Did Israel try to NUKE Iran?

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  • Опубліковано 20 кві 2024
  • On April 20th, Journalist Pepe Escobar claimed that an Israeli F-35 loaded with a nuclear weapon was shot down over Jorden by Russia. The intent was to detonate an EMP or Electromagnetic pulse weapon over Iran. I don't believe this happened.
    The original tweet was here:
    x.com/RealPepeEscobar/status/...
    I don't think this is correct for 4 reasons:
    #1. If Russia had shot down an F-35 they would let everyone in the world know.
    #2. There is no tactical reason to do this, especially since it would turn the world against Israel.
    #3. An F-35 is an 80 million dollar plane. Israel only has 36 of them. Someone would notice if one were missing.
    #4. In order to "lob" a bomb into near-space where an EMP could be effective (roughly 19 miles / 30 km). This would mean an F-35 would have to fly at 90 degrees at full afterburner (1.6 Mach), until 50,000 feet, toss the bomb and then escape. This would throw the weapon roughly 30,661 feet or 18.9 miles into the sky, which is just under what you would need to make an EMP weapon effective.
    I believe that this is highly unlikely.
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 1,3 тис.

  • @RyanMcBethProgramming
    @RyanMcBethProgramming  Місяць тому +154

    On April 20th, Journalist Pepe Escobar claimed that an Israeli F-35 loaded with a nuclear weapon was shot down over Jorden by Russia. The intent was to detonate an EMP or Electromagnetic pulse weapon over Iran.
    The original tweet was here:
    x.com/RealPepeEscobar/status/1781652011173253524
    I don't think this is correct for 3 reasons:
    #1. If Russia had shot down an F-35 they would let everyone in the world know.
    #2. There is no tactical reason to do this, especially since it would turn the world against Israel.
    #3. An F-35 is an $80 million dollar plane. Israel only has 36 of them. They would notice if one went missing.
    #4. In order to "lob" a bomb into near-space where an EMP could be effective (roughly 19 miles / 30 km). This would mean an F-35 would have to fly at 90 degrees at full afterburner (1.6 Mach), until 50,000 feet, toss the bomb and then escape. This would throw the weapon roughly 30,661 feet or 18.9 miles into the sky, which is just under what you would need to make an EMP weapon effective.
    I believe that this is highly unlikely.
    For uncensored video, check out my substack at:
    ryanmcbeth.substack.com
    Like my shirts? Get your own at:
    www.bunkerbranding.com/pages/ryan-mcbeth
    Want a personalized greeting:
    www.cameo.com/ryanmcbeth
    Watch all of my long form videos:
    ua-cam.com/play/PLt670_P7pOGmLWZG78JlM-rG2ZrpPziOy.html
    Twitter:
    @ryanmcbeth
    Instagram:
    @therealryanmcbeth
    BlueSky
    @ryanmcbeth
    Reddit:
    /r/ryanmcbeth
    Join the conversation:
    discord.gg/pKuGDHZHrz
    Want to send me something?
    Ryan McBeth Productions LLC
    8705 Colesville Rd.
    Suite 249
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    USA

    • @HussOnTheBeat
      @HussOnTheBeat Місяць тому +3

      have you ever seen "Sum of All Fears"? I just rewatched it last night.

    • @far-middle
      @far-middle Місяць тому +6

      This "live" approach was a 100% failure and the cigar was a huge distraction for you and the audience. Delete this video asap, it only strengthens Pepe's manufactured story.

    • @thatmillionthman582
      @thatmillionthman582 Місяць тому +5

      Not trying to say your math was bad but the reason why it likely wouldn't reach 100,000 ft is primarily because of gravity, which Earth's is a constant 9.8 m/s^2. Air resistance may be different at such an altitude. If I had to mix the maths, I think the number would be closer to around 70,000 to 77,000 ft at its maximum. I don't think the webstie you used took into account the lesser wind resistance at that height, especially as its altitude increases, or the matter of gravity.

    • @rogerbrierley1040
      @rogerbrierley1040 Місяць тому +9

      Mach 1.6 is max speed for level flight… vertical flight against gravity will be a fraction of that.

    • @rylandavis2976
      @rylandavis2976 Місяць тому +7

      Hey man, just so you know, not all emps are nuclear Israel has emps that are much more precision based and use targeted beams of energy, I Believe this was the weapon they were considering using (I highly doubt they attempted to use it tho) as for a nuclear EMP launched from a jet, it would make a lot more sense to attach it to a missile and fire it normally and let the missile take it to the appropriate velocity

  • @spudmonkey1
    @spudmonkey1 Місяць тому +638

    2 minutes into the video and I know the answer is No upon hearing the claim that Russians shot down an F-35

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому +67

      Correct. If they had even seen an F-35 on radar they would be crowing about it. Shooting one down before being checked off is out of the question.
      Putin has no idea how many US-made aircraft fly over Moscow on a weekly basis.

    • @disposabull
      @disposabull Місяць тому +24

      For an effective EMP attack it needs to be HIGH altitude, much higher than an F-35 can fly or any weapon that will fit in an F-35 can reach. You need a big rocket...

    • @spvillano
      @spvillano Місяць тому +47

      @@disposabull nah, you just need the space model F-35 or one of the standard bombs that fall up, rather than down.

    • @disposabull
      @disposabull Місяць тому +36

      @@spvillano The Jewish Space Lasers have a top secret tractor beam mode to get nuclear weapons up to 250 miles.

    • @michellemooresings
      @michellemooresings Місяць тому +12

      Ha ha. They can't even beat the ukrainians.

  • @rasmuswittsell10
    @rasmuswittsell10 Місяць тому +84

    Ryan: (Pours himself a stiff drink, lights a huge cigar) "Let me just turn monetization on first" 😂😂😂

    • @TechandTools1
      @TechandTools1 Місяць тому +7

      He's a character, I enjoy his takes on stuff. Really puts out some good info 👌

  • @hellman9655
    @hellman9655 Місяць тому +251

    Just so you know your maps show “My Places” don’t want you to dox yourself

    • @alexc4300
      @alexc4300 Місяць тому +24

      Good spot, but Ryan’s literally given out his address before, for unit patches. Unless it’s a dead-drop … hmm … ok.

    • @erikkovacs3097
      @erikkovacs3097 Місяць тому

      Look it up. It's a public shopping center, a VA medical center and a dentist. All public places visited by 1000's Who can be doxxed?

    • @scottlanier5494
      @scottlanier5494 Місяць тому +5

      Most likely the address is to a PO box unless he gave his actual address which would be crazy

    • @ED-es2qv
      @ED-es2qv Місяць тому +17

      ​@@scottlanier5494Being a combat vet myself, one that puts on a 9mm over his bathrobe before he leaves the hardened bedroom, I can believe he feels ready to meet his enemies at any time. Maybe he invites them over.
      He does a lot of traveling and other events where he isn't exercising 2a, so maybe he prefers to have the crazies show up at his bunker.
      Or maybe he's so clever he gave out misinformation pretending it was inadvertent. Maybe he's playing 4 dimensional chess!

    • @bald_agent_smith
      @bald_agent_smith Місяць тому

      @@ED-es2qvI'm 100% sure it is not his actually address

  • @jkbrown5496
    @jkbrown5496 Місяць тому +155

    An EMP set of by a high altitude special detonation would set off so many alarm bells around the world it is not something you do to show you can. To me the Israeli response was a statement that the knew where Iran's toys were at and now they've see the air defenses brought to bear.

    • @bholdr----0
      @bholdr----0 Місяць тому +3

      And a nuke 'dropped' by an f-35 CANNOT produce an EMP.

    • @lucios_7266
      @lucios_7266 Місяць тому +9

      @@bholdr----0EMPs detonate at around 200km above earth atmosphere. Last time I checked the F35 does not have flying altitude of 600.000 feet, there isn’t even air so high up. This is ridiculous

    • @bholdr----0
      @bholdr----0 Місяць тому +4

      ​​@@lucios_7266
      Bingo. It is depressing that Hersh, who used to be an excellent journalist is now just a parody of his former successful self. It's depressing that he has descended to the desperate and needy pursuit of relevance and attention that characterizes this crap in his dotage.
      (In-atmosphere nuclear detonations (EMPs don't detonate, nukes do, which may or may not produce an EMP. Sry if that's a bit pedantic.) produce high energy radiation that is absorbed and re-emmited by molecules in the atmosphere before they can propagate far enough to cause damage to the electronic devices/components/circuits which am EMP could harm at a militarily useful distance from said explosion- in atmosphere, anything hurt by the EMP generated by a nuke would be destroyed by the kinetic energy anyway... Etc.)
      Cheers? (It's hard to see a man fall as far as Hersh.)

    • @lars7747
      @lars7747 Місяць тому +4

      Israel used some very close range weapons in this limited strike to show Iran is even more of a paper tiger

    • @TechandTools1
      @TechandTools1 Місяць тому +1

      ​@@lars7747 for sure, the OG's comment was spot on. You just added even more 👍👍👍

  • @blairhoughton7918
    @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому +174

    ROFL. I tuned in literally in the last second of the live feed. It disappeared and the paranoia set in.

    • @solemnwaltz
      @solemnwaltz Місяць тому +6

      We're still here for now

    • @MonkeyJedi99
      @MonkeyJedi99 Місяць тому +2

      This "TRUE REPORT" sounds like a spec proposal for a mid-budget movie.

    • @Namegoeshere-op9hg
      @Namegoeshere-op9hg Місяць тому

      Of course the us blew up the pipeline.

    • @kurtwicklund8901
      @kurtwicklund8901 Місяць тому

      Now that's funny.

  • @allensanders5535
    @allensanders5535 Місяць тому +62

    it's pretty simple to debunk if there was a nuclear explosion in the atmosphere every country in the world would know about it and you can't keep them all quiet.

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому +6

      Then explain all the people who act like they've never heard any facts in their entire lives...

    • @Strype13
      @Strype13 Місяць тому

      While it's clearly a bogus story, nobody claimed there was a nuclear explosion in the atmosphere. The claim is that the F-35 was shot down and the nuclear detonation/EMP was averted.

    • @yakinthebox
      @yakinthebox Місяць тому

      I mean, it wouldnt explode if the f35 was shot down

    • @stevenschulte1475
      @stevenschulte1475 Місяць тому +10

      Nobody said it went off.

    • @orenshamir
      @orenshamir Місяць тому +11

      ​@@stevenschulte1475 but if this supposed strike would have been successful, the bomb would go off, right?
      And then every intelligence agency on the planet would know about it, right?
      Which will immediately end about 50 years of Israeli policy of keeping its nuclear capabilities intentionally obfuscated. Right?
      And would most likely invite harsh condemnation, criticism and perhaps sanctions from not only Israel's enemies but also its most important allies.
      And would have justified a much fiercer retaliation from Iran.
      And all of this to create a blackout, which could probably be achieved with a cyber attack, that would also be far less risky, cost a fraction, and be a thousand times more deniable.

  • @fingal113
    @fingal113 Місяць тому +46

    this is wild! they should make a movie about this and call it "the sum of all fears".

    • @phlogistanjones2722
      @phlogistanjones2722 Місяць тому

      I think you meant to say: "Dem sum dim bulbs wit FEERS!"

    • @MonkeyJedi99
      @MonkeyJedi99 Місяць тому +4

      Good book.

    • @maorthekinglong
      @maorthekinglong Місяць тому

      As an Israeli who was attacked this is not funny. Thousand of people could've died. The islamic Republic of Iren targeted all Israel and civilians as well. All I can say is the west is next. Ukraine stops Russia for now. Israel stops Iran and islamic jihad for now. But if you hurt us. It's will end with your end.Understanding the conflict is very easy the Palestinazis want to genocide the Jews the most violent way (7.10 as a promo) they say It probably and loudly and they think they are right! the treat is not over because the PLO west bank/Judea and sumeria is also under attack every day. Iran hisballa in Lebanon Russia in Syria hutty in Yemen really 🤯🔥 look at the bigger picture please.

    • @fingal113
      @fingal113 Місяць тому +1

      @@MonkeyJedi99 ya the book was better. honestly i forgot i read it till you mentioned it. lol. best thing i remember about the book was Clancy describing nanosecond by nanosecond exactly what was happening when the bomb detonated.

  • @haroldcarfrey4206
    @haroldcarfrey4206 Місяць тому +165

    The Israeli F35s would not be flying by itself... A strike package would be involved

    • @michaelnewell9662
      @michaelnewell9662 Місяць тому

      Since an F-35 doesn't have the unrefueled range to attack Iran. to get there, they would avoid Syria and over fly Jordan, Iraq, and maybe Saudi Arabia - 3 places where the Russians are NOT operating. pretty ludicrous. imho

    • @spvillano
      @spvillano Місяць тому +22

      No, it's a special model. EMP's are detonated typically at 200 miles altitude, although some have been detonated successfully (barely) at 120 miles.
      So, the airplane would drop a bomb up or it'd have to go into space. Since no human has antigravity, that means a magical space F-35. Guess it goes with space lasers and their photon torpedoes or something.

    • @cascadianrangers728
      @cascadianrangers728 Місяць тому +6

      Possibly many separate packages and multiple strike groups, would need SEAD and escort aircraft etc

    • @michellemooresings
      @michellemooresings Місяць тому +6

      200 miles UP??? uh ​@@spvillano

    • @michellemooresings
      @michellemooresings Місяць тому +3

      Exactly

  • @TheAirborneKite
    @TheAirborneKite Місяць тому +19

    Quick math: mach 1.6 is ~550m/s. Gravity is ~10m/s2. Therefore, an object flying upwards at mach 1.6 will reach its peak height in 55 seconds.
    During its flight, it will linearly accelerate from 550 to 0 m/s, so its average speed will be 275m/s. 275 m/s * 55 s = 15km. That plus the 50,000 feet gets you just shy of 19 miles.
    Assuming the F35 turns at a right angle and flies away at mach 1.6, it would get twice as far (30km), putting it 33km away from the bomb when it hits its peak. At this point the bomb is only 30km above ground, so I'm going to say it's a one way trip.
    (Yes, I know the plane wouldn't go horizontally, it would go down to get more separation. But it also wouldn't be able to get a right angle turn instantaneously, so if anything, 33km is being generous)

    • @johnrodman3864
      @johnrodman3864 Місяць тому

      😅

    • @saisyuumaho
      @saisyuumaho Місяць тому +4

      It's worse than that. The highest it can get a bomb *is* that 50,000 feet. The only way the plane can get higher than that is by flying faster - if it tries to pitch up to climb, it will just stall and go down instead. Releasing the bomb early doesn't help either, as while it will "lob" the bomb upwards some distance, it will never be higher than the plane could've just carried it anyway.

    • @TheAirborneKite
      @TheAirborneKite Місяць тому +3

      @@saisyuumaho yeah, it is weird to think about a plane going straight up at top speed at the top of its operating ceiling. It is theoretically possible for a plane to lob a bomb upwards because bombs are likely more aerodynamic than planes, but you would have to release at the point where engine thrust and air resistance are equal and opposite (assuming air resistance on the bomb is 0). Not a very useful maneuver, and such a point might not even exist.
      Rule of thumb: if you're trying to escape a bomb by flying *down*, you're probably in a dumb hypothetical.

    • @willyvereb
      @willyvereb Місяць тому +1

      @@TheAirborneKite It's less that and more the fact that bombs don't have to worry about stalling in flight. The better question is if the pilot can even recover the plane from such crazy maneuver so the engines can breathe and function normally for anything to be done. The modern computer systems on the F-35 can probably recover from a spin but the question of the engines being starved of air is another matter.
      Also I should note that service ceiling isn't some magical barrier which would stop the plane working once passed. If anything those are defined with generous safety margins and also lowballed for operational security reasons. It is the maximum manufacturer recommended altitude for a jet to operate to its full capacity. Doing a 90 degree burn up to 50,000 feet should be doable. The F-35 just has the T/W ratio to manage that. The question is really what happens after that.
      Either way as pointed out this is really more of a F-15 style maneuver and the only reason F-35I and gravity bombs were mentioned because the F-35A was only recently certified for the B61 nuclear bomb. Something which Israel officially doesn't even have access to! Remember, they aren't part of NATO nor they have the nuclear sharing program. Their policy of nuclear ambiguity means nobody has any idea what nukes they own, if any. And if they had nuclear weapons OSINT sources imply it has to have French origins with further trail being hard to find.
      Mind the fact that if Russia want to shoot down an F-35 it would be anyone but Israel's. Especially not if they would suspect Israel plans to deploy nuclear weapons. And yeah, the rest of the package with this "news" as how Russia wouldn't shut down for an entire decade if they shot down an F-35. They would canonize the crew as saints and market whatever weapon they managed to do that as "anti-stealth". They kind of already did with the Serbian crew and market the outdated junk radar system which downed the F-117 as the greatest countermeasure against stealth fighters.

  • @TheSzalkowski
    @TheSzalkowski Місяць тому +46

    B-61 can't do a high altitude burst.
    The whole concept is horse$%^&

    • @bronco5334
      @bronco5334 Місяць тому +12

      I mean, in theory all it takes is a slight modification to the fuze. Also, I don't think Israel uses B61s; they weren't sold bombs by the US, they (are thought toe have) made their own. Definitely not going to use a US-made B61, though.

    • @brianv1988
      @brianv1988 Місяць тому +4

      I think they only have ballistic nuclear based on the Jericho missile I think it's called

    • @uncletiggermclaren7592
      @uncletiggermclaren7592 Місяць тому +7

      This is the Israelis we are talking about. If they wanted it , it would be as they wanted it, they are masters of engineering, few equals anywhere in the world.

    • @libertycosworth8675
      @libertycosworth8675 Місяць тому

      The USA has the B-61. Israel has, rather obviously, something else - if they wanted to set off an EMP over Iran, they probably would not need an F-35 (with a gravity SW bomb payload) to do it. But you are correct, "Pepe's" whole concept is caca.

    • @changeminds2736
      @changeminds2736 Місяць тому +3

      They don't want/need high alt, LEMP would be what they would be going for. If they set it off above 10 miles they would fry the whole middle east. When the US tested at Bikini Atoll the EMP hit hawaii and burned out a bunch of stuff, 2500 miles away. If this was ever planned, it would be below 5 miles altitude, so the EMP's BR would be 2-5 miles.

  • @charlessage7323
    @charlessage7323 Місяць тому +24

    Ok, I'm no math expert, but I remember these things from school. You forgot to factor in the train going the other direction.

    • @richardhockey8442
      @richardhockey8442 Місяць тому

      it it the wheels driving the plane down the runway that make it fly?

    • @orenshamir
      @orenshamir Місяць тому +7

      I'm an Israeli so I know that this is an impossible question to answer because trains are always in one of three randomly interchangeable states: late, on strike or down for maintenance.

  • @petekaiser8856
    @petekaiser8856 Місяць тому +65

    So a dude named Pepe tweets the opening scene from "Sum of All Fears" on 4/20 and we are to take it at any face value?

    • @Ellecram
      @Ellecram Місяць тому +7

      Not just Pepe....but Pepe Escobar lol.

    • @AmosS
      @AmosS Місяць тому +2

      Just what I was thinking.
      (Not that "The Sum of all fears" is realistic, I served in the IAF and it's nothing like this)

    • @bluesrockfan36
      @bluesrockfan36 Місяць тому +1

      Your ignorance does you no credit.

    • @petekaiser8856
      @petekaiser8856 Місяць тому +3

      @@bluesrockfan36 It was a joke man. But hey, if calling me ignorant is your thing, you do you.

    • @GeorgeThomas-hr1ej
      @GeorgeThomas-hr1ej Місяць тому +3

      ​@bluesrockfaHn36 He is apparently a good source and his info sources are quite good. If the nuke thing isnt real, and he said it was corroborated by a bunch of sources. He alluded to it being classified because this is not exactly good for public interests. The countries involved had a secrecy agreement. In that it was better not being released officially. But he insinuated tjat Israeli losses were quite high and Iran knew right when they left the runways. And launching a nuke from the ground would be much more obvious imo. Every country would see it. Where as with a plane, it could be secretly loaded under a hangar and made to look like a "normal" flight.

  • @cascadianrangers728
    @cascadianrangers728 Місяць тому +26

    It's preposterous to think Israel would send only one strike group, much less just one individual aircraft! When they went after the nuclear reactor in Iraq they sent so large of a strike package they had to attack in 3 separate waves

  • @wasnt.here.3853
    @wasnt.here.3853 Місяць тому +40

    Every time you do a video I'm always pausing to try and read what you've got on the bookshelf haha. If you ever need an easy video, I'd love to hear some book recommendations in line with your channel!

    • @CultureCrossed64
      @CultureCrossed64 Місяць тому +1

      He actually has a video where he gives some reading recommendations- I think it's one of the videos where he is answering peoples questions.

  • @kurtwicklund8901
    @kurtwicklund8901 Місяць тому +24

    Long answer, No.

  • @peterstickney7608
    @peterstickney7608 Місяць тому +42

    BS from the very first paragraph. EMP doesn't work like that. In order to generate a damaging Electro-Magnetic Pulse, the weapon needs to be detonated at, basically Low earth Orbit alitudes - (Roughly 200 miles), and have a significant yield - Over 1 MT, which will produce an artificial aurora, potentially inducing currents in long-length conductors.
    You're not getting a Power-Grid disrupting EMP from anything carried by an F-35. If that were the case, Las Vegas, and Hoover Dam would have been blanked out dozens of times in the 1950s, when atmospheric testing was begun at the Nevada Test Site.

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому +20

      I blacked out in Vegas a couple times in the nineties. Does that count?
      (Not really. I haven't blacked out since Korea.)

    • @jakeaurod
      @jakeaurod Місяць тому

      That's not what I've read, but maybe the EMP Commission and Glasstone and Dolan missed something.

    • @glytchd
      @glytchd Місяць тому

      Dude. No. Not LEO. Look up Cold War era 'Starburst'. Gosh that's so much misinformation these days.

    • @peterstickney7608
      @peterstickney7608 Місяць тому +12

      @@glytchd Starfish Prime, July 9, 1962. A 1.4 MT burst from a W49 warhead, Burst height 250 Statute Miles. (Which is where a lot of LEO Sats live, although some imaging sats have lower perigees for, as it were, a closer look) Note that it wasn't in orbit - just a nearly vertical lob.
      The EMP effects covered about a 900 mile radius - Some streetlights and a microwave comm link were affected in Hawaii.
      Back in the Cold War, I was crunching EMP Effects Calculations as part of the job.

    • @peterstickney7608
      @peterstickney7608 Місяць тому +5

      @@jakeaurod Glasstone and Dolan (I've still got my Dr. Strangelove Circular Slide Rule) didn't miss anything - run the numbers - at a burst height below about 120,000', the effective radius of the EMP is about that of the fireball. Excitation of the Deposition Layer becomes significant for a wide-area effect at about 100 km/62 statute miles - which is, in fact LEO territory - Not for many orbits, but none the less.

  • @eddiemason42
    @eddiemason42 Місяць тому +65

    This sounds like the initial plot of the film Sum of All Fears - Jack Ryan film…

    • @ConfusingmeyeFBIagent
      @ConfusingmeyeFBIagent Місяць тому +5

      Come on we have been living in a Clancy book since 2001

    • @richardhockey8442
      @richardhockey8442 Місяць тому

      problem is the world is afflicted with a different virus which uses ESG money to spread

  • @mr.person5209
    @mr.person5209 Місяць тому +13

    You did your calculations with the F-35 going its maximum speed, vertically. When vertical, the engine would also have to fight gravity, significantly reducing thrust. The max speed would not be maintained for very long, not to mention the loss of speed from pitching to a vertical attitude.

    • @cadennorris960
      @cadennorris960 Місяць тому +1

      Do you know what the thrust to weight ratio would be at that altitude?

    • @mr.person5209
      @mr.person5209 Місяць тому

      @@cadennorris960 I looked up the TWR and it’s 1.15 but I’m not sure what it would be at 50,000’ even 1.15 wouldn’t work because of the huge loss of speed from pitching up.

    • @TCLe
      @TCLe Місяць тому

      The point was to demonstrate that even in an ideal situation (no wind resistance, no loss in thrust efficiency) it wouldn't work. It doesn't even get to 20 miles.

  • @kage3050
    @kage3050 Місяць тому +52

    Problem with this story, besides smelling like absolute garbage and, as you pointed out, Russia would be crowing about like you wouldn't believe, is that Israel has a perfectly fine aircraft that they would use and it's not the F35, it's the F-15. The only reason the the f-35 was mentioned, more than likely, was the recently news surrounding the ability to mount gravity bombs like the B61. They recently announced the F-35A was recently certified for it's use. Thank you for all your efforts to keep the BS honest. They really need to have someone like you teaching our congressional aides how to spot BS like this before they post something on their congress person's Twitter feed just because it suits their narrative.

    • @fireplusbirdfilms6517
      @fireplusbirdfilms6517 Місяць тому +12

      Bingo! That's exactly what I was thinking. If you want to shoot something into low earth orbit to cause an EMP, the 15's your bomb truck, er, missile truck in this case. We've already shot down a satellite with a missile shot from an F-15 just to prove we could do it. Anything missile big enough to go that high isn't going to fit in the missile bay on an F35 and hanging a missile off of a pylon on an F35 negates its steatlh characteristics, so why do that when Israel has plenty of F-15s that can do the job better.
      This sounds like it was put together by someone with very little actual knowledge of the military who used F35 becuase it sounds more sexy/scary to mention a stealth jet. Plus, Russia gets to come off as the competent military force for shooting down America's mainstay 5th gen stealth fighter. In reality, Russia can't even shoot down a friggin radio-controlled ultralight prop plane stuffed full of explosives flying for hundreds of kilometers over its own territory. Or shoot down missiles aimed directly at its supposedly top-shelf S-400 air defense system. Someone remind me how many S-400s Ukraine has torched that we have visual proof of. It's getting up there.

    • @TechandTools1
      @TechandTools1 Місяць тому

      ​@@fireplusbirdfilms6517 love this comment 👍👍👍

    • @Deonara
      @Deonara Місяць тому

      Obviously you don't know any russian politician.

    • @kage3050
      @kage3050 Місяць тому

      @@Deonara I pride myself on not knowing any politicians, Russian or otherwise.

  • @glenngrowe7105
    @glenngrowe7105 Місяць тому +193

    I have read things by Pepe Escobar. I take him as a joke and disregard anything he writes.

    • @peekaboopeekaboo1165
      @peekaboopeekaboo1165 Місяць тому +8

      Pepe Escobar is a legit Journalist .
      Not like those corporate media paid hacks .

    • @spvillano
      @spvillano Місяць тому +41

      @@peekaboopeekaboo1165 legit journalist, oddly capitalized, because he repeats Russian disinformation, then reports on how nuclear weapons get dropped up. If he can't even get gravity right, you'll excuse me while I dismiss credibility.

    • @sheltr9735
      @sheltr9735 Місяць тому +9

      Exactly!
      Years ago (two decades??), he was a recurring guest presenter on The Real News Network. That network aimed at thoughtful analysis and reporting, from a left-side POV. Canadian, and definitely activist, so the network's reporting was quite agenda-driven. For me, this sometimes conflicted with the network's overall credibility.
      But Pepe Escobar's articles were particularly questionable. He was clearly motivated by a real caring for the world's underdogs. Admirable, but, even at that time, it seemed that his motivations affected his judgement. I.E. His reporting frequently seemed biased. So, it's ironic to see that, years later, Wikipedia notes his potential connection to Russian disinformation.

    • @peekaboopeekaboo1165
      @peekaboopeekaboo1165 Місяць тому +6

      @@spvillano
      Pepe Escobar got his information from Sy ...
      Ryan Macbeth is part of the Military industrial complex .

    • @peekaboopeekaboo1165
      @peekaboopeekaboo1165 Місяць тому +4

      @@sheltr9735
      Pepe Escobar is against Imperialism .

  • @SeeLasSee
    @SeeLasSee Місяць тому +12

    Nope. They’re hoping the population will finally end the regime.

    • @EyeOfTheWatcher
      @EyeOfTheWatcher Місяць тому

      Just like they found out in Egypt, having a Muslim country being lead by the people rarely turns out in Israel's favor.

    • @19deltascout43
      @19deltascout43 Місяць тому

      Hows it working out now?​@EyeOfTheWatcher

    • @aiden6667
      @aiden6667 Місяць тому

      ​@@EyeOfTheWatcher Iran is barely even a muslim country,and this regime is certainly much worse than anything Egypt had. 40-60% of Iranians have left Islam,and even more want a secular liberal government. More people support a constitutional monarchy under Pahlavis,a secular liberal republic,or a social democracy than islamism. The most popular holiday in Iran is nowruz,the Persian new year,not eid. The only reason this regime is still in power is their brutality and the fact they indoctrinated so many people into the irgc and Artesh(army). Their popularity is going down by the minute. Before this Israel escalation event chain,it was around 20%. The regime approval will go down to 10% as the economy gets worse(already seeing that with the hyperinflation) and when it reaches those numbers,the regime will crumble!

  • @platanoverde10003
    @platanoverde10003 Місяць тому +2

    The idea is that USA, Russia, Israel and Iran agreed on keeping this insiden as it never happened

  • @upgrade1015
    @upgrade1015 Місяць тому +12

    They wouldn’t “try” Raytheon is a hell of a Drug

  • @wumpygaming
    @wumpygaming Місяць тому +12

    Hey Ryan. at 11:25 it looks like when you switch camera screens input thingies you have it set to not capture your audio.
    EDIT: Nevermind you figured it out later in the video

  • @TWFydGlu
    @TWFydGlu Місяць тому +50

    It is very hard to know Pepe Escobar is a troll or genuinely believes his fantasies about BRICS. He's never said anything Russia wouldn't like.

    • @ronin3782
      @ronin3782 Місяць тому +1

      You forgot option “3”. That he’s both.

    • @sonovagod
      @sonovagod Місяць тому +1

      "He's never said anything Russia wouldn't like." if that ain't a red flag i don't know what is, and it's a huge soviet red flag...

    • @MrBoomersfriend
      @MrBoomersfriend Місяць тому +1

      What Pepe says about bricks is no fantasy you watch

    • @TWFydGlu
      @TWFydGlu Місяць тому

      @@MrBoomersfriend Which economy do you think will crash first, Russia or China?

    • @GeorgeThomas-hr1ej
      @GeorgeThomas-hr1ej Місяць тому

      ​@@TWFydGluNeither. The US first. 34 trillion in debt?? and You ask that question? This is a DREAM for China and Russia. They are now tightly knit thanks to our stupidity at always pissing off the Russians.

  • @hap1666
    @hap1666 Місяць тому +13

    Look at the problem like this: The bomb gets released by the jet, then decelerates under the influence of gravity to zero velocity. If the bomb fails to explode it falls again, accelerating under the force of gravity. Let's assume we can neglect the drag force of air friction, the bomb will fall to its release point going the same speed as its release, but with the velocity directed down. since it is acted on by a single force, gravity.
    So let's use the energy equations: Potential energy = MgH; Kinetic Energy = 1/2 MV^2
    since we start at some distance H above the launch point, we'll calculate the motion falling; then
    MgH = 1/2MV^2 where V = the velocity of release = the velocity as the unexploded bomb falls past the release point.; g = about 10 M/Sec^2; H = the distance above the launch point. So:
    gH = 1/2V^2 => 10*H=1/2*548^2 Which gives us H = 15,015 m
    Since we started at 50,000 ft = 15,240 m we need add that to the distance the bomb travels to (or from, since the motion will be symmetric); thus
    The total height at apogee is 30,255 m or 99,262 ft.
    A good problem.

    • @MisterK-YT
      @MisterK-YT Місяць тому

      Ok nerd

    • @keepyourbilsteins
      @keepyourbilsteins Місяць тому +2

      My inner high-school physics self was screaming.

    • @pjonpspam6640
      @pjonpspam6640 Місяць тому

      ax^2 + bx + c would work, right? 🤔 it's been a while

    • @uncletiggermclaren7592
      @uncletiggermclaren7592 Місяць тому +1

      That is ignoring all sorts of issues, most importantly the air resistance, but others as well.

    • @twoninetwosevenone
      @twoninetwosevenone Місяць тому

      Did anybody versed in Kinematics follow this ???

  • @spvillano
    @spvillano Місяць тому +30

    Let's see from the beginning. So, an Israeli jet was leaving Jordan, on the way to Iran and was shot down. That'd put it over Iraq, where the Russian air force cannot and does not operate. The jet apparently was planning to deploy an EMP. So, an F-35 was going to fly to 120 - 200 miles altitude and drop a nuke. Not 20 miles, which is pretty much stratosphere. A biggie is being above the ionosphere (37 - 190 miles). Otherwise, you'll not dislodge ions to ride magnetic field lines at orbital altitudes to raise merry hell.
    Why not simply launch photon torpedoes and call it done? After all, your fighter jet made it into orbit already. Or maybe it's one of those new bombs, you know, the bombs that fall up, rather than down.
    And some Asian source, not Russia or China, informed him at high level hand wave. Uh huh. Because Israel briefs all of Asia and the US about their nuclear weapons that they still haven't admitted to owning, just winking and nodding. Uncle Martin and Marvin the Martian are not reliable sources, Pepe.
    And oh, an EMP would also ride the geomagnetic field lines and hit Russia. Something Israel most assuredly isn't stupid enough to do.
    Oh, my bad. Nukety nukety, nukey fear FEAR FEARY FEAR the MAGIC NUKE! Bow down to Putna!
    Yeah, not gonna happen. At least not until they can drop something and it can fall up.

    • @michellemooresings
      @michellemooresings Місяць тому +5

      Ha ha That's great.

    • @mrpocock
      @mrpocock Місяць тому +9

      And nobody in the region noticed or collected the nuke from the downed jet.

    • @MonkeyJedi99
      @MonkeyJedi99 Місяць тому +7

      The "Asian source" was from Sri Lanka.
      It was the ghost of Arthur C. Clarke having a lark.

    • @HebrewHammerArmsCo
      @HebrewHammerArmsCo Місяць тому

      WTAF Israels top Secret photon torpedo development is out of the bag ...... Geeeezus no one can keep a secret anymore

    • @michellemooresings
      @michellemooresings Місяць тому +1

      @@mrpocock hà ha, exactly. And nobody witnessed it.?

  • @briangasser973
    @briangasser973 Місяць тому +7

    Why would Israel bother with an F35 (especially its a fighter and not a bomber) to carry a nuclear weapon verse just using a ballistic missile? As a non military person, this sounds stupid to me.

    • @preppertuck
      @preppertuck Місяць тому

      Detection?

    • @davidty2006
      @davidty2006 Місяць тому

      Didn't F35 only very recently get the ability to carry nuclear warheads?

    • @itzikashemtov6045
      @itzikashemtov6045 Місяць тому +1

      @@davidty2006 Israel alone did over 300+ upgrades to the F-16 including extra 150% flight time, I think they can add such capability by themselves

    • @vindictaetmortem748
      @vindictaetmortem748 Місяць тому

      ​@@itzikashemtov6045this is true. However no matter how much you modify an F16 still can't carry a nuclear tipped ballistic missile which is what it would take to get a nuke at high enough altitude to be an effective EMP strike

    • @nathanielalaburgDelhi
      @nathanielalaburgDelhi Місяць тому +1

      @@preppertuckit only carries gravity nukes so far. So it would literally have to fly into high earth orbit……. The blood of the pilot would boil before he’s even half way there lmao

  • @rm6330
    @rm6330 Місяць тому +12

    No requirement to have served in military to get a passport in Brazil.

  • @cryptocherry91
    @cryptocherry91 Місяць тому

    Been waiting for literally ANYONE to talk about this. Thank you

  • @TheRudyred
    @TheRudyred Місяць тому +2

    It was interesting to get an insight into how the sausage is made. I won’t lie, it was painful to watch at times 😂 But kudos for having the balls to make this stream and being courageous enough to expose your shortcomings (if any were exposed. To me those are not shortcomings but rather you showing humanity and humility). Thank you for sharing this.

  • @WarkoSanchez
    @WarkoSanchez Місяць тому +9

    Thank you for your service

  • @randygc3704
    @randygc3704 Місяць тому +36

    Anyone that considers Seymour Hersh a credible source pretty much destroys their credibility.

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому +6

      I took it as satire.

    • @fjfj544
      @fjfj544 Місяць тому

      yet you believe Russia bombed its own gas pipeline. are you at booster5/6?

  • @joemomma1776
    @joemomma1776 Місяць тому

    Love that you are doing longer/live streams. I'll try to catch them from here on out.

  • @raymonddimuzio5115
    @raymonddimuzio5115 Місяць тому +1

    Hey Ryan, thanks for going through the exercise, especially live. Shows why we all trust you and come to you deliberately for this kind of info and confirmation!

  • @AirRider44
    @AirRider44 Місяць тому +5

    F-35 unofficial ceiling is almost certainly ~60k feet. It’s certified to 50k feet.

    • @kairakuwaeldreor3868
      @kairakuwaeldreor3868 Місяць тому

      ​@tafdiz But a missile big enough to hold a nuke cannot be held internally on an F-35, and they are for shit NOT going to put one on external hardpoints and ruin their stealth over all sorts of bad guy land....even if Israel might even possibly have a nuke that fits on an air launched missile...for which there's no evidence

  • @testboga5991
    @testboga5991 Місяць тому +6

    Twitter is a cesspool, it's not worth debunking anymore. I mean, Pepe Escobar. Come on!

  • @ilana
    @ilana Місяць тому +2

    I am not an engineer but I am an architect, and all while Ryan was struggling with 0 degrees i was shouting to the walls IT'S 90!!! 90!!! Try 90!!! It's " the same"!

  • @DFMurray
    @DFMurray Місяць тому +12

    Could a f-35 even carry a nuke that is capable of creating an effective EMP blast? From very casual research I've done previously it takes a pretty big bomb. Not to mention very high altitude so it wouldn't just be a drop bomb it would have to be one that is rocket propelled. This all sounds very heavy for an f-35. B-52 B2 B1 sure.

    • @edl653
      @edl653 Місяць тому +1

      Even a small Nuke can create an EMP effect. The bomb dropped on Japan created an EMP. The only thing with a smaller bomb is a smaller effect in range and magnitude.

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому

      I think the bigger issue is, if Tehran suffered an EMP, who would give a damn? It's the Cleveland of the Middle East. The effects of the EMP would wear off in a couple of minutes. Maybe take an hour or two to fix things that actually broke.
      And they'd never stop whining about it. Like in 3024, we'd still be hearing about how they couldn't watch House of Cards one night a hundred Ayatollahs ago because the mean Israelis broke electromagnetism.
      An EMP is pretty pointless unless you're fighting someone who's got a lot of electronics and is trying to attack you right at that moment. It's about the fifth most effective thing about a nuclear weapon.

    • @Scudboy17
      @Scudboy17 Місяць тому +2

      ​@edl653 while you are not wrong, a noticeable EMP effect requires a lot of atmosphere to propagate the Compton effect that starts with the detonation. The minimum height you would need is about 170km or about 100 miles. Any lower than that the EMP waves will not be able to travel far enough before being grounded out in the surface of the earth.

    • @jakeaurod
      @jakeaurod Місяць тому

      The minimum height is 19 miles, per Glasstone and Dolan. The gamma rays emitted by the device knock electrons loose in a part of the atmosphere they call the "Deposition Region". The higher you are, the more of this Deposition Region is within line of sight, which extends the range of EMP effect.
      Bigger isn't necessarily better. Other sources suggest that a multistage device can pre-ionize the atmosphere, resulting in an EMP that either has less power or less coherence or something along those lines (I'm not sure, I'm not a physicist). Other sources explain that there are 3 components to an EMP: E1 (the superfast pulse that can knock out electronics and scares everyone); E2 (similar to lightning that might couple to antennae); and E3 (similar to a solar storm, CME, couples to long conductors like transmission/telephone lines and pipelines). A larger multistage) device dumps energy slower, but this can maximize E3 because it releases gammas from both the first stage, second stage, and third stage (if it has a third). A smaller device (single stage/boosted) can maximize E1 because it's a single, fast flash of gamma. At least, that's what I've read.

  • @inventgineer
    @inventgineer Місяць тому +6

    The statement that ~ "All parties (even those that disagree vehemently with and want to kill each other) agreed to just not say anything." ...is, by itself, EXTREMELY suspicious. It takes either an extremely dishonest or naive man to not recognize and acknowledge that one or all nations, recognizing the others would inevitably bring it up to THEIR benefit, would all choose to actively address and posture on the issue, so as to get their word, their version of events, in as soon and as strongly as possible. To suggest they all "just suddenly decided to work together, instead!" sounds like some kiddy playground bullshit (given the context), lol.

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому

      You're dealing with the interface between foreign policy and internal politics. Neither Israel nor Iran has the ability to actually harm each other significantly (well, Israel can almost certainly nuke Iran, but that would be as bad for Israel as Iran, geopolitically). But they both have a need to appear invincible to their own people. And they need to appear willing to be fierce, to their allies. So they're firing weapons but not provoking fatalist responses.
      It's all pretty fucking childish really. Except when Iran gets a bunch of psychopaths to attack a music festival...

    • @daminox
      @daminox Місяць тому +1

      99.9% of conspiracy theories can be debunked if one just looks at how many people would have to keep the truth a secret in order for the conspiracy to work. And the bigger the conspiracy the more enticed someone will be to spill the beans to the media for their 15 minutes of fame and a book deal. A phone video or photo of the burning wreckage of an f35 would be worth millions to news agencies who want to be the first to break the story. Ain't nobody gonna keep that a secret lmao

  • @wysskers4
    @wysskers4 Місяць тому +2

    you do a great job on short cuts, but there's plenty of us who like this longer-form live stuff!

  • @frankshifreen
    @frankshifreen Місяць тому +2

    THE WHOLE PROPOSITION IS ABSURD-

  • @alexshapley8331
    @alexshapley8331 Місяць тому +4

    you are very polite in your response
    (and with the drink and cigar going, you look just like an Irish ex-colleague...)

  • @bradleywillis1654
    @bradleywillis1654 Місяць тому +41

    Seymour Hersh is completely full of shit, just see his ridiculous tale about the Nord stream that’s been debunked from like 5 different angles. Kinda hard to believe you’re giving oxygen to anything from an associate of hersh but I’m here for it broski

    • @IamdeaththedestroyerofWorlds
      @IamdeaththedestroyerofWorlds Місяць тому +3

      Debunked by whom. Swedes closed the investigation.

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому +4

      If Pepe Escobar is the troll he appears to be, that ironic reference was intentional.

    • @far-middle
      @far-middle Місяць тому +7

      @@IamdeaththedestroyerofWorlds Every claim from both sides contradicts Hersh's story.

    • @Ghatbkk
      @Ghatbkk Місяць тому +3

      @@IamdeaththedestroyerofWorlds Pretty much everybody.

    • @gmoogle2615
      @gmoogle2615 Місяць тому +1

      Look at hersh Wikipedia, he won a Pulitzer prize for reporting mai lai massacre, abu ghraib. Spooks hate him. You will always find cool guys saying "he's full of shit, trust me bro"

  • @h2kclan418
    @h2kclan418 Місяць тому

    Ty for the video.. Watched from start to finish..

  • @slateslavens
    @slateslavens Місяць тому +1

    Ryan, generally speaking, I love your videos. But there are a few problems with the bomb toss estimates (checking your work :D ):
    First, the mach 1.6 figure 'at high altitude' will be for level flight. It'll be slower in a pure vertical climb. Aircraft speeds, unless specifically listed as 'in a dive', 'max climb', or something similar, will almost always be for level flight with a trimmed aircraft.
    The calculation also does not take into account the mass of the weapon. Per the link in the F35 Wikipedia page you used, the weapon weighs in at 715 pounds. I'm not sure it matters, but there it is.
    The range of the craft you used was the "ferry rage" where you have a full load of fuel and external tanks on an otherwise unloaded plane - i.e. no weapons. At 21:31 if you look at the line below "range" you'll see "Combat range". You'll want to swag which of _those_ range figures would most closely match for payload weight and use that range instead.
    At time stamp 34:33 the pilot would not have 134.8 seconds to clear the area, they would have 55 seconds from the moment of release - listed in the table as 'Time to reach max height'. The 134.8 seconds is 'total flight time' - time between release and impacting the ground assuming 'the ground' is at sea level.
    I didn't think the height you ended up with was good, but I found a different calculator and it's reasonably close to your figure.
    I'm not sure how fast the F35 could climb vertically, but by the numbers it's in the neighborhood of 1:1 thrust to weight ratio, depending on it's weight at the time of the toss attempt. The WP pages lists the TW ratio as 0.87 at 'gross weight' (49450lbs) and 1.07 at 1/2 fuel remaining.
    Lets assume that the toss would happen as close to it's max range as possible at 1/2 fuel remaining, so it would be able to accelerate in a full-burner climb, but there's no way it'll reach mach 1.6 vertically.
    There's another catch here. Range is the maximum distance attainable on a single max load of fuel. Given that and giving the F35 the benefit of the doubt and using the "air-to-air configuration on internal fuel" listed on the WP page - 870 miles / 1410km - we get a combat radius (half of 'range') of 435 miles assuming no mid-air refueling and no reserve. With this range, after crossing the furthest border from Jordan into Iraq, the F35 would have to turn around halfway to Baghdad.
    Even if the F35 refueled just before exiting Jordanian airspace, another 435 miles would only see it barely across the border into Iran.
    I just took external tanks into account in a cancelled edit to this post. It wouldn't matter how much fuel you carry into this fight. The fact of the matter is that the F35 _must_ have a thrust to weight ratio greater than 1:1 to accelerate in a vertical climb and it only achieves that with a bit more than 1/2 fuel load in internal tanks and the external tanks already gone. It's still stuck with 435 miles of fuel to get home on.
    Basically, there's no way an F35 from Israel is going to drop an EMP-burst nuke in Iran. The F35 would need to cross into Iran a bit below 50,000 feet (not sure how much), and pull into a max climb to 50k and let the bomb go. Even a couple of minutes at full afterburner to make to toss would leave it with not enough fuel to make it back to Jordanian airspace. Maybe it's doable on the performance margins between 'publicly advertised' and 'actual performance' the military doesn't advertise as far speed and climb, but I think fuel kills this all by itself.
    That said, I doubt that the F35 would hit mach 1.6 in a vertical climb carrying a 715lb bomb. It might not break mach _at all,_ but I don't have the math to figure that out.
    Anyway, I enjoyed the video and I've been using your videos to help teach my son to be a little more critically-minded about the stories on the internet that wind him up. Thank you for that.

  • @zredband
    @zredband Місяць тому +17

    I don't know man, he kinda lost me at the Russians shooting down an Israeli military aircraft.
    That's inplausible enough.

    • @GeorgeThomas-hr1ej
      @GeorgeThomas-hr1ej Місяць тому +1

      No it isnt. Russians have the most advanced missiles on the planet. You are very naive and western media has brainwashed you. Us and Israel still stuck in WW2 era weapons. and couldnt stop Iran from nailing three Israel air bases wirh ballistic missiles. Iran warned them 72 hrs in advance

    • @GeorgeThomas-hr1ej
      @GeorgeThomas-hr1ej Місяць тому +2

      I meant to say they have HYPERSONIC missiles. Which go mach 12, some even more. Its such an absurdly overpowered device. Iran has the same or BETTER missiles. The ones they used to score 18 solid hits in that drone attack, the one where the drones took 4 hours to arrive. They told RVERYONE about the attack to stay within International law. 72 hrs. Not only did Israel get ready, but the US and Britain as well had air defenses ready with jets. Those missiles came so fast that they werent even picked up on the radar and the air defenses were too busy shooting at the pos drones. The drones were distraction that worked. US news is avoiding this like the plague. Its extremely embarassing. And also lm add, the US doesnt even have hypersonic missiles. This is not the old Iran from the 90's.

  • @libertycosworth8675
    @libertycosworth8675 Місяць тому +15

    Ryan, I appreciate your videos. As far as "pepe escobar", well 9 x10 to the 500 level BS on this one. #1, Russia can't even knock down a Ukraine light aircraft loaded with explosives flying 3k km into Russia to hit the shaid assembly plant, let alone hitting a stealthy F-35 with potential jamming and other elint and wild weasel support. #2, Iran apparently didn't knock down a single Israeli jet, but possibly a few UAVs during Israel's response. #3 Russia would not risk their limited valuable air assets in Syria to the potential wrath of the Israelis. #4, Israel's F-35, if carrying a special weapons loadout internally would likely have spotted any Russian combat aircraft before it could lock on to the F-35. #5 If Israel really thought doing an EMP over Iran would be strategically useful, they have other assets capable of placing an appropriately sized special weapon in the proper location without exposing a valuable fighter jet and pilot. If Israel really was hell bent to use the F-35, then in order to solve the gravity bomb problem, an educated guess says that they have a SRAM type special weapon which would fit into the bay of the F-35 and that would allow the F-35 to successfully exfil (without burner) from the target area while boosting the weapon to the correct altitude. #6, As others have mentioned the "journalist" appears to be borrowing from Clancy's book. The similarity can't be overlooked, but it may or may not be reasonably thought to be fantasy plagiarism by an internet troll.

  • @sheltr9735
    @sheltr9735 Місяць тому +2

    "Hang on. I poured myself a drink..."
    FRICKING LEGEND

    • @Strype13
      @Strype13 Місяць тому

      Someone pouring themself a drink is where you set the bar for legendary status? You are quite easily impressed, my friend.

  • @24540082
    @24540082 Місяць тому

    one of the best de-bunk videos I have ever watched.... good work

  • @kenreynolds1000
    @kenreynolds1000 Місяць тому +8

    Brazil has conscription, but not everyone has to serve. They show up after they turn 18, have a lottery, some get assigned to weekend warrior gigs or other support/guard units and a few actually get real training. Most are excused. All they have to do is show up when their name is called up to get that "passport permitted" certificate.

  • @benjamincarlson6994
    @benjamincarlson6994 Місяць тому +41

    pepe isn't a racist icon anymore, exactly. At the point the frog meme is just synonymous with general internet "shitposting" which can be racist, but isn't always or necessarily motivated by politics fringe or otherwise

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому

      It's still racist. Nobody with a clue is associating themselves with 4chan bullshit and expecting a pass for being witty and ironic.

    • @inventgineer
      @inventgineer Місяць тому +4

      If memory serves,paper blew up, as much more of a generality, then polysilicon areas of Chan and reddit and such created a subsection meme of Hitler pipe, but pipe meme itself has nothing to do with race.

    • @thorwaldjohanson2526
      @thorwaldjohanson2526 Місяць тому +10

      Pepe is super common in streamer culture and memes. Nothing really to do with race.

    • @kdiigx
      @kdiigx Місяць тому +7

      Pepe was an example that you can turn anything “racist” because people are so sensitive.

    • @frankschaeffer8153
      @frankschaeffer8153 Місяць тому

      Pepe was never "racist" unless "racist" to you means "not in lockstep with the woke agenda."

  • @420champion4
    @420champion4 Місяць тому +1

    Dude, why do you need to slander this guy as a Russian propagandist? That's leading journalism.

  • @0shizik0
    @0shizik0 Місяць тому

    Thank you. It was quiet interesting to see your way of thoughts.
    ps. Can you increase volume next time, because I had to increase mine and almost got deaf because of advertisement. 😅

  • @user-uj6qn3cg8o
    @user-uj6qn3cg8o Місяць тому +4

    What are you smoking and where do you get your cigars?

  • @edl653
    @edl653 Місяць тому +5

    An EMP does not have to start at a high altitude as you mention. A higher altitude only helps the EMP effects to spread further. Even the bombs dropped on Japan produced EMP effects. - Afterburners are not required.

    • @louiscypher4186
      @louiscypher4186 Місяць тому +6

      You misunderstand. The reason you detonate the nuke at high altitude is so that it's too high up to cause physical and radiation damage.
      If you don't care about that, yes you can detonate it at low altitude. But if your going to detonate at low altitude your not trying to just cause EMP damage.

    • @edl653
      @edl653 Місяць тому +3

      @@louiscypher4186 Ah, good point, I had not thought of that. Thanks - I would think if one crossed the nuke threshold, they would do so but not by a half measure.

    • @jakeaurod
      @jakeaurod Місяць тому

      According to Glasstone and Dolan, "the mechanism of EMP formation is different in explosions at (or near) the surface and at high altitudes." This produces an EMP through charge separation that eventually flows on the ground, for up to 8 miles for a 1MT burst. Above 19 miles, "the gamma rays produce Compton electrons by interactions in the air; these electrons are deflected by the earth's magnetic field and are forced to undergo a turning motion about the field lines. This motion causes the electrons to be subjected to a radial acceleration which results, by a complex mechanism, in the generation of an EMP that moves down towards the earth." Source: "The Effects of Nuclear Weapons" 3rd edition, 1977 by Glasstone and Dolan (published by the US DOD/DOE).

  • @danielgrant9213
    @danielgrant9213 Місяць тому +1

    Added bonus info:
    I'm not sure what the minimum yield is for a useful EMP weapon is, but if historical tests are anything to go by, it's probably pretty high. Like a megaton minimum. This would make the scenerio even more improbable as:
    1, Even if Israel has nukes, it's relatively unlikely they have anything with that kind of yield.
    2, Even if they do, there is almost no chance it could be carried internally by an F-35, so they'd need to certify their F15's to carry the thing and they'd need to certify the F15's to carry it on their own (if they even have that ability).

  • @vman9591
    @vman9591 Місяць тому

    Thanks Ryan again for your tremendous work 🙏

  • @zzzzBadBoyzzzz
    @zzzzBadBoyzzzz Місяць тому +5

    The F35 isn't going to do Mach 1.6 straight up to 50,000 ft.

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому +3

      Not with that attitude it isn't.

    • @ajalvarez3111
      @ajalvarez3111 Місяць тому

      @@blairhoughton7918And it would use a hell of a lot of fuel.

    • @rogerbrierley1040
      @rogerbrierley1040 Місяць тому

      Mach 1.6 is max speed for level flight… vertical flight against gravity will be a fraction of that

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому +3

      @@ajalvarez3111 So you get a KC-135 tanker to join the climb.

    • @markcalhoun8219
      @markcalhoun8219 Місяць тому +1

      @@blairhoughton7918 now I'm imagining a flock of F35's towing a tanker like Santa and his reindeer into LEO lol

  • @marks6072
    @marks6072 Місяць тому +3

    Agreed. Only stupid people would gamble an $100M F-35i aircraft on a dubious mission like that.. when a Jericho II ($8M) or Jericho III ($15M) ICBM could be used

    • @TCLe
      @TCLe Місяць тому

      Makes for a good story though, I'd watch it.

    • @Deonara
      @Deonara Місяць тому

      Well, israeli haven't proved to be very smart...

  • @JoeyCarb
    @JoeyCarb Місяць тому

    There's nothing I love more than watching really really intelligent and knowledgeable people struggle with technology. My dad has a masters in engineering from Cornell, was a literal nuclear engineer for 40+ years, remodeled our entire childhood home including a two story addition with just his brothers on the weekends, was building home PCs as a side gig in the 80's, creates webpages and codes mobile apps in his retirement, but still needs my help to set up his whatsapp account so he can video chat with his grandkid and waited until I visited to buy a new car because he knew he wouldn't be able to get his phone to connect to the new car on his own.

  • @vincegarcia4236
    @vincegarcia4236 Місяць тому

    Thank you for the news and info.

  • @TheMcIke
    @TheMcIke Місяць тому +4

    Proper answer: Maximum altitude 100,453 feet in ~56-seconds (both less with wind resistance) [or ~19.038 miles]
    ChatGPT: How high will a projectile go if launched vertically at 548 m/s from an altitude of 50,000 feet? Give the answer in feet and include how long will it take to reach maximum height.
    To find out how high the projectile will go when launched vertically at 548 m/s from an altitude of 50,000 feet, we need to consider the initial altitude along with the velocity.
    Let's break down the problem:
    1. Initial Velocity (u): 548 m/s
    2. Initial Altitude (h): 50,000ft
    3. Acceleration due to Gravity (a): 9.81 m/s^2 (negative because it's acting downwards)
    4. Final Velocity (v) at peak: 0m/s (at maximum height)
    5. Time to reach maximum height (t)
    First, let's convert the initial altitude from feet to meters: ℎ=50,000×0.3048≈15,240m
    Now, we'll find the time (t) it takes for the projectile to reach maximum height using the kinematic equation: v=u+at
    At maximum height, v=0, so we have:
    0=548−9.81t
    t= 548 / 9.81 ≈ 55.87s
    Now, let's find the maximum height (s) reached by the projectile using the kinematic equation: s=ut+ 1/2 at^2
    Substitute the known values:
    s=548×55.87 + 1/2 x (−9.81) × (55.87)^2
    s≈548×55.87 − 1/2 × 9.81 × 9.81 × (55.87)^2
    s≈30,651.8m
    Now, let's convert this back to feet: s≈30,651.8×3.28084≈100,453.5ft
    So, the projectile will reach a maximum height of approximately 100,453.5 feet, and it will take approximately 55.87 seconds to reach that height.
    So, 100,453.5 feet is approximately 19.038 miles.

    • @langdons2848
      @langdons2848 Місяць тому +1

      Thank you - I'm terrible at maths, I did a rough calculation in my head, turned out I was pretty close to your answer.

  • @The88Cheat
    @The88Cheat Місяць тому +4

    It is SO refreshing to hear a rational take on geopolitical events. THANK YOU.

  • @arbythepainter
    @arbythepainter Місяць тому

    Wow! That was such a clear description of an EMP and you made it look easy.

  • @JC-yy5nf
    @JC-yy5nf Місяць тому +1

    Great video, as always. You're the absolute best. Unbiased and straight to the point

  • @jaygobolos9302
    @jaygobolos9302 Місяць тому +4

    There was a mainstream article just published that said the US has just developed an "e-missile" that can cause and EMP. Perhaps this is what the F-35 was intending on using instead.

    • @uncletiggermclaren7592
      @uncletiggermclaren7592 Місяць тому +1

      Well, that isn't how it is done, but if it WAS a normal, non atomic missile, the EMP can't be strong, there isn't the same sort of energy that a nuke delivers.

    • @jaygobolos9302
      @jaygobolos9302 Місяць тому

      @@uncletiggermclaren7592 The CHAMP is fitted in an air-launched cruise missile and delivered by a B-52 "or an F-35. Once it enters enemy airspace, the missile stays low and emits high-powered microwave energy aimed at target devices.

  • @711liljay
    @711liljay Місяць тому +2

    Everyone talks of emp and referring to nuclear weapon because it is a byproduct. Truth is electromagnetic pulse has been a byproduct of electricity. You can make your own emp pulses with an electromagnetic device. Might need to ramp up the power for reach but it’s a thing. Nothing new

  • @major505
    @major505 Місяць тому +1

    About conscription in Brazil: every male that reaches 18 must do military service (in theory) but most of them end up being dismissed because there's not enough people and equipment to train anyone. So only a small contingent needs to serve. Usually if you are in college you are automatically dismissed (not every time , but most times) . I, myself, was dismissed, and are considered part of reserve, where in case of war, you can be called to serve.

  • @user-nn3nn8hp8u
    @user-nn3nn8hp8u Місяць тому +4

    Israel would get busted.

    • @Quicksilver1936
      @Quicksilver1936 Місяць тому +1

      By what?

    • @user-nn3nn8hp8u
      @user-nn3nn8hp8u Місяць тому +1

      @@Quicksilver1936 By the command authority super computer who is kind to all people that refer to her for what she is and by her correct name!

    • @user-nn3nn8hp8u
      @user-nn3nn8hp8u Місяць тому

      @Quicksilver1936 Israel is lying.

  • @leftoverbacon
    @leftoverbacon Місяць тому +4

    “we don’t know if Israel has nuclear weapons” my guy, it’s been common knowledge for decades.

    • @lrmry
      @lrmry Місяць тому

      Maybe, but Israel has not officially confirmed it.

    • @bigjake6936
      @bigjake6936 Місяць тому +1

      Who cares if they confirm it?​@@lrmry

    • @lrmry
      @lrmry Місяць тому

      @@bigjake6936 You tell me 🤷‍♀️ Clearly it factors into reporting and intelligence analysis.

    • @bigjake6936
      @bigjake6936 Місяць тому

      @lrmry well.... AI overviews are experimental. Learn more
      In October 1957, France and Israel signed an agreement to build a nuclear power plant in Israel, which was completed in 1963. The agreement was made up of two secret documents: one political and one technical. The political document stated that the project was for peaceful purposes and outlined other legal obligations. The technical document described a 24 megawatt EL-102 reactor, but the one that was actually built was two to three times larger and could produce 22 kilograms of plutonium annually

  • @diszydreams
    @diszydreams Місяць тому

    U are one my heroes Ryan, your content has helped me set some of my friends and even a family member straight: and I have realtime-translated some of your videos to Finnish when I have watched with my (10yr old) son. AND you have seen strange days! Keep up the good work!

  • @longtabsigo
    @longtabsigo Місяць тому +1

    Don’t forget that the IDF has access to Azerbaijani Airspace.

  • @nouveausocratic1884
    @nouveausocratic1884 Місяць тому +9

    Ryan, you probably know this by now, but your audio goes mute when you go to the maps at 14:50 and earlier. To be honest, I prefer your produced video over live feed. You can still drink and smoke in the produced programming.

  • @teamcyrmining3673
    @teamcyrmining3673 Місяць тому +3

    Also Ryan you shouldn't dismiss the date joined on twitter. That tells a lot about how fake a user is.
    Joined September 2021
    Has two million followers
    Lol 100% fake user.
    You see lots of Russian bots with same join dates corresponding with US election dates.

  • @mansquatch2260
    @mansquatch2260 Місяць тому

    ADL, that's some real high quality sources you're using.

  • @craigsavarese4554
    @craigsavarese4554 Місяць тому +2

    Was wondering if you would do an episode on the US CHAMP EMP cruise missile? I know it was successfully tested over a decade ago, and officially fielded around 2019. If Ukraine used 1-2 of these for example, would the effect be large enough to blunt any Russian summer offensive (ie Kharkiv)?
    Thank you.

  • @user-qc9sn9wu5t
    @user-qc9sn9wu5t Місяць тому +6

    That's a looong cigar

    • @Kevin-rz6lm
      @Kevin-rz6lm Місяць тому

      Some are longer than others.

    • @rumbadamba
      @rumbadamba Місяць тому

      Sometimes it's just a cigar

  • @kx4532
    @kx4532 Місяць тому +4

    Those smokes. Not good. Don't let them get you.

  • @spencerpearson1321
    @spencerpearson1321 Місяць тому +1

    The minute I heard Russians shot down an F35 I immediately was like “we couldn’t find an F 35 in our own goddamn airspace. What are the chances that the Russians have better shit in the Middle East then we do inside the United States? Ridiculous.”

  • @boydmaddocks838
    @boydmaddocks838 Місяць тому +2

    Short answer ; NO. Long answer ; FUCK NO. What garbage, thanks Ryan keep the truth true !

  • @mishabakunin4354
    @mishabakunin4354 Місяць тому

    Love your content, love that you are REAL. Thanks so much.

  • @davidelliott5843
    @davidelliott5843 Місяць тому +4

    Why would you fly a $100 million aircraft over enemy territory to launch a nuke when you can simply use a rocket? You simply wouldn’t. So I call crap on the idea.

  • @GentleeDuckie
    @GentleeDuckie Місяць тому +6

    Hey, Ryan. if you were to toss a bomb you'd do it at 45 degrees, not 90 degrees. At a 45-degree angle, it would have a longer horizontal distance to travel. At a 90-degree angle, it would fall more quickly due to gravity.

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому +4

      90. You need to maximize the vertical velocity initially. Gravity is essentially constant straight down. 45 gets you max horizontal ballistic range if you fire from 0 altitude and in a vacuum.

    • @haedubabaganush
      @haedubabaganush Місяць тому +6

      @@blairhoughton7918 no, not really.... there are several ways to deliver a tactical nuke by strike aircraft...I know....back in the 60's it was what I was trained to do. One approach that we would do is approach the IP at high altitude...dive to low altitude and AB to 700 kts at 300 ft AGL.... at the pull up point that was in the flight plan you would pull up at 4g's and release the 61 and then 135 bank in full AB and turn and dive to get to 700 kts escape speed...so you would in 1 minute be 10-12 miles away from your bomb's det point.... and btw, the 61 variant we liked was the parachute retarded that would give you more time to escape. The 90 degree up method was not really the preferred method and actually, you would have to overfly your target at very high speed, pull g's into a vertical climb and release the bomb at 100-104 degrees...so an over the shoulder sling to the target behind you and you would have to max turn and dive for speed away from the det point.....and a retarded device was really handy. This method was employed in the late 50's, early 60's...but is not really the best way to do it...unless it was a really small device. With EMP devices, you still have blast to consider and if you're aircraft isn't hardened...well, not a likely good outcome....

    • @cameronsmith5968
      @cameronsmith5968 Місяць тому +2

      The claim is that the nuke was used for an emp, so had to be high in the atmosphere for the emp effect to work. A vertical launch is needed for maximum altitude.

    • @blairhoughton7918
      @blairhoughton7918 Місяць тому

      @@haedubabaganush All cool shit, but, We're talking about trying to get max altitude on the bomb here. Letting the aircraft survive has been left entirely out of the equation.

    • @haedubabaganush
      @haedubabaganush Місяць тому

      @@blairhoughton7918 Well, I guess I wasn't clear....You can achieve the required altitude with a tactical delivery. When you start a pull at 4 g's at 680-700 kts in full re-heat (Afterburner is what it's called in the US) you are climbing at 40-50 K feet per minute. EMP does work best at high altitude but for tactical weaponry, you're looking at something like a 1 kt explosive device...so you would want to detonate at least 5-10 miles....higher would be better and cover more area...but we are talking about a tactical delivery. Ballistic missiles would be more ideal to have it detonate something like 25 miles above the ground with a larger device...that would cover a much wider area. Regardless, a toss delivery will get an emp device to an effective altitude. The calculation for what that altitude is optimum is actually rather complex and specialists determine all that stuff as size of blast, projected effect, weather, target type and a host of other factors that would go into making those calculations. Cheers.

  • @caseychambers2693
    @caseychambers2693 Місяць тому

    Important reference. When we find out the actual specs of the F-35 are Mach 1.9 and a 75,000 foot ceiling, our answer changes somewhat, but it’s ridiculous not on math but on politics

  • @alistairbest3622
    @alistairbest3622 Місяць тому +2

    Israel has nuclear weapons since early 1970's; Israel and South Africa have been testing nuclear bombs in the sub-Antarctic Indian Ocean, in early 1970's, and the U.S knows about it.

  • @ElmerBadly
    @ElmerBadly Місяць тому +7

    Ryan, your videos are always informative, but you're getting self-indulgent. All the research could have been done before you filmed, and the cigar is just distracting. Please take yourself more seriously as a professional.

    • @Strype13
      @Strype13 Місяць тому +1

      While I agree with your assessment, he did mention that he wanted to show his "debunking process" while live.

  • @ticijevish
    @ticijevish Місяць тому +2

    I debunk this as I watch:
    A nuclear device releases a "radioflash" EMP upon detonation, but this EMP has a very localized reach and effect. You can knock out the electric grid in a city, but it can be quickly restored.
    To make an EMP that destroys the grid and most electronics in a large area, you need to detonate a nuclear device in the ionosphere, which is quite a bit higher than an F-35 can fly. Also, there are no known propulsion systems that can fit inside an F-35's internal weapons bay and propel a nuclear device into the ionosphere, which is what Israel would have to do in order to achieve this effect "Pepe" is claiming they wanted.
    Therefore, Pepe's claims are total bunk.
    I'm not even going to touch the claim the Russian Air Force was able to shoot it down over Iraq or the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan. Just gonna call BS, too.

  • @301BOYSWP
    @301BOYSWP Місяць тому

    up here in Frederick, MD, originally from Montgo ery County. dig your stuff man, keep it up.

  • @johnb7490
    @johnb7490 Місяць тому

    I always enjoy your videos. Keep up the good work sir.

  • @Yosaif-israel
    @Yosaif-israel Місяць тому +1

    If they knew what a smart move for them is, they would

  • @Seasonstobecheerful
    @Seasonstobecheerful Місяць тому +1

    To summarise, if you launch a ballon full of Pepe, it won't fly very far.

  • @michaelberna7746
    @michaelberna7746 Місяць тому +1

    Hey Ryan, you can actually solve how high the bomb will go in a parabolic trajectory(I know you’re assuming straight vertical but in projectile motion you break it into individual x and y components) by one of what are called the ‘fab four’ equation in physics, specifically 2ad= vf^2-vi^2 and then solving for d. A=acceleration (gravity -9.81 m/s^2) d= distance(how high it will go after released from the jet, then add the height of the jet in meters to get the explosion height) vi= initial velocity (how fast the bomb is traveling at release) and vf= final velocity (which will be 0 as we are calculating the maximum height, and at said time the bomb will be perfectly still in the y direction at the apex of flight). Finally, make sure all units are in METERS(distance) METERS PER SECOND(final and initial velocity) and METERS PER SECOND SQUARED (acceleration). If you for example have distance in feet but you have velocity in m/s then you are going to get some fucky wucky results.

    • @michaelberna7746
      @michaelberna7746 Місяць тому +1

      Then, alternately, if you wanted to calculate how fast the f-35 would need to fly in order to get the bomb up to the necessary height for an EMP, you could use the same equation except solve for vi. Vf and a would be the same at 0 and -9.81 respectively, and d would be however high the bomb would need to go after being released for desired effect. If the f35 cannot reach the velocity that you solve for, then it would be impossible for this to have happened

  • @platanoverde10003
    @platanoverde10003 Місяць тому +2

    I'm at min 35 and Ryan still going around, around and no conclusion....

  • @getahanddown
    @getahanddown Місяць тому

    Ryan are you thinking of all EMPs being atmospheric to interrupt the Earths magnetic field?
    Nukes are better for that but you wouldn't need to do it local + a missile could go high enough (Starfish Prime for example).
    There are also localised EMPs that you might use near a data centre or control centre

  • @backseatgamer7367
    @backseatgamer7367 Місяць тому +1

    Really took a phone call and two days to find an f35 you lost in your owe backyard

  • @Levytan1
    @Levytan1 Місяць тому

    I am following you on twitter now. Why i didn't hear from you before. Thanks for the news

  • @MrNakedweasel
    @MrNakedweasel Місяць тому

    It's a sound delivery concept, especially when you consider that by reducing altitude and yield, you also reduce (localize) the area of effect- which probably makes sense for the IDF, and that pilot in particular.

  • @RonnyCoalman
    @RonnyCoalman Місяць тому +1

    Only took us nearly 15 minutes to do that calculation lmao.