Why Timing the Market is INSANELY Risky (50 years Backtest)

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  • Опубліковано 9 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 47

  • @VictoryGunners
    @VictoryGunners 3 місяці тому +2

    His invaluable effort deserves more recognition! Thank you for your excellent work on backtesting. (I hit the like button and just subscribed!) The beauty of DCA is that it allows us to focus more on what really matters!

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  3 місяці тому

      Thank you, I appreciate it 🙂
      You're right! And with no disadvantage, it makes the deal even sweeter!

  • @arigutman
    @arigutman 3 місяці тому +2

    Such an informative video, also kudos on all the backtesting - from the basketball court to the UA-cam studio, you're crushing it... or slam dunkin it?

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  3 місяці тому

      Brother I should have stuck to basketball, there I was earning something 😅

  • @hogue3666
    @hogue3666 3 місяці тому +3

    Thanks for all the hard work on this one. Really cool to see some examples of investing put to the test.

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  3 місяці тому

      Glad you found it helpful. You are welcome to download my study for free, if you want to see the details!

  • @michaelt2974
    @michaelt2974 3 місяці тому +4

    I wish I had seen a video like this decades ago. Instead I bought into trading by watching cnbc and subscribing to investment newsletters etc. a total waste. Friends of mine who just threw money into the market and let it sit there have three times what I have. I can’t believe I fell for it. And now it’s too late for me to fix things

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  3 місяці тому +1

      Hey Michael, it's never too late! Cheer up

    • @JustAnotherPersonHere
      @JustAnotherPersonHere 3 місяці тому

      Wow, this is exactly what I was gonna post. I wish I had your videos even 15yrs ago! So much great stuff in every one of your vids. Thank you Rick! Subscriber for life!

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  2 місяці тому

      Thanks mate, I really appreciate your support!

  • @onc9151
    @onc9151 3 місяці тому

    Great video , I've been watching your videos for a long time, keep up the good work!

  • @e.m.-lw1dn
    @e.m.-lw1dn 3 місяці тому +1

    Great video!

  • @DonnyGreenprints
    @DonnyGreenprints 3 місяці тому +1

    Excellent video!!

  • @KEN-nh7om
    @KEN-nh7om 3 місяці тому +1

    Another wonderfully clear and informative video thank you Rick!

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  3 місяці тому +1

      You're very welcome man!

  • @snarfdwarf
    @snarfdwarf 3 місяці тому +1

    Great video. I wonder what would happen if you time the market to buy and time the market to sell. For example selling at 10%, 20%, 30% gains and then timing the market again to buy.

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  3 місяці тому

      That's a great idea and it's totally feasible to implement in my table. Even considering taxes on thr gain. I'm quite sure, though, that the result is again going to be worse than DCA

    • @snarfdwarf
      @snarfdwarf 3 місяці тому

      @@rick.austin yes the trick is finding the optimal buy condition and sell condition. Im going to play with that see if the DCA can be beaten with a single rule for buying and selling

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  3 місяці тому

      @@snarfdwarf let me know if something interesting comes out when building that up in my table. Just write me an email!

  • @xristospexlivanis7703
    @xristospexlivanis7703 3 місяці тому

    Great video RICK good work and good informations too

  • @MacJosh812
    @MacJosh812 3 місяці тому +1

    At your convenience, is it possible to do a comparison between AIQ and IETC? Just like you did for VGT & XLK. Thanks brother

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  3 місяці тому +1

      I'll be glad to, it might take a while though, i've got some videos on the waiting list ;)

    • @MacJosh812
      @MacJosh812 3 місяці тому +2

      @@rick.austin no worries at all. Looking forward to the videos you have in the queue come out

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  2 місяці тому

      Hey mate, i'm going to publish this video this coming friday

    • @MacJosh812
      @MacJosh812 2 місяці тому

      @@rick.austin I will keep an eye out for it. You are awesome bro!!

  • @MacJosh812
    @MacJosh812 3 місяці тому +1

    Rick, you did it ones again. This presentation is exceptional. Thank you.

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  3 місяці тому +1

      I appreciate it, my friend 👍🏻
      Testing 50 years of stock market was really interesting for me too and I'm happy with the results obtained

    • @MacJosh812
      @MacJosh812 3 місяці тому +1

      @@rick.austin this was more like investing simplified. Much appreciated

  • @saksid2639
    @saksid2639 Місяць тому +1

    Nice video...

  • @mr_compton3019
    @mr_compton3019 3 місяці тому +1

    Is Austin an Italian last name?

    • @rick.austin
      @rick.austin  3 місяці тому

      No, a direct translation though!

  • @NATURAL900-d7r
    @NATURAL900-d7r 3 місяці тому +5

    How does this trading stuff work? I'm really interested but I just don't know how it go about it. I heard people really make it huge trading

    • @BENWILLIAMS12316
      @BENWILLIAMS12316 3 місяці тому

      As a beginner, it's essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. I suggest Miss Hattie Domke Glover is extremely good on that. She is really good at what she does, Now I can pay so many bills because of her help.

    • @Rune-Eriksen225
      @Rune-Eriksen225 3 місяці тому

      This is correct, Hattie's strategy has normalized winning trades for me also, and it's a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started..

    • @Nicolewhit
      @Nicolewhit 3 місяці тому

      Yes, I agree with you. Her platform is wonderful, and her strategies are exceptional

    • @NATURAL900-d7r
      @NATURAL900-d7r 3 місяці тому

      Please how do I get in touch with her?

    • @BENWILLIAMS12316
      @BENWILLIAMS12316 3 місяці тому

      She's on face book, look up her name