How to Tell If a Stock/Company Can Weather a Downturn

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  • Опубліковано 2 лют 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 140

  • @ThePlainBagel
    @ThePlainBagel  4 роки тому +19

    Happy Friday everyone! The first 100 people to go to www.blinkist.com/theplainbagel will get unlimited access for 1 week to try out Blinkist. You'll also get 25% off if you want the full membership.

    • @VixGuyOfficial
      @VixGuyOfficial 4 роки тому +1

      Blinkist has been a big part of my daily routine!!! :)

  • @sandstormgamers6295
    @sandstormgamers6295 4 роки тому +115

    In my opinion, you are the absolute best financial educator on UA-cam. I truly encourage you to keep up this amazing channel, and I hope for you to get more subs!

  • @francisluglio6611
    @francisluglio6611 3 роки тому +2

    Sometimes I revisit your videos that I already watched. You cover good stuff that needs to not be forgotten.
    You're also a better man than most. You don't need to talk about any of my stocks to be relevant to me and offer more than anyone who does

  • @MapAtlass
    @MapAtlass 4 роки тому +26

    I like to use current ratio, debt to equity and see if the free cash flow covers the long term debt. That way I can take a quick glance to see if a company's balance sheet is healthy or not.

    • @Prasad_California
      @Prasad_California 4 роки тому +3

      Is there any data service which provide this dataset consolidated on periodic basis? That may help to weed out/weight average to shortlist

    • @MapAtlass
      @MapAtlass 4 роки тому

      @@Prasad_California I'm not sure, I just look at the balance sheet and the cash flow statement.

    • @Prasad_California
      @Prasad_California 4 роки тому +2

      The Icelandic Investor : Well let’s hear from others if there is anything like this compiled, cause doing it manually would be daunting task to apply quick filters for identifying likely candidates

    • @putinski666
      @putinski666 3 роки тому

      @@Prasad_California don't be a lazy bum. There's your filter

  • @MrBoccolini
    @MrBoccolini 4 роки тому +88

    Make a video analyzing a 10-K or 10-Q !!

  • @randeep6346
    @randeep6346 4 роки тому +15

    Been a subscriber since you had 8k subs - real quality vids all the way!

    • @dansplained42
      @dansplained42 4 роки тому +1

      Randeep loyal! I’ll take some of that, but you’ll be before I hit 150!😂

  • @LHMY70
    @LHMY70 4 роки тому +6

    I love your videos ! You’re a UA-cam hero compared to the so call stock gurus out there. Love how you don’t sell your videos but just deliver informative content to your viewers !

  • @HowMoneyWorks
    @HowMoneyWorks 4 роки тому +22

    Congrats on your 69th video

  • @matthewsherwin8741
    @matthewsherwin8741 4 роки тому +1

    William you are one incredibly intelligent man! I’m lucky I discovered your videos here on UA-cam and I’m learning a lot from you. You define terms in plain English and you don’t act cocky or smug like others uploading videos. Thanks!

  • @CaseyBurnsInvesting
    @CaseyBurnsInvesting 4 роки тому +15

    Thanks for putting this together. It’s great to know how long of a runway a company we want to own has. It’s intimidating to see a bunch off numbers in the financial statement and not know what to key in on. Great video!

  • @JR_Villablanca-de-Mendoza
    @JR_Villablanca-de-Mendoza 4 роки тому +3

    Thank you for all your videos! I have seen them all and you've made me a wiser, more rational (and less emotional) investor! Don't stop creating.

  • @thejrbgaming4675
    @thejrbgaming4675 4 роки тому +11

    Dude thanks for the content. I started following you when covid 19 started cuz i have extra $ figured it better to invest then sit on it in a bank account. Your content is priceless. Thanks.

    • @Xanderboof
      @Xanderboof 4 роки тому

      you can donate it to me, I know how to compound it daily ;)

    • @thejrbgaming4675
      @thejrbgaming4675 4 роки тому +1

      @@Xanderboof suuurreee

  • @PierceJPeterson
    @PierceJPeterson 4 роки тому +1

    Awesome video Bagel! Love how technical your videos are

  • @alexx2878
    @alexx2878 4 роки тому +2

    Your channel is awesome, please keep up the work!

  • @theamazingguy150
    @theamazingguy150 4 роки тому

    10:04 investopedia had a slightly different formula:
    EBIT + Fixed cost before tax
    ‐----‐-----------------------------------
    Fixed cost before interest + interest
    I am now confused and I don't know who to believe.
    Also shouldn't it be EBIT/Fixed cost before tax?
    Why are we adding payments to EBIT?

  • @shinchansfunnyvines6900
    @shinchansfunnyvines6900 4 роки тому +88

    Tesla Stock Is Overvalued, IMO 😆

    • @Ivorytrigger
      @Ivorytrigger 4 роки тому

      Honestly

    • @johnl.7754
      @johnl.7754 4 роки тому +4

      Musk thinks so also :-)

    • @aurkom
      @aurkom 4 роки тому +4

      How much for anime Bitcoin?

    • @tokay6467
      @tokay6467 4 роки тому

      Yes it is

    • @stefm.5947
      @stefm.5947 4 роки тому +1

      He probably said it to devalue the Tesla stock and by it back :p I assume that's the reason

  • @PassiveIncomeTom
    @PassiveIncomeTom 4 роки тому +2

    *Thanks for sharing your thoughts on this!* 👍

  • @Its.melvin
    @Its.melvin 4 роки тому

    This is such an informational video for how short it is! Great video.

  • @LearnWithMike
    @LearnWithMike 4 роки тому +1

    Great easy to understand overview. It covers all the basis keep up good work. No investment is free from risk but it is always better to do your homework before you put a single dollar into stock market / company etc.

  • @toughmonkey5414
    @toughmonkey5414 4 роки тому +13

    :@The Plain Bagel can you do analyses of TLRD (tailord brands) and walk us tru the 10-k. Thanks and amazing job!

  • @King-ql4tg
    @King-ql4tg 4 роки тому +1

    Excellent video.
    Simply excellent.

  • @jim8072
    @jim8072 4 роки тому +2

    Excellent work man! My suggestion for a future video is "is there a performance difference between larger index funds vs smaller sector specific index funds?" For example, VUN vs VRE.

  • @justSTUMBLEDupon
    @justSTUMBLEDupon 4 роки тому +1

    Can you do a video on how to read a financial statement? The biggest thing I get lost on is cash on hand. Trying to get a actual number seems hard to pin down

  • @artemjetman
    @artemjetman 4 роки тому

    could you elaborate on where to find the "Available line of credit" in the 10K statement. (I was using the SEC EDGAR to look at Deltas 10k but could not find the available line of credit)

    • @ThePlainBagel
      @ThePlainBagel  4 роки тому +1

      In their 10K for 2019, you can find the number under the "Financial Condition and Liquidity" section (there's a subsection titled "Undrawn Lines of Credit" on page 39). As of fiscal 2019 year end, Delta had $3.1 billion available in credit from its revolving facility.

    • @artemjetman
      @artemjetman 4 роки тому

      @@ThePlainBagel yup found it, thank you so much :)

  • @Artonox
    @Artonox 4 роки тому +6

    i love watching your videos. Even though im already a CFA Charterholder, i love having someone more knowledgable reminding me of the fundamentals to keep my brain fresh.

    • @brians4640
      @brians4640 4 роки тому +1

      You just wanted to say you have a CFA 😂😂😂. Jk I have my level 2 next year good job on getting it

  • @huskiefan06
    @huskiefan06 4 роки тому

    Thanks for the video! Some very good information.

  • @caynebyron
    @caynebyron 4 роки тому +40

    So... you're saying I should put everything I have in Tesla?

  • @carlos_d8
    @carlos_d8 4 роки тому

    Thanks for sharing your knowledge, greetings from Peru

  • @Alexthebrokkie
    @Alexthebrokkie 4 роки тому

    Thank you Richard

  • @ibarocky
    @ibarocky 4 роки тому

    clear and to the point, thanks!

  • @TK-yw8vd
    @TK-yw8vd 4 роки тому

    Awesome video. Thank you.

  • @Doom1461
    @Doom1461 4 роки тому

    Great video thank you!

  • @theintelligentinvestor-per5790
    @theintelligentinvestor-per5790 4 роки тому

    I really enjoy your videos.

  • @maticvesel5004
    @maticvesel5004 4 роки тому

    Love your Videos!

  • @faithhopeloveislife
    @faithhopeloveislife 4 роки тому

    Any quick reference guides for the formulas and how to use them on the balance sheets

  • @balajisridhar
    @balajisridhar 4 роки тому

    Subbed. Excellent channel 👌

  • @UnkleRiceYo
    @UnkleRiceYo 3 роки тому

    Covenants is a great tip!

  • @cooper1507
    @cooper1507 4 роки тому

    Stupid question is there a way to see all this information in a non pile of papers via a massive PDF? Is there a summary of company of financials service or site?

  • @niahma3494
    @niahma3494 4 роки тому

    Good video Plain Bagel

  • @johnathanpenczek5499
    @johnathanpenczek5499 4 роки тому +1

    *drops by 25%*
    guess it's time to buy.

  • @levityone
    @levityone 4 роки тому

    Is there a central place to look up public company filings and earnings?

    • @ThePlainBagel
      @ThePlainBagel  4 роки тому

      Yes! In the U.S. it's EDGAR, in Canada it's SEDAR. They aren't very user friendly but that's where the government puts all public filings.

  • @chrisle65
    @chrisle65 4 роки тому

    Can you do an example analysis of a company. Let's pick SQ or any other company of your choice.

  • @kingdude21
    @kingdude21 4 роки тому

    Emergency! Fed rates just went negative today. Can you make a quick video on the effects? What to expect tomorrow?

  • @user-ge5oe9oo2k
    @user-ge5oe9oo2k 4 роки тому

    I like how Simply Wall st condenses all the data and makes it easy to look it. Anyone else uses it or have an opinion on it?

    • @thegurch7313
      @thegurch7313 4 роки тому

      It sure is beautiful to look at and fast to see but I don't think they are that spot on some of their data seems misleading especially their recommended values of the stock price. I gave up using them . Good if your beginning tho.

  • @zaherhh83
    @zaherhh83 4 роки тому

    Great informative video

  • @austinv1182
    @austinv1182 4 роки тому +3

    How about ETFS or REITS?

    • @chulie_4961
      @chulie_4961 4 роки тому +2

      with reits look at NAV and gearing ratio. what might also be relevant is the field of real estate invesment; offices and residential probably isn't going to perform as well as commercial (think distribution warehouses/server banks) moving into the post covid environment.

  • @paultubbs3510
    @paultubbs3510 4 роки тому

    If i could listen to you daily id be happy with life

  • @Dapperdave-gg6vx
    @Dapperdave-gg6vx 4 роки тому

    How do find a company's covenants?

  • @stanimirvalchev8964
    @stanimirvalchev8964 4 роки тому +1

    The video is a gold mine, specially for some one that is new in the market and trying to learn ASAP. Thank you!

  • @je.m3320
    @je.m3320 4 роки тому

    Me on Apartment Reits,Utilities, and Non-Cyclical
    Love me some stable dividends

  • @jirehgoh7571
    @jirehgoh7571 4 роки тому

    A company that i had been following (but have no stocks in since I am just learning) has had their Current Assets and their Current Liabilities decreasing for the last 3 years while their Non-current Assets and Non-current Liabilities have been increasing for the last 3 years. Could you give an overview as to what this means and why would a company do this? I understand that Non-current is for the long term but would this not compromise short term operations? Would love to hear your thoughts on this.

    • @akaman85
      @akaman85 4 роки тому

      Jireh Goh Current simply means obligations (liabilities) or an inflow of assets that are expected to affect the company within 1 year. Long-term is anything greater than a year. If you’re seeing a shift in current liabilities to long term liabilities, it could mean that they have fewer debt repayments due within the next year when compared to a greater amounts more than a year from now. Sometimes you’ll find that management - in order to free up cash for other purposes - restructures their debt so they have less due within the next year and the maturity date of the debt is pushed further into the future. Ultimately your best source for information is in the notes to the financials that are contained within their financial report.

  • @MAtogable
    @MAtogable 4 роки тому +1

    money is free, balancesheets don't matter (ie. amazon, aapl, etc..)

  • @MrEaglenator
    @MrEaglenator 4 роки тому

    How do you edit your videos? c:

  • @brutexrp7207
    @brutexrp7207 4 роки тому

    Have you heard of the Australian professor Steve Keen and how do his views fit in your perspective if at all.

  • @princejag
    @princejag 4 роки тому +1

    Hi my friend,
    Could you make a video on "What if the entire world follows the same currency?"

    • @RanEncounter
      @RanEncounter 4 роки тому +1

      That would be horrible as corrupt countries would print infinite money...

    • @Gman0440-Gamer
      @Gman0440-Gamer 4 роки тому

      RanEncounter lol

  • @maplelaugh420
    @maplelaugh420 4 роки тому

    Great video, Richard! -Richard
    (Ok, being serious now- I see you're in good shape with a bachelor's in finance. If I have a bachelor's in another field, what avenues could a master's in finance open for me? Thanks in advance!)

    • @ThePlainBagel
      @ThePlainBagel  4 роки тому

      Depending on what your bachelors is in you could still find some jobs in the finance field; computer science is a particularly popular degree at finance companies. Aside from that, a masters is something that could really help you get in most finance fields: it's a popular choice for investment bankers and executives. That being said, if you're interest in analysis and portfolio management, the CFA is a good alternative to a masters. It's a lot cheaper and is a well respected designation that should open up a lot of the field to you.
      Hope this helps!

    • @Liam_Daly
      @Liam_Daly Рік тому

      ​@@ThePlainBagel I'm a 15 year old in high school, going into college next year, I am capable of passing my series 66, 7, and SIE and love finance (specifically the stock market)
      I generate alpha consistently. How do I get a job/internship at my age? Can I? It seems closed off to -18 year olds

  • @Ductie94
    @Ductie94 4 роки тому

    The liquidity ratios make sense but I'm always confused when I see large businesses that had carried current/quick ratios less than 1 years after years. Can an expert give some insight ?

    • @akaman85
      @akaman85 4 роки тому +2

      Have a look at the cash flow statement, specifically the financing section. Usually you’ll either find them taking on more cash by way of long term debt (example, tapping into their lines of credit) or raising additional shareholder capital to pay their current liabilities. They also may defer certain current liabilities such that they become long-term liabilities. Lastly, it’s important to remember that the financials simply reflects the company’s finances at a specific given time, while the current ratio may be negative at the time of the financial report, it very well could swing to the positive a week later with an influx of additional cash or discharge of current liabilities.

    • @Ductie94
      @Ductie94 4 роки тому +1

      @@akaman85 That makes a lot of sense. Thanks for the insight !

    • @akaman85
      @akaman85 4 роки тому

      Ductie94 Happy to! Otherwise have a look at their income statement to see how profitable they are. If based on their net income they’re making healthy profits, then they may choose to not keep much cash on hand (a current asset) as they are confident that they will bring in enough steady cash throughout the year to pay their current liabilities as they become due. So despite the balance sheet not reflecting enough current assets to cover current liabilities, they may be comfortably covering their current liabilities with their steady stream of revenues. Definitely more risk in doing this, but this is not atypical for a company that’s pushing growth as a priority.

  • @horusdecem7634
    @horusdecem7634 4 роки тому +1

    Is there some site to quickly check on those stats at first glance which also highlights critical stats?

  • @danielshaikhali5108
    @danielshaikhali5108 4 роки тому

    Your channel is cool

  • @melllic
    @melllic 4 роки тому

    Misspell at the end of section one. Statemennt

  • @InvestingEducation
    @InvestingEducation 4 роки тому +2

    A fortress balance sheet the likes of goog,fb and apple.

  • @tradingmelon1470
    @tradingmelon1470 4 роки тому

    Hey guys anyone got any good value stocks to add to my watch list ??

  • @CocolinoFan
    @CocolinoFan 4 роки тому +6

    This video kinda went over my head.

    • @dansplained42
      @dansplained42 4 роки тому +7

      CocolinoFan nothing wrong with that. Learning about stocks and the market is all about taking baby steps. The longer you do it, the more you pick up. The rabbit hole goes deep!

    • @devilex121
      @devilex121 4 роки тому

      Ask away about any particular thing you didn't understand! Plenty of commenters here who are working in this space and already fully aware of these but enjoy the neat organised video lessons here. We all started somewhere!

    • @akaman85
      @akaman85 4 роки тому +2

      I wouldn’t worry too much about all the ratios if you’re just starting out. First get an understanding at a high level on the types of typical line items you’ll see on balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements. Then it’s all about attrition, reading through many annual reports and the notes that accompany the reports that explain these line items. Over time by doing this you’ll get an understanding at what you’re looking at, how the three main financial statements interact, and Investopedia is a great resource for looking up what you don’t understand.

  • @VixGuyOfficial
    @VixGuyOfficial 4 роки тому +7

    who else think Amazon might be the biggest winner out of this crisis?

    • @akaman85
      @akaman85 4 роки тому +2

      It all depends on whether consumers retail purchasing habits significantly change post-Social Distancing, and whether those consumers all choose Amazon as the retailer of choice. Amazon may have a couple of great quarters of sales, but then a couple of underperforming quarters as consumers may have a pent up desire to purchase at physical retail stores. As well, if more and more people are out of work, consumers have less money in their pocket to buy nonsense on Amazon. Time will tell on whether they will come away stronger, and this crisis may have the unintended effect of spurring more online retail competition going forward.

    • @robertmccully2792
      @robertmccully2792 4 роки тому +2

      Trading at 100 times earnings is a risky stock

  • @robertmccully2792
    @robertmccully2792 4 роки тому

    Now show us where to find that info.

  • @arcsaber1127
    @arcsaber1127 4 роки тому

    I wonder why people don't just ditch their stocks when they start falling and pick back up if they begin to rise?

  • @NikeMikey101
    @NikeMikey101 4 роки тому

    Bankruptcy is a powerful tool. If used properly.

  • @osaid6454
    @osaid6454 4 роки тому +1

    Dangg is it just me or do you actually look like Nix from Cambridge Analytica

  • @maxharrison664
    @maxharrison664 4 роки тому

    Can you make a video about the speculations of what will happen to the market when all of the boomers pull out their retirement money? I have heard people speculate that the same thing that happened in Japan and Europe will happen in America with our markets peaking and being unable to produce significant returns in the future. I worry that once my generation gets into the government they wont care about propping up the market like todays fed does for the boomers. Thank you for your videos!

  • @Cross-xm2fr
    @Cross-xm2fr 4 роки тому

    If it's stock price approaches zero it's not looking good

  • @aaronb6178
    @aaronb6178 4 роки тому

    This video is pure alpha

  • @hernanvelazquez1421
    @hernanvelazquez1421 4 роки тому

    Nice vieo, however, should be better if you use a real company numbers like an example.

  • @raphizz338
    @raphizz338 4 роки тому +1

    Would you like to know investing boy

  • @cooper1507
    @cooper1507 4 роки тому

    Crypto has made me numb to drops of 40%. Bring it on stock market.

  • @garcia4062
    @garcia4062 3 роки тому

    🙂

  • @nwgverified
    @nwgverified 4 роки тому

    Just buy tsla

  • @c.l.6523
    @c.l.6523 4 роки тому

    I disagree. People should buy ETFs during a downturn. That is the maximum diversification anyone can get.

  • @hopelessdecoy
    @hopelessdecoy 4 роки тому

    Can you do this same type of explanation but for ETFs/Mutual Funds which are 100's or 1000's of companies?

  • @TheCustomer
    @TheCustomer 4 роки тому

    Anyone knows any free app like Blinkist to listen to a summary of books?

    • @TheHellogs4444
      @TheHellogs4444 4 роки тому

      It takes effort and time to make summaries (and write books) and those folks need to pay their fixed costs. Nothing free will ever come close to blinkist, with current technology. Maybe AI summarizers will bring the cost down.

  • @dylan-xh9zi
    @dylan-xh9zi 4 роки тому

    I make shitty stock market videos ppl (audio gets better I promise) ps: ily plain bagel

  • @DanielDidWhat
    @DanielDidWhat 4 роки тому +2

    first

  • @AJ-tr4jx
    @AJ-tr4jx 4 роки тому +1

    long term investment is a short term investment that failed

  • @TheCustomer
    @TheCustomer 4 роки тому +2

    You say you should look at bla bla bla but you dont show example how to interpret those numbers.

    • @TheHellogs4444
      @TheHellogs4444 4 роки тому

      It varies with industry, it only generalizes between similar businesses

  • @BrandonRodriguez283
    @BrandonRodriguez283 2 роки тому

    Fantastic info, thank you.