Rebel Space Colonies

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  • Опубліковано 6 вер 2024
  • Throughout history it has been common for distant colonies to break away from their homeland. In a future where colonies are entire planets and light years from home, shall history repeat itself?
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    Credits: Rebel Space Colonies
    Episode 419; November 2, 2023
    Written, Produced & Narrated by:
    Isaac Arthur
    Graphics by:
    Fishy Tree
    Jeremy Jozwik
    Legiontech Studios
    Sergio Botero
    Udo Schroeter
    Music Courtesy of
    Epidemic Sound epidemicsound.c...
    Miguel Johnson, "So Many Stars"
    Stellardrone, "Red Giant", "Ultra Deep Field"
    Sergey Cheremisinov, "Labyrinth", "Forgotten Stars"
    Taras Harkavyi, "Alpha and..."

КОМЕНТАРІ • 486

  • @AsiniusNaso
    @AsiniusNaso 10 місяців тому +757

    Interstellar war would be terrifying. Imagine seeing your invader coming decades ahead of time, knowing they’ll crush you, or just plough a ship though your planet at 99% light speed. Imagine diplomatic messages taking years, having to guess the other side’s intentions generations ahead of time. If war today is filled with uncertainty, future wars would be filled with dread.

    • @guybrushthreepwood4758
      @guybrushthreepwood4758 10 місяців тому +91

      that's pretty much the plot of the trisolaris trilogy

    • @mill2712
      @mill2712 10 місяців тому +57

      ​@@guybrushthreepwood4758
      Ah, the 3 body problem.

    • @gabinohidalgo885
      @gabinohidalgo885 10 місяців тому

      Well said. I wish certain kinds of people would SEE this. Sure fuck up the world for the rest of us dickhead. Probably the lowest, selfish gesture or lowest vibration anyone can function.. "ruin something not only for yourself but ultimately for everyone else who shouldn't have to deal with the wickeds consequences. "❤❤❤

    • @drmachinewerke1
      @drmachinewerke1 10 місяців тому +20

      And this is why we need warp drives

    • @ralphclark
      @ralphclark 10 місяців тому +15

      Need? Hahaha.
      Not possible, sorry. Not ever.

  • @miltenignis1017
    @miltenignis1017 10 місяців тому +212

    An oort-cloud with many abandoned colonies that are possibly inhabited by hostile agents sounds like an awesome setting for a sci-fi pen and paper RPG.

    • @sharniek002
      @sharniek002 10 місяців тому +19

      I'm imagining that a lot of scary cults etc could end up out there too. I'd argue that that's even worse, or even more interesting in an RPG. Imagine a religious colony turning ever more hostile and cultlike until they go full crazy mode, attacking all their neighbours for no good reason.

    • @xXx_Regulus_xXx
      @xXx_Regulus_xXx 10 місяців тому +8

      ​@@sharniek002I've got an idea on the backburner for a crusader fleet that emerges to bust human rights violations among scattered habs. imagine the horrors of human trafficking in space, or the possibility of people mills etc. etc.

    • @seanwoods647
      @seanwoods647 10 місяців тому +1

      I'm working on one that also includes space wizards, if that helps.

    • @harbl99
      @harbl99 10 місяців тому +5

      That was pretty much act 1 of Bruce Sterling's famous Schismatrix series. An Interzone of run down and abandoned O'Neills in orbit of backwater Earth.

    • @mrdragon5142
      @mrdragon5142 10 місяців тому +2

      My EXACT thought. Then I went down the mental rabbit hole of trying to figure out which system I would use.. :)

  • @Obiwan7100
    @Obiwan7100 10 місяців тому +383

    As a rebel living on a Snowy Moon, I can confirm that all of this is true.

    • @cmelton6796
      @cmelton6796 10 місяців тому +12

      Hello there

    • @idontlikecaps8823
      @idontlikecaps8823 10 місяців тому +14

      *coughs lung up* General Kenobi 💀

    • @svijj_
      @svijj_ 10 місяців тому +8

      How's the temperatures up there? Livable?

    • @e.h.4933
      @e.h.4933 10 місяців тому +12

      Let me know what grilled Wampa tastes like...

    • @michaeltrivette1728
      @michaeltrivette1728 10 місяців тому

      @@e.h.4933 Tough and fatty, like Bear id say.

  • @maltheopia
    @maltheopia 10 місяців тому +189

    Imagine a The Foundation-style situation in which for millennia colonies separated by the limitations of the speed of light, and then some resurgent Empire managed to discover FTL and went on a conquering spree.
    After diplomatic messages taking generations, in a few months you're suddenly co-vassals with a bunch of planets who may as well be space aliens by now.

    • @djdrack4681
      @djdrack4681 10 місяців тому +15

      I don't see authoritarian "we want to control you for 'interstellar empire' reasons" too many star systems, too much space/time lag (even if your FTL was 10x c).
      I imagine such 'empires' would only be held together via some intellectual/cultural (IE music/language/food recipes) trade, not the authoritarian ones...Again FAR TOO EASY for rebel colonies to tell the empire to "f off" and build their own empire with enough destructive force to wipe out all life on all the planets in multiple star systems. HOW do you (as a Kardeshev II empire) manage to counter such force, without using the megastructure weapons SFIA covers...one that would require entire star systems or more of resources...Even the most 'remote' logic doesn't support this mindset.

    • @maltheopia
      @maltheopia 10 місяців тому +23

      @@djdrack4681 I mean, obviously FTL10x is nothing to get THAT excited over, you'd need something like a portal network or FTL 1,000,000x like we see in Star Wars. But as you might have guessed by that factor I used -- imagine what a calamity that would be to galactic politics, as it were.
      As to why an empire would do something like that instead of chilling in their home system, political reasons, almost certainly. And to be fair, that is a pretty good pitch, especially if you're experiencing a Trantor-like situation. 'I will unite all of our fractured kin under our banner, for the glory of New Gaia'.

    • @djdrack4681
      @djdrack4681 10 місяців тому

      @@maltheopia Political motives 'erhaps...
      But I'd strongly advise looking at near-future 'likely' tech advancements that will be paradigm shifts.
      - Biologic immortality via digital mind storage/backup/transfer
      The empire wouldn't likely have 'just their home system'...unless it was the very beginning of the empire: more likely they'd have 100s of system. Look at star #s near our system: within 50ly only like 200-300 stars: but go out to 300/500/2000ly...and the number of stars is exponential.
      When people "Don't die" cuz you can transfer into a clone, or artificial body...which any K1/K2 civilization is likely to be capable of for sustained interstellar efforts...Time doesn't matter. 10x FTL is more than plenty.
      Outlying colony 1000ly out from core system? only 100yrs to send a fleet there. You'd only need 1 clone/mind transfer in that time (If they don't discover some digital stasis).
      Politics could certainly be maintained with the squabbles and BS we deal with now...or just plain hegemonic efforts: ...but when the people in charge AND the people they're oppressing don't die...and they're bank accounts all keep getting bigger: well its not the 'rich vs poor' 'powerful vs not powerful'. its like a god vs demi-god scenario: not guaranteed win for either.
      It also implies what 'drives us' is still the same: and that is wildly unlikely bcuz of the aforementioned biologic immortality: we plan/worry/make decisions based on worries of our limited time, our limited 'youth', our careers (bcuz we only have X yrs to learn a subject well). None of these variables really matter in general anymore when even the 'peasants' live for 1000s to millions of years.

    • @muninrob
      @muninrob 10 місяців тому +11

      @@djdrack4681 "We are putting up a relay in your system, you may join our empire, remain neutral, or be destroyed." would work. You just have to be willing to eliminate the colonies entirely if they become hostile.
      The planetary scale equivalent would be if the English Empire of the age of sail used the cold war MAD doctrine (nukes included) to maintain control of their empire.

    • @Simplefng
      @Simplefng 10 місяців тому +2

      You would like Legends Battletech.

  • @seanwoods647
    @seanwoods647 10 місяців тому +108

    One of the biggest struggles I had in my book/rpg was figuring out "and then what" with my interstellar colonies. There was plenty of conflict on the journey to the star system. And the first few decades would be a tale of survival as the settlement established itself in the remote system, while basically having to salvage the ship that brought them there for parts to stay alive. But once the settlement was established, I was hard pressed to find a reason why the settlement would bother trying to establish regular communications with the home world.
    The only thing I could come up with was art, literature, and whiskey. Basically items with an infinite shelf life, whose value is subjective and based on scarcity, and whose consumption bestows cultural status.

    • @thekaxmax
      @thekaxmax 10 місяців тому +15

      New software, new designs for the 3d printers--including new medicines for the molecular printer, new chemistry. Lots of things that are data only and can be transmitted by laser.

    • @seanwoods647
      @seanwoods647 10 місяців тому +7

      ​@@thekaxmaxSorry, when I said "communications" it wasn't in the radio/television sense. It was in the logistics sense: physically trucking items around.
      Let's assume we have a settlement that is 48 light years away, around a solar twin called 58 Scorpii. It's a star that is nearly the same mass as Sol, with the same metallicity, but it is 1 billion years younger. While the expedition did discover an Earth-like world, it made far more sense to remain in orbit and harvest the asteroids and minor planetesimals in the system.
      Earth has many things to trade that are relatively lightweight and compact: new books, antiques, vintage wine and liquor.
      But what would the remote settlements have to trade? In a system that is 1 billion years younger, radioactive isotopes are probably more abundant. Let us assume they hit the jackpot and discovered deposits of some sort of unobtanium that has completely decayed away in the Sol system.
      Communicating that discovery would take a literal lifetime. 48 years for a message home, and 48 years for a reply. Anyone who was alive at the time of the discovery would be long dead before negotiations could even begin.
      Assuming a trade mission is dispatched, anyone on board is in for a one-way trip. Ships can economically get up to around 50% of light speed. The trip for those on board is ~20 years. Someone could, with a healthy lifestyle, even do a round trip in about 40 years (assuming a return vessel is built and ready to go.) But on their return, 96 years have gone buy. Anyone they knew is dead. Any business relationships they had are basically the stuff of legend, probably requiring an archelogical expedition to recover the records.
      Travelling between systems would be considered a sort of cultural pilgrimage. The sort of pilgrimage that is done once in a lifetime, with the expectation that pilgrims would never return home.
      Robot craft could be sent instead, but you still have the problem of shipments arriving a century after they were ordered. If they were ordered. You'd have a lot of convoys just showing up, with nobody remembering quite what the reason was.

    • @thekaxmax
      @thekaxmax 10 місяців тому +4

      @@seanwoods647 That too. But empires work on communication speed limits not freight.

    • @seanwoods647
      @seanwoods647 10 місяців тому +3

      @@thekaxmax But empires are established at the speed of freight. No invading army, no Imperial conquest.

    • @WolframHeart-xp2px
      @WolframHeart-xp2px 10 місяців тому +3

      @seanwoods647
      Have you considered life extension?
      If they have technology for such distant travels, maybe they could also have a way to extend a person's life.

  • @mr.normalguy69
    @mr.normalguy69 10 місяців тому +242

    Issac Arthur is making himself quite comfortable with the 40k universe. And I'm loving it.

    • @RipOffProductionsLLC
      @RipOffProductionsLLC 10 місяців тому +33

      40K is one if the few SciFi setting that get the hugeness of space right... and even then it still often makes numbers way to small.
      And then there's all the magic stuff... but that's the fun for story telling.

    • @arcadiaberger9204
      @arcadiaberger9204 10 місяців тому +13

      @@RipOffProductionsLLC I wish we could have a universe as elaborate and vast, but less, y'know...horrible.

    • @RipOffProductionsLLC
      @RipOffProductionsLLC 10 місяців тому +13

      @arcadiaberger9204 Old Star Wars EU was pretty fleshed out. Sure, there were a few consistency issues, but compared to 40K's own issues with consistency it was borderline flawless.
      Also, on that topic, I highly recommend AFanWithTooMuchTime's Star Wars vs Warhammer 40K fanfic audiobook series here on UA-cam, easily some of the best writing for either franchise in decades.

    • @muninrob
      @muninrob 10 місяців тому +3

      @@RipOffProductionsLLC Is that the one that starts with Thrawn's assessment of the 40K Imperium fleet's behavior and home?

    • @arcadiaberger9204
      @arcadiaberger9204 10 місяців тому +2

      @@RipOffProductionsLLC Sounds like fun, but both 40K and *_Star Wars_* suffer from FTL, of course.
      I'd like to see, actually, a refried version of the first 20 years of *_Buck Rogers in the 25th Century,_* which took place entirely inside our Solar System, with wars between Earth and our Jovian allies against the aggressors, the Tigermen of Mars.
      I'm thinking the Tigermen and the Jovians could be genetically engineered variant forms created in the late 21st/early 22nd Century.
      Buck himself might be the subject of a 2030s hibernation experiment, a 1970s cryogenic revival, or even the original World War One fighter pilot, preserved by some peculiar combination of gases in a cave.

  • @cannonfodder4376
    @cannonfodder4376 10 місяців тому +52

    9:30 Conflicts occurring cause there is no clear picture of motivations and capability.
    Such a simple yet poignant observation. Often the cause for war is uncertainty itself, which one would think would also promote caution and avoidance of war.
    Another fantastic round of informative world building and storytelling Isaac.

  • @comentedonakeyboard
    @comentedonakeyboard 10 місяців тому +28

    18:32 suposedly the scilly islands stayed royalist at the end of the english civil war. Since they raided dutch ships, the Netherlands then declared war on them. It's just that the islands then became brithish again, and the war was forgotten, until sometime in the 1980s a local Historian discovered that they where technically still at war (seting a world record for longest war)

    • @RipOffProductionsLLC
      @RipOffProductionsLLC 10 місяців тому +5

      Unless you want to count that Rome and Carthage never signed a peace treaty at tge end of the Third Punic War, until the mayors of the two modern cities decided to make one as mostly a joke...

    • @dansmith1661
      @dansmith1661 10 місяців тому

      I can think of a group that is still technically in a forever silent war where they do nothing but undermine countries to advance themselves, while using diplomacy to keep others from attacking them. Speech 100 checks in perpetuity.

  • @colinsmith1495
    @colinsmith1495 10 місяців тому +44

    The thing that scares me most is how we've recently had such vivid examples of exactly the root cause of this 'rebel colony conundrum' - systems engineered for perfection. Before COVID, so many companies were streamlining everything as much as possible to rely on everything arriving on time and nothing going significantly wrong. There were minimal if any backups for a LOT of stuff, because backups area a waste of time, space, and money if they aren't needed. Then COVID hit and a LOT of those companies crashed and burned, or at least got hit HARD, when supply lines started to collapse.
    The scenario you put up for Beta Pictoris is similar. The secondary fleet was launched long before completion of the receiving system was even established to be likely, much less assured and confirmed. I understand WHY, it takes so long to get there that you may as well spend most of the time en-route while construction is underway, but that then relies on everything going perfectly. And the moment you open the system to 'hey, plans changed, now it's two receiving arrays at higher power, here are the designs', that only makes 'things went wrong' all the MORE likely.

    • @dansmith1661
      @dansmith1661 10 місяців тому +7

      Supply lines are artificially constricted and governments spent untold trillions putting money into corporations, while destroying smaller companies that didn't grease the palms of said governments. How did it go from cheap and excessive to crippling shortages and massive costs inside a year?

    • @cheddar2648
      @cheddar2648 10 місяців тому +1

      entropy abides

    • @Vaeldarg
      @Vaeldarg 10 місяців тому

      @@dansmith1661 Can explain that one: China's government had delayed reporting of the virus, opting to hide it for as long as possible, and during that time they had been covertly buying up and hoarding supplies. Either for their own needs, or to re-sell at marked up prices without any regard for others.

    • @asahearts1
      @asahearts1 9 місяців тому +2

      Yeah this is why it irritates me when people claim economics says we should have unlimited free trade with no protectionism. Economics is a science, and science is descriptive, not prescriptive. Physics does not tell you how to build an engine. An engine can certainly have redundant parts and inefficiencies if you want it to be reliable. Not every car should be an F1 racer.
      The sad thing is we have had this problem before. People believed that by having strong alliances between countries, war would be impossible. We got World War 1 as a result. People say the same thing about "economic interdependence," yet we end up with countries hoarding medical supplies while others go without since they no longer produce basic medicine.
      A stable building can be built on pillars which stand on their own. But no building should fall due to a single member being removed.
      I blame the midwit trap. People get a little bit of information like, "this is more efficient" and they think they have every problem in the world solved.

    • @asahearts1
      @asahearts1 9 місяців тому

      ​@@dansmith1661They always intended to reduce the carbon that is you. They just moved the time table up a little bit due to someone rocking the boat. By locking people in their homes they can blame their opponents for wrecking the economy, and by letting people go back to work they can claim they created the most jobs in history.

  • @ipyramid
    @ipyramid 10 місяців тому +63

    I think of rebel space colonies as always on the edge of law and order, a literal expanding sphere rebels stay just a little bit ahead of. But instead of calling them rebels, I call them companies.

    • @dansmith1661
      @dansmith1661 10 місяців тому +7

      Branches of companies.

    • @lgjm5562
      @lgjm5562 10 місяців тому +3

      So like the wild west?
      Except there's no pacific coast to reach.

    • @ipyramid
      @ipyramid 10 місяців тому

      And no government.

    • @animo9050
      @animo9050 9 місяців тому +1

      ​@@lgjm5562so almost no end to the frontier

  • @mrdragon5142
    @mrdragon5142 10 місяців тому +22

    Just wanted to drop a comment to say that since I discovered this channel a few months ago, it has become one of my absolute favorites. As a science teacher, sci-fi fan and writing hobbyist (dilettante might be more accurate), every single one of your episodes has given me much to think on and savor. Thanks for your hard work, it really is appreciated out here.

    • @dannileigh6426
      @dannileigh6426 10 місяців тому +1

      I've been watching since the early days and I'm still continually impressed and pleased by the breadth and depths of what is covered and always giving me something new and neat to ponder.

    • @Vlamyncksken
      @Vlamyncksken 10 місяців тому

      A "science" teacher.. What's the science?

    • @mrdragon5142
      @mrdragon5142 10 місяців тому

      I am a biology instructor at a community college. I have spent most of my career teaching anatomy & physiology and genetics. @@Vlamyncksken

  • @hherpdderp
    @hherpdderp 10 місяців тому +8

    Worth mentioning these space colonies would be almost always colonising unclaimed uninhabited systems.
    For the most part the European powers were establishing plantations in places already full of people.
    One of the most relevant here i think are the "musket wars" in New Zealand. It has similar elements of time lag and diffusion of technology.
    They bought and learned about guns from some earlier European ships.
    The Maori tribes(nations?) That got them took over the islands.
    So they were already armed to teeth and fortified by the time the time British empire arrived.
    They repulsed them multiple times and only lost eventually because the empire could afford to keep losing battles and sending more ships.

    • @brownro214
      @brownro214 10 місяців тому

      Inhabited sure, but certainly not full.

    • @linz8291
      @linz8291 4 місяці тому

      But we are facing more simply situations to those terraformed extroplanets, because many of them are belong ing to galactic council members. In other words, those indigenous people like Maori on the earth are advanced civilizations on the other extroplanets, we are not advanced enough to colony of the settlements as galactic civilization level, but ongoing space development process.

  • @Sophocles13
    @Sophocles13 10 місяців тому +13

    You're the best Issac, thank you for the veritable library of incredible content! You forever changed the scale of what I thought civilizations were capable of, and now I really want to live a few hundred years in the future 😢

  • @Robocopnik
    @Robocopnik 10 місяців тому +21

    Anyone who wants a really good story based on this topic should check out 1979's 'Mobile Suit Gundam', which is literally about this, but takes place within the Solar System. It's also full of 2001 references, which is pretty cool.

    • @dansmith1661
      @dansmith1661 10 місяців тому +6

      Sieg Zeon!
      Much as I like how the series goes from simple good White guys against literal nachos that are denied a voice in government, to an oppressive government that silences its colonies with violence and those nachos keep coming back.

    • @TS-jm7jm
      @TS-jm7jm 10 місяців тому +2

      ​@@dansmith1661since when are nachos a sentient race

    • @beatthegreat7020
      @beatthegreat7020 10 місяців тому +4

      @@TS-jm7jm sounds like that's nacho business.

  • @comradeinternet467
    @comradeinternet467 10 місяців тому +21

    If humankind manages to actually colonize space, Zeon enthusiast colonies will be inevitable. RIP Australia.

    • @Duchess_Van_Hoof
      @Duchess_Van_Hoof 10 місяців тому +4

      And Dublin.

    • @Robocopnik
      @Robocopnik 10 місяців тому +3

      They weren't aiming at Australia, FWIW. They were aiming at, Jaburo, I think, but the it got shunted off-course.

    • @Robocopnik
      @Robocopnik 10 місяців тому +4

      @@Duchess_Van_Hoof And the American midwest, in Operation Stardust.

    • @rome8531
      @rome8531 10 місяців тому

      Successful axis drop

  • @nahyeah942
    @nahyeah942 10 місяців тому +17

    Listening to you never gets old mate, thank you for the great content!

  • @minhmeo9506
    @minhmeo9506 10 місяців тому +11

    “The Rebel Alliance is too well-armed and well-funded, sir!” be like:

  • @almor2445
    @almor2445 10 місяців тому +17

    I'm not sure there is a good enough reason for governments to colonise other planets. Rather it would more likely be people trying to flee over zealous governments. A lot of terrestrial colonies were set up by private individuals and only loosely associated with a distant government.

    • @seanwoods647
      @seanwoods647 10 місяців тому +4

      In my upcoming books/rpg interstellar development actually comes about because two major powers quickly discovered the futility of space combat, and decided instead to try to hem each other in by planting their flags in increasingly distant star systems. Basically inspired by the real-life race to the moon.

    • @dansmith1661
      @dansmith1661 10 місяців тому

      Governments can't even control their own populations without using force and private individuals are the driving force of a state's power. It is much easier to expand when those tax dollars are spent getting people into new living space instead of spreading Democracy with warships and red tape.

  • @terrysaunders7107
    @terrysaunders7107 10 місяців тому +22

    This unfortunately could be largely avoided with an AI administrator charter colony. Once the license to exist is revoked, all life support privileges are suspended. Remember to read the end user license agreement like your life depends on it. Spacenet- a subsidiary of Microsoft. Loyalty is it's own reward.

    • @rommdan2716
      @rommdan2716 10 місяців тому +8

      Ah the existential dread of Space Capitalism

  • @jasonjnoble
    @jasonjnoble 10 місяців тому +13

    Have you ever had an episode about spaceship shields? I’d love to hear your thoughts on them including technology, feasibility and comparison to science fiction.

  • @jfhalshsfdalkj
    @jfhalshsfdalkj 10 місяців тому +5

    An invasion fleet would likely be best to take the long-term approach. Use its fuel to slow down into separate but known (to the fleet) locations in the Oort Cloud and/or Kuiper Belt. Mine the ice to refuel the fleet, but otherwise go dark to prevent detection. Send out stealth probes using laser-com gear and special stealth laser Relay Satellites (again location already per-determined by fleet) to get a full picture of the state of the system and to keep the fleet's separate forces in touch with each other (laser com will virtually eliminate any EM detection of their communications). In this way over a few years the fleet can be fully refueled with a much better knowledge of the system's situation and the lowest possibility of detection.

  • @carminedesanto6746
    @carminedesanto6746 10 місяців тому +22

    Great video 👍👍
    You put your finger on the biggest in this problem. The governance of true interstellar colonies ( heck,even the Ort Cloud and Asteroids) can only be maintained via a strong state bureaucracy AND FTL …
    Weeks or at best a few months between seeing there’s a problem and sending either help or a fleet to “enforce doctrine and compliance “ is a must .
    Otherwise you have a self licking lollipop .
    We’d prefer the ST Federation..but the cruelty of the 40k Imperium is closer to what’s truly required!
    Take care and once again thank you.

    • @thekaxmax
      @thekaxmax 10 місяців тому +4

      Could work if you have continuous travel between colonies, in additional to trade, with laser comms for updates. Expensive, but so were Roman roads and they had that purpose.

    • @karenwang313
      @karenwang313 9 місяців тому +2

      Without ftl, the relationship between the colonies and earth would be similar to that of Britain and north America in the 1600s. Sure, there could be rebel colonies, but there could also be the equivalents of Canada, which never really rebelled on its own. It's likely the two would be able to coexist.

    • @blakekendall6156
      @blakekendall6156 15 днів тому

      Why would you have trade? There is no benefit. Mining systems with automated robotic systems would be better.

  • @water594
    @water594 10 місяців тому +5

    I loved this structure! Theoretical yet practical - sometimes I find your work to vague 'oh this might happen but maybe not' but this really makes it feel real to me.

  • @choopa1670
    @choopa1670 10 місяців тому +10

    Amazing animations on this channel. Especially this video leaves me in awe and really captures my attention. Fantastic

    • @vengefulone6282
      @vengefulone6282 10 місяців тому +1

      This is random animations from the internet.

    • @mikelfunderburk5912
      @mikelfunderburk5912 10 місяців тому

      ​@@vengefulone6282I'm pretty sure not all of it is. He has a team.

    • @Nehmo
      @Nehmo 10 місяців тому +1

      @@vengefulone6282 I even wonder if Isaac Arthur gave his approval for some of the images. I doubt he would have approved the asteroid-cloud at 9:20.

  • @mjk9388
    @mjk9388 10 місяців тому +5

    Excellent episode Isaac and team! The writing, narration, artistry and background sound are all amazing.

  • @deanlawson6880
    @deanlawson6880 10 місяців тому +3

    What a great way to have an episode with a fantastic story of future colonies filled with elements of (what are now) Sci-Fi elements.
    I'll go out on a (very long) limb here and say that this is easily one of your best episodes ever! This is really fantastic! What a great episode!
    Thanks so much for this Isaac!

  • @loganw1232
    @loganw1232 10 місяців тому +5

    Reminds me of Legends of the Galactic Heroes with its war between the Galactic Empire and the Alliance of Free Planets.

  • @krystiansieminski8060
    @krystiansieminski8060 10 місяців тому +5

    Isaac, this one is one of Your BEST, nicely told, great story, informative, and got some tick to ride on too, ha ha ha. Big TH

  • @peterallen5575
    @peterallen5575 10 місяців тому +5

    Ironically, I could see an interstellar empire working in a quasi-feudal framework (or, amusingly, an MLM pyramid), where each colony established by a gardener fleet has obligations not to the original homeworld, but to the colony the fleet established previously, and orders from the homeworld just go down the chain.
    So, Beta Pictoris pays its taxes to Easel, which pays its taxes to Tau Ceti or something, which pays its taxes to Earth.
    Likewise, keeping Beta Pictoris in line is Easel's job, since they're the closest and the quickest to respond. Easel will request reinforcements from Tau Ceti, which will request reinforcements from Earth. If the conflict goes on for long enough, Earth might even put out a call to all of its nearby colonies for reinforcements, which would pass that along to their daughter colonies, and so on. A mobilization on that scale might result in armies being raised on distant colonies to go fight a war that's been over for centuries, which could conceivably be repurposed into colony fleets should they get the demobilization order while underway.
    Also, this sort of setup gives colonies the perfect justification to start up their own colony fleets as soon as they're able, since then they'd have feudal daughter colonies to call upon should they need something.

  • @brownro214
    @brownro214 10 місяців тому +7

    Isaac, is the closed captioning done by voice recognition? At 10:12 CC displayed the word "ordinance" when you obviously said ordnance. As a former Soldier I know that you know the difference. As a former member of the US Army Ordnance Corps, I bristle whenever the terms are misused. Outstanding episode.

    • @isaacarthurSFIA
      @isaacarthurSFIA  10 місяців тому +5

      Thanks brother, I'm guessing it was probably a typo that I let autocorrect suggest something without paying much attention When you write several thousand words a week the editing phase can get a bit rushed :)

  • @ornu01
    @ornu01 10 місяців тому +3

    The best example of 'make me while you're all the way over there.'

  • @karenwang313
    @karenwang313 9 місяців тому +2

    The bit at the end about space operas In the solar system reminds me alot of the original Gundam series, where most of the action takes place between earth and the moon, yet is a massive space opera about how cataclysmic a space war would actually be for earth and it's colonies.

  • @VisiblyPinkUnicorn
    @VisiblyPinkUnicorn 10 місяців тому +3

    Imagine emptying a cargo of tea over a planet while traveling at 10% lightspeed. That's rebelling on a new level.

    • @macdieter23558
      @macdieter23558 10 місяців тому +2

      Interstellar Tea Party?

    • @JakeBaldwin1
      @JakeBaldwin1 10 місяців тому

      Imagine depositing tea into a planetary atmosphere, make it rain tea.
      Or red Powerade if you want to be mean.

  • @ventusvindictus
    @ventusvindictus 10 місяців тому +1

    I love the fleet names you've given these. Super flavorful!

  • @_zoinks2554
    @_zoinks2554 10 місяців тому +3

    It's obvious that Isaac loves Warhammer 40k.

  • @nathanielbyrne1132
    @nathanielbyrne1132 10 місяців тому +3

    There were some really cool animations on this video.

  • @commiedeer
    @commiedeer 10 місяців тому +3

    Another episode full of ideas that turned out to be more useful then I expected for the last novel in the space opera trilogy I'm trying to finish as well as a couple novel/anthology ideas I'll be working on in the future. I'm definitely looking forward to Agriworlds now.
    And regarding all this talk about Isaac Arthur making a science fiction RPG setting... someone get the man a copy of Eclipse Phase (first or second edition, the setting and system is practically the solar system he describes) or just start jotting down all the ideas he sprouts off... I know I am for my future RPG campaigns and rebooted settings.

  • @EnneaIsInterested
    @EnneaIsInterested 10 місяців тому +4

    The thing is, we can probably assume a loose model of confederation is a good idea in this solar system, and beyond. Maybe that's how we can make things work? It seems easier to imagine an interplanetary and interstellar gift economy than imagining a floating currency, stock markets, or viable timing-dependent contract law given light-lag.

    • @linz8291
      @linz8291 4 місяці тому

      Interstellar confederation is more accepted by modern galactic members, including our Sol system.

  • @GabrielTheExplorer254
    @GabrielTheExplorer254 10 місяців тому +2

    Hey just saw you uploaded 30seconds ago! Grabbing the snacks now!

  • @xassix
    @xassix 10 місяців тому +2

    I think the huge time delay and the resulting difficulty to organize anything over interstellar distances might be another possible solution to the Fermi Paradox.

    • @virutech32
      @virutech32 10 місяців тому +1

      Interstellar colonization doesn't require any kind of large-scale organization tho so im not sure how this factors into the FP. Maybe prevents interstellar empires, but you don't need interstellar or even system-wide hegemonies to do interstellar colonization.

  • @rome8531
    @rome8531 10 місяців тому +5

    Zeon thirsts for the strength of its people

    • @bentwineham1986
      @bentwineham1986 10 місяців тому +3

      “Muh Ideals” - this expression indicates a Zeon’s confusion and lack of understanding.

    • @dansmith1661
      @dansmith1661 10 місяців тому

      They had no voice in their Earth government. That is enough understanding.@@bentwineham1986

    • @beerdrinkingdwarf7139
      @beerdrinkingdwarf7139 10 місяців тому +1

      HAIL ZEON!!!

  • @UnityGoogle
    @UnityGoogle 6 місяців тому

    This is the video that got me reinterested in space, I am now hooked into SFIA

  • @tonytaskforce3465
    @tonytaskforce3465 9 місяців тому +2

    One thing to note is that people are going to live a lot longer. Interstellar travel and even loose confederations are going to be a lot easier to run if you have people with thousand-year lifespans.

  • @OpreanMircea
    @OpreanMircea 10 місяців тому

    Those rebels never stood a chance! Thanks for the episode SFIA team!

  • @komradewirelesscaller6716
    @komradewirelesscaller6716 10 місяців тому

    Where has your channel been my whole entire? I just love it!!

  • @Firetiger93
    @Firetiger93 10 місяців тому +2

    I like to believe that future colonies are ran like the American Old West. People look out for one another and they all have the ability to fend for themselves. Help is freely given to those that show respect and government is nowhere in sight.

    • @Firetiger93
      @Firetiger93 10 місяців тому

      @@AndrewStevens-cd5jr Its how it should be everywhere all the time

  • @smoore6461
    @smoore6461 10 місяців тому +2

    Love this! Graat video sir, the last few have been esoetially interesting which is saying something for SFIA videos which are always so good already!! Even in 40k, the imperium of man often writes off planets, deciding it just not being worth the time. Kreig fir example. I think the idea of attacking a colony that decided to split off and demand Independence would be a waste unless there was something at that colony that made it essential. Like spice on Dune. If we saw an attack from the rogue colony, then sure, it would be war. But I think more often than not, independence at such distances would just be granted. Of course, that would mean zero help from the home system, no data or update, nothing. So you better hope you have all the best scientists.

    • @the11382
      @the11382 10 місяців тому +1

      Well, the imperium bureaucracy just forgets some planets exist.

  • @jesserivera9704
    @jesserivera9704 10 місяців тому +1

    God this channel is good! Isaac you're a gem! thank you!

  • @EpicBoyScout
    @EpicBoyScout 10 місяців тому +2

    I like how the communications problems and lack of knowledge of intentions point to the conclusions of the Dark Forest, as shown in the Three Body Problem series, even when it doesn't involve other species.

    • @chrischu1285
      @chrischu1285 10 місяців тому +2

      Reminds me - wasn't one of the conclusions from the Battle in the Darkness that once someone leaves the solar system, since they can no longer be trusted due to chains of suspicion, they are effectively aliens to Sol-bound humanity? Arguably no longer even "human" to those still on Earth?
      Later on in Death's End Gravity and Blue Space somewhat disprove this notion, but it's still interesting (and uncomfortable) food for thought.

  • @zapermunz
    @zapermunz 10 місяців тому +2

    Concepts like interstellar colonialism is such an interesting topic, and one of the reasons why I love the game series Killzone so much (before they killed it)
    I'm sure the reality of stellar colonialism will come sooner than we think.

  • @ponyote
    @ponyote 10 місяців тому +2

    Totally AON: I would love to see a Traveller (the TTRPG of that name) perspective of spreading out, only to find other Humanati. Covered in other episodes, though I don't think explicitly.

    • @beatthegreat7020
      @beatthegreat7020 10 місяців тому +2

      I was thinking of how to add any idea from this I could into a Traveller campaign.

  • @vipondiu
    @vipondiu 10 місяців тому +1

    I'm going to fill that survey right now! Happy Arthursday everyone!

  • @blakekendall6156
    @blakekendall6156 15 днів тому

    The closest thing we'd ever have to an interstellar civilization(s) would be a group or groups of civilizations that exchange scientific and technological information between one another on the basis of how trustworthy the members of those groups are. That trust could be formed by ideological views, morality, or gestures of good will, or it could be less lofty and more transactional, as in, "I will give you this breakthrough" and then in response "here have these two breakthroughs" and then the receiving civilization may go "okay have 10" expecting 10 more back, until both sides are comfortable with exchanging large amounts of science and technology with one another in a more or less continuous manner. You keep sending me knowledge and I will send you knowledge in return. If you stop, I stop.

  • @Vjx-d7c
    @Vjx-d7c 10 місяців тому +1

    Happy Arthurshday, im currently in the middle of a lecture so i wont get to watch until later 😅 but im still commenting for the algorithm 🎊

  • @mrnnhnz
    @mrnnhnz 10 місяців тому +1

    Excellent! Again, I really enjoy these episodes where you illustrate the point via a story. You do a really good job of that. In fact I wonder whether you might want to write some sci-fi yourself at some point? I'm writing a sci-fi novel myself right now. We could collaborate on something together once that's done if you like 😀 Have a great week!

  • @even7887
    @even7887 9 місяців тому +1

    Without a protective shield NO ONE CAN TRAVEL IN SPACE!

  • @slabrankle9588
    @slabrankle9588 10 місяців тому +1

    Alan Stern flew to suborbital space today. Astronaut, ace researcher and Pluto planethood believer. What a guy.

  • @everydayearrape
    @everydayearrape 10 місяців тому

    Episode 420 next ;) Von Neuman probe terraforming? Communicating spore networks? Plant based neuromorphic computers?

  • @MrAST834
    @MrAST834 10 місяців тому +3

    this is basically Killzone's story

    • @bishopman2308
      @bishopman2308 7 місяців тому

      I was thinking the same thing. Lol

  • @ThisHandleIsDefinatelyTaken
    @ThisHandleIsDefinatelyTaken 10 місяців тому +1

    The scenario was really cool!

  • @DelaurentisDavis-ti4zc
    @DelaurentisDavis-ti4zc 10 місяців тому

    Love the episode, you have me anticipating every week...

  • @geefhotmail6311
    @geefhotmail6311 10 місяців тому

    Thank you for all the great videos man.

  • @ajr993
    @ajr993 9 місяців тому +2

    I think its likely that you do what was done in the Warhammer 40k universe. Colonies are sent with STCs to avoid rebellion. The STCs contain all necessary technology and replication, but the colonists themselves don't know how to create any of the technologies inherently. Unless the STC receives a continuous signal from earth every quarter or something, then the STC immediately shuts down and dooms the colony. Without access to any technology or technical details, it will be very difficult for a colony to restart itself. Likely all STC blue prints would be things like a factory to produce other stuff, so it would require re inventing literally everything technologically if the STC as to be shutdown. By the time you do that Earth fleet is up your rear.
    STCs also prevent colonists from making bad decisions. The STC won't allow you to create dangerous AI, or even write software at all. They won't let you create dangerous nano technology or anything else particularly risky. On top of that the STC could have an AI evaluating what the colonists are doing with the tech. Doing something suspicious would result in a shutdown of the STC unless colonists take immediate steps to stop what they are doing. On top of that, the AI would inject malware/ransomwhere into everything it produced. So if the colonists got clever somehow and avoided an STC shutdown, the malware would enable Earth fleet to broadcast a new signal ahead of arrival triggering the shutdown of any remote device. With this mechanism, Earth can keep a tight noose of control around colonies. Any attempt to rebel would be highly risky because you could be shut out of all your tech before you even knew what happened.

  • @ChickensAndGardening
    @ChickensAndGardening 10 місяців тому

    At these vast distances, an interstellar empire is simply impractical. Colonies should basically be completely self-sufficient and self-governing, albeit with occasional care packages arriving from Earth as resources allow.

  • @ggyggg2272
    @ggyggg2272 10 місяців тому

    Your ideas and concepts are amazing.

  • @royrogers3133
    @royrogers3133 10 місяців тому

    14:15 that poor man just trying to cross the street.

  • @MrFringehead
    @MrFringehead 9 місяців тому +1

    Even though we have evidence that our semi-nomadic ancestors engaged in sporadic violence, I speculate that in most cases where people found they had irreconcilable differences, one or more parties simply departed from the group home/camp and went off to do their own thing. After all, why escalate a conflict all the way to lethal force if no one is stopping you from simply leaving? Mass armed conflict didn't arise until after people established settlements that they couldn't (or wouldn't) abandon or concede to a rival group. Today, people with no polity or nation to call home often face the worst discrimination and abuse from established populations, to the extent that forced relocation is almost morally equivalent to murder.
    Once we have the capability to cross light years in a single lifetime (either by moving fast, extending life, or both), we can probably go anywhere we can imagine. If you think that someone might have a bullet with your name on it, why stay at potential Ground Zero when the universe is open and (as far as we know) unclaimed? When your capsule world is equipped with every luxury you desire, does it matter where it's located?
    One of the overt purposes of the "consumer" lifestyle under our dominant economic regime is to sap the "fight" from people by guaranteeing a luxurious lifestyle to those who wholly participate in the economy (and whom the tenders of that economy feel are worthy). So what incentive does any current world power have to equip a few individuals with our best technology, only to salute them as they scupper off to parts unknown? If they go rogue, finding and recalling them may be unachievable. Existing cultures have many psychological mechanisms to keep populations internally linked, but I don't think any of them stand a chance of surviving among the stars.

  • @uncleanunicorn4571
    @uncleanunicorn4571 10 місяців тому +1

    27:50. Reminds me of the planet miranda from the firefly universe, In the movie serenity. Good times, Unless you don't like getting skinned and cannibalized by rampaging psychopaths After a pacification drug back fires.

  • @ponyote
    @ponyote 10 місяців тому +1

    Obliteration is just so dang inconvenient. :D

  • @rodClark717
    @rodClark717 10 місяців тому

    So excited, best Thursday morning ever

  • @juragan_komodo
    @juragan_komodo 10 місяців тому

    I imagine if I came to Earth, because I had Chaostic situation in my Colonies and said.... 'Greetings, citizens of Earth, I am a descendant of Earth people from the second generation who traveled beyond the boundaries of the Milkyway Galaxy 800 years ago. I am a citizen of Planet 443 - Sector 10, Aurora Galaxy, 155 light years from your system. Happy to be able to set foot on the Planet of my ancestors'...
    🤣 this would be crazy if it came true. (Thanks to Star Citizen Games).

  • @humansustainability
    @humansustainability 9 місяців тому

    Interesting premise at the end about the fermi paradox. Can't grow past a certain size due to lack of a unified morality across planetary space.
    Humanity needs a common dream to expand.

  • @GenomancerBot
    @GenomancerBot 10 місяців тому

    I thought Isaac was doing some therapy for his speech? Haven't seen one of his vids in ages, and I thought he would make some improvements since then.

  • @WeUx6
    @WeUx6 10 місяців тому

    I listened to this guy in his early days. I come back and the comments make me think that no one has ever read a sci fi book.

  • @logansmall5148
    @logansmall5148 10 місяців тому +1

    I could see the homeworld just leaving an open threat, rebel and lose your planet.... Send a mile long tungsten rod 3 meters in diameter at 90% of light speed at the planet... Would be extremely unlikely to be spotted and would cause insane levels of devastation to the entire planet.

    • @boobah5643
      @boobah5643 10 місяців тому

      Why tungsten? That stuff is useful.
      Also, weird set of units for your RKM's dimensions.

    • @logansmall5148
      @logansmall5148 10 місяців тому

      @@boobah5643 Ok, how about measuring the length in furlongs? :P. And tungsten is very dense and has a high melting point.

  • @williansnobre
    @williansnobre 10 місяців тому

    I often think about this but on the smaller scale, with colonies on the Solar System and without FTL technology.

  • @oemboesadjah1722
    @oemboesadjah1722 10 місяців тому +1

    your work is truly amazing.fantastic fantasy scientific studies.
    Try making a science fiction study, namely the earth given a driving engine. A machine that can push the Earth towards exoplanets, moving closer to other galaxies.
    acceptable to science fiction fans & reasonable, given adequate resources on earth.

    • @virutech32
      @virutech32 10 місяців тому

      Gotta love Planet Ships. Isaac has an ep on em. Just the scale of such a thing. Very cool

  • @clan741
    @clan741 10 місяців тому

    With time and distance being so vast, something like space marines from 40k make more sense. Biologically immortal warriors who are devoid of anything except their loyalty to the empire, not once questioning going on millenia long crusades to crush rebels.

  • @floydlooney6837
    @floydlooney6837 10 місяців тому +1

    Long live the Nauru Galactic Empire!

  • @Kenji1685
    @Kenji1685 9 місяців тому

    That's a pretty cool thumbnail. 👍

  • @ArchAngelThomas
    @ArchAngelThomas 10 місяців тому

    Dammit. That's quite the viewing list on nebula.
    ....I won't need HBO max for a while.

  • @Mecca4BA
    @Mecca4BA 10 місяців тому

    This would make a pretty sweet movie.

  • @duane9830
    @duane9830 9 місяців тому

    Im glad this is close csptioned.

  • @thebitcoinknicksreport5673
    @thebitcoinknicksreport5673 10 місяців тому

    "People are a resource"...Negan.
    I always think of that when hearing about expeditions requiring new offspring.

  • @ShadowWolfTJC
    @ShadowWolfTJC 10 місяців тому

    I'd imagine that, out of all the types of interstellar empires that focus on acquiring and consolidating large amounts of resources, nomadic fleets of continent-sized motherships that stop by at the edges of solar systems to dispatch smaller fleets to strip-mine those solar systems of such easily-mineable resources as asteroids, small moons, and, if massive and resourceful enough, entire planets and stars (which they could take with them by building Shkadov thrusters onto said stars) would have as much problems with light lag as would more traditional interstellar empires who opt to settle various planets to strip-mine and send their resources back to their empire's capital world.
    Imagine how mighty and well-coordinated such a nomadic empire could be if it didn't have to restrict itself to settling some planet to call their homeworld, and could instead travel from system to system to grow its own powerbase.

  • @blakekendall6156
    @blakekendall6156 15 днів тому

    Nah, there wouldn't be any interstellar empires without ftl, but there would be interstellar civilizations. They'd just operate as more or less isolated societies, but without some filter to wipe civilizations out before they have relativistic travel, life must be rare for us to have not encountered other species by now.

  • @designsforutopia0.0
    @designsforutopia0.0 10 місяців тому

    Every interstellar war fleet has to bring his own MIT or DARPA
    Facilities with them. Anticipating on incoming information from their target.

  • @MoonMorningstar
    @MoonMorningstar 10 місяців тому

    As someone who lives on Luna, can confirm the settlers I'm expecting will rebel to keep the cheese for themselves, it's just that good

  • @MrKIMBO345
    @MrKIMBO345 10 місяців тому +7

    Star Wars. That is the example of this subject.

    • @h.plovecraftn-4307
      @h.plovecraftn-4307 10 місяців тому +2

      This is not a Star Wars this is reality human future expiration in outer space, Not a science-fiction but a science fact.

    • @bentwineham1986
      @bentwineham1986 10 місяців тому +6

      Gundam has entered the conversation.

    • @maltheopia
      @maltheopia 10 місяців тому

      I always figured that The Force was a rogue computronium nanobot swarm that colonized the Star Wars galaxy after the pre-FTL colonization waves fractured but before FTL was discovered.

    • @PaulSpades
      @PaulSpades 10 місяців тому

      Star wars is a children's story.

    • @Robocopnik
      @Robocopnik 10 місяців тому +1

      Nope, Gundam.

  • @ridoyempire829
    @ridoyempire829 10 місяців тому +1

    whats soundtrack in the background that starts from beginning of the video?

    • @isaacarthurSFIA
      @isaacarthurSFIA  10 місяців тому

      unexpected visitors, curved mirror

    • @ridoyempire829
      @ridoyempire829 10 місяців тому

      @@isaacarthurSFIA You have excellent choice in music. It added such a fantastic dimension to the content. Thank you

  • @blakekendall6156
    @blakekendall6156 15 днів тому

    Okay so the premise is that a system would go "rogue" but what does that look like? I mean, colonization at sublight speeds loses all commercial relevance, so these colonies are only really going to be motivated by people seeking freedom from established systems of governance. There is little other motivation. The only reason to import anything from another system would be if you exhausted all acceptable resources in system, and if that was all you needed, you'd be better off just sending robotics and A.I. to do the mining needed and send shipments back home, than send people to those systems. It would be a safer investment, because you would at least have the loyalty of your workforce. There wouldn't be any chance of creating an enemy.

    • @blakekendall6156
      @blakekendall6156 15 днів тому

      I would think that, a "rebel" group in another system would be more likely to be people who left the governance of a system, to be free, and some kind of natural disaster, or accident, or series of stresses, resulted in a breakdown of civil society such that some kind of abusive power structure came into being, but that doesn't automatically make them your enemy. Worst case scenario, one day they exhaust their system's resources and come to genocide your system so they can have your stuff, which could take millions or billions of years before things get that way. In the end, I think that interstellar conflict would most often be genocidal in nature, but that refugee migration from used up systems would be more common. Your greatest source of conflict would be within your own system.

  • @The_Foreigner_Belt
    @The_Foreigner_Belt 10 місяців тому

    I love this science fiction channel.

  • @herauthon
    @herauthon 10 місяців тому

    Don't forget the plasma matter converting - hunting for resources and dragging them into the converter - and casting new items from that - to expand the fleet or repairing there where needed.. hunters go out and drop boys where other parties pickup the found objects..

  • @tachyonryda9381
    @tachyonryda9381 10 місяців тому

    This needs to be made into a game.

  • @benjystrauss2524
    @benjystrauss2524 10 місяців тому

    The most likely scenario, at least in my mind, is that going from single-celled prokaryotes to space traveling primates is a bit easier than going from space traveling primates to space traveling primates who can get FTL by breaking physics. We most likely won't get FTL, until suddenly, after the galaxy is colonized, we do get FTL, and space operas begin unfolding in ways we can't possibly imagine fueled by physics we can't possibly imagine.

  • @andys30us
    @andys30us 3 місяці тому

    I once saw a television pilot with a similar concept that I liked, however the show failed. I can’t recall the name or the network.

  • @jeremy9256824
    @jeremy9256824 10 місяців тому

    New idea. Colonists leave planet on generational trip. Half way to the planet after 30 years they are intercepted by a newer class FTL ship from home with newer more advanced technology.

  • @ANTIStraussian
    @ANTIStraussian 9 місяців тому

    You have a cool voice, keep up the good work

  • @painfultruth1846
    @painfultruth1846 10 місяців тому

    Titanfall and the expanse are my favorite examples of this

  • @goiterlanternbase
    @goiterlanternbase 10 місяців тому

    28:40 I wish i could help you with a whole other option of civ's not staying technical but turning biological. You would see our future and the paradox in a entirely new way.
    I would love to tell the story of mankind never exceeding 0,0... % of light speed, but colonizing the Kuiper objects, being able to hop over to Bernards Star, when i comes in range, 20k years from now, but i guess that is not how the story goes and we will be on our way to the stars by that time as spores.