Retiring at 62 with $1.5 Million: When to Claim Social Security Explained!

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  • Опубліковано 11 чер 2024
  • You’re in your early 60s and planning to retire with around $1.5 million saved. Now you have a huge decision to make with Social Security. Do you take it at age 62 or wait and let it continue to grow, possibly even to age 70 to receive a bigger benefit.
    Working with a lot of people in this situation, we understand that it can be a stressful time. With no income or paycheck coming in, it can make you uncomfortable trying to make a decision that will impact you throughout retirement.
    In this video, we’re going to walk you through a sample case to show you how we’d help you determine when to claim Social Security. We’ll talk about three factors you’ll need to consider because they could make a difference between hundreds or thousands of dollars.
    Here’s some of what we discuss in this episode:
    0:00 - Intro
    0:43 - Hypothetical details
    4:48 - Social Security decisions to make
    8:32 - Projections
    12:087 - 1st Factor - Longevity
    17:51 - 2nd Factor - How much has he saved
    21:40 - 3rd Factor - Cost of living
    Begin the 'Max My Retirement' Gameplan here: sierensfinancialgroup.com/wor...
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 205

  • @MWS1960
    @MWS1960 2 місяці тому +143

    Rediculous to wait…I don’t need SS to retire, but I’m taking it at 65..not 67. The break even is about 82 and if I live past that point the difference isn’t the big. I would rather spend the Fed’s money at 65 forward than mine. I paid it in and I’m getting it out.

    • @ada-yw1bb
      @ada-yw1bb Місяць тому +1

      Break even for most is 78 .

    • @88888gerald
      @88888gerald Місяць тому +3

      you obviously didnt check......the deal breaker is cola...

    • @88888gerald
      @88888gerald Місяць тому

      stupid does seem to run in families....

    • @MWS1960
      @MWS1960 Місяць тому

      @@ada-yw1bb 82 if you’re investing the money that stays in your portfolio and not being spent

    • @lizzieb6311
      @lizzieb6311 Місяць тому

      @@88888gerald The real deal breaker is if you drop dead and the Fed keeps ALL YOUR MONEY. Some of us who have saved and planned so that we don’t rely on SS but want to get as much as the Government has taken from us. I’m one of those people. I’ve got a pension and a fat retirement account and I’ll be damned if the filthy Government is keeping any more of my hard earned cash than they’ve already taken. I’m taking mine at 62 and putting it into a stable high yield savings or conservative brokerage account.

  • @kylecanaday1276
    @kylecanaday1276 2 місяці тому +69

    There are a number of videos on this subject and most do a fair analysis, but almost all leave out the most important point. When you die the SS payments are 0 dollars. I am 60. Both my parents, who lived clean lives, died at 63 and 65. Not one dime of SS. I will start collecting SS at 62.

    • @69ztang
      @69ztang 2 місяці тому +11

      My plan was to start SS at FRA, and both parents are in their late 80s, but health issues started weeks after retirement. So I started SS at 63 just in case.

    • @amerlin388
      @amerlin388 2 місяці тому +8

      My wife started collecting social security treatment at 66, saying she would be royally pissed if she died before receiving any social security. (in the midst of cancer treatment which she has survived but seemingly aged her about 8 - 10 years)
      At the time I told her I could absolutely guarantee that if she died before receiving social security she wouldn't care about it one way or the other.
      Yes, she did laugh. We have that kind of humor.

    • @Nurturing2
      @Nurturing2 2 місяці тому

      I am SO sorry for your losses. 💔💔

    • @jdevoz
      @jdevoz 2 місяці тому +6

      Its an insurance plan, don’t try to get the most you can, maximize the amount you get each year WHEN YOU NEED IT. E.g. delay if you can, SS becomes a reliable base for your income needs, and 9:35 you also guarantee a higher survivor benefit.

    • @DonaldMains
      @DonaldMains 2 місяці тому +2

      I am not sure what videos you are watching because none of the videos ignore that when you die your SS payments are 0 dollars. That is intrinsically part of the break even age at 78-80.

  • @lizzieb6311
    @lizzieb6311 Місяць тому +5

    This is a great illustration and very close to my own scenario. Extremely helpful to me! Thank you.

  • @mikeflair6800
    @mikeflair6800 16 днів тому +7

    I took it at 62. One reason (never mentioned) is the remaining IRA asset value at the end of life. It is important to me to leave something behind...by starting SS at 62, I am preserving my IRA asset value as best I can. So that $700K remains in my asset value, sent to my heirs, rather than consumption.

    • @tradespx9055
      @tradespx9055 5 днів тому +2

      You’re not ‘helping’ them IMHO
      Leaving large sums of money. Most of the happiest people I know earned their money, it was not given to them.

  • @Liledgy100
    @Liledgy100 13 днів тому +3

    I am 61 with 1.2 million (1 mil in a Roth, 200k in ira), I also have a pension of $77k with a 3% cola. My SS at 62 (April 2025) is $2696. I’m leaning towards taking it.

  • @rodrigok1220
    @rodrigok1220 Місяць тому +5

    I’m hoping to retire at 61 and not have to get social security until 65. Need to start converting some of my 401k to Roth at a lower rate.

  • @johnnyadams1755
    @johnnyadams1755 2 місяці тому +27

    In my opinion, the end projections were not different enough to justify waiting until 70 to collect when 50% of 65 year olds will not make it to 85.

    • @gorioecho9789
      @gorioecho9789 2 місяці тому

      and if you're one of those living to 95? if you only live to 72, who cares what you left on the table, not you, you're dead

    • @rogwarrior1018
      @rogwarrior1018 2 місяці тому +5

      Agreed, when you pay into it for 50 years you want to collect what you've contributed.

    • @DonaldMains
      @DonaldMains 2 місяці тому +1

      Man that's quite the argument. I only have a 50 chance of going broke.

    • @lizzieb6311
      @lizzieb6311 Місяць тому

      @@rogwarrior1018 EXACTLY! I don’t want those bloodsuckers keeping and giving away what IVE worked for to someone else when I pass.

    • @88888gerald
      @88888gerald Місяць тому +1

      wrong again.....

  • @DonaldMains
    @DonaldMains 2 місяці тому +4

    One reason is that if you take SS at 62 and don't have other health insurance Obamacare will be very expensive with SS. I think for a lot of people it's best to wait until 65 when medicare kicks in.

  • @reginaldhufenstien
    @reginaldhufenstien 3 місяці тому +6

    Very informative, the feasibility of living off SS during retirement are significant concerns.

  • @paulroberts6163
    @paulroberts6163 2 місяці тому +12

    The way I see it there are the go go years the slow go years and the no go years. My expenses will gradually reduce as I enter into no go years . Why not enjoy life while still active .

    • @juliocs5483
      @juliocs5483 2 місяці тому

      Spot on! Enjoy it while you have some youth in those legs!

    • @Mitzi73
      @Mitzi73 18 днів тому +1

      I see the opposite. Costs will increase the longer you live.

    • @juliocs5483
      @juliocs5483 12 днів тому +1

      @@Mitzi73 But that's why he says, he has reduced his spending as he gets older. No doubt cost will always increase.

    • @tradespx9055
      @tradespx9055 5 днів тому

      @@Mitzi73💯

  • @tgm16886
    @tgm16886 2 місяці тому +22

    Major factor not considered in this video is political risk…. We are hearing more and more talk about changes in SS such as means testing (already being done for Medicare premiums) or general cuts in benefits. This risk factor makes taking SS as soon as possible more attractive.

    • @Fulloctanegarage
      @Fulloctanegarage 2 місяці тому +3

      Right, my last Social Security statement stated that by 2033 I only expect to receive 80% of the calculated amount because the plan will not be fully funded. At that point. That’s a lot of crap considering you paid your entire life of the program and it may be a defining Piece of your retirement plan there’s nothing to keep the government from deciding that you’re too old to be a burden on the government anymore. Kind of scary when the youth are voting on the rest of your life.

    • @theedgeofbreakup5192
      @theedgeofbreakup5192 7 днів тому

      Wouldn’t ever be a problem but the government stole from ss and never paid it back.

  • @angus6032
    @angus6032 3 місяці тому +4

    I am married and in a similar situation. We have delayed SS past FRA for one year and lived off of our savings for over 2 years now. One of my biggest concerns was RMD's and having too much still left in savings.

  • @Zulethe992
    @Zulethe992 2 місяці тому +8

    These projections are so ridiculous. By the time you’re 85 you’ll be lucky to be alive and be able to walk. Most people won’t be spending a fraction of what they spent during their early retirement years. That’s why the vast majority of people using the given example will probably die with a few million in the bank.
    No thanks I want to die penniless and broke

    • @MaybeLoveHate
      @MaybeLoveHate 2 місяці тому

      The only part that worries me is that science keeps extending lifespans. Who know what breakthroughs we will see by the time we are 85 haha

    • @Laura-kb5sr
      @Laura-kb5sr 2 місяці тому +2

      I'd think twice about the third sentence for the final few years of life. If you're alive but aren't able to walk, you'll need to hire a home health aide or move into a facility of some sort--I'm a physical therapist working with many people in this life stage, and those expenses are huge, but most people are still glad overall to be alive anyway. People used to die younger and more abruptly, but now it's older with a longer period of decline. So I want to have plenty of money at that stage.

    • @pritikamath5209
      @pritikamath5209 2 місяці тому

      I think dying penniless and broke is a better deal as medicaid can kick in and long term care comes free. For average Joe a good portion of their retirement savings are used for long term as Medicare or medigap won't suffice.

    • @Laura-kb5sr
      @Laura-kb5sr 2 місяці тому

      @@pritikamath5209 If that's the only option, it is what it is--but I definitely wouldn't have Medicaid as a plan. Not all nursing homes accept Medicaid, and many of those that do have a limited number of Medicaid slots--so choice of nursing home can be limited. And to age in place at home, the number of "Medicaid home health aide" hours may be on the limited side. That's all if you start out on Medicaid. Otherwise, if you start out paying privately for a nursing home but anticipate running out, check in advance that you'll be allowed to stay (they'll convert your slot to a Medicaid one)--that's actually a pretty common scenario. And beware of for-profit nursing homes, because they seem to change ownership fairly frequently and their Medicaid policies can change too. But different states have different laws around nursing homes. And assisted living is a totally different subject all around.

    • @miragexl007
      @miragexl007 Місяць тому

      ​@MaybeL Extending some lifespan.. But quality of life comes into play. I've been a nurse for twenty five years. I see the pain suffering and dying... Is declining.. Especially after seventy five.. This whole extending life thing is quite interesting.

  • @jdollar5852
    @jdollar5852 3 місяці тому +27

    It's never simple.
    I retired in 2020 at age 58. My wife retired in 2022 at age 58.
    Our Obamacare/ACA health insurance in Georgia is under $500 for the two of us. We are both healthy so it covers our routine doctor visits, dental cleanings, etc as well as our work coverage did. Maybe it's much higher in other states?
    SS is "guaranteed" income. The farther out you take a person's life expectancy the better it looks to take SS as late as possible. If I live to age 110, I should wait. If I expect to die before age 80-85, I should take it early.
    If we assume that SS is going to be a major part of our income in retirement, we should wait. If it's a smaller portion, then taking it early makes sense.
    I started at 62 but we will have my wife wait until at least FRA. Our benefits are almost identical, but her longevity is probably higher. Her waiting will allow one of us to have a higher benefit when one of us dies.
    I know about 3 people who remained in their home until age 90+. If you assume a modest increase on his home, you can add an additional $600k+ in retirement assets. Assume he downsizes at age 75, and buys a house with half the value, and you add $300k to his portfolio.
    Very few people spend more after age 80 than they did at age 65. I know healthcare costs increase as we age, but travel pretty much stops. My step-father died at age 97. He stopped traveling around age 90 and pretty much just stayed home, worked in the yard, met friends for breakfast at Chik Fila, and moved into assisted living at age 92.
    Legacy and tax efficiency are another issue that comes into play. I hope I leave all 4 kids a million dollars, but that's not my main objective.
    We have $2.6 million invested with half of that in deferred accounts. My wife was an RN and saved all her money in deferred accounts, so we have a partner in that portion of our assets. Uncle Sam wants his money. Our current budget is between 5-6% of our invested assets. We have our home, one rental house, and a farm we own jointly with a friend. We DO NOT include the real estate in our retirement income projections nor do we include our other possessions. Only our LIQUID assets are used for retirement projections. Our plan is to sell the rental property in about 5 years, the farm within 10 years, and probably downsize our home over the next 5 years. We are currently looking at buying a boat and doing the Great Loop once our kids get out of college. We would probably sell our home at that point to finance the venture and move to a smaller place.
    Save your money!!!
    Don't save all your money in a 401k!!!!! Put some in a Roth or brokerage account so you can play the tax game more efficiently.

    • @eastwestpicayune8200
      @eastwestpicayune8200 3 місяці тому

      I think the concept is not just getting the most money from SS but also tax efficiency like IRMAA. Ultimately, I don't want all my hard earned money to uncle Sam when I pass.

    • @dacianbonta2840
      @dacianbonta2840 3 місяці тому

      no issue with most of this strategy, but if you have the resources, you can afford to "invest" in your SS return; plus the impact of withdrawing more from the tax deferred early on decreasing RMDs and taxes in your 70s.
      What the market is doing may be the biggest factor. If the market tanks, it makes great sense to take the SS early to successfully weather the investment storm.

    • @jdollar5852
      @jdollar5852 3 місяці тому

      The tax strategies get real complex, especially if you have a good chunk in an IRA. Unfortunately, Sam is going to get a chunk of that money. RMD, yearly draws, or after you die, our Uncle will be waiting.​@@eastwestpicayune8200

    • @jdollar5852
      @jdollar5852 3 місяці тому

      ​@@dacianbonta2840we have a plan to minimize taxes. We have 5 years of cash instruments on hand, so we can keep our reported income manageable while using Obamacare, and then start moving money out of the IRAs as best we can. The IRA money is just too high for us to get it all moved at low tax rates. Assuming even moderate annual growth, we will be in pretty high brackets just to keep it where it is now.
      I've always said that, if I have to have a retirement problem, I want it to be paying too much in taxes. I owned some restaurants and always told the managers that, if they had to have a problem, it should be running out of food on a busy night.
      We are just happy to be where we are. I'm an outdoors guy, so we spend our time hunting and fishing all over the USA. We travel extensively and just got back from a 2 week trip to Montana. Skiing wasn't good but seeing Yellowstone in winter was a treat.

    • @ada-yw1bb
      @ada-yw1bb 3 місяці тому

      The break even age for most is 78

  • @c7042
    @c7042 2 місяці тому +4

    I'll spend SSI now when I can enjoy life rather than more later when I won't be able to. I'm a Vietnam vet so the healthcare expense part doesn't figure in. Even it does, I have enough invested that it wouldn't matter anyway.

  • @montesarache5993
    @montesarache5993 3 місяці тому +37

    Hello. At around 6:21 into the video, you state that delaying from 67 until 70 gives you a 124% increase. Actually the increase is 24% not 124%. Just wanted to make that clear. Thank you.

    • @CarlWithACamera
      @CarlWithACamera 2 місяці тому +3

      It’s actually 25.97%, not 24%. It’s a compounding effect, not a flat increase.

    • @montesarache5993
      @montesarache5993 2 місяці тому

      Are you sure? Look at www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/planner/1960-delay.html. It says 124% of the benefits at age 70 for someone born 1960 or later.

    • @montesarache5993
      @montesarache5993 2 місяці тому

      Thought we had replied. Not sure where it went, so this may be a duplicate. Look at www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/planner/1960-delay.html. At age 70 the benefit is 124% of your FRA benefit, meaning a 24% increase for those born 1960 or later, no compounding.

    • @cowabungaw9958
      @cowabungaw9958 2 місяці тому

      No, 8%/yr on delayed benefits, straight up, not compounded. However one may possibly get more with COLA by delaying@@CarlWithACamera

    • @montesarache
      @montesarache 2 місяці тому

      Are you sure? Look at www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/planner/1960-delay.html and it will show that at age 70 you will get 124% of your FRA. That is a 24% increase but no compounding. Basically you get 2/3 of a percent per month of delay or 8% per year.

  • @leocastelo6311
    @leocastelo6311 Місяць тому +2

    I don’t know if you already have a video, but can you do comparison between 62, 65, 67, & 70. If it shows the breaking age we could better decide which is the right age.

  • @timsans1170
    @timsans1170 Місяць тому +2

    What about calculating the loss of returns from your portfolio by utilizing that in lieu of Social Security?

  • @joeshmooo5327
    @joeshmooo5327 2 місяці тому +7

    Life expectancy for a male in the US is 78 years old. Do the math. Take the money and run

    • @randyjohnson2794
      @randyjohnson2794 Місяць тому +3

      Life expectancy is 78 from your date of birth. If you are already 60, your expectancy is more in the mid to late 80's ballpark.

    • @llhandpay
      @llhandpay 29 днів тому

      You got it

    • @JohnJohnson-jr9fs
      @JohnJohnson-jr9fs 15 днів тому

      I've run the numbers and every scenario breaks even at about 78. If you're going to live to 75, take early. If you're going to live to 90, take late. If you know how to make that decision on the front end, please share...

    • @charleswr8359
      @charleswr8359 13 днів тому

      ​@@randyjohnson2794 right. the life expectancy for a 65yo male is 85, and that for a 65yo female is 86.

  • @garyanderson7050
    @garyanderson7050 3 місяці тому +8

    What about the time value of money on the payments received and put in an index fund and withdrawal at long-term capital gainsrate? In addition he should start taking much of his 1.5 Million to optimize his lifespan tax brackets (probably $185K once per year for his wealth). in addition if he can keep his income low he will qualify for low income benefits (like utility bills, medicaid, etc.)

    • @shawnzeppo4361
      @shawnzeppo4361 4 дні тому +1

      Pretty sure the time value of money and portfolio balance are covered by the charts, that is, the Monte Carlo analysis these perditions use, with all the randomized investment returns factored in. The likely range of investment valuations over time are shown in the light blue shaded areas of the investment vs. age charts. Since this example guy is spending his 5800 a month, plus vacation, taxes and medical insurance, that money would be either coming out of his 1.5 million portfolio, or come partially out of that, minus the money he took in via the early SS payments, so either way, the time value of his investments IS covered. I do agree with you that taxes were not covered very well in this video... I can only assume the portfolio value, given the amount withdrawn is included using the current tax rates and then post Trump tax reduction rates (should start in 26') for the amount taken out of his portfolio each year. And the blue shaded area should also account for capital gains taxes on the invested money withdrawn, based on the investment cost averaging basis. No discussion of Roth conversion here, must be in another video.

  • @bourbontraveler
    @bourbontraveler 2 місяці тому +3

    Taking my first check in April at 70. I have a friend that started at 62 he still complains about how he “doesn’t get enough “

  • @paulmarshall1127
    @paulmarshall1127 3 дні тому +1

    If he takes social at 62 it allows him to hang onto more of his nest egg. Where at in video do you discuss the amount his portfolio would have grown too (I did not see where you discussed this). Would the increased amount in his portfolio then offset the fact of the reduced benefit?

  • @dandydan999
    @dandydan999 Місяць тому

    Another very important point never discussed or factored in is the possibility (probability) of the Treasury measing with the numbers such that the delay factor is skewed and at that point depending upon your age etc having taken out earlier would have been the better move.
    Get it while you can and invest what you dont spend.

  • @BlueRanger
    @BlueRanger 3 місяці тому +1

    What if you enter retirement early (60) and want to delay SS to at least FRA 67 and shortly after you retire you enter sequence of return? How would you proceed and how would the Monte Carlo graph look?

    • @charlielipthratt7291
      @charlielipthratt7291 2 місяці тому +2

      I think the biggest factor is you reduce your spending significantly on a downturn and weather the financial storm for 3 to 4 years. Have at least a year plus of full spending not in the market - which you stretch out by frugal spending.
      And you still have an emergency fund for a roof, car, etc, in case something breaks. You might tap that to keep from selling stocks at a big loss if it's an extended downturn.
      Another option, depending on how much money you have in your retirement and brokerage accounts, invest in dividend funds and stocks. Then, you will not have to sell any shares during a market downturn.
      This is a workable option with the $1.5 million example in the video.

  • @LinLin-hq4ho
    @LinLin-hq4ho 2 місяці тому

    Can I take teacher pension at age 62, spousal benefit ar age 67 and my own retirement benefit at age 70?

  • @Sky1
    @Sky1 2 місяці тому +5

    What is 5 years of your life worth?

  • @amerlin388
    @amerlin388 2 місяці тому +2

    One factor not mentioned... I'm turning 62 this summer and am considering keeping taxable income low in 2025 and 2026 to qualify for a healthcare subsidy. Spending 15k for 1k worth of healthcare rankles after a couple of years. My wife is older and has already started her Social Security benefit, almost 3700 per month. If I start SS benefit at 62 it would be difficult to keep income low enough to qualify (SS + interest, dividends, small $585 per month pension).

    • @amerlin388
      @amerlin388 2 місяці тому

      @@_-Karl-_ Each based on individual earnings. Smaller benefit is more than half the other so spousal benefit will not apply.

  • @deanrotering879
    @deanrotering879 15 днів тому

    What did you advise him to do is what I want to know.

  • @mikeconner8684
    @mikeconner8684 3 місяці тому +13

    If you take SS early, then you take less out of your 401k. Does this calculate include the additional returns on the 401k since the balance remains higher. That will push the breakeven point out

    • @user-nt8kc7ho6d
      @user-nt8kc7ho6d 3 місяці тому +2

      Also, the returns on the 401k could potentially be higher than the 8% per year bump to SS!

    • @MatthewJohnson-zx9zs
      @MatthewJohnson-zx9zs 3 місяці тому +3

      a guaranteed 8% return + a COLA kicker is pretty tough to beat, sure you might beat 8% once in awhile, but if your adjusting your stock % down as you get older, not likely to beat 8% and there's also the potential of a bear market in those years between 62 and 70

    • @user-nt8kc7ho6d
      @user-nt8kc7ho6d 3 місяці тому +1

      @@MatthewJohnson-zx9zs The 8% is for delaying. Doesn’t the cola kicker only apply once you start taking SS?

    • @MatthewJohnson-zx9zs
      @MatthewJohnson-zx9zs 3 місяці тому

      Yes and no. SS has an inflation adjustment every year - even before you claim. The video has examples with higher inflation or lower inflation. If inflation is higher, then the benefit of waiting to claim gets bigger. Inflation protection is a key benefit of SS and another reason that favors claiming later.@@user-nt8kc7ho6d

    • @charlielipthratt7291
      @charlielipthratt7291 2 місяці тому +4

      There are so many factors not mentioned yet. He'll want to start moving out considerable sums each year to reduce his RMDs at 75.
      One suggestion is to pull out more than needed each year and put it into a rollover Roth. Buy dividend producing ETFs and stocks in the Roth, and now you have tax free cash flow after 59.5.
      This will be important before and after 65 due to IRMAA taxes.
      And if you take social security early, during this IRA drawdown, there's a good chance your social security will be taxed.
      You really need to run all the numbers to optimize your choices.
      If you can, start Roth rollovers before you need to retire and reduce the RMD tax bomb earlier to help with tax management.

  • @johnd4348
    @johnd4348 17 днів тому

    The yearly COLA adjustments are higher at 67 vs 62 SS amounts . You have to figure in taking a smaller CPLA amount if you take SS at 62.

  • @springhillfitness6837
    @springhillfitness6837 2 місяці тому +1

    I think the smart play is to claim as late as possible to reduce longevity risk. The exception being if you really need the money in your 60's and expect a short life.

    • @miragexl007
      @miragexl007 Місяць тому

      Is a smart player not... I see so many people in their seventies and early eighties sick suffering and dying.... Course i'm a nurse.. I'm not gonna take that chance, Knowing typically low to mid eighties is probably the most common outcome.

  • @timmyg000420
    @timmyg000420 Місяць тому

    How do you count say a $3,000 a month pension?

  • @jeffb.2469
    @jeffb.2469 3 місяці тому +10

    Jim's just fine. How much traveling is he going to do in his 80's and 90's, provided he even lives that long? And, Jim is still sitting on a half-million dollar home. Tell me when you're going to die and I'll tell you when you should start drawing Social Security.

  • @rscott2187
    @rscott2187 3 місяці тому +6

    Two topics that would be curious about
    1- time value of $ if you take it early and invest it in an eft tax efficient, how would that effect a comparison on taking it later.
    example @ 62 take the 2030 invest it @ 8% return for 8 yrs (70) = $270,000, could draw 4% a year off that balance= $900 a month. Also factor in 8 yrs of COLA to the original $2030 , bet you it's very close to the proposed $3596 at age 70. Not to mention maybe Joe gets married or has heirs, should he pass at 74 would have something to show for the SS $. Takes the gamble out of the equation doesn't it.
    2- Another biggie is Taxes, what are Joe's opportunity to be tax wise while delaying SS to maybe 70, draw down some of that massive tax bomb he has built with Qualified retirement contributions. His 1.5 mil. is really approx. 1.1 mil maybe at best after uncle sam gets his pound of flesh.

  • @davejoseph5615
    @davejoseph5615 3 місяці тому +3

    One thing that jumped out of my calculations is that the higher your SS benefits are the quicker the taxes kick in if you have any other income.

  • @eleanor0714
    @eleanor0714 3 місяці тому

    Why letting others 26:46 pick anything? Decisions should be made by the individual. Don’t ever give it away.

  • @funguy1086
    @funguy1086 2 місяці тому +6

    Can you run the numbers if Jim has a wicked addiction to five guys double bacon cheeseburgers costing him $125 per week?

    • @funguy1086
      @funguy1086 2 місяці тому +5

      Actually, I ran the simulation and Jim ended up dead at age 71.

    • @chrisschultz9929
      @chrisschultz9929 Місяць тому +2

      Go with the single pattie and bacon every other visit, longevity planning!

  • @shawnzeppo4361
    @shawnzeppo4361 4 дні тому

    The difference between the COLA rates really does not affect the decision on taking SS early or not, as the COLAs are based on the inflation rate, so if it's higher, you really wouldn't see that as extra money to spend or leave to your estate, rather it is calculated to match (wait for it)... The increased cost of living you have from inflation. Realistically, with the SS Trust Fund now projected to run short starting in 2035, there is also the very strong potential of no COLAs or diet COLAs whenever congress faces up to reality, meaning 2034 in all likelihood. This is extra reason to take SS early, but even with reduced payments, waiting until 67 or 70 might still make sense. The break even point would likely move far out to the right.

  • @petemorton8403
    @petemorton8403 2 місяці тому +2

    A 3.6% cola, yet a 5% Executive Order for federal workers a month later.

  • @ConnectCommit
    @ConnectCommit Місяць тому +1

    Fun example: Couple retires at 66. Monthly budget requires $6,000 a month. If we take SS at 66 it yields $6,000 a month -- Perfect! If we delay until 70 it requires we spend $360K of our own funds (6K per month for five years) IN ADDITION to not collecting $360K from SS (6K per month for five years). At age 70 we are now 'down' $720K. But wait, with a now 'higher' SS amount coming in at age 70, it "only" takes until age 87 to recoup the $720K ($360K+$360K). No thanks. We took the $6,000 at 66, we avoided spending ANY our own funds, keeping them invested and growing, and live quite comfortably on SS without ever touching our $XMillions nest egg. Oh also, read the book 'Die With Zero' by Bill Perkins.

    • @chrisschultz9929
      @chrisschultz9929 Місяць тому +1

      I love this example. I want my investments to grow. Delaying seems bad unless conversions are needed. Young people should do the match for 401k, max out the Roth, and put the rest into a brokerage account. So many people and advisors say delay but very few will make it past 82 or 83 so it ends up being a small difference anyway.

  • @ericmichel3857
    @ericmichel3857 6 днів тому

    Now I'm going to watch "8 GOOD REASON to File for Social Security at Age 62". I wonder if one them will be "get it while you still can".

  • @Pops2
    @Pops2 2 місяці тому +2

    Break even at 78? If the market doesn't take another dump.....I'll take 8 percent a year over 62 until 67 or 70. Survivor benefits must be considered too.

    • @davidwarnke5990
      @davidwarnke5990 10 днів тому

      There is NO 8% increase until you reach FRA (in this example =67) then the delayed credits DO amount to 8% annually

  • @eldestson2112
    @eldestson2112 2 місяці тому +2

    If he waits to age 70 he’ll have to put 100% of his income burden on his retirement savings, withdrawing $336k in 5 years, not including any market downturns. Is your model accounting for that?

    • @donaldlee6760
      @donaldlee6760 Місяць тому

      Yes, all Monte Carlo sims assume that $336k is being spent out of his investment and also models the stock market is doing terribly during those years

  • @miragexl007
    @miragexl007 Місяць тому

    Taking early. figuring most people live to mid 80s. Less out of retirement fund... Letting your investment still grow. And definite guarantee of getting some of your money back from the government?

  • @swamprat9018
    @swamprat9018 Місяць тому +3

    1) 50% of us will be dead by 80. 2) why do all these financial guys only look at 62 or 70. There are 8 years or 16 half years in between those ages that make a lot more since to look at. I'm looking at 63-1/2 to 64 for my plan depending on economy to that point. 3) @ 90 with 500k or 2 mil doubt it makes a difference, except for the richest guy in the grave yard title.

  • @2Phast4Rocket
    @2Phast4Rocket 2 місяці тому +2

    I'll take the early SS because who knows what congress may do with SS. and if you are 70 and in bad health, you cant enjoy that money.

  • @davidmaib677
    @davidmaib677 15 днів тому

    What was his family history?

  • @jerrylance4932
    @jerrylance4932 3 дні тому

    Not sure how Jim could possibly run out of money if he takes ss early at 62. If he earns just 5% on his 1.5 million per year , that’s 6250/month and couple that with his the 2030/month in ss he will get 8250/ month. You stated he needs 7225/month until age 65 and 6225 until age 75. Seems like he will have 1000/month extra. Even if he only manages to make 4% he breaks even until 65 and then at 65 he’s back with a 1000/month surplus. Not sure what kind of return your factoring in on his 1.5 million saved.

  • @billpitts5966
    @billpitts5966 24 дні тому

    There are a lot of people producing these types of videos now. The fellow seems to only focus on numbers, like dying with the most left is the goal. I feel we need to enjoy our healthier years the most to live life to our fullest potential.

  • @queencm
    @queencm Місяць тому

    All these video's sound good but they never take all the money received from 62 to 70 and invest it. It is way more. At 70, with that stash @ about 8-10%, you will be making as much as the whole check you will be receiving. Am I wrong?

  • @swingman50
    @swingman50 2 місяці тому +2

    Any body concerned about means testing to reduce future SS amounts!

  • @ardobeltza7792
    @ardobeltza7792 26 днів тому

    Why don't these guys ever talk about ACA supplement to health ins, and I am not sure if he deals with how taxes are different depending on how and when you take, and how it might decrease or increase your rate of withdrawal of qualified (taxable) funds. I fell asleep so not sure. Thats what happens when you get old. "Lots of factors to consider" he says. Except for taxes, and ACA

  • @Texacate
    @Texacate 16 днів тому

    Why did you NOT define the growth assumptions on $1.5M nest egg, while retired? Just this nebulous "good vs. poor" markets. What is good? What is poor?

  • @markslayton5042
    @markslayton5042 2 місяці тому +2

    Buy rentals early. You won’t have to do any of these calculations.

  • @paulmarshall1127
    @paulmarshall1127 3 дні тому

    Taking social security at age 66. Assume he retires at 62 and he takes $80,000 x 4 years and he gets a 5% return on his portfolio. After 4 years of 80k per year withdrawals he will have $1,461,208 nest egg.
    Next scenario
    He retires 62 and takes social security $24,000 per year and takes $56,000 from nest egg
    After four years his nest egg will be $1,565,000
    Or $104,000 more than the other scenario.
    My conclusion take at age 62 the earnings on nest egg will offset over delaying. Plus you have the money to pass on if you die before age 95 in podcast scenario.
    Also if the social security benefit does ever get cut you have the nest egg to fall back on.

  • @billdaker1120
    @billdaker1120 2 місяці тому +2

    That's a big leap no one knows how long you will live.

  • @miragexl007
    @miragexl007 Місяць тому

    People say take the SS money if you need the money early.. I'm thinking take the money if you Don't need the money.... So no big deal. Retire early, Use that extra money to cover medical at least.. And guarantee getting some of your money back. That's how I see it.. I'm thinking retiring in 5 yrs at 56 with over 2 mill (estimating On low side) with my wife who's 6 years older.. Probably do part-time just to get insurance till 62/65. no real debt right now. She'll take social security early, Then I will at 62.. We should be set barring any real big issues... More bi donamic type years.. And we can always cut back our costs a little more..

  • @pubwvj
    @pubwvj 19 днів тому

    Why does “Jim” spend $5,600/month not including vacations and health care as they are separate and with home paid off? He thinks he is moderate but that is a lot. I spend about 20% of that.

  • @jasonandkathleenbarker6306
    @jasonandkathleenbarker6306 27 днів тому

    Sha la la la la la
    Live for today
    And don’t worry about tomorrow hey

  • @Heywood.Jablome
    @Heywood.Jablome Місяць тому

    I'm 59.5 and only $100k 401k after divorcer@pe 5 years ago. Health not great. Maybe can work til 62. Lucky to live to 70. Current SS wouldmbe about $1200 mo. Need about $2-2500 to live comfy in Asia. Suggestions? I'm open to moving to cheap SE Asian country. Dont need $5-6k mo American Lifestyle. Help!

  • @Calventius
    @Calventius 2 місяці тому +4

    I have a spouse that is 12 years younger. I am 66.6 and will wait for the 8% and COLA's to pile up. Most people are weak and undisciplined. and will not wait. I don't care if i get a penny as long as my wife is better off.

    • @CapCityDC
      @CapCityDC 2 місяці тому +1

      which is a much better reason to delay taking SS than simply dying at age 95 with more $$ in the bank.

    • @chrisschultz9929
      @chrisschultz9929 Місяць тому

      Strong words for people who are good at math and know they will die before 80. However, your situation is unique and your plan is correct. Take care of the spouse is A1.

  • @CarlWithACamera
    @CarlWithACamera 2 місяці тому +2

    Jim needs a few dividend-paying stocks.

    • @davidwarnke5990
      @davidwarnke5990 10 днів тому

      Buy it with what cash source? He’s 100% in tax deferred retirement funds

  • @TheTangoAlfa1
    @TheTangoAlfa1 Місяць тому

    He forgot to include the extra interest made on the 1.5 million in savings by taking SS at 62.

  • @teams3345
    @teams3345 2 місяці тому

    Easy. 62.

  • @mnb3566
    @mnb3566 Місяць тому

    Take it at 62. I would rather have the money in my own pocket and do with it what I want to then let the government hold it for me until some date in the future.

  • @Dave--gp1qx
    @Dave--gp1qx 3 місяці тому +1

    Cost of living increase will produce more dollars if wait till 70.

  • @saxarra43
    @saxarra43 8 днів тому

    Honestly how many people have over a million dollars when they retire 🤔

  • @Sire638
    @Sire638 2 місяці тому +1

    Hey Jim here how he talks to us about delaying taking Social Security to get 600k more if you hadn't invested with hm you would have the 600k more in your portfollio and have 2.1 million but his family apprecaites you pal nice Christmas Card every year!

  • @davidmaib677
    @davidmaib677 15 днів тому

    Excuse me, I always find these a bit diengenuinous. Average life expectancy is 74-79 years old. I see using 85, but 95? Average is only about 30% who are now 65 live till 95 who are very healthy etc. Using 95 which I have seen no one use is very over the top. Using 85+- 5 years comes up very different $

    • @lindawilliamson1661
      @lindawilliamson1661 4 дні тому

      At birth, average life expectancy is about 78. At 65, on average, you'll have 20 more years - to age 85. But that's the average. Half of 65 year olds will live beyond age 85.

  • @freedomusa-wj5kx
    @freedomusa-wj5kx 3 місяці тому +5

    If Jim downsized his house at some point he could bank a couple hundred thousand

  • @Bwanar1
    @Bwanar1 3 місяці тому +1

    Now if we only had a crystal ball! If he wants to retire early, he might have to go back to work for a little extra money.

    • @wesm3848
      @wesm3848 29 днів тому

      Good luck finding a job that pays well when you are over 60, regardless of your qualifications with a few exceptions.

  • @1515cando
    @1515cando 22 дні тому

    So take it at 62. Bank it or invest it if you don't need it. That serves as a hedge against dying younger.

  • @michaelgreen3036
    @michaelgreen3036 4 дні тому

    A lot of these a financial planners are completely flawed when they start talking about inflation and COLAs. They don't understand math, so are clueless. Fact is the breakeven point between 62 and 70 does not ever change based on the COLA rate. That's because the COLA adjusts for the lost in purchasing power.
    When doing financial planning, you should NEVER factor in inflation. The only exception to that is health care inflation, which historically outpaces general inflation. The correct place to make the adjustment is on the investment side, where the revenue should be expressed in inflation adjusted returns. And no, it's not the same thing just expressed differently because the human brain can't comprehend far future inflation in real terms. We're stuck understanding only today's prices and budgets.

  • @PamB81
    @PamB81 Місяць тому

    Why in the hell would anyone wait until 70?? It’s going to continue to grow even if you start collecting at 62. It’s going to be the same amount when you reach 70 as it would be if you waited!

  • @KP-zy1ke
    @KP-zy1ke 3 місяці тому +1

    Not sure why people need all that much money. Must eat out a lot.

  • @MC-gj8fg
    @MC-gj8fg 28 днів тому

    Health issues where you're unlikely to live until 80? Claim at 62. You have an income source that's covering all monthly expenses from non-retirement money? Ok to claim at 62 and invest the social security money. Other than that, waiting to full retirement age or even delaying is the far wiser course of action.
    From the total money standpoint, aside from being behind by age 80 if you claim at age 62 as a matter of total money received, the gap just gets bigger and bigger because it's inflation adjusted, so the percentage increase just widens the gap further and further year over year.
    From a security standpoint, even the best laid plans of mice and men call fall to ruin. I could retire with a few million dollars, the market bottoms out over the next decade, and I live longer than I imagined. Funny how fast a few mil can go under unfortunate circumstances. Having a maxed out and inflation adjusted guaranteed income goes a long way to mitigate the impact to our assets under those circumstances, and in the worst case, ensures that we'll be able to put food on the table even if everything goes pear shaped.

  • @philmarsh7723
    @philmarsh7723 2 місяці тому

    There's another things to consider: Do you have enough worked years to get full SS? If not, delaying and working will bump your benefits up per year at a higher rate.

  • @philmarsh7723
    @philmarsh7723 2 місяці тому

    I don't care about lifetime income from Social Security Benefits. I only care about minimizing risk. I'm waiting until 70.

  • @juliocs5483
    @juliocs5483 2 місяці тому

    This scenario was kinda dumb to me…if this person with 2mil plus in assets can’t live more than a comfortable life at age 62 and beyond, then he probably splurged too much after retiring.

  • @robertmartinez3769
    @robertmartinez3769 6 днів тому

    You not considering SS losing its solvency in 2035. 20 percent cut in benefits.

  • @billjolliemore8462
    @billjolliemore8462 2 місяці тому +1

    If you don’t NEED social security and you take the $24,360 a year early at 62 and invest it at 5% for 8 years, then you will start off at age 70 with $232,616.29
    $232k is the cost of not taking it early and investing it if you do not NEED it. Because you won’t be getting it anyway if you don’t take it early.

  • @Ethernet480
    @Ethernet480 3 місяці тому +2

    Seems like you should almost always take it as early as possible unless you 1. really fudged up your finances going into retirement. 2. You have a unique spousal strategy..or 3. You have a strong need to cash flow your expenses

    • @randolphh8005
      @randolphh8005 3 місяці тому +4

      If you are single, there is a little less strategy. As a couple, one person (generally the high earner)should almost always delay some. Remember that the highest check always goes to the last person alive, and in a couple the chance of one living long is much higher. The other taking earlier if they have a work history can make sense.
      My opinion is that unless you are wealthy or expect to die young, taking too early increases risk needlessly. This is true, even if you retire BEFORE taking SS, and use assets to fund life.

    • @Ethernet480
      @Ethernet480 3 місяці тому

      @@randolphh8005 yea very true I agree on all of that. I guess the only thing to add is if the portfolio isn’t sizable enough and you retired early (years before 62) and you had to bridge with x amount that would cause you to deplete if you didn’t start taking at 62 vs 70…then that’s the only caveat I see …very specific though as usual

    • @MatthewJohnson-zx9zs
      @MatthewJohnson-zx9zs 3 місяці тому +1

      if longevity runs in your family, then I'd strongly advise waiting to age 70. Once you get to 62 you've got a SS asset and a retirement portfolio asset and hopefully a paid off home. The decision is really just which assets to spend first. If you claim early, then you are choosing to spend the asset with a guaranteed 8% rate of return plus a COLA kicker. Meanwhile you're holding onto the retirement portfolio. If you've got a 60/40 mix of stocks and bonds, then you're expected return is less than 8% and nothing is guaranteed - a bear market could hit early in retirement (sequence of returns risk). If not running out of money before you die is an important goal, then waiting to claim is the better strategy. Now if you're a risk taker and think you'll die early, then put all your chips on Nvidia and claim SS at 62.

    • @randolphh8005
      @randolphh8005 3 місяці тому +1

      @@MatthewJohnson-zx9zs I agree with you completely.
      The other points for people to understand is that delaying buys you time, as you can always change your mind. Taking at 65 is better, and every year you delay helps.
      Consider the actual value of your check, if it is much less than $2000 it will never be enough to live on, if it is $3000 or more, most can survive on that.
      Plus the breakeven on taking later is usually only about 11 years, which means that even waiting to 67 starts winning at age 78 on pure dollars, let alone longevity protection.

    • @wesm3848
      @wesm3848 29 днів тому

      @@randolphh8005 define wealthy?

  • @theRealRobMart140
    @theRealRobMart140 24 дні тому

    The one thing none of these take into account is the 2033 insolvency issue. wait until 70 your pushing up against that date

    • @davidwarnke5990
      @davidwarnke5990 10 днів тому

      It’s NOT insolvent at that year, it’s that incoming taxes will not be enough to cover existing obligations without some projected reduction

    • @theRealRobMart140
      @theRealRobMart140 9 днів тому

      @@davidwarnke5990 I understand that, my point is that this is the first generation that will be looking at a issue where when being told the FRA is 67 is right at the point of the big issue of SS being in trouble. Taking now at 62 in the end may be a better option, withthe possibility of reduced benefits at 67, also the 12 percent tax bracket may go away at the end of next if the Tax and Jobs act is allowed to expired. There really is no one size on this. I am punching out at 62 and taking my SS even though I do not need it, and investing it.

  • @llhandpay
    @llhandpay 29 днів тому

    Big deal. You worked how many years and how many Healthy do you have left? Do the math.

  • @robsmith734
    @robsmith734 3 місяці тому +1

    SS is going bust by 2035 so take it while you can is my opinion

    • @miragexl007
      @miragexl007 Місяць тому +2

      It will never go bust... Or the country will feel miserably.. And they know it. But they will do other things as far as getting their money shifting money except.. Is possibly decreasing benefit, Increaseing the age etc..

  • @toastedtarantula1701
    @toastedtarantula1701 2 місяці тому

    If you are so called “scared” at 62 yrs old, you should go back to work 😮. I don’t think that is the right emotion.

  • @Sire638
    @Sire638 2 місяці тому +1

    Hey can you do the chart for Jim how much more he would have if didn't PAY YOU?LOL THAT CHART NOT COMING JIM!LOL

  • @51dbail
    @51dbail 23 дні тому

    Yeah! Not even 10% of 62 yr old have 1.5 million.

  • @samstreater6849
    @samstreater6849 2 місяці тому

    You didn’t show a projection what happens when the country goes bankrupt and no S.S. comes in to Jim. 😮

  • @Krishna124
    @Krishna124 2 місяці тому

    And if u 85 and very bad health and lot of money people will wait for your death and stop taking care of you because sooner they get inheritance

  • @Sire638
    @Sire638 2 місяці тому +1

    YEAH IF YOU WAIT TO JIM HOW EXCITING IS THAT YOU WILL HAVE ENOUGH TO LAST TO YOUR 204 YEARS OLD MAN YOU GOT A GREAT ADVISOR JIM HE WAS WORTH THE 600K YOU LOST I MEAN PAIID HIM.LMFAO

  • @TheK9Shepherd
    @TheK9Shepherd 2 місяці тому

    I'm gonna collect at 62. Then my 11yo will collect 50% of my FRA for 8 years !!! No brainer there :)

  • @alshaw9420
    @alshaw9420 3 місяці тому +2

    I CLAIMED AT 99