Percent Chance Brian Kelly and other Year 3 coaches can win a Natty | Always College Football

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  • Опубліковано 1 чер 2024
  • Greg McElroy takes a look back at the 2022 coaching carousel and discusses the percent chance the year three coaches can win a National Championship at their current spot, including Kalen DeBoer at Alabama. Mario Cristobal may be closer than you think, and Dan Lanning could bring the first National Championship to Eugene. And is Kalen DeBoer a near lock to win a Natty at Alabama? McElroy breaks it all down while also answering questions from the mailbag.
    0:00 Intro
    2:32 Revisiting the 2022 Coaching Hires
    4:05 Percent chance Brian Kelly wins a Natty at LSU
    7:25 Percent chance Lincoln Riley wins a Natty at USC
    9:44 Percent chance Marcus Freeman wins a Natty at Notre Dame
    12:05 Percent chance Billy Napier wins a Natty at Florida
    14:16 Percent chance Brent Venables wins a Natty at Oklahoma
    16:39 Percent chance Dan Lanning wins a Natty at Oregon
    18:49 Percent chance Mario Cristobal wins a Natty at Miami
    21:27 Percent chance Kalen DeBoer wins a Natty at Alabama
    24:07 Mailbag - How many teams would a ‘super league’ be?
    26:12 Mailbag - Why should I watch the CFB regular season?
    29:15 Mailbag - Can Colorado make a bowl game?
    31:47 Mailbag - Will former Pac 12 teams run the Big 12?
    33:20 Thanks for watching - leave reviews!
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 60

  • @dawncemberwillis3766
    @dawncemberwillis3766 24 дні тому +2

    Good Morning, Happy Early Birthday ❤. Thanks for sharing this video. I'm a Bama Alum so Roll Tide. I hope that Alabama will be on fire this upcoming season and take it all the way. Have A Great Day.

    • @sebazelaya3445
      @sebazelaya3445 23 дні тому

      Go Alabama Football 🏈
      Go Auburn Football 🏈

  • @Ducks4Life91
    @Ducks4Life91 21 день тому +2

    You could’ve put Dan the man Lanning at 85-100% cause he finna win a natty in Eugene VERY VERY SOON💚💛🦆

  • @robertwidby2205
    @robertwidby2205 24 дні тому +5

    We can no longer measure coaches' ability to build programs as in the past. In fact, more and more of the better ones will look for ways to get out or move to The NFL. Tweaking the rosters every season is insane.

    • @DMP413
      @DMP413 23 дні тому

      What do want to happen? The exact same players every year. No retirements, no rookies? So a coach/ team only has ONE chance to pick a team and they are stuck with it FOREVER? The Assistant coaches can't get new jobs? The team loses every game in the season. But can't change anything ¿

  • @NorthGeorgiaJosh
    @NorthGeorgiaJosh 24 дні тому +1

    I am an FSU Fan and we are still friends Greg. I have heard your support through the years of FSU in particular a time before the 2021 season you said I believe great things are ahead for the Noles and I knew you werent just talking or blowing smoke. I can even say if the roles were reversed (say we were 12-1 with #5 rated SOS and yall were 13-0 with an injured QB) last year I would be glad my team was in. I cant blame you for that. As unbiased as we might try to be I can never not give my team the benefit of the doubt. I also never played for or won a national champion ship with the team I root for either.

    • @SurferRC
      @SurferRC 23 дні тому +1

      If sos mattered michigan would have been left out too!

  • @dwayneoukid
    @dwayneoukid 24 дні тому +2

    Okay so hear me out! Brent V yet he was a DC, he knows how to beat SEC teams when it counts! However, recency bias yall national commentators are so high on Texas because Sark is a good ole boy? Texas had one good year that mattered since 2009 but yall keep saying they are more positioned than Oklahoma team that has adapted to whatever conference they have ever been in… so make it make sense?

  • @jamesb0255
    @jamesb0255 24 дні тому +1

    Dang Greg...i said i still like you and the show 😊...42 year FSU fan here.

  • @ivansalazar5448
    @ivansalazar5448 23 дні тому +1

    Napier needs to have a stellar season in Gainsville in order to keep his job!

    • @jahendrix1543
      @jahendrix1543 21 день тому

      he wont. and im not sure what our AD is going to do about it.

  • @UGAfan12132
    @UGAfan12132 15 днів тому

    Happy Birthday!

  • @wlthomas8
    @wlthomas8 21 день тому

    60 teams, four 15 team divisions, and you can keep the proposed 14 team playoff set up.
    Then, you could have a 2nd division of the remaining 70 teams, open seeding like the DIV II setup, playing for their own natty

  • @SurferRC
    @SurferRC 23 дні тому +1

    The problem with a super league is that it cuts off access to programs that want to make football a priority! Thats what makes college football great teams can come out of nowhere to be juggernauts! If you dont get in the super league from the inset you are screwed and teams like vandy or indiana/illinois who will never be good or care just sit there cashing huge football checks!!

  • @timothycunningham3983
    @timothycunningham3983 22 дні тому +2

    DESPITE WHAT ALL THE OHIO STATE AND MAYBE GEORGIA HATERS THINK, YOUR VIDEO COVER LEFT OUT THE PICTURES OF THE TWO COACHES MOST PROBABLE TO WIN THE CFP THIS YEAR. IM SURE THAT WAS ON PURPOSE. THIS IS A SEC/ ESPN DRIVEN PODCAST ISN’T IT? OH YEAH THATS WHY BAMA’S COACH’S PICTURE IS RIGHT UP FRONT. 😂

  • @messagetous
    @messagetous 24 дні тому

    Good show

  • @derekjancart215
    @derekjancart215 23 дні тому

    Brian Kelly had an effort and attitude problem at ND, not a Notre Dame problem in getting a National Championship.

  • @gregcrowder7809
    @gregcrowder7809 23 дні тому

    Happy Birthday RollTide

  • @rickysmith133
    @rickysmith133 23 дні тому

    Brian Kelley won his LSU games with ED Orgeron players.

  • @dashien2605
    @dashien2605 23 дні тому +2

    Oregon

  • @garygrunst140
    @garygrunst140 23 дні тому +2

    Ducks. ❤

  • @user-cq3ys4pk1m
    @user-cq3ys4pk1m 24 дні тому

    Happy early birthday, Greg.
    You are a baby. I’m 78 and can you think of differences I’ve seen.

    • @DMP413
      @DMP413 23 дні тому

      If he is a baby what is a one year old?

  • @MichaeLMahoney-kr8sg
    @MichaeLMahoney-kr8sg 20 днів тому

    Not sure why no one can do math. If a conference champion wins a natty they will play 16 games. If the Irish win a natty they will have played…. 16 games. Disadvantage, where?

  • @runDATrun6
    @runDATrun6 24 дні тому +3

    Miami looking a whole heck of a lot better than they showed, sums up Mario Cristobal’s teams. Always a has and always will have let down games against teams that shouldn’t beat his squad

    • @wlthomas8
      @wlthomas8 21 день тому

      Sounds kinda like Dan Lanning

    • @runDATrun6
      @runDATrun6 21 день тому +1

      @@wlthomas8 you mean Washington who just went to the national championship? Odd comparison

    • @wlthomas8
      @wlthomas8 21 день тому

      @runDATrun6 no. I mean Dan Lanning who always has the most talented team on the field (or in the conference) yet never win when needed

  • @ROUGHNECK75
    @ROUGHNECK75 24 дні тому +1

    BOOMER! SOONERS!

  • @derekjancart215
    @derekjancart215 23 дні тому

    You’re completely wrong about Notre Dame.

  • @cindymikolajczyk9936
    @cindymikolajczyk9936 24 дні тому

    Happy Birthday!!!! BK does not know how to recruit...that will always be his downfall.

  • @ODUCKSFAN1
    @ODUCKSFAN1 23 дні тому +1

    GO DUCKS 🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆🦆

  • @Exodus850
    @Exodus850 24 дні тому

    Miami has the easiest path in terms of schedule only 3 heavy hitters Florida, FSU, and GT…now that Texas and Oklahoma are in SEC i can’t see Georgia going unscathed at least 1 loss. Kansas State could surprise as well.

    • @jamesb0255
      @jamesb0255 24 дні тому +1

      Aaahhh got to love that Miami off season, delusional optimism! ( Maybe your not a scUM fan)
      You cannot overlook Virginia Tech and Miami's biggest rival....Duke. 😂😂 6:21

    • @clarencewalder2985
      @clarencewalder2985 24 дні тому

      It doesn't matter U know Miami will never win national championship yet

    • @Exodus850
      @Exodus850 24 дні тому +1

      @@jamesb0255 nope not a miami alum. They haven’t had this firepower since 2002 on offense. Duke won’t be an issue Elko is gone to A&M. If Cam Ward, Sam Brown, and Damien Martinez are on last years team their winning all those games.

    • @pnut3844able
      @pnut3844able 23 дні тому

      Whoa whoa WHOA, GT is NOT a heavy hitter lmao. We're gonna thrash FL, they're junk. FSU lost all those players and won't even make the ACCCG

    • @Exodus850
      @Exodus850 23 дні тому

      @@pnut3844able Yeah your right but they got this dual threat qb that gave them problems last year

  • @MichaeLMahoney-kr8sg
    @MichaeLMahoney-kr8sg 20 днів тому

    USC is really close! 7-5 with a generational QB 😂

  • @RiVer-Parish
    @RiVer-Parish 23 дні тому

    Go Vols!!!

  • @tylerjerry7681
    @tylerjerry7681 11 днів тому

    Has Brian Kelly ever won a national championship? I don’t know but if he has not, you cannot call him and put him over the other coaches. I have one a national championship chill out, bro.

  • @andrewmohrmann3599
    @andrewmohrmann3599 24 дні тому

    Mario Cristobal will never win a natty if he has anything to do with the playcalling. He is a top 5 recruiter and a bottom 5 X’s and O’s coach. I don’t know if I’ve ever seen anyone with such a wild disparity.

    • @pnut3844able
      @pnut3844able 23 дні тому

      Keep that same energy

    • @wlthomas8
      @wlthomas8 21 день тому

      Tell me you don't know football without saying you don't know football 🤣😂
      I'd love to see you find footage of Cristobal calling plays at Miami

    • @andrewmohrmann3599
      @andrewmohrmann3599 21 день тому

      @@wlthomas8 when you’re coach is too stupid to call a kneel down, you probably shouldn’t boast about him. Try harder

  • @Da-Boo33
    @Da-Boo33 24 дні тому

    Time will tell 🐘 ROLLTIDE n hbd bsafe god bless ...also if Ncaa still do they part will they stay

  • @stuffestmites03
    @stuffestmites03 24 дні тому

    Probably Alabama

  • @stevenselleck5460
    @stevenselleck5460 24 дні тому

    I'd say 33% chance BK wins at LSU. If he coaches there 3 times he wins it all one time. So he could but unlikey

    • @DMP413
      @DMP413 23 дні тому

      "If he coaches there 3 times..¿¿¿¿¿

    • @stevenselleck5460
      @stevenselleck5460 23 дні тому

      @@DMP413 that's statistics. Use your brain. If he has a 33% chance of winning a natty then if he coaches there 3 times he'll win one. Obviously he won't coach there 3 times- it's a way of saying he could win one but I doubt it

  • @JWCFB
    @JWCFB 22 дні тому

    Kelly just ruined his chance of winning a Natty.

  • @B_3_3_3
    @B_3_3_3 23 дні тому

    Disliked the video and didn’t even watch once I saw Lincoln Riley in the thumbnail. Lol i knew it wasn’t a serious list

  • @SuperMogul
    @SuperMogul 23 дні тому

    Buffs 🏆

    • @wlthomas8
      @wlthomas8 21 день тому

      Is Nick Saban replacing the HC?

  • @johnobrien7945
    @johnobrien7945 23 дні тому

    I only disliked this video because he mentioned the fact that he has his thirty fifth birthday tommorw and he says he is getting old. Greg should not say that because this week we lost someone in our community at the age of 28. Greg is wrong for saying he is 35 and is getting old when you have people who die at the age of 28.

  • @slomoshn6984
    @slomoshn6984 22 дні тому

    FSU didn't deserve to be in the playoffs.