Exactly the kind of summary I was hoping to find when I logged onto UA-cam tonight. Thank you! (and I do appreciate the prep work you did - the PowerPoint slides were excellent: 3-4 key bullets for each horse. One observation: Track Phantom and Honor Marie have the same photo. ;) Again, many thanks!
Always find it funny when people say "closer needs the race to set up right" Pretty much every horse needs the race to set up right. Look at Fierceness for example. A few races, paces, breaks did not go his way, and he didn't perform. There are many horses here who want to be on front. If fierceness doesn't stalk, I don't think he wins the race. Think the first 3 horses (or more) will fade this time. Thinking this goes 22.5, 46.1 Possibly faster if TO freaks out (2 races, big crowd, Japanese horse, looks to want to be out front)
stronghold’s work on April 20th including a mile long, congested gallop out after making up 4-5L on his older game workmate in the 46/change official work, is what has convinced me that his best is yet to come, and honestly a virtual newbie could look at his improving bris figs and use him to finish somewhere in the first three slots, particularly 2nd and 3rd place finishes. He’s going to pay $9-$13 to show and there is no shame in taking something in the 5-1 range to show and playing it strongly. I say that because virtually anyone could win or run 2nd in this pick’m field, but I am confident that SH is moving in perfect condition for the best race of his life and he’s extremely versatile in his running style and fearless when it comes to splitting horses in a tight arrangement so SH to show is where my money is going. Watch his April 20th work here on UA-cam, the jockey was like a statue his hand stone cold as the colt made up the ground easily to his first of two victories that day (watch that long gallop out).
Great job with your analysis, enjoyed the video! One point about the last horse you profiled, Track Phantom. Gotta respect the trainer's decision to try the equipment change in the Derby. This horse does have some quality to him. We know he's gonna be forwardly placed and the blinkers may help him show a little more staying power late. I've decided that I'll have to use him in the bottom of my vertical tickets. It's not far fetched to think he can run 3rd or 4th with his running style up close.
Good Job. R you going to do any videos talking about the Undercard races for the Oaks, Derby? There is a 20 Cent Pick 6 derby day, love to see you put a ticket together for that. Last year the 20 cent pick 6 paid over a million dollars.
The thing with the derby people guess the way the race will play out and everything can change in the starting gate and if they get blocked in post positions but my view is fierceness Sierra leone and just a touch i like his daddy
Don't forget what Fierceness did to Muth in the Breeders cup as a two year old made him look bad.JV says he is working good and if he improves more after the Florida Derby it could be a long day for the other horses in the Derby.
i think you take edit the graphic regarding 2nd place finishers from the florid derby not doing well in the KD, giving the fact that MAGE just won after finishing 2nd in the fla. derby. just sayin
I wish people would stop with comparing other Japan horses , more then half of them had no chance of winning and there average odds were nearly 30-1 .. Forever Youngs Saudi race I figure he ran over 100 beyer and he ran the stretch on the wrong lead . He s 5-for 5 won multiple races the hard way and he s been looking great on Churchills track. He also just ran the fastest final 400 m ever in the UAE derby and did that geared down.. His pedigree is just insane and he s easily the best Japan has sent to date . The trainers proven he can win the biggest races her and it s just a matter of time .I love this horses style he can run any where and his heart and guts have been tested while some of the others in this field haven t. I just feel Fierceness is gonna bounce and I have Dornoch ,Fierceness and 3 others blazing fast fractions that will set up Forever Young to get the jump on everyone and win. I got FY ,over Catching Freedom ,Sierra Leone, Domestic Product ,Honor Marie under neath.. If I can get 10 -1 on this horse I ll be betting him heavy . GL to everyone who s betting hope some of us make some good money ..
this is kinda the make or break year for me for japanese horses. If forever young fails i probably will ignore the other japanese horses next year and let them beat me in the future.
@@HorseRacingDaily I agree 100 percent. I truly see something in this horse . He s got the heart and speed to back it up. He s had tons of excuses to lose and he still wins. Love the videos man. GL in the derby with whoever ur taking.
@@carlmack2188 Awesome, I hope you win big. I m so excited to see hes at 10- and I won t be shocked if his odds climb ovver 15-1. I have his realistic odds at 5-1 . I m hoping for a good to fast track. He s run great on wet tracks too.. 3rd off the layoff too.. This is the only derby horse whos checked all my boxes.
Honor marie lost to catching freedom due to jockey error. Honor marie would have beat catching freedom if the jockey hadn't rushed out of the gates and sat behind catching g freedom. The race before that they were running in water and Honor marie hates water otherwise could have beaten Sierra Leone. Honor marie is a win contender as long as its not wet
@@FrankCarolei-lv6rb by the Kentucky derby starts honor Marie will be single digit odds and you'll be wondering why u til the race is over then you'll get it.
The issue with Fierceness is not so much Good Bad Pattern. It is can he handle bumping and his win last out was on the lead with tepid fractions vs a lousy FL Derby Field. He will need to lay off pace here. If he draws inside or far outside not good at all. Sierra Leone Catching Freedom or Just A Touch for me.
I don't like S. l. at all. my match got him at 5th numbe.dont like forever young eitherto win derby.like catching freedom. love mystic Dan. win it.wise guys pic past ,not future math❤😂
Exactly the kind of summary I was hoping to find when I logged onto UA-cam tonight. Thank you! (and I do appreciate the prep work you did - the PowerPoint slides were excellent: 3-4 key bullets for each horse. One observation: Track Phantom and Honor Marie have the same photo. ;) Again, many thanks!
thank you for watching. good catch on the picture. they must have looked the same when I added it in lol
Thanks for your video I liked it and very informative
Thank you for watching
DING DING DING...SEND IT IN !!!! Great Overview loved it well done
Thank you for the kind words
I also like Sierra Leone and Domestic product .
Always find it funny when people say "closer needs the race to set up right"
Pretty much every horse needs the race to set up right. Look at Fierceness for example. A few races, paces, breaks did not go his way, and he didn't perform.
There are many horses here who want to be on front. If fierceness doesn't stalk, I don't think he wins the race. Think the first 3 horses (or more) will fade this time.
Thinking this goes 22.5, 46.1
Possibly faster if TO freaks out (2 races, big crowd, Japanese horse, looks to want to be out front)
stronghold’s work on April 20th including a mile long, congested gallop out after making up 4-5L on his older game workmate in the 46/change official work, is what has convinced me that his best is yet to come, and honestly a virtual newbie could look at his improving bris figs and use him to finish somewhere in the first three slots, particularly 2nd and 3rd place finishes. He’s going to pay $9-$13 to show and there is no shame in taking something in the 5-1 range to show and playing it strongly. I say that because virtually anyone could win or run 2nd in this pick’m field, but I am confident that SH is moving in perfect condition for the best race of his life and he’s extremely versatile in his running style and fearless when it comes to splitting horses in a tight arrangement so SH to show is where my money is going. Watch his April 20th work here on UA-cam, the jockey was like a statue his hand stone cold as the colt made up the ground easily to his first of two victories that day (watch that long gallop out).
I agree.he is improving at the right moment.im not sure if he will win but he will be there at the end
Thanks good job.
Thank you.i plan on doing a live stream next week to
Great job with your analysis, enjoyed the video!
One point about the last horse you profiled, Track Phantom. Gotta respect the trainer's decision to try the equipment change in the Derby. This horse does have some quality to him. We know he's gonna be forwardly placed and the blinkers may help him show a little more staying power late. I've decided that I'll have to use him in the bottom of my vertical tickets. It's not far fetched to think he can run 3rd or 4th with his running style up close.
Thank you. I hope he can get in and boost the superfecta payout
Fierceness is hard to throw out and at 5/2 he's a must use...JV is a master strategist.
nice breakdown and opinions
thank you for the kind words
Good Job. R you going to do any videos talking about the Undercard races for the Oaks, Derby? There is a 20 Cent Pick 6 derby day, love to see you put a ticket together for that. Last year the 20 cent pick 6 paid over a million dollars.
I'll either do it on the live stream or make a separate video covering it
Super Saver was swimming down the lane.
The thing with the derby people guess the way the race will play out and everything can change in the starting gate and if they get blocked in post positions but my view is fierceness Sierra leone and just a touch i like his daddy
If just a touch can take a step forward he can be there
Desrt Dawn was 3rd in KY Oaks 2 years ago. Is that a good comparison to Stronghold?
Same trainer and type of races
Thanks bro for your time. I liked and subscribed
Thank you for watching and subscribing
brad cox has many owners that want to be in the derby, and i have a feeling thats the way it will be into the foreseeable future.
Ol man will have steel juiced
having a Wyoming Whiskey
What’s a Wyoming Whiskey?
@@terrydodson9884 a whiskey from the company WW - Wyoming Whiskey a wheated type
Forecast looks ideal weather .
Bad news for mystik Dan
@@HorseRacingDailyI will still keep him in my tri just because I like that name
Don't forget what Fierceness did to Muth in the Breeders cup as a two year old made him look bad.JV says he is working good and if he improves more after the Florida Derby it could be a long day for the other horses in the Derby.
Key word: “if”…
Fierceness runs great when he gets clear on the lead the question is can he get there from the 17?
Do one of these after the post position
Bet the horse.
I'm gonna do I live stream next week
i think you take edit the graphic regarding 2nd place finishers from the florid derby not doing well in the KD, giving the fact that MAGE just won after finishing 2nd in the fla. derby. just sayin
Honor Marie Stronghold Track Phantom I think have to be included in Tris and Supers.. Honor Marie my choice to win
If he does win you should make a good amount of money
I gotta put "Just SteeL" in my box.
You're a wise man...
Is buy a Sprint sire. Goldencrnts was into mischief first decent son..and frim first crop
Fierceness will come out in front and never look back. 110 beyer in fla derby wow
Honor Marie like him rsin or shine ❤❤❤❤❤ can do it!!!!!
Honor Marie will do it Ok
I wish people would stop with comparing other Japan horses , more then half of them had no chance of winning and there average odds were nearly 30-1 .. Forever Youngs Saudi race I figure he ran over 100 beyer and he ran the stretch on the wrong lead . He s 5-for 5 won multiple races the hard way and he s been looking great on Churchills track. He also just ran the fastest final 400 m ever in the UAE derby and did that geared down.. His pedigree is just insane and he s easily the best Japan has sent to date . The trainers proven he can win the biggest races her and it s just a matter of time .I love this horses style he can run any where and his heart and guts have been tested while some of the others in this field haven t. I just feel Fierceness is gonna bounce and I have Dornoch ,Fierceness and 3 others blazing fast fractions that will set up Forever Young to get the jump on everyone and win. I got FY ,over Catching Freedom ,Sierra Leone, Domestic Product ,Honor Marie under neath.. If I can get 10 -1 on this horse I ll be betting him heavy . GL to everyone who s betting hope some of us make some good money ..
this is kinda the make or break year for me for japanese horses. If forever young fails i probably will ignore the other japanese horses next year and let them beat me in the future.
@@HorseRacingDaily I agree 100 percent. I truly see something in this horse . He s got the heart and speed to back it up. He s had tons of excuses to lose and he still wins. Love the videos man. GL in the derby with whoever ur taking.
he has my attention
@@carlmack2188 Awesome, I hope you win big. I m so excited to see hes at 10- and I won t be shocked if his odds climb ovver 15-1. I have his realistic odds at 5-1 . I m hoping for a good to fast track. He s run great on wet tracks too.. 3rd off the layoff too.. This is the only derby horse whos checked all my boxes.
Was having a hard time understanding this guy, until I turned the playback speed down to .75x … 🤷🏻♂️
Honor marie lost to catching freedom due to jockey error. Honor marie would have beat catching freedom if the jockey hadn't rushed out of the gates and sat behind catching g freedom. The race before that they were running in water and Honor marie hates water otherwise could have beaten Sierra Leone. Honor marie is a win contender as long as its not wet
Lay off the drugs
@@FrankCarolei-lv6rb by the Kentucky derby starts honor Marie will be single digit odds and you'll be wondering why u til the race is over then you'll get it.
Interesting
O
@@ulricgeorge got a good shot for 2cnd
s.l. toss to won it!
Epicenter cost me $$ should have back wheeled him in the ex
I had 500 on him to win. Thought I had it turning for home
Dont you mean rich strike cost u
The issue with Fierceness is not so much Good Bad Pattern. It is can he handle bumping and his win last out was on the lead with tepid fractions vs a lousy FL Derby Field. He will need to lay off pace here. If he draws inside or far outside not good at all. Sierra Leone Catching Freedom or Just A Touch for me.
Fierceness going wire to wire at speed friendly gulfstream proved NOTHING...
I just can't play a horse with a 7 ft tall jockey and he spoiled. Straight from the classroom to the freaking big time..he never put in any time
hard to understand....
What part didnt you get maybe I could explain it I've been doing the horse races for 47 years
chance freedom or mystic Dan win derby period.😂
I don't like S. l. at all. my match got him at 5th numbe.dont like forever young eitherto win derby.like catching freedom. love mystic Dan. win it.wise guys pic past ,not future math❤😂
rest say shit
Encono out
S. l. is a bad favorite.
He has some vulnerability to him
Why you said that?
Domestic product had only closed well in the slower races were he can save energy
He may be sent as well
I'm not a fan of his pedigree
@HorseRacingDaily not a fan of his at all
Only time he saved anything for late race was a snail pace
Add practical joke in as sire
I can't use him
Analyst great but droning voice puts me to sleep
Sorry