Is the stock market in a bubble? | Ray Dalio | June 2021
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- Опубліковано 22 чер 2021
- I support the Robin Hood Foundation which works on poverty alleviation in New York City, and they asked me to give a 10 minute explanation of my thinking about stocks being in a bubble. If you’re interested you can find a clip here.
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thank you Ray, always good to hear from those that know and have experience to share, very kind of you
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Thank you ! for your time to share experience and the way you interpret market condition.
A guest on The Wall Street Journal Report spoke sometime last week about making over $631,000 in 4months with a capital of $100,000, which made me realize that as a beginner i have alot to learn, so please assist me with any pointers or tips that would help me make this much profit.
seek the guidance of a professional.
I watch youtube videos and take courses, baby steps but it works for me.
I’m a new investor as well and I use a broker Olivia Mary Schulz, she’s been guiding me with my investment since I began late Nov and I’ve been able to accrue a profit of $426,000 with a principal of $85,000
that’s amazing
Wow I always wanted to invest with a professional but I never knew how to go about it please how do I reach Olivia Mary Schulz, and how does she help investors?
Thank you very much for this short but informative explanation! Looking forward as always to learn from you as much as possible.
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God bless you Ray. And to your family during a difficult time. Thanks for helping us little folks out in a crazy time.
We're not going back to normal days. Remember that
Just 10 min of your video is more then month of study one does independently.
Thanks Ray as always...
ua-cam.com/video/wplSh_207Es/v-deo.html IPO
Always great to hear to you Ray! I always get a better perspective from your talks.
Thank you for imparting your insights in such a public and accessible manner, Mr. Dalio!
(B:I:T:C:O:N):(A:N:D)(:E:T:H:E:R:E:U:M) (I:N:V:E:S:T:M:E:N:T):(T:H:A:N:K:S):(F:O:R) (C:O:M:E:N:T:I:N:G):(C:O:N:T:A:C:T)-(W:H:A:T :A:P:P):(N:U:M:B:E:R)+1(608)561-7491.
just great, as always, thx so much for doing this
It was definitely a flavor indeed. Thank you Mr. Dalio for sharing your wisdom with us.
Always great to get your perspective and bits of wisdom Ray, ty
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Very useful information, thanks for sharing Mr. Dalio.
Thank you. This is a great framework. your book has a profound positive effect on me. always good to hear from those that know and have experience to share
One of only honest and caring billionaire's out there,
whose actually sharing his knowledge and tips with us,
thank you.
- Warren Buffet has entered the chat
There are a lot of billionaires who have shared. Warren Buffett, Charles Koch, Sam Walton, are a few that come to mind who have written and shared their philosophies generously.
I love his book Prinicples. It has has a profound positive effect on me.
Love this guy.
I noted that the table is different from the one in your book (2007 has changed its 1 and 2 parameters to "No Bubble"), is that due to a change of opinion or data findings?
Was waiting for this video. 🙌🏻 Thanks Ray sir
Been following since the email, I'm a huge fan now and Im so glad you have brought much needed attention to sociological discussions. Thank you, far exceeded anything I could of hoped for. 🙏🏼👍🏼
Thanks for your comment, W.h.a.t-s.A.p.p me now I have something real big I would like to introduce you to now
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Thank you so much Sir. Such a privilege hearing from you.
Love you for educating us about an important matter.
Thank you sir! Look forward to hearing your insights.
Ray always a pleasure to get your take on this your clarity is great. 🐱
Thanks for sharing Ray! A great framework! call it bubble or not, we are in high priced stage, in everything! this means our return in next a few years could be low
Always appreciate listening to your words of wisdom.
@Pinned by Jay talks Crypto stop spaming
And he’s sharing all these insights for free? What a man!
Good, because I will be far more worried if he says "cash is trash" again
Thank you for these educational videos Ray. This is exactly what we want to learn!
Glad to see you Ray, thank you for what you are doing ! Educate us !
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Thank you, Ray! Very useful data.
I see Mr. Dalio as a human historian not investor. Everytime I hear Mr. Dalio speaks about the market, I always feel I am in the history class.
It's because history likes to repeat itself, this is also the case for stock market, and alot can be learned from it's past action, as to what may or may not happen next.
Every time I listen to this man , he makes me astounded ... learning a great deal from likes of him ...
Thank you Ray for sharing your valuable thoughts and experiences
Thank you for sharing your knowledge - once again…
Thank you. This is a great framework. How funny it is to see the crypto opportunists don't appreciate it. Well, good luck to you all. I wish you all become rich.
Ray, thanks for this nice straight to point condensed info. Loved it!
@Principles by Ray Dalio™ N+o t-h-a-n-k-s scammer
Thank you for your Great insight Sir. So grateful here.
Comprehensive analysis! Thank you!
Glad to see you in good health Ray. Looking forward to seeing more content from you
Definitely....❣❣
@📍pinned by Principles by Ray Daliø ✔ SCAMMER CAREFUL
Thanks it’s a pleasure I appreciate
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It's the weekend, every time he says "bubble" I take a shot.
I'll take a dab
I should call you an ambulance for alcohol poisoning
8:43 forwards is the warm-up
The government has to have money from WORKERS paying taxes to NON WORKING POOR for the government to operate, & to keep the stock market going. The drought will stop WORKERS jobs that pay taxes to the government to collect, resulting in a depression. There is no way possible that the government can prevent a crash by end of summer or end of January., when market usually crashes, Everyone already owns a new car. So, cars wont sell, resulting in a depression.
rofl
I really enjoy your book.
From that emerging tech chart, Seems like shorting the Nasdaq or buying puts on the Nasdaq now is a good idea?
@@braveones7053
I watched the whole video. Wondering how that relates to my question? Are a lot of these new ipos now being included into the Nasdaq? And you think shorting it is a good idea?
Blessed to live in an age where the greats can share their thoughts ....
If our Government didn't bail this loser out back in 2008, he would be a "normal" folk like all of us. But go ahead and admire him. I'm sure he needs it.
@@robryan751 Ahem ... (rolling eyes)
A) Bridgewater / Ray Dalio didn't need any money in the 2008 Financial Crisis, because he MADE money through the crisis ( www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-funds-bridgewater-idUSL1N2B5319 )
B) I'm a guy that prints Sharpe Ratio's in the 2.x range multi-decade (Most can't reach 1.x), and I prefer my Sortino's in the 10's (Most can't reach 2), though sometimes, they are in the 8's as of late, as I had a -8% DD in Feb 2020 ... which although still VERY small for most people ... for me, it was massive. Regardless ... there are few on this PLANET of my AUM better than myself ... but I'm smart enough to understand that Ray outclasses me by orders of magnitude especially on the scaleability issues he faces alone ... and to STOP TALKING when people are smarter than me are talking, and to have the humility to LISTEN
C) In a manner of speaking? We were ALL bailed in 2008, because no matter how good our trades were, and if we were making money or not ... the entire WORLD ran out of money. We were about 350 hours from there being no money, in any bank, ATM or checking account ... so you were bailed out too buddy ...
Fun game: Drink every time Ray says “Bubble” 🤣
I’ll go with some bubbly champagne 🍾
Did anyone count how many "bubble" there were? 😀
bubble
Then the alcohol industry would became a bubble...
Fun, but short?
What a good way to explain that. Thank you sir.
Hi Ray, I always appreciate you sharing your thought and experience. Could I ask a question? What's the definition of "bubble slide" at 7min? I read two books of yours; but, some terminologies are not clear to understand. Thanks.
Appreciate your feedback ❤️ and thanks for watching. For more info...
F-O-R M-O-R-E T-R-A-D-E G-U-I-D-L-I-N-E-S
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Thanks for uploading this video Mr. Dalio
It’s fascinating to live in an era where THE guy himself, takes to you directly!
I appreciate it
Summary.
Some parts of the markets are in a bubble. Tech in general is in a bubble.
Powerful insights. Thanks, Mr. Dalio!
love you Ray!! thanks for all the wisdom
This Analysis is so insightful!!
Thank You, Ray!!
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The award to the person who can say the word "bubble" the most in a 9 minute UA-cam video goes to.... Ray Dalio! Lol. Thanks for the information Ray! Watched and liked.
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Quite wise and clever. Thanks Mr Dalio!
Thank you for your time and information
Thanks for the video ... It was educative
Lack of trading discipline is the primary reason for intraday trading losses it is estimated that nearly 80-85% of intraday traders end up losing money in the stock market Experiencing loss is also part of the game but that don't mean you should give up.
Obviously trading in stocks is very volatile and risky to trade that's the reason most investors trade with a professional broker.
Tried trading my self but made a lot of loss it hasn't been easy for me.
I don't know who needs to hear this you've got to stop saving money invest some part of it if you really want financial freedom.,
this is true trading the financial market wasn't easy for me at first with with the help of my stock broker I earn a minimum of $13,600 biweekly per $1kinvestment I make.,
Thanks for the video sir 🙏🙏
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Nice pfp
Thank you Ray for the priceless wisdom
Thank you very much sir.
Great video as always! I think we also need to take inflation into account.
The 2007 crash is an interesting one, but need to address that the crash is mostly due to the housing bubble/ bank frauds.
Desde Cuenca Ecuador aprendiendo del Jefe Ray Dalio. Saludos
Que bueno hermano buena suerte
Somos pocos los latinos que nos hemos metido a invertir de verdad y no solo a apostar en el mercado, pero nos falta mucho camino
También soy de Ecuador. Estoy en proceso de salir de deudas para luego ahorrar y poder empezar a componer capital con la filosofía del Value Investing. Saludos.
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Good to hear your point of view Ray. Appreciated.
Thank you for sharing your opinion on the bubbles.. You giving out the right advice for stay away from the bubble company.
Thank you for this amazing content. much appreciated.
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Summary: We are in a baby bubble
😆🤣
thanks Ray , you are an amazing person .
Am I correct in saying that the first 4 Conditions put Bitcoin in a bubble and the last 2 conditions don't apply to Bitcoin.
What about the trillions that have been printed over the last few years? Doesn't that cause serious inflation, raising prices on many commodities? Housing prices appear to be in a bubble, but not inventory, Your thoughts?
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@📍pinned by Principles by Ray Daliø ✔ watch out below
thank you a lot, going to buy and increase bubble :)
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@@user-oz9gz3dm6f REPORT THIS FRAUD
Thank you Mr. Dalio. This was very helpful
Thank you so much for your wisdom!!!
That last slide " The long Term Debt Cycle". Were dead.
If you take away the Fed balance sheet, the current market is lower than 2000 bubble. The Fed balance sheet has done most of the work! so I am not sure how this cannot be called a bubble? Why isnt the balance sheet inside a balance? is this sustainable?
Had no idea dalio had youtube channel. This is great 👍👏
Ray, I love you man. You're awesome!
The dollar dipped on Thursday as investors evaluated the likelihood that the U.S. Federal Reserve will be more aggressive in stamping out high inflation if it persists, while the pound weakened after the Bank of England made no changes to its monetary policy. Fed policymakers have been offering differing viewpoints on how long inflation is likely to stay high and when it will be appropriate to tighten monetary policy, after the Fed last week surprised markets by forecasting two rate hikes in 2023.
The dollar has slipped since reaching 2-month highs on Friday in the wake of the Fed meeting....
“I do suspect we’ll have a little bit more consolidation and then some more dollar upside,” said Erik Nelson, a macro strategist at Wells Fargo in New York. “The Fed put the market on notice with regards to its inflation target and new mandate, and really just the idea that they would be completely and resolutely dovish forever … so I think there’s more room for a shakeout here,” Nelson said.
The dollar fell slightly after data on Thursday showed that fewer Americans filed new claims for unemployment benefits last week as the labor market recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic gains traction amid a reopening economy.
Other data showed that new orders for key U.S.🇺🇸-made capital goods unexpectedly fell in May, likely held back by shortages of some products. The next major U.S. economic focus will be producer price data on Friday. The dollar index was last down 0.06% against a basket of currencies at 91.733. It is holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday. Sterling slipped after the Bank of England🏴 said inflation would surpass 3 % as Britain's locked-down economy reopens, but the climb further above its 2 % target would only be "temporary" and most policymakers favored keeping stimulus at full throttle.
Last report
From the report from my record
The greenback gained to 111.11 Japanese yen overnight, the strongest since March 2020, before dropping back to 110.78. Data on Thursday showed that Japan's corporate services prices rose at the fastest annual pace in eight months in May.
I am so lucky to watch this. Respect from Anita. Keep educating myself.
Thank you Mr. Dalio
Ray Dalio is very good at providing rational reasons for his views on the macro-financial environment.
Yes, we're in a bubble.
Been watching markets for 50 years and there are supposedly no bubbles until
they start popping. Once the pops begin people then ask why weren't they were not warned.
That's all well and good but they've been warning about a bubble bursting since April last year
@@randomdaveUK yeah its just greed like its always been. People tend to act irrationally when theyre fomo
@@cory99998 the old saying "a broken clock is still right twice a day" rings true for market crash predictions.
It's inevitable, at some point there will be a crash but no one can predict the exact week nevermind the start point of a market crash. If someone said it every day, eventually they'd be right, but they've been wrong far more often.
Invest for the long term and crashes just become buying opportunities, not something to be scared of.
@@randomdaveUK thats true but theres also clear risk factors as markets run their course. Will it crash soon? Who knows. Is risky right now? Obviously. Theres a saying, never have more than 75% or less than 25% in stocks. Its about risk tolerance, its smart to back off as cycles start getting close to the end. You guys act like crashes are totally random and you can't see them coming, totally not true. Only thing thats true is that you cant predict when it'll happen. Could be years. Either way I'm not going heavily in
Apenas y le entiendo. estaría bien si lo subtitularan al español por todos los hablantes en español que lo seguimos.
(B:I:T:C:O:N):(A:N:D)(:E:T:H:E:R:E:U:M) (I:N:V:E:S:T:M:E:N:T):(T:H:A:N:K:S):(F:O:R) (C:O:M:E:N:T:I:N:G):(C:O:N:T:A:C:T)-(W:H:A:T :A:P:P):(N:U:M:B:E:R)+1(608)561-7491.
Woooow, great video. Thank you so much for uploading it.
Big fan of Ray dalio , please upload a video at least once a week
PLEASE MAKE MORE EDUCATIONAL VIDEOS AND STOCK MARKET CMMENTARY! GREAT VIDEO
Glad you're covering the issue of the overvalued market
Thanks Ray. You are like a wise uncle to us.
Fat jokes. Nice.
Thanks for sharing Sir
If people asking if it's a bubble, than we are already way too long in a bubble, because now it's obvious to all. Even for the little guy!
when they officially confirm it’s a bubble around that time is when it will basically pop technically right now it’s not a bubble yet because a bubble would have to pop but it’s on the road to become a baba bubble
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Basically, stuff goes up in value and stuff goes down in value,the key is to generate annual income,grow your net worth and consume less than you produce,forever.
😑
Got it. Totally agree. Of course that is on the side of getting a loan to buy SPACS, Houses and Some Bitcoin.
stuff does not got up and down the value (buying power of the dollar) of the currency does.
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@@marcfavell both. Stuff (in this case companies and certain assets) can also increase in value.
@Tyson, all stuff generally goes up in 'value' when the Central Banks print money.
Wow the amount of research and data shows that he is a real pro 👍❤️
great stuff Ray
Fun game: Take a hit from your bong every time he says bubble..
✅ cheers ray. Nice rational thoughts
just greened out:)
With stock I’m now debt free, am now a proud dad, I can see to my family and change cars as well, stock is amazing
You are right stock is the best, this I lost in the past but now make huge profit
I believe if you have the right strategy and better knowledge of the market you should be able to control it
I’ve saved $25,000 and and earn more trading stock with the guidance of Mr Carlton Jefferson
@@vergilsylvanus9367 I also trade with him too he is my super hero👏
I will say his experience in the market is best to work with, even with his position and achievement in life he is still been humble,I just keep loving him
thank you ray, great info and charts, i feel smarter
Thank you Ray, amazing video
Now it’s a speculative fervor. Waiting for a huge correction.
Peace and Love from Japan 🇯🇵
Austrian School:
“No bubble, no interest”
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Hi Ray. I'm your fan and i'm glad to hear your comment. Cheers
Great Video - Thank you Ray! - Greetings from Germany