MLB Best Bets, Picks, & Predictions for Today, May 17th!
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- Опубліковано 13 чер 2024
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Timecodes:
0:00 - Intro
2:28 - Wed/Thu Recap
3:24 - Good Hitter Matchups
4:16 - Good Pitcher K Matchups
6:00 - Pitcher Report
8:39 - Best Bets
14:53 - Leans
17:57 - Bets Recap - Спорт
🚨 2 MLB Added Plays & Friday RBI Props!
⚾️ Bet #3: Bryce Miller (SEA) Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (-105 on DK) *1 UNIT... Miller has been great for the Mariners this season. He has gone over this Outs prop in 6 of his last 7 starts! 3 of the last 4 games were against the Rangers, Astros, and Braves too so it's not due to easy matchups. He limits hits and walks, while striking out a bit over 1 per inning. This matchup vs the Orioles right now is actually an excellent one for Outs. No feam in the MLB has seen less pitches this season! They havent been working counts at all. They also have the 3rd highes chase rate this season. In the last 30 days, the Orioles have the 3rd LOWEST Batting Average vs RHP with a .203 Average! They have also drawn the 7th Fewest walks vs RHP in the last 30 days. For a guy in Miller, who has been efficient and has now gone over this line in 6 of his last 7 games, I love the value here for him to do it again vs a surprisingly struggling Orioles lineup right now.
⚾️ Bet #4: Max Fried (ATL) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-130 on ESPN Bet) *1 Unit... I dont know why the odds went down on this one, but I love this. I talked about it in the video, but... the Padres have a Bottom 3 Batting Average vs Lefties this season in the last 30 days. Fried is Top 10 Percentile in Hard Hit %. This Padres lineup is 13 for 63 against him, including Machado at 1 for 14. I think the Padres will have 5 or 6 guys in the lineup today with an average under .200. Fried has given up 4 Total Hits in his last 29 Innings!
Friday RBI Props (0.25 Unit Each):
⚾️ Pete Alonso (NYM) 1+ RBI (+210)
⚾️ Juan Soto (NYY) 1+ RBI (+145)
⚾️ Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 1+ RBI (+120)
Good luck everyone!
I tailed you on the Miller prop. Just lettin ya know so that if it doesn't hit, you know why. 😅😅
@@ericsmith7502 🤣 Thanks for the heads up!
@@JustABetOutside well you can blame me for this loss in the next recap if ya want. 😂😂
@@ericsmith7502 🤣 Thanks for the permission! Man, my pitchers were terribpe today! Hoping this hit parlay comes thru to salvage a win. Not a good night. MLB is so tough to predict sometimes
@@JustABetOutside honestly I think it'd be hilarious if you actually did. 😂😂
But atleast ya got in the win column in some way. I lost on that tail of Miller, and then lost on my parlay because I took the under 9 in det/az all because Detroit decided they finally wanted to hit the fucking ball after being shutout for 19 straight innings against the worst team in baseball. I figured they'd get to Nelson for a few, but I NEVER thought they'd put up 13 goddamn runs. 🤦♂️ I think I'm just gonna take the weekend off and try to reset. I been gettin my ass kicked the last few weeks. 😵
As someone who works in a sportsbook, in the state of Iowa, it’s always a pleasure to watch, listen and learn, all the insights & analytics of what you post here & I am having a lot of fun while being entertained and educating. Thanks Jabo, you rock!
Diamond Jo's?
Thanks man, I really appreciate the kind words and support! Glad you like the videos. How do you like working in a sportsbook?
Skenes, Skubal, and Wheeler alt over SO parlay.
Good looking out!
Say hey JABO from TX keep up the good work love your work 👍🏻
Thanks man, I appreciate ya! Good luck today
Thanks again for doing what you do.
You got it, thanks for the support!
The Shania Twain reference😂
Glad someone liked that! 🤣
Thanks Ryan , Stephen and Ryan helping us all to beat the Sports Books
👍 You got it my man!
Let’s win!!!
Wow, orioles are rocking Bryce miller. Doubtful to go 17.5
He only had the 1 bad inning. He came out crappy in the 1st. He got pulled before 90 pitches with only 2 outs left. That sucked... today sucks. Hoping this hitter parlay comes thru to salvage the night
Paul skenes got a bright bright future.
Big time!
My first time seeing him and enjoyed every pitch. Guess we can say he owns the cubs so far.
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Reliever Roundhouse
Mookie killed me too.
He got me too and ohtani it was ohtani bobble head night and he goes hitless
Brutal night all around for the Dodgers!
JABO
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Thank for the skenes k prop!!!
EZ 💸
You got it! 💰 I wish I made it an official bet. 🤣
Let's cash some tickets.
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Sometimes, your picks make too much sense. I always ride your more gut instict type picks.
I get it... just happy to help in any way! Good luck today
If I may make a suggestion, and I know your formula has served you well; your methodical nature. You know so much ,if you just went with your gut for 3 days or a week; every once and awhile, you'd clean up buddy.
Braaa cmon. Anyone can pick Bohm. Lets get reall. He hits every gm....
Not last time I took him for a hit figures
Am I not supposed to pick players that get hits?
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