I really enjoy your low-key, conversational tone very much. I happened to watch this video New Year's Eve from a little west of Cleveland OH at 10pm. As I was watching, the rain against my west-facing window sounded like it was turning to an icy mix. I paused to check the radar and indeed, we were getting a mix. I could see it turning into snow a few miles away on the radar. It was 61 degrees the day before yesterday and bitterly cold around Thanksgiving! So much odd weather. I'm more than a little concerned about my son. He needs to drive from here to Lancaster PA on Jan 6th and back on Jan 9. Then, before the end of the month, he needs to go to Grand Rapids MI!
I remember 76-77 well because I was in Scottsboro, Al for six months. It was so cold there in the hills of NE Alabama that lakes were starting to freeze. Not too far, up in Chattanooga, TN, it was frozen & they were getting big snows. I had to drive up every couple weeks. Cold in December through March in that area. It was in a dry county. I think Jackson county & not easy to get a beer for cheap but you could find bootlegger lol
I’m worried about how hard W NC & E TN will be. There are people in tents, donated RVs, campers and tiny homes - many of those with no electricity and not set up for serious cold. I am truly worried people may die out there of hypothermia. I’m talking 1,000s of displaced people. They were caught unaware of Helene, sure don’t want them to be unaware of polar temps that they very rarely ever see there.
@@bamweather So, do you think there will be possible arctic air and snow coming to the pacific northwest after the 3rd week of January going into February? I hope so since it has been mild here in the lowlands of western Oregon.
Where do I go (what website and which set of maps) to recreate the January -- Neutral ENSO -- MJO Phase 1 map? I can't find it on the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis page. Thanks.
I think this type of pattern was when the march superstorm of '93 hit the deep south and raced up the eastern seaboard and did TREMENDOUS damage and feets of snow
My weather forecast where I live does not show any snow coming up. I'm in the northeast. According to my forecast, it's showing pretty dry from January 2 to January 12.
And that my friend is because weather stations and news channels won't show that until around the 5 day outlook. Because the future has a lot of changes that could happen in the models
A deep snowpack creates subzero readings even during the day i would not be suprised to see 20 and 30 degree below zero temperatures especially interior michigan Wisconsin area etc. I believe also big storms through the spring as well a pattern we haven't seen in years
So I am a snowmobiler that likes to go to the UP of Michigan and the NW lower part of Michigan. Do you think with this arctic air we can get the lake effect snow machine going here in early through mid January?
It’s extremely important that this arctic airmass stay centralized as it drops into North America and not continue to slide off to the east. We have it right where we want it at the moment but these air masses in the past have always trended east. I’m in San Antonio, and as for another repeat of 2021? It’s way too early to say. I’m watching the latest 18z model runs which is coming out as I type this. Crossing my fingers that they continue to show this storm in Texas around the 8th-10th. If we can get this storm, we will automatically have the cold for frozen precipitation 👍
@@AJafterhourz Im in North Texas, and we need that siberian Airmass to punch south first, not east. 7 - 10th is my timeframe fingers ceossed for snow🤞🏽🤞🏽🤞🏽
And just like that, the latest 18z GFS completely takes away our southern storm on the 9th-10th. Slides that arctic air mass east just as I feared. However, to take this run seriously would be foolish. 2 runs ago (4am this morning), it didn’t have it either. We have plenty of time to watch it.
We really need that positive PNA to relax, its the reason why these arctic airmasses, since Late November kept sliding east. Lets see what the 00z does 😐 Tired of that Sh$# to be honest.
Im in Huntingdon County Pennsylvania USA 🇺🇸 im hoping for snow. But the cold does concern me. Our home is well stocked. We have back up heat.Im very ill i have cancer. But im doing ok . I have to be so cautious as im high risk.
So basically going to maybe be cold for a few days then start warming back up in central Ohio but lets all get freaked out for stuff that is not that big of a deal got it.
WHY DID YOU ONLY SHOW THE CENTER OF THE NATIONS FREEZING TEMPS ? WE IN FLORIDA ARE DESPERATE FOR MORE INFO FOR OURSELVES BECAUSE WE ARE THE GROWING CENTER FOR FOOD FOR THE SOUTHEAST. SHOW US THE TEMPS AND WIND CHILL NUMBERS PLEASE.
I live in NW Pa (Just South (20miles) of Pittsburgh. IMO There’s a 95% chance My Region does NOT get a memorable Snow Event (meaning 3-5+ inches of Snow) i would even say likely just a coating or furries IF that! I have lost ALL FAITH in these hyped up Models. They are 99% always on the Aggressive side only to change to the lesser and baseline means. Now the “Usual Suspects sure I believe are likely to see some event (thats Mountains/higher elevations, and the New England States like N.H., Vermont, Maine ect..) the only other way i see this going is the Arctic air mass brings too much dry air for the Ohio Valley, North East and a Southern Slider kind of event happens for Mountains WV, Virginia, NC, type. As a Winter Snow Lover, I can only dream of atleast one Memorable Snowfall like when i was a kid growing up in 70’s -80’s and even Blizzard of 93’ but I would bet a big mouthful NW Pa gets nothing but a BIG LET DOWN, and flurries from Lake effect or back end Systems! Happy New Year! Sry for the RANT! Just frustrating! Keep up the great content!
I has been my observation, here in NW Arkansas over the past 24 years, that we get a bad lingering snow/ice storm when there is a mild La Nina. Not every mild La Nina produces the bad frozen stuff, but every time we have it is when there is a mild La Nina.
I really enjoy your low-key, conversational tone very much. I happened to watch this video New Year's Eve from a little west of Cleveland OH at 10pm. As I was watching, the rain against my west-facing window sounded like it was turning to an icy mix. I paused to check the radar and indeed, we were getting a mix. I could see it turning into snow a few miles away on the radar. It was 61 degrees the day before yesterday and bitterly cold around Thanksgiving! So much odd weather. I'm more than a little concerned about my son. He needs to drive from here to Lancaster PA on Jan 6th and back on Jan 9. Then, before the end of the month, he needs to go to Grand Rapids MI!
Awesome video Michael. Looks, like winter is coming back in a big way.
Appreciate it!
I remember 76-77 well because I was in Scottsboro, Al for six months. It was so cold there in the hills of NE Alabama that lakes were starting to freeze. Not too far, up in Chattanooga, TN, it was frozen & they were getting big snows. I had to drive up every couple weeks. Cold in December through March in that area. It was in a dry county. I think Jackson county & not easy to get a beer for cheap but you could find bootlegger lol
I’m worried about how hard W NC & E TN will be. There are people in tents, donated RVs, campers and tiny homes - many of those with no electricity and not set up for serious cold. I am truly worried people may die out there of hypothermia. I’m talking 1,000s of displaced people.
They were caught unaware of Helene, sure don’t want them to be unaware of polar temps that they very rarely ever see there.
Hello from Georgia! New subscriber here. Thank you for the heads up!
Welcome!!!
Yes, thank you sooo much.
I absolutely love getting your updates. I work at a school just north of St. Louis and you keep me updated, always. Thank you
Appreciate your kind words!
@bamweather very excited for the possible snow coming! I'm from Buffalo and miss getting the Buffalo snows lol
@@bamweather So, do you think there will be possible arctic air and snow coming to the pacific northwest after the 3rd week of January going into February? I hope so since it has been mild here in the lowlands of western Oregon.
Where do I go (what website and which set of maps) to recreate the January -- Neutral ENSO -- MJO Phase 1 map? I can't find it on the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis page. Thanks.
I think this type of pattern was when the march superstorm of '93 hit the deep south and raced up the eastern seaboard and did TREMENDOUS damage and feets of snow
My weather forecast where I live does not show any snow coming up. I'm in the northeast. According to my forecast, it's showing pretty dry from January 2 to January 12.
And that my friend is because weather stations and news channels won't show that until around the 5 day outlook. Because the future has a lot of changes that could happen in the models
@the_allshow6 845 FOR SURE 😮😅😊😂
A deep snowpack creates subzero readings even during the day i would not be suprised to see 20 and 30 degree below zero temperatures especially interior michigan Wisconsin area etc. I believe also big storms through the spring as well a pattern we haven't seen in years
Still waiting for winter to finally arrive here in Texas, so this was exciting news.
👀
Snow in North Texas?
So I am a snowmobiler that likes to go to the UP of Michigan and the NW lower part of Michigan. Do you think with this arctic air we can get the lake effect snow machine going here in early through mid January?
And the snow totals shown would be 2-3 times higher up north with ratios more like 20-30:1.
South of Houston here... Thanks for the update...we don't handle cold well here often lose power etc
Hang in there!
How will this coming cold compare to 1985 in the se?
2011 was a violent tornado year-don’t want to repeat that
Happy to learn we might actually have a little bit of winter here in Oklahoma! Thank you ❤❤
You bet!
Watching from beautiful Colorado Springs, Colorado. ❄️☃️
Awesome! Thank you!
If this turns into 1977, get ready for some serious Ice Age stuff going down.
Thank you!
You’re welcome!
Yes I rememberd 77. And other years. I missed it what did you say about Michigan? Thanks brother
So later Jan into Feb should the Pacific Northwest see better opportunities for cold and sea level snow chances?
Happy New Year
Same to you!
North Dakota here 🤦♀️( why do we live where the air hurts our face😂😂🤣🤣)
Yeah… 😳
Oregon guy here, we don’t get any snow here anymore I swear 😔
Thank you
You’re welcome!
Thanks buddy!
You bet!
2021 remix, im from leon county texas, any snow and ice with this possible? i know the models show some but what do you think?
It’s extremely important that this arctic airmass stay centralized as it drops into North America and not continue to slide off to the east. We have it right where we want it at the moment but these air masses in the past have always trended east. I’m in San Antonio, and as for another repeat of 2021? It’s way too early to say. I’m watching the latest 18z model runs which is coming out as I type this. Crossing my fingers that they continue to show this storm in Texas around the 8th-10th. If we can get this storm, we will automatically have the cold for frozen precipitation 👍
@@AJafterhourz Im in North Texas, and we need that siberian Airmass to punch south first, not east. 7 - 10th is my timeframe fingers ceossed for snow🤞🏽🤞🏽🤞🏽
And just like that, the latest 18z GFS completely takes away our southern storm on the 9th-10th. Slides that arctic air mass east just as I feared. However, to take this run seriously would be foolish. 2 runs ago (4am this morning), it didn’t have it either. We have plenty of time to watch it.
We really need that positive PNA to relax, its the reason why these arctic airmasses, since Late November kept sliding east. Lets see what the 00z does 😐 Tired of that Sh$# to be honest.
@@AJafterhourz Right here smack down inbetween the DFW metroplex ( North Texas ) Im pulling for a snowstorm incredibly badly.
Looking forward to the snow here in Peoria, Illinois and the surrounding areas!
And thee extreme cold.
Looks like the Eastern Ozarks of Southeast Missouri will see some deep snows.
Ty BAMWX Michael 🏆🏆🙏🏿🙏🏿
You’re welcome!
whats the deal with the thin line neaerer to the west coast all about? is that project bluebeam or haarp drawin a line in the sand sos to speak?
😅 😂 🎉 😢 😮
Im in Huntingdon County Pennsylvania USA 🇺🇸 im hoping for snow. But the cold does concern me. Our home is well stocked. We have back up heat.Im very ill i have cancer. But im doing ok . I have to be so cautious as im high risk.
Nobody ever really mentions North Central Texas .. idk why .. we matter !
So basically going to maybe be cold for a few days then start warming back up in central Ohio but lets all get freaked out for stuff that is not that big of a deal got it.
GOING TO JUST BARELY MISS US. SOUTH TEXAS ON THE GULF OF MEXICO.
Still don't look like much of anything in central Ohio once again I doubt we even get to normal snow fall this winter
The Day After Tomorrow 😅😮
So excited if it’s true
WHY DID YOU ONLY SHOW THE CENTER OF THE NATIONS FREEZING TEMPS ? WE IN FLORIDA ARE DESPERATE FOR MORE INFO FOR OURSELVES BECAUSE WE ARE THE GROWING CENTER FOR FOOD FOR THE SOUTHEAST. SHOW US THE TEMPS AND WIND CHILL NUMBERS PLEASE.
yeesh kiddo take some anger management classes
I live in NW Pa (Just South (20miles) of Pittsburgh. IMO There’s a 95% chance My Region does NOT get a memorable Snow Event (meaning 3-5+ inches of Snow) i would even say likely just a coating or furries IF that! I have lost ALL FAITH in these hyped up Models. They are 99% always on the Aggressive side only to change to the lesser and baseline means. Now the “Usual Suspects sure I believe are likely to see some event (thats Mountains/higher elevations, and the New England States like N.H., Vermont, Maine ect..) the only other way i see this going is the Arctic air mass brings too much dry air for the Ohio Valley, North East and a Southern Slider kind of event happens for Mountains WV, Virginia, NC, type. As a Winter Snow Lover, I can only dream of atleast one Memorable Snowfall like when i was a kid growing up in 70’s -80’s and even Blizzard of 93’ but I would bet a big mouthful NW Pa gets nothing but a BIG LET DOWN, and flurries from Lake effect or back end Systems! Happy New Year! Sry for the RANT! Just frustrating! Keep up the great content!
I’m an hour east of Cedar Key Florida, would really like it if the bitter cold would stay up North!
🥶
Why don't you just say might get winter for a week in the east then it is going to warm up and be above normal temperatures.
😂 True
Berrrrrrrrrrzzzzzz😮❤
I has been my observation, here in NW Arkansas over the past 24 years, that we get a bad lingering snow/ice storm when there is a mild La Nina. Not every mild La Nina produces the bad frozen stuff, but every time we have it is when there is a mild La Nina.
WE DO NOT CONSENT!!!
You can’t predict shit
Good thing we’ve been in business for over 13 years with thousands of clients across the US👍🏼
A High pressure system is stuck in the southwestern united states. This cold pattern will not back west!
Ugh...
Wrong answer.you all have not a clue what you are doing.
Oh really? Then what’s your prediction?
Quit smacking your lips.
That’s what you took away from this video?