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Government and society after AGI | Carl Shulman (Part 2)
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- Опубліковано 17 сер 2024
- Part 1: • The economy and nation...
If we develop artificial general intelligence that's reasonably aligned with human goals, it could put a fast and near-free superhuman advisor in everyone's pocket. How would that affect culture, government, and our ability to act sensibly and coordinate together?
It's common to worry that AI advances will lead to a proliferation of misinformation and further disconnect us from reality. But in today's conversation, AI expert Carl Shulman argues that this underrates the powerful positive applications the technology could have in the public sphere.
Learn more and find the full transcript on the 80,000 Hours website: 80000hours.org...
To illustrate the possible impact, Carl imagines how the COVID pandemic could have played out in the presence of AI advisors that everyone agrees are exceedingly insightful and reliable. But in practice, a significantly superhuman AI might suggest novel approaches better than any we can suggest. In the past we've usually found it easier to predict how hard technologies like planes or factories will change than to imagine the social shifts that those technologies will create - and the same is likely happening for AI.
In today’s episode, Carl Shulman and host Rob Wiblin discuss the above plus lots more.
Chapters:
• Cold open (00:00:00)
• Rob’s intro (00:01:16)
• The interview begins (00:03:24)
• COVID-19 concrete example (00:11:18)
• Sceptical arguments against the effect of AI advisors (00:24:16)
• Value lock-in (00:33:59)
• How democracies avoid coups (00:48:08)
• Where AI could most easily help (01:00:25)
• AI forecasting (01:04:30)
• Application to the most challenging topics (01:24:03)
• How to make it happen (01:37:50)
• International negotiations and coordination and auditing (01:43:54)
• Opportunities for listeners (02:00:09)
• Why Carl doesn't support enforced pauses on AI research (02:03:58)
• How Carl is feeling about the future (02:15:47)
• Rob’s outro (02:17:37)
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The 80,000 Hours Podcast features unusually in-depth conversations about the world’s most pressing problems and what you can do to solve them.
The world needs more of Carl Shulman's insights. I've watched tons of interviews of AI practitioners and have never seen anyone come close to delivering so much value in an hour or two as Carl. Carl, if you're reading this, please consider joining the US AI Safety Institute or some other institution to save humanity
I had just finished part one yesterday, and was eagerly awaiting part two, and here it is! Thank you for the work you do to make these possible!
The more ive listened to this topic.i cant believe people want super intelligence to be controlled by man. Why us that premise never questioned??
I would rather take my changes with the rule of ai than man who has control of a super AI
I for one would love to have an AI capable of fact checking and calling out lies for what they are.
I've long thought that we (USA) should change how our first amendment works and remove those protections from politicians and the media.
If you choose to be someone in such a position of trust, then you should be held to very high standards of honesty.
Found being intentionally misleading or to be lying? Off with your head!
Kidding on that last part. Or am I?
You shouldn't be able to claim political hyperbole as your defense and say that no reasonable person would take what you say seriously because as we all know, not everyone is reasonable.
Not to mention, we live in a world where many people have to work multiple jobs just to get by and rely on such sources to keep them informed.
They don't have time to fact check everything, nor should that be required from sources such as media and politicians.
Fix this and most of our problems disappear.
2 hour science fiction podcast
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