@@lucimicle5657 When the oil runs out they can go "We have decided to fully embrace the EU's opinion on climate change" making them sound revolutionary. Best to fully wash your hands than to leave them sticky. With the preexisting oil infrastructure, when you haven't even run out yet, there would certainly be many disputes.
I am from Turkey and hearing news to be member for 30 years and no one explained so far this clearly and simply. I learnt more in 8 minutes than in 30 years.
Ülkelerin veto hakkı dururken biraz zor alırlar. Çünkü Türkiye'deki bir adam bütün sistemi çökertebilir. Her şeyi veto edersen AB diye bir şey kalmaz. O yüzden kimi aldıklarına dikkat etmeliler ya da veto hakkı çoğunluğa göre yapılmalı. Ben AB olsam Türkiye'yi alacağıma Afganistan ı alırım daha iyi, en azından ne yapacakları belli :DD
@@kirito3469 they weren’t radical 30 years ago in fact they were too secular they even oppressed their own women into not wearing hijab.. so I think it’s an ideology problem.
I would rank Kosovo much lower due to the fact, that neither Cyprus, Greece, Romania, Slovakia and Spain (all EU countries) recognize the Kosovo as an independent country.
I don't get it, Kosovo won the revolution they won their independents so how do they get to decide if the ppl of that country want to be on their own or not, I thought they are democrats who give freedom to the ppl 😐 I can't believe everyone is still like, oh Albanians should have just stayed slaves and not have any rights, i guess N0rth Kora should have the south, Ch!na should have Taiwan, and even H!tler, they are all right and ppl should have just stayed with them since they had the power. Yeah, I mean that makes sense, Russia also has the right to annex any part of Ukraine, it doesn't matter that in those parts 70% of the population says no. Ohh wait now Indians will say yes (since they seem to love Russia), well i guess the UK should get back all its colonization I mean by your standers is only right. OH even better, let's let Italy have all of us since is theirs, and form the long-lost Roman empire, will make Mussol!n! proud 🤣 Japan should have half of Azia, while the other half belongs to Mongolia, and China. Arabia should have all of northern Africa and the middle east. Sapin needs south America. Sorry i can't write all of them, but it think you all get what i mean. So if democracy means power to the strong and the government, then what does power to the ppl mean? And plz before any of you go and say ohh Albanians were bad as well, well yeah. But did you know in WW2 Americans and the Soviets weren't any different then the Germans, does that mean they had no right to fight to against them?
@@V34035 Democratic society do not plunder other states or people. That imaginary state did not win the indenpendence,many states don't.recognize it....
It would be long before the EU would take scotland into consideration because a secession comes with many strings attached, strings which the EU wouldnt like
Countries like Spain could make Scotland joining the EU impossible because they are afraid it could enrourage Catalonia to leave Spain and become an independet EU member.
Romania will never recognise Kosovo's independence and it's a fact. We have the Szekely land (hungarian majority region) which will ask for independence the second we accept Kosovo's.
Unpopular opinion: given the current state of affairs in my country, I think that we will return to the EU sooner than any of the candidates. The big question will be whether they want us back and we rejoin in one piece or in instalments (which wouldn't be bad because i'm scottish). PS: the best pro-EU campaign ever carried out is called brexit.
I don't know, I'm British and thought it was a crazy idea that the UK left the EU, I can't see us joining any time soon for a number of reasons. The main reason is the EU and it's members, it's highly likely that even if the UK wanted to join, the EU or one of its members would block us joining for at least 2 decades or more, after all, not much has changed in the UK and the UK has always been a troublesome member, if the EU was to let us back in, they are going to want to see some major shifts in how the political system sees the EU projects, as well as the media and public, all that takes a lot of time to change and for now, there is no real incentive for the EU to want us back after how the UK has behaved. With that said, the UK could join the single market and custom union, that would protect the economy and living standards but the UK wouldn't have a say in EU law making that the UK would have to abide by, maybe that's something the UK will just have to accept to get back on good terms with the EU and it's members. Truth be told, with everything that's going on in the UK with Scotland, Northern Ireland and even Wales talking more about independence, it's going to be hard to predict the next 10 years for the UK because unless this government gets its act together, I can see one or two of the UK members leaving the UK union over the next decade. Basically, as long as this Tory lot is in power, there is no hope in getting on good terms with the EU because they are going out of their way to pick a fight with the EU and then we have Labour that are too weak and scared to death to even mention Brexit that things don't bold well for the UK. The only silver lining in all this is the Tories themselves, if they keep going the way they are doing, keep protecting Boris and the hard line Brexiteers, they could implode by the next election, that could open up the door for closer ties between the EU and UK but I suspect that would only be the case if the Tories get humiliated at the elections which they might be heading in that direction and if the Tories are smart, they would get rid of Boris and the hardline Brexiteers in the party because they are dragging the party down and personally, I hope the Tories are dumb and stick with Boris so they can sink.
I dont know. I think there would be a lot of conditions in the EU side. The EU would go close legs and UK would need to go through all chapers and everything including the adoption of the euro
Georgia may officially not be at war, but with Russia's pressence in South Ossetia it is in essentially the same situation as Ukraine pre-invasion. I agree with the ranking, just above Ukraine, but i thought it was worthwhile mentioning
@@EUMadeSimple There has been a solution up for debate in the case of NATO membership, which could also be applied to EU membership. In particular, either NATO or EU membership could be granted with Article 5, and the status of a non-Schengen country encompassing only the territory under the de jure control of the Georgian government. For example, as a case scenario, West Germany and Cyprus could be mentioned, respectively. Of course, this is intended as a temporary solution to circumvent the Russian "de facto veto", and once the opportunity arises, the Russian-occupied territories could be incorporated too. Last but not least, as one would expect, the Russian state propaganda has been deeply invested in discrediting this solution since it's in the interest of Putin to keep the status quo - by trying to sell it as giving up on the Abkhazia and Tskhinvali region. However, I see it as the only remedy for the Georgian state to get out of this vicious cycle and excel at political and economic reforms. PS, thanks a lot for your time and effort put into keeping the EU citizens informed of the Association Trio.
The 37 country issue is easy to solve. Back when Romania and Bulgaria were in talks for accession, the EU was also working on the European Constitution. As such, one of the conditions for Romania and Bulgaria's accession was that they'd be defacto in favour of the Constitution. There is zero reason any new members can't have, as part of the accession criteria, a requirement that they be defacto in favour of any effort to move away from the veto system.
True, the only real solution to that is to either find a way to get rid of the veto (good luck with that), or a tiered EU, where the top tier has no veto, but some very compelling perks, to get members to sign up
I know one thing, A smaller countries tend to move quickly if they have a political maturity and desire ( example Slovenia, Croatia) I totally agree with your projection on Montenegro ! I also see lots of potential for a fast move for Moldova ( only because the country’s government is very ambitious and has all the tool for its advance) I personally project them to open the negotiations in someway by the end of 2023. Also to consider one thing Moldova and Ukraine has a very loud advocates in Brussels such as Romania who is pushing for Moldova based on it’s special historical relationship and Poland pushing hard for Ukraine. Although also both of them have a significant high support from Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania. Regarding Moldovas territorial breakaway region it is present but it is not a religious or racial conflict, it is mostly based on corruption and mobs affairs. Once Moldova would be able to set in place its proposed judicial system gaps there is a good chance this conflict would be solved with no casualties.
As a Turk, I think Turkey's place on the list is correct. The current governing model and Erdogan's political steps make membership in the European Union almost impossible. We think that Erdogan will lose the presidential election to be held in 2023 and that the European Union membership process will be possible with the new president. Turkey is a crowded country and it has advantages as well as disadvantages. In many ways, Turkey can add a lot to the European Union. At the same time, I believe that the European Union can be a solution to the main problems in Turkey, such as the current economy and education.
Many EU countries will probably feel anxious about Turkish membership tho, considering how big of a population Turkey has so it is hard to say when Turkey would be getting in.
@@LawrenceReitan You are right, but to get accepted, first democracy and the rule of law must be repaired. Economy should be better. People may not immigrate if the country offers a proper life. Not everyone wants to live abroad. But Turkiye has a very very loooong way to go. Not in 30 years i assure you
Yes, but today's russia. When the country collapses they will end up joining. But the real russia, not the Asian part that is called Siberia and has nothing to do with russia.
As a Turkish/American I can’t see us joining the EU. There is no point in trying after 30 years. We are majority Muslim, share borders with the middle east(in which is in a civil war) have clashes with Greece once in a while, and our political system isn’t in stable condition. Even if Erdogan loses and magically CHP follows whatever conditions we still won’t be able to join. A no wonder Erdogan wants to join the Shanghai cooperation pact. At this point I say we should give up on EU and move on to be neutral or join another organization
Amerikalı değilsin sadece orada yaşıyor olabilirsin annen ya da baban Amerikalı değilse ama ismine baktığımda; Yasin Burak ? Ailenden birinin Amerikalı olmadığı açık
Looking at Cyprus, I am not so sure, if the disputes in Transnistria or Abkhasia and South Ossetia have to necesarrily be resolved before joining the EU.
They just don't want Georgians in EU. They hate us. I don't not know the reason, but that's just a fact. We already think - that would be good idea to have union with Russia again. USSR 2. This was a mistake when we destroyed it. We thought Europeans were our brothers and sisters. big mistake. we are foolish people.
Abkhazia and South Ossetia are issues that directly involve Russia though. Whereas Turkish concerns could in practice be disregarded as irrelevant, Russia isn’t going to be pushed over or ignored. It’s a first rate Power.
It's not at all the same, Cyprus has an issue with Turkey while Moldova, Georgia and Ukraine have issues with Russia. NATO and EU are deeply entwined, and Turkey is a major NATO member while Russia is a major enemy.
Cyprus is why Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine need to resolve any territorial disputes to accede--and UKEXIT and the issues on the island of Ireland only underscore this. Think of it as a double-incentive: resolve a conflict and become a member of the EU. It's also why Serbia and Kosovo will be the last ones to accede. I think Montenegro and perhaps North Macedonia will accede by 2030. Ukraine will surprise everyone by blasting through the reforms required during their rebuild. Albania will be next, hopefully both before 2035.
Joining the EU seems impossible for Turkey. However, only thing that I expect from Turkey is following European values. I hope 2023 will be end of this era.
@@Khantia Under Erdogan's rule, Turkey quadrupled it's GDP in 15 years, became 19th biggest economy in the world, produced high-tech drone (Bayraktar tb2), helicopters (t-129), armored vehicles (Kirpi) and right now some of them are being used in Ukraine.
@@Khantia Did you know people with Turkish hijab could neither go to university nor work in government buildings until 2005 ? Were you concerned about human rights in Turkey back then?
Slightly frustrating that the UK, Norway, Switzerland and Iceland don't even get a mention.. I agree with the first and the last mentions. I don't think it likely that Turkey will be an EU member in our lifetime. On the other hand, there should be comparably few issues with Montenegro's accession.
None of these countries have applied, that's why. Having said that I think UK could rejoin and that that could happen quickly, possibly before 2030. I'm from Norway and I think there is no chance that Norway will want to join anytime soon.
They might join after Finland claims back its territories in Karelia and also St. Petersburg. The rest of the country doesn't need to join because there is nothing interesting there.
As a Turk, I can easily say that Turkey's ranking is correct because we went back 50 years in 20 years. Relations with the EU are worse than they have ever been.
Daha çok ağlarsın. Avrupa özentisi bebe. 50 yıldır dediklerini yaptık da ne oldu ? Yine almadılar. Bu kadar mı ahmaksınız la siz. Birilerine biad etmeyi , baş eğmeyi ne çok seviyorsunuz. Allah sizin gibi zihniyetleri bu ülkenin başına getirmesin.
@@dronur6194 aynen 50 yaldır mükemmel işleyen bir adalet bir insan hakları bir hayvan hakları bir kadın hakları bir özgür medyamız var da adamlar bizi almıyor
@@dronur6194 kardeşim istediğin kadar anlat bunlar anlamicak kuşta beyin var bunlarda yok dahada Erdoğan diyor lan adamlar 1970'lerden beri hayır diyor ne Erdoğan'ı kim gelirse gelsin almicaklar Müslüman bir toplumun AB'de işi yok bizzat kendileri söylüyor zatende işte bunlar anlamaz koyun gibi beklerler anca
Turkey has completely changed its political course. Turkey no longer wants to be an EU member, but rather an intermediary between Europe and Asia. As a regional power, Turkey is able to rise economically. According to surveys, only 32% of Turks were in favor of joining the EU. I don't think Turkey wants to get closer to accession again.
Do you know why they don’t want to be a member? Cause they know they can’t be a member. Do you know why? It’s because of the religion in Turkey which keeps them out.
Moldova will recieve help from Romania so it has a higher chance of joining than Kosovo that is not recognised as a country by several EU member states.
Romania is in such financial support they are not even able to help themselves. For a new state to join. ALL members must support it. I can tell you that western europe will oppose this.
Actually, in Ukraine public support to join even higher than in Georgia (91%), just seems weird that you didn't mention it but really focused on Georgia about public support And my ranking would be 1. Montenegro 2. North Macedonia, Albania 3. Moldova 4. Ukraine 5. Georgia 6. Serbia, Kosovo 7. Bosnia and Herzegovina 8. Turkey
@@BobBlevin well Serbia is too pro russian to be a part of the EU and doent have public support for it, Kosovo isnt fully recognised and some EU countries don't want to recognise it, while Ukraine has big public support and after the war has a lot of investment opportunities, Moldova has public support well bigger then Serbia for EU and is smaller smaller then Serbia and russia is on a decline so maybe "transnistria" will not exist in some time, well its all really hard to analyse but I don't think Serbia and Kosovo will join sooner, and I don't think it's really intelligent to insult other people opinion 🙄
@@show___2815 you say that as if public support is the main factor of joining the EU. First off, saying Georgia will join before Serbia is very weird, considering they aren't even candidates yet. Second of all, Moldova has 0 control over Transnistria, doing anything about it in the near future is going to cause more harm than good. And last but not least, Ukraine. I don't think I have to say anything at all. It only recently became candidate, and because of the current war it is in, it won't be in the position to do anything to further speed up the joining process. It had the most corruption in Europe before the war, and still is very corrupt. (Corruption is probably the biggest speed bump when joining the EU.)
Ukraine already managed to fulfil at least 2 out of 7 criteria for entering a negotiation status, plus Moldova have got 9 of them, not 7. With 92% of ukrainians suppotring the EU membership country will move towards it way faster, then you think
Without current political status of Ukraine (war and seceding territories), corruption in Ukraine is the largest in all European countries, this is something that stopps Albania from even entering negotiations, I don't see major positive changes in near future since its a big issue in the country.
@@mdza corruption is fightable and there are already significant measures implemented to prevent it. The biggest stop to dealing with large-scale corruption were courts, and ther reform is on its way too. And small-scale corruption is already being dealt with, through massive digitalisation and systematisation pf public services and higher control over public medicine and police. Corruption in customs/ border control is also being fought with. There were huge scandals, but most of them are in the past already and some of them were only the matter of political games among candidates, mere allegations blown out of proportion, and others were the result of russian influence trying to undermine our parliament etc. Medvedchuk case is currently being processed. So there is that for you.
I don't think anybody in Turkey has a tangible expectation about getting into EU. It is-or-was more about bringing the European rules and regulations into the country.
earlier we had hope maybe they would ,even most population offical seems muslim , first years of Erdogan but unfortunatelly things are true about him but Eu also kept us waiting a lot and they accept Cyprus even they have problem in their borders so now they press to not Turkiye in Eu and our people also dont want to be in right now cos of these policy of Eu
The way I see Turkey's membership is very complicated. Turkey is very diversed county and I mean very diversed. As a guy who has been living here for almost a decade it's very hard whether Turkey is secular country or just Islamic. Yet I think that you can't deny that Turkey is utterly secular in a lot of political, economic and cultural point of views. Yet people might confuse that people also whom I have lived with are undescribable in one total sense. You can see your neighbor downstairs being a typical Muslim and your neighbor upstairs being completely the type of guy that'd through an alcoholic party everyday. So I want to conclude this comment by saying; modernization in Turkey may not be stable and perfect, yet if you take closer look you'd find a country you can never define.. and to understand this you have to understand what is modernization and look at other examples.. because it seems that you can really suppress and change a whole country's history, culture, values, politics and economic by just "modernization". And I'm probably wrong but this is my opinion built on sociology studies in books and history in general..
You try to say say something but you eventually don't say it. Complicated Turkey leed to confusion of opinion?? Should Turkey become member of EU or not?? Turkey is no way Europe. That's a fact!! A small percentage of its people do want to adapt the European culture?? Only superficialy. They'd rather change it to their own liking. That's what their aspirations are for the future.!!
I would place Ukraine higher than Serbia and Kosovo, just because the Ukrainian people really want to join EU. The Serbs don't really want, they prefer to follow their own path.
Serbs really wanted to join EU in 2000s. Already many people left and live in the EU, more and more will continue. In BiH nearly 80% are for EU, and they dont even give us a candidate status.. so how Ukraine and Moldova deserved that without doing anything but Bosnia didnt? Bosnia, despite its corrupted af is still way above in every way
The veto must remain for now, maybe in the future we can get rid of it. But Turkey can join if they get rid of erdogan and his party, democratise and withdraw troops from Cyprus and recognise cyprus
@@dyawr Until north Macedonia meets bulgarian demands because their country is full of discrimination against Bulgaria. Maybe we can get rid of it after the next EU expansion, maybe after 2030.
@@77belts Well, the Bulgarian govt already dropped their demands, or at least signed an agreement... and the EU Commission was frustrated with them cause it took so long & it roadblocked N.Macedonia from starting negociations *now.* But I agree that the Bulgarian minority shouldn't be discriminated against there - then again, the EU didn't seem to think that's an issue... So it's a tricky subject. But anyway, you say after the next EU expansion it should be dropped - could that have something to do with not wanting/trusting those countries with veto power inside EU? Cause they would be from the West Balkans, maybe Eastern Europe, and so on? 🤔
I have to say somewhat ashamed that Ukraine will have one major headache in the EU to ever join: Hungary. At this point I feel like we are destroying our relations with Ukraine in such a way that there just can’t be any trust between our government and Ukraine’s. Hopefully we’ll get rid of Orbán and we can get along once more. 🇭🇺🤝🇺🇦
Thank you for the great work you put in! As a Turkish citizen, I largely agree. I would say we have no chance at all due to issues you mentioned and it's a Muslim country. IMO in this decade only candidate with a real shot is Montenegro. I don't expect any other country to join soon. I'd like to add that Serbia will probably won't join at all. I have many Serb friends and they are almost all anti-EU and I understand that. Bosnia should be just above us cause their chance is extremely slim. Georgia and Moldova have territorial issues so it's difficult to solve. I believe EU has largely reached its limits. Last member to join was Croatia and that was almost a decade ago. This is probably the longest period without any enlargement and it'll continue for a lot longer.
I think you are on point when it comes to Turkey. Over the last decade turkey has become much more authoritarian whilst becoming much less democratic. It needs so much structural reform and also lots of cultural change. At its current state it is further away from eu than it was in 2008. Best case would be reduced tariffs and free movement but they also are not on the horizon.
1. Montenegro 2. Moldova 3. North Macedonia 4. Albania 5. Ukraine 6. Georgia 7. Bosnia 8. Ajerbaijan 9. Armenia 10. Serbia-Kosovo 11. Turkey. 9-10-11 may never join due to either close ties with Russia (Armenia-Serbia), recognition issues (Kosovo) or total incompability with EU values (Turkey)
Completely in favor of accepting more members, it's just the matter of EU adapting to it... which is something that should have been dealt with already. Of course, anyone who wants to join must do their work instead of complaining that it takes a lot of time. EU may have it's problems, obviously, but is still a positive force for democratic values, human rights, environmental protection, etc. All those who share these views and want to work to strenghten them can only be welcome. In fact, there should be agreements with other countries throughout the world who share equal values.
@@ArkFromGD the point is that it’s funny that all the thing he mentioned, like democracy, human rights, and elections in Russia don’t even exist, While In Ukraine, there are elections and minorities are respected, and finally saying “stop corruption” as the most bullshit whatboutism line ever, like exist countries who are 100% corruption free, while still being a far cry from the corruption in Russia. If you want to criticize, ok fine, but at least argument a bit, the i will gladly listen, but this short comments with poor grammar, really looks like the shit that the Russian bots like to copy and paste wherever they go.
meanwhile erdo is so desperate to join EU in order to save turkeys crappy economy that even try to blackmail EU with sweden joining nato.i think someone should have told him that NATO and EU are different things
Bugara did not lift the veto. Bulgaria got even more veto and blackmail power. In return for temporary postponing the veto. This will not end until EU ditches the unanimous vote, therefore the veto power abuse of single states.
The veto power of single states will continue because many EU countries need the veto politics to resolve their international issues. The veto is peaceful instrument for resolving of international politics problems
As a turk I can confirm that Turkey will never be part of EU. it is not about Democracy,Human Rights or Press Freedom. No one wants to be neighboor with iran,iraq,syria.Therefore I don't get angry with EU citizens who don't want Turkey to become an EU member. The most important point for Turkey is to reach EU standards and not become an EU member.
I don't think that "be neighboor with iran,iraq,syria" is the EU's main concern here. Not while your country threatens to invade Greece, occupies N. Cyprus, gets cozy with Putin and is considered across the EU as the troublemaker in the Aegean and Eastern Meditarranean. And this is just a handfull of the serious issues that the EU has with Turkey.
@@georgedevries3992 1-as I said we will protect the Turkish cypriots from greece 2-greece is the problem maker in eagean and meditarranean not us 3-erdogan clearly said a invasion will only happen if greece continue his agression 4-Europeands and americans are bunch of hypocrites they are the main reason why we have neutral too friendly releationships with russia
Because i know geopolitics…. If turkey enter in EU , only then europe will be superpower !! But this will not happen because turkey then will be the leader of europe!! And no one in europe want a muslim country as leader in Europe!! And I’m not turk!!
@@gotshot8355 1."only then europe will be superpower" Ah ok, so France and the UK who have freaking nukes are a joke and a small nuisance to you. Right, something tells me that you're either out of touch with reality or merely biased. 2."But this will not happen because turkey then will be the leader of europe!! And no one in europe want a muslim country as leader in Europe!!" Damn straight Turkey won't be the leader of Europe. But not because she has a muslim population. See, this is why I think you're crazy and out of touch with reality or biased and influenced by Turkish media. Feel free to pick which one describes you best. 3." And I’m not turk!!" After your previous statements, I am gonna press X to doubt this here. P.S. Wake the fuck up mate. Turkey isn't as important as you think she is.
How would greece react if the islands were 2 miles distanced to greece mainland , belonged to turkey and militarised againist paris and lousend treaties. Turkey has not occupıed. cyprus . İt has saved 300000 turkish cypriots being massacred by the greek eoka.an illegal institution aiming for the annexion of the island to greece.
Don’t undercut yourself by saying “most likely I’m completely wrong.” If we’ve watched that far (it’s at the end), it means your analysis is interesting.
Well, Turkey's situation is really easy to understand. Problems in country can be fixed but the main problem is the population. I don't think France and Germany would like to see a third power in EU.
It's really hard to predict the future in this case. Because if this process would go as intendend, those states would never join because of lacking reforms and corruption and let's say differing views about democracy. Things that seem, like they will never change. But in the recent conflict with russia this might change. Because in my opinion the objective potentially will change, if it hasn't already, from "gaining political & economical partners" to secure important geographic landmarks, to gain a more favourable position in potential geopolitical conflicts, that might/will arise in the future.
Yes this is very hard to predict. The risk of not taking in more members is that these countries might then align themselves to other nations, such as Russia or in Turkeys case the middle East
I disagree with ur first paragraph: _"Because if this process would go as _*_intended,_*_ those states would _*_never_*_ join..."_ ?? I'm pretty sure that is precisely the *opposite* of this process' intention.. 😄 _"...because of _*_lacking reforms and corruption_*_ and let's say _*_differing views about democracy."_* ⁉️ Source "trust me bro"? You do realise you are talking about *10* countries, right? Not 1 or 2. In the case of Moldova, Ukraine; prob Montenegro, Albania, N. Macedonia & Georgia - I'm pretty sure they have the *same opinion on what democracy should be.* 🤨 Why do you throw around easy soundbites, based on *old* negative stereotypes - from the 90's or something - without *actually* looking into the present-day situation? This last part made no sense at all. Just because they are not *performing* that well as a democracy *yet,* doesn't mean they have "differing opinions on what that should be" - or in other words, *aren't even trying & prefer autoritarianism.* 🤨 Extremely baseless & bigotted remark.
As for the reforms & corruption - they are currently *working* on them, person... 🙂 That's what the EU accession criteria (at least the bulk of it) is mainly about... Romania & Bulgaria got the CVM supervision program when they joined - *precisely* so they can deal with some of the judiciary & corruption issues further. And have made great progress since. Currently, Hungary ranks lower on the corruption index than Romania, for example (meaning worse) - and this wouldn't have happened if they received the CVM, I think. *Yet,* they are still a pretty successul & integrated member of the EU, in most areas. Being in the Schengen zone, OSCE & all. So, all these are things which can be resolved through time & EU assistance.
To be honest it all depends on the economy. Albania, Montenegro, Macedonia will join before the end of the decade. If Romania, poland, Bulgaria keep getting wealthier and EU gdp output, salaries keep growing, countries like serbia or bonsia will have far more pressure from the population. The balkans are surrounded by EU borders. I think geography plays a very very impoetant role when analysing rhe far diatant future. Bosnia, serbia,kosovo, Moldova will join, maybe 2030's 2040's but if we project a succeaful EU they will join. In my opinion Ukraine, Georgia, turkey are the ones that i think would be harder to predictingin a distant future bc of russia. Russia has made a succesful geoeatrategic move because EU future looked far better before thw attack (energy is gonna fuck us up the next 3-4 years) and that was the whole problem for them.
@@h.o6987 Scotland is a country actually, England, and Wales are also but they are just united under one crown Wikipedia says: "Scotland is a country that is part of the United Kingdom." Legally, it is a country
Turkey doesn't need the membership actually. Also EU doesn't want Turkey as a member. They are huge trade partners for both of them and things are great this way.
Serbia is less and less interested in joining as time goes by. The people have seen that, no mater what they do, they seem to be stuck in the same position for years. Accepting Kosovo’s independance or sanctioning Russia will, probably, not change a single thing and it will never be enough. That’s why it would have to be lower on the list due to public disinterest.
I don't think "no matter what they do they're stuck" is true. There is crazy corruption in the goverment, the institutions don't function properly, the rural areas are decaying in a fast pace, and the Kosovo situation seems to be getting worse.There are huge ecological problems happening as well, systems that are being built are not sustainable. Organised crime rates are high, also supported by the government. I am from Serbia, and I see how far the country has to go for anything to shift in the process. I also think that the public opinion might change as the years go by - there's still so much to do by then.
Because Serbia already uses the preferences, for example, free movement, which is sufficient for them, if it were sanctioned for helping Russia or deprived of free movement remaining in isolation, people's desire would change, but if you can sit in a comfortable armchair and do nothing, why make an effort
@@kelian69 It’s so hypocritical to hear you talk about democracy, whoever doesn’t want to join the EU should not use the EU and its advantages, that’s all,!!! who wants to live separately then live separately, you can’t do both
Montenegro 🇲🇪, Albania 🇦🇱 and North Macedonia 🇲🇰 are highly likely joining EU 🇪🇺 next. I'm not sure when exactly but they are close. The others are tough to guess.
@@nataliadelrey5851 Im Macedonian too. The prices are already way up and the economy is not catching up fast enough with inflation. I see the EU helping this situation rather than making it worse by harmonizing trade and travel and providing subsidies to weaker industries. Also foreign investments go up as well through the financial security blanket that the EU provides.
I don't really agree. I am Ukrainian, but it's not about that. :) Montenegro will be the next one, and maybe Serbia, but Serbia is a bit too pro-Russian and has problems with the West. Then Albania, while I don't think Greece and Bulgaria will let North Macedonia so fast. The next would be Ukraine (again, not because I'm Ukrainian), and then Moldova, or actually, Ukraine and Moldova can become a part of the EU at the same time (to the ones who think a conflict can stop Ukraine and Moldova, it's not true. Cyprus is in the EU, while half of it is occupied. Croatia also has/had some disputed territories. So that's not the problem at all. Also, the conflict in Moldova is frozen, so it's not dangerous). The last ones should be Bosnia and Georgia, because they aren't even candidates yet, so it will take a while. And about Kosovo, I don't think it will join EU so fast. It's not recognised and that's why it has many problems, a bad system.
Bro, I am a Serb and I don't know when Serbia will enter the EU, but I know that Montenegro will not enter before Serbia ... it can either join or after us. We use Russophilia in order to scare the West and to receive us in EU like Bulgaria (also a Russophile country) over the line and quickly.
I live in northern cyprus and cyprus peace operation was necessary for us turkish cypriots. Although the world sees this place under occupation, we are happy to live here now.
@@garen7719 Turks also saw the independence of Thessaloniki as an occupation by the Greeks because "Turks lived there for over 400 years" well yeah no shit guess who else did. What if a million Greeks just randomly went to live in Ankara and then Greece sent an army there to "free" them because it "was necessary for the Greek Ankarians". You see it doesn't really work like that.
Turkey has no place in the EU, its absurd. Different continent, different civilisation, different mentality. They should focus on their Asian heartland.
Germany, France, Holland, Belgium, and Austria will choose the next member regardless of the "steps" or the "progress" of the applicant countries based on their socio-political and economic interests. And that's that.
True, I mean there are countries such as Romania and Bulgaria that have been members since 2007 and they still have not fulfilled their requirements to even join EU. The ONLY reason that they became members was due to the russian factor. That's what EU is doing with Ukraine and Moldova. Serbia is totally a pro-russian dictatorship and yet they started their negotations to join EU long time ago. Why? Russian factor! Eu is trying to remove the russian influence in these countries by giving them membership. On the other hand, Kosovo has been promised visa liberalization over 10 years ago and yet here we are, they just got another promise for 2024. Why? Because there is little to no influence by Russia in Kosovo, because it is a pro-western country who is fully commited to fulfill all requirements by the EU so that's why EU doesnt really hurry when it comes to Kosovo.
So about TURKIYE or TURKEY, I believe after elections in 2023 things of change could surprise everyone. But still question is more on How Turkey solves issues with neighbours and refugee crisis. 14 Chapters are open to finish and other chapters are closed needed to be open by agreement of other countries. If Turkey finishes all 35 Chapters, in theory there is no reason to block them to reach Stage 4. I believe Accession Document will be Approved by Turkish citizens and Parliment. However Question is will EU be ready to agree Turkey join when the time comes, when all things needed are agreed and done ?
Yes, Turkey's membership completely hinges upon Erdogan's removal, and following that, restoring press freedom and undoing democratic backsliding. I think the EU would want to see measures that would also prevent another dictatorship from being in power, so as to prevent another Hungary situation. Finally, they also need to resolve their issues with Greece and Cyprus.
I think there’s no clue in making Turkey a member state of the EU, beyond the political problems with (M)Erdogan Turkey has a totally different culture and history and it’s historically, politically and culturally more linked with the Middle East. They haven’t known European religious wars (between christians), the Age of Enlightenment, the Age of Revolution, the restoration, the industrial Revolution, the spread of socialist values etc. etc.
@@calasalos Your criteria don't really make sense. Since when does having inter-Christian wars make one European? Same with Industrial Revolution? For the industrial revolution, many other eastern European countries also did not go through the industrial Revolution. Age of Enlightenment -- it was involved in that. Politically, I disagree. The Ottoman Empire has been mixed in with European politics for centuries. Culturally, yes they were more linked with the Middle East. Socialist values, etc are again not inherently European. You're thinking everything through a western European lens (including your "Age of Revolution").The continent is much bigger than that. While I agree that Turkey is quite more different than most European countries, your criteria are frankly very arbitrary, and you can take a number of Southern and Eastern European countries that also don't meet your random criteria.
@@CouchTomato87 Inter christian wars and persecutions taught europeans the value of tolerance and freedom, starting with the "peace of Augsburg", in 1555 during the Reformation, stating the famous principle "cuis regio, eius religio" (trad: whose realm, his religion), or the "peace of Westphalia"in 1648 which ended the bloody "thirty years war" and re-stated almost one hundred years later the same principles. This had great consequences in shaping the continent: scientific research became more free and unrelated with religious dogmas or limits (was notorious in all European countries the infamous case of Galileo's trial), philosophers became more free and open to new theories gradually reaching to The Age of enlightenment with great philosophers as Kant, Rousseau, Voltaire, Hume, Locke who helped to criticize the old "ancient regime" and to extend the old aristocratic liberties to all human beings. This philosophical premise helped unleashing the French Revolution with his "Universal Declaration of human Rights" etc. etc. It was a long, contradictory, har-fought history which had, though, as its goal, the full realization of human dignity.
@@CouchTomato87 And politically the Ottoman Empire has always been perceived either as an enemy or as an "external ally" for political rivalries between the major European powers. On the other hand, every time Ottomans tried to invade Europe European nations always gathered together in fighting back, as happened in Lepanto in 1571 or in the Battle of Vienna in 1529 and in 1683. On the other hand, one very important factor that prompted the europeans to seek a new route to India and the spice islands was exactly the fall of Constantinople in Turkish hands.
The EU can't take any more members as it is, there is already enough dysfunction as things stand and all the proposed candidate countries have long term issues. The EU needs to be reformed, either to return to the pre Schengen and Maastricht form, or federalise properly, or both, some federalise and the rest go back to what it was before 1990. In either case adding more members with Veto powers, let alone dysfunctional ones is the wrong way to go.
Absolutely. Personally federalisation seems like the better option, but any way of stopping Hungary/Poland from actively sabotaging the EU should be priority.
Since you mentioned that the two separatist regions of Georgia are occupied by Russia, it's interesting that you conveniently left out the fact that the NATO is occupying Kosovo, a breakaway province of Serbia.
The most accurate list ever! However it seems that the EU is also thinking about integrating the Western Balkans together, because they are incredibly interconnected. They might all go together as a package, if only the Serbia-Kosovo question is somehow solved.
@Ana Andrić What is Serbia going to do with all those hostile Albanians? The Albanians don`t want to be under Serbian rule again because the Serbian police was shooting them and burying them under police stations.
@Zaydan Alfariz did you know that Kosovo i main hub for drug trafficking. Kosovo is out of administrative system of Serbia more than 20 years and still they can't become function country. That is not problem of Serbia but of Kosovo. They have one of the most corrupted politicians in this region. That is biggest problem of Kosovo not Serbia.
@Ana Andrić as russians are using serbs for starting trubles in balcan... i hope that Serbia start a war and pay their consecuences... oh lord i would love to see serbia under economic sanctions.
Very hard to guess which country will be the next eu member ... But I think you are right : Montenegro is in the best condition for that Anyway I hope to see the macedonian flag in front of the EU parliament in Brussels before I die 🇲🇰
@@mihailchehlarov2720 еби си мајката друже татарско ! Подобро да си побарам албански пасош ! А шо ме заебаваш ?! Вие сте сте веќе 16 години во ЕУ и победни сте од Босна и Косово !
People who claim Serbia as a pro-russian state don't know the reason why it's like that. Russia wasn't the one that bombed Serbia during 1999 without the UN's approval, it was NATO. Serbians have very little reason to prefer the EU after how they are treated by it and would rather lean toward Russia and China as they have done nothing but support them so far. Also the recent visit of the German chancellor Olaf Scholz came with a massive insult towards the Serbian people as he spoke about keeping Ukraine's territorial integrity while also asking the Serbians to give up theirs and recognize Kosovo as an independent state. Kosovo is as legal as the new found Luhansk and Donetsk people's republic, they are not.
So why do you support Russia in annexing other countries' territories & breaking off chunks into separate republics? - esp when you would cry crocodile tears, if Albania & other states would do that do *you,* for example. *You got bombed by NATO bc you were about to commit another gεηοcίdε, dear.* And are also stupidly *proud* of that, or at least don't mind it - you even have a popular song: "my fστhεr is a war criminal... 🤨 So, wake up a little bit - but if you want to fall into Chinese debt traps & have your country's assets seized (by them), be my guest...
You lost Kosovo thanks to your own actions, a long time ago. That region *will never* agree to be part of ur country again. So, no use for this useless tug of war - you will have to *let it go* one day.
@@realflameknight We'll see what happens with Donetsk & Luhansk. As there is *a lot* of Russian control over there - it's not like the people are left alone, for the majority to decide. But anyway, u should *stop* deflecting, bc Kosovo's circumstances were different, happened a longer time ago & over half the world already recognizes its independence. *Yes,* at some point Ukriane will prob have to give up those regions as well...
@@dyawr Do you live in a house or an apartment?Give me one room or I will bring in my friends who will make you give me a room. Kosovo isn't only about territory.Its about history.Whoever steals territory is stealing history as well.The problem is there is only Serbian and Ottoman history in Kosovo (mostly through building mosques).Where is Albanian history in Kosovo?
The way things are going we from Europe will ask more often you from Us to stay away from European affairs. You only create additional problems. Stay there across the ocean, play that strange sports with egg-shaped ball or whatever you do over there and leave Europe alone. Thank you.
Don't really understand how Moldova and Georgia having border disputes is an issue considering Cyprus is in the EU, and they have a MASSIVE border dispute
ok so my contribution to this discussion would be that if the eu would provide cheap gas and oil, and invest heavily in renewables or even nuclear energy in Serbia the people would realize that Russia actually offers nothing and that the real path is towards eu integration
Serbian people just dont have the real picture of already strong trading and economic bond with EU or any other advantage EU would give us. Real step forward would be more democratic government and improved freedom of speech.
Serbia already receives massive economic support from the EU and virtually nothing from Russia. They know this and still continue being servants of the Kremlin.
@eV Avoz Enver Hohxa sad excuse for propaganda in the 21st century, wow. Wikipedia is not history. Albanians are an Azerbaijani tribe, brought in droves by the Avar and the Turk, not earlier than the 12th century. Core of the Bulgarian ethnic fabric is Tatarian. Both the Bulgars and Albanians are 'ashamed'(?) of their own true origins. Anyway, history has other plans for Kosovo - instead of being a money laundering platform.
@eV Avoz Language does not translate into genetics. They weren't brought by Azerbaijani, but hail origin from the south of the Caucasus. Check Azerbaijani sources. How is the majority of the population muslim? Simple, adopted it before migrating. Why don't they wear their white caps anymore (AS AZER TRIBES DID)? Because Enver needed to make them more 'european-like' in order to secure a 'crown' from Vienna and the Vatican. Don't reject your roots, its bad for the soul.
@eV Avoz Editing a wikipedia page does not make you native to these regions. The Greeks know this, the Bulgars know this. You can peddle hohxa re-written history to westerners, not us. Paleo-wiki-azer
I dont think albania and macedonia will join before Serbia. Even with the kosovo question, Serbia is still way more advanced than albania and macedonia. Once kosovo is resolved, there are no large blockers in the way and kosovo is only a political issue, not a technical one.
EU is not a fair Union and I do not believe there's a standard and honest evaluation for applicants, in reality depending on "who the applicants are". There is an obvious discrimination. EU members are acting to seem fair but somehow most of them lack honesty and transparency.
Norway is not part of the EU. Sorry for the mistake in my maps. Thanks for pointing it out in the comments.
Yet. Still waiting for the oil to run out firs.
First thing I saw!
@@lucimicle5657 When the oil runs out they can go "We have decided to fully embrace the EU's opinion on climate change" making them sound revolutionary.
Best to fully wash your hands than to leave them sticky.
With the preexisting oil infrastructure, when you haven't even run out yet, there would certainly be many disputes.
But it can be!
@@user-xu2pi6vx7o 🤭👍
I am from Turkey and hearing news to be member for 30 years and no one explained so far this clearly and simply. I learnt more in 8 minutes than in 30 years.
Ülkelerin veto hakkı dururken biraz zor alırlar. Çünkü Türkiye'deki bir adam bütün sistemi çökertebilir. Her şeyi veto edersen AB diye bir şey kalmaz. O yüzden kimi aldıklarına dikkat etmeliler ya da veto hakkı çoğunluğa göre yapılmalı. Ben AB olsam Türkiye'yi alacağıma Afganistan ı alırım daha iyi, en azından ne yapacakları belli :DD
Stop kidding yourself as long as you have Majority muslims in country no membership for you. Harsh reality
@@t_money7982 what the fuck is the relation?
@@t_money7982 i think radical people is mor issue than muslims. Thanks to the government people hate religion now, mostly :(
@@kirito3469 they weren’t radical 30 years ago in fact they were too secular they even oppressed their own women into not wearing hijab.. so I think it’s an ideology problem.
I would rank Kosovo much lower due to the fact, that neither Cyprus, Greece, Romania, Slovakia and Spain (all EU countries) recognize the Kosovo as an independent country.
Cyprus isn't apart of the EU
Ofcourse. Not- exsisting country cannot be member.
I don't get it, Kosovo won the revolution they won their independents so how do they get to decide if the ppl of that country want to be on their own or not, I thought they are democrats who give freedom to the ppl 😐
I can't believe everyone is still like, oh Albanians should have just stayed slaves and not have any rights, i guess N0rth Kora should have the south, Ch!na should have Taiwan, and even H!tler, they are all right and ppl should have just stayed with them since they had the power.
Yeah, I mean that makes sense, Russia also has the right to annex any part of Ukraine, it doesn't matter that in those parts 70% of the population says no.
Ohh wait now Indians will say yes (since they seem to love Russia), well i guess the UK should get back all its colonization I mean by your standers is only right.
OH even better, let's let Italy have all of us since is theirs, and form the long-lost Roman empire, will make Mussol!n! proud 🤣
Japan should have half of Azia, while the other half belongs to Mongolia, and China.
Arabia should have all of northern Africa and the middle east.
Sapin needs south America.
Sorry i can't write all of them, but it think you all get what i mean. So if democracy means power to the strong and the government, then what does power to the ppl mean?
And plz before any of you go and say ohh Albanians were bad as well, well yeah. But did you know in WW2 Americans and the Soviets weren't any different then the Germans, does that mean they had no right to fight to against them?
@@V34035 well allowing Kosovo, but not allowing Baskia or Catalonia be states is not fair also. Right?
@@V34035 Democratic society do not plunder other states or people. That imaginary state did not win the indenpendence,many states don't.recognize it....
If Scotland secedes, maybe they would be the next EU member
It would be long before the EU would take scotland into consideration because a secession comes with many strings attached, strings which the EU wouldnt like
I want to see my country independent too !
Yes but will the EU recognise Scottish independence
No, let it be United Kingdom bro! We love you when you are all toghether!
Countries like Spain could make Scotland joining the EU impossible because they are afraid it could enrourage Catalonia to leave Spain and become an independet EU member.
How can kosovo become member of eu when 5 eu countries dont even recognize kosovo
that's the issue with Kosovo. If more countries start to recognize kosovo, it might be the next member
Romania will never recognise Kosovo's independence and it's a fact. We have the Szekely land (hungarian majority region) which will ask for independence the second we accept Kosovo's.
@@frederikswitten8683 all eu members need to recognize kosovo if 1 country doesnt it still cant become member of eu
Also Spain will never recognize because of Catalonia
@@markodjordjic9087 may i ask what is catalonia?
Unpopular opinion: given the current state of affairs in my country, I think that we will return to the EU sooner than any of the candidates.
The big question will be whether they want us back and we rejoin in one piece or in instalments (which wouldn't be bad because i'm scottish).
PS: the best pro-EU campaign ever carried out is called brexit.
I don't know, I'm British and thought it was a crazy idea that the UK left the EU, I can't see us joining any time soon for a number of reasons.
The main reason is the EU and it's members, it's highly likely that even if the UK wanted to join, the EU or one of its members would block us joining for at least 2 decades or more, after all, not much has changed in the UK and the UK has always been a troublesome member, if the EU was to let us back in, they are going to want to see some major shifts in how the political system sees the EU projects, as well as the media and public, all that takes a lot of time to change and for now, there is no real incentive for the EU to want us back after how the UK has behaved.
With that said, the UK could join the single market and custom union, that would protect the economy and living standards but the UK wouldn't have a say in EU law making that the UK would have to abide by, maybe that's something the UK will just have to accept to get back on good terms with the EU and it's members.
Truth be told, with everything that's going on in the UK with Scotland, Northern Ireland and even Wales talking more about independence, it's going to be hard to predict the next 10 years for the UK because unless this government gets its act together, I can see one or two of the UK members leaving the UK union over the next decade.
Basically, as long as this Tory lot is in power, there is no hope in getting on good terms with the EU because they are going out of their way to pick a fight with the EU and then we have Labour that are too weak and scared to death to even mention Brexit that things don't bold well for the UK.
The only silver lining in all this is the Tories themselves, if they keep going the way they are doing, keep protecting Boris and the hard line Brexiteers, they could implode by the next election, that could open up the door for closer ties between the EU and UK but I suspect that would only be the case if the Tories get humiliated at the elections which they might be heading in that direction and if the Tories are smart, they would get rid of Boris and the hardline Brexiteers in the party because they are dragging the party down and personally, I hope the Tories are dumb and stick with Boris so they can sink.
I for one, would like to see the UK rejoin 😋
@@paul1979uk2000 Well said
@@paul1979uk2000 Lol. And now look at what has happened with the tories and boris!!
I dont know. I think there would be a lot of conditions in the EU side. The EU would go close legs and UK would need to go through all chapers and everything including the adoption of the euro
Georgia may officially not be at war, but with Russia's pressence in South Ossetia it is in essentially the same situation as Ukraine pre-invasion.
I agree with the ranking, just above Ukraine, but i thought it was worthwhile mentioning
Yes it is a difficult one. I wonder how this can be resolved - may use it as a topic for a future video :)
@@EUMadeSimple There has been a solution up for debate in the case of NATO membership, which could also be applied to EU membership. In particular, either NATO or EU membership could be granted with Article 5, and the status of a non-Schengen country encompassing only the territory under the de jure control of the Georgian government. For example, as a case scenario, West Germany and Cyprus could be mentioned, respectively. Of course, this is intended as a temporary solution to circumvent the Russian "de facto veto", and once the opportunity arises, the Russian-occupied territories could be incorporated too. Last but not least, as one would expect, the Russian state propaganda has been deeply invested in discrediting this solution since it's in the interest of Putin to keep the status quo - by trying to sell it as giving up on the Abkhazia and Tskhinvali region. However, I see it as the only remedy for the Georgian state to get out of this vicious cycle and excel at political and economic reforms.
PS, thanks a lot for your time and effort put into keeping the EU citizens informed of the Association Trio.
It is a good idea and it makes sense. I am going to look into it. :)
@@lashakatsanashvili or Georgia can just let those territories go and join nato and the EU. Quicker option is that
@@77belts Your option is unacceptable - sincerely, all of Georgia.
The 37 country issue is easy to solve.
Back when Romania and Bulgaria were in talks for accession, the EU was also working on the European Constitution. As such, one of the conditions for Romania and Bulgaria's accession was that they'd be defacto in favour of the Constitution.
There is zero reason any new members can't have, as part of the accession criteria, a requirement that they be defacto in favour of any effort to move away from the veto system.
Yes that is a good idea. The bigger challenge will be for current members to give up their VETO. I dont see that happening anytime soon :(
Yes, but that just leaves the *current* members, though..
True, the only real solution to that is to either find a way to get rid of the veto (good luck with that), or a tiered EU, where the top tier has no veto, but some very compelling perks, to get members to sign up
Having a veto is a good thing, take a hard think about it...
@@i.dr.8012 Yes, how else are you going to sabotage and blackmail 26 other countries, in exchange for favours from your russian master, right?
I know one thing,
A smaller countries tend to move quickly if they have a political maturity and desire ( example Slovenia, Croatia)
I totally agree with your projection on Montenegro !
I also see lots of potential for a fast move for Moldova ( only because the country’s government is very ambitious and has all the tool for its advance)
I personally project them to open the negotiations in someway by the end of 2023.
Also to consider one thing Moldova and Ukraine has a very loud advocates in Brussels such as Romania who is pushing for Moldova based on it’s special historical relationship and Poland pushing hard for Ukraine. Although also both of them have a significant high support from Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania.
Regarding Moldovas territorial breakaway region it is present but it is not a religious or racial conflict, it is mostly based on corruption and mobs affairs.
Once Moldova would be able to set in place its proposed judicial system gaps there is a good chance this conflict would be solved with no casualties.
As a Turk, I think Turkey's place on the list is correct. The current governing model and Erdogan's political steps make membership in the European Union almost impossible.
We think that Erdogan will lose the presidential election to be held in 2023 and that the European Union membership process will be possible with the new president.
Turkey is a crowded country and it has advantages as well as disadvantages. In many ways, Turkey can add a lot to the European Union. At the same time, I believe that the European Union can be a solution to the main problems in Turkey, such as the current economy and education.
Many EU countries will probably feel anxious about Turkish membership tho, considering how big of a population Turkey has so it is hard to say when Turkey would be getting in.
Also Turkey gives a border with Georgia to EU and direct route to Azerbaijani oil fields and more control over Turkish Straights
please yall try to kick out erdowan asap. i love türkey and believe it's European but i hate the govt
@@LawrenceReitan You are right, but to get accepted, first democracy and the rule of law must be repaired. Economy should be better. People may not immigrate if the country offers a proper life. Not everyone wants to live abroad. But Turkiye has a very very loooong way to go. Not in 30 years i assure you
Turkey was already rejected from EU membership in 1998
Russia & Turkey will never be part of EU
Yes, but today's russia. When the country collapses they will end up joining. But the real russia, not the Asian part that is called Siberia and has nothing to do with russia.
@@mikatu Why do you think that Russia will collapse?
As a Turkish/American I can’t see us joining the EU. There is no point in trying after 30 years. We are majority Muslim, share borders with the middle east(in which is in a civil war) have clashes with Greece once in a while, and our political system isn’t in stable condition. Even if Erdogan loses and magically CHP follows whatever conditions we still won’t be able to join. A no wonder Erdogan wants to join the Shanghai cooperation pact. At this point I say we should give up on EU and move on to be neutral or join another organization
Amerikalı değilsin sadece orada yaşıyor olabilirsin annen ya da baban Amerikalı değilse ama ismine baktığımda; Yasin Burak ? Ailenden birinin Amerikalı olmadığı açık
Looking at Cyprus, I am not so sure, if the disputes in Transnistria or Abkhasia and South Ossetia have to necesarrily be resolved before joining the EU.
They just don't want Georgians in EU. They hate us. I don't not know the reason, but that's just a fact. We already think - that would be good idea to have union with Russia again. USSR 2. This was a mistake when we destroyed it. We thought Europeans were our brothers and sisters. big mistake. we are foolish people.
yes the same problem and they are in union , not fear! support u as a turk
Abkhazia and South Ossetia are issues that directly involve Russia though. Whereas Turkish concerns could in practice be disregarded as irrelevant, Russia isn’t going to be pushed over or ignored. It’s a first rate Power.
It's not at all the same, Cyprus has an issue with Turkey while Moldova, Georgia and Ukraine have issues with Russia. NATO and EU are deeply entwined, and Turkey is a major NATO member while Russia is a major enemy.
Cyprus is why Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine need to resolve any territorial disputes to accede--and UKEXIT and the issues on the island of Ireland only underscore this. Think of it as a double-incentive: resolve a conflict and become a member of the EU. It's also why Serbia and Kosovo will be the last ones to accede. I think Montenegro and perhaps North Macedonia will accede by 2030. Ukraine will surprise everyone by blasting through the reforms required during their rebuild. Albania will be next, hopefully both before 2035.
Joining the EU seems impossible for Turkey. However, only thing that I expect from Turkey is following European values. I hope 2023 will be end of this era.
Good luck with that. Seeing Erdogan undo 100 years of progress is truly sad, even for people from other nations.
@@Khantia Under Erdogan's rule, Turkey quadrupled it's GDP in 15 years, became 19th biggest economy in the world, produced high-tech drone (Bayraktar tb2), helicopters (t-129), armored vehicles (Kirpi) and right now some of them are being used in Ukraine.
@@semihdurmaz6628 at the cost of human rights...
@@Khantia Worth it
@@Khantia Did you know people with Turkish hijab could neither go to university nor work in government buildings until 2005 ? Were you concerned about human rights in Turkey back then?
Slightly frustrating that the UK, Norway, Switzerland and Iceland don't even get a mention..
I agree with the first and the last mentions. I don't think it likely that Turkey will be an EU member in our lifetime. On the other hand, there should be comparably few issues with Montenegro's accession.
None of these countries have applied, that's why. Having said that I think UK could rejoin and that that could happen quickly, possibly before 2030. I'm from Norway and I think there is no chance that Norway will want to join anytime soon.
@@ysteinfjr7529 why not?
And the same for the UK also goes for Norway I think, if it applied it could join rather quickly.
Russia will joint the EU before turkey does
They might join after Finland claims back its territories in Karelia and also St. Petersburg. The rest of the country doesn't need to join because there is nothing interesting there.
I'm from Turkey. While waiting to enter the European Union, we entered the middle east union, thank you
AŞWKFĞPAWMKFĞMAĞWRWS
lucky you :D so keep it
No problem, I’m sure it’s just as good if not better.
As a Turk, I can easily say that Turkey's ranking is correct because we went back 50 years in 20 years. Relations with the EU are worse than they have ever been.
Daha çok ağlarsın. Avrupa özentisi bebe. 50 yıldır dediklerini yaptık da ne oldu ? Yine almadılar. Bu kadar mı ahmaksınız la siz. Birilerine biad etmeyi , baş eğmeyi ne çok seviyorsunuz. Allah sizin gibi zihniyetleri bu ülkenin başına getirmesin.
@@dronur6194 aynen 50 yaldır mükemmel işleyen bir adalet bir insan hakları bir hayvan hakları bir kadın hakları bir özgür medyamız var da adamlar bizi almıyor
@@dronur6194 kardeşim istediğin kadar anlat bunlar anlamicak kuşta beyin var bunlarda yok dahada Erdoğan diyor lan adamlar 1970'lerden beri hayır diyor ne Erdoğan'ı kim gelirse gelsin almicaklar Müslüman bir toplumun AB'de işi yok bizzat kendileri söylüyor zatende işte bunlar anlamaz koyun gibi beklerler anca
@@VeysMns knk sen iyi misin
@@eraywayne2165 yalan mı amq
Turkey has completely changed its political course. Turkey no longer wants to be an EU member, but rather an intermediary between Europe and Asia. As a regional power, Turkey is able to rise economically. According to surveys, only 32% of Turks were in favor of joining the EU. I don't think Turkey wants to get closer to accession again.
yea its fact, the majority of turkish people do not like europeans
@@eraywayne2165 Turks are also partly Europeans.
Do you know why they don’t want to be a member? Cause they know they can’t be a member. Do you know why? It’s because of the religion in Turkey which keeps them out.
Im Turkish and i dont want myto become a member of EU. The future is in asia
@@shorea01 bo
Moldova will recieve help from Romania so it has a higher chance of joining than Kosovo that is not recognised as a country by several EU member states.
Romania is in such financial support they are not even able to help themselves. For a new state to join. ALL members must support it. I can tell you that western europe will oppose this.
🤣
And 🇦🇱 is actually already receiving help from us bigger brother 🇮🇹
@@mambo2412 albania and kosovo are muslim.
Take a trip to Albania for to see,i am sure is better than yr country about religion.
Actually, in Ukraine public support to join even higher than in Georgia (91%), just seems weird that you didn't mention it but really focused on Georgia about public support
And my ranking would be
1. Montenegro
2. North Macedonia, Albania
3. Moldova
4. Ukraine
5. Georgia
6. Serbia, Kosovo
7. Bosnia and Herzegovina
8. Turkey
We, Serbia Kosovo and Montenegro don't want to join this shitty union
Serbia and Kosovo being under Moldova and Ukraine is very unintelligent.
@@BobBlevin well Serbia is too pro russian to be a part of the EU and doent have public support for it, Kosovo isnt fully recognised and some EU countries don't want to recognise it, while Ukraine has big public support and after the war has a lot of investment opportunities, Moldova has public support well bigger then Serbia for EU and is smaller smaller then Serbia and russia is on a decline so maybe "transnistria" will not exist in some time, well its all really hard to analyse but I don't think Serbia and Kosovo will join sooner, and I don't think it's really intelligent to insult other people opinion 🙄
@@show___2815 you say that as if public support is the main factor of joining the EU. First off, saying Georgia will join before Serbia is very weird, considering they aren't even candidates yet. Second of all, Moldova has 0 control over Transnistria, doing anything about it in the near future is going to cause more harm than good. And last but not least, Ukraine. I don't think I have to say anything at all. It only recently became candidate, and because of the current war it is in, it won't be in the position to do anything to further speed up the joining process. It had the most corruption in Europe before the war, and still is very corrupt. (Corruption is probably the biggest speed bump when joining the EU.)
@@BobBlevin well that's your opinion and I respect that, I have mine
Ukraine already managed to fulfil at least 2 out of 7 criteria for entering a negotiation status, plus Moldova have got 9 of them, not 7. With 92% of ukrainians suppotring the EU membership country will move towards it way faster, then you think
Without current political status of Ukraine (war and seceding territories), corruption in Ukraine is the largest in all European countries, this is something that stopps Albania from even entering negotiations, I don't see major positive changes in near future since its a big issue in the country.
@@mdza but Hungary is also corrupt but is the member of EU
I'm sorry but Ukraine won't enter EU
@@mdza corruption is fightable and there are already significant measures implemented to prevent it. The biggest stop to dealing with large-scale corruption were courts, and ther reform is on its way too. And small-scale corruption is already being dealt with, through massive digitalisation and systematisation pf public services and higher control over public medicine and police. Corruption in customs/ border control is also being fought with. There were huge scandals, but most of them are in the past already and some of them were only the matter of political games among candidates, mere allegations blown out of proportion, and others were the result of russian influence trying to undermine our parliament etc. Medvedchuk case is currently being processed. So there is that for you.
@@gibanica87 Says who? A Serb?
I don't think anybody in Turkey has a tangible expectation about getting into EU. It is-or-was more about bringing the European rules and regulations into the country.
earlier we had hope maybe they would ,even most population offical seems muslim , first years of Erdogan but unfortunatelly things are true about him but Eu also kept us waiting a lot and they accept Cyprus even they have problem in their borders so now they press to not Turkiye in Eu and our people also dont want to be in right now cos of these policy of Eu
@@hasankaran nah the problem is that turkey is rules by a dictator who is brainwashing the turks and stupid propaganda and threatens eu countries
The way I see Turkey's membership is very complicated.
Turkey is very diversed county and I mean very diversed. As a guy who has been living here for almost a decade it's very hard whether Turkey is secular country or just Islamic.
Yet I think that you can't deny that Turkey is utterly secular in a lot of political, economic and cultural point of views. Yet people might confuse that people also whom I have lived with are undescribable in one total sense. You can see your neighbor downstairs being a typical Muslim and your neighbor upstairs being completely the type of guy that'd through an alcoholic party everyday. So I want to conclude this comment by saying; modernization in Turkey may not be stable and perfect, yet if you take closer look you'd find a country you can never define.. and to understand this you have to understand what is modernization and look at other examples.. because it seems that you can really suppress and change a whole country's history, culture, values, politics and economic by just "modernization".
And I'm probably wrong but this is my opinion built on sociology studies in books and history in general..
You try to say say something but you eventually don't say it.
Complicated Turkey leed to confusion of opinion??
Should Turkey become member of EU or not??
Turkey is no way Europe. That's a fact!!
A small percentage of its people do want to adapt the European culture??
Only superficialy. They'd rather change it to their own liking.
That's what their aspirations are for the future.!!
The greatest modernism is to live together with diversity in respect and Türkiye has achieved this.
I would place Ukraine higher than Serbia and Kosovo, just because the Ukrainian people really want to join EU. The Serbs don't really want, they prefer to follow their own path.
Serbs really wanted to join EU in 2000s. Already many people left and live in the EU, more and more will continue. In BiH nearly 80% are for EU, and they dont even give us a candidate status.. so how Ukraine and Moldova deserved that without doing anything but Bosnia didnt? Bosnia, despite its corrupted af is still way above in every way
Majority of earth's population doesn't recognise Kosovo as indepented state, Serbia is just on number 3 nothing more nothing less.
There is absolutely no chance turkey will join, and the veto per nation has to go
I agree about the veto.
The veto must remain for now, maybe in the future we can get rid of it. But Turkey can join if they get rid of erdogan and his party, democratise and withdraw troops from Cyprus and recognise cyprus
@@77belts Why must the veto remain, though? And why "for now" - until when?
@@dyawr Until north Macedonia meets bulgarian demands because their country is full of discrimination against Bulgaria. Maybe we can get rid of it after the next EU expansion, maybe after 2030.
@@77belts Well, the Bulgarian govt already dropped their demands, or at least signed an agreement... and the EU Commission was frustrated with them cause it took so long & it roadblocked N.Macedonia from starting negociations *now.* But I agree that the Bulgarian minority shouldn't be discriminated against there - then again, the EU didn't seem to think that's an issue... So it's a tricky subject.
But anyway, you say after the next EU expansion it should be dropped - could that have something to do with not wanting/trusting those countries with veto power inside EU? Cause they would be from the West Balkans, maybe Eastern Europe, and so on? 🤔
You can be very proud because this is a video we watched in politics class like 6 times because its so good
Thank you ! Really happy to hear that
I have to say somewhat ashamed that Ukraine will have one major headache in the EU to ever join: Hungary. At this point I feel like we are destroying our relations with Ukraine in such a way that there just can’t be any trust between our government and Ukraine’s. Hopefully we’ll get rid of Orbán and we can get along once more. 🇭🇺🤝🇺🇦
Thanks for these words☺️
We also have a hope for this❤️
However if you remove Orban then you will have worst relations with Serbia. But Ukrain mighty be more important.
Thank you for the great work you put in! As a Turkish citizen, I largely agree. I would say we have no chance at all due to issues you mentioned and it's a Muslim country. IMO in this decade only candidate with a real shot is Montenegro. I don't expect any other country to join soon. I'd like to add that Serbia will probably won't join at all. I have many Serb friends and they are almost all anti-EU and I understand that. Bosnia should be just above us cause their chance is extremely slim. Georgia and Moldova have territorial issues so it's difficult to solve. I believe EU has largely reached its limits. Last member to join was Croatia and that was almost a decade ago. This is probably the longest period without any enlargement and it'll continue for a lot longer.
Come on it's not just a Muslim country...look how Turkey treats it's ethnic minorities, conducts special military operations...
@@sosanxi8648 Of course there are many issues. But I don't think European public would be welcoming to millions of muslims.
@@sosanxi8648 I do think because it is a Muslim country, also Turkey is a strong state , it is a rival to Germany/France
@@StrelecaTV I agree with the second part
@Zaydan Naufal They will have challenges too but their population is so small.
I think you are on point when it comes to Turkey. Over the last decade turkey has become much more authoritarian whilst becoming much less democratic. It needs so much structural reform and also lots of cultural change. At its current state it is further away from eu than it was in 2008. Best case would be reduced tariffs and free movement but they also are not on the horizon.
Turkey -- authoritian & less democratic -- sounds like the ideal member to me, should fit right in.
It's really religion keeping Turkey out.
@@glenwillson5073 That last remark is completely ignorant, dear.
Hopefully, Erdogan will be voted out next year... *hopefully.* 🤞
@@dyawr He has balls of steel thats why the west hates him 😂😂😂
@@dyawr Even so, the opposition is even worse.
I think UK will join next, or rejoin.
I don't think Turkey will ever join, and I don't think it should.
1. Montenegro
2. Moldova
3. North Macedonia
4. Albania
5. Ukraine
6. Georgia
7. Bosnia
8. Ajerbaijan
9. Armenia
10. Serbia-Kosovo
11. Turkey.
9-10-11 may never join due to either close ties with Russia (Armenia-Serbia), recognition issues (Kosovo) or total incompability with EU values (Turkey)
Kosovo isn’t a country it’s Serbian 🇷🇸
Nah, Kosovo is Russian.
nah, kosova is turkish
@@eraywayne2165 No no, that's Crimea but maybe... it's Italian? Roman Empire controlled it for years.
Completely in favor of accepting more members, it's just the matter of EU adapting to it... which is something that should have been dealt with already.
Of course, anyone who wants to join must do their work instead of complaining that it takes a lot of time.
EU may have it's problems, obviously, but is still a positive force for democratic values, human rights, environmental protection, etc. All those who share these views and want to work to strenghten them can only be welcome. In fact, there should be agreements with other countries throughout the world who share equal values.
Yeah so improve you Human right in Ukraine and Increase democracy rate and Stop corruption in Ukraine
@Binsr An ode to ignorance and hatred.
@@gamingwitheagleofficial8477 here is your 10 ruble from daddy putler 🤡
@@willy4170 Oh no, someone is critizising ukraine's politics. Must be a putin supporter
@@ArkFromGD the point is that it’s funny that all the thing he mentioned, like democracy, human rights, and elections in Russia don’t even exist, While In Ukraine, there are elections and minorities are respected, and finally saying “stop corruption” as the most bullshit whatboutism line ever, like exist countries who are 100% corruption free, while still being a far cry from the corruption in Russia.
If you want to criticize, ok fine, but at least argument a bit, the i will gladly listen, but this short comments with poor grammar, really looks like the shit that the Russian bots like to copy and paste wherever they go.
As a young Turk. We dont want EU. We want to further develop our relations with Asia.
👏👏
yeaaa
meanwhile erdo is so desperate to join EU in order to save turkeys crappy economy that even try to blackmail EU with sweden joining nato.i think someone should have told him that NATO and EU are different things
Boş boş konuşma aptal herif. Git asyaya o zaman aq
Bugara did not lift the veto. Bulgaria got even more veto and blackmail power. In return for temporary postponing the veto. This will not end until EU ditches the unanimous vote, therefore the veto power abuse of single states.
The veto power of single states will continue because many EU countries need the veto politics to resolve their international issues. The veto is peaceful instrument for resolving of international politics problems
@@svetlinognyanov5700...no, it's mainly used to blackmail the EU.
As a turk I can confirm that Turkey will never be part of EU. it is not about Democracy,Human Rights or Press Freedom. No one wants to be neighboor with iran,iraq,syria.Therefore I don't get angry with EU citizens who don't want Turkey to become an EU member. The most important point for Turkey is to reach EU standards and not become an EU member.
I don't think that "be neighboor with iran,iraq,syria" is the EU's main concern here. Not while your country threatens to invade Greece, occupies N. Cyprus, gets cozy with Putin and is considered across the EU as the troublemaker in the Aegean and Eastern Meditarranean. And this is just a handfull of the serious issues that the EU has with Turkey.
@@georgedevries3992
1-as I said we will protect the Turkish cypriots from greece
2-greece is the problem maker in eagean and meditarranean not us
3-erdogan clearly said a invasion will only happen if greece continue his agression
4-Europeands and americans are bunch of hypocrites they are the main reason why we have neutral too friendly releationships with russia
Because i know geopolitics…. If turkey enter in EU , only then europe will be superpower !! But this will not happen because turkey then will be the leader of europe!! And no one in europe want a muslim country as leader in Europe!! And I’m not turk!!
@@gotshot8355 1."only then europe will be superpower" Ah ok, so France and the UK who have freaking nukes are a joke and a small nuisance to you. Right, something tells me that you're either out of touch with reality or merely biased.
2."But this will not happen because turkey then will be the leader of europe!! And no one in europe want a muslim country as leader in Europe!!" Damn straight Turkey won't be the leader of Europe. But not because she has a muslim population. See, this is why I think you're crazy and out of touch with reality or biased and influenced by Turkish media. Feel free to pick which one describes you best.
3." And I’m not turk!!" After your previous statements, I am gonna press X to doubt this here.
P.S. Wake the fuck up mate. Turkey isn't as important as you think she is.
How would greece react if the islands were 2 miles distanced to greece mainland , belonged to turkey and militarised againist paris and lousend treaties. Turkey has not occupıed. cyprus . İt has saved 300000 turkish cypriots being massacred by the greek eoka.an illegal institution aiming for the annexion of the island to greece.
Bulgaria and Romania should have NEVER joined! And there has never been a point for Turkey to join, seriously...
Still weird seeing Ireland just sat there without the uk
Great video! I like your writing a lot! Very accasible and clear indeed
Thank you :)
As a hungarian i hope that new countries can join soon
But Hungary might be kicked out soon because of your amazing government
@@akakigvilava5571 it is impossible to be kicked out from the EU
Major dislike for listing Kosovo as a country
Public Support in Macedonia is below 50% nowadays,people are fed up from all the vetoes and actually dont want EU that much anymore
Macedonia is a region of Greece,not a country!
Don’t undercut yourself by saying “most likely I’m completely wrong.” If we’ve watched that far (it’s at the end), it means your analysis is interesting.
The Corporations of the EU always looking for the next Country to import cheap labour from.
I didn't know Norway was a member
thats the sarcasm I like
Thanks for pointing out. :) Created a sticky post
Well, Turkey's situation is really easy to understand. Problems in country can be fixed but the main problem is the population. I don't think France and Germany would like to see a third power in EU.
It's really hard to predict the future in this case. Because if this process would go as intendend, those states would never join because of lacking reforms and corruption and let's say differing views about democracy.
Things that seem, like they will never change.
But in the recent conflict with russia this might change. Because in my opinion the objective potentially will change, if it hasn't already, from "gaining political & economical partners" to secure important geographic landmarks, to gain a more favourable position in potential geopolitical conflicts, that might/will arise in the future.
Yes this is very hard to predict. The risk of not taking in more members is that these countries might then align themselves to other nations, such as Russia or in Turkeys case the middle East
I disagree with ur first paragraph: _"Because if this process would go as _*_intended,_*_ those states would _*_never_*_ join..."_
?? I'm pretty sure that is precisely the *opposite* of this process' intention.. 😄
_"...because of _*_lacking reforms and corruption_*_ and let's say _*_differing views about democracy."_*
⁉️ Source "trust me bro"? You do realise you are talking about *10* countries, right? Not 1 or 2.
In the case of Moldova, Ukraine; prob Montenegro, Albania, N. Macedonia & Georgia - I'm pretty sure they have the *same opinion on what democracy should be.* 🤨 Why do you throw around easy soundbites, based on *old* negative stereotypes - from the 90's or something - without *actually* looking into the present-day situation?
This last part made no sense at all. Just because they are not *performing* that well as a democracy *yet,* doesn't mean they have "differing opinions on what that should be" - or in other words, *aren't even trying & prefer autoritarianism.* 🤨 Extremely baseless & bigotted remark.
As for the reforms & corruption - they are currently *working* on them, person... 🙂 That's what the EU accession criteria (at least the bulk of it) is mainly about...
Romania & Bulgaria got the CVM supervision program when they joined - *precisely* so they can deal with some of the judiciary & corruption issues further. And have made great progress since.
Currently, Hungary ranks lower on the corruption index than Romania, for example (meaning worse) - and this wouldn't have happened if they received the CVM, I think. *Yet,* they are still a pretty successul & integrated member of the EU, in most areas. Being in the Schengen zone, OSCE & all.
So, all these are things which can be resolved through time & EU assistance.
To be honest it all depends on the economy. Albania, Montenegro, Macedonia will join before the end of the decade. If Romania, poland, Bulgaria keep getting wealthier and EU gdp output, salaries keep growing, countries like serbia or bonsia will have far more pressure from the population. The balkans are surrounded by EU borders. I think geography plays a very very impoetant role when analysing rhe far diatant future. Bosnia, serbia,kosovo, Moldova will join, maybe 2030's 2040's but if we project a succeaful EU they will join. In my opinion Ukraine, Georgia, turkey are the ones that i think would be harder to predictingin a distant future bc of russia. Russia has made a succesful geoeatrategic move because EU future looked far better before thw attack (energy is gonna fuck us up the next 3-4 years) and that was the whole problem for them.
Norway is not in the EU as it is shown on this map
SCOTLAND FOR EU MEMBERSHIP
Scotland is not even a country
@@h.o6987 Scotland is a country actually, England, and Wales are also but they are just united under one crown
Wikipedia says: "Scotland is a country that is part of the United Kingdom."
Legally, it is a country
Serbia is out of the question any time soon.
I didn't know you can occupie a EU country and have a chance to join the EU.
I would put my money on Montenegro then Macedonia. Usually if one is in the EU or NATO they can join the other a bit more easily
Macedonia is a region in Greece,not a country!
@@christos1917 brah ahaha
@@jackmorgan4817 Geography 101...idiot!
May we know why Cyprus dissapeared from your maps yet all the other islands are on?
Turkey doesn't need the membership actually. Also EU doesn't want Turkey as a member. They are huge trade partners for both of them and things are great this way.
Is think your analysis is absolutely correct.
Serbia is less and less interested in joining as time goes by. The people have seen that, no mater what they do, they seem to be stuck in the same position for years. Accepting Kosovo’s independance or sanctioning Russia will, probably, not change a single thing and it will never be enough. That’s why it would have to be lower on the list due to public disinterest.
It is mutual lack of interests.
I don't think "no matter what they do they're stuck" is true. There is crazy corruption in the goverment, the institutions don't function properly, the rural areas are decaying in a fast pace, and the Kosovo situation seems to be getting worse.There are huge ecological problems happening as well, systems that are being built are not sustainable. Organised crime rates are high, also supported by the government. I am from Serbia, and I see how far the country has to go for anything to shift in the process. I also think that the public opinion might change as the years go by - there's still so much to do by then.
Because Serbia already uses the preferences, for example, free movement, which is sufficient for them, if it were sanctioned for helping Russia or deprived of free movement remaining in isolation, people's desire would change, but if you can sit in a comfortable armchair and do nothing, why make an effort
@@NichiforAlbu male an effort to donwhat? Bend to someone’s will? Very democratic.
@@kelian69 It’s so hypocritical to hear you talk about democracy, whoever doesn’t want to join the EU should not use the EU and its advantages, that’s all,!!! who wants to live separately then live separately, you can’t do both
Montenegro 🇲🇪, Albania 🇦🇱 and North Macedonia 🇲🇰 are highly likely joining EU 🇪🇺 next. I'm not sure when exactly but they are close. The others are tough to guess.
Yes I agree. I am more confident about my top 2 then the rest :)
I think 2029 is the somewhat target for the next EU expansion. 🤔 I believe they have a pretty good chance of joining then, if everything goes well.👍
As a Macedonian I don’t want to join this EU bull(rap at least for now we are not ready
I don’t want the prices of this country skyrocket. We are ok we just complain a lot
@@nataliadelrey5851 Im Macedonian too. The prices are already way up and the economy is not catching up fast enough with inflation. I see the EU helping this situation rather than making it worse by harmonizing trade and travel and providing subsidies to weaker industries. Also foreign investments go up as well through the financial security blanket that the EU provides.
I don't really agree. I am Ukrainian, but it's not about that. :) Montenegro will be the next one, and maybe Serbia, but Serbia is a bit too pro-Russian and has problems with the West. Then Albania, while I don't think Greece and Bulgaria will let North Macedonia so fast. The next would be Ukraine (again, not because I'm Ukrainian), and then Moldova, or actually, Ukraine and Moldova can become a part of the EU at the same time (to the ones who think a conflict can stop Ukraine and Moldova, it's not true. Cyprus is in the EU, while half of it is occupied. Croatia also has/had some disputed territories. So that's not the problem at all. Also, the conflict in Moldova is frozen, so it's not dangerous). The last ones should be Bosnia and Georgia, because they aren't even candidates yet, so it will take a while. And about Kosovo, I don't think it will join EU so fast. It's not recognised and that's why it has many problems, a bad system.
Bro, I am a Serb and I don't know when Serbia will enter the EU, but I know that Montenegro will not enter before Serbia ... it can either join or after us. We use Russophilia in order to scare the West and to receive us in EU like Bulgaria (also a Russophile country) over the line and quickly.
Kosovo is Serbia
I live in northern cyprus and cyprus peace operation was necessary for us turkish cypriots. Although the world sees this place under occupation, we are happy to live here now.
@@garen7719 then why don't any country in the whole world accept Northern Cyprus as a country? occupation is occupation no matter what the reason is.
@@garen7719 Turks also saw the independence of Thessaloniki as an occupation by the Greeks because "Turks lived there for over 400 years" well yeah no shit guess who else did. What if a million Greeks just randomly went to live in Ankara and then Greece sent an army there to "free" them because it "was necessary for the Greek Ankarians". You see it doesn't really work like that.
1. Montenegro and Serbia
2. Macedonia and Albania
3. Bosnia
4. Kosovo
Rest: not in next 20 years
Serbia,? Bosnia? Kosovo? Bruh
Turkey has no place in the EU, its absurd. Different continent, different civilisation, different mentality. They should focus on their Asian heartland.
Germany, France, Holland, Belgium, and Austria will choose the next member regardless of the "steps" or the "progress" of the applicant countries based on their socio-political and economic interests. And that's that.
Which Holland? I guess the south one, since it's bigger and more populated.
True, I mean there are countries such as Romania and Bulgaria that have been members since 2007 and they still have not fulfilled their requirements to even join EU. The ONLY reason that they became members was due to the russian factor. That's what EU is doing with Ukraine and Moldova.
Serbia is totally a pro-russian dictatorship and yet they started their negotations to join EU long time ago. Why? Russian factor! Eu is trying to remove the russian influence in these countries by giving them membership.
On the other hand, Kosovo has been promised visa liberalization over 10 years ago and yet here we are, they just got another promise for 2024. Why? Because there is little to no influence by Russia in Kosovo, because it is a pro-western country who is fully commited to fulfill all requirements by the EU so that's why EU doesnt really hurry when it comes to Kosovo.
We are called the Netherlands
Bosnia got blessing from European Council just couple of days ago and we may become candidates.
Only with reforms.
I am from serbia. And i would rather die than joining the EU and regocnize Kosovo as an state. Never.
Why? Literally every country that joined eu has benefited greatly.
We, Türkiye do not want to join anymore. Public support can't be higher than Serbia.
yeaa
Albania first becouse has sea access other are unimportant nations
Bulgaria and Romania were inserted across the line to form a shield to the east. the rules are not the same for everyone, are they?
bro what
If Albania joins the Eu serbia should forget about joining the Eu without recognising Kosovo.
It should already do that, from now...
@@dyawr yeah
The new countries that will join will not have veto rights for a long time.
I see a clear bias against blue and yellow flag countries.
Lol, for sure. These colour bigots... 🤭 which is ironic, cause blue & yellow are EU flag colours as well. 🤷♀️
Then EU is bias to Ukraine
Turkey and Macedonia are you crazy guys ??? xD
We dont want anymore greetings from Türkiye
So about TURKIYE or TURKEY, I believe after elections in 2023 things of change could surprise everyone. But still question is more on How Turkey solves issues with neighbours and refugee crisis. 14 Chapters are open to finish and other chapters are closed needed to be open by agreement of other countries. If Turkey finishes all 35 Chapters, in theory there is no reason to block them to reach Stage 4. I believe Accession Document will be Approved by Turkish citizens and Parliment. However Question is will EU be ready to agree Turkey join when the time comes, when all things needed are agreed and done ?
Yes, Turkey's membership completely hinges upon Erdogan's removal, and following that, restoring press freedom and undoing democratic backsliding. I think the EU would want to see measures that would also prevent another dictatorship from being in power, so as to prevent another Hungary situation. Finally, they also need to resolve their issues with Greece and Cyprus.
I think there’s no clue in making Turkey a member state of the EU, beyond the political problems with (M)Erdogan Turkey has a totally different culture and history and it’s historically, politically and culturally more linked with the Middle East. They haven’t known European religious wars (between christians), the Age of Enlightenment, the Age of Revolution, the restoration, the industrial Revolution, the spread of socialist values etc. etc.
@@calasalos Your criteria don't really make sense. Since when does having inter-Christian wars make one European? Same with Industrial Revolution? For the industrial revolution, many other eastern European countries also did not go through the industrial Revolution. Age of Enlightenment -- it was involved in that. Politically, I disagree. The Ottoman Empire has been mixed in with European politics for centuries. Culturally, yes they were more linked with the Middle East. Socialist values, etc are again not inherently European. You're thinking everything through a western European lens (including your "Age of Revolution").The continent is much bigger than that. While I agree that Turkey is quite more different than most European countries, your criteria are frankly very arbitrary, and you can take a number of Southern and Eastern European countries that also don't meet your random criteria.
@@CouchTomato87 Inter christian wars and persecutions taught europeans the value of tolerance and freedom, starting with the "peace of Augsburg", in 1555 during the Reformation, stating the famous principle "cuis regio, eius religio" (trad: whose realm, his religion), or the "peace of Westphalia"in 1648 which ended the bloody "thirty years war" and re-stated almost one hundred years later the same principles. This had great consequences in shaping the continent: scientific research became more free and unrelated with religious dogmas or limits (was notorious in all European countries the infamous case of Galileo's trial), philosophers became more free and open to new theories gradually reaching to The Age of enlightenment with great philosophers as Kant, Rousseau, Voltaire, Hume, Locke who helped to criticize the old "ancient regime" and to extend the old aristocratic liberties to all human beings. This philosophical premise helped unleashing the French Revolution with his "Universal Declaration of human Rights" etc. etc. It was a long, contradictory, har-fought history which had, though, as its goal, the full realization of human dignity.
@@CouchTomato87 And politically the Ottoman Empire has always been perceived either as an enemy or as an "external ally" for political rivalries between the major European powers. On the other hand, every time Ottomans tried to invade Europe European nations always gathered together in fighting back, as happened in Lepanto in 1571 or in the Battle of Vienna in 1529 and in 1683. On the other hand, one very important factor that prompted the europeans to seek a new route to India and the spice islands was exactly the fall of Constantinople in Turkish hands.
Since this video was uploaded, both Albania and North Macedonia have moved to the candidate negotiation stage.
EU is doomed
The EU can't take any more members as it is, there is already enough dysfunction as things stand and all the proposed candidate countries have long term issues. The EU needs to be reformed, either to return to the pre Schengen and Maastricht form, or federalise properly, or both, some federalise and the rest go back to what it was before 1990. In either case adding more members with Veto powers, let alone dysfunctional ones is the wrong way to go.
Absolutely. Personally federalisation seems like the better option, but any way of stopping Hungary/Poland from actively sabotaging the EU should be priority.
@@ivankrizanic507 the eu is sabotaging hungary and poland☝
turkey will never join if the situation in cyprus is not resolved
Since you mentioned that the two separatist regions of Georgia are occupied by Russia, it's interesting that you conveniently left out the fact that the NATO is occupying Kosovo, a breakaway province of Serbia.
kosova is Albania. Serbia killed many Albanians in the war 22 years ago. How can a normal Person support Serbia?
and i mean they did war crimes and masacres.
AB sizin olsun 🈴 Biz Türk birliğini kuracağız ✅
işte beklediğim görmek istediğim yorum, avrupa birliğine katılmamız dan daha gerçekçi bu türk birliğine katılmamız
HA HA
United Turkic Dictatorship would be the best title for that kind of sh*t
The most accurate list ever! However it seems that the EU is also thinking about integrating the Western Balkans together, because they are incredibly interconnected. They might all go together as a package, if only the Serbia-Kosovo question is somehow solved.
@Ana Andrić What is Serbia going to do with all those hostile Albanians? The Albanians don`t want to be under Serbian rule again because the Serbian police was shooting them and burying them under police stations.
@Ana Andrić Dream
@Zaydan Alfariz did you know that Kosovo i main hub for drug trafficking. Kosovo is out of administrative system of Serbia more than 20 years and still they can't become function country. That is not problem of Serbia but of Kosovo. They have one of the most corrupted politicians in this region. That is biggest problem of Kosovo not Serbia.
@Ana Andrić as russians are using serbs for starting trubles in balcan... i hope that Serbia start a war and pay their consecuences... oh lord i would love to see serbia under economic sanctions.
@Zaydan Alfariz You not Albanians ,you Arbasi from Africa! Go home!
Human rights will be high on the agenda and a stumbling block to most of these countries ambitions to the EU
EU values will be on a collision course.
The more members there are, the less the EU works.
I think this is accurate and pretty well done :)
Time will tell. Thanks :)
It's either Ukraine or Ukraine. Or it could be Ukraine
The tiered EU system seems like a good idea.
If there was a Western European Union and an Eastern European Union
Turkey shouldn’t join the EU.As a Turk I don’t want to join this stupid EU. UK Madea good decision to quit this hypocrite club of silly countries.
Montenegro needs to join the Eu!
Very hard to guess which country will be the next eu member ...
But I think you are right : Montenegro is in the best condition for that
Anyway I hope to see the macedonian flag in front of the EU parliament in Brussels before I die 🇲🇰
It depends, are you planning to live 200 years? Greetings from Bulgaria ; )
@@mihailchehlarov2720 еби си мајката друже татарско ! Подобро да си побарам албански пасош !
А шо ме заебаваш ?! Вие сте сте веќе 16 години во ЕУ и победни сте од Босна и Косово !
@@aleksplavcev8044 Cry..please cry more :D
hope the same also with serbia
@@mihailchehlarov2720 I'm hoping to live long enough to see a bulgaria that can form a government.
People who claim Serbia as a pro-russian state don't know the reason why it's like that. Russia wasn't the one that bombed Serbia during 1999 without the UN's approval, it was NATO. Serbians have very little reason to prefer the EU after how they are treated by it and would rather lean toward Russia and China as they have done nothing but support them so far.
Also the recent visit of the German chancellor Olaf Scholz came with a massive insult towards the Serbian people as he spoke about keeping Ukraine's territorial integrity while also asking the Serbians to give up theirs and recognize Kosovo as an independent state.
Kosovo is as legal as the new found Luhansk and Donetsk people's republic, they are not.
So why do you support Russia in annexing other countries' territories & breaking off chunks into separate republics? - esp when you would cry crocodile tears, if Albania & other states would do that do *you,* for example.
*You got bombed by NATO bc you were about to commit another gεηοcίdε, dear.* And are also stupidly *proud* of that, or at least don't mind it - you even have a popular song: "my fστhεr is a war criminal... 🤨
So, wake up a little bit - but if you want to fall into Chinese debt traps & have your country's assets seized (by them), be my guest...
You lost Kosovo thanks to your own actions, a long time ago. That region *will never* agree to be part of ur country again. So, no use for this useless tug of war - you will have to *let it go* one day.
@@dyawr I could say the same for the new found Donetsk and Lughansk republics, they are no more legal than Kosovo
@@realflameknight We'll see what happens with Donetsk & Luhansk. As there is *a lot* of Russian control over there - it's not like the people are left alone, for the majority to decide.
But anyway, u should *stop* deflecting, bc Kosovo's circumstances were different, happened a longer time ago & over half the world already recognizes its independence. *Yes,* at some point Ukriane will prob have to give up those regions as well...
@@dyawr Do you live in a house or an apartment?Give me one room or I will bring in my friends who will make you give me a room.
Kosovo isn't only about territory.Its about history.Whoever steals territory is stealing history as well.The problem is there is only Serbian and Ottoman history in Kosovo (mostly through building mosques).Where is Albanian history in Kosovo?
The way things are going, the UK is more likely to rejoin the EU than Serbia.
I think Scotland and Northern Ireland maybe will rejoin. England is very difficult
The way things are going we from Europe will ask more often you from Us to stay away from European affairs. You only create additional problems.
Stay there across the ocean, play that strange sports with egg-shaped ball or whatever you do over there and leave Europe alone.
Thank you.
@@alessiogagliardi4211 Scotland will secede first.
Who's here after the announcement that Bosnia and Herzegovina is officially a EU candidate
as a turk, i say that i would never want turkiye to join the european union. 🤨
Don't really understand how Moldova and Georgia having border disputes is an issue considering Cyprus is in the EU, and they have a MASSIVE border dispute
not really massive considering nobody even cares about the turkish side of cyprus lol
@@tanker1425 nobody "cares"? Really? 🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@Guitarist439 yup nobody
ok so my contribution to this discussion would be that if the eu would provide cheap gas and oil, and invest heavily in renewables or even nuclear energy in Serbia the people would realize that Russia actually offers nothing and that the real path is towards eu integration
Serbian people just dont have the real picture of already strong trading and economic bond with EU or any other advantage EU would give us. Real step forward would be more democratic government and improved freedom of speech.
Serbia already receives massive economic support from the EU and virtually nothing from Russia. They know this and still continue being servants of the Kremlin.
As a Serb i hope we wont. Also Kosovo and Metohija is not a country it is occupied part of Serbia. Even officially resolution 1244.
@eV Avoz Enver Hohxa sad excuse for propaganda in the 21st century, wow. Wikipedia is not history. Albanians are an Azerbaijani tribe, brought in droves by the Avar and the Turk, not earlier than the 12th century. Core of the Bulgarian ethnic fabric is Tatarian. Both the Bulgars and Albanians are 'ashamed'(?) of their own true origins. Anyway, history has other plans for Kosovo - instead of being a money laundering platform.
@eV Avoz Language does not translate into genetics. They weren't brought by Azerbaijani, but hail origin from the south of the Caucasus. Check Azerbaijani sources.
How is the majority of the population muslim? Simple, adopted it before migrating. Why don't they wear their white caps anymore (AS AZER TRIBES DID)? Because Enver needed to make them more 'european-like' in order to secure a 'crown' from Vienna and the Vatican.
Don't reject your roots, its bad for the soul.
@eV Avoz 2000 years... man!!!!... OK, discussion terminated.
@eV Avoz Editing a wikipedia page does not make you native to these regions. The Greeks know this, the Bulgars know this. You can peddle hohxa re-written history to westerners, not us. Paleo-wiki-azer
Bulgaria..tartars can only claim country in asia.
I am from Serbia and i know for a fact that arround 70% of people here do not want to join EU.
So thanks but no thanks.
I dont think albania and macedonia will join before Serbia. Even with the kosovo question, Serbia is still way more advanced than albania and macedonia. Once kosovo is resolved, there are no large blockers in the way and kosovo is only a political issue, not a technical one.
I think you’ve made reasonable arguments. Good and informative video.
Yeah we should be all Europe united 🇪🇺❤️🔥❤️🔥💪🏼
EU is not a fair Union and I do not believe there's a standard and honest evaluation for applicants, in reality depending on "who the applicants are". There is an obvious discrimination. EU members are acting to seem fair but somehow most of them lack honesty and transparency.