when he got involved with this program and his current age now.
Hey mark, long time listener, first time caller.
I was wondering if you or any of of your guest would know more about what influences the bermuda high and it's affect on steering currents and how can we expect climate change to affect the bermuda high? And Is there an index that keeps track of the configuration and extent of the bermuda high? I've been hurricane tracking for over a decade now and I think the role of the bermuda high is kinda ignored in the details. It seems the configuration of the bermuda is almost as important as any of the other parameters that are commonly discussed. A stronger bermuda high keep troughs towards the continent and a weaker high can bring quasi-standing troughs out in to the atlantic, forming a sort of protective barrier around the conus. At least this seems to be the case from my observations. From memory, I believe 2017 had a strong Bermuda high that pushed storms deeply westward while last year had a weaker bermuda high that allowed troughs to dig in over the ocean.
Sorry for a huge question, hope to maybe see this expanded on in a future video!
You do great work man, keep on keeping on.
Awesome experience! Thank you mark
Hi Mark,
Firstly may I wish you all the very best for this season, may you find yourself in the calm clear eye of a massive hurricane 😊
Is it me, or are quite a few of the cameras on the Tracking Map not working?
I have just set up a new W11 PC, so might need to download stuff?
Dave (from the UK)
El Nino done since early this month actually.
2022 is an example of why some may not trust seasonal forecasting from CSU although that they should.
AI could be implemented to predict future storms
i predict Ai is going to sell huge amounts of plywood in the future
So we've already had a cat 6 analogue which was Hurricane Dorian, probably the first of many. I'm wondering and worrying constantly about the future. Do you guys think that we could see some Cat 7 by 2050?? And maybe even permanent hurricanes by 2100??
The IPCC and their conservative stance on climate acceleration is the most worrying thing of all.
Also, we got lucky this year with the waning El Nino still suppressing activity before it goes out the door, but next year we will more than likely be starting off the hurricane season in the middle of a La Nina... I'm wondering if the season will kick off earlier next year and also be a lot more intense, seeing as there may be up to 430ppm by then if last year's unprecedented 6ppm rise is anything to go by....
Interesting times ahead.
Thanks for all the content and work that you and your team do, I honestly think that this channel is the best of it's kind on here
Dorian isn't necessarily a new normal from an individual storm perspective. It was virtually tied with the 1938 Labor Day hurricane, for example, and Camille in 1969 was almost as strong as Dorian. Storms like that are rare right now but could become more frequent.
Be Prepared - Not Scared
Thank you for uploading this, and a big thanks to Dr. Klotzbach for taking time out of his day to appear in this video to share all this information. We're looking at the probability of a hyperactive season and the more info we can get to be prepared, the better.
Thanks for the update, Dr. Klotzbach and Mr. Sudduth!!! I can't wait for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season to begin because it can be cool and fun to watch and track these storms form out over the water become interestingly powerful storms. Though, I recognize and observe the dangers of these when they impact land. It certainly will be an interesting or rough hurricane season this year depending on people's opinions of it.
Lol Mark, we know it all because you teach us everything 😂
Love from Texas! Thank Y'all!!!
Hurricane U is back 🤟
2.00 a gallon for gas in 2005? Where? I was stationed at Patrick AFB FL, gas was pushing 5.00 a gallon 🙄
I remember on August 29 it was $2.45 per gallon in Gulfport, MS. In the days following Katrina it spiked to $4 and more pretty much nation wide.