Tom Jager was actually the first swimmer to ever go under 22.0 in the 50 LCM. He set this record March 24th, 1990, going 21.98 and then 21.81 all within the same day. In the video you say Biondi held the 50 freestyle record for about 10 years. This is incorrect as Biondi never held the record for over two years. You might have been thinking about Tom Jager, who set the world record at 22.12 on August 20th, 1989. He later went on to break his own record two time in the same day on March 24th, 1990, where he broke the record in the semifinals and then reset the same record at finals. From the time he set the record in 1989, he was the holder of the world record all the way up until Alexander Popov set the record at 21.64 on June 16th, 2000. Just wanted to add this because many people forget that Jager was the one who held the world record for one of the longest spans of time. Great video, just wanted to add this, as sprinting history is very cool.
Hi Shea, correct! Thanks for catching this...it was Tom Jager who held the record for 10 years then Popov took it down in 2000! 21+ is still blazing fast!
just a question : why linear regression and not other kind of regression? Did you back-test it? I have no idea but just wondering if progression would not become harder and harder over the time. Anyway, many thanks for this video which learnt me a lot, and for all the videos you make. Happy swimming! :-)
Correct! There are several statistical methods that can be used and all would yield a different result. The way shown here incorporates a slower average rate of improvement from now into the future when the barrier will be broken as compared to the average rate of progression in the last 30-40 years. Hard to tell when the asymptote will be. We'll have to wait a couple decades to see how all these #s play out :)
You are right, extrapolating too far is non-senses, need to be refreshed later when we will get more data! Another question which came to my mind just as writing this message : do we see the same slowing process in longer races? In open water too?
@@SebRomUTube I have not looked into those races as much, but I'm confident they will drop in time as well as the 'average rate of swimming' will continue to improve over the next few decades. Will the rate of improvement slow down? probably, time will tell!
Good video but you left out the Caleb Dressel dropped his personal best in the 50 yard freestyle in 24 hours by one second. That’s critical information. Also daughter is at the age of 41 set the American record in the 50 m freestyle with a timer for 24.07 so she dropped her personal best over the course of her Olympics career over 24 years by about a second and a half.
@@FaresKsebati I think that Sjorstrom could have a shot IF the world swam yards. Curzan is probably the best bet though. She has 6 years of yards swimming left to drop 1.6 seconds (assuming she uses all her college eligibility).
That's a very good video. I would love to see more videos about competitive swimming, it would be awesome to see a breakdown of some iconic races or swimmers. One idea that comes to mind is exploring why the 2008 OG was a once in a lifetime event for competitive swimming... Going through a bit of the history, the suits, the world records being smashed, etc
Thanks for watching the video. Checkout some other race breakdowns I did including the 200m Fly WR (ua-cam.com/video/PlgFtO8J4pU/v-deo.html), 100m Br WR (ua-cam.com/video/0TXJIF966PA/v-deo.html), 4 x 100m Free from Beijing (ua-cam.com/video/p6iJVQ5fzDA/v-deo.html)
The prediction for the first 19 in 2037 is probably skewed by supersuited times. That world record hasn't been beaten for 15yrs, so i don't think 19 is coming any time soon
Nice to learn that it's normal to s-l-o-w down those last few yards on the 50. I thought a wizard was extending the lanes, especially on fly.
It really does feel like that sometimes, huh?
Love the detailed content! Keep it coming.
You got it! 🙌
More to come!
Dude these videos are sooooo good
Thanks for watching!!
Glad you enjoyed! Happy swimming :)
Tom Jager was actually the first swimmer to ever go under 22.0 in the 50 LCM. He set this record March 24th, 1990, going 21.98 and then 21.81 all within the same day. In the video you say Biondi held the 50 freestyle record for about 10 years. This is incorrect as Biondi never held the record for over two years. You might have been thinking about Tom Jager, who set the world record at 22.12 on August 20th, 1989. He later went on to break his own record two time in the same day on March 24th, 1990, where he broke the record in the semifinals and then reset the same record at finals. From the time he set the record in 1989, he was the holder of the world record all the way up until Alexander Popov set the record at 21.64 on June 16th, 2000. Just wanted to add this because many people forget that Jager was the one who held the world record for one of the longest spans of time. Great video, just wanted to add this, as sprinting history is very cool.
Hi Shea, correct! Thanks for catching this...it was Tom Jager who held the record for 10 years then Popov took it down in 2000! 21+ is still blazing fast!
Thanks for the correction!
MySwimPro it’s so cool that you responded. I love these dissection videos, keep up the good work!
@@sheacard3311 You got it! Let me know what you'd like to see next!
@@sheacard3311 thanks for your support!
just a question : why linear regression and not other kind of regression? Did you back-test it? I have no idea but just wondering if progression would not become harder and harder over the time. Anyway, many thanks for this video which learnt me a lot, and for all the videos you make. Happy swimming! :-)
Correct! There are several statistical methods that can be used and all would yield a different result. The way shown here incorporates a slower average rate of improvement from now into the future when the barrier will be broken as compared to the average rate of progression in the last 30-40 years. Hard to tell when the asymptote will be. We'll have to wait a couple decades to see how all these #s play out :)
You are right, extrapolating too far is non-senses, need to be refreshed later when we will get more data! Another question which came to my mind just as writing this message : do we see the same slowing process in longer races? In open water too?
@@SebRomUTube I have not looked into those races as much, but I'm confident they will drop in time as well as the 'average rate of swimming' will continue to improve over the next few decades. Will the rate of improvement slow down? probably, time will tell!
Many thanks Fares for your answers, wish you all the best!
I just want to be able to swim and thread water better, with all this info I'm now thinking about becoming an analyst .... Thank you sir 👍
You're a swim nerd in the making!
Good video but you left out the Caleb Dressel dropped his personal best in the 50 yard freestyle in 24 hours by one second. That’s critical information. Also daughter is at the age of 41 set the American record in the 50 m freestyle with a timer for 24.07 so she dropped her personal best over the course of her Olympics career over 24 years by about a second and a half.
So fast!
Speeeeeedy
First Female Yards 19?
Who do you think could do it?!
@@FaresKsebati I think that Sjorstrom could have a shot IF the world swam yards. Curzan is probably the best bet though. She has 6 years of yards swimming left to drop 1.6 seconds (assuming she uses all her college eligibility).
@@overagetoddler Great insight! Now we just have to wait and see...
2037 huh? ok i have 17 years to train
Get to it!
Yessss!!!!
Caeleb Dressel split a 17.30 at the 2018 ncaa champs although it was off a 2 medley relay (prelims)
He's a monster!
What year do you think we'll see a swimmer go 19 (men) 22 (women) in the 50m LCM Free??
2024
2023-2025
But caeleb went 21.04 in 2019 not 21.18
Blazing!!! 🔥
That's a very good video. I would love to see more videos about competitive swimming, it would be awesome to see a breakdown of some iconic races or swimmers.
One idea that comes to mind is exploring why the 2008 OG was a once in a lifetime event for competitive swimming... Going through a bit of the history, the suits, the world records being smashed, etc
Great ideas!
Thanks for watching the video. Checkout some other race breakdowns I did including the 200m Fly WR (ua-cam.com/video/PlgFtO8J4pU/v-deo.html), 100m Br WR (ua-cam.com/video/0TXJIF966PA/v-deo.html), 4 x 100m Free from Beijing (ua-cam.com/video/p6iJVQ5fzDA/v-deo.html)
I bet I could do a 16 second 50ft free 😏
Let's see it!
🔥
Love every single video... and it's kinda good to know that u slow down... It feels like the wall is 3 years away after the 25m mark
Happy swimming :)
Thanks for watching! The last 25 of a 50 is super tough!
First
The prediction for the first 19 in 2037 is probably skewed by supersuited times. That world record hasn't been beaten for 15yrs, so i don't think 19 is coming any time soon
Sir, that was great! Especially for us swimming science and math nuts.
you used asymptote in a youtube vid....
Jordan crooks and josh liendo enter the chat
E
Imagine what tech suits will be like in 50 years 😲
It's gonna be insane!