Can't do much from here in Aus 🇦🇺 but I feel Allan’s going to be wrong this time. That and the nightmare of installed Trump cronies at local, state and federal levels holding a Harris win up anyway.
@@maxrebo8455 I can't either from Switzerland, but I doubt very much that he'll be wrong, and I'm sure that every election he's ever predicted has had people saying he'll be wrong "this time". But yes, the risk of installed Trump cronies is something all people involved will need to pay close attention to. And of course, a prediction is not a guarantee, so people still need to vote.
@@glennhudson4827 Polls will never be correct. They are not just snapshots in time, but extremely limited samplings of the voting population too. Even then, polling makes an assumption that those polled answer truthfully. Lichtman's model is based on who actually won or lost presidential elections in the past, and the factors in play at the time based on the data he presumably collected while devising the predictive model. So it used a complete snapshot of each election, even if by limited resolution. I imagine there is probably a lot more numbers involved than he makes it sound like though.
Well the Republican sycophants took care of that issue in North Carolina by the Republican led Supreme Court voting in favor of RFK dropping out of the race, even though he missed the due date to drop out. Which in turn caused the electoral process to be forced to throw out millions of already printed ballots. This literally just happened.
Agreed. In those areas that offer early in-person voting I encourage people to do that. When polls close those are secure and will tabulate very quickly
People should also focus on winning the House and Senate with some margin. That is what's needed to ensure the possibility for Harris to actually start building safeguards for democracy.
Yes, we need the house, senate, and speakership. Vote blue up and down the ballot. Jim Jordan, Byron Daniels, Tom Cotton, Krysten Sinema, Rick Scott, Josh Harley, Ted Cruz and all the other Republicans up for re-election must be voted out. 🇺🇲🇺🇲💙💙🇺🇲🇺🇲
Yes. We need the House and Senate so the John Lewis Voters Protection bill can get passed. Will put an end to political gerrymandering, make election Day a holiday or move it to a weekend along with other improvements and protection for voters.
I guess the locks must have been changed because his keys didnt work one bit. Not in the Presidency. Senate, or the house. And in none of the 7 swing states. Throw those old keys in the TRASH!! 😂😂
I am so glad to find Professor Lickman. I love him and his keys.
4 місяці тому
How bout we make sure we do go out and vote and not rely on a prognosticator. Not saying you are or do but you will agree, these folks are human, they are fallible and they got it horribly wrong in 2016! HARRIS/WLATZ 2024!!!!
The one before that was '88. Since then they've won the White House twice by virtue of the electoral college and against the will of the majority of voters in the country. Do better. ✌️😋
Professor Lichtman is an American treasure! His keys are also accurate when applied retroactively back to 1860, when the Republican Party was first established.
Vote!!! Never trust these prefictions! The only way to make it happen is through VOTING VOTING VOTING!!! Otherwise we may look at victory for the other side!!!
Most of the last 10 presidential elections have been readily predictable without the need for any complex “model.” There is never going to be a model that can predict all presidential elections, because each election is unique. Such as what happened to Biden only four months before the current election.
Yes, Allan Lichtman has said so himself. He really ought to make that point at the beginning and the end of every video he makes between now and the election.
She won! Yes we still need to vote and the only election he didn’t predict correctly is 2016 when Dump cheated. He is doing the same thing now trying to cheat:
That prediction is good news for everyone in Western Europe, but one can only hope no-one in America becomes complacent and does not stop doing everything possible to ensure Kamala Harris does become the next President.
@someguy_6398 Fine, all things considered. But sure we live in tense times where trust and confidence are needed. We need a NON-Trump presidency to continue working on those things i mentioned. And with "we" i also mean the U.S.
@@LarryFleetwood8675neither Comey nor Jordan could produce a shred of evidence to support their attempt to impeach Biden. I’m going to go out on a limb and assume you have less access to Biden’s activities than they do. You guys continue to spew BS.
This is not about Trump. It is whether the truth and reality Trump represents wants to be with the American people. If Harris wins, then a significant majority will want a government that has policies actively avoids connection with reality (e.g. transgender - denies basic man/women foundations, wars of any kind - denies that were are 1 people and supports the segregation, further enrichment of the left so that they can manipulate people easier for next election)
That's the main problem I have with the guy, regardless of his presidential skills/abilities,he needs to act like an adult first and foremost.He gives me the impression that he's trying to make people laugh and that he thinks he's still in his prime.Wannabe comedians he don't act their age don't strike me as someone who would be a good president.
@@Tony-hu7uk Can you hear how ridiculous your argument sounds? You are essentially calling people up to NOT be themselves, and instead to be the image you want them to be.
I'm just tired of seeing Trump and his ilk. I want a return back to sober reality and grown ups making informed decisions. Let's get positive about the future again.
The problem is, Trump might run again in 2028 if he loses to Kamala. His GOP minions wouldn't challenge him. He is now like the Pied Piper of Hamelin. His MAGA base are like the rats that followed the piper in the famous kids story.
@@WAEVOICEinformed decisions like focusing on policy instead of claiming immigrants are eating cats and dogs. Informed decisions like giving families with newborns $6k in tax breaks to help them afford the expenses of adding a member to their family. Informed decisions like focusing on policies to increasing houses by 3,000,000 by the end of her first term instead of yelling “drill baby drill” when Americans ask “trump, how are you going to help my kids afford housing?” Informed decisions like protecting and codifying abortion access to the half of population that require those medical services instead of stripping them of those rights and letting them bleed out in parking lots. Those are informed decisions unlike letting a narcissist win because you hate x group of people or because he says things that make you laugh. Trump doesn’t like you. Trump is not for you. Trump only likes himself and is running so he doesn’t go to jail. Wake up
Agreed, but I honestly think the law and courts are delaying everything until after he loses the election. A full onslaught from the prosecution will commence after President Harris’s inauguration and we will finally see him broke and locked up.
This is a BOT geniuses. Look at the user name, first of all- then look at how generic and unspecific the comment is. It’s a Russian bot designed to just provoke general mayhem and controversy. Don’t let the Russians win!
As bad as that is - people really underestimate the significance of those classified documents - and the implications of it . Surely I can not be the only person in the world that although I can't prove it - I would bet most everything i have - that he monetized that information - he is probably the most venal person in the history of the country - why it is automatically assumed that he had all these very specific information - and would not be illegally subverting it - without a profit motive - this guy sells the material from the suits he wears from when he is shot at !!!
Good day Prof. Allan. I have strong faith in the 13 keys. The prediction of Sir Allan was 8:5 in favor of VPKHarris. I will accompany it with a prayer to our Lord God to bless and allow VPKamala to win both the popular and electoral votes👍.
Donnie is screaming with a red face in the debate, pointing finger like a 3-year-old accusing opponent of every crime he has committed. Almost like democrats have somehow committed all his crimes on his behalf- so much for the "unstable person". LOLOLOLOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
He said no planes when Lincoln was president. Trump said Washington defended the airports during the Revolutionary War. Trump was off about 150 years when planes were actually invented.
The world will be a less safe place and America and Western Civilization will weaken further if Harris somehow wins. However, the deep state media was 3 vs 1 on the debate tonight and only a fool could not see this. Harris has had 3.5 years to work with Biden to better America and they have damaged and weakened America. The numbers do not lie. She is part of the problem not the solution
Loooking at this from Britain, I can only say I am astounded that it is any way near a close call, as to who will be your next President. But I entreat all true believers in democracy, to vote for your best hope - Harris / Walz. Anything else, and anybody else, is just INSANE! Good luck to all of you - but get out and vote! OOh it makes me angry and OOH It's gonna hurt if you don't select the sane one.
What's insane is you think their good for America! The BBC in Britain is the most Vile and reprehensible news agency in your country, up there with MSNBC, ABC, CNN! Wake Up, you're supporting Evil, Pure Evil!
Mark my words - You are wrong this time. People who are misguided, blindfolded, and brainwashed by Kamala and other extreme Democrats need to reconsider. The team of Trump, Tulsi, Vance, Vivek, Tucker, Elon, Ben Carson, Nikki, and RFK Jr. is very smart and genuinely cares about all of us and America. If we allow Kamala into the White House, we will face government overreach and may not recover for a long time-possibly not until a major revolution. This is our last chance, not just to save America, but to save ourselves. We may never have such a strong team again!
When someone who has done far far lesser crimes than a true "convicted felon", then the only explanation is that the the level of truth he (Trump) is bringing is so disturbing to the illusion, that the illusion must retaliate with a projection ("convicted felon") in order to counter the truth he is bringing. in other words, you can bounce ANY truth Trump brings by saying "convicted felon".
Nate Silver poll has Trump 30% ahead, and winning in every swing state. So this loon and his 13 keys are a load of twaddle. Hyena Harris will get crushed, Trump's on for a landslide.
This United States Navy Veteran supports Vice President Harris and Governor Walz! We will never be called losers and suckers again. We will never allow our fallen hero’s to be disgraced by a convicted felon,draft dodger and sexual abuser! Vote Blue to end the charade of Trump and the MAGA movement! 💙💙💙💙🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🎖️🎖️🎖️
I would truly like to thank you both for your service & sacrifices made which gives us & protects our rights that we all are able to enjoy..This patriotic,, proud & humble American salutes you both..May life always find you & yours well & smiling. "Happy"
@@tonyachapman9255 Neither Biden nor Harris has purposely stolen Top-secret documents including some that involve the nuclear capabilities of one of our allies and used them as bargaining chips or to pay a debt to some of Americas enemies. Donald tRump did all of the above. Save your 🐎💩for your fellow Russians.
Please don’t take this or Harris being in the polls as an excuse to be complacent or worse, NOT VOTE. You must ALWAYS assume your candidate is behind and will lose.
I watched the professor's show where he and his son talked about the 13 keys. They are a great duo and have such a great relationship as father and son. The professor's predictions are very interesting and very educational.
As a Canadian, you gotta get this right America!!!!!! Trump wud be disastrous for the world right now and we are your neighbours so do the right thing, pay attention, care, vote blue for God’s sake
Because Trudeau is such a great leader LOL!!! The most disgusting Prime Minister ever! Do you not like freedom? Trudeau is a puppet of the WEF and Klaus Schwab the very people causing the destruction of our society so they can have total power!
The electoral college determines who wins so basically our votes don’t really matter anymore because they decide regardless of who we vote for. The electoral college needs to be abolished. They don’t speak for who I vote for.
@@MrBrndin You are saying, "You don't agree with me, so don't talk". I voted for Trudeau, and I might again. I am conservative, but I don't think I can vote for a party funded by the oil-and-gas industry.
It's not based on luck. It's calculated statistical probability going back over 100 years. The only time he was wrong was because republicans got the supreme court to interfere with the Gore recount. BUT PEOPLE STILL NEED TO GET OUT AND VOTE.
Longitududinal studies have been basically his methodology- they are considered the most valuable studies in analysis. Allan's "key " development is quite comprehensive and meticulously detailed. Vote with confidence and optimism for Kamala Harris/ Tim Walz!
@@Jobobasdhascy Then you need to stop gloating and celebrating when the polls break your way. It looks suspicious when you only believe the polls half the time.
"Idiocracy" wasn't supposed to be an instructional video. He minders let her out of the wine cellar yesterday and she immediately embarrassed herself at a cringy photo op 😂
You do know Harris is a firm believer in Marxism right?y'all will get your communist utopia and then you're gonna freak out when she implements her communist agenda,you're a FOOL
They should be melting because Donny Sippy Cup has spent their political donations on his legal bills. He's more concerned about going to jail then winning the White House.
@@JoyOfInsanity Not in the comments I have seen in videos about polls- they are pretty clearly preparing to claim election fraud yet again. This time Trump won't be in charge of calling the National Guard though, so they might get a surprise...
I just left a Labor Day parade in a rural town north of Detroit. My heart fell when a car promoting Trump cruise by and the sidelines just let out cheers. I just don't get it. These people, large groups, believe his lies.
For those in the battleground states ie me in Nevada we will decide the election let’s vote for democracy and decency. The rest of the world is watching.
Lichtman is smart. He knows his history and understands how world events affect American politics. Better than just constantly asking, "What do the polls say?"
When Ohio had the right of abortion on the ballot last year and it passed with 58%, I knew that state had gone Blue. I saw the look of shock on the Fox Noise pundits as they also understood it. This is a male vs female vote and I'm rooting for the females to save our collective rear ends. If women were not allowed to vote, we would probably have David Duke for president.
@@liabw05 Father of 3, grandfather of 4. Air Force paid for college, control systems engineer my entire life. Retired and raising money for Ukraine drone 3D printers (70% of Russian casualties from drones).
I respect Lichtmans research, but at the end of the day, predictions are just predictions, bold guesswork. Vote regardless of what people claim, what the polls say, or how many signs you see on the front yards in the neighborhood. VOTE!
I bet you can’t even articulate what crime he committed that would justify 34 felony convictions. It will all be overturned by the Supreme Court unanimously.
@@jesusacosta5176 Inaccurate. Trump has employed tens of thousands of construction workers in New York and other cities, including large numbers of black and Hispanic workers.
The very idea that someone like Trump could ever be considered for president is laughable. Notwithstanding the past. It was extraordinary to hear today that he seems to value Putin's opinion. That in itself should tell us all we need to know about him.
The polls are tight but the keys are always right! His keys are actually based on Stability theory in Mathematics. He worked with an expert on Stability. Clerk Nate S. - good point Professor.
@@randynovick7972 Yet they have accurately predicted every presidential race, except for one, since 1986. He predicted tRump would win in 2016 when everyone else said there was no way Hillary could lose. You can always go hit a betting site and put everything on tRump for the win.
@@jongartner2840 Harris will win both. I'm still predicting that Donny will lose the popular vote by about 20 million votes this time. I could be wrong, but a LOT of people hate both tRump and Shady Vance.
As well as 'undecided' about all the military stats, despite the BILLIONS of our dollars going towards foreign wars in the form of aid. Including and especially weaponry.
What is the difference between the Allan Litchman, the Titanic and the Hindenburg: Litchman is a complete and udder self inflicted disaster the Titanic and Hindenburg were just minor accidents.
One factor that is not considered, a lot of people want to see Trump held accountable for his crimes and don’t want his cases to go away - that will motivate some people to vote.
Didn't he say Biden would win a few months ago,when Biden was well down in the predictions? The Democrat bigwigs knew Biden would lose- hence the coup by Obama & Co. to oust him ,yet this Prof. was still saying he would win.
I doubt Allan Litcchman has called a more consequential presidential election than this one. I think it would be catastrophic for the world should this election turn out to be the first he predicts wrongly.
He missed on Al Gore because the supreme court interfered and stopped a close recount. He's gotten 9 out of 10 correctly. I imagine the right will get their civil war if the SCOTUS tries to give it to tRump illegally. Or Biden could declare a National Emergency.
I'm worried that he got Key 13 wrong (uncharasmatic challenger/national hero) and the foreign policy ones are both in Trump's favor. What makes this election so different is Trump's supernatural cult following. There has never been anything like it in American history.
Found allan this year and am a sub to his channel. His system made me realize how much the pundits and pollsters push their snapshot narratives for views and ad dollars. Ive tuned out the noise from the alphabet channels.
When you vote Blue, you prove that you Hate America! Democrats have Destroyed our Republic and I can prove it to you: Do you understand why the electoral college is part of our Republic? Do you realize that D.C. according to our constitution can never ever become a state? Do you think packing the supreme court will solve your problems? Does it irritate you that each state no matter how Small has = Power in the Senate? If you dislike All or most of these issues then you have No Clue why our Form of Government is by far the Best form of government ever created and therefor you despise our Constitution!
Double raging, now they have found out that social media commenters are getting 100,000 a show from russia. The trolls will all be feeling very very underpaid.
If you ever wonder how things have gotten how they are, people announcing "I'll vote for you no matter what you do" is probably one of the root causes.
Let's hope that LIchtman is right... let's make it right by voting... VOTE VOTE VOTE
EXACTLY!!
Yes, please vote, vote, vote
Can't do much from here in Aus 🇦🇺 but I feel Allan’s going to be wrong this time. That and the nightmare of installed Trump cronies at local, state and federal levels holding a Harris win up anyway.
@@maxrebo8455 I can't either from Switzerland, but I doubt very much that he'll be wrong, and I'm sure that every election he's ever predicted has had people saying he'll be wrong "this time". But yes, the risk of installed Trump cronies is something all people involved will need to pay close attention to.
And of course, a prediction is not a guarantee, so people still need to vote.
@@erikzoe1 That is true about previous naysayers.
Lichtman is brilliant! Logical and calm. Let’s hope he is correct!
🙏🙏I pray he is right.
No need to hope. His system has a track record. None of these weekly polls comes close.
Hope not
@@glennhudson4827
Polls will never be correct.
They are not just snapshots in time, but extremely limited samplings of the voting population too.
Even then, polling makes an assumption that those polled answer truthfully.
Lichtman's model is based on who actually won or lost presidential elections in the past, and the factors in play at the time based on the data he presumably collected while devising the predictive model.
So it used a complete snapshot of each election, even if by limited resolution.
I imagine there is probably a lot more numbers involved than he makes it sound like though.
Believe in God Bec Yellen will printed dollars again that's why probably markets stocks go up
I'd recommend early voting. Super smooth, much less waiting. Either way, VOTE!
Well the Republican sycophants took care of that issue in North Carolina by the Republican led Supreme Court voting in favor of RFK dropping out of the race, even though he missed the due date to drop out. Which in turn caused the electoral process to be forced to throw out millions of already printed ballots. This literally just happened.
Agreed. In those areas that offer early in-person voting I encourage people to do that. When polls close those are secure and will tabulate very quickly
yes, Yes and YES!
Ha, ha, ha, just so they can rig another election...
October 21st I’m voting blue 💙💙💙💙💙
Pray you are right, but we still need to go and vote America
Vote tump 2024
@@missypead2293yup
Now here is an elderly man with absolute cognizance and truly very intelligent! Thank you prof.Lictman!
Are you nuts?
@@sharondichiara3879 No, Trump is.
@@kellymoses8566keep drinking the lefty Kool-Aid. 🙄
@@akent6393😡 There is nothing wrong with * KOOL-AID, ( nor TANG ) ! 🥰
@@akent6393I love Kool- aid except the orange one 😂
I hope/pray he's right again.
me too
🙏🏾
He very probably will be, but as he has rightly said in other videos, people still need to vote.
I've never heard of him. Many of us now have over the last 5 months. His feet are held to the fire now.
Hope he is wrong
We cannot become complacent! Vote 💙
yeah if you vote against Trump he will loose if you do not he may win that's why you should vote against Trump
must have the biggest turnout ever to make this happen
"lose"
That’s right! Vote for Tulsi and RFK!
YES!!! Victory depends on *US!!!* 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
People should also focus on winning the House and Senate with some margin. That is what's needed to ensure the possibility for Harris to actually start building safeguards for democracy.
💯 State & local are so important 🇺🇸💙
Yes, we need the house, senate, and speakership. Vote blue up and down the ballot. Jim Jordan, Byron Daniels, Tom Cotton, Krysten Sinema, Rick Scott, Josh Harley, Ted Cruz and all the other Republicans up for re-election must be voted out. 🇺🇲🇺🇲💙💙🇺🇲🇺🇲
Be advised that ten states are holding attorney general elections. Make sure you vote 💙.
💙 Seven states are holding Secretary of.State elections. Check your state, plan your vote and vote 💙.
Yes. We need the House and Senate so the John Lewis Voters Protection bill can get passed. Will put an end to political gerrymandering, make election Day a holiday or move it to a weekend along with other improvements and protection for voters.
I guess the locks must have been changed because his keys didnt work one bit. Not in the Presidency. Senate, or the house. And in none of the 7 swing states. Throw those old keys in the TRASH!! 😂😂
😂😂😂
I am so glad to find Professor Lickman. I love him and his keys.
How bout we make sure we do go out and vote and not rely on a prognosticator. Not saying you are or do but you will agree, these folks are human, they are fallible and they got it horribly wrong in 2016! HARRIS/WLATZ 2024!!!!
kamala want you to pay for gender reassignment to illegal in custody do you even know?
Lol. This election had way more road blocks and voter suppression
😂 he doent speak for us common americans
Then why has he been right 9/10x for past 40 years @missypead2293
I really, really, really hope that he is right.
hope and vote. me too!
You want more wars, more higher inflation, more crime, more open borders destabilizing America . I don’t get it
Thanks god he's a fraud
@@michaeltaylor788 Yes he is. Look up "You Can Ignore Allan Lichtman and His Presidential Predictions".
@@JethroParis Donald Trump sure is a fraud.
not since 1930's Germany has such an evil person influenced so many people. It's truly miind-blowing !
What about Stalimir Putler, Xi Ping Pong and Kim Young Dumb? The world is full of Nazionalists and Dictators.
He was president for four years, so please provide a list of 10 evil things he did.
Who are you referring to?
To clarify, I know who you are rffing to as far as WW2 but who are you equating that to?
@@tianna1116 with all due respect, go read a history book !
20 years ago, that's the last time a Republican presidential candidate has won the popular vote.
Given only 1 Republican has run for president in that time, it would be rather difficult for it to have happened
The one before that was '88. Since then they've won the White House twice by virtue of the electoral college and against the will of the majority of voters in the country. Do better. ✌️😋
@@harryantinoWhat?
@@harryantino What?
Put another way, the Dems have won the popular vote 7 of the last 8 times.
Turns out your keys only work when you don't apply them with bias.
SCOREBOARD.
Professor Lichtman is an American treasure! His keys are also accurate when applied retroactively back to 1860, when the Republican Party was first established.
Vote!!! Never trust these prefictions! The only way to make it happen is through VOTING VOTING VOTING!!! Otherwise we may look at victory for the other side!!!
One of the things Lichtman always says is that it's up to people to vote!
Yes, and VOTE HARRIS 2024!!!!
Most of the last 10 presidential elections have been readily predictable without the need for any complex “model.” There is never going to be a model that can predict all presidential elections, because each election is unique. Such as what happened to Biden only four months before the current election.
Yes, Allan Lichtman has said so himself. He really ought to make that point at the beginning and the end of every video he makes between now and the election.
you're right. We must go to vote BLUE on this November
I'm rooting for the 13 keys!
She won! Yes we still need to vote and the only election he didn’t predict correctly is 2016 when Dump cheated. He is doing the same thing now trying to cheat:
I'm hoping Americans will vote 💙 💙 💙
That prediction is good news for everyone in Western Europe, but one can only hope no-one in America becomes complacent and does not stop doing everything possible to ensure Kamala Harris does become the next President.
@someguy_6398seems to be doing fine.
@someguy_6398 Fine, all things considered. But sure we live in tense times where trust and confidence are needed. We need a NON-Trump presidency to continue working on those things i mentioned. And with "we" i also mean the U.S.
Yes, lock him up to Make American Happy
Americans hate socialists/Marxists. She will lose.
Vote for Trump is voto for Putin and Russia.
Prof. Lichtman's prediction gives me even more incentive to vote!
BLUE 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
I don't want a felon in the White House.
But any other kind of corruption is perfectly fine, apparently.
Such a good little communist you are! You WILL regret your decision, just wait.
You already have crime boss Joe.
@@LarryFleetwood8675neither Comey nor Jordan could produce a shred of evidence to support their attempt to impeach Biden. I’m going to go out on a limb and assume you have less access to Biden’s activities than they do. You guys continue to spew BS.
Then make Harris is out!!
Donald Trump will cry and stamp his feet like a little baby, just watch.
The opposite is true. Harris will be wetting her diapers on election night. You watch.
This is not about Trump. It is whether the truth and reality Trump represents wants to be with the American people. If Harris wins, then a significant majority will want a government that has policies actively avoids connection with reality (e.g. transgender - denies basic man/women foundations, wars of any kind - denies that were are 1 people and supports the segregation, further enrichment of the left so that they can manipulate people easier for next election)
That's the main problem I have with the guy, regardless of his presidential skills/abilities,he needs to act like an adult first and foremost.He gives me the impression that he's trying to make people laugh and that he thinks he's still in his prime.Wannabe comedians he don't act their age don't strike me as someone who would be a good president.
@@Tony-hu7uk Can you hear how ridiculous your argument sounds? You are essentially calling people up to NOT be themselves, and instead to be the image you want them to be.
I think he will try to start a civil war😮
I'm just tired of seeing Trump and his ilk. I want a return back to sober reality and grown ups making informed decisions. Let's get positive about the future again.
I know.. I just want to be poor and all of us to suffer as to see him again.
The problem is, Trump might run again in 2028 if he loses to Kamala. His GOP minions wouldn't challenge him. He is now like the Pied Piper of Hamelin. His MAGA base are like the rats that followed the piper in the famous kids story.
@@keithreno9341 I can't survive another Trump Virus
Informed decisions like weakening national security and offering free services to parties who have lived on taxpayers' money, right?
@@WAEVOICEinformed decisions like focusing on policy instead of claiming immigrants are eating cats and dogs. Informed decisions like giving families with newborns $6k in tax breaks to help them afford the expenses of adding a member to their family. Informed decisions like focusing on policies to increasing houses by 3,000,000 by the end of her first term instead of yelling “drill baby drill” when Americans ask “trump, how are you going to help my kids afford housing?” Informed decisions like protecting and codifying abortion access to the half of population that require those medical services instead of stripping them of those rights and letting them bleed out in parking lots. Those are informed decisions unlike letting a narcissist win because you hate x group of people or because he says things that make you laugh. Trump doesn’t like you. Trump is not for you. Trump only likes himself and is running so he doesn’t go to jail. Wake up
Always great to hear from Professor Lichtman. The bookies and odds makers agree and they don't use polls either.
I hope so much that he is right with his prediction!!!
🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻💙💙💙💙💙
The future of democracy is in our hands.
Each of us must do everything we can to ensure
Kamala Harris' victory this November.
😂😂😂😂..Trump❤❤❤
Amen
@@romanclay1913 Womp womp
Yes, lock him up to Make American Happy
👍👍
👍👍👍👍
👍👍👍👍👍
I agree
Trump will be locked up, come December. Xmas in prison will be his only gift.
He shouldn't even be allowed. He should be in prison already.
For being a Russian agent ??
Remember that bs. It went in for 7 years. 😂😂😂😂
Agreed, but I honestly think the law and courts are delaying everything until after he loses the election. A full onslaught from the prosecution will commence after President Harris’s inauguration and we will finally see him broke and locked up.
Another bot with no brain 🧠
Exactly Helloooooooooooo 😡😡😡😡😡😡😡😡
This is a BOT geniuses. Look at the user name, first of all- then look at how generic and unspecific the comment is. It’s a Russian bot designed to just provoke general mayhem and controversy.
Don’t let the Russians win!
We Must Never Forget What Trump Did On January 6th !!! He Must Be Held Accountable!!!!
Exactly.
Remember.
Actions has consequences..
As bad as that is - people really underestimate the significance of those classified documents - and the implications of it . Surely I can not be the only person in the world that although I can't prove it - I would bet most everything i have - that he monetized that information - he is probably the most venal person in the history of the country - why it is automatically assumed that he had all these very specific information - and would not be illegally subverting it - without a profit motive - this guy sells the material from the suits he wears from when he is shot at !!!
@@viktorberta4953 If only actions did have consequences. It seems that Donald Trump and Boris Johnson get away with absolutely evrything.
@@pjpredhomme7699
I think the Supreme Court made every thing he does legal.
" Trickle down " only works for Clarence Thomas.
Vote Trump 2024 MAGA.
Good day Prof. Allan. I have strong faith in the 13 keys. The prediction of Sir Allan was 8:5 in favor of VPKHarris. I will accompany it with a prayer to our Lord God to bless and allow VPKamala to win both the popular and electoral votes👍.
Vote
He will not bless her the Lord She is in favor of abortion
muh keys
Lock him up now 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
@@marysol1028 why? Just because he got his prediction wrong?
Lord, please give us the courage to rally together to stop Trump, Project 2025, and Republicans. 💙💙🇺🇲🇺🇲
You're praying to the devil, not the Lord Jesus!
true
Yes 🙏🏾
Amen🙏
Donnie is screaming with a red face in the debate, pointing finger like a 3-year-old accusing opponent of every crime he has committed. Almost like democrats have somehow committed all his crimes on his behalf- so much for the "unstable person". LOLOLOLOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Allan Lichtman's live UA-cam show is entertaining AF
@@yhfsywfit the father / son team is great !
Yes!! I watch every video of those two!! Wonder if they'll continue after the election? I hope so!!
@@pokey5736 true, love em both.
He said no planes when Lincoln was president. Trump said Washington defended the airports during the Revolutionary War. Trump was off about 150 years when planes were actually invented.
Fake news. There were airports decades long before there were planes - for the hot-air balloons. Intestinal parasites for Trump 🐛🐙🪱🦠
He said it when he was doing “the weave”.
Trump also said that Andrew Jackson was upset at the Civil War. Problem: Andrew Jackson died about 16 yrs before the Civil War started..
Please God ! Save us from this horrible man ! Save our democracy and freedom 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸💙💙🙏🙏
The world will be a less safe place and America and Western Civilization will weaken further if Harris somehow wins. However, the deep state media was 3 vs 1 on the debate tonight and only a fool could not see this. Harris has had 3.5 years to work with Biden to better America and they have damaged and weakened America. The numbers do not lie. She is part of the problem not the solution
We have a Republic!
Loooking at this from Britain, I can only say I am astounded that it is any way near a close call, as to who will be your next President. But I entreat all true believers in democracy, to vote for your best hope - Harris / Walz. Anything else, and anybody else, is just INSANE! Good luck to all of you - but get out and vote! OOh it makes me angry and OOH It's gonna hurt if you don't select the sane one.
What's insane is you think their good for America! The BBC in Britain is the most Vile and reprehensible news agency in your country, up there with MSNBC, ABC, CNN! Wake Up, you're supporting Evil, Pure Evil!
But the difference is you would vote with your feelings... others are voting with their brain. If feelings wins over intellect, we are in trouble.
Well, ... I hope Mr Lichtman is right again with his current prediction.
Womp womp
@@mikehill3407 Yeah, ... that didn't age well...
@@florete2310😂😂
Harris 2024🎉!!! There is no I'm voting for a Convicted Felon I'm better off with the Biden administration than with the Trump administration period
Mark my words - You are wrong this time. People who are misguided, blindfolded, and brainwashed by Kamala and other extreme Democrats need to reconsider. The team of Trump, Tulsi, Vance, Vivek, Tucker, Elon, Ben Carson, Nikki, and RFK Jr. is very smart and genuinely cares about all of us and America. If we allow Kamala into the White House, we will face government overreach and may not recover for a long time-possibly not until a major revolution. This is our last chance, not just to save America, but to save ourselves. We may never have such a strong team again!
Trump was convicted by a corrupt prosecutor, judge, and jury. It will be overturned 9-0.
When someone who has done far far lesser crimes than a true "convicted felon", then the only explanation is that the the level of truth he (Trump) is bringing is so disturbing to the illusion, that the illusion must retaliate with a projection ("convicted felon") in order to counter the truth he is bringing. in other words, you can bounce ANY truth Trump brings by saying "convicted felon".
Ha ha ha Biden and Kamala stealing your money and your ok with it, wow your LOST, good luck!
Worst immoral person on the planet!
Dump the Drumph
Nate Silver poll has Trump 30% ahead, and winning in every swing state. So this loon and his 13 keys are a load of twaddle. Hyena Harris will get crushed, Trump's on for a landslide.
Vote Trump 2024 MAGA
@@thorekobs9219vote Harris.
@@thorekobs9219FDT, vote Harris!
@@thorekobs9219FDT, vote Harris
Our next President, Kamala Harris.
Are u sure 😂
😂😂😂😂
Update 😂
Clown 🤡🤡
@@carlettabenjamin9652 kek
I'm voting for AMERICA, not just ONE person. I'm voting for the one who has a real PLAN.
And not just concepts of a plan. 😆
What was her plan, other than Trumps dumb ideas she coopted?
TRUMP2024
Allen is the best! I appreciate his opinions about almost everything! He is very well informed and objective, imo.
This United States Navy Veteran supports Vice President Harris and Governor Walz! We will never be called losers and suckers again. We will never allow our fallen hero’s to be disgraced by a convicted felon,draft dodger and sexual abuser! Vote Blue to end the charade of Trump and the MAGA movement! 💙💙💙💙🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🎖️🎖️🎖️
This Viet Nam War Veteran doing likewise, for the same reasons. P.S. Like the mini bronze stars.
I would truly like to thank you both for your service & sacrifices made which gives us & protects our rights that we all are able to enjoy..This patriotic,, proud & humble American salutes you both..May life always find you & yours well & smiling.
"Happy"
You're a FOOL Harris is a MARXIST,is that truly what you want?COMMUNISM!!!! shame on you
@@tonyachapman9255 Neither Biden nor Harris has purposely stolen Top-secret documents including some that involve the nuclear capabilities of one of our allies and used them as bargaining chips or to pay a debt to some of Americas enemies. Donald tRump did all of the above. Save your 🐎💩for your fellow Russians.
No they don't
Please don’t take this or Harris being in the polls as an excuse to be complacent or worse, NOT VOTE.
You must ALWAYS assume your candidate is behind and will lose.
Vote Trump.
😂😅😂😅 NEVER!!! @@ChuckY229
@@ChuckY229 You do you buddy. It's gonna be a lonely old November for your lot.
Trump 2024 MAGA
@@thorekobs9219 sure comrade
I pray you’re right! Vote blue all the way!🙌🙌
Rooting for you from across the pond 💙🇬🇧
I watched the professor's show where he and his son talked about the 13 keys.
They are a great duo and have such a great relationship as father and son.
The professor's predictions are very interesting and very educational.
I heard a rumour Trump is allready practicing not to drop the soapbar...
😂😂😂😂😂
You nailed it. I love it.
He’s getting lessons from Hunter.
He'll flee the country before he'll go to prison.
@@phil00075 nice 😎 i don't think voters give a f*ck about hunter
As a Canadian, you gotta get this right America!!!!!! Trump wud be disastrous for the world right now and we are your neighbours so do the right thing, pay attention, care, vote blue for God’s sake
Remember Flight 752 - Trump's recklessness indirectly resulted in 138 Canadian (and 38 other) civilian deaths.
Because Trudeau is such a great leader LOL!!! The most disgusting Prime Minister ever! Do you not like freedom? Trudeau is a puppet of the WEF and Klaus Schwab the very people causing the destruction of our society so they can have total power!
The electoral college determines who wins so basically our votes don’t really matter anymore because they decide regardless of who we vote for. The electoral college needs to be abolished. They don’t speak for who I vote for.
You voted for Trudeau, perhaps your voting advice should be kept to yourself.
@@MrBrndin You are saying, "You don't agree with me, so don't talk". I voted for Trudeau, and I might again. I am conservative, but I don't think I can vote for a party funded by the oil-and-gas industry.
Hope Prof. Allan Lichtman's streak keeps on going this time.
It's not based on luck. It's calculated statistical probability going back over 100 years. The only time he was wrong was because republicans got the supreme court to interfere with the Gore recount. BUT PEOPLE STILL NEED TO GET OUT AND VOTE.
In order to keep it we'll all gotta vote this Nov 5th.
👏👏👏🌹👏👏👏👏🌹👏👏👏👏👏👏bravo 🙏🙏🙏🌹👏👏thank you , Zane
Longitududinal studies have been basically his methodology- they are considered the most valuable studies in analysis. Allan's "key " development is quite comprehensive and meticulously detailed. Vote with confidence and optimism for Kamala Harris/ Tim Walz!
You might want to remember this. Trump was polling a lot better in 2020, and he was still crushed.
It is over for Trumpy. I am Russian, I support Ms. Harris and Mr. Walz!☺
Rigged again
@@Jobobasdhascydry your eyes princess! 😂😂😂
@@Jobobasdhascy Then you need to stop gloating and celebrating when the polls break your way. It looks suspicious when you only believe the polls half the time.
@@dpelpal How about that war on Ukraine?
Let's hope so prof. Lichtman. Let's hope... I mean, I would love to this happened and I believe it will.
Vote blue for harris 💙 🙌 god bless America 💙 🙌 🇺🇸 🙏🏽 I'm tired of trump let's get rid of trump for good 💙 🙌 🇺🇸
Well prepare for 4 years of Trumpism in the White House
"Idiocracy" wasn't supposed to be an instructional video.
He minders let her out of the wine cellar yesterday and she immediately embarrassed herself at a cringy photo op 😂
You do know Harris is a firm believer in Marxism right?y'all will get your communist utopia and then you're gonna freak out when she implements her communist agenda,you're a FOOL
I am Russian I support Ms. Harris and Mr. Walz👱♀️
@@dpelpal Putin supports Comrade Kamala as well
SO GLAD TO HEAR THIS! No more DJT! Finally an Intelligent Woman in the job!
She is not an intelligent woman She never went to the boarder
America, make Trump's next term......A PRISON TERM.
The Magas are melting down.
Yep. Russia gate was REAL! 😂😂😂
@@ryanwalters6184 Thanks for proving their point 🤣
They should be melting because Donny Sippy Cup has spent their political donations on his legal bills. He's more concerned about going to jail then winning the White House.
@@JoyOfInsanity Not in the comments I have seen in videos about polls- they are pretty clearly preparing to claim election fraud yet again. This time Trump won't be in charge of calling the National Guard though, so they might get a surprise...
@@ryanwalters6184 Tim pool is a puppet of RT, follow the money
I just left a Labor Day parade in a rural town north of Detroit. My heart fell when a car promoting Trump cruise by and the sidelines just let out cheers. I just don't get it. These people, large groups, believe his lies.
They hate the same people he does. They LOVE hate. REMEMBER: MOST of the ideas that the Nazis used CAME FROM THE USA.
I pray that we will be blessed with her victory 🙏💙💙💙💙💙💙
Kamala communist
Open your eyes 👀
God bless America!🇺🇸
All be blessed
For those in the battleground states ie me in Nevada we will decide the election let’s vote for democracy and decency. The rest of the world is watching.
From the professor's mouth to God's ear!! Vote Blue 💙 💙 💙 💙 💙
All 434 House seats are up for re-election. Please vote blue up and down the ballot.
Lichtman is smart. He knows his history and understands how world events affect American politics. Better than just constantly asking, "What do the polls say?"
So, what did the "keys" say?
When Ohio had the right of abortion on the ballot last year and it passed with 58%, I knew that state had gone Blue. I saw the look of shock on the Fox Noise pundits as they also understood it. This is a male vs female vote and I'm rooting for the females to save our collective rear ends. If women were not allowed to vote, we would probably have David Duke for president.
Hi. Curious if you are a man or woman or “other”?
@@liabw05 Father of 3, grandfather of 4. Air Force paid for college, control systems engineer my entire life. Retired and raising money for Ukraine drone 3D printers (70% of Russian casualties from drones).
@@liabw05 Why does that matter?
@controlfreak1963
Thank you for your continued service! I don't know how any military service personnel can vote in favor of handing Ukraine to putin.
But polls show that men support abortion rights almost as much as women do.
HARRIS/WALZ 2024 vote BLUE 💙💙💙💙
😂😂😂vote red
@@topprotips5250 For "PRISON"!
@@topprotips5250 Vote him for a prison sell.
He openly called himself a Knucklehead Walz
Well well well 😂
Smells like Christmas morning!
I respect Lichtmans research, but at the end of the day, predictions are just predictions, bold guesswork. Vote regardless of what people claim, what the polls say, or how many signs you see on the front yards in the neighborhood. VOTE!
so be it! I'm rooting for the 13 keys!
Whatever I don’t believe in pills. Kamila by a landslide 2024!!! But you STILL must vote!
Looooserrrrss here 😅😅
Trump for prison 2024.. 25 years hard labor ! 💙💪
Deportation to Sudan and help feed the hungry.
I bet you can’t even articulate what crime he committed that would justify 34 felony convictions. It will all be overturned by the Supreme Court unanimously.
Hard labor? Like the words Trump and labor don't go together. The guy has never work a single day in his life 😆
@@jesusacosta5176 Inaccurate. Trump has employed tens of thousands of construction workers in New York and other cities, including large numbers of black and Hispanic workers.
@@phil00075 Yeah. #scumbagsfortrump2024
Thank GOD 🙏 and Thank you Alan 🎉🎉🎉🙏
Amen! All I needed to hear was the first 20 seconds. Vote Blue, up and down the line!🩵🩵🩵🩵
The very idea that someone like Trump could ever be considered for president is laughable. Notwithstanding the past.
It was extraordinary to hear today that he seems to value Putin's opinion. That in itself should tell us all we need to know about him.
Indeed, only possible in America. That's why WE SHOULD VOTE VOTE VOTE.... HARRIS 2024!!!!
Trump is Putin's candidate, for sure.
Harris is an empty suit.
@@gdutfulkbhh7537 Putin said he'd endorse Kamala! Rather he was joking or not, who knows! 😂😂😂
The polls are tight but the keys are always right! His keys are actually based on Stability theory in Mathematics. He worked with an expert on Stability. Clerk Nate S. - good point Professor.
He was only wrong one time and that was because republicans got help from the Supreme Court to cheat against Al Gore.
Half of the keys are unmeasurable and subjective. It's nonsense akin to the paranormal.
On which one?? Electoral College or Popular vote?? He flops worse than a freshly caught fish
@@randynovick7972 Yet they have accurately predicted every presidential race, except for one, since 1986. He predicted tRump would win in 2016 when everyone else said there was no way Hillary could lose. You can always go hit a betting site and put everything on tRump for the win.
@@jongartner2840 Harris will win both. I'm still predicting that Donny will lose the popular vote by about 20 million votes this time. I could be wrong, but a LOT of people hate both tRump and Shady Vance.
He needs a new key called "Loaded/Corrupt SCOTUS".
Kamala Harris gets 2 keys for a great economy?! Haha😅
As well as 'undecided' about all the military stats, despite the BILLIONS of our dollars going towards foreign wars in the form of aid. Including and especially weaponry.
The keys were horribly WRONG!😂
I don’t think they were. His inputs seemed bias, he said certain ones did not go for Trump when they clearly did.
Keep Voting💙💙💙
I voted blue when Carter became president, what a mistake that was!
Vote Trump 2024 MAGA
@@thorekobs9219He will lose in a landslide.
2016 everyone thought Hillary would win (even Trump himself) and we all know how that went. I’ll hold my breath until the votes are counted.
Lichtman said Trump would win in 2016.
Alan was one of the few who predicted a Trump win
Welcome, President Harris!
I so hope he's right. Harris/Walz 2024 🇺🇸
if we vote like in 2020, he will be right
What is the difference between the Allan Litchman, the Titanic and the Hindenburg: Litchman is a complete and udder self inflicted disaster the Titanic and Hindenburg were just minor accidents.
I can’t believe you didn’t talk about her going right up to him and introducing herself and shaking his hand. That set the tone for everything!
Your lips to fate's ears!!!
Vote like democracy depends on it! 💙💙💙💙💙
🤙🤙🙌💯
One factor that is not considered, a lot of people want to see Trump held accountable for his crimes and don’t want his cases to go away - that will motivate some people to vote.
The Roe v Wade is going to play a large part and I think the youth vote also.
Hope he's right just in case i'm voting blue ...Harris Walz 2024
common sense is red
I am way better off than I was in 2020, because a decent, rational and qualified person has been in the white house and I'd like to keep it that way.
well this aged well!
In Allan we trust
Didn't he say Biden would win a few months ago,when Biden was well down in the predictions?
The Democrat bigwigs knew Biden would lose- hence the coup by Obama & Co. to oust him ,yet this Prof. was still saying he would win.
I doubt Allan Litcchman has called a more consequential presidential election than this one.
I think it would be catastrophic for the world should this election turn out to be the first he predicts wrongly.
He missed on Al Gore because the supreme court interfered and stopped a close recount. He's gotten 9 out of 10 correctly. I imagine the right will get their civil war if the SCOTUS tries to give it to tRump illegally. Or Biden could declare a National Emergency.
I'm worried that he got Key 13 wrong (uncharasmatic challenger/national hero) and the foreign policy ones are both in Trump's favor. What makes this election so different is Trump's supernatural cult following. There has never been anything like it in American history.
Found allan this year and am a sub to his channel.
His system made me realize how much the pundits and pollsters push their snapshot narratives for views and ad dollars. Ive tuned out the noise from the alphabet channels.
There are so many great independents. Dollimore,BTC,Sisson,mockler, Texas Paul , Tennessee Brando to name a few
Hallelujah Amen 🙏 I Believe she is going to Win
The Keys predict Trump will be bunked with Bubba.
I think they should put him with Roger Stone...
Or BANNON
or Ghislaine
Probably Hunter Biden.
I hope he is right
I love America always have
Trump is a Disaster not just for America but for the whole of the free world
Trump 2024
💯💙🇦🇺
@@MAGA_MUSIC01 Borrowing a dead man's name tells us all we need to know about you. Loser now, loser in November.
When you vote Blue, you prove that you Hate America! Democrats have Destroyed our Republic and I can prove it to you: Do you understand why the electoral college is part of our Republic?
Do you realize that D.C. according to our constitution can never ever become a state? Do you think packing the supreme court will solve your problems? Does it irritate you that each state no matter how Small has = Power in the Senate?
If you dislike All or most of these issues then you have No Clue why our Form of Government is by far the Best form of government ever created and therefor you despise our Constitution!
Cry hard!
Cue raging Trump supporters in 3...2...1...
Double raging, now they have found out that social media commenters are getting 100,000 a show from russia. The trolls will all be feeling very very underpaid.
@@neilmarshall5087 Only right-wing influencers. Of course, Now tRump is claiming that Putin supports Harris.
@@neilmarshall5087 Yeah, Putin definitely loves some of his staff more than others! 🤣
@@dipperdog😂😂🤡🤡😜
Trump should have never been in the white house .He need to be in the big house
We're not going back to the Toilet Paper Economy
*VOTE! VOTE! VOTE!* 💙🌊🌊🌊🌊💙
Vote Blue! dont count on this
His prediction will only come true if ppl vote.
@@SuperNova888666Correct. He makes it clear that we need to vote.
Wouldn't be nice if she does win😊😊😊
@YourChannelHere2000 Sorry typo. I meant Quadrillions.
@@Furbaby01 If people vote she will win.
He will lose because of his stance on Ukraine.
His stance on Ukraine is dictated by Putin.
VOTE BLUE... make it all True.
Best thing I have heard all year!
Remember we all need to vote blue and November 5th and keep the Democratic Party in power
Also need to win the House too with big margin
If you ever wonder how things have gotten how they are, people announcing "I'll vote for you no matter what you do" is probably one of the root causes.