well yeah but he obv won’t keep up this level of xg overperformance. Or if you prefer, he obv wont keep scoring 30 yarders and corners every week. conclusion should be same whether you wanna look at it by xg or by watching his games
@@sm42941 how do you know that he won't continue outperforming his xG? Some players consistently outperform xG - Son has outperformed his xG every season since 2016. Some players are elite finishers in certain positions and Cunha is one of those players. Low xG may come from players only shooting when they get chances from their 'sweet spots' - shot locations where the %probability of them scoring is much higher than the %probability of 'the average player' scoring. You can't read everything from xG, it's too reductive
@@Adam-sm5zfI agree with you, but his outperformance is ridiculous. 10 goals from 3.9xG is insane. I told myself in GW12-13 that I won’t go for him for this reason, and I was severely punished, however I still can’t believe someone can outscore their xG by so much on a long-run (if he is not Messi)
@@nuruknurik8365 yeah i mean he's getting a ban at some point (it's silly that we still don't know when) and his fixtures get worse after spurs so that's reason enough to go off him. but he's such a good player, he's one of those players that just lights up the game whenever he gets the ball and he just has an intangible drive/arrogance to him, it's hard to articulate but it's like he just knows he's better at football. he should get a big move in summer imo
You HAVE to captain Salah this week. Our defence is poor and our fullbacks are very attacking. We also under Lopetegui don’t hold back against big teams and try to attack them making us vulnerable.
Having an overall rank of 341k is still solid Andy, let's hope you score 50 points from the Ass Man chip and keep those funny X tweets coming. Happy Holidays mate! Bruno should leave the team for Gordon or Sarr/Kulusevski with Gordon in particular being a solid long-term player who's constantly playing on the preferred left flank and given Isak is performing so well, there should be assist + goal chances from now until gw26 or so. Keep Mbeumo to play v SOU in gw20, could bench this gameweek v ARS. Given you have 4 FTs, I'd be aggressive and swap out *J.Pedro + Saliba to Watkins/Isak and Milenkovic/Castagne.* You can rotate NFO defence in gw21 when they face Liverpool/best attack but happily play him (has goal threat like Munoz) when it's EVE(a), WOL(a) and SOU(h) in 3 of the next 4 gws. Good upside moves to bring the rank up into the top 200k and then you still have 2 FTs in gw20 with Mbeumo for SOU(a) and Watkins for LEI(h) (and maybe Gordon for TOT(a)).
@13:25 regarding EZE v SARR minutes, it's Sarr that appears more likely to start constantly given Glassner is not liking the Nkeitah/ Mateta/ Eze trio in a 3-4-2-1. I like Sarr more for xGI and his finishing ability seems solid / arguably better than Eze.
Do you think Watkins is a shout? It’s his birthday the day they play Brighton, historically has a great record against them (6 goals in 7 games, including a hatrick). Guaranteed 90 mins and a differentiator who if he does well, will gain massive rank.
Someone always says this every time someone goes on a hot streak but xG catches up with everyone eventually. Cunha is not a better finisher than Messi in his prime for example 🤣
@ well no… but xG has to take into account the rest of the team around him in some ways based on the chances he gets created for him? And if he’s playing in a pretty average team and still making it work then surely that screams that he is better than his xG and that he is just going to be able to continue to make it work?
@@fottombeeder35you realise the guys scoring from 35 yards like every week? go and actually watch the goals. or, go and properly look at the xg (cause you don’t seem understand the extent of the overperformance). you think that’s sustainable? idc if you wanna use xg or eye test, both should lead you to the same conclusion; either, he’s going to ‘continue to make it work’, making him by FAR the greatest long shot taker the league and probably world has ever ever seen, or it’s unsustainable.
Triple Arsenal defence isn’t as effective when Bournemouth, Palace, Newcastle, Forest, West Ham, Wolves, Brentford & Brighton all keep clean sheets 😂 I had 5 clean sheet returns from Raya, Gabriel, Aina, Huijsen & Hall
Andy you’re waffling so much mate. I’m a palace fan, and sarr is so nailed right now. Cmon, he’s such a better option than eze. Eze’s going off 60 mins while Sarr stays on for 90. Sarr makes way more runs in behind so much more threatening as the numbers show etc
Happy days, accidentally activated my free hit chip, couldn't cancel it, thought I'd try and make the most of it, ended up losing 10 points, my transfers, 0.3 team value and I have no free hit😢
Just saw I lost on Goals Scored to a person in your mini league in the Overall Cup (68-68) due to Timbers 3 BP AMADNESS - good luck in the next round, but surely you've used all your luck there on that Arsenal game. I had Gabriel & Odegaard and a 3 point lead vs, you had Timber & Martinelli, I had me as a 95% chance of progressing. Alas a draw, and a heartbreaking defeat.
I almost bought him. I was up all night debating . I even lost 0.1 on saka value because i was holding on to saka so long debating about it. Glad i didn't do it !!
@@LetsTalkFPLI owned him game weeks 11-14 and scored 29 points for me, but I Jumped off him. He’s a bit of a conundrum to be honest. The next six game weeks I can only see him returning against Southampton and at his 8.4m cost, I don’t believe he represents great value. Like everything in FPL though, anything can happen! Just look at city! On another note, I’ve reaped the rewards from triple Arsenal defence and considering leaving them all in play going forward! I’m sat at 1.4k overall and now playing to fine margins! Have a great day buddy 👍
Brought in Jesus, offside goal, Odegaard, should have scored & Gabriel missed a sitter! Also Flekken off before halftime. Missed out on a tonne of points last night! 😭
I think that thing that costs you better rank is courage to do transfers 🙂 you keep mbeumo and pedro for no reason. You have gordon, odegard, sarr, jesus and isak in very good form
This new Manchester united manager isn't the one and I guess that through the unhappiness in Bruno. Might be talking rubbish here but that's why I'm going to sell him
Regarding captaincy, if West Ham play anywhere near they did against SOU(a) giving up 5 shots on target, 1.40xG to that side, narrowly winning 1-0, LIV should score 3/4 goals and win that game comfortably. Ipswich(a) is more tricky than people think, Chelsea's form is poor, Ipswich should get one goal (esp if LEI and SOU got one on Chelsea) and besides NEW putting four goals past them, in the last two months playing IPS(a) has not been kind to the visiting teams; BOU needing a 95min winner to score their 2nd goal, MUN could have lost but Delap shot it at Onana, score was 1-1, CRY and LEI each scoring just one goal as well. Salah(c) for me, West Ham were lucky to win v WOL when Cunha could have had a penalty, win 1-0 on SOU(a) and draw BOU 1-1 when they were awarded a late, pretty controversial, penalty. 2-2-0 record for WHU in the past 4 games is better than how they actually played.
Andy, you went all-in on triple Arsenal defence and it payed off. Nevertheless, it was not a good strategy - please don’t go to a casino any time soon.
totally agree on the bias view,towards Bruno F.I will definitely be buying him for 21.People can't get by his demeaner.Toon fan here but I'm not daft.he will come good,hopefully from gw 21 onwards..
Palace have had injuries that have helped with Sarr’s mins so will he continue to play so much with everyone back? That’s the only real concern, not much more.
Hey, I’m looking for a advice for my team because I’m currently thinking of taking out Joao Pedro and Gabriel Jesus and getting in a cheaper option like Fulham attacker or a Brentford attacker
Hi Andy, do you think its smart to sell joao pedro this week to another cheap forward, or bench him in a 3 5 2 formation. My midfielders are amad, rogers, sarr, palmer and salah and my forwards are haaland and isak.
Damn I got rid of cunha for isak and saka for diaz only for him not to play, also quansah for munoz - meaning I took a -8 💀 I was banking on Cunha to get banned, I’m a United fan so I should’ve known he would get points against a poor United side :/
Does anyone know if there is a site where I can get every players data from every match last prem season in one easily downloadable place? It would really come in handy for looking at some fpl data
Do you not realise how utterly weird your comment is? What is with the negativity against Bruno? Can you not see how bias you are? People told me to get Diaz on WC6, I stuck with Bruno. He’s recently had 70 points in 8 Gameweeks and STILL there are comments like this, it’s such weird behaviour from grown adults. I deserve a red card because I’ve kept a good FPL pick in my team? Im not the one that’s obsessed…
Never thought I’d see the day Andy is finally selling Bruno 🤣
He won't
I always said I'd sell him if the time was right.
Andy Fernandes would never
Ahhh 😮 Andy sold Bruno 😮😮😮😮😮😮
Andy needs to be humble Eh!!
I had bruno,duran on the bench,bench boost active,just a great game,i love it
That is incredible haha sorry
Fantasy in a nutshell :)
Unbelievable …❤😢
Duran😂? You don’t know what’s going on?
Dropped 4pts bringing both in my team, I feel your pain
Andy agreeing to sell Bruno was the only way the Cartel was letting him go.
😂😂👍🏼
😂😂😂
😂😂😂😂
bring in saka, gets injured, bring in bruno, gets sent off
Same
Anyone living close to Brighton, send out a search party for João Pedro!
The cartel finally released him 😅🎉
Andy is selling Bruno before GTA 6!
J PEDRO was lucky yesterday he missed his elbow target last night. 😅
Very true...
I’m sick of this guy. Been blanking and underperforming along with Mitoma…
@@zzgromselling mitoma this week
@@zzgrom lol. I sold J pedro few gameweeks ago to isak. One of the best decisions i have ever made.
Cunha is a phenomenal player and if people actually watched his games rather than his xG stats it should come as no surprise.
Agree 100%. He’s 5 levels above all other Wolves players.
well yeah but he obv won’t keep up this level of xg overperformance. Or if you prefer, he obv wont keep scoring 30 yarders and corners every week. conclusion should be same whether you wanna look at it by xg or by watching his games
@@sm42941 how do you know that he won't continue outperforming his xG? Some players consistently outperform xG - Son has outperformed his xG every season since 2016. Some players are elite finishers in certain positions and Cunha is one of those players. Low xG may come from players only shooting when they get chances from their 'sweet spots' - shot locations where the %probability of them scoring is much higher than the %probability of 'the average player' scoring. You can't read everything from xG, it's too reductive
@@Adam-sm5zfI agree with you, but his outperformance is ridiculous. 10 goals from 3.9xG is insane. I told myself in GW12-13 that I won’t go for him for this reason, and I was severely punished, however I still can’t believe someone can outscore their xG by so much on a long-run (if he is not Messi)
@@nuruknurik8365 yeah i mean he's getting a ban at some point (it's silly that we still don't know when) and his fixtures get worse after spurs so that's reason enough to go off him. but he's such a good player, he's one of those players that just lights up the game whenever he gets the ball and he just has an intangible drive/arrogance to him, it's hard to articulate but it's like he just knows he's better at football. he should get a big move in summer imo
Yo ! Andy Escaped from the Cabin ! 🙌🥳
Bruno might have to go 😭
Finally lol
Yessss finally 🎉🎉🎉
Still on the wall? 😁
They got a tough run in now. Doubt he'll do much in big games.
@@40yearoldvirgil15 Man United's fixture run is pretty decent outside of LIV (A).
You HAVE to captain Salah this week. Our defence is poor and our fullbacks are very attacking. We also under Lopetegui don’t hold back against big teams and try to attack them making us vulnerable.
AWB will lock him up
@ not even on his side though
Having an overall rank of 341k is still solid Andy, let's hope you score 50 points from the Ass Man chip and keep those funny X tweets coming. Happy Holidays mate! Bruno should leave the team for Gordon or Sarr/Kulusevski with Gordon in particular being a solid long-term player who's constantly playing on the preferred left flank and given Isak is performing so well, there should be assist + goal chances from now until gw26 or so. Keep Mbeumo to play v SOU in gw20, could bench this gameweek v ARS. Given you have 4 FTs, I'd be aggressive and swap out *J.Pedro + Saliba to Watkins/Isak and Milenkovic/Castagne.* You can rotate NFO defence in gw21 when they face Liverpool/best attack but happily play him (has goal threat like Munoz) when it's EVE(a), WOL(a) and SOU(h) in 3 of the next 4 gws. Good upside moves to bring the rank up into the top 200k and then you still have 2 FTs in gw20 with Mbeumo for SOU(a) and Watkins for LEI(h) (and maybe Gordon for TOT(a)).
@13:25 regarding EZE v SARR minutes, it's Sarr that appears more likely to start constantly given Glassner is not liking the Nkeitah/ Mateta/ Eze trio in a 3-4-2-1. I like Sarr more for xGI and his finishing ability seems solid / arguably better than Eze.
I gambled on a Cunha ban & a Jésus haul... don't you just love the chaos of FPL
I did exactly the same 🤬
Do you think Watkins is a shout? It’s his birthday the day they play Brighton, historically has a great record against them (6 goals in 7 games, including a hatrick). Guaranteed 90 mins and a differentiator who if he does well, will gain massive rank.
For the next 2 yeah. But for my team I'm not sure it's worth going Watkins just to have to get Isak later at a higher price.
Mateta under the radar for this run. Feeling good about that pick
As a palace fan, I have brought in Sarr over Eze. Eze
doesn't seem himself and Sarr and Munoz seem to be linking up and creating more.
Yeah I swapped Semenyo for Sarr this week.
sold Bowen for Sarr
Cunha proves xG is not a super important stat, especially when you are just as good as he is.
Someone always says this every time someone goes on a hot streak but xG catches up with everyone eventually. Cunha is not a better finisher than Messi in his prime for example 🤣
@@LetsTalkFPLI sold Cunha, not great fixtures for a while.
Agreed. But if he was a civilian he'd be looking at an appearance in a Magistrate's court
@ well no… but xG has to take into account the rest of the team around him in some ways based on the chances he gets created for him? And if he’s playing in a pretty average team and still making it work then surely that screams that he is better than his xG and that he is just going to be able to continue to make it work?
@@fottombeeder35you realise the guys scoring from 35 yards like every week? go and actually watch the goals. or, go and properly look at the xg (cause you don’t seem understand the extent of the overperformance). you think that’s sustainable?
idc if you wanna use xg or eye test, both should lead you to the same conclusion; either, he’s going to ‘continue to make it work’, making him by FAR the greatest long shot taker the league and probably world has ever ever seen, or it’s unsustainable.
Triple Arsenal defence isn’t as effective when Bournemouth, Palace, Newcastle, Forest, West Ham, Wolves, Brentford & Brighton all keep clean sheets 😂
I had 5 clean sheet returns from Raya, Gabriel, Aina, Huijsen & Hall
Andy you’re waffling so much mate. I’m a palace fan, and sarr is so nailed right now. Cmon, he’s such a better option than eze. Eze’s going off 60 mins while Sarr stays on for 90. Sarr makes way more runs in behind so much more threatening as the numbers show etc
He's creating content and therefore just saying stuff as devil's advocate. I'm 💯 he will not sign Eze over Sarr
You’d think a Palace fan would know Eze played 87 minutes last Gameweek 😁
@ because nketiah was injured
What about Metata
@ yeah ima get mateta in this week for raul, prob a bit biased icl but should still be a gd option
Hi Andy, 0 mentions of Mateta? I'm suprised
Andy, take it from me as a Palace fan. Buy Sarr, not Eze. Sarr is the main piece of our attack and Eze has been abysmal this season
I would avoid EZE and Watkins and Maddison. I don’t think they are getting on with their respective coaches.
Never thought I'd see the day he talks about Selling Bruno
Does 4 transfers warrant an early wildcard?
Gameweek rank 1.2m, not bad - decided to play a four back and got 4 clean sheets, hall, Kerkez, Saliba and Gabriel.
Happy days, accidentally activated my free hit chip, couldn't cancel it, thought I'd try and make the most of it, ended up losing 10 points, my transfers, 0.3 team value and I have no free hit😢
Palace can't afford to mess about with rotation considering their position in the league and therefore Sarr makes more sense
selling bruno i closed my eyes and picked Gordon
Have you considered going for Iwobi? I am thinking of getting Iwobi after the Bournemouth fixture
Brought fernandes in for saka last week, and now he's sold again 😂
Just saw I lost on Goals Scored to a person in your mini league in the Overall Cup (68-68) due to Timbers 3 BP
AMADNESS - good luck in the next round, but surely you've used all your luck there on that Arsenal game. I had Gabriel & Odegaard and a 3 point lead vs, you had Timber & Martinelli, I had me as a 95% chance of progressing. Alas a draw, and a heartbreaking defeat.
Lots of good food for thought. Thanks, Andy.
I almost bought him. I was up all night debating . I even lost 0.1 on saka value because i was holding on to saka so long debating about it. Glad i didn't do it !!
Every fixture for Man Utd is a difficult one. I’d avoid ALL united assets for the foreseeable future.
How do you explain all the points Bruno has recently?
@@LetsTalkFPLI owned him game weeks 11-14 and scored 29 points for me, but I Jumped off him. He’s a bit of a conundrum to be honest. The next six game weeks I can only see him returning against Southampton and at his 8.4m cost, I don’t believe he represents great value. Like everything in FPL though, anything can happen! Just look at city! On another note, I’ve reaped the rewards from triple Arsenal defence and considering leaving them all in play going forward! I’m sat at 1.4k overall and now playing to fine margins! Have a great day buddy 👍
I've only come here to see if Andy still had Bruno in his team.
Why’s no one talking about Elanga?
amad or wood this week ?
How are you going to mentally cope - Without Bruno in your team??😢😮😂
Hall is a good one too
On the same exact total points as you… don’t know if i should be happy with that😂
EFC fan & Myko owner.
Avoid him, he's not been playing well and wouldn't be surprised to see Coleman & Young play together at RB & LB, respectively.
Brought in Jesus, offside goal, Odegaard, should have scored & Gabriel missed a sitter! Also Flekken off before halftime. Missed out on a tonne of points last night! 😭
ops on hall to munoz (could be a bit sideways) or fernandes out
bruno out
Best Flekken replacement for long term?
Dean Henderson
Sels or Henderson
I think that thing that costs you better rank is courage to do transfers 🙂 you keep mbeumo and pedro for no reason. You have gordon, odegard, sarr, jesus and isak in very good form
How do you check what rank you on fpl?
What happens to funds used to purchase have manager when the 3 week run is completed.. are these funds returned ? Lost ?
what about Mateta for instead of Joao pedro?
Sure if you have the spare cash but I don't think Mateta is worth the extra necessarily. With the fixtures not a bad pick at all though.
Saints fan here. New manager means IF you wanted a Striker from our team it’s Onuachu, watch our last game. £4.9m
he is a handful
Video on Wildcard please
This new Manchester united manager isn't the one and I guess that through the unhappiness in Bruno. Might be talking rubbish here but that's why I'm going to sell him
Should I buy isak or munoz this week? I can only buy one, and I don't think it's worth it to take a hit for a defender
Cunha is the number 1 scoring forward in FPL.
Regarding captaincy, if West Ham play anywhere near they did against SOU(a) giving up 5 shots on target, 1.40xG to that side, narrowly winning 1-0, LIV should score 3/4 goals and win that game comfortably. Ipswich(a) is more tricky than people think, Chelsea's form is poor, Ipswich should get one goal (esp if LEI and SOU got one on Chelsea) and besides NEW putting four goals past them, in the last two months playing IPS(a) has not been kind to the visiting teams; BOU needing a 95min winner to score their 2nd goal, MUN could have lost but Delap shot it at Onana, score was 1-1, CRY and LEI each scoring just one goal as well. Salah(c) for me, West Ham were lucky to win v WOL when Cunha could have had a penalty, win 1-0 on SOU(a) and draw BOU 1-1 when they were awarded a late, pretty controversial, penalty. 2-2-0 record for WHU in the past 4 games is better than how they actually played.
Andy, you went all-in on triple Arsenal defence and it payed off.
Nevertheless, it was not a good strategy - please don’t go to a casino any time soon.
Andy, any chance you can do a wildcard draft as it the last gw to use it? Thanks for all you do.
I will try and get one out but it will be very early tomorrow morning if I can.
Instead of Armstrong, what about transferring from Raul Jimenez to Paul Onuachu? 90 mins for Southampton?
totally agree on the bias view,towards Bruno F.I will definitely be buying him for 21.People can't get by his demeaner.Toon fan here but I'm not daft.he will come good,hopefully from gw 21 onwards..
-4 to bring in Mateta for Evanilson and Sarr for Semenyo?
Andy - consider Bruno and Mbuemo to Sarr and Eze!
Can someone just organize a dinner for Andy with Eze,mbuemo and fernandes, because the loyalty is getting ridiculous 😂
I don’t understand the eze over sarr argument at all? Eze gets injured a lot more and sarrs minutes have been relentless
Palace have had injuries that have helped with Sarr’s mins so will he continue to play so much with everyone back?
That’s the only real concern, not much more.
How do you have 4 transfers when i have only two?
Hey, I’m looking for a advice for my team because I’m currently thinking of taking out Joao Pedro and Gabriel Jesus and getting in a cheaper option like Fulham attacker or a Brentford attacker
What do you think about murphy over rodgers, amad and enzo?
I kinda think it j Pedro was your second Rogers / Amad / Enzo level attacker. His numbers in the last 5 are pretty poor
on one football Munoz is predicted to be benched
Don't see it to be honest, he's missed 2 games through suspension recently, he's had enough rest surely.
@LetsTalkFPL they predict Clyne to play RWB idk why
Timber or Robinson for gw19?
should we sell evanilson?
99% team rating is a myth. I had 99% and 100% team rating since GW14 and I went on a run of 4 red arrows with 100% team rating :/
it crazy how i have kai Havertz, Cunha and muniz all score one goal
Should I sell Colwill for Muñoz?
Mbeumo replacements?
Gordon I’d say
surely andy goes saliba to a sub 5m defender and raul jiminez to mateta
Buy Munoz Castage/Robinson or Milenkovic?
West Ham have players missing for Liverpool. Definitely gives Salah the captaincy edge.
Hi Andy, do you think its smart to sell joao pedro this week to another cheap forward, or bench him in a 3 5 2 formation. My midfielders are amad, rogers, sarr, palmer and salah and my forwards are haaland and isak.
Why don’t you make that decision by your big boy self?
Castagne is a better pick to Andersen (from a Fulham fan) Anderson may not play against Ipswich as Diop has been very good
78 points this week with Bruno red
what about JP to Havertz?
Definitely not buying a crystal palace attackers
Should I play enzo or wood anyone any advice
yes
Any news on cunha's suspension?
Damn I got rid of cunha for isak and saka for diaz only for him not to play, also quansah for munoz - meaning I took a -8 💀 I was banking on Cunha to get banned, I’m a United fan so I should’ve known he would get points against a poor United side :/
I have Flekken and Fabianski, do you think my priority is doing one if them to Henderson?
Id rather get a Pickford
Im in the same situation as you and I did the transfer
@diam2434 The only thing is I already have Mykolenko and I feel Palace have some very good fixtures coming up and Henderson is a lot cheaper.
Does anyone know if there is a site where I can get every players data from every match last prem season in one easily downloadable place? It would really come in handy for looking at some fpl data
"Trent and Gabriel are never going to get benched"... Didn't they both get benched last year at different times?
Benched by me 😆
I am confused why wouldn’t you play Munoz vs Man United away in Gameweek 24? 😂
I have Bruno and while he is missing the next game after that his games go well after Liverpool with Southampton Brighton fulham and crystal palace
Yup, I just can't really afford to keep him I don't think.
who are people captaining salah or palmer
CUNHA to ISAK
or
JOAO PEDRO to ISAK
FERNANDES to GORDON (or another midfielder less then 7.5 million) for a -4
why you only tell ur name each time? we r also curious about your age
Should I pick Gakpo instead of João Pedro? 🙃
Any chance you cpuld help me out bro with this. Lewis or burn and Amad or jesus.
Does anyone know if the FPL second chance league scoring starts in GW 20 or GW 21?
Nobody in fpl history has deserved a red for a player more. Blind loyalty!
Do you not realise how utterly weird your comment is? What is with the negativity against Bruno? Can you not see how bias you are?
People told me to get Diaz on WC6, I stuck with Bruno.
He’s recently had 70 points in 8 Gameweeks and STILL there are comments like this, it’s such weird behaviour from grown adults.
I deserve a red card because I’ve kept a good FPL pick in my team?
Im not the one that’s obsessed…
@@LetsTalkFPLwell said
@@LetsTalkFPLVamos Andy
Considered putting gordon in for bruno
How about Cunha? So many humour about this guy. Your advice pls