you shouldn't joke about addiction unless you're going through "trump cards" for the second time. like some of us. no of course not me, a friend of mine. definitely not me.
Your videos are so good. I don't even play the game anymore but I keep watching your content because you're such a good entertainer. Congratulations to you and the other people who work with you to make this channel what it is.
@@Jarczenko Or most probably you just got lucky and drafted a really good deck and had luck that the opponent's didn't draw their answers. A single 12 wins doesn't really prove anything about an entire mode's meta. There is also the chance that you're simply a pathetic kid/teen lying for fictional internet bragging points, but I will trust you really won 12 at arena with DH on the day you posted this time.
28:00 It's about 50-50 for the missiles alone to clear... but if you fail, then you just trade the 2/3 anyways. In that case, you'd miss out on 1 face damage (the single hit that didn't kill the 7/2) The real question is if it can reliably clear the 4/1... trade first would require 4 face hits to miss it = ~6% chance. Missiles first would need to hit face at least 3 times and the 4rth be either the 7/2 or face again = ~8% chance. (If any 2 missiles hit minions, then the 2/3 can finish the job) The missiles first was worth the risk. It's almost the same odds of failing the clear, but gives you a good (~50%) chance to save the 2/3. The only real downside is that failing that 50-50 loses the 1 face damage. Later he brings up the odds to clear... that only happens if you "miss" face at least 3 times. If your first shot hits face (1/3), then you need all the others to miss (30% chance). If your first shot misses face (2/3), then you have about a 50% chance to finish the job. That puts the odds of a clear at about 44%
There's a calculator for this. Google arcane missile calculator. Trump's intuition math falls a bit shy. It's 43% to kill both minions with 4 missiles. 84% to at least kill the 1 health minion. 54% to kill the 2 health minion. After trading it's 94% to kill the 1 health minion. If he missiles before attacking he has a 43% chance to save the 2/3 and hit face for 2. Ah @sirxmas already did the calculations. *cough nerd!*
@@obesechicken13 You missed one stat there... killing either of the minions still lets him trade - so even in the 16% where he doesn't kill the 1hp minion, he sometimes kills the 2hp minion. Missiles before trading is a 92% chance to clear.
1:30 THE GLOAT MAN!!! But yeah trump don't take everyone's comments too seriously. They only pick on your ratings because you actually bother to rate each card which gives them a tangible way to judge you. Your ratings are not only (mostly) correct, but also very entertaining to watch
27:48 Not casting arcane missiles first because it “only” had a 40-something percent chance to kill everything is the wrong percentage to even be considering there. If the arcane missiles killed one minion he’d be in the exact same situation of having to trade his 2/3 so that’d be perfectly fine. What he should have calculated is the chance that arcane missiles kills NOTHING. Which is fairly easy, there’s only two ways that happens. Either: All four missiles go face - 1/3 ^4 =1.23% chance. Or one missile hits the two health minion and the rest go face - 1/3 ^4 again but then multiplied by 4 for the four different missiles (I.e. only the first missile hits the two health, or only the second, etc) = 4.9% chance. So in total only a 6.1% chance for a bad outcome, ~50% chance for one minion to die and having to trade the 2/3, and ~44% chance of a great outcome of killing everything and keeping his 2/3 around.
@@ruukinen You mean at the matches that he won anyway lol? The matches that he lost were decided by pure bullshit RNG on discovered by/ transformed by and power of cards. On the last match that random BS Ysera plus he didn't getting basically any of his late game cards was his demise.
Reckful lost a very important match because of missing lethal. which he got bullied for for long time. he is sad because reckful is sadly not with us anymore
@@Arthera0 Gotcha. Thank you for clarifying I knew what happened to Reckful recently so I was really confused when he brought him up. I genuinely really appreciate it.
@@baldawen It's not even a 'fact' according to Azerothic. It would be correct to say that he didn't use it on this entire run, which wasn't even that surprising since it was quick considering the number of matches, by the way.
as some people already said, adding like 20 minutes of spoiler proof black screen would actually hurt trump's youtube analitycs, as watch time is really important, if you have an 1 hour video and 20 minutes of spoiler proofing everyone would leave after the hour and this would leave 20% of the video unwatched, hope you could understand what im trying to say
man , what a low-roll arena, all 3 losses were against truly insane decks. the hunter, that crazy lifesteal warlock, and that Ysera taunt buff madness warrior...i don't blame you, trump!
Lightforge but it's not a great idea to use it. It may influence your picks too much while HA is much better. In cases where there is difference between those 2 and you don't have your own opinion 9/10 you picking HA advice. You can have some very slight advantage from using both but you need to be around infinite level otherwise it will harm you more than help. Trump is having both just for flex =D
Arena is insane right now. I had lethal on board against a Shaman that topdecked Dragonqueen Alex and pulled a Nozari. The next turn I played Tirion and he got topdeck hexed. Then got destroyed by Kalecgos (also pulled off Alex). Next game I lost to a mage that played a Malygos on turn 9 and topdecked pyroblast for lethal
29:30 missed lethal lol. Azure drake and other spell damage minion make the fireball and frostbolt deal a total of 15 + hero power for 16. Edit: paused the video to type this and realised that he also realised upon continuing to watch. Silly boy trump..
HearthArena and Lightforge, they’re websites that offer companion apps you can install which give you card ratings based on win statistics, essentially telling you which cards are the best picks
This was a really good draft.. It could have easily gone 12 I think. This meta is just really hard to play in arena right now because most of the players who play now are experienced.
I mean, it's pretty difficult to say that a deck could easily go 12, as going 12 is extremely difficult. Even with the most insane deck, it still would be hard to go 12 for most players.
Dude I hope you trolling =DDD 95%+ of infiniters back from year ago is not playing arena anymore. There are almost no good players at arena left =D It's just kindergarten. All big boys packed their toys and said sayonara already long time ago. Edit. Idk maybe sth have changed in very last weeks but i have huuuuuge doubts.
@@DonFreeq What? Arena is only populated by sharks who love that mode lol. Most common/new people don't even PLAY arena, it just sucks as a mode due to being decided on 'discovered/transformed by' shenanigans and costing gold/cash to try.
@@Willowisp927 Well you are mistaken sir. Almost all sharks are gone. You don't have anymore guys with 7.5+ lifetime and very little infiniters. Mostly they retired. Whenever i decide to jump into arena for checking things out i feel disgusted with overall skill lvl from players. It's waaaaaay below from what was normal in better times. Oh and btw. if you were good in old times you wasn't paying cash/gold to play arena. You was paid to play it. A little bit of difference in my mind. Nowadays it's much less like this but still...
Trump: "Draw is better than Discover" Ratings: "Steward of Scrolls is better than Big Ol' Whelp" I think most would agree that +1/+1 is better than Spell Damage +1, which is bad news for Trump's opinion...
Getting a spell, ie: a fast answer can be really good, especially in a set with all the powerful spellburst effects, so I think in this context, the spell guarantee is worth the +1/+1.
Well, you are right that in constructed it would be better to draw a card, than to discover a spell however in arena where you are forced to take some bad minions, discovering a mage spell is quite a bit better than drawing a card.
Card advantage knowledge have nothing to do with playing zoo, it was the right to do if you're high on health on arena where a single card can flip the table or spot lethal. Maybe that's why he is a 1000 win Gul'dan and you're apparently not lol.
yeah bro, drawing last is a bad play in any deck, don't try to defend him, he just spammed zoo and got the wins, no shame in that, unless you are him? *plot twist*
@@baldawen Yeah mb, I watched until the end before commenting and must've misremembered. Also mistyped in the calculator, apparently. Actual Percentages: [All Face] = (1/3)^4 = 1,2% [3 Face, 1 into wrong minion] = 4*(1/3)^4 = 4,8% [Worst-case outcome] = 6%
So... I was inspired by your run to try Arena myself... Managed to beat your score!! By getting like a 0 win clown fiesta... Got wrecked so badly by RNG...
Yea arena is pretty trash right now. Playing against mages who somehow legit have 3 puzzle boxes in their deck while also having 5 other 7-9 drops is just fucking stupid. Especially when ive gotten to the point where the rule is if you see a high cost card you take it, but the game only offers me 2..... fun game, so interactive and well balanced....
some random dude in twitch chat: arena leans towards value right now
trump: *it's free real estate*
Yesss, I was suffering Trump hearthstone withdrawal
you shouldn't joke about addiction unless you're going through "trump cards" for the second time. like some of us. no of course not me, a friend of mine. definitely not me.
Finally a term that accurately describe my situation haha
The napkin math was very accurate, the actually odds are 43.5% chance to clear both minions.
Trump, gets excited about keymaster Alabaster.
Also Trump, draws it once and never gets to play it.
Feelsbadman
11:52 Two randomly generated POLYGOS?!
AND a kalecmorph
Lmao these two comments😂
"Keymaster Alabaster, only a disaster if the meta is faster" - Trump 2020
He's a spiritual lyrical miracle individual!
can only be better when trump rhymes like a master! 5:30
Your videos are so good. I don't even play the game anymore but I keep watching your content because you're such a good entertainer. Congratulations to you and the other people who work with you to make this channel what it is.
"What if I am better than the typical player?"
OK, but what if not?
Usually how these videos go 😂
Lmao got 12 with dh today, people focus on value too much when you can just go f a c e
@@Jarczenko Or most probably you just got lucky and drafted a really good deck and had luck that the opponent's didn't draw their answers. A single 12 wins doesn't really prove anything about an entire mode's meta.
There is also the chance that you're simply a pathetic kid/teen lying for fictional internet bragging points, but I will trust you really won 12 at arena with DH on the day you posted this time.
@@Willowisp927 yes I am pathetic kid who plays hs since 2014 and had 12 many times, Once 12 wins two times in a row, wanna screens or sth?
I love how often him thinking he's some gaming super genius bites him in the butt
28:00 It's about 50-50 for the missiles alone to clear... but if you fail, then you just trade the 2/3 anyways. In that case, you'd miss out on 1 face damage (the single hit that didn't kill the 7/2)
The real question is if it can reliably clear the 4/1... trade first would require 4 face hits to miss it = ~6% chance. Missiles first would need to hit face at least 3 times and the 4rth be either the 7/2 or face again = ~8% chance. (If any 2 missiles hit minions, then the 2/3 can finish the job)
The missiles first was worth the risk. It's almost the same odds of failing the clear, but gives you a good (~50%) chance to save the 2/3. The only real downside is that failing that 50-50 loses the 1 face damage.
Later he brings up the odds to clear... that only happens if you "miss" face at least 3 times. If your first shot hits face (1/3), then you need all the others to miss (30% chance). If your first shot misses face (2/3), then you have about a 50% chance to finish the job. That puts the odds of a clear at about 44%
There's a calculator for this. Google arcane missile calculator. Trump's intuition math falls a bit shy. It's 43% to kill both minions with 4 missiles. 84% to at least kill the 1 health minion. 54% to kill the 2 health minion. After trading it's 94% to kill the 1 health minion.
If he missiles before attacking he has a 43% chance to save the 2/3 and hit face for 2.
Ah @sirxmas already did the calculations. *cough nerd!*
@@obesechicken13 You missed one stat there... killing either of the minions still lets him trade - so even in the 16% where he doesn't kill the 1hp minion, he sometimes kills the 2hp minion.
Missiles before trading is a 92% chance to clear.
"Mage is number 1"
*gestures two fingers*
Never drew the key master :(
Last turn of game 3
0:24 Watcherino Drafterino
5:43 Skipperino Drafterino
Why would anyone want to skip Trump drafting for arena???!!!
How do I upgrade my hearthstone deck tracker to reflect both lightforge and heartharena?
Finally I can rest easy.
Flareytail I haven’t been able to sleep all week!
I agree xD
How did he never draw keymaster?
lol
24:18
5:30 Trump begins his rhyme rap
Shame it never hit the board.
1:30 THE GLOAT MAN!!!
But yeah trump don't take everyone's comments too seriously. They only pick on your ratings because you actually bother to rate each card which gives them a tangible way to judge you. Your ratings are not only (mostly) correct, but also very entertaining to watch
That Warlock game was disgusting. Now I see why people hate Lackeys. Darkest Hour with that board in arena is insane.
Trump. I cannot sleep without your voice. I’m not joking. I love the long form content :]
Actually same
it's nuts how many people use Trump as a sleeping aid, I've been doing it for years
I like putting on reaaally old trump videos before bed. right now it's TGT F2P
@@Tottosmile wow, I thought I was the only one
@@francemaster haha fair, but his old videos are so calm and soothing so it makes sense... and I find the hearthstone sounds to be calming as well
0:55 Jaina looking like she is about to spit some fire into Trump's microphone XD
Dont worry trump, anyone's first time can be a disaster, at least you did it at school
... Ew?
You sure went there.
I’m not proud of you
Talking about napkin math while missing lethal on the board is pure poetry.
Ah yes, the classic 1 hour arena runs
I love these soo much
KEYMASTA ALABASTA
Trumps run this video: 1 Star
What Hearthstone extension is he using in this video?
27:48 Not casting arcane missiles first because it “only” had a 40-something percent chance to kill everything is the wrong percentage to even be considering there. If the arcane missiles killed one minion he’d be in the exact same situation of having to trade his 2/3 so that’d be perfectly fine. What he should have calculated is the chance that arcane missiles kills NOTHING. Which is fairly easy, there’s only two ways that happens. Either: All four missiles go face - 1/3 ^4 =1.23% chance. Or one missile hits the two health minion and the rest go face - 1/3 ^4 again but then multiplied by 4 for the four different missiles (I.e. only the first missile hits the two health, or only the second, etc) = 4.9% chance. So in total only a 6.1% chance for a bad outcome, ~50% chance for one minion to die and having to trade the 2/3, and ~44% chance of a great outcome of killing everything and keeping his 2/3 around.
I hope he sees this bro
He lost half the matches to not going face with both fireball and frostbolt in hand with spellpower minions on board.
If he trades first and then missiles there's still a 6% chance the X/1 survives the missiles so there's still a 6% chance of a bad outcome.
@@ruukinen he played horrifically. Obsessed with control and value instead
@@ruukinen You mean at the matches that he won anyway lol? The matches that he lost were decided by pure bullshit RNG on discovered by/ transformed by and power of cards. On the last match that random BS Ysera plus he didn't getting basically any of his late game cards was his demise.
Yo, what's the app he's using to suggest card picks?
Lightforge and HearthArena. He did mention them though
I already watched this on Twitch, I just wanted to see that sick Darkest Hour play again.
Timestamp?
@@johannsebastiantoirac7652 40:12
@@albertmolina8186 thank you! Yikes! That was painful to watch
@@johannsebastiantoirac7652 40:32 my friend
I love both Among Us and Hearthstone and Trump has it all, i would love more of both!
30:00 What do you mean you pulled a reckful?
Reckful lost a very important match because of missing lethal. which he got bullied for for long time. he is sad because reckful is sadly not with us anymore
@@Arthera0 Gotcha. Thank you for clarifying I knew what happened to Reckful recently so I was really confused when he brought him up. I genuinely really appreciate it.
Bad taste joke but
Reckful didn't miss lethal his last attempt at least
@@kodaction6511 that's an unpleasant thing to say
@@kodaction6511 Damn that's dark. I like it.
43:40 the Scorpid gained stealth! The value! No wonder he lost.
fun fact: he never drew keymastah Alabashtah this entire run
That is a lie, he drew it the moment he had lethal on that warlock
that's not a "fun" fact, that's a sad fact
@@baldawen It's not even a 'fact' according to Azerothic. It would be correct to say that he didn't use it on this entire run, which wasn't even that surprising since it was quick considering the number of matches, by the way.
What kind of arena tools is he using? Like it assisted him with score and all on each of the card?
He told in video. Lighforge and Heartharena.
You had lethal at 29:21 with fireball + frost bolt + fireblast. With your +3 spell damage on the board and fireblast you have exactly 16 damage.
Nice to have my monthly 1 video of Trump HS. See you in September for your next upload!
Finally a new Trump Hearthstone video. Nice.
could you put in the antispoiler endscreen again? really liked it!
as some people already said, adding like 20 minutes of spoiler proof black screen would actually hurt trump's youtube analitycs, as watch time is really important, if you have an 1 hour video and 20 minutes of spoiler proofing everyone would leave after the hour and this would leave 20% of the video unwatched, hope you could understand what im trying to say
man , what a low-roll arena, all 3 losses were against truly insane decks. the hunter, that crazy lifesteal warlock, and that Ysera taunt buff madness warrior...i don't blame you, trump!
He bigtime came out swinging. I mean he missed the punches, but he swung.
What is the application called which Trump use to indentify card values in arena? Thank you
How is Trump right about tour guide, when its played in face hunter, warlorck and totem shaman? Also pain warlorck and odd decks in wild.
46:05 Only true rope masters like trump can fling pens like that under pressure.
Whats that addon?
Can anyone point me to the overlay he uses that shows both Lightforge and Heartharena?
I think if you just look it you ll find it
There is a video from it.
Here you go: m.ua-cam.com/video/dQw4w9WgXcQ/v-deo.html
Can someone explain to me what is that arena addon that gived winrate on cards? Sorry I'm new
what does he use for arena ?
what is that program
need answers
Here you go pham
www.heartharena.com/overwolf
Wait, when did Arena go back to just being the Standard sets? I haven't played it in forever.
only had the heartharena tool to use what tool is he using?
Lightforge but it's not a great idea to use it. It may influence your picks too much while HA is much better. In cases where there is difference between those 2 and you don't have your own opinion 9/10 you picking HA advice. You can have some very slight advantage from using both but you need to be around infinite level otherwise it will harm you more than help. Trump is having both just for flex =D
@@DonFreeq very cool thanks much appreciated for the reply.
Arena is insane right now. I had lethal on board against a Shaman that topdecked Dragonqueen Alex and pulled a Nozari. The next turn I played Tirion and he got topdeck hexed. Then got destroyed by Kalecgos (also pulled off Alex). Next game I lost to a mage that played a Malygos on turn 9 and topdecked pyroblast for lethal
What is your lifetime avg. may I ask? i want to somewhat verify what does "insane" in reality means.
1:29
Isn't tour guide played in Warlock?
What deck tracker does trump use?
Sometimes I want to give Trump a hug because *hes a cute chonker*
I only did 1 arena this xpac and just made a super aggressive demon hunter and did great Had no idea the meta was thought to be value oriented.
I miss the arena having rotating sets ):
29:30 missed lethal lol. Azure drake and other spell damage minion make the fireball and frostbolt deal a total of 15 + hero power for 16.
Edit: paused the video to type this and realised that he also realised upon continuing to watch. Silly boy trump..
what app is trump using to aid in his draft ?
I was mad at Trump for missing that delicious lethal, but then I was just sad for Trump for those gross opponents.
hsreplay has Mage at dead last for their arena class tier list on their front page, what's the deal here?
What are these ratings? HA? LF? Can someone explain pls?
HearthArena and Lightforge, they’re websites that offer companion apps you can install which give you card ratings based on win statistics, essentially telling you which cards are the best picks
@@tomfa1380 thank you!!
I believe you guys should explain properly. You basically only explained HALF of it...
*sick beat playing*
KEYMASTA ALABASTA
What's the name of the tool he uses to choose cards ? it doesn't seem like HearthArena at all.
When he was drafting it sounded like the FATE village theme
The plagued protodrake is piloted shredder on steroids, it is always the best pick
4:35 KEYMASTAH ALABASTAH
And it went exactly how you would expect a Trump arena would go.
i noticed this too that, after the first 3 wins arena gets stupid
Trump's probability estimations kill me deep down
That 4th game was so painfull to watch. he had a malygos in play for like 3 turns and did nothing jesus trump never change
That darkest hour was disgusting
"keymasta alabasta, only a disasta when the meta is fasta"
29:56 ;_; The fucking feels man
Bless!!!! Hearthstone trump is back
Created by 2: It's Personal Now
5:30 Eminem nervous
32:30 missed pen flinger lethal, shame.
This was a really good draft.. It could have easily gone 12 I think. This meta is just really hard to play in arena right now because most of the players who play now are experienced.
I mean, it's pretty difficult to say that a deck could easily go 12, as going 12 is extremely difficult. Even with the most insane deck, it still would be hard to go 12 for most players.
Dude I hope you trolling =DDD
95%+ of infiniters back from year ago is not playing arena anymore. There are almost no good players at arena left =D
It's just kindergarten. All big boys packed their toys and said sayonara already long time ago.
Edit. Idk maybe sth have changed in very last weeks but i have huuuuuge doubts.
@@DonFreeq What? Arena is only populated by sharks who love that mode lol. Most common/new people don't even PLAY arena, it just sucks as a mode due to being decided on 'discovered/transformed by' shenanigans and costing gold/cash to try.
@@Willowisp927 Well you are mistaken sir. Almost all sharks are gone. You don't have anymore guys with 7.5+ lifetime and very little infiniters. Mostly they retired.
Whenever i decide to jump into arena for checking things out i feel disgusted with overall skill lvl from players. It's waaaaaay below from what was normal in better times.
Oh and btw. if you were good in old times you wasn't paying cash/gold to play arena. You was paid to play it. A little bit of difference in my mind. Nowadays it's much less like this but still...
Trump: "Draw is better than Discover"
Ratings: "Steward of Scrolls is better than Big Ol' Whelp"
I think most would agree that +1/+1 is better than Spell Damage +1, which is bad news for Trump's opinion...
Getting a spell, ie: a fast answer can be really good, especially in a set with all the powerful spellburst effects, so I think in this context, the spell guarantee is worth the +1/+1.
Draw is better in Constructed and Discover is better in Arena.
Well, you are right that in constructed it would be better to draw a card, than to discover a spell however in arena where you are forced to take some bad minions, discovering a mage spell is quite a bit better than drawing a card.
what is this arena addon thou
1000+ wins warlock taps last ~ 35:00
dude probably just played zoo all his life
edit: he keeps doing it turn after turn it's so painful
Card advantage knowledge have nothing to do with playing zoo, it was the right to do if you're high on health on arena where a single card can flip the table or spot lethal. Maybe that's why he is a 1000 win Gul'dan and you're apparently not lol.
yeah bro, drawing last is a bad play in any deck, don't try to defend him, he just spammed zoo and got the wins, no shame in that, unless you are him? *plot twist*
Is this a new gamemode
28:00 But the only bad outcome here is killing nothing, right? That comes out to waaaay less then 50%
In fact that is only a 6% cance
@@XFeuerFestX all going face is (1/3)^4 Where did you get 1/4 from? There are 3 possible targets, not 4.
@@baldawen Yeah mb, I watched until the end before commenting and must've misremembered. Also mistyped in the calculator, apparently.
Actual Percentages:
[All Face] = (1/3)^4 = 1,2%
[3 Face, 1 into wrong minion] = 4*(1/3)^4 = 4,8%
[Worst-case outcome] = 6%
Will key master ever see play? The world may never know
30:10 too soon
You mean 29:59, and what do you mean by too soon?
Going 3/3 is unironically a highroll for me. You guys should thank me for helping you go infinite really
I am enjoying watching you play Among Us. It'd be fun to watch you play it with other Hearthstone streamers.
The arena meta is so slow that I think it just comes down to your card values added together and whoever has better cards outvalues and wins
so the meta is based around value what has trump been called again and if you go to his home page what are his friends called
No Keymaster Alabaster were played.. extreme disappointment
So... I was inspired by your run to try Arena myself... Managed to beat your score!! By getting like a 0 win clown fiesta... Got wrecked so badly by RNG...
My fist disaster was coining a backstab to kill a leper gnome on turn 1
5:30 is why we watch
how is no one talking about how he missed lethal 29:20
I can't watch this. YOU HAVE +3 SPELL POWER!!
I feel you Trump.❤
The warrior hovering over his cards is so distracting
Tour guide is really nuts in odd paladin.
Trump got taken to value town in that last game
Yea arena is pretty trash right now. Playing against mages who somehow legit have 3 puzzle boxes in their deck while also having 5 other 7-9 drops is just fucking stupid. Especially when ive gotten to the point where the rule is if you see a high cost card you take it, but the game only offers me 2..... fun game, so interactive and well balanced....
More arena on UA-cam, please
@Trump, please address how Blizzard's new Battle Pass system will hurt both the players and the game.