La Palma Mega Tsunami.mov
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- Опубліковано 14 жов 2024
- This movie shows a physics-based computer simulation of a Mega Tsunami generated by a flank collapse of La Palma, Canary Islands. The movie focuses on the maximum expected runup of the waves on the shores of the Atlantic Ocean.
For more tsunami/natural hazard information visit es.ucsc.edu/~ward.
2012- "Won't occur any time soon. "
-2021 has entered the chat.
The tsunamis in Japan in 2010 and Indian Ocean 2004 were far closer to any shore line than the Canary Islands to the USA east coast, had fault lines running deep and originating relatively off shore [ring of fire] for Japan, and both rolled up towards the respective shores where the devastation/tsunami occurred. Yes Africa and Spain affected, but you still have to take into account the direction and any immediate ocean streams/currents such as the canaries and north Atlantic Drift, fall off from the island itself and certainly on its' possible but NOT probable movement towards North America, you have to consider the effect of the deep abyss/trench, Gulf Stream, any and all storm formation and storm propagation/directions. NO not bloody likely that a Tsunami will originate and propagate across the entire Atlantic and swamp NYNY and/or Miami. For those of you that have a nice swimming pool maybe one that slopes down towards the center with the deep end in the middle, throw a golf ball as hard as you can into the shallow corner of the pool [not minding the liner or pool floor] and measure how high the pool water level rises at the opposite end. Try it with a kiddy pool even ... NOPE, why? deep sustained seismic action is required, much like a giant wave machine, and not on the other side of the Ocean. Math is a great tool, but you have to include a complete model when slamming together a bunch of numbers. You have to consider EVERYTHING!! A very wise and prosperous Engineer once told me that you can meet a lot of smart people at Universities, and in fact some of them are so smart that they are stup......
The irony in this ^^. Surprised this didn't happened last year...
Lol
I have it on good authority that archeologists made a mistake in translating Mayan inscriptions, transposing the last two digits. The apocalypse will happen in December 2021, not 2012.
Sorry for the late notice.
Cheers!
@@rjwiechman LOL Dang it, y'all!
The most underrated video on the platform because we thought it would never happen or that we were going to witness it.
I've always been a little surprised it hadn't happened sooner I recall the documentaries in the 70s and followed it closely over the decades. Where the last 10 years I've been warning people only to receive blank looks and a shrug. So how many people think the East Coast could evacuate in 8 hours. And that's if they warned in a timely fashion, if at all. My thoughts now as they have been, they will want to be ahead of everyone trying to get what government and Military infrastructure they can out. They can't do that with clogged highways. Anyone on the East Coast sees all the Navy moving what they can out to sea. Or convoys of government vehicles heading west or to high mountains, it's time to bug out warned or not. There's always deniers ........but how does that workout.
@@farmnranchapiarybeehiveser8120 Don't worry , you'll more likely win a big lottery before that mountain flops over.
@@1950Chimaera LOL I'm not worried, I live prepared not scared. Plus I don't live anywhere near the coast. And I am prepared to go for years without any infrastructure. I'm also not a Johnny come lately who just read something this last week off the internet. Seriously I've done extensive research on Cumbre Vieja. Remember watching the first documentaries about it in the 70s. And on my other UA-cam channel Ozark prepper I have more than enough information to Boggle one's mind. That's even after UA-cam destroyed half of it last week. As with most things the older information is much more reliable than the manipulated crap they feed the populist today. And I generally don't get my information from the internet. I kept my four sets of encyclopedias.
Curious when did you first hear of Cumbre Vieja? And have you ever researched for real ?
@@farmnranchapiarybeehiveser8120 My point was...It's NOT going to flop and pop a 100 meter wave all over the Atlantic Coasts. If the wave hits ANY shore, even Portugal and Spain, it will be only a ripple.
On DD, I have found good research by talented scientists...
Look farther down the posts following yours.
If the link is still good, you will find plenty of pertinent information.
I KNOW the US is safe from a bad wave, mon...
@@1950Chimaera odd...because theres plenty of evidence it will..oh have I mentioned the hundreds if not thkusands of people who have had visons and dreams forwarnings of this taking place?? Myself being one of them...
This just became relevant again
Fug
You beat me to it.
@@martymcfly2857 According to some weird auto translate you said “fleeing”
Just skip 'the bright side' part.
@@naturewatcher7596 I don’t want to die
One good thing about this video is the complete silence. No "creepy" music or a monotone voice.
and no Christian fundamentalists going on about prophecies :3
That makes it even more chilling tbh
DANIEL AT c.2, 34: Estabas mirando, hasta que una piedra fue cortada, no con manos, la cual hirió a la imagen en sus pies de hierro y de barro cocido, y los desmenuzó. EL SUEÑO DE DANIEL habla de esos pies de barro con hierro como EL ULTIMO IMPERIO europeo (euro-blanco-cristiandad).
De la manera que viste que del monte fué cortada una piedra, no con manos, la cual desmenuzó al hierro, al metal, al tiesto, á la plata, y al oro; el gran Dios ha mostrado al rey lo que ha de acontecer en lo por venir: y el sueño es verdadero, y fiel su interpretación. DANIEL AT c.2, 45.
THE END Apoc?
@@bestrafung2754
The Bible talks of the things we’re now seeing, friend! It’s all falling into place now. And I *promise* you He is real. Please seek Him with an open and humble heart-it’s the only way to find out for yourself if He’s really there. Blessing to you!! ❤️
now days became true
It's funny how nobody seems to be talking about this on the news.
They’re trying not to cause a major panic but it’s indeed selfish to not even give them the chance to seek shelter elsewhere
ПРИШЕСТВИЕ ИИСУСА ХРИСТА СВЕРШИЛОСЬ! ua-cam.com/video/2e29k1wfZ2M/v-deo.html🕊💚
This is why after the Tsunami of 2004 and Hurricane Katrina in 2005 many countries started buying and installing tsunami alarms and evacuation signs. There is an evacuation sign in the town next to me because I live about 3 towns away from the sea so if a major hurricane or tsunami were to happen then all of the people of that seaside town would have to evacuate towards our town.
@Mr R to the B but they'll cause it through other means. Lol. Ok.
@Mr R to the B But they don't hesitate to make people panic with the Covid just like if it was the black death... logic
I love the final message “on the bright side, there Is no evidence that this will happen anytime soon.” A lot can change in 9 years! I remember watching that 6 yrs ago and thinking Yellowstone isn’t the only volcano that could devastate us!
volcanoes are seriously dangerous, and we have lots of them, luckily there is warnings to when they erupt, and smart people do not build on the slopes of volcanoes nor downstream of past lava flows.
but people building housing estates on former farms on low lying river flood plains and then act all surprised when water comes up through the ground floor. (theres a reason nobody built there in the past...)
But at the same time, THAT potential future disaster could be the one thing WORST than La Palma!
Omg that's what I was just telling my boyfriend I'm over here worried because either way if it happens like they thought it would which half of what they said Is already happening image the tsami happening were fucked either way Yellowstone or tsami im scared
Get Off The East Coast!!!
@@joefish6091 and our whole east coast
If the tsunami comes towards you just remember to wear your masks and stay 6ft apart as you’re getting thrown around by the water. Remember safety first!😷
covid wave....
😄😷🌊☠
You gotta get vaccinated first.
Haha, lol.
?? what does this have to do with antything bro you will die anyway
Thank you for mentioning more than just the US! It was all I was hearing about in other videos, with me just sitting here in Portugal like I'm on the verge of death.
Portuguese speaking coasts would be the most affected by a major landslide in La Palma. Both Brazil and Portugal.
As long as youre not too close the the sea. Hopefully it wont be as bad as the last time Portugal had a tsunami 😬
In all the videos they didn't even mention the mediterraanean coast
I live roughly 20 km from the west coast in 80 m hight. Yeah..heading to the next higher mountain will be the only option. Will not have much time to bring all the stuff up to a safe area.
Well, if this were to actually occur the breaking waves at Nazare would be jaw-droppingly spectacular.
"Bright side is that this won't happen anytime soon."
September 13th, 2021 comes along.
You apparently aren't paying attention. A major earthquake swarm began at La Palma on 9/11.
Good time living in the Canarias now 😬
@@PP-ux9bh It won't be the main Volcano erupting. It will be more like a fissure eruption. This UA-cam Account is having some great fake news.
@@Paddy007
Too late. I already started looking for a place in the mountains.
@@PP-ux9bh I am on a boat i will be fine too just going a bot outside of the atlantic xD
Funny how they show water going "around" Florida instead of completely covering it.
Think it would take all of florida out?
If 2020 has taught us anything we should never doubt what we don't know. Always leave room for possibility.
"Welcome to La Palma airport, sir. Anything to declare?"
"Just this hammer and chisel."
This video was made 9 years ago!! Ive been hearing of ppl having dreams about this! Here we are.. we need to pray!
In september 2020 i saw in a dream like scary big wavs (hundreds of meters) then i saw myself in a very big ship then a girl told me "only be saved who are in the ship", then i saw the scary wavs an other time, im from north of Morocco, may God protect us all
What are the dreams?
@@RoseMidas I'm 62. When I was a teenager - 15-16, my mom had a dream of being on a beach. There were lots of people on the beach. She turned towards the water and saw a huge wall of water. Then she woke up. In dreams with super large waves, it means God's judgements are coming on that land. If the person is in Africa, the judgement will be on Africa. The US will no longer be a country, but islands swarming with demons. There will be NO humans. It is written in the bible. Revelation, Mystery Babylon. If you do not or have not accepted Jesus Christ as your savior, I suggest doing so now. For Now is the only time you've got. If you have accepted Jesus Christ as your savior, AND haven't had a good relationship with Him, start by READING your Bible, PRAYING - communication with your Creator, FASTING - a half day water only, PRAISING God, WORSHIPPING Gid. Don't understand all this? Search Jesus Christ and go from there. Do this quick. Time is running out.
@@bettyjackson6289 все правельно сейчас дам вам ссылку.... ua-cam.com/video/2e29k1wfZ2M/v-deo.html 💚🕊☝️🙏
@@bettyjackson6289 technically the US was never a country, it is and always has been a corporation owned by what we know now as the Roman Catholic Church. So considering what the Europe Have come and done in my land, it’s already swarming with devils. And those same devils forced religion on the true people of this land, including a false God, your Jesus. So, I do not accept the enemies made up image of a God that will never do anything for the people that IT was forced on. Instead I will seek the real Creator, documented in the ancient scribes centuries ago before anybody ever heard of Europe/Rome. Even your God said don’t fuck with those people
Excellent :) The only thing that's missing, is how far inland would this massive wave travel... would love to know that! Guess I'll have to go do some more research!
Aye yo you got any of that research?!? I’m trying to find this out too!
@@thehardrockhippie7118 Going off what happened in Japan and boxing day Indonesia, i believe the waves can travel at least 8mile inland depending on where you are etc. But im sure 8 mile was the furthest waves went inland then.
@@thehardrockhippie7118 if it would break off now. It would be impacted by at least one hurricane and that needs to be factored in also. The chances are higher for Florida. And the North east coastline. There could be approximately 30 ft waves. Predictions on Hirricanes can be way off. In size and surge.
@@jmsimmons3374 I’m up in the north east and have never had to even think of these events before. The worst we’ve had in Maine in my lifetime was “the ice storm of ‘98” I can’t imagine everyone actually on the island right now and how they’re feeling. Praying for the safety of everyone 🙏
I’m not sure how far away from the coast would be deemed safe for Maine so I’m trying to just stay updated and ready to move my family and pets to seek higher elevation if need be.
I read that here on the eastcoast a 100 foot wave would travel inland for 20 miles. It would have been HUGE over there however, maybe 10x higher at source. I also read that FL would be under water all the way to Tallahassee. Based on stuff I've read in general, the first one seems most accurate.
What happened to the Netherlands?!
Half of my country standing underwater before the wave even hits..
yeah well you guys are fucked. Better start building an arche
Any country/state/province in the danger zone, will be inundated, if it's at or below sea level. That's really bad news for places like Florida, which is where I live. :( The key to survival, is get to high ground!
Look at 2:17. You should be fine as long as protection can withstand a few meter rise in sea level.
I have bad news for you buddy
6ondab3ach ....
Seismic activity has exploded and an imminent eruption is expected. Stay tuned and pray.
Oh I’m praying alright.
Hmm.. maybe living in Canary Islands isn’t so great. I might consider a vacation in the swiss alps
Small landslides are happening
@@AnitaBarneycastle which is normal when it comes to lose rock. Look out for landslide la Gomera.
There are harmonic tremors happening.
Watching it erupt live today - Sunday, 9/19/21 - it's pretty intense.
Bruh. This video is almost 10 years old. This is, at the very least, unsettling.
canary islands are one of my favorite places in the world :(
It just happens
More people need to see this, ASAP!
As of today Nov 3, 2021 is it possible a mega Tsunami could hit the East coast?
Finally someone including the Caribbean, you know, like people live there too.
"On the bright side, there is no evidence that this will happen any time soon..."
2021: ...and I took that personally
2021: Well that was a fucking lie.
This video could see a rise in views in the near future.
And a rise in surfboard sales
Most definitely!!😂
This would be terrifying if this happens in my lifetime, I live in Portsmouth (pop 225,000) on the south central coast of England, for a city averaging only 9 feet above sea level, it would essentially destroy most of the infrastructure there, but giving the fact that Britain had a tsunami warning system installed in 2012, we might get some information a couple of hours before the waves arrive to see what height they would be, but 10-20+ metre high waves is devastating on any coast line in the world let alone southern England! 😯
You wouldn't have to worry too much. People would have reported tsunami's in Africa, Iberia and France before it reaches you.
Depends on how far you have to go to get to High Ground if that High Ground is close to the Shoreline the water will rise up the side much further than the wave height was. There is a simulation of what happened in the landslide in Alaska in 59. Don't know much about your coastlines but in the US we have nuclear plants lining them. If you have similar the jet stream will carry that radiation right over you. Now would be the time to get your potassium iodine. And don't forget infrastructure like shipping ports and others will be totally wasted. Not to mention the tens of millions of people that will likely die. Hopefully most will get there evacuation route in order and put away supplies if they live on the coast they should think about renting a storage unit further inland to stock up with food and clothes since they'll be nothing left to return to at least they won't be dependent on a government system that no longer exists. Besides this simulation there are many documentaries going back to the 70s unfortunately UA-cam decided to scrub most of them this last week.
@@farmnranchapiarybeehiveser8120 would it reach Surrey in the UK
Dreamt it 2012 it's huge better find Highlands soon August 2024 it's coming to theater near u mid August say other dreamers search utube there many many reports of dreams it sounded like Niagara falls to me
Ingomar200:this will not happen any time soon
2021:I’m about to end this whole mans career
I’m only 10 and I live in a area where there is going to be lower than 10m and I do not want to die 😰
@@ilikecountryballs2212 Honey, I will ask God to cover you with his hand and protect you. You truly will not die, child. Do not worry.
@@Bfreerdie 💞💞🙏🙏💞💞
I not really worried anymore😅
i just hope plenty of people have got a 4k GoPro when this happens
truthfilter it hopefully doesn't happen for 5,000 more years
truthfilter don't worry you'll get to see a lot of drone footage. :D
And waterproof and floaters on them so we can recover them.
@@robcox8220 hello form the future, we are experiencing a rise of earthquakes on la Palma, which suggest that a volcano could be incoming, not that it will cause the island to break, but just so you know it c:
Just got mine I'm in GA and volcanoes active. You'll get your wish friend as everyone knows the cameraman cannot be harmed
No problem guys, if you live near La Palma when the tsunami hits, just make sure you're in a boat. If you're in southern UK, wear swimming trunks. If you're in the US, build a wall and get Spain to pay for it.
LOL I hope it s all fake
What is funny is that the places against building a wall will get hit the hardest
Peter Rasputin
It's a joke...
"build a wall and get Spain to pay for it."
BEST REPLY YET!
It's not fake. Look it up. There is a lot of history on that problem. With the latest Earthquakes in the area, this could cause a huge problem for the globe.
TRUTH
The basic research which was done is correct. That is not in dispute. There is a fault, some movement has been detected and there is a volcano which will probably erupt again.
BUT .....
1. The existing fault is only 4km long, but it was extrapolated to 25km for the computer model. Worse still, the position of the fault line was ignored for the model and a fictitious line on the other side of the mountain ridge was used instead, 2 to 3km further away!.
2. The rock on La Palma is a mixture of very porous lava and well faulted and open basaltic layers which will not permit a build up of (steam) pressure.
3. There is an old deep-seated volcanic core between part of the fictitious fault and the sea. This will block the proposed landslide along part of its length.
4. The base of the proposed structure which is supposed to slide is placed at 2km under the surface ... there is no evidence to support this. There is evidence to indicate that previous landslides have been superficial and not deep-seated.
5. There is strong evidence from reliable expert sources that any landslide will not occur in one massive collapse.
6. There is no evidence to support the theory that any catastrophic landslide would attain the extremely high speeds needed to crate a Tsunami.
7. The computer model was based on algorithms used for under sea linear earthquakes. This algorithm is not relevant to the La Palma situation because a La Palma landslide would cause a 'single point event' which would disperse quickly.
8. There is strong evidence to suggest that previous landslide generated Tsunami were very short lived and dissipate within a few hundred kilometres. Some were not even noticed at a distance to 25km
+Allen Burt, at first, I was ready to dismiss your response, but when I clicked "read more", I decided that you have the right mindset.
For those that have dismissed this guy's comment. I recommend you click "read more" and read the whole thing. This guy has his facts right. This is one of the best UA-cam comments I've seen in long time. Not the funniest, but the best.
Lachlan Lewis Thank you for recognizing the validity of my post. On this issue of whether or not the La Palma landslide/tsunami threat is real rests on the physical geological make-up of the island. I don't understand where the information about the structure formation of the island originated from, but it seems to be a fictional scenario.
As to WHY they are pushing the story, I'm even more at a loss. This has seriously affected the tourist contributions to the economy in the Canary Islands. It would seem to me the legal representatives of the islands could and SHOULD sue for their losses.
There is more pertinent information available online that could contribute to the wisdom behind the situation.
LL, I am glad you appreciate the post for what is is worth: the factual truth
It is sad to see so many brainless posts all over the internet, particularly on UA-cam about other issues all over the world.
There are SO many comments based on NOTHING but imagination that are affecting real people in the real world, and it is a damned shame, because there are many issues that deserve good exposure and debate. Instead we have to read total crap.
Fibiyuhati
Not to mention the energy difference between a "landslide" and the shifting of tectonic plates.
Jeez man wtf
I love the Canaries, I really hope this does not happen in the next 500 years.
Matt's Epic AdventureMe too. We speculate that the odds of a major collapse amount to a few percent per century.
Ingomar200 are you a seismologist? You also seem to know your information about these future disasters, especially the fall of la cumbre vieja
Matt & Bethan after that it's fair game then haha.
Matt & Bethan don't think it will be a concern of your's 50, 60 years out.
it will happen in 500 years we are all fine
Obi Wan will be fine he has the high ground.
I clicked on this video seeing what could happen, praying friends and family heed. Its totally relevant again. September 2021
2:14 Why is The Netherlands half painted? It is submerged already?
Hahahahaha 🤧🤣
Holly crap, and this video is already nine years old!
... Now the volcano just broke out!
2012- "on the bright side, there is no evidence that this will happen anytime soon"
2021-🌋"hold my beer" 🌋
It ain't funny
Thank you for this work. You have helped many.
Hey, is there any possibility for you to analize the propagation of this tsunami across the Amazonas River? Would the 40m waves follow the massive water body of rivers through the Brazilian north coast? Where can this tsunami reach?
Thank you for your amazing job!
Just came back here because La Palma is all over the news with yellow alert for volcanic activity.
For those on the east coast of the USA that 30 meters shown is about 90 feet !
Well that’s crazy cause I’m getting about 50 meters which is about 164 feet I’m fucked.
We will get wiped out here in NJ.
Even a tsumani surge of only 30 meters would be disastrous for Miami in Florida (Florida being basically an ancient shallow seafloor plane that has been exposed to air thanks to slightly lowered worldwide sea levels, so a 30 m tsunami will get as far as 12.5 miles inland with no ridges or sharp changes in elevation to blunt it) and New York City. Particularly Manhattan in New York, given the whole island and surrounding Burroughs are less than 30 meters above sea level. You'd see every skyscraper in that city get swamped with water up to the 5th floor.
What about New Jersey ,would all of NJ be gone ? Sorry to even ask but this is extremely worrisome. I never saw this till now and had no idea , something like this could even happen.
Add 2018:
The ground that previously already moved downwards is on the move again, huge fissures are seen now on the top ridge and to add more to the concern, this time it also involves the western and southern part of the volcano, so this slide will be way bigger then shown here with the info known back then. And as it seems, it may not even take 10 more years for it to happen.
Very true I feel a little Vindicated after all the blank stares and shrugs I've had over the decades. Earthquakes and volcanic activity are not only on the rise but pressure is building expect a series of extremely large Global Quakes to start happening within the next year too. And biblically Cumbre Vieja is the second Trump in the Bible. Revelations 8 :8 first Trump is large hail, fire and brimstone hail around the world is on the increase as well as the size. And much of the world is experiencing much of the land being consumed by fire. Brimstone is sulfur it can be found in the interior of the Earth. But it's also found in Stony meteorites. We have a large Stony meteorites cluster that is approaching Earth in the last week we've had several extremely large meteors just miss. There's likely some that have hit that we haven't heard about, especially if they hit in the oceans which course this planet mostly is. so on that event happens and you will know for sure that it has or is. Expect Cumbre Vieja to go next. Then the global earthquakes 8-9 possibly higher.
If you're in this Tsunami's trajectory, your only hope is that the mountain collapses in small chunks instead of one giant chunk crashing into the ocean.
Thankfully that's what most experts are expecting to happen. It usually breaks apart in stages. So that would mean 3-4 small tsunamis (20-30m waves) instead of 1 mega tsunami with 100-200+ meter waves.
Then again experts are wrong sometimes so yeah no one can really know for sure how large the waves will be or if it will happen at all.
Experts are mostly wrong all the time.
@@pnunezaguila experts also made the worse case scenario prediction. So who knows? 😐
It just erupted ‼️ let’s pray 🙏 nothing bad happens
Who is here on Sep 2021?
Where are you Dr. Steven Ward - the media is trashing your original study and subsequently your reputation. Many of us would love to hear your rebuttal/current event opinion. What is your professional assessment of the events occurring now in La Palma and should those of us that like to err on the side of caution find a way to leave the east coast for maybe the next couple of weeks?
I would!
Increíble este video es del 2012 y está sucediendo en el 2021 !!!
no va a suceder
@@albaguzmanperez2633 SIP !
Dios porfavor que esto no occura en el nombre de Jesús ten misericordia y ayúdanos
@@maribelfernandez8755 Si Maribel como va el volcán que no se apaga si hay un terremoto debajo del volcán se puede hundir toda la parte sur de la isla, no lo digo yo, LO DICEN LOS VULCANÓLOGOS Y CIENTÍFICOS y este video es del 2012 !!!!
Hello. I found your channel in the comments section of a video from Leak Project channel about the schumman resonance spike. Great work. Awesome content.
2012: the end of the world
2021: nah, swap your 2 last numbers.
"On the bright side there is no evidence this will happen soon"
You sure about that ?
Well. The video says the isle would literally fall apart, not that a volcano erupting would do this.
Odds have changed dramatically on this one chief
Definitely!! It would be nice to see an update on the situation from them ..... it’s most certainly NOT going to be centuries now!
Jeremiah 51:42 - "The sea has come up over Babylon; She is covered with the multitude of its waves."
But this isn't going to effect Iraq...
Mystery Babylon in Revelations 18 could very well be the United States with DC as capital and NY as the city mentioned. Verse 21 might be this tsunami
@@chriscan6584 Lots of "coulds" and "mights" there.
Could you bible freaks stay away from videos for 5 damn minutes? Jeez
The fuck does this even mean? Are you going to post this on any mildly big wave that could happen in the next 1 to 1000 years? Honestly fuck off.
Cumbre vieja. Canary island volcano is actually active at this very moment. Anything can happen.
“Won’t occur anytime soon”
“Here, hold my rum and Coke”
~2021
The bright side is that this was studied extensively and determined that failures happen in many small pieces over time, instead of a single large event. So tsunami risk is minimal.
Revelation 8:8...
It will happen
@@yerasmus4025 wrong
Except there is ample proof re: Fogo.
@@lhaviland8602 There is proof of much, much larger slides from Hawaii (e.g. Nu’uanu Slide), and there is some chance, however remote, of an extreme collapse event (~500 cubic km) at La Palma. However, the return period on such events and their overall prevalence in the record, especially as studied in the Canaries, is so minimal as to be meaningless from a public policy perspective, beyond continuing to simply monitor them and study and model flank collapses. It’s like with flooding and public safety-You plan for a 100-year flood, or even a 1000-year flood, but not the 10,000-plus-year flood (and the extreme 500 cubic km event at La Palma is more like a 500,000-year flood). And when the big collapses occur, the sedimentary record shows they occur in multistage fashion, not all in one large single event. Beyond the multistage nature of the landslide and its instantaneous size, the viscosity/rheology, which controls the speed, of the landslide, is critical as well-the less viscous, the faster they displace water, and the bigger the resulting wave. So even it’s not even enough to say that it could occur just as a result of its large size. Smaller flank collapses in the 20-80 cubic km range are quite possible in the next several centuries, and these smaller events should and are being planned for.
Here are some important papers to check out: (I’m not posting URLs or DOIs because YT will delete my comment, so just Google them)
Hunt et al. (2013). *Multistage collapse of eight western Canary Island landslides in the last 1.5 Ma: Sedimentological and geochemical evidence from subunits in submarine flow deposits.* Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 14, 2159- 2181.
Watt et al. (2021). *Volcanic-island lateral collapses and their submarine deposits.* In M. Roverato, A. Dufresne, & J. Procter (Eds.), Volcanic Debris Avalanches (pp. 255-279). Springer International Publishing.
Abadie et al. (2020). *La Palma landslide tsunami: Calibrated wave source and assessment of impact on French territories.* Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20(11), 3019-3038.
Tehranirad et al. (2015). *Far-field tsunami impact in the North Atlantic Basin from large scale flank collapses of the Cumbre Vieja volcano, La Palma.* Pure and Applied Geophysics, 172(12), 3589-3616.
Grilli, A. R., & Grilli, S. T. (2013). *Far-field Tsunami Impact on the U.S. East Coast from an Extreme Flank Collapse of the Cumbre Vieja Volcano (Canary Islands)* (Research Report CACR-13-03). Center for Applied Coastal Research.
Grilli et al. (2020). *Simulation of Global Tsunami Hazard along the U.S. East Coast.* (Research Report CACR-20-02). Center for Applied Coastal Research.
But how far inland would this tsunami go? We had a 10+meter double tidal wave hit southern Rhode Island in the Hurricane of 1938 and it killed about 400 people and demolished the immediate coastline but just 1/2 mile away there was no affect from the tidal waves. There have been claims that a 30 + meter tsunami would basically wash over all or RI and we've have to make it to Hartford, CT (50 miles inland) to be safe but is that true, I doubt it.
That’s what I’m wondering, I’ve heard we’d have to go 15-20 miles inland. That’s what different people have said recently.
Has anyone else found that Simpson’s clip a little unsettling? Where it shows the island missing a chunk exactly where the volcano is? Kinda strange considering that’s almost exactly how we see the island represented here after the slide occurs.......
Yeah that was strange also tenerife also had area missing which at the moment looks very possible. A square area to north which lies low currently so would be washed out look closer at that one
@@gardndeman6513 I really appreciate people being willingly to discuss these things. I’m not one of those doomsayers who thinks that these are calculated, concerted efforts by secret societies with ultimately malevolent and manipulative sentiments and desires.......however, I also don’t see anything wrong with discussing strange coincidences and seeing how they relate to our every day lived experiences.
2020: "Ha, I was the worst year of this century!"
2021: "Hold my beer..."
2020: Prepare for trouble!
2021: And make it double!
The second angel blew his trumpet, and something like a great mountain, burning with fire, was thrown into the sea...
scary true....
he blew his load
wait this is not end yet
@@blueband7319 how do you know that?
@@savannahappleby1259 the rift zone is not producing some crack of collapse so ya
Well ...looks like this is a “right now” possibility... November 2021
Have you allowed for lessening density factors on dissipation at extremities, depth, temperature ?.
Came here because of what is going on now & I'm now aware of how serious this is. Wow!
Don't be alarmed yet! Even if it hits the coastline of USA would only be about 30 feet, which is too much, but there won't be a 100 ft wave. The people on u tube who fear monger, should be booted off of here.
@@jmsimmons3374 uh
Según la comunidad científica que sigue actualmente la erupción del cumbre vieja, esto es bastante improbable ¿cual es su opinión actualmente? Gracias
But, as it travels down the English Channel from west to east, the channel progressively narrows, therefore the waves will get a lot higher with the same amount of wave force behind them? 50m at Cornmall and 150m at Folkestone/Dover?
The channel also gets increasingly shallow, increasing wave drag massively and slowing the tsunami incoming speed to more of a massive inrushing tide than a wall of water
This is just bewildering!! And it isn't that we don't believe it or respect it, it's just that nobody wants it to happen.. ever❗
Just remember to anyone that may be affected, film in the horizontal/landscape position. :P
Looks like it’s time to seek King Jesus first! Only God can prepare us for when this is coming very soon!
This might be the end of planet earth 😩😩
Amen🙏🙇
لا اله الا لله وعيسى عبد الله
Amen very true
Amen! That’s my prayer that people would turn to Jesus before it’s too late
Greetings. I would like to know who made this fantastic simulation? Is it published?
Ward & Day, 2001 is the paper providing the data for this worst-case sim
It would be very 2021 to have this happen
If this where to happen would people on the canaries have time to evacuate and the other Islands my mum lives on fuerteventura and I'm so worried for her coz you could only evacuate by air by the sound of it
God is warning us. Time is short
💯
how far inland would that wave travel?...
Volcano now erupted. Not good for someone living on the coast as myself.
Very useful video. Thank you for making this.
Looking at the geology and topography of the island, there is a big crack running up the middle of the island from the southern tip to just about half way up and this crack is at the top of a steep incline on both sides, west and east! The western flank dropped 4m in the late 1940s, but no more since. The good news is that this volcano's main vent is at / near the northern end of the crack / ridge and there seems little sign of any new vents opening up further south along, or near it. If no further vents apear, then I think / hope the western flank will hold firm. BUT if new vents start appearing further south along / near the crack / ridge, then my optimism for the flank holding will diminnish. Thankfully, from what I've been reading and watching, there seems little sign of this happening anytime soon! Keep watching! I'm hoping / praying this eruption will NOT cause a mega tsunami!
This will happen soon because of the erupting volcano which appears to be getting worse will inevitably cause a major landslide. Everyone should evacuate the island before it’s too late .
I live in the Azores islands, by calculations where I live I'd show 70-80m waves coming by, it would destroy 100% of the populated area, the chance of surviving in a disaster like that is pretty much 0% because we would have no information regarding the collapse and when we get it, it'd be too late, the only way to survive would be in the highest points that are about 800-1000m high which you'd have to be the luckiest person if you were there.
Another small fun fact I tell my friends about it, we have earthquakes, volcanos, hurricanes, landslides, floods, and ocean tides that can destroy even a 20m pure concrete wall in the port and throw rocks the size of cars like pebbles and now catastrophic tsunamis.
Feels good to live here.
What do you think about some people saying your island may have been Atlantis in ancient times
9 years in geological terms is like the video saying this won't happen anytime soon, the
a half second late it happens.
What would happen to Massachusetts? Like if you live about 2 hours off the coast on the border of new Hampshire and Massachusetts? I'm nervous 😅
If you live more than 10-15 miles off the coast, you'd be fine. Well sort off. I mean as far as a tsunami could go anyways.
John Deer I live in southeastern Massachusetts, about 5 miles inland. With 8 hours notice I could easily walk another 5 miles inland. Though we'd probably be waiting for my wife to get ready, so there's a few hours off the top. :)
LOL you know that's kind of what I figured. The ocean massive compared to the plunging land mass. But wasn't sure if somehow the waves amplified over distance or something. Thanks for putting my mind at ease.
If the land is a flat coastal plain, it'll go far. If the coast is a hill and high enough, it won't go far at all except up any river and creeks that flow into the sea.
I saw a special about tsunamis right after the one that hit Malaysia and one part of it talked and showed La Palma volcano and what will happen at first before the tsunami hits the coast is the significant drop and retreating water going way out leaving hundreds or thousands of feet of beach that's been under water exposed. Then in just minutes the very high and huge wall of water of at least 100 feet in height comes in at high speed.
Later estimates have questioned the assumptions made by Ward and Day 2001, mainly with regards to the following:[109]
The authors employed a linear tsunami model that may not properly reflect non-linear processes such as wave breaking that could reduce the height of the resulting tsunami by a factor of about 10.[110][7] Wave dispersion might also act to reduce tsunami height since the wave induced by the Ward and Day 2001 landslide behaves as an intermediate-water depth wave.[111]
The estimated speed and acceleration of the landslide may be unrealistically high for the slopes it would move on, and thus inadequate to establish effective coupling between the tsunami and the landslide.[112] Later research has found evidence that sufficient speeds have been reached during collapses at other volcanoes.[113]
The landslide modelled by Ward and Day 2001 may be implausibly thick given the known volumes of Canary Islands mega-landslides, and collapses may have occurred in multiple steps rather than a single failure[114][7] or may have a smaller volume.[115] The thickness of the landslide is a particular issue, as different estimates have been obtained at various volcanoes.[116] Another issue is whether giant landslides occur as a single step failure (as argued for Hawaiian giant landslides) or multistage failures (as appears to be more common in the Canary Islands)[117] and stacking in turbidite deposits generated by landslides are a reliable indicator that these landslides occurred in piecemeal fashion.[118]
In general, many of these studies have found lower wave heights at distance than the original Ward and Day 2001 paper.[119] There are also questions about the southern limit of the width of the unstable zone,[120] about whether creep might stabilize it[121] and about whether it actually exists at all.[122]
La Palma erupted a few hrs ago! So far its spewing lava and ash. Let,s hope it it doesn,t produce a blast or larger earthquake.
Does this take into consideration variations in continental shelf profile? If not, its speculative only.
Who's here after the Volcanic yellow alert of 13 Sep 2021?
SWFL here..
We will be fine. Only concern here rests with Lake O’s dike....
Im in Azores and i just got scared watching this hope we all are safe and hope it doesn’t happen😱
I can't believe this is about to happen, God bless humankind
God be with us all.
How's it going, past?
Kinda interesting how long ago this video was made. I read a bunch of people in chats, mock people who mention this. Even telling people to put on their tin foil hats. They better get their tin foil canoe ready!
Same People Mocking "Conspiracy Theorists" on tik tok. 3 Weeks after the Jab, 🤪💀💀
why i live in La Palma D:??
Good luck mannn :-/
::(
Tranquilos, en Canarias habrá pocos metros de altura luego se expande hacia ee.uu
Uff menos mal xd
Navideño alocado
le podremos cobrar por derechos de desastre ??? o le exigimos que nos paguen por no saltar mas de la cuenta en las romerias por si acaso ??? jijiji que bueno
_"And with the odds of collapse at just a few percent each century"_ Laughs in 2021... We're in danger.
Is this code for, yes go sell your coastal condominium, since in the video it says this will not happen anytime soon, don't rush to sell your coastal condominium?
Let's hope this video (and this comment) continue to age like a delicious Chateau Latour wine not like a a bottle of Wisconsin plonk matured by millions of decatonnes of muddy salt water.
Any chance you'll do more localized videos for this scenario like you did with New York and Boston?
None.
Localized where?
👈 you might punch that Avatar and look under survival pods. UA-cam removed most, but there's still plenty there. It's unfortunate because I've been following Cumbre Vieja for decades and had much information. Especially more than a dozen videos from the 70s and 80s all gone.
It's safe to say if the event happens and it likely will at some point life on Earth will be dramatically changed. It is the second Trump in Revelations 8:8.
Keep in mind dozens of nuclear reactors line the Shores throughout. That means dozens of Fukushima's. (Think potassium iodine tablets) If you live on the coast get your evacuation route down and plan to go. depending on where you're at dozens to 100 of mi, perhaps more. I could say if you were in Florida just get completely out of the state. Personally I think about getting a small storage unit far inland on High Ground, and rural. Store food, clothing, water and water purifier, tent get the idea makes a whole lot less to carry or think about. Also gives you a base to go to. Many of the island countries Jamaica Haiti Cuba all but the highest mountains these islands will be devastated.
If you're in the US pay attention you may not get an evacuation notice in timely fashion. if you should see government or military convoys heading west or to Higher Ground bug out.
@@farmnranchapiarybeehiveser8120 Considering the recent disastrous pullout of Afghanistan, I wouldn't count on the military anymore...
@@dodge1515 got that right although it had been planned perhaps as far back as the Albert Pike letter of the 1870s. Pull it up and read it ignore all the recent propaganda. That litter exist. In fact in my old encyclopedias. After all the CIA created Al-Qaeda, Isis whatever they want to call them. (Satanic Army). And now many countries around the world are formulating a Alliance with Iran. And that pull out our military left billions of dollars worth of equipment All By Design. As far as counting on the military or government I have been preparing since the 70s for what is happening today. I stepped my game up in 92 with the signing of Agenda 21. That's also when are government decided to remove monopolies. Swiftly the Takeover of the media in this country happened. Since then we've had two generations who are extremely dumb down individuals. No I live life as normal. All I do is rotate while replacing what little supplies needed. It is a comforting feeling. In fact I just got back from a late night flight in my airplane. LOL By the way I screwed up and had the wrong website when I pointed at the avatar. My other website is Ozark prepper. Unfortunately I keep reposting and ooTube keeps removing.
On the bright side, oh wait La Palma is suddenly pissed off.
Nicely done.
2:10 so you've preventively inundated the Netherlands before the waves even reach us. Gee, thanks 🤣
It's happening
Looks like this animation is about to be tested.....God Bless U S All!
Yeah, really hope the US survives the 20-30meter waves, while some other parts of the globe get 100m plus! God bless the USA 🤦♂️
God bless U.S.A ? Fooka usa god bless in the word egoístas do caralho !
30 meters - 100 foot wave to hit the eastern seaboard. Wave that size and the speed will make it go as far as 10-15 miles since the land is flat coastal plain.
It's an uneducated guess...
I live on la Palma. I’m here right now , the volcano has wrecked Culturally and social havoc here. So many people have left. And the ones that stayed in the same. This will take a generation to recover from.
Would this reach Newquay on the south west coast in the U.K.?
Bright side this won't be happening anytime soon....
September 2021 hold my beer
"Won't occur anytime soon"
2021: And I took that personally...
Shit is getting wild! What happens next? Yellowstone finally erupts and destroys USA and blackens the sunlight? Crazy times...
@@damonnugent1993 It's very likely La Palma and the Cascadia subduction zone will go off first, as one is overdue and another is rearing its ugly head right now.
Yellowstone's magma is 100 feet underground right now (the pockets of melted earth, not necessarily the magma chamber itself) so the land is stretching like a wet graham cracker. :/
So, yeah... things are about to become very wild.
@@damonnugent1993 Cascadia subduction zone may slip too hitting the whole ring of fire coasts! That's my guess. I predict Oct 7 8 or 9. Probably the 8th
@@gardengirl7446 Okay, you need to chill >:D
@@alanwayne7643 I am chill :)
The only country holding there beers are the Dutch. They build an insane delta management system to resist these catastrophes. Insane and so clever if you ask me.
Nothing can protect them from God if he wants them to perish
I got here from watching videos of glaciers calving just because I thought it was cool looking. I see I'm late to the apocalypse party. This is probably not the best thing to be watching before bed.
Just asking , is the molten lava hollowing out thet center of the entire vent that will cause it to collapse causing a landslide
Tsunami.?
Just when the world was asking,
Can things get any worse.OMG