Will Trump Invade Mexico?
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- Опубліковано 9 лют 2025
- In December 2024, President-elect Donald Trump reignited controversy by proposing bold measures to combat Mexico's powerful drug cartels, including designating them as terrorist organisations. This move, which would place groups like the Sinaloa and Jalisco New Generation Cartels on the same footing as ISIS, could open the door to drastic actions, such as military interventions, asset seizures, and expanded prosecutions. However, the idea has drawn sharp criticism from Mexico’s President Claudia Sheinbaum, who has rejected U.S. military action as violating Mexico’s sovereignty, advocating for cooperation over conflict.
The stakes are high. With over 100,000 drug-related deaths annually in the US, primarily driven by fentanyl smuggled from Mexico, and the cartels' influence extending into human trafficking and violent crime, the crisis demands attention. Yet, critics argue that military intervention could backfire, straining U.S.-Mexico relations, escalating violence, and violating international law. In this video, we explore the historical roots of the U.S.-Mexico drug crisis, the cartels’ rise to power, and the potential consequences of Trump’s aggressive strategy. Will his administration take unprecedented steps to combat this growing crisis? And at what cost?
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VIDEO CHAPTERS
00:00 Introduction and Titles
00:47 Self-Defence in International Relations
01:58 Mexico: Location and Population
02:37 A History of US-Mexico Relations
04:47 The United States and the “War on Drugs”
06:30 Mexico and the “War on Drugs”
07:42 Mexico and the US Opioid Crisis
08:58 Trump Threatens Action Against the Mexican Cartels
09:58 Will Trump Designate the Mexican Cartels as Terrorist Organisations?
11:12 The Implications of Military Action
12:13 Will the United States send in Forces to Mexico?
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#UnitedStates #Mexico #Trump
So, I've been covering Trump's recent comments against various countries these past few weeks. However, while the claims against Panama and Greenland seem outlandish, his comments about Mexico are more serious, and should be regarded more seriously. The US is facing a significant drug crisis led by the extraordinarily well-armed and well-organised Mexican drug cartels. This raises very significant questions about the concept of self-defence in international relations. So, do you think he will go through with his threats? And should he? As ever, let me know in the comments below.
@@JamesKerLindsay what about all the illegal guns going to Mexico from the US?
Should he? If the Mexican government allows it. Otherwise no, it would be an attack on Mexicos sovereignity
Why not explore the possibilities of Donald John trump siphoning billions of USA treasury into his own pocket?
Shouldn't he invade Los Angeles first?
Respectfully, I still think it is a mistake to take his public comments seriously. Pardon the vulgar Americanism here, but Trump is an "attention wh*re."
Watch what his cabinet does in office. That's where the sausage is made anyways.
We can be certain that Trump wants to do lots of things of the variety that autocratic leaders usually like. But there's no lust in the American public to get engaged in the world using the military. He would need to manufacture a crisis to change that.
It is easy to forget that the natural tendency of American culture has always been isolationist, despite getting pulled into global affairs by others, by historical accident or by geopolitical necessity. I always like to say to those who accuse the post-WWII USA of being an imperialist power, "if the USA is an 'empire', it is the most reluctant empire in a millennium."
... That said, the diplomatic ramifications of his statements are significant and I agree with your statements along these lines
The US should SOLVE their drug problem as a HEALTH CONCERN. Regarding Mexican cartels, also the US should STOP the flow of fire arms to Mexico.
That’s stupid
Many countries been destroyed in the past because of drugs specially China hopium
USA doesn’t have to solve no shit it’s a large country and the best it’s to fight the drug dealers
Nope.
The cartels have grown beyond the drug trade, and they are more brutal than even states at war, and they bring that here even thousands of miles north. China feeds them too, to destabilize us. The US should absolutely get involved militarily, Mexico has failed repeatedly to address the issue in 'cooperation' so enough.
@@monkeeseemonkeedoo3745 yup
@@n.i.114 nah
Mexico's problem is not the drug cartels, Mexico's problem is having the United States as a neighbor, the United States gave weapons to the cartels, making them strong, and the great demand of the United States population for drugs has caused the The problem in Mexico got out of hand, the United States is really a big drug trade and if this continues Mexico will continue to have problems with these cartels.
No
Well America's problem is the cartels. They are beyond the drug trade anyway, and aided by China since they destabilize the US and Mexico is doing nothing since they are in the government there.
Of course the woman they ALLOWED to take power would protect them.
@@Sec_coachyup
The US never intentionally "gave" weapons to the Cartells, the problem is that weapons within the US are so numerous and accessible that Cartells and local blackmarket arms sellers are easily able to ship weapons to Mexico circumventing the authorities.
The United States government did not sent weapons to the cartels, they bought those weapons on the black market, and smuggled them across our open border which the Biden Administration wouldn't enforce!
I think there are two main problems with the idea of using military force to solve the problem.
1) Mexico already tried to do that in the past. Contrary to popular belief, they were relatively successful. Out of around 25 or so cartel bosses, they were able to capture around 20. However, the cartels just molded to fit the new dynamic, and violence in mexico only increased.
2) Even if they reduce the amount flowing through Mexico, the drugs would just come from somewhere else. That's what happened in Colombia and the Caribbean.
The core problem is that as long as there is a drug market in the US, someone will always try to fill it. It's a domestic issues not an international.
Thanks. Great points!
that is the problem. When they get the big fish, lot of smaller fishes start to fight just to get on top. Instead of decreasing, violence increases. It never ends. Ecuador used to be a peaceful country now it has the worse violence outside of Haiti. Keep in mind, that most of these guns are coming from the US. They are better equipped than most police departments in LATAM.
Areas of Mexico (specifically Sineloa & Juarez) have been narco-states for over 50 years. It's time for it to stop. People in Mexico live in fear.
If it goes somewhere else, that sucks, but it won't be Mexico.
@bbbbdogggg6887 This assumes that the goal would genuinely be to curtail cartels, which is silly when US troops are constantly backing drug traffickers.
"domestic issue, not international". I know what you're trying to say and it is a good point, but don't you think it's more of a multinational economic issue?
I'm only saying this because the solution, it seems to me, is also ultimately going to be primarily economic.
Why invade a country to arrest drug dealers and not arrest them in U.S streets? Where they distribute?
Makes no sense
Why not both?
Go after the roots Over there,
then after go after the roots within the United States
@@agent9809 The roots are Wall Street! Start there
@agent9809 It you want to go after the roots there has to be serous changes in policy and legalization of certain drugs, both countries must amp up there education and Mexico offer better paying jobs, only then you can use military force. Guarantee the cartels would disappear within a year. Just using military force alone won't solve the issue it's simply scratching the surface
The US has been fighting a war on drugs for 100 years with no progress whatsoever.
Thats actually… think then it will never end. Go to the source
Correction to the title: "Will the United States invade Mexico again?"
Yep, my two Grandfathers served with General Pershing (6th US Calvary) during the Mexican campaign. I have some really fascinating photographs of them. Another weird coincidence is one of my uncles married a wonderful woman whose father fought alongside Pancho Villa. Ain't history grand?
Even if drug cartels suddenly disappear one day, the drug problem would still persist. If there's a buyer there will absolutely be a seller. Wanna get rid of these criminal organizations? Stop arming them in first place and solve the addiction problem as well. Invading other country would absolutely make things even worse for everyone
It isn't just users who lose their lives to this stuff... Mexico also has strict gun control laws.. Why is that not enforced? Within Mexico these groups have gotten more powerful. Mexico has allowed this to happen.
Why does nobody speak about US DRUG CARTELS? Once the drugs enter US territory somebody has to distribute and sell them to the final costumers. American citizens are the ones to do that job!
Why does no one talk about who oversees the car tells and get a percentage??
Former mexican president Porfirio Diaz, once said "Mexico is cursed, so far away from God and, so close to the USA".
@@mariagpeestrada6451 iconic
@@mariagpeestrada6451 it’s the other way around is the irony of that saying. The U.S can easily survive without Mexico, Mexico can’t survive as it is now without the U.S. To be far away from each other would be clearly more beneficial to the U.S
Pretty sure that was Bismarck who said that.
@@slimmdusty8809 If the USA existed without its imperialism, it wouldn't even be 1/3 of what it is today. The US feeds from all the resources and labor from other countries.
@@slimmdusty8809 This may surprise your gringo ego, but the US is the root of most if not all the problems of not just México, but the entirety of latinamerica. Just ask Chileans about their beautiful days with Pinochet and how helpful the US was!
Trump talking about using the US military against Greenland, Panama and now Mexico. He is a madman.
I mean, putting those all on the same footing by describing it as 'using the military' misses all detail and all context. Greenland and Panama are not a threat the way Mexican cartels are.
....and don't forget maybe even Canada. I agree, Trumpy is a madman or worse.
lol 😂 tm you all will see get ready
@@JIM4644you choose to call him a madman before he invades countries and I choose to call him a madman after he invades countries we are not the same
@@JIM4644canada is a nato country not a chance is he serious about that he just hates justin trudeau
If it has cost the US 100k lives imagine how many it has cost Mexico with American weapons? (Remember operation fast and furious?) The only difference is one country isn’t a military superpower, so it can’t go around threatening its neighbor for its shady criminals in high places.
This dude is always defending the cartels.
@@CamoteTu he has 30 thumbs up and you have 1. Where did he lie though??
@@CarlaForth 30 thumbs up his ***
@@CarlaForth 🤣☝🏽 that's the indicator now?? How many thumbs up ?
@@CamoteTu Operation Fast and Furious happened during the Obama administration. It was a disaster. Trump's tough talking about Mexico is bad enough, but if he actually invades an ally it would be even a bigger disaster than Fast and Furious. Where was Trump's tough talk during "nam. I would bet you that Barron would not take part in any adventure as a grunt or jar-head.
No demand, no supply
That's not a good answer. Saying, "Just stop wanting drugs and they'll stop selling them". I don't agree with military action in Mexico at all but your comment makes it sound like the cartels aren't doing anything wrong.
@@damianthorne7495 You're right, drug cartels can't be exonerated for meeting the demand but as long as there's a willing buyer, someone will supply it and with all these threatening measures, most likely, at a higher price, it'll be great for business.....and don't forget, drugs not only clear a border controlled by the U.S. government but once on U.S. soil, no local, state nor federal law enforcement body seem capable to stop distribution which leads me to believe they're either inept or corrupt, most likely both. In short, control America's crave for drugs and you'll put the cartels out of business for good, no need to invade anywhere nor kill anyone.
@@rogeliomorenocedillo4347 mexico can’t even give its people the quality of life that’ll make them stop leaving
@@damianthorne7495no, its a free market isn't? And at the end is a problem from Mexico, if USA want to help stop sending money and weapons to the cartels
@@rogeliomorenocedillo4347 no demand Is equal to pushing cartels to doing worst stuff, do you really think that's the option? That could had be one decades ago.. but thei're dangerous and numerous now, Is not an option.. is a must
So Trump went from no war to Bush invading iraq in 2003 on steroids
While I utter opposed the War in Iraq in 2003 by Bush and Blair at least they had a moral humanitarian reason to go into Iraq and free the people there from a brutal vile dictator even though I believe it was a lie!!!
@@nigelclifford8405 You know nothing about tortures and civilian murders, don't you?
Change a dictatorship with the "American Freedom", O don't know wixh is more cruel
@@nigelclifford8405 you don't think going into Mexico and stopping the cartels isn't moral and humanitarian? You realise these guys have done WAY more damage than Iraq ever could have?
Trump hasn't done anything as of yet, all he has done is talk and say things.
Iraq was Cheney's idea, and Iraq did nothing to us. Mexico is our enemy.
Only Americans struggle with addiction-there are no Chinese or Mexican addicts. Stop using drugs and blaming others for your problems!
Everyone struggles with drug addiction. Americans just have the most money to have the easiest time developing the problem
Amen bro.
Thank you.
Beg pardon? You haven't the slightest idea what you're talking about. opiates are a serious addiction in the Middle East, poorer parts of Africa uses various local drugs, Europe has just as bad of a narcotic addicton as the U.S. did a decade ago, Large swaths of the world (Russia being the best case example here) has a serious issue with alcohol, locals in South America most *definitely* have drug addictions (if you think they don't you're a m%#on). Hell, these are just generalizations off the top of my head.
And you may remember the Chinese are still more than a little pissed about what they refer to as the Century of Humiliation. Where the British got them forcefully addicted to opium. Which, funnily enough, is where they got the idea to ship Fentanyl to the U.S. through Mexico from in order to weaken the Country.
I know it's trendy to post your uninformed opinions on the internet. But if you're going to do that, at least make sure you don't get caught.
🎯
40 million people in poverty is the forefront of an addiction crisis.
70 percent of cartel guns and guns in Mexico come from U.S.
@Jadniel-ju2xk whose been in charge of the border for the past 4 years?
Heart of the problem. Trump's inane blustering, the politics of international relations, MAGA cultism or whatever are a secondary consequence.
Find a better excuse if you are in poverty don’t do drugs
I'm poor, but I don't smoke crack, poverty is not an excuse for drug addiction, it doesn't get one out of poverty!
The 19th Mexican leader Diaz's lament quote of " poor Mexico so far away from God, so close to the USA" still haunts Mexicans in the 21st century with war adventurism, and the petty vulgar Trumpism era policy I guess.
mexico fault. they are too busy hating each other
Trump ya una vez se vio cara a cara con AMLO y hoy no se atreve a tener un debate con Claudia sheinbaum Trump pura psicología barata de su guerra comercial sucia primero que cumpla su promesa de campaña ( terminar la guerra en un día) liberando a Ucrania cosa que nunca va a lograr
@@ricardomarin487 what does this even mean
@@SarcasticEnchilada Mexican politicians accepting bribes from cartels, allowing the country to descend further into cartel control at the expense of its citizens. Police doing the same thing. Mexican cartels brutally killing each other for control, in an endless cycle of revenge.
Poor Ukraine. So far from God, so close to Russia.
Having more wars is tiring. What a start for 2025.
I’m not American so I don’t know much but I thought Trump was the no wars guy
@@Friendlyneighboorhoodspiderman He's not for war, but it's a negotiation tactic.. As well as it may be a way to not get killed by the elites who love profiting from war.. Once he's president, we shall really see if he's all talk or really wants to dig his grave vs Mexico..
@@Friendlyneighboorhoodspiderman Only when it's Russia, it's okay for him to go to war to defend the "free world". He's a Putin wannabe.
We don't have more wars yet, its all just talk until it happens. Trump likes to do the opposite of speak softly and carry a big stick.
@@thomaskalbfus2005 Yup he wants to pull the military out of Europe to the pacific so he can bully China. As well as some to Mexico and maybe Greenland.
So no us drug cartel? Jaja only mexico cartel.. so... how distribute in us? Ups? Always us doble moral
US interventions NEVER end well
WW II?
@mma171 the soviets defeated the nzys not the US
@ Neither side can claim the victory without the other.
@@mma171 the USSR took Berlin singlehandedly.
@ If the German forces wouldn't have been split into two fronts Berlin would not have been taken at all.
I'm mexican american Tejano and republican. I will be furious if Trump invades mexico. The US drug problem is domestic in nature. As long as there is consumer demand, drugs will continue flowing from anywhere.
And as long as drugs are illegal, there will be crime.
For one that brags about being a econ grad from an Ivy, Trump sure is ignorant about supply and demand.
@@chbucdmx5557 add to this that AMLO , sheinbaum and all of the Morena party are part of the cartels . So we DO NEED help from the outside.
That is what happens when their is hate involved live and learn.
@@JoseGarza-f7p hanging on the edge of tomorrow from the works of yesterday?
As a Mexican I’m ready to be enlisted. Mexico will remain sovereign for as long as I live. Happy to die fighting
There will more likely be a civil war in the USA than invading Mexico.
Lameeeeeeeeee
As a Mexican I say that the most dangerous thing about all of this is the uncertainty of what Trump will exactly do. I know for a fact he won't be able to do all what he's saying, but what he might be able to do will be pretty bad, especially with the Supreme Court on his side for the most part.
Thank you. You’re absolutely right. It’s the uncertainty. Many think this is good. It might be when dealing with enemies. It certainly isn’t when dealing with friends.
The US has no friends, it has enemies and vassals
"Poor Mexico... So far away from God and so close to the US"
Is not true... Mexico is close to God. And the US. To close to hell... Do not put down Mexico with that interrogation. Matter?
😢😢😢😢😢😢😢😢😢
@@AngelAngel-rq5ml They're quoting Porfirio Díaz.
Ha haha just trying see happen
An invasion of Mexico would only radicalize the greater Mexican population and diaspora. There are 40 million Mexicans in the US -- many of them in all branches of the US military. Is the US completely confident that all these people would be loyal to the US in such an invasion?
After all, it only took 19 people to carry out the 9/11 attacks -- and Al-Qaeda didn't have sympathizers already working in the Pentagon.
I seriously fear what the unintended consequences of an American attack on Mexico would be.
The wisest comment on here.. Both nations are too invested in each other, n this new Mexican regime is no US puppet state.. Although both nations are calm about it, USA n Mexico relations are at a modern times low.. But this Mexico will not back down, it's way more stronger today than 6yrs ago n has real leadership in their Feds..
Maybe or
Maybe not
I have *Mexican American* friends, have known them for decades, they tend to call themselves *Chicano* (male Mexican American) or *Chicana* , they're American, I'm not directly speaking for them as I'm not Mexican, but here's my thoughts on the matter: I feel like the Chicanos and *Tejanos* (Texans of Mexican descent) throughout the Southwest of the US, who have close ties to Mexico, have family on the other side of the border may likely be furious, will be protesting, but then again, there's a good number of Mexican Americans in the US, who are pretty staunch Republicans and Conservatives, I seen a good number of them, so for those Mexican Americans, they probably won't care too much about a US military invasion into Mexico.
But then again, would Trump order a full-blown invasion into Mexico, or just US Special Forces deployed? A full ground invasion from all US border states into Mexico, I could see would make Mexican Americans across the Southwest of the US, and Mexican nationals potentially very furious.
Also, elsewhere I read comments from Mexican nationals and Chicanos, and it seems like they were joking around with *MAMA - Make America Mexican (or Mexico) Again* 😂 I actually read that abbreviation from Mexican nationals. They were talking about taking back Texas should Trump invade. All those Tejanos in Texas? Would they side with the Union or side with Mexico? I read a comment from a Texan, he said "I welcome this." I'm not certain.
I also read a comment about *MAGMA* as well - *Make America Greater Mexico Again*
Anyhow, I think plenty of Mexican Americans and Tejanos may feel conflicted, especially if there's a lot of Mexican civilian causalities in Mexico from US personnel: from drone strikes, aircraft strikes, hit from stray bullets, etc., it could potentially turn Mexican Americans against the US, against Trump, should say, a full-blown US military invasion into Mexico occur.
So, according to the comments I read elsewhere, I see a bit Mexican Americans here and there siding with Mexico. Hypothetically if every Chicano in the US backlashed against Trump, what would Trump do? Would he put nearly 40 million Mexican Americans in the Southwest in internment camps like Japanese Americans in WW2? Label Mexican Americans an enemy of the US, fears of sabotage like the Japanese Americans? There would be severe backlash, and other ethnic Latinos may side with the Mexican nationals and Chicanos, so instead of some 40 million Chicanos, it'll possibly be another 1-10 million angry Latinos, and the Southwest of the US may get heated. The Cubans in Florida? Not sure, don't think so.
If anything, US Special Forces working with the Mexican Armed Forces, along with US intelligence, perhaps sophisticated US drones like the Predator might be better fighting against the cartels of Mexico, because a heavy US military invasion into Mexico, with who knows maybe tens of thousands of US personnel sounds pretty hardcore.
Time will tell.
@@owlman_ So you're saying that many people will become traitors if we invade a terrorist group? Sounds fishy
@@inthendwealldie Not just 'chicano males'. It's many people of both sexes on both sides.
Go for it, Trump. We all know that America has a stellar record of waging war in other countries 🙄
We also know how well wars on drugs have fared ever since Nixon started that trend.
Regardless of how you view the US's "success" in recent years when it comes to conflicts, a military action against Mexico would bring extreme suffering to the people of Mexico. It's unthinkable in my opinion.
But have Barron enlist in the Army or Marines first. Don't sign up Jr., since he is to big of a fan of the white stuff, and Eric would only get himself fragged.
If Americans would quick using drugs today, the cartels would collapse. One thing I learned in Algebra I is that both sides must balance.
I think the quantity with drugs coming out of Mexico is clearly a factor also. All the Mexicans under this video not able to understand that it could be their fault too.
The problem is not the Mexican Drug Cartels.... its us here in the U.S. we are the consumer... we purchase and use these illegal drugs
Well, I think US forgot something, the fentanyl problem begun on their own drug stores, all the US laboratories that start selling all this “medicine” now blaming Mexico for this problem. Also I never in my life I have seen an fentanyl addict on the Mexico streets.
In every age throughout the history we have mad kings
The orange man isn't a novelty
So true
More Trump idiocy. There are at least 1.2M Americans residing in Mexico, this would paint bulls-eyes on their backs.
@@joemancini2988 more like 2 million
@@davidmoreno9302 there's Ajijic and San Miguel de Allende with tens of thousands of retirees, I hope this never happens because the consequences for this people will be severe, I can see these towns made hostage
@@tonypuga2502 well then don't invade
Americans are armed to the teeth.
Thats a horrible idea. Mexico tried it before already, and it was a huge failure. The Cartells avoided direct confrontations and the military became partly infected with this sea of drug related corruption. It would be dangerous if the Americans thought "Well, sure the Mexicains failed, but we would never...", Americans are just people too.
Never say never
I live on the Border, I grew up swimming and fishing on the Rio Bravo. What nobody talks about is how much of the smuggling is done by U.S government personnel. “The monitor McAllen Texas” that’s the local newspaper. Google Oficr arsted.
exactly. a san jose cop union chief was recently arrested for fentanyl smuggling. they're blaming the cartels to distract from the failures of American institutions. and its kind of nuts to see how easily people buy this rhetoric that somehow Mexico alone is to blame.
Also worth mentioning the role of purdue pharma in driving America's current opiate crisis. They got a sweetheart deal from the government, despite being no less responsible than Shorty Guzman.
You will be met with massive resistance on both sides of the wall
@@Mexican01o101 lol
11:42 since when does the US care abut international law? They care about the rules based international world order. Rule 1 is that they make the rules. Have you forgotten about American exceptionalism?
Good thing you finally learned, everyone else gonna learn that lesson very soon.
Based USA. "Shock and awe losers, shock and awe!" - Homer Simpson
@@54032Zepolshut up buddy. Jesus would not like what the USA IS DOING.
International rules are made for weak countries
Strong countries made their own laws the rest just suck it up
At least previous presidents pretended they cared about international law.
People understimate the value of public relations and propaganda, just exposing the naked truth are going to gain much more enemies than not. So please, return to the pretending phase.
Buenas suerte con ello , lo de Afganistán les parecerá un bonito recuerdo ,algo así como un paseo
Even if the US invades Mexico, I think they would have difficulties multitudes larger than the Israeli's difficulties in taking down Hamas. Mexico is a huge country, and there is no way the US army can control all smuggle routes to the US. They would need strong support from local police & military forces, but an invading force doesn't curry much favor with the locals.
@@achmedaan locals want to be in America anyway. Let America come take them. It's easier. They should vote for it to avoid bloodshed
They would just need to target cartel positions, not control the entire Mexican population. Mexican cartels act in the open, aided by the corruption of the Mexican government
@@teejayman215 They prefer independence
Fake, we are proudly Mexicans just look at how many Mexicans raise their flag in the US at September 16th or May 5th. And no, the caravans aren't from Mexicans they're mostly Venezuelans and Caribbeans or even Chinese, actually right now more Americans choose to live in Mexico than Mexicans in the US.
I don't understand Americans thinking everybody wants to be American 😂, otside the US are also a lot of countries wich their population is patriotic even more than the American citizens.
@@teejayman215most migrants aren't mexican they are mostly central american
What about the drug dealer that distribute the stuff?, I dont see the mexican cartels selling the stuff on the US streets
We did it with Colombia and did not solve anything.
Estados unidos jamás invadirá México y les diré porque, México lo que más valora es su soberanía nacional, y cualquier ejército militar extranjero que pise tierra Mexicna es una declaración de guerra, logiacmante no se compara el poder militar de Estados Unidos con el de México, es muy superior pero si tiene que tener en cuenta que seria una guerra de 10 años porque se crearían milicias que estarían constantemente atacando a los soldados estadounidenses por puro odio, los Mexicanos tenemos eso y lo digo porque yo soy Mexicano tendríamos odio por Estados Unidos y tendrían una guerra sin fin en su propio territorio yneso sin contar que tienen, millones de Mexicanos dentro de su propio territorio es un escenario que Estados Unidos ya vio y no lo querría no es lo mismo una Victoria que una ocupación así que eso no pasara jamás no es lo mismo jamas vs israel que México vs Estados Unidos sería el fin de la hegemonía americana litera llevar una guerra a su propio territorio abriría la oportunidad a otras potencias como china y rusia de debilitar militarmente toda la infraestructura de Estados Unidos.l
Así es podemos hacer lo que hizo Afghanistan pero la diferencia es que estamos al lado de ellos y no en el otro lado del mundo. Yo me agrego a la guerrilla
Trump no se va a atrever a invadir abiertamente al país. Lo más probable es que termine presionando a Sheinbaum, como lo ha hecho con AMLO y Sheinbaum termine “doblándose” o convirtiéndose en marioneta de Trump, ahora si reforzando la seguridad y combatir contra algunos cárteles (no todos los cárteles)
Esto es muy cierto and please learn history more deeply the usa stole those states from Mexico they didn't conquer nothing así que como Mexicanos no olvidemos los Estados que Estados Unidos nos robo y tomo como propios con mentiras y también deben ser cuidadosos how ever they cannot do nothing to Mexico or they will be forced to have a fight inside the country and from outside because there's millions of Mexicans in this country this problem is of the usa americans are the ones who consume more drugs and as Mexicans it's not our problem
Address the elephant(s)in the room:
1) American government arming the cartels.
2) American banks laundering cartel money.
3)The CIA running the "trade".
4) American consumer demand.
If the above issues along with poverty and unemployment are not addressed, nothing will ever change.
So, the guy who is addicted to adderoll, is threatening an attack on drugs?? Let that sink in!😅
Russia 🇷🇺 and China 🇨🇳 said they are ready to help the mexico border 🇲🇽 against American invasion
Thats ridiculous. Their troops wouldnt even make it to the right continent across the seas dominated by the US navy, and russia would have to bury their lunatic ambitions in Ukraine and europe. Although I must say Trumps idea to invade Mexico is almost even more lunatic.
I really doubt Russia would do anything, they already have their own war to deal with.
China would likely keep to themselves as well. But such an invasion would indeed push the entirety of Latin America closer to China.
@@chicagoanonymous2406 bro they are not
@quandingleberry445 Yes, my family in Mexico 🇲🇽 they just told me the military or Russia 🇷🇺 and China 🇨🇳 they are in Mexico 🇲🇽 getting ready to protect Mexico 🇲🇽 from on other invasion from the United States... China 🇨🇳 has military in Panama 🇵🇦. CHECK MEXICAN NEWS AND PANAMA 🇵🇦 NEWS SO YOU COULD SEE IM NOT LYING
@@quandingleberry445 them getting “involved” reminds me of the Zimmerman telegram. Get Mexico to fight the US so they can either get a weakens US military response or none at all.
the flow of American firearms to Mexico is a HUGE problem.
maybe not such a good idea since Mexico borders the us there could actually be consequences even if they win .unlike in most of the recent wars America was involved in
The answer is similar to _"should Putin invade Ukraine"_ in the sense that should and would is not the same thing. It is stupid for Trump to invade Mexico, but that has nothing to do with what will happen, since Trump is stupid and deluded.
You assume much. As if there's no American involvement in the drug trade including how extensive that involvement is.
I make no such assumptions.
Most pro-war pres got the most anti-war votes.
As a Mexican it bothers me that Mexico is not doing much to stop the cartels and criminals. What exactly is stopping the Mexican government not to do much? President Shambaum is saying Americans are the ones consuming the drugs, fine I got that part. But if she knows Americans are consuming the drugs, then why she doesn't understand that cartels are criminals? If she wants a USA/Mexico relationship, then she needs to be firm that Mexico also needs peace. Lopez Obrador also gave a nonsense answer, that is better "abrazos y no balazaos- hugs and not shootings"
@@danielax2350 actually the political party morena and his leader amlo reached power with money of the Sinaloa cartel and last 2024 election the drug political party received again help from the drug cartels, this opened the door to EEUU intervention in Mexico.
@@RaúlDíaz-p6e see what I mean? why are we having this war? I just don't get it.
The drug problem goes two ways and if one of the two closes the problem is over. Obviously if the Mexican government wanted to annihilate the cartels and stop the production the problem would only be on the drug consumers of the US and violence would be nonexistent in Mexico, but that's not the case, the government is corrupt, the military is corrupt, the cops are corrupt and everyone shares the same business. I get that Americans may be ignorant about this aspect because Mexican politics are horrendous but Mexico is not free of guilt, if the US doesn't stop drugs from entering their country then what the hell does the Mexican government do that every month the cartels have better equipment, and training?
First of all, he has to resolve many problems in the US.
Like drug dealers and drugs distributers, the arms problem, health problem, the debt you have.
He has to leave México alone
The sad part is drug companies created the addiction. They handed out pain killers
Like candy.
It's hard to predict what will happen, but we can all agree if this happened, it would have big geopolitical implications for both countries alike, to the extend we might have not seen in many decades
Thank you for addressing this topic. Could you make a video discussing El Salvador president Nayib Nukele and his relationship with Donald Trump?
Thanks so much. I made a video about El Salvador and Bukele a couple of years ago. However, I should perhaps revisit it.
Does also have alledged video like our good friend Putin?
Cartels are a product of American consumption, not American consumption a product of cartels. In the sixties, turkish drugs arrived from Europe. They were later brought from Vietnam on the United States Army's own planes. If they cannot control smuggling on their own planes, it will be difficult for them to do so in another territory. Then it came from Colombia through the Caribbean Sea. When the United States Navy stopped traffic through the Caribbean Sea, it began to cross the Mexican Republic and that is where the history of the cartels began. Any street drug dealer knows that when there are drug seizures the price increases on the streets. The problem with fentanyl actually begins when the FDA authorizes strong opioids for common ailments, and this was done due to pressure from pharmaceutical companies. On the other hand, a guy betwen 18 to 21 cannot buy beer in the United States but can buy a high-powered rifle. To have access to opioids a minor only has to open the family medicine cabinet. All the weapons that the Mexican cartels have come from the United States, they are not Russian, they are not Chinese, they are not from India, they are not European, they are from the United States of America. The solution to the drug problem has always been within American territory. Why don't you want to solve this? What young man in his right mind is going to go fight these absurd wars organized by the American elite to continue doing their shady business? The solution is to reinforce family values, and raise awareness among young people about the harm of drugs. The government is not going to do this. There are many interests in drug consumption.
the problem is the US arming the cartels. everyday there are battles fought in Mexico between the military and the cartels. if the arms flow south is stopped, the Mexican military defeats and eradicates the cartels. it is sort of like the Vietnam war, if Russia and China did not arm North Vietnam, the war would have ended a lot sooner
NO WAY AT ALL! WHY?
Because "it's better do die on foot than living knelt down"
-E. Zapata 😊
You are not talking about contribution of the pharmaceutical sector in the opiod crisis. As well you are not describing how the main carteles grow because the help of the CIA.
It is a bigger problem that cannot be explain in only one video, but USA has a big responsibility. It is not something that Mexico created alone.
And also how cartels only have such powerful guns BECAUSE of the United States since in Mexico you can't acquire guns, how the CIA/DEA has helped to kill entire populations like in the Allende Massacre etc etc
El problema viene provocado por los anglosajones desde las guerras del opio.
yes exactly - the gringos are losing their own game - just like football, they invented it but the South American's mastererd it
Looking at how well Iraq and Afghanistan went, it would be interesting to see the cartel response given how many of them already operate in the US.
If government worker kidnappings and killings are commonplace in Mex, something similar would probably happen in the US.
The war on drugs is senseless.
@Prof Ker-Lindsay: Worth a video?
💯
Mexico also sent a fighter squadron 201 assisted USA fight the Japanese in pacific WWll and help liberate the island of Luzon
I know how to fix the problem Donald You need to get Junior stop snorting cocaine all the time That's the problem and all his friends. Americans love drugs they just love it that's the problem Americans stop buying drugs today The problem would stop tomorrow
Even a newborn makes more sense than Trump's words . comments .
Panama, Greenland, Canada, The Hague, and Mexico. The US will be more invasive than ever. Such an ambitious nation.
Han de que creer que al momento de pasar la frontera, a los paquetes les salen patitas y llegan a donde sea sin permiso de nadie.
I'm enjoying the content Professor James. I don't think President Trump will invade Mexico but never say never. I don't think the drug problem in the US will improve unless drugs become legalised and get treated as a health problem.
Thanks so much! I agree. They need to take a very different approach. I’m not sure full legalisation of all classes is the right way, but certainly the approach has gone drastically wrong with tragic consequences.
I know this might sound ridiculous and a bit extreme, but this needs an extreme measure.... legalize drugs to a certain degree and that would help tremendously. Agree? Or disagree? And why or why not?
Can remember hearing trump blabbering on somewhere about when he was president 1st time there were no wars now he wants to go to war with every country. 😅😅😅
*"We are going to stop the inflow of drugs into New Hampshire and into our country 100%,"* Trump promised in 2016. It was a major campaign issue. Overdoses were surging in battleground states key to the election, like New Hampshire, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
*In 2017 - Trump's first year in office - more than 47,600 Americans died from illegal drug overdoses* according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
2018- 63.367-dead
2019- 70,630-dead
2020- 91,799-dead
Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me.
*American fools*
I’m so sorry our country has been the inspiration for so many videos lately. I promise we’re not all like this.
Don’t be sorry that’s American faith
No pidas perdon por cosas que no has hecho
Bro but your name says dutch or belgian
Mexico should show resolution in fighting drug cartels, for its own benefit and the benefit of all of latinoamerica...
born and raised Mexican here I will say something that might be overlooked or not known by Europeans or gringos:
1. Cartels are literal organizational hydras if you take out the leaders they will be replaced by an underdog or this will lead to infighting between the cartels until someone fills the power void or the cartels break apart into smaller ones.
2. Cartles Defacto control every city and town under 100,000 outside the metro areas the mayors or even the state governors are in the local cartel pockets and if you had family or friend that disappeared and had something to do with drugs or it was just in the wrong place at the wrong time the police will only "look into it" and do nothing there also the case if a local politician is not 100% agree with the cartel they be found decapitated in the outskirts of his town.
3. The current Left-wing Party Morena was voted due to Increasing living costs and the infamous Gazolinaso of his predecessor Enrique peña Nieto of the Centrist neo-liberal PRI (Partido Revolucionario Institucional-Institucional revolutionary party) this party had run Mexico as a defacto One-Party State since the Revolution until 2006 when the Conservative PAN won but they we're the ones who started a war against cartels, so people had an extreme grudge and distrust toward these parties for their corruptions and allowing the cartels to flourish, so when AMLO and morena were voted in 2018 with an ill fix everything narrative he pretty much did the same only expending in welfare programs to look cool and adopted the infamous "Abrazos, no balazos policy"
His Sexsenio has been more violent since 1990 ( A sexsenio is what we call a presidential term a Mexican president can only serve 6 years without a chance of re-election) and his successor only seems it to keep doing the same so our government is pretty much cooluted.
I hope this added something
Edit: okay i might exagerated on my original post and still to soon to say how will shenbaium will handle herself, when i sayed defacto cartel controled i didn't meant all territory outside the major cities it varies on the state and location
And even if control everthing in a small town they prefer to be discreate stay off sight and let most civilians carry a normal life.
Only thing debatable is that the PRI dictatorship arguably ended with Vicente Fox. Other than that, great info, and go Mexicali!! Greetings from the Imperial Valley
Oh, my mistake. I thought you said born and rasied Mexicali :(
Trump was denied casino licenses in Las Vegas and Australia BECAUSE OF HIS CRIMINAL CONNECTIONS. Trump is the leader of your cartels and you haven't figured out what the world has known for decades
Meh' this is an exaggeration. I agree there are areas where control is murky. It's not every small town. Not sure if what AMLO and now Claudia are doing will pay off as desired but it is definitely a long term solution. It was never intended to fix the issue in a few years, rather at least a decade.
I'm Mexican from rural part and I disagree, I think you exaggerate a little.
And successor of AMLO Claudia Sheinbaum seems to have changed the strategy and is definitely taking more active measures. Violence in Mexico has decrease 16% since she arrived.
AMLO 6 years can be said to have failed to reduce violence, but violence did not increase either, he received the most dangerous Mexico in history from EPN, one has to compare what one received and how he left it. Really AMLO didn't achieve almost any substantial change, either for the better or for the worse. Sheinbaum seems to be taking a much more active steps hopefully for the better.
If Trump invades Mexico, the Cartel has a rather large ace up their sleeve that's completely overlooked. That of "poisoning the powder" which would launch a massive public health crisis country wide and possibly seismic instability domestically
i used to call Trump the Orange Idiot but now he has become the Orange Gasbag..he is all talk
We'll see how it goes in a couple of days I'll be watching the inauguration that's for sure.
Wow you're so clever, Kamala 2028
Try Cheetoh-In-Chief.
Oh. Give it a week and he'll be true to old form.
No he will not. That would cause a huge problem for the USA.
A very simplistic way to look at it. If no pharmaceutical company is mentioned you are neglecting the root of US current crisis.
Considering he had no issue taking out the Iranian general Qasem Soleimani, commander of the Quds Force which militarily are waaay more powerful than any cartels, I actually am ready to make a bet that Donny will do the same if presented with an opportunity to remove a cartel head. And no, I am not one of his fans. Just judging based on previous behaviours, but also based in US interests and issues due to drugs.
Thanks. As it happens, of all Trump's threats, I think this is not only the most realistic but also the most justified. That is why I framed it as a genuine question about self-defence. The US is facing a huge drug problem, run by well-armed and highly-trained cartels that the Mexican Government hasn't been able to defeat. To my mind, this does raise very real issues for the United States. I still believe a cooperative approach is generally better on this and other things. But I can see why many would argue that unilateral military steps might be needed.
@@JamesKerLindsay Yes because it is easier to take out those "bad hombre's" instead of tackling Americans' illegal drug use.
@JamesKerLindsay with due respects probably you don't know ....1) Mexico is an independent sovereign nation .not a colony to the point that some people believe is OK to invade a neighbor nation without repercussions .......2) ..disafortunatly there is a huge double standard with some politicians in the US ...due to the fact that US arm companies. are the ones responsible for providing the cartels with war weapons, ammunition, equipment .... and US citizens responsable for drug purchases , distribution and consumption in every community, towns and cities all over the country...
.in my personal opinion MEXICO AND THE US NEED to work honestly and firmly to find out the proper way to stop arming criminals that are killing individuals on both sides of the border and hurting thousands of inocent people ...... finally there is a lack of drug addiction clinics , and federal institutions along with psicological programs in the country to honestly help all those poore individuals down the street that are in need to recover the dignity already lost due to drugs !! !
@@Mark-gg6iy That is a cheap response. You suggest some sort of racism. These are highly armed, well trained, and extremely well-financed gangs. Of course tackling the domestic roots of the problem is crucial. But one can also recognise that these aren’t just some amateur provincial outfits. They are paramilitary organisations that are carrying out a range of violent crimes against the United States. My question, therefore, is whether the uS is entitled to use armed force to take on highly armed groups. Don’t make this about racism..
@@JorgeGarcia-mh5il I completely agree. This is a huge and complex problem. But if all the threats Trump has made, this one seems most rooted in an actual security problem. I therefore wanted to open the debate on ten limits of self-defence, especially when that means addressing non-state actors operating out of a neighbouring, and essentially friendly, state.
The drug problem starts at home not at a lab in Mexico😮
Trump the alpha male . What a joke
Peter Zeihan believes that things became worse after successful efforts to arrest leaders of the Sinaloa Cartel. He argues that this cartel viewed drugs as a business, and generally tried to avoid violence. By weakening and destabilizing them, we enabled to rise of groups like Jalisco New Generation, who are much more violent.
China will move on Taiwan. Then what?
Under the Taiwan Relations Act of 1979, the US is committed to providing military support, defense assistance, arms sale for Taiwan, but not a formal mutual defense treaty to defend Taiwan, the Act is ambiguous. So, Trump could probably completely disregard Taiwan if he wants, but I think he seems to have a strong stance on Taiwan, I don't think it's as superbly strong as his stance on Israel.
Trump made the CCP Chinese officials really mad, because he took a phone call from Taiwan's President, the CCP didn't like that, that was back in 2016. He suggested that Taiwan should pay for its defense, and Trump never explicitly stated whether the US would militarily defend Taiwan in the event of a Mainland Chinese invasion.
So, it's not certain if he'll defend Taiwan should China move on them. And Taiwan is like a porcupine, they may hold out long enough should US CSGs assist them, perhaps US Marines in the fleet landing in Taiwan, perhaps Japan and Australia may aid Taiwan. All that is uncertain, though.
World War Three
The international community literally recognizes the One china policy so does the US so its hypocritical for them to be supporting Taiwan plus I doubt the US would send its own troops if china decides a massive naval blockade and places a no fly zone over the area
Would the US risk a WW3 & a potential nuclear war over a small island?? At best it just be another ukraine
How come i had never heard of a confiscated drugs or drugs lords arrested in the USA?
or how the drugs get distributed in this country?
Pobre México tan lejos de Dios tan cerca de los Estados Unidos. ¡Que Dios nos libre de esa estupidez sin igual!
USA troops couldn't even handle the Vietcong or the Taliban. They got no chance against the Cartels on their own territory.
btw: Trump is now In: ua-cam.com/video/Z0GFRcFm-aY/v-deo.html
As for his policy approach then certainly the Cartels as terrorist organisations, You can then treat their mules as terrorist's on your own soil as well as those who make profit on their backs ... without invading Mexico. A DMZ like border will of course be sensible, but as you hint, International help is imperative and yet his positive views have only been in supporting China (ignore his bogus tariff threats) , Russia and North Korea. So he can build a Wall and piss off the rest of the World and kiss fellow Dictators and autocrats, might even invite Erdogan to the party. In 'football' parlance he has 'set out his stall , ' worse than Del Boy down the fruit market selling Czechoslovakian melons! Trig told Dave that he likes Trump 'cos he has a new broom on his head. Seriously though, Mexico is the least of his problems.
Greenland, Mexico, Panama. I feel like there a memo sent out
There is a map the u.s. drew in 1942 with those countries annexed. Greenland, Canada, Mexico and all the way to Panama
The second Mexican-American war would be crazy
It would also be very, very short lol.
Don't underestimate Emperor Trump.
Emporor*
Spell better please
I hope war never hapen we aré neivors we most work togeter. 😮
Trump is going to keep Prof James very busy over the next 4-8 years 😉
Isn't he just! :-)
I think you would find the Mexican population very hostile to any American military operation. Mexico has had numerous American military interventions on its territory in the past, so doing so now would be a disaster.
With the incoming Tik Tok ban, it will be interesting what happens to PEMEX inside of USA.
US needs oil, n Mexico owns TX's Deer Park Refinery, one of the most important refineries on this side of the world.. i doubt Trump wants any issues there..
how is that related?
And how drug cartels do laundry their money??? Yes through the biggest banks in America!!!
He should start with the cartels in the US.
Mexican cartels in US
The worst issue is that the new goberment is part of the problem.
PLEASE stop putting trump’s grating, barbarous, ignorant voice in the background of your videos!
Unfortunately you've got four years of that gasbag to listen to.
He's gonna be the POTUS again in one week's time. Get used to his voice speaking for America...
Would you rather be listening to Biden😂
Poor México, so far from Heaven and so close to the United States 😢
They must be stopped.
Have a chat with Don Jr. and Leon Probably Gaetz as well.
I have family ties to Vermont, a rural state with few job opportunities. Fentanyl has had devastating effects there.
So is the problem the drugs; or the poverty?
@ Yes.
What about the network of people in the US that receive and distribute the drug? The banks that receive the money from those criminal organizations and profit off of it? The politicians somehow involved in such activities?
It is very conveniently presented as a one-sided issue.
It is simply not credible that the US is not at fault on this.
"I heard Woodrow Wilson's guns. I heard Maria crying. Late last night I heard the news. That Veracruz was dying." Warren Zevon, about the 1914 occupation of Veracruz. But old school gunboat diplomacy can‘t fix US’ very own, disastrous "war on drugs".
Doesn't a group have to have a political or religious motivation to be considered a 'terrorist" group? As far as I can tell, the Cartels have no such motivations. If suddenly "anyone breaking any law of any country, even one they do not reside in" is a terrorist then that opens a wide door to an extremely slippery slope, perhaps the slipperiest of slopes.
I suppose you don't think them green lighting border patrol falls into your category of being terrorists?!😂
That's for extremist organizations based on beliefs, but cartels are surely terrorist, the only difference is that their beliefs are money, guns and corruption.