100 TO 1 IN THE STOCK MARKET (BY THOMAS PHELPS)
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- Опубліковано 4 чер 2024
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For those of us that do not possess massive wealth-generating talents, such as writing extremely relatable music, leading and inspiring thousands of people in an organization, or being able to take hundreds of punches to your head, investing is probably the greatest road to riches. And if there’s one area within investing where the mathematics are truly month-watering, it’s when you are looking for stocks that can return 100-to-1.
$10,000 invested in a single 100-to-1 stock will turn you into a millionaire. The Home Depot would have given you millionaire status since 1991. Microsoft since 1995, Amazon since 2002, Apple since 2005 and companies like NVIDIA and Celsius have managed to do it even quicker.
Now maybe you are thinking “sure, if I had some bacon I’d have some bacon and eggs if I had some eggs”. Many of us may not have $10,000 laying around, and we would certainly not be willing to invest them in a single company if we did. But the mathematics are impressive with a thousand or a few hundred dollars too. Just consider that if you invest in 100 stocks and just one of them makes 100x, all the other 99 can go to 0 and you’d still break even. It’s difficult to find a 100-to-1 stock, but so is picking 99 companies out of 100 that all go to 0. In fact, I know some hedge funds that would pay your weight in gold in case you can accomplish that.
The Home Depot, Microsoft. Amazon, Apple, NVIDIA and Celcius are success stories of the past though. Peter Minuit bought the whole of Manhattan for just $24 worth of trinkets back in the 1600s, but of course, you and I have to operate in today’s market, so let’s dive in and try to understand how we can catch the next 100-to-1 stock.
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My main tool for fundamental screening and analysis of stocks: tikr.com/tsi
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Timestamps for 100 to 1 in the Stock Market:
00:00 Intro
02:14 Four Situations
04:51 Two Seriously Important Questions
07:17 The Power of P/E
10:22 The Fallacies of P/E
12:34 Why I Have No 100 to 1 Stocks
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My goal with this channel is to help you make more money and improve your personal finances. How to become a millionaire? There are many ways to get there - investing in the stock market, becoming a stock trader, doing real estate investing, or why not becoming an entrepreneur? But whether you are interested in how to invest in stocks or investing strategies for creating passive income with rental properties - I hope to be able to provide you with a solution (or at least an idea) here. Warren Buffett - the greatest investor of our time - says that you should fill your mind with competing ideas and then see what makes sense to you. This channel is about filling your mind with those ideas. And in the process - upgrading your money-making toolbox.
This is one of those channels that when he uploads, my unconsciousness takes over and clicks the video before I can act.
This is one of my top 2. Financial / stock market channel on UA-cam
This channel is absolute pure gold, both in presentation and in information
Cheers Sonny Antoine, I appreciate the support a ton!
@@TheSwedishInvestoris there a discord from your channel where we can hang out and talk/chat investments? Would be cool honestly, I think the community here is very nice for a long time
This channel is 100 to 1. 👏A real gold mine.
Much love!
@@TheSwedishInvestor Hi Erik, I emailed you about three weeks ago asking your opinion about a stock screener. When you get the time, please reply. Thanks. I can re-send the email if you want. 🌎
1) You don't have to look specifically for 100 to 1 stocks. You just have to look for companies that have the potential to grow tremendously. There is no way you can forecast whether a company will return 100 to 1. However, you can forecast that a company has the potential grow sales and profits over time, and will thus be a profitable investment. 2) Achieving 100 to 1 results is dependent on holding your positions long enough. The only absolute guarantee in investing is that you will never have a 100 to 1 stock if you take always profits when a stock gets to 2 to 1, or 10 to 1, or 30 to 1 or appears to be overvalued. 3) If you can't handle a highly concentrated portfolio where most of your portfolio is in only 2 or 3 stocks, you'll never be able to hold a stock until it hits 100 to 1. The reason I wrote 2 or 3 stocks rather than 1 is that by the time one of your stocks achieves 100 to 1, you will probably also have one or two that are at least 50 to one and another that is at least 30 to one. Most positions will have just average results and at least one will be a huge loss. 4) I've never had a 100 to 1 stock because I've always sold too soon. However, looking back on my investment career, had I never sold any of the stocks I bought, by now one would be over 100 to 1, one would be over 70 to 1, one over 60 to 1, one over 30 to 1, one over 20 to 1 and two over 10 to 1. I think there was only 1 would have gone to zero. I focused on companies that I though had the potential to grow tremendously. I did not focus, at all, on "a margin of safety." Consider this, if you had paid twice as much for a stock that achieved 100 to 1, you'd still have a 50 to 1 return! Great stocks rarely look fairly priced. At the time I bought them, I had never even heard of the 100 to 1 goal so it didn't even enter my mind. The three concepts that will prevent you from ever having a 100 to 1 stock, each so popular that it is by now accepted "wisdom" are A) You never go broke taking a profit, B) Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered, and 3) you must have a diversified portfolio. Ignore them.
I wish l could find you sir lol.
We don’t pronounce the “T” in Home Depot.
You LISTENED to the video carefully, you deserve a BUFFET , or GOURMET food.
Yes, it comes from France, where they don't pronounce the final t.
Remember the one golden principle of statistic is "regression to the mean". I do not see that the earning alone can justify the speculative market value of the company beginning with a capital letter of N.
I think the formula in intelligent investor is really important in calculating intrinsic value of stocks, free cash flow is also important
There is. Number 1 is stop listening to UA-cam tips to guide your finances.
Hii i am from India
Loved you video
First time watching it and already subscribe to your channel
Yes! Get rid of the bots. I was getting worried when I hadn’t seen a video in weeks :). Fantastic channel
3rd. Read the book already. Great book. I think Charlie read it too.
Erik my G, you really need to have a mod or somethimg to block these fking bots in your comment section
100 to 1 in knowledge for time spent. I still can't believe I found such a wonderful channel.
Argentina 🇦🇷 ❤wins against India 🇮🇳 in every soccer 🥅 ⚽️ match.
Thanks
Great video! Very clear, very entertaining and very useful. Many thanks.
It is an interesting book and timepiece - I do feel that it is slightly outdated and simplified. Still worth a read to see how value investing and investing in general has been evolving.
very good explanation. Thank you very much
nice video, keep going the good work
all your videos are absolutely amazing ! very clear, simple, fun , always on the key points ! thanks!
Thank you
very nice !
Great video as always.
Since we found this channel, we watch all the videos, and to be honest we have already read most of the books that that you recommended in some of your videos, even the very old ones. Thanks and keep it up
Great video as always! Would love to see your personal 5 Takeaways of what you learned from all your previous videos.
I mostly hold good dividend payers in my pension plan (including home depot) and don't worry about daily price changes.
The hole in the ground owned by a liar is mentioned by Munger, but originally from Mark Twain 🙂Super channel by the way!
🔥🔥🔥
Appreciate
you are my intelligent investor bruh!
Thank you for this video. Any insights about Roblox?
This is one of my top 2. Financial / stock market channel on UA-cam
happy I found u 2 years ago
when I will be financal free I will come visit in sweden
Great summary very interesting info about comparing PE ratio evaluation
Thank you for sharing with us, your video was also very helpful in allowing me to visualise the topic.
If you are not getting any regular check from the company, then you are not part owner. You are simply a sponsor.
Would you make video on TelaDoc company TDOC about their moat in sector , based on earnings, revenue and PE
Hello sir,
I absolutely liked the video, and the way your teaching us if i can say that. I have a question witch is where can i start ? Can you please give me this advice ? By where i mean how ? After i watched your video it get me thinking of trying stocks. But i don't know where to start ! I am a student and i have some saved money, and i was think of, starting using it in such a way to balance the value lost with inflation. What do you think ?
Thank you for all the personnes who will read this and maybe gived and advice !
And one more think, like and subscribe the the channel !
Great video as usual, love the humour you put in your videos it helps make the content easier to understand!
That quote you ascribe to Charlie Munger is actually from Mark Twain.
I have really miss your video
Just opened eyes. A cup of coffee and a new video from you @Swedish Investor. Perfect Monday morning🎉
Yeah second that & I'll take another💯☕️
Haha, cheers Dimitar Ivanov! Glad to hear it :)
$WKHS is my 100 to 1 pick.
Good info. Thx.
BTW: in terms of picking good stocks not very many of us have the sharp analytical brain as the likes of Warren Buffet.
I made many 10-times and 35-times baggers during the pandemic... too bad i was diversified and my returns didnt allow me to retire :P
Good morning
If a company stops their R&D they probably will lack their competitors in the future.
Hey, great video! :)
I don't agree with you on the R&D point. Most companies, like Nvidia, are running thanks to their R&D. If Nvidia were to cut their R&D by 100%, you'd get your 11.7, no doubt. But that would be extremely short term and the price would probably reflect that immediately. What do you think?
I was going to comment the same thing on R&D. It really depends on the company. NVDA needs to constantly innovate in order to stay compatible, they can cut their R&D budget to increase earnings in the short term, but that will put them on the back foot in the long term, compared to competitors like AMD and INTL. This seems to be valid across all of the tech sector, where innovation is the way to keep your market share.
Take a company like Disney though, their value comes mostly from IP, parks and streaming - I would not expect they would need much R&D to keep those businesses running or ahead of competitors.
In short - for NVDA the high R&D budget IS their moat so to speak, without it the company would go down. This is not the case for every company so one would much rather a company that does not depend on their R&D to stay ahead.
I agree Orel Zilberman, maybe I expressed myself a little too strongly there. I don't believe that they can remove their R&D costs without implications on the business. I think the point is still valid though, someone who is spending money on R&D and everything else equal, it should be the better buy.
I believe it was Mark Twain who said that, not Munger.
🎉
Hey buddy..your videos are awesome..can I translate and publish in my mother tongue(Tamil) ..In a way it will reach wider audience and we can also partner up
Well, here is an idea to chew on:
In 1626, Minuit bought Manhattan Island for $24.00 worth of trinkets. If only the natives invested that amount of money at 8% annual return. The return today would be over $446 trillion!!! In 2021, Manhattan Island was estimated to be $1.4 trillion.
I am just saying 😁
Can you a bring a Hindi version of your channel?
Please enable speeding up the video
It'd be great if you could analyze and recommend some Swedish stocks and/or european stocks.
European stocks are very undervalued.
There will be something like this coming soon, E. T., stay tuned!
TSLA 2019
Wish you all the best in your investments 🙌🏻
Many thanks for the support handroid cool!
Very Clever use of flags of countries!
Published BOOK with
BOOK PRINTED WITH
That flag brought me here 🇮🇳
$TSLA ?? Anyone here ?? Am betting min 20X by 2030
NVIDIA shaved years off my retirement year to date, though I would’ve been a millionaire few times over if my hedge landed instead 😂 😂, I do look for 100-1 but I use very little capital, maybe 5% 10%, but I’m old to, if I was younger or old and have no portfolio, first starting out I would probably allocate 40%-50%, I mean if you do your fundo and technos, it’s not gambling 😂 😂 or you can pull a Cathy wood and pull your funds right before it blows, and yes I agree with her that NVIDIA is too heavy and will fall but that’s what the hedge is for. She lost billions pulling that capital 😂
Omg I am the first viewer 😀
Great video man 🤩
ESG... lulz. Nothing but a grift.
Thanks