Expert Modeler forecast in SPSS | How to make prediction of the data using time series approach

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[@rohayusarani924]

Assalamualaikum Tuan,
Have you ever come across, SPSS Modeler produce a set of constant for predicted value? Any idea why this happened?

[@Kajidataonline]

Thanks for your comment. Spss modeler I have the experience using it for data mining and text analytics (ai perspective). Can you share more about the constant for predicted value that you ask.. i am not sure what u meant.

[@rohayusarani924]

@@Kajidataonline bila kita buat analisis tu, nilai2 yang diunjurkan hanya satu nilai yang sama untuk 10 tahun ke hadapan.

[@Kajidataonline]

@@rohayusarani924 owh.. i know what you meant, the predicted value was static right? This is because of your setup based on certain assumption. Usually the lack of variation or non-seasonal function based on your p-d-q will influence the output of the predicted data. The best forecast require very big sample of size/ big duration of time series data.. anyway, its normal when you have the predicted values constant. You can change the pattern via adjusting to non-automated model in the functions. Feel free to comment.

[@mnm8957]

I use this ARIMA modelling for my investment portfolio, Aizzat.

[@Kajidataonline]

That's good sir. It can be very useful to estimate the risk/ plan for action.

[@onkarpatil6150]

Good Job!
Can you make an elaborate video on how to choose different options within SPSS?

[@Kajidataonline]

Thanks for your comment. We will produce such video soon. Please do consider subscribe, share and like our content. Happy to answer your questions. Tq

[@afiqamsyar8022]

Tuan ada 2 soalan
1. Ada tak method untuk kita check significance antara forecast dengan real data in that period?
2. Ada video on ARIMA?

[@Kajidataonline]

Thanks for your comment tuan. Soalan tuan sy cuba jelaskan. Utk check significant, biasanya, kita akan rujuk dalam analysis asas pada design model time series kita tuan, utk expert modeler biasanya kaedah robust. Utk check ada dlm jadual sblm predicted/ forecast display figures tuan, ada basic statistical significant terhadap estimates kita. Tp sy cadang buat by cohort/ block jika data tuan byk, then boleh compare by pack basis. 2) question, utk arima ada tuan, sy ada buat video berkenaan, mengenai covid. Namun smua estimates yg saya jalankan adalah robust.. utk yg details sy ada kekuatiran komplesity yg akan difahami oleh pendengar, jika ada spesifik In sya allah sy akan buat content.. video arima covid19- ua-cam.com/video/98-o4t9VMsk/v-deo.html
Feel free to ask and suggest content tuan.. jika ada data utk share lg baik..

[@afiqamsyar8022]

@@Kajidataonline sy akan samhung tgk video on ARIMA pulak. Terima kasih atas response ya

[@Kajidataonline]

Terima kasih utk soalan dan komen.. jika berminat ada yg unlisted, tuan bleh whatsapp sy utk details. spsshelper.wasap.my

[@afiqamsyar8022]

@@Kajidataonline terima kasih tuan.. Saya akan whatsApp untuk pertanyaan lanjut

[@Kajidataonline]

Saya dh update list pada description tuan boleh refresh n have look the ideas