Calculate your Poker Pot Odds, Outs & Equity in seconds!
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- Опубліковано 5 вер 2024
- Visit LexyGavinMather.com for FREE Poker Training!
Welcome to my official UA-cam channel! My name is Lexy Gavin-Mather and I am a professional female poker player and coach. Along with my husband Bob, we travel the world playing in the biggest and best poker tournaments and cash games.
On this channel, you'll get a firsthand look at the exciting world of professional poker through my vlogs. I'll take you behind the scenes of major tournaments, show you what it's like to play in high-stakes cash games, and share my tips and strategies for success.
As a coach, I've helped hundreds of students improve their game through private coaching. I'm here to share my wisdom with you, whether you're a beginner or an experienced player. My lessons will help you take your game to the next level.
So, if you're a fan of poker or just enjoy watching exciting and high-stakes action, make sure to subscribe to my channel and hit the notification bell to stay updated on my latest videos. From poker tournaments to cash games, from strategy lessons to behind-the-scenes vlogs, this channel has it all!
For Business Inquiries, requests for appearance, commercial inserts, or other business-related opportunities please contact bobmather123@gmail.com ( he works for me for free :)
Finally someone who can explain it to me simply and not over complicate it
Thanks
I’m so glad! Thx Mark.
I was going to type the exact thing lol simple but effective
With all due respect, and thank you for the help..
Video starts at 3:00
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Good basic odds/equity lesson for those that don't want to get deep in the numbers, thanks Lexy!
Thank you!❤
This was a big help! I know I have gone over this with you in the past, but I am a visual learning, and see it while you explained it really helped.
Thank you for clearly unraveling this mystery! So many coaches make this important concept so confusing! ❤❤
Glad it was helpful!
Finally someone who knows how to explain it. Thank you and please you should teach people not others. I watched so many videos and you are the one!
@@jozefmatyasek so sweet. Ty1
You seriously just made that SO easy to understand! You are an incredible teacher!😊
@@daniellenorman498 aww. Thx Daniel!
Great summary of some basic math after the flop, but may I add that when you miss the turn you have to recalculate your odds before hanging yourself out to dry on the river. Also, if you are in a tournament you also have to take into consideration your stack size compared to the average stack size, the rising blinds and the approaching payouts.
You should point out that the rule of 4 & 2 only applies on the flop IF you are going to see BOTH the turn and river. So many players will see the flop and think "I'll see the turn and fold to a bet if I don't hit." That process negates the 4 part of the rule of 4 & 2. If you're only going to see 1 card, your equity is 2 times your outs. The rule of 4 & 2 only works because a percentage of X cards out of 52 is roughly equal to 2X out of 100 (4 outs in 52 cards is roughly equal to 8 outs in 100 or 8%). You can then multiply that by the number of cards to come (8% X 2 cards is 16% chance to hit).
Yes this is absolutely correct, sorry if I didn’t specify!
@@LexyGavinPoker Please correct me if I'm wrong but surely this is a too simplistic method to calculate odds. Consider the following situations:
1. If there are more than just 2 people who are dealt cards, there is a higher chance that another player was dealt 1 of your "out" cards. So now your odds are reduced. If 5 people are dealt into a hand (excluding you), that's 10 cards out of 52, there's a pretty good chance that *at least* 1 of your "out" cards was dealt and is no longer in the deck, thus reducing your odds. In your flush example, you now have 7 "out" cards instead of 8.
2. [Using a flush draw as an example] On the turn, although you only have one shot left to hit your flush, there is also 1 *less* card in the deck. I'm not sure if this would increase or decrease your odds because too few players dealt in means there are more cards in the deck, but on the other hand if many players are dealt in, although there are less cards remaining in the deck, some of the players could also have been dealt your "out" cards.
Either way, my point being is that it seems there are other factors that affect your pot odds and using the 4-2 rule seems like a basic rule of thumb you tell beginners but is actually misleading.
Looking forward to your response. Thanks.
@@b3rkut
Thing is it’s impossible to know what cards are dealt to other players!
So this factor isn’t taken into account when calculating odds
@@b3rkut It doesn't matter how many other players have been in the hand. Lets say u 4 outs. you need an 8. 5 other players have mucked their hands so thats 10 cards. If you were to know that none of them had an 8 your odds would improve a lot but if they had all the 8's you'd be drawing dead. But there is no way to know so it is irrelevant. There are only certain spots in tournaments where you can actually know wheter or not your opponents didn't fold a certain type of hand preflop for example. Like if some very short players folds in lp in spots where they would have jammed any ace. then u can discount 2 cards which makes your odds a bit better if your outs are aces. but it's rare and doesnt make much of a difference to your odds. The 4-2 rule is not misleading its bullet proof.
@@RestorationsFOD nothing is going to be perfect. With a 5 card game there are in excess of 2.5 million hand possibilities. That's poker. With 7 cards that increases to over 111m possible 5 card hands. But it does give you some solid numbers to play with that will, if disciplined and patient, guide you to consistent wins.
Very well explained, thanks!
Thx for watching!
Could've made it without half the vid being your life story and self promtion but ok
I'm fine with the back story. I don't follow the poker world closely so I had no idea who she was. Her story adds some credibility to the advice...even if it is pretty simple and basic advice.
The promotion of the course certainly isn't necessary, but it wasn't too terribly long and I'm ok with individuals wanting to make money for their time.
Why else would she take it upon herself to teach fish like you? For the sheer personal joy of knowing she’s making you better at poker? No, it’s a branding exercise and it’s proven to be profitable. You coulda read a book.
She gets a pass because she's pretty and it's not an hour long with bunch of talks without really getting to the point from other poker videos. Also, you could have forward the video.
@mattg7977 well put Marty
It’s called engaging with the audience. It’s not just just give me the facts for free. You’re looking for free right I’m sure you are cut to the Chase. I don’t have time to hear about you, but I do want your knowledge and information. Give me a break.
I've tried reading short books about how to do this and didn't get as much out of them as I did in this 7 minute video. Thanks bunches, Lexy!
Glad it helped Phil!
Wow this was really helpful Lexy I learned a lot from this!
@@andrewdelacalzada6802 so glad!
Thanks Lexy, nice and clear. Cheers. Aussie Tim 😊😊🏆🏆
Thx Tim!
@@LexyGavinPoker 😘😘
Great info. Thanks Lexy!
You're so welcome!
I have missed seeing you hope all is well 😊
Hi Helen!❤
Perfect this is just what I was looking for.
Thank you #PokerQueen @LexyGavinPoker for always ringing my 🛎 weekly with Professor #moreLexy 's poker teachings and insights. You are a giver and may you be blessed for always being a blessing.
Would love to see a #cockamaimie #shananigan filled poker vlog with Dr. Ruth #morebob....
Thanks for the instructional, Professor!
I think YOU are a giver! ❤❤
i also wanted to give up my engineering career to become a poker pro but two punches later from my father i changed my mind. great video btw i finally understoood this concept
This was really good help for all the beginners.. Thanks a lot Lexi.. Love from India.. ❤
Thank you for watching from India!!
What are the odds of ending up with a pair of Kings or BETTER? A pair of Aces or better? Two pair or BETTER?
Lexy great job I now have a clear view of the odds...thanks. Beside being a lawyer you would make a wonderful teacher or mentor!!!!
That’s so nice! Thanks Mike!
Thank you. I’ve used poker apps before to calculate hands, but this one had me confused as to why the percentage was so high after the flop. J10 offsuit vs 99. Flop comes jj9. 4 outs for the j10, right? J101010? So 16%. Poker calculator says 23%. Is this because it could potentially runner runner pairing the board on the turn and river to counterfeit the flopped boat? 22, 33,44, etc?
Video starts 3:02
Speaking of flush drawing, This isn't adding up for me. Let's say Villain has bet and I'm getting exactly 33%. That means Villian bet pot. If I miss on the turn, then I can't continue to the river unless Villain checks the turn, because I used up almost all of my Flop-to-River equity (33 of 36%) on just getting to the turn. Now realistically, what Villain would bet pot on the flop then just decide to give me a free river (knowing there's a draw on the board?)
To me, that math only works on an all-in scenario, when you know there will be no betting after the turn.
It seems to me that I should play each street individually. I'm 18% before the turn, and if I miss, I'm still 18% before the river. Therefore, I should only call 1/4 pot bets (assuming heads up).
Am I wrong? Or is calling pot before the turn the right play? Please help, this has been racking my brain and I'm scouring the Internet to try to figure this out.
In these scenarios you also have to only consider the best possible hand and if you’d have it or not right?
Hi Lexy. Love the way you went through your back story of how you got to be playing poker. (I've watched all your vlogs so knew it, but it was a great presentation) Also, I knew about calculating outs and stuff, but didn't even try to work out equity - I didn't realise it was so easy. Thanks!
Hi Kev! You are welcome 😊
green is the best- u should always bet pot odds
What if ur playing against someone who over bets alot etc.do you go with ur gut on the player or follow pot odds ?im assuming u go on the player too ??
Thanks for the video
More of this please lexi💪🏾
Ok! ❤
_So,_ she said the word "so" 37 times between 3:02 and 6:22.
Thirty seven times.
So what.
Love your style.. thanks
@@miguelpalma8389 thank you!!
So Lexy what I do not understand is on the example of the open end straight draw and having 8 outs after the flop or 36% equity what if your opponent has suited cards and you have rainbow cards...how do you offset your calculation considering he might make a flush and beat your straight if you hit your straight???...jv
I ran into you guys at Cherokee. I first seen Bob and I'm like wait a second. We fi ally got the elevators to work lol. Best of luck
Hey Andrew!
Thank you, great video!
You are welcome!
@@LexyGavinPoker, Playing in a nice tourney and day one flights are played 10 handed, do calculations change?
How can this be free??!!!That’s amazing❤❤❤
I get it now, thank you!
Lexy question for you, 8 hands in TH cash game the other night first to ack raise big blind and a half, I call with AQ and one other calls, blinds fold. Flop is k j 10 rainbow.
Bet raise, reraise allin call call what are the odds all three had AQ????? If you can tell me where to look this up, much thanks
Thank you
You're welcome, Garrett!
Hello. I have a question. If I have a flush draw on the flop, isnt 35% equity based on flop to river, not flop to turn? Because i think flop to turn is still like 20%. Please help me understand this.
Yes it’s flop to river, sorry if that was confusing! I just meant, if u miss the turn it’s 20% you’ll hit river
Great Video
Hey Lex,
missing your daily videos.
Take care and go Bob-O.
Hi Andre!❤
Penny?
Top Girl! thank you
3 minutes into the video and still talks about everything but the actual content….
That’s a woman for you! 😂
Superficial… but great advice for noobs. This should encourage them to study further!
Good vid sweaty!
The video that every single player needs. You only see videos now with them explaining advanced pot equity but with no outs? It’s so confusing!!
I'm pretty new to this so please don't be too harsh in my if this is a dumb question...but do you ever include overs as "possible outs"?
For example - if I have KQ and the flop comes J 10 2 - is there ever an opponents range where I'd include my KQ as 6 more outs in addition to the open ended 8 outs?
Thanks for any advice!
I’ve tried to watch so many of your videos to actually learn something and always end up turning them off halfway through your life story no one wants to hear 😂 must really like talking about yourself
Hey Lexy, great video. Do you have any tips for quickly calculating pot sizes and eyeing opponent stack sizes in live tournaments?
Thx for watching Wes. Stay tuned!
I am a new subscriber. Mostly have seen your work on Poker Coaching. And enjoy! I have a completely unrelated to poker q for you. I like linguistics for a long time and wonder if you would tell me where you grew up. My guess is west coast probably Cali but I just can't catch it for sure. You aren't on wiki. Sorry if this is intrusive. Thankyou for all of your content!
Two minutes of video in 7minutes. Nice.
starts at 3:03
she stops yapping at 3:00
Video starts at 3:02. I don't understand why first 3 minutes is just irrelevant nonsense, which isn't even mentioned in the title. And hard-subs over the text? Are you kiddding me?
Shouldn't you give credit to Phil Gordon? I *THINK* he was the first to coin the "Rule of 4 & 2"......
He was?!? I didn’t even know that and Phil’s a friend of mine lol
@@LexyGavinPoker I met Phil many years ago when he was hosting a charity poker tournament in NYC. I mentioned to him that I had heard others talking about the "Rule of 4 & 2" (which I had read in one of his colorful little books) and he laughed and said that he knew he should have patented it!
Thx Lexi!
Confusing, if you’re getting four to one pot odds, how does that equal 20% equity and not 25% equity I don’t get it
She says later you have to add one pot size to the bigger number because you have to put your bet up too. This is before you make the decision to call!
Video starts at 3:00 you are welcome
Law school to professional poker player...real life "Rounders" story going on here. Just dont get involved with too many Russian mob bosses! 😅😅
lol silly armature this is for beginners
I try to reach a wide audience why does that make it silly?
Thanks for the video.
You are welcome!