RISK MANAGEMENT & SECURITY ANALYSIS Revision | CA/CMA Final SFM | By CA Ajay Agarwal AIR 1

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  • Опубліковано 29 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 207

  • @sakshicafinal4893
    @sakshicafinal4893 2 роки тому +170

    Time Stamps:
    Standard Normal Distribution Table (Z-Score) : 21:49
    VAR : 42:00
    Security Analysis (Intro) - 01:02:53
    Simple Moving Averages- 01:10:25
    Exponential Moving Averages- 01:19:27
    Efficient Market Hypothesis- 01:32:22
    Runs Test- 01:45:20
    Auto Correlation Test- 02:04:07
    Thankyou so much Sir!

  • @titlisen7235
    @titlisen7235 Рік тому +183

    This is how my maths teacher taught me in class XI and XII , and my 20K SFM teacher confused me in a different way ... Ajay Sir thank you so much for this concept to be easily explained and justified ...

  • @rushabhshah8122
    @rushabhshah8122 Рік тому +30

    (Concept -to be read with notes )
    Probability of anything can be found out by looking at how far (in times) it is from the average value. Assumption is that the data is normally distributed on both sides. However, units of things are different and diverse. Hence data should be unit-free to use the common table. We need” Unit-free data”. Probability can change negligibly or a lot depending on the unit of the data used. 1-2 rupees won’t make any difference but 1-2 runs different in match score can make huge difference. To make anything unit-free, in maths, divide the item by the same unit. Data should be unit-free and relative. So, we divide by standard deviation of the data. “standard deviation ka ____ times dur hai average value se”. [can be in -(negative) times also].
    Required value denoted by x
    Average value denoted by mew.
    Data can be from minus infinity to infinity. Total data probability 1 i.e. 100%. Probability of whole curve is 1.
    Average is the central value. Equal chances (50%) either side. .5 in decimal terms.
    Line is like number line. At avg. value, z=0. Always solve by making diagram.
    Left to right denotes lower to higher.
    Find out required value. Look at data given in question. Adjust data as per requirement and solve accordingly.
    Cumulative is one side completely and uptill Z on the other side.
    Tail represents “z score ke bahar ka value.”
    Value search in table..Row by column.
    VAR from 42:00 onwards
    VAR concepts---
    Investment advisory services point of view.
    Amount of investment is the average value in the curve.
    Assurance possible maximum upto 99% confidence level. (As guarantee i.e. 100% is not possible).
    For maximum loss .. always look at “cumulative” table .
    “X - mew” represents maximum loss ie VAR .(conceptually) (actual formula is different though).
    Standard deviation is given in daily terms and percentage terms in practical life and in exam. Therefore, we need to multiply by investment amount and by square root of number of days(time).
    Standard deviation is derived from square root of Variance.
    Security Analysis from 1:03:10 onwards.

  • @janvikuruwa9290
    @janvikuruwa9290 2 роки тому +29

    This is so beautifully designed to explain the concepts in a short format in less time! Thank you so much for your efforts!! 🤩

  • @GoalPuFC
    @GoalPuFC Рік тому +13

    Feeling confident and comfortable after watching this lecture. The concept has been conveyed without the statistical cacophony in a fashion befitting the understanding of those who might not be well versed with statistical methods. Kudos to Mr. Ajay Agarwal.

  • @aaquibraza5600
    @aaquibraza5600 Рік тому +5

    There are some people who use fancy words just to convey simplest of things, Ajay is the odd one out. So much said without saying too much. Thank you.

  • @anshjain1309
    @anshjain1309 9 днів тому +1

    I wish someone could have explained such concepts in different subjects with so much ease. This is too good sir

  • @BenjaminsBANGS
    @BenjaminsBANGS 4 дні тому +1

    "I appreciate how you've structured the syllabus and lectures. I recognize the higher guidance behind your work. I hope you'll continue to maintain this standard and provide meaningful service that enriches your life and others."

  • @Geeks98
    @Geeks98 2 роки тому +21

    You guys are just a master piece of creation
    Me and my friends and some of library guys are having doubt about this Z NORMAL DISTRUBUTION ,
    Yesterday we spoke about this and we are clueless on how to find the right one for us.
    Today I came across this video where u spoke about that Z TABLES , my doubt was fully cleared
    You are just amazing .
    Thankyou so much sir ❤🎉

  • @ayushigoyal8746
    @ayushigoyal8746 Рік тому +7

    The conceptual clarity that you have and the way you explain is really amazing🔥🔥

  • @mkchawla
    @mkchawla 11 місяців тому +1

    1:32:23 Efficient Market Hypothesis
    1:07:00 Technical Analysis (EMA explanation here)

  • @lokeshemandi2757
    @lokeshemandi2757 10 місяців тому +2

    Hello sir if no of days for Exponent calculation not given in question which contains "no trading" days also, then we should consider no of days for calculating exponent after excluding no trading days or we should consider all days including no trading days while calculating Exponent ?

  • @financeandfootprints
    @financeandfootprints 6 місяців тому +6

    Thank you so much Ajay sir for your amazing AFM revision lectures, marathons, ABC analysis, Important questions list and thorough guidance. I'm a CA now in May 24 attempt.
    AFM se mujhe dar tha, par aapne wo dar khatm kr dia sir!
    Aspirants who are watching this: I'd highly recommend Ajay sir as a Go To for AFM! All the best! Radhe Radhe!

  • @milanpatel3375
    @milanpatel3375 9 місяців тому +2

    Thank you sir for explaining in lucid manner 42 minutes me sara distribution ho gya❤

  • @shreyaagarwal831
    @shreyaagarwal831 Рік тому +3

    The ease with which you explain everything is too good! Thank you so much sir🙏🙏

  • @cavishakhapaliwal
    @cavishakhapaliwal 2 роки тому +15

    Radhe Radhe to our saviour

  • @bhavsarsejal5128
    @bhavsarsejal5128 5 місяців тому +1

    itna to koi teacher regular lecture me bhi nahi samjate h... awasome revision sir🔥🔥 ab kabhi risk management ke formulas ratne nahi padege thank you very much sir✌✌

  • @anjalihande1923
    @anjalihande1923 9 місяців тому +3

    You r God of AFM ....u really made subject easy.

  • @Yashkhandelwal08
    @Yashkhandelwal08 Рік тому +5

    Aisa risk management nahi dekha kahi, itni clearity se!

  • @vikasbhanushali2814
    @vikasbhanushali2814 6 місяців тому +1

    This is not just a revision video rather a proper full fledged lecture covering 2 two topics very nicely. Able to solve all practical problems as well in the Study Mat too. Thanks Atul Sir

  • @adityanigam3429
    @adityanigam3429 10 місяців тому +1

    For the 1st time i have understood this standard distribution table in such a easy manner

  • @meghashah7734
    @meghashah7734 2 роки тому +56

    Sir your sfm revision lectures helped a lot. I cleared my CA final exams in nov 22 and a big thanks to you

    • @KritikaKumari-n4o
      @KritikaKumari-n4o Рік тому +1

      U have taken classes from others faculty or by Ajay Bhaiya only??

  • @aayushgupta4493
    @aayushgupta4493 Рік тому +7

    I have studied a normal distribution table many times before studying it in CA finals just for curiosity purposes, but I have to say that I have understood the shape and z score today only. I am sure that this learning will be helpful to me for my future statistics learnings.

  • @RahulSingh-ej9jf
    @RahulSingh-ej9jf 2 роки тому +5

    Sir yeh Z score aapne bohot badhiya se bataya hai . Loved it 👍👍

  • @angadkumarshaw8236
    @angadkumarshaw8236 Рік тому +5

    Ajay Bhaiya I have also completed M. Com from Calcutta University. Z Score was also there but still I have learned this formula our College professor also told to learn this without giving it's logic.
    Thank you sayad ye formula ab hamesha yaad rahega agar bhul bhi gaya to iske logic se find out kar lunga

  • @nb94
    @nb94 9 місяців тому +1

    This lectures are far better than a regular class of 18k .. Thank you sir .. Truly gem of CA industry ❤

  • @manalijain1558
    @manalijain1558 9 місяців тому +2

    pehli baar ye chap actual me samjh aaya, ratt ratt kar thak gye the sir (ykwim) thanks alot sir💯

  • @jkr2541
    @jkr2541 Рік тому +3

    Random table taught so simply. Also the moving averages explanation in conceptual way is great. Thanks

  • @shikhajamuar
    @shikhajamuar 2 місяці тому +1

    you have really helped sir in deep revision with complete logic and concepts.. Thank you🙏

  • @neershah113
    @neershah113 5 місяців тому +2

    Thank you ajay bhai, full achhe se samaj mein aa gaya from revision video ❤❤❤

  • @suyashmahajan282
    @suyashmahajan282 Рік тому +1

    2:07:20 to 2:08:07
    Deciding Market Efficient or inefficient based on Correlation No.

  • @wemumbaikars1210
    @wemumbaikars1210 Рік тому +1

    Finally mera Risk management & Security analysis khatam hua! Thanks Radhey Radhey 🙏

  • @rambadiger9881
    @rambadiger9881 4 місяці тому +1

    each and every point explained with concepts

  • @impactcommerce
    @impactcommerce 11 місяців тому +1

    sir you are the best
    main kitte dinno se var aur ema ka concept smjhna chahta tha bohot teacher ke video dekhhe question v kiye but concept kv ni smjha
    thank god yeah revision video main dekhna shuru kiya warna wahi hota harr attempt ki trhbut iss baar confidence andr se aa rha hai

  • @karishmabalani08
    @karishmabalani08 4 місяці тому +1

    Broooo you are legend.... thank you so much for the simplicity you provide in the lecture❤

  • @sonu-pn6wm
    @sonu-pn6wm Рік тому

    42:00-1.00.00
    1:19:00 to 1.32.00
    1:44:00
    Solve VAR last question
    Solve Run test question
    Just see through the Auto question.

  • @kowsalyakannan2016
    @kowsalyakannan2016 2 роки тому +8

    Thank you so much sir
    I was weak in this area and I didn't got better video than urs in utube and mainly Ind as 109 mein Mujhe confident aapki revision lecture Aur Qn bank ki vajhe se bada hua
    Very very thank u sir

  • @Vishwas_Sharma_01
    @Vishwas_Sharma_01 2 місяці тому +1

    Sir I can't express in words, but I am very much grateful to you, the way you have created your book and the way you teach is really very helpful.....
    I regret wasting my time and money on SS's lectures where I understood nothing, and by the time I got my exam preparation leaves I remembered nothing and had just a huge pile of books and registers in front of me.
    Wish I had taken lectures from you from the very start....❤❤

  • @AkshayBurman2799
    @AkshayBurman2799 5 місяців тому +1

    Security Analysis Starts:- 1:02:53

  • @Muskan1_5
    @Muskan1_5 5 місяців тому +3

    42:00 continue from here

  • @SaUrAbHBaGhEL7
    @SaUrAbHBaGhEL7 9 місяців тому +1

    Radhe radhe guruji..... VAR ache se smjh aa gya ....bahut bahut dhanyawaad 🙏

  • @muskangulati4549
    @muskangulati4549 3 місяці тому +1

    U r teaching us those concepts in revision videos which even many reputed teachers failed to in their full fledged lecture😅
    N this is not about is it imp for exam or not its about to know the basic concept before applying any derived fomula
    Thanku sir...grt job 😌😇

  • @shaifalisinghal4276
    @shaifalisinghal4276 Рік тому +5

    Can't thank you enough 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼

  • @anushapa4305
    @anushapa4305 2 роки тому +2

    30:47 different area
    Thanks a lot sir

  • @zinalthakkar9985
    @zinalthakkar9985 3 місяці тому +1

    Apka itna dimag kese chalta h ekdum logic k sath superrr🎉

  • @KolliSivaCharith
    @KolliSivaCharith 14 днів тому +1

    @Ajay sir is god made faculty for CA students

  • @dhrupadupadhyay
    @dhrupadupadhyay 4 місяці тому +1

    very well explained sir, studied for the first time. thanks a ton

  • @PriyaKumari-rx4zk
    @PriyaKumari-rx4zk 3 місяці тому +1

    Thank you to my very young intellectual guru ❤️🙌!!

  • @Sumitswain18
    @Sumitswain18 Рік тому +1

    Itne ache se dekhne k baad sabhi vedios I analysis aap beach beach mein muskarane ki kosis kar rhe hai jese computer pe koi reminder lga ho smile karna hai 😂
    Thanku so much for this kind of clarity in concept 🙏❤️

  • @movienutshell364
    @movienutshell364 3 місяці тому +1

    Thank you for conceptual clarity ❤

  • @Akshat-l2k
    @Akshat-l2k 3 місяці тому +1

    Wow you are actually a great teacher! You have explained the concept unexpectedly well. Actually I have taken AFM class from Bhavik Chokshi sir but didn't get the concept that appropriately so I found your video and now got to know it very crisply. Thank You so much.

  • @suhanimittal8035
    @suhanimittal8035 9 місяців тому +2

    I never understand VAR before but now it seems so easy

  • @ishikawadhwa702
    @ishikawadhwa702 5 місяців тому +1

    Thanku so much sir for such an amazing understanding of the concept 😊😊

  • @jyotii_sahu
    @jyotii_sahu 9 місяців тому +1

    Hats off to you and your knowledge...🙌

  • @Vaibhavnatkhat12
    @Vaibhavnatkhat12 Рік тому +1

    1:02:52 security analysis

  • @akashbatra2141
    @akashbatra2141 2 роки тому +3

    Where can we find the notes.?
    It is not available in the free resource section.

  • @rak1486
    @rak1486 9 місяців тому +2

    Thanks a lot, very logical and crisp explanation

  • @sanketshah1040
    @sanketshah1040 4 місяці тому +1

    No words, only big thank you ❤❤

  • @chiragbapna9339
    @chiragbapna9339 2 роки тому +3

    Really suprb sir ......
    Please sir derivative revision please .....🤟🏻

  • @gauravdubey4822
    @gauravdubey4822 Рік тому +2

    33:56 one tail cumulative

  • @CaAkash1
    @CaAkash1 3 місяці тому +2

    बोलो वृंदावन बिहारी लाल की जय 🧡🧡 राधे राधे 🎉🎉🙏🙏💛💛

  • @nishishah3486
    @nishishah3486 9 місяців тому +1

    Thank you sir. I am grateful. I got my concepts clear.

  • @CADarpanJain
    @CADarpanJain Рік тому +3

    What a Legend! What a Legend!

  • @Bhavyagandhi_9
    @Bhavyagandhi_9 2 роки тому +8

    This is a Masterpiece🔥The way you explained the formula of VAR and its derivation step by step is fabulous.
    The doubts regarding Z score and Normal distribution table are totally cleared. Hats off to you sir 🙏🙌
    A BIG THANK YOU FOR THIS AMAZING LECTURE 🙌🙌

  • @khushigoyal7981
    @khushigoyal7981 23 дні тому +1

    Radhe Radhe ❤

  • @venkateshpareek4956
    @venkateshpareek4956 2 роки тому +2

    Security Analysis 1:02:55

  • @mayankgupta7936
    @mayankgupta7936 Рік тому +3

    Hatts off to your efforts

  • @NikithaPJain
    @NikithaPJain Рік тому

    1:38:35 Levels of market efficiency

  • @StudyBuddy-333
    @StudyBuddy-333 3 місяці тому

    1:03:00 Security Analysis

  • @rupesh8472
    @rupesh8472 Рік тому +1

    Sir, Thankyou so much for helping us to complete these topics in a very crisp way , tq sir.

  • @VishalBansal-h7f
    @VishalBansal-h7f Рік тому +2

    Radhe Radhe🙏

  • @kevindebruyne3552
    @kevindebruyne3552 3 місяці тому +3

    WOW never found standard normal distribution table concept explained so simply, will never forget this in my life
    Your conceptual clarity is on another level + you convey it so clearly as well

  • @RajshekarIengar
    @RajshekarIengar 2 роки тому +2

    Thank you so much Sir
    Radhe Radhe🙏

  • @Sweety-kt7lj
    @Sweety-kt7lj 3 місяці тому +1

    Best Concept Clarity

  • @ca_arjunmanoj9303
    @ca_arjunmanoj9303 2 роки тому +4

    Thank you so much Bhai❤🙏, You Both are doing your level Best💯💯Take Care of your Health Bhai👍

  • @sakshijain5857
    @sakshijain5857 Рік тому +1

    Sir no one like uhh...sir u r great sir... thank you so much sir.....🥺🙏🙏

  • @varunkumarvijjapu7055
    @varunkumarvijjapu7055 Рік тому

    Sir in board book for sigma there is a lengthy formula can we use your mue-1 *mue-2 formula there.will marks me deducted?

  • @Futurecanegi
    @Futurecanegi Рік тому +1

    Very beautifully explained risk management

  • @nimishaarora6523
    @nimishaarora6523 4 місяці тому +1

    Sir u are amazing ❤thanks for everything

  • @hgamer9497
    @hgamer9497 9 місяців тому

    Sir, if direct right shares value and right factor nikala without formula writing to chalta h na

  • @nandinidhall2749
    @nandinidhall2749 Рік тому +1

    Thank u sir...🙏God bless u😇

  • @lusiferrefisul2580
    @lusiferrefisul2580 Рік тому +1

    GURUJI FOUNDATION MAI NORMAL DISTRIBUTION BOUNCER GAYA AAB AAPNE HOOK KHELNA SIKHA DIYA AAB TO BAS BALL AYE DEEP BACKWARD POINT PAR SIX HI MARUNGA........

  • @memories2277
    @memories2277 5 місяців тому +1

    You are literally a darling ✨

  • @parthrajsinh5869
    @parthrajsinh5869 26 днів тому

    1:02:56 sec. Analysis

  • @kishu4601
    @kishu4601 Рік тому +4

    1st time I understood

  • @vaibhavmittal1120
    @vaibhavmittal1120 21 день тому

    I will be appearing in May 2025 and will surely score exemption in may 25 because of you...

  • @arpitasaraf4475
    @arpitasaraf4475 3 місяці тому

    EMA 1:20:00
    AUTO CORRELATION LAST 6 MINS

  • @cashivaniagarwal124
    @cashivaniagarwal124 Рік тому +1

    DOUBT: Z-score ya probability calculate karke usko 4 decimals tak lenge ye aapne round off wale video mai bataya tha. My doubt is kya wo 4 decimals ko as it is lenge ya unke aage ke number ke hisab se round off karke?
    Eg.: 0.280384 ko 0.2803 lenge ya 0.2804?

    • @nightmaregaming2378
      @nightmaregaming2378 Рік тому +2

      If 5th digit greater than 5...round off the 4th digit.. Vice versa so take 0.2804

  • @ankitthakkar26
    @ankitthakkar26 Рік тому +1

    Thank you so much sirjii🙏

  • @paruljain4899
    @paruljain4899 2 роки тому +2

    Wowwwwww thanku sir🙏🙏

  • @kshytyj
    @kshytyj 3 місяці тому

    Curve explanation 23:05
    And 27:26

  • @shilpakaturde5677
    @shilpakaturde5677 9 місяців тому +1

    Thank you so much Sir ❤

  • @CA_Mansi
    @CA_Mansi 9 місяців тому +1

    Thank you so much ❤❤❤

  • @shivamwarwadkar4107
    @shivamwarwadkar4107 Рік тому +2

    Thank You Sirji

  • @divyankgyanchandani2506
    @divyankgyanchandani2506 2 роки тому +3

    Thanks a lot !!

  • @harishr6685
    @harishr6685 2 роки тому +1

    Simply outstanding 👍👍👍👍👍

  • @pranayganganclasses
    @pranayganganclasses 10 місяців тому +1

    Wow , Literally wow

  • @aishwaryamoyal12
    @aishwaryamoyal12 Рік тому +1

    Thank you so much for such a great revision.

  • @priyankawadhwa1421
    @priyankawadhwa1421 9 місяців тому

    1:00:02 var formula

  • @myyttales6235
    @myyttales6235 9 місяців тому +1

    Thanku so much sir❤