Why Trading the Martingale Strategy is a TERRIBLE Idea

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  • Опубліковано 12 січ 2017
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    We discuss the Martingale money management strategy and explain why it's one of the most stupid money management strategies.
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 283

  • @nila781116
    @nila781116 6 років тому +15

    Your video is great. But Martingale Strategy is a powerful and proven strategy for winners, who are having talents and knowledge in trading. Martingale is not for stupid gamblers. Martingale is for intelligent traders who are having 70% win rate. Who still wants to follow Martingale even after the 5th trade loss. Then he is not a trader. He is a looser. Martingale should be used upto 4th level to recover the losses. Even 5th trade is lossed, there is a mistake in your trade decision. Trend MUST be wrong. Those who follow the trend never loose 5 consecutive trades. Martingale is to be used to recover 1st,2nd or 3rd level loses. Above 4 or 5 losses means STOP trading. Learn and trade with martingale, then you will never loss.

  • @TheNewCarryTrade
    @TheNewCarryTrade 7 років тому +51

    I'm going to have to vote this one down Nick...I have infinite money and I'm trying to double it by trading ;-)

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому +9

      haha... I think my calculator just broke.

    • @nila781116
      @nila781116 6 років тому +6

      Yes, if you have atleast 10000$ you can do martingale. start with 10$ trade. if lost 25, 60, 140, 300... thats all. if you are a real trader you should win the 300$ trade. If not stop trading for the day. Do not continue martingale upto 7th level. Only 4 level losses, then 5th trade win. If not stopvtrading for the day.

    • @slingshotviral2690
      @slingshotviral2690 5 років тому

      @@nila781116 smart ass 😂

    • @slingshotviral2690
      @slingshotviral2690 5 років тому

      @@nila781116 start with 1.5% risk

    • @chixdiggixers1240
      @chixdiggixers1240 5 років тому

      *Whether looking at entry price movements within
      a day or over a number of days on risk managing, currencies tend to have trading ranges that are wide enough to produce attractive trading opportunities at minimum risk with IQD Momentum strategy. learning prefect strategy from Lukasz Wilhelm could teach you Volatility, is necessary for a trader to make money in any market* .

  • @mattroy3154
    @mattroy3154 6 років тому +66

    I think the martingale is a really good strategy if you want to give back to the world.

  • @verkaamartis
    @verkaamartis 6 років тому +12

    Martingale works if you know where to kick in. Also, you don't have to double the amount and as others said, don't go over the 4th level. I am using the strategy and sometime double my account and withdraw the money. It could be poison if used incorrectly.

    • @juanestenanramirez1701
      @juanestenanramirez1701 5 місяців тому

      I agree with you 100%, It works the same for me as you do and yes I double, triple, and more my accounts all the time with this you just need to have the right margin to do it.

  • @FinancialAlchemy001
    @FinancialAlchemy001 6 місяців тому +2

    If you trade a prop account, martingale is a valid strategy. The goal is to get a payout, not necessarily to be 100% profitable all the time. If your max daily risk is 5%, you can martingale and scalp and easily make 5% without hitting your 5% limit, especially on currency pairs that don't trend (eurchf), etc.

  • @nullx8
    @nullx8 7 років тому +8

    nice one !!
    however i do double down on occasions .. as example my max risk is at 2% ..
    first trade is 0.5% risk .. and the next one is then 1% risk .. if both fail i'm within the risk window
    if it works out i'm up at least +0.5% .. so for me it's more a "breaking even a trade" thing .. but keeping the max risk in a clear sight ist most important.

  • @knight1y
    @knight1y 4 роки тому +10

    Martingale can work, if manage professionally.

    • @omarfarique6304
      @omarfarique6304 4 роки тому

      Bullshit

    • @hamzaakhtar6307
      @hamzaakhtar6307 3 роки тому

      Lol.. How

    • @fixfix2012
      @fixfix2012 2 роки тому +1

      that s True.. micro account 10 k €... 2 graphics one Only buy the other Only sell....start lowest size 0.10.... close tp 5 Pip.. not doubling increase size by 1.2/1.3 factor....no trailing stop...tp adjusted by bot....
      no one on UA-cam shows Real trading martingale.... they Only talk about General casinò martingale... it's not the same thing

  • @cerebrumexcrement
    @cerebrumexcrement 7 років тому +12

    I first heard about this strategy from this one dude who liked to brag about how good he was at poker. Never saw someone lose so much money in one sitting.

  • @ab11i80
    @ab11i80 7 років тому +5

    Martingale strategy is actually effective if you follow the strategy up to 4 trades and on the same trade. The way you described the strategy was totally different from the way I learnt it, I was told never to do more then 4 trades when using the martingale strategy and that all of the trades should be on the same currency/commodity. But yeah the Martingale strategy you described is more well known amongst gamblers in casino's and I totally agree with you in saying that strategy is terrible for trading.

    • @jpfuentes9360
      @jpfuentes9360 Рік тому

      Kindly pm, I think this is something I did(although I just use .01, .02, .03, .04

  • @JedidiahIsrael
    @JedidiahIsrael 6 років тому +2

    Well said mate!
    I've doubled my capital using this Martingale strategy only to loose all of it when the market went against me. As you've said, I had to learn the hard way!

  • @anandhardas6671
    @anandhardas6671 5 років тому +1

    You are too good and honest.. really appreciate your work and ethics! You have everything one should look in a mentor.. eager to learn more..

  • @the_kotes
    @the_kotes 7 років тому +7

    Yesterday i wondered how good this strategy is. Today you published this video...Awesome!

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому +2

      Glad you got to see the video before you committed to the strategy!

  • @MrBretHatch
    @MrBretHatch 7 років тому +1

    you are the best! I listen to you and Al Brooks been practice trading now for over a year still trying to create a skill treating it like a college education really glad I went this route...My first real trade I made money and a few others but I was still unhappy with my results the only trade I lost I would have made money if I simply didn't react being I was managing every little move...I'm learning to be patient wait for it to hold or form a bubble then wait for the test while putting on a single contract to test the water if it proves my theory to be accurate then I hit it again still in my mind risking the same amount of capital I previously decided on : ) Not there yet but I'm on my way and your vids have been very inspiring So THANK YOU for doing all of this for us

  • @imad12345able
    @imad12345able Рік тому +3

    i think that if we change the risk reward ratio from 1:1 to 1.5:1 or more we may have a good result

  • @royshingirai8477
    @royshingirai8477 7 років тому +3

    Thanks it's really helpful I was beginning to use it but was skeptical. I won't use it

  • @prajwas2004
    @prajwas2004 4 місяці тому

    A blind martingale will fail yes. It depends on the levels you try to double down each time.
    1 hedge your trades. Get a long term put option for when the market turns against you.
    2 look at the historical drops. There will be a range. Then define the percentage of doubling down when it's down in the range.
    This has worked for me. Cost me a ton of money to get it right
    I like this better than blindly buying 10k worth of stock.

  • @spartacusfinance
    @spartacusfinance 7 років тому +5

    Martigale works in trading, but not with a ratio 1/1..... I use a ratio 10 (stoploss) /30 (take profit)....Or 1/3 if you like....Which makes a huge difference, and increase the number of attemps.

    • @Harry-lb2cs
      @Harry-lb2cs 6 років тому

      Sébastien Alquier can u plz elaborate it .. . Didnt got it

    • @sergiotl7378
      @sergiotl7378 6 років тому +1

      Harpreet Bains He's probably broke now.

    • @pure9342
      @pure9342 5 років тому

      that’s not martingale that’s just good trading

    • @lucifer5998
      @lucifer5998 5 днів тому

      It's been 7 years after you commented and i really want to know about your current situation with using martingale strategy

  • @samueltwum1719
    @samueltwum1719 5 років тому

    you have a point , good ..thanks however no individual should trade only base on the martingle, adding some technical analysis and proven indicator strategies make you better . anyways so do you have any strategy for us

  • @joshuaaidoo5507
    @joshuaaidoo5507 5 років тому +1

    am not using the martingale strategy per say, i like the fact that it helps me manage my funds in trading what amount to trade per time, thats why i like it, i use my own build strategy which i learnt from several strategy with martingale strategy as a weighing scale . and boy am making consistent profit

  • @rikkestergaardpetersen786
    @rikkestergaardpetersen786 6 років тому +8

    3 years ago 24option made me loose 17000 euro this way ;) !!!!!

  • @matthewwynne-jones4922
    @matthewwynne-jones4922 7 років тому +3

    Wait how does the probability rise over the course of a year? It's an individual event like tossing a coin- just because you got a heads on the first flip doesn't mean your odds of getting a tails increase. Right??

  • @DUDUDUDUDUDU-x4d
    @DUDUDUDUDUDU-x4d 4 роки тому

    Great video, but how do you differ martingale and trade like micaelburry trade " is it kind of same he averaging down even when cdo going up agaisnt him?...... I mean when you know you are right and increase risk exposure is it martingale? Evem he only pays premium buying swaps....

  • @samuelkirogo1081
    @samuelkirogo1081 7 років тому +2

    which strategy do you use??

  • @ceviqn
    @ceviqn 3 роки тому +1

    100k account and micro lot sizes may work but now you need infinite time to wait for profit.

  • @nayanmipun6784
    @nayanmipun6784 4 роки тому

    Martingle is applicable in short trends only, it should be applied in 1 minutes charts with 1 hour charts for monitoring, if the martingle is not closed in the 1 hour candles for trend long enough that if not recovered immediately the martingle would go more floating losses close the positions and reopen positions again after 6 hours

  • @user-nz9ub3kp7k
    @user-nz9ub3kp7k 7 років тому +2

    I think Duomo is bigger and bigger day by day :) Congratulations!
    Eventually, Everyone can distinguish what is the real thing :)

  • @SNAIBiSnaibi
    @SNAIBiSnaibi 5 років тому

    Thank u 4 ur advice

  • @simonakinteye1754
    @simonakinteye1754 3 роки тому +1

    I love this guy!.... He completely murdered the martingale method...I will definitely stop using it henceforth...

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  3 роки тому

      Thanks Simon, glad the video was able to help!

  • @00Noontide
    @00Noontide 7 років тому

    thanks! good vid

  • @nathanameru7654
    @nathanameru7654 7 років тому +5

    Mann, I was so naive. I figured, never in my lifetime will it be possible to lose more than 10 times in a row, there are only two options to choose and surely it's impossible (logic suggests)
    I proceeded to lose 16 times in a row. it was not a good day for me, lost £600 and over £15,000 with practice money

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому +2

      Unfortunately sometimes we need to learn the hard way. At least you made the mistake early on with your trading and you won't sacrifice years of profit-building on a whim in future.

    • @nathanameru7654
      @nathanameru7654 7 років тому

      was on iq option so 100% gamble. and I lost 16 times with the practice account.

    • @samuels1414
      @samuels1414 7 років тому

      you need to work on your strategy. practice more bro.

    • @whiskeyburns5230
      @whiskeyburns5230 5 років тому +3

      Losing 16 times in a row man your luck is very good just do the opposite

    • @2pacisakilthemc21
      @2pacisakilthemc21 2 роки тому

      If you lost 16 times in a row on one currency pair taking one trade at a time then your trading strategy is to blame for that, not the martingale. I've been using it for months, and I haven't lost 5 times in a row yet trading the way I described above (though I would recommend having enough to cover at least 7 or 8 in a row, but my volume & price action strategy is pretty decent, so I can get by with less)

  • @joostvanheuckelom4496
    @joostvanheuckelom4496 6 років тому

    Never ADD to a Losing Position
    That quote I MUST remember! °thumbs up°

  • @MyRx777z
    @MyRx777z 2 місяці тому

    Didn't know there's another term for revenge trade as well. Trading world is very interesting

  • @xfactorb25222
    @xfactorb25222 6 років тому

    LOL, I went to the casino when I was 21. Had thought I was a genius. I played roulette, waited for one color to hit 4 times in a row... then bet 10$ and doubled for the next 7 spins, just had to hit red/ black once in 11 spins. And I thought, this is my job, surely my profits will take care of the weird cases I do lose 11in a row. saved enough to go broke 3 times... I was broke in one week. Many years ago, lesson learned.
    The wheel has no memory, and every spin is still just a 48% chance of winning. You may be a great trader... for instance you possibly win 9 trades ( 4 in a row), lose 1... then win 8 (won 3 in a row) lose 2, ...next win 14 (won 9 in a row) lose 2... next day Win 2 trades, lost 7 in a row.... you're BROKE. If you didn't use this strategy, just a smart risk ratio... you're making good gains.

  • @seemstwo8919
    @seemstwo8919 6 років тому +1

    i use it for my bots with a bit more math involved, as just a piece of the puzzle. it's works on a bull market, for very short term. I would never use it for someone else's money though.

  • @gymboybtroy5127
    @gymboybtroy5127 7 років тому +1

    When I was 12 I though I created this strategy I thought about it for a while and was proud of my self, then I learned it was a real thing that others use, then I watched this and I'm not angry just sad that it turns out my idea was crap

  • @amsbeats841
    @amsbeats841 5 років тому +2

    I do the exact opposite of Martingale. If i take too big of a loss, I downsize my position sizes. I take it as a sign that I need to tweak some things and get some more practice to adjust to the market climate and I size back up as I start succeeding.

  • @uk_reef_bro5696
    @uk_reef_bro5696 7 років тому

    how do you feel about the winning martingale strategy? eg starting balance of £100 bet 10% of it £10 if it wins you get £18.60 at 86% profit the next bet will be £18.60 if that wins you get £34.59 and so on when you reach £200 balance start again with 10% £20
    I'm hoping to try it out in demo account tomorrow.
    nice videos I look forward to hearing from you

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому +1

      Sounds like you're referring to binary options, so first of all I have to say that we don't recommend using those at all. If you search this channel you will find 2 videos explaining our views on them.
      As for the money management plan, I still would avoid doing that. Firstly because risking 10% is way too high in any situation. You should only be risking 1-2% per trade. Secondly, you're linking your money management to your winning streak, rather than to the actual riskiness of the trade. This is a big no-no. Your money management should be considered as a risk measure and should increase or decrease based on whether a situation is high or low risk. This means you're balancing your exposure to risky events appropriately (even if a bit simplistically).

  • @newbbietrader9918
    @newbbietrader9918 4 роки тому

    well I gotta point out something here-.yes it is very very likely to lose 7 or even 11 times in a row but at casinos where they are manipulated,otherwise it is very improbable that number when losing.

  • @mayowadurosinmi3342
    @mayowadurosinmi3342 6 років тому

    Thank you brother, pls be more specific about how much % of the capital to risk on a trade.. slow and steady... I believe pays more than fast and burn....

  • @epicxgamer4057
    @epicxgamer4057 7 років тому +1

    A few days ago I found out about binary options and most reviews were pretty good so I started to use a practise account before I got into it with real money. After a few days I realised that those brokers were scams as they pretend to give bonuses sometimes up to 100% of what you put in but if you click on the bonuses they make it so you won't be able to withdraw your money until you do a certain trades and by that point you provenly lost all your money

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому +1

      Yeah the bonuses are really shady! A lot of people have problems with those after getting convinced to accept them.

    • @interworkblog
      @interworkblog 7 років тому

      yes at first they want to lure u and now binary option scammers too many ald, be care of them. Must have trusted broker if u play.

  • @stephenwebb3069
    @stephenwebb3069 5 років тому +2

    I play black and red on roulette with the martingale strategy , trust me it does not work. Once red came 15 times in a row.

    • @newbbietrader9918
      @newbbietrader9918 4 роки тому

      but man every single casino in the world is manipulated otherwise what would the point of having such business be if there wasn´t secure profit??hehe.....if you bet at sports martingale might work,with trading as well or crypto the same...only in casinos believe me I have lost $$$ for years with that marntigale and it does not work at all in such places

  • @igotresult1773
    @igotresult1773 6 років тому +1

    keywords# Probability and consistency/Directions/ trends/synchronization/confluence and confirmation.. if you all got these,then you can use martingale..:-)

  • @maxwell_brooks
    @maxwell_brooks 6 років тому +1

    I use Dollar Cost Average and it works just fine...

  • @driver1013
    @driver1013 3 роки тому +3

    Ive bought my dream car using this strategy in the casino.

    • @cl5619
      @cl5619 3 місяці тому

      That’s because you employed the strategy and then stopped before disaster struck.

  • @MrKinetokor
    @MrKinetokor 4 роки тому +2

    I think martingale works. If you are smart enough. Just cover up to 2 losing trades all the time. It will work.

  • @persieprince9345
    @persieprince9345 6 років тому

    Yes you are right I blew to account with it very stupid never back to it again

  • @tarikm5116
    @tarikm5116 7 років тому

    Hi Nicholas, quick question, Ive recently just started trading on a real account. How long did it take your fears/ nerves to go away after you started trading?? e.g. the nerves of when a trade is running or before you put the trade on etc. Great channel thanks!

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому +2

      Honest answer: they never truly go away, your tolerance just increases as you get used to certain capital levels. When I first started trading I was burning through accounts worth a few thousand each. Since I had lost those amounts, I got used to dealing with those amounts of money, so I was already comfortable when I started trading sensibly.
      However, as my capital increased to where I was trading with what I saw as 'life changing' amounts, I had to learn to deal with the nerves again. This time it was more intense. But again, you get used to it over time.
      Then when I started trading other people's money... same thing!
      So I would say it will take a few months to get fully comfortable, but as you reach certain amounts of money, it will come back. It's easy for people to say "don't focus on the capital, just think about your plan and the percentages etc." but we're only human! You just have to learn some methods to calm yourself down and control your mind a bit better (for me it's meditation and spending a lot of time each day in the gym!)

    • @tarikm5116
      @tarikm5116 7 років тому

      Thanks for the reply and advice, much appreciated. Ill definitely have to start hitting the gym for 3 hours a day compared to my 1hour ;)

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому

      Why not make it 12?
      ...Just kidding! For me it's less about the actual time spent there and more about how I approach it and the time of day I do it. It helps me clear my mind and therefore feel more neutral when I'm back in the markets. One of a few things I do to maintain that mental balance and focus. But what works for me might not work for you... it's all trial and error!

  • @matend8125
    @matend8125 4 роки тому +1

    i trade in iran stock market ,it works here usually

  • @eddyvideostar
    @eddyvideostar 7 років тому

    At the video time of 1:25 minutes, this is akin to "doubling down" as regards to buying more bad stocks at a cheaper price in order to lower the average price. This is not a good idea with one stock.

  • @pieterjansenvanrensburg5010
    @pieterjansenvanrensburg5010 6 років тому +1

    The only way you can lose with the martingale system in trading is if you don’t follow your indicator lines! You only use this strategy on up trend or down trends! When the market is weak and sideways your chances of losing are high.. Bet the color that came last! I tried this with roulette started with 2600 and with 5dollar winnings went straight up to 5600 in about 10 hours.. Not a bad days work if you ask me.. Roulette is the risky one! If you are stupid enough to lose 7times in a row in trading it’s best you do some more homework on trends and indicators

  • @Duomoinitiative
    @Duomoinitiative  5 років тому +1

    A lot of people are responding in defence of the Martingale strategy. This video contains my response and explains that situation: ua-cam.com/video/TBU-GfOPnmQ/v-deo.html
    🔹 Get FREE access to the Duomo Trader Development Program: duomotrading.com/FreeDuomoTraining
    🔹 Add us on Instagram: instagram.com/duomoinitiative/
    🔹 Our second channel for financial news and analysis: ua-cam.com/users/MarketMoversFinancialNewsandAnalysis

    • @cristinacampos9709
      @cristinacampos9709 3 роки тому

      This is glorious, I been tryin to find out about "dragon quest 11 madame labouche's life lesson" for a while now, and I think this has helped. Ever heard of - Aonyanaler Bewildering Asset - (do a search on google ) ? It is an awesome one of a kind product for discovering how to making money with a proven roulette system without the normal expense. Ive heard some unbelievable things about it and my brother in law got great results with it.

  • @hasanicollegeoftechnology
    @hasanicollegeoftechnology 4 роки тому

    well i was one of them using this martingale .then i realize myself that is insane stupidity .now watching your this video its confirmed i was right thanks mate

  • @ahmadalbanna2
    @ahmadalbanna2 6 років тому +1

    I use martingale strategy but with my own calculations, I've been making profits fir the past 3 years, 25% to 35% profit per year.

    • @quocduytran99
      @quocduytran99 5 років тому

      Could you show me your martingale strategy?

    • @newbbietrader9918
      @newbbietrader9918 4 роки тому

      please????

    • @fixfix2012
      @fixfix2012 2 роки тому

      i agree ... it s actually possible... trading martingale whit automatic bot is different from casino martingale...a lot more variabiles in to the game...

  • @lasisisimeon5565
    @lasisisimeon5565 Рік тому

    Look here guys I am a trader and believe Me or not I make 500 dollar a day using the martingale and at times a week I withdraw 3100 to 3500 and I start it with a dollar 1 minute trade and two rules I never ever predict the market and don't trade when there is a negligible difference between the buy and sell

  • @slam710711
    @slam710711 7 років тому

    I know it as the Montecarlo method invented for Roulet, designed for pulling in mugs.

  • @farhadnobari7559
    @farhadnobari7559 6 років тому

    like most of you I thought that it is impossible to lose 10 times in a row but you may understand it after try it for just one time. but if you want to test the martingle you can easily test it by a coin and heads or tails

  • @GenoPendula
    @GenoPendula 7 років тому

    When i fist came across binary options it was in a add like travel the world and make money like me kind of thing. I've clicked on it just so that i can see whats this scam about. Then i was introduced to binary options, i was like wtf this thing is for real? So ive started looking in to it, youtube clips, platforms, brokers etc. and ive played on a demo account for a month or so with a relatively high success rate BUT, then all of the sudden i lose it ALL. I wondered how the fuck is this happening, today in particular. Thank you for the great tips, you have me subed to your channel.
    Also i would like to say binary options are just playing gambling, you have the illusion of trading when you can see the trend and predict direction, but you cant predict the time constrain and thats where they get you. The good thing is they introduced me to forex trading and am going to learn how to trade properly... thank god i didnt deposit any of my real money on those binary shit.

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому

      Glad you didn't get stung by binary options. At least it has helped you find something which hopefully you will become consistently profitable with over time. Thanks for subbing.

  • @Mada_fuka
    @Mada_fuka 5 років тому +1

    I do get your point, but from my side I think martingale is the best, has never failed me and have been doing it for years now, The only thing you need is a good bankroll and never use money you can not afford to lose. If you are going to use this strategy, you must be an expert at what you do.

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  5 років тому

      I would suggest watching this: ua-cam.com/video/TBU-GfOPnmQ/v-deo.html

  • @jyrkihakkinen3269
    @jyrkihakkinen3269 7 років тому +2

    Thanks for the great video! Well I know one guy Who lost 23 times in a row by Red/black game at roulette. Not with martingale strategy But still. Imagine How much money he Would lost with martingale! 😂 it is impossiple strategy.

    • @georgiosbanos1314
      @georgiosbanos1314 7 років тому +2

      roulette in a casino environment can be manipulated.market cannot.

  • @nigelquinn1928
    @nigelquinn1928 7 років тому +2

    If your method for binary was 50/50 the odds of you losing 7 trades in a row would be 0.8%.... (1/2)^7 x 100/1 = 0.78125

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому +1

      That's the case if you only opened 7 trades. On a sample size of, for example, 100 trades, the chance of a losing streak of 7 is over 35% if you have a 50% success probability.

    • @nigelquinn1928
      @nigelquinn1928 7 років тому +1

      If you opened 100 binary trades, there's less than a 1% chance of 7 losing trades. The formula is (success/outcomes)^(number in a row) in this instance 7. It'll be (1/2)^7. to get that as a percentage just multiply it by 100. Binary options is the same as flipping a coin for heads or tails. Now if you have a 70% win rate, that will skew it even more, success in this case would be the losing trade, so (3/10)^7 x 100 = 0.02187% which is basically 1 in every 5000.

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому

      Your calculation shows the probability of it happening in the very next 7 trades. It doesn't show the probability of it happening at any point in the 100 trades, which is over 30%

    • @nigelquinn1928
      @nigelquinn1928 7 років тому

      It's based on binomial distribution. It's not of it happening in the next 7 trades. It's the percentage frequency of it occurring and reoccurring in an infinite test state. If you toss an unbiased coin 100 times, the odds of it coming up heads 7 times in a row is 0.8%, same for tails. This means it's most likely to come up the same side 7 times in a row just once. However if it was a biased coin, these odds would shift drastically. A biased coin is like following a set of guidelines or indicators that give you a 60/70/80% win rate etc.

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому

      That's how I would have thought to calculate it too originally and I would have agreed with you if I hadn't tried to look into it before. Unfortunately it's not that straight forward. Your calculation would work when the outcome is mutually exclusive, which is why I'm saying it's only for the next 7 trades if you're looking at losing 7 in a row. If you want it to not be mutually exclusive, i.e. can happen at any time during the 100 trades, it's a much more complex calculation (honestly, far too complex for me to calculate or even fully understand, without the use of Excel). If you search online for "k successes in a row benoulli trials" you'll find it explained in many places. Easiest thing is to use a probability calculator for 'runs'.

  • @firenze6752
    @firenze6752 Рік тому

    Martingale works only in forex if you play the zone its hedging but you add to your bets. Pick a ranging market start with a small lot .1 you have 8 ranges till you are out if you have a 50000 account and thats with 4 positions open when does a market not break out after 8 ranges it works trust.

  • @ferasnasser7707
    @ferasnasser7707 3 роки тому

    Martingale is a fucking gamble system . don't use in trading ever. thump up for you bro

  • @dicksoncyprian9511
    @dicksoncyprian9511 2 місяці тому

    what dont work for you doesn't means it doen't work for others,just pray and you will see how it can work

  • @JanCarlosM7
    @JanCarlosM7 7 років тому +2

    lol yall can try or never try all i know is that im making money easy only going for 50 euro a day starting with a balance of 200 now at +4000 in balance

    • @amaantalpur2932
      @amaantalpur2932 7 років тому

      JanCarlosM7 are you using martingale ?

    • @billychan4633
      @billychan4633 3 роки тому

      hi, I know it was 3 years ago XD but are you using martingale ?

  • @franf87
    @franf87 7 років тому

    Hello Nicholas, I have an important question. You see... I am making now lots of money per day in the demo account, with an initial capital of 3k, but its not like with any fundamental or technical analysis really, its just like intuition and looking the forms of the candles and like guessing if it will go down or up the price and placing just 1 pip of TP and 3 lots of volume so if I win the trade I win like 25 to 30 pounds each trade, and its really really working, my question is... if I continue trading like this like 3 months and im continue beign profitable, did I found an ability of trading or its just luck or what? Cause then I wana go to real money but dont wanna loose all the $.
    Thanks

    • @lucuswhitehead3366
      @lucuswhitehead3366 7 років тому +8

      Francis Figer Hey Francis, for the first like month and a half of trading, and learning how to trade, I was pretty much trading the exact same way, learning the moves and behavior of the market and how the platform works all that lovely stuff, making big sums of cash on a 10k demo account. The thing about intuition is that it can, and will lead you to make pretty nice choices, in the market, but just the same it'll lead you to mentally fight the market, believing in things when really there is nothing to support them. Leading to losses way to large to sustain. I remember my biggest trade, I made $6,800 on Gold, in 15 minutes (before I knew more about position sizing I must note) and i closed out really well. But I lost everything on a couple loosing streaks later that week, that I simply held onto way to long. My advice to you, is to continue practicing, and NEVER GET LAZY everyone of us will go through the stages of finding that holy grail, or thinking we can just wing it. But trust me, it'll only lead you to a lot of really stupid frustrating dead ends, and lost moral. Theres never one answer, and you'll have to build yourself up over time, to truly understand the market, but I encourage you to keep pushing. Do what you are doing and if it fails to prove itself, learn something. Learn something new every day, and just keep testing new things. It's a whole new language and it's got a lot of funny ways to put it together. I wish you luck out there, and I really recommend you watch like every single one of Nics videos cause he is amazing if you haven't already done that

    • @Strrroke
      @Strrroke 7 років тому +7

      What Lucus said. And when you start to trade with real money, it's a completely different story. Greed and fear come into play, and both of them will cast doubt on your every action in the market. Don't underestimate learning. While intuition is good, I think it should be based on your experience rather than on your feelings. Discipline yourself by developing and strictly following your trading system and start a trading journal. It may take you a month, it may take you a couple of years, but in the end you'll become a sustainable trader with professional intuition. I learned it all the hard way.

    • @franf87
      @franf87 7 років тому +1

      Hi Lucus, thank you so much for taking the time to answer so completely. Great words, I'll listen to you.

    • @franf87
      @franf87 7 років тому +1

      Геннадий Харитонов Excellent, thank you for the advice. It is true, It's just like that. Great answer.
      Cheers

    • @enlightenthyself
      @enlightenthyself 7 років тому +2

      Bro intuition cannot be replicated consistently and when things go to shit you will not have a clue why. take the whole year to study trading and slowly develop a consistent strategy (Back tested and foward tested) and after that take 3 months trading live but with really small positions and compare testing results with actual. If then you see trading has become boring and mechanical and you make a consistent 3-10% Roi a month congratulations you have become a professional forex trader. There is NO shortcut to succes.

  • @tanzeelnawaz7198
    @tanzeelnawaz7198 3 роки тому

    U r really doing a Great work. The knowledge You are providing have proved to be very helpful 🤩.
    In Trading my personal behaviour is more like PAUL TUDOR JONES therefore , I request you to help me to get the knowledge of PAUL TUDOR JONES , Risk:Reward ratio .
    Looking for your reply

  • @kentsilkey6972
    @kentsilkey6972 7 років тому +23

    if you have 7 losers in a row, just stop the trading for 20 minutes and go back to your minimum bet. Its not Martingale that is the problem, its your strategy at picking calls and puts. A lot of people are doing fine with Martingale.

    • @kentsilkey6972
      @kentsilkey6972 7 років тому

      its a gamble. its not perfect. There might be some other better strategies out there.

    • @raoali6553
      @raoali6553 7 років тому

      well if we consider 7 losses it also accounts for alot,and it not what everyone can lose,i myself have being using it,just before watching this video,and it took my 1/3 of investment and now i am stuck with only 2/3 of my investment as i stop after the 5th lose.
      its not going up trying all day,all sorts of signals but in the end if you do it correctly you are only stuck where you are,but sometimes you can get lucky.

    • @aluisious
      @aluisious 7 років тому +2

      No one is doing fine with Martingale, idiot. Instead of doubling your losses until you blow up, spend a couple hundred bucks taking some math classes at the local college.

    • @togaseakihi
      @togaseakihi 7 років тому +1

      Im earning 500 with Martingale though...

    • @jasperbailey7674
      @jasperbailey7674 6 років тому

      Ur in denial

  • @ghanshyamvekariya8063
    @ghanshyamvekariya8063 6 років тому +1

    Hi sir 500 usd. How this lot saej

  • @sambomc9690
    @sambomc9690 5 років тому +1

    I'll have to learn the hard way I'm trying this strategy!
    (BTW I am the worst money Management person I know)

  • @marzevd
    @marzevd 4 роки тому +1

    don't institutions with enough money to move the market use this strategy? average down buying more if they can on lower prices, when accumulating?

    • @MrWackydoodles
      @MrWackydoodles 4 роки тому

      Exactly my thought. Market needs to retrace and when it does you're in profit if you're building your position. It can't go 100% without retracing. Key I think is accept that you're R:R for that specific trade is gonna suck. but still profits.

  • @hichambenbaraka5636
    @hichambenbaraka5636 7 років тому +1

    u're right ! unfortunatly i've lost 60% of my capital using thi sh**** thnks for ur advice Mr.Nicolas !

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому

      The most important thing is that you learnt from it! It will make you a better trader in the long run.

  • @aluisious
    @aluisious 7 років тому

    What I like about the news that people actually trade something as stupid as binary options (basically a horrifically bad casino game...slots pay better than binary options) using such a manifestly stupid "strategy" as double or nothing, is it explains where the gains of traders with a clue come from. The markets are zero sum...well, here's the minus side.

  • @ciceroaraujo5183
    @ciceroaraujo5183 5 років тому

    you are so right

  • @FrankFranzEnjoyer
    @FrankFranzEnjoyer 7 років тому

    that does not work for binary options,if u double ur bet 5 times in a row u already need to have a gain of 95% and most of the time u get less than 95% out so with 10$ u could only risk 150$ if u get 87.5%+ out.The chance of losing that is 1/16 even if u place ur money randomly

  • @riccardofrattali1607
    @riccardofrattali1607 3 роки тому

    I use revers martin strategy, everytime i loose, i half down my risk. Yeah i have to win twice to recover the lose but i better protect my account than recovering as fast as possible. And at the same time it thought me
    Patience, consistency and avoiding revenge trade.
    Let me give u example
    Let's say i trade risking 10.
    I trade till i have 60 in my account in one or multiple trades.
    Then i devide 60 by 3 and my next risk is 20.
    So i trade with 20 risk till my account is in profit of 90.
    Then my next risk is 30....and let's say i lost....so my account is back to 60 in profit.
    Then my next trade will have 20$ at risk. Not 30. Because 60 decided to 3 is 20.
    If i lose again....i will have 40$ in my account so my next trade risk is 40 ÷ 3. And so on.

    • @ricknimo2962
      @ricknimo2962 2 місяці тому

      Interesting strat. Thanks for sharing.

  • @nick5518
    @nick5518 7 років тому +2

    what is the best strategy then? :/

    • @stanko03
      @stanko03 7 років тому +1

      Best strategy to not gamble ? :)

    • @HilmyA.S.
      @HilmyA.S. 4 роки тому

      @@stanko03 in the market there is no such thing as zero gambling. The only time you can make money is if your prediction is correct. You can open a restaurant with the best strategy in the world but if the prediction somehow fails (e.g. a bigger, better,cheaper restaurant is opening just across yours) , there is nothing you can do. It's still part gambling.

  • @rgasta7765
    @rgasta7765 7 років тому

    Hello,
    If I can add my 2cents, after studying BO for 2 years, I can say there are profitable professional BO traders.
    They DO NOT use Martingdale but a set amount of money each trade: most bet $100 each trade and make 5-8 bets per day, on average.
    They do use price action and follow very specific price action strategies like, support/resistance levels, fibonacci retracements, and others. They have lot of patience and trade only, only when the specific setup appears on the chart. Success rate is 75+% and, if you do the math, at the ed of each day, they end up making money.
    Don't get me wrong, BO is hard business; I just want to say that BO is not a 100% scam business, you just have to know what you are doing.

    • @DhirC35
      @DhirC35 3 роки тому

      Exactly i hate to hear him talk down on binary options like its trash...

  • @simpleton8073
    @simpleton8073 7 років тому +1

    define a loss please

  • @samuelkirogo1081
    @samuelkirogo1081 7 років тому

    can someone tell me the best strategy to use coz Martingale Strategy have costed me alot. please i need help

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому +1

      Sorry to hear that Samuel. You shouldn't risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade. It's not only us that recommends that, it's pretty common amongst most professional traders.

    • @nila781116
      @nila781116 6 років тому

      If you are loosing 5-6 consecutive trades you are trading in the wrong trend direction. Stop trading to make up your mind. Trading psychology is very important. Start trading after 1 hour. Forget all previouse event and do fresh trading. Analyse the market and trend direction. Follow the trend and place trades.

  • @forexsecrete8158
    @forexsecrete8158 6 років тому

    But like professional Trader should be use Martingle Strategy, But normal is bad,

  • @jerrompeter104
    @jerrompeter104 5 місяців тому

    Yea you can win so much but when you lose you lose all

  • @number9103
    @number9103 6 років тому +7

    If u know how to trade martingale it's amazing.

    • @kookokooko-xg5uo
      @kookokooko-xg5uo 3 роки тому

      How did it work out for u lol? U should be a trillionnaire by now

    • @number9103
      @number9103 3 роки тому

      @@kookokooko-xg5uo and what do you know about me? Nothing, so su ;)

  • @Willyliemfams
    @Willyliemfams 5 років тому

    what if i use only 1% in my capital and use martingale, will it works? i mean, if i have $1000, i should start trade from $10

    • @Motadawil
      @Motadawil 4 роки тому

      10 /20/40/80/160/320/ no enough money

    • @cosmicshadow305
      @cosmicshadow305 3 роки тому

      I would say so. But you have to use other indicators as well. Inuse s&r lines with volume and only trade certain stocks based on pre-market action.

    • @DBIRobotics
      @DBIRobotics 6 місяців тому

      8 Loses your account is gone papa

  • @Nyufly
    @Nyufly 6 років тому

    Start with a $1000 dollars and only do $1 dollar trades tripling for each loss.

  • @_Kavika
    @_Kavika 6 років тому

    What IF... Let's say your strategy is to open multiple positions on a single trade, all of which is calculated risk and not losing more than 2% of your capital. Your first buy entry with a maximum stop loss of 100 pips, your second entry 50 pips below first with same stoploss price as the first; however, on a second entry you double your position size. Is it the same as Martingale's strategy? Again, the total risk is still 2%.

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  6 років тому +1

      If you're controlling your overall risk at 2%, it's just scaling into a trade. I wouldn't necessarily take the approach you outlined, but it's fine to take that approach in principle.

    • @_Kavika
      @_Kavika 6 років тому

      Scaling into a trade, cool. I like that. Thanks

  • @liam-n8098
    @liam-n8098 6 років тому

    I used martingale and blew 4 accounts was in denial that it could fail if I had enough money to go up levels

    • @shah1668
      @shah1668 5 років тому

      may i know what is your capital for each accounts?

  • @MohammedHussain-ss6kj
    @MohammedHussain-ss6kj 3 роки тому

    i love this man

  • @onlyexpert01
    @onlyexpert01 6 років тому

    This is not good what you are saying, firstly, if you bet 10£ and ya lose, you won't double you'r stake because if you will bet 20£ and you win, then you will be in a -2£.(in case of 80%profit) You need to put in 30£ in a trade to win all the loses+ all the profits. Secondly, I never heard someone losing more than 4-5 time in a row, If you have 100€ and bet first 1% out of all sum that's 1€, if you lose u go to 3€, if you lose you bet 8€, and that's awesome, because if u know how to read the chart you will win fast and recover all the loses.

  • @good_ben
    @good_ben Рік тому

    You're the best

  • @kaylinkhalil5119
    @kaylinkhalil5119 2 місяці тому

    Guys, lets riot for you tube to allow photo commentz😢

  • @HilmyA.S.
    @HilmyA.S. 4 роки тому +1

    I do not understand at all. If you have a win rate of 70%, that means your probablity of losing is 30%.
    if you lost 4 times i a row, the chance is 0.8%. to get 7 loses in a row, the chance is 0.02%, that is 70x less likely than the 1.4% you mentioned in the video.
    Are you telling fake news?

  • @petehabanasukie9008
    @petehabanasukie9008 7 років тому

    This was a brilliant video Nicholas, I've done binary options and I've been exposed to this strategy. Take my word or not, it's a horrible little bastard. Note binary options want you to make more trades, and they'll try to MANIPULATE you with clever language to deposit more money. Invest studying the proper trading way and avoid binary options at all costs. Thanks to watching Nicks videos I'm a much much better trader.

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  7 років тому

      Thanks a lot! 100% agree, it is absolutely a horrible little bastard!

  • @ugointo7720
    @ugointo7720 6 років тому

    The martingale would neither recover the losses since if you loss you lost 100% and if you win they are just 80% ( supposing a 80% payput). So you will need a bigger permutation likes 2.5x. Here are 9 permutations to recover just 1 dollar and the total of the losses if you lost all the 10 "investments".
    Of course any other (true) money management would be better than a martingale
    1.00 + 0.80
    2.50 + 1.00
    6.25 + 1.50
    15.62 + 2.75
    39.06 + 5.88
    97.66 + 13.69
    244.14 + 33.22
    610.35 + 82.05
    1525.88 + 204.12
    3814.70 + 509.29
    Tot.
    6357.16

  • @iskthedijify
    @iskthedijify 6 років тому

    what a nice guy.

  • @adrianfoley8615
    @adrianfoley8615 6 років тому

    i've seen this so many times in the casino. the amount they loose is stupid.
    uneducated gambling

  • @dmdeysi
    @dmdeysi 5 років тому

    bravo

  • @gpharma1670
    @gpharma1670 4 роки тому

    Do the ANTI-MARTINGALE Strategy. 3 straights with 1:2 ratio. 🤑

  • @ArunArun-yl9hd
    @ArunArun-yl9hd 6 років тому +1

    u deserve to be a millionaire

  • @viniciusaquino6832
    @viniciusaquino6832 5 років тому

    Also, the problem with Martingale is that it is fucking up with your psycological part. So you're gonna be more and more wrong as you use it

  • @whysoserious212
    @whysoserious212 6 років тому +7

    don't be a scammer. Just because you failed doesn't mean others will. A good trader would never lose 7 times in a row.

    • @Duomoinitiative
      @Duomoinitiative  6 років тому +3

      Me trying to protect people is me being a scammer? ...ok! Come back when you have some experience and let me know your thoughts then.

    • @sergiotl7378
      @sergiotl7378 6 років тому

      David Teale Jr How long have you been trading?

    • @kaylinkhalil5119
      @kaylinkhalil5119 2 місяці тому

      ​@@DuomoinitiativeI use this strategy but not in a ridiculous manner.. it works for me