Came across this channel this weekend searching for betting picks. Watched the intro and went "cringe." Watched the analysis and went "damn." Dude dives deep. Respect.
Look at all of the winless teams that needed a W this weekend…Ravens, Giants, Rams, Panthers, Broncos, Colts. All won outright. I think the Bengals follow suit and wouldn’t be surprised if the Jags do as well.
The only teams I’d really give credit here are Denver and Baltimore. All the others are outliers: Giants and Colts played against pretty weak offenses, Carolina had a change at QB (Bryce Young is horrible), and the Rams only managed to win because the 49ers defense sold the game despite a great performance from Purdy and Jennings.
Winless underdogs on the Road hitting at a 65% rate since 1993 (Trend has multiple factors to consider, not as simple as the title of the trend) However, the Jags +5.5 fits the trend. Also, Shawn Smith will be the head referee for this game. Road teams went 13-3 on the ML and 11-4-1 ATS in 2023 with him. All time Road teams are 53-42-1 on the ML and 54-39-3 ATS with him. Fading the huge public plays has gone well this week. Broncos and Panthers both won out right. The Third most Public play this week is on the Bills. Will the Jags continue the trend and win out right as well? I like them to! Jags +5.5 and ML Bengals Vs Red Skins. I found an interesting trend. Teams coming off a 1 point loss playing a Prime Time game 16-3 ATS since 2000. Teams favored by a touchdown or more going a perfect 4-0 and winning by an average of 21 points. I do see the Bengals making a statement today and absolutely destroying the Red Skins this game. I actually recommended the Bengals Defense as one of the top Defenses to pick up for Fantasy this week. Give me the Bengals -7.5 Favorite Player prop is Jamar chase to get his first touchdown of the season today. Red skins get destroyed by WR1s. Chase needs a statement game as well as he has been slaking it. Going back to 2021 when Jamar Chase and Joe Burrow teamed up he has only gone ONCE longer the 2 or more weeks without scoring a TD. He will get one today! Lottery Parlay: +4200 Bengals -13.5 Chase 2+ Touchdowns Jags ML
One thing to note, last year when Jacksonville beat Buffalo in week 2 in the same situation (BUF @ Home) the game happened to be in London. And Jacksonville was able to get out to London one week earlier than Buffalo was. GL to all. o7
Man. I’m on 2 hrs sleep my damn self. Appreciate it all the work you put in. Glad you had a great weekend. Titians, cardinals, and Falcons were my only L’s. Football season is just a different level of research and my sleep will have to take a backseat for now
After CFB and NFL last 2 weeks. I am convinced nothing is for certain. That Eagles v Rams game was bonkers. I bet the last few minutes to watch them win in the last TWO SECONDS. I dont get too much of a headache trying to do research on picks, cause shit can go either direction regardless of stats and talent in seconds.
Didn't like that line either way. Ended up going with Josh Allen over 255 combo yds rushing/passing for +100 with a boost. Looks like it was the way to go since that happened in 1st half. 😂
Etienne Jr had 26 carries for 136 rush yards and 2 Touchdowns, with 4 recs for 48 yards receiving last year vs bills i can see them running the ball mostly again, bills pass defense awesome rush defense still struggles.
In a bad mood off a pair of losses to the Dolphins and Browns by a combined eight points, the Jaguars are a live pup under the Monday night lights. Buffalo is out of the gate with a pair of straight up wins over Arizona and Miami and this is going to be a challenging spot for head coach Sean McDermott and his troops. Jacksonville’s 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS record in its last eight games is certainly noted and respected. However, going into this weekend, NFL underdogs priced at +5 or more have done admirably well inking a solid 8-1-1 ATS mark. In addition, in their last 12 on foreign soil, the Jags have inked a respectable 9-3 ATS tally. Also, when matched up against an opponent that takes the field with confidence off a straight up win, head coach Doug Pedersen and his squad owns a noteworthy 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS record. Buffalo is going to have its hands full in this matchup. When taking the field with momentum off two or more straight up wins, the Bills have been a financial mess inking a horrible 79-121-8 ATS record provided they hold a team won/loss percentage of .501 or better. In pspecific situation arriving off a division battle, Coach McDermott and his crew fall to a horrible 27-56-4 ATS including a nasty 17-48-3 ATS if they take the field off a straight up win of seven points or more. With those three parameters live and Buffy tackling a foe that played in the comforts of home last, this team trend crashes to a disgusting 4-25-1 ATS including a stunning 1-15 ATS if the Bills were on the road last. The Jags came close in their first two games and couldn’t find a way to come out on top. Matched up against a Buffalo squad entering off a primetime upset win at Miami, Coach Pedersen will have his troops ready to finish and pick up their first win of the season. Take Jacksonville. l
I’ll probably play jags ml. If you get a number at that 5.5-6.5 range, dogs have been winning outright this week (panthers,broncos,rams,giants) plus the jags have beat the bills regardless of the jags qb since Josh Allen became qb.
Crazy thing about that bills broncos game last year… I almost hit a 24 leg parlay cashed out after the 22nd leg… the 23rd leg was bills ML vs broncos and 24 leg was Kansas ML college basketball vs Kentucky turned $40 to 2k after that cash out… bills had 12 men on the field which made the broncos rekick the game winning fg after missing the 1st attempt
@@Additupmo I would do like jags alt spread of +10, bengals ml, Jamar Chase +40 rec yards, Joe burrow +200 passing yards for tonight… that is +125 on fanduel each leg is pretty safe
Yo sause I’m confused….. where is the bengals vs Washington breakdown ? Is there a separate video ??? You show both games on the cover pic of this video but you only break down the bills game 🤔
I came across this channel the other day, I was enticed by how big and fluffy the host was. I wasn’t sure what to think right away.. does this guy maybe work for the books? Why is his beard so perfectly full? He probably makes good money because no way he can keep it that clean without the prop maintenance. I thought about it for a few hours, and I was essentially sold. I was like let’s ride this guy. So I tailed the jags tonight. News flash, you SUCK
Came across this channel this weekend searching for betting picks. Watched the intro and went "cringe." Watched the analysis and went "damn." Dude dives deep. Respect.
Why you throwin shade on the classic intro we've come to love? We have a petition going to not change it. 😂
T. Etienne O3.5 Receptions
J. Cooks O16.5 Receiving yards
J. Chase O6.5 Receptions
J.Burrow O23.5 Pass completions
I owe you a drink if this hits
💰🤞🤑🧢
Play Burrow pass attempts. Easier
Chase gets doubled too much
Be careful with primetime prop bets..they usually don't hit, especially the studs.
Look at all of the winless teams that needed a W this weekend…Ravens, Giants, Rams, Panthers, Broncos, Colts. All won outright. I think the Bengals follow suit and wouldn’t be surprised if the Jags do as well.
The only teams I’d really give credit here are Denver and Baltimore. All the others are outliers: Giants and Colts played against pretty weak offenses, Carolina had a change at QB (Bryce Young is horrible), and the Rams only managed to win because the 49ers defense sold the game despite a great performance from Purdy and Jennings.
no
Winless underdogs on the Road hitting at a 65% rate since 1993 (Trend has multiple factors to consider, not as simple as the title of the trend) However, the Jags +5.5 fits the trend. Also, Shawn Smith will be the head referee for this game. Road teams went 13-3 on the ML and 11-4-1 ATS in 2023 with him. All time Road teams are 53-42-1 on the ML and 54-39-3 ATS with him. Fading the huge public plays has gone well this week. Broncos and Panthers both won out right. The Third most Public play this week is on the Bills. Will the Jags continue the trend and win out right as well? I like them to! Jags +5.5 and ML
Bengals Vs Red Skins. I found an interesting trend. Teams coming off a 1 point loss playing a Prime Time game 16-3 ATS since 2000. Teams favored by a touchdown or more going a perfect 4-0 and winning by an average of 21 points. I do see the Bengals making a statement today and absolutely destroying the Red Skins this game. I actually recommended the Bengals Defense as one of the top Defenses to pick up for Fantasy this week. Give me the Bengals -7.5
Favorite Player prop is Jamar chase to get his first touchdown of the season today. Red skins get destroyed by WR1s. Chase needs a statement game as well as he has been slaking it. Going back to 2021 when Jamar Chase and Joe Burrow teamed up he has only gone ONCE longer the 2 or more weeks without scoring a TD. He will get one today!
Lottery Parlay: +4200
Bengals -13.5
Chase 2+ Touchdowns
Jags ML
Damn, all that for the Bills to win by almost 40 points lmao
One thing to note, last year when Jacksonville beat Buffalo in week 2 in the same situation (BUF @ Home) the game happened to be in London. And Jacksonville was able to get out to London one week earlier than Buffalo was. GL to all. o7
Man. I’m on 2 hrs sleep my damn self. Appreciate it all the work you put in. Glad you had a great weekend. Titians, cardinals, and Falcons were my only L’s. Football season is just a different level of research and my sleep will have to take a backseat for now
My boy Kyle kirms said Jacksonville +5.5 😅😅😅
Damn, needed Jacksonville +40 lol
Sauce...total fire on Sunday...congrats.
And that’s why you bet singles!
After CFB and NFL last 2 weeks. I am convinced nothing is for certain. That Eagles v Rams game was bonkers. I bet the last few minutes to watch them win in the last TWO SECONDS. I dont get too much of a headache trying to do research on picks, cause shit can go either direction regardless of stats and talent in seconds.
Trust me man, research is a very big deal
havent played anything since nba finals so haven't been logging in. Kyle, you look great! keep up the good work!!!
Jags ML/Bengals -7
Burrow over 1.5 passing Touchdowns
J. Chase anytime touchdown/over 80.5 receiving
Idk about the over 80 as he’s only got 60 first game and 30 last game imma take the under
@@k-stackz3577commanders have the worst defense against WR1s look at Evans and Nabers…. Godwin cooked them too. Chase should eat
Jags ML? Can you explain why sir?
@@Additupmo cuz I’m high
@Bgl-fz3cs I'm serious I'm about to tail you. I need a quick double up pick
Yesterday was beautiful 😎 💰
i hit a +4000 parlay so safe to say i had a good football sunday
You lying
@@johnwillis8880
Panthers ML (+205)
Seahawks -4.5 (-105)
Kyler Murray o34.5 rushing yards (-110)
BALvDAL total o47.5 (-104)
Chiefs -3 (-118)
@@johnwillis8880
panthers ML
seahawks -4.5
kyler o34.5 rushing yards
BALvDAL total o47.5
chiefs -3
@@jfrogg nice 👍
all you did was recoup your losses from the previous so STFU
Just found your channel man! Love the content. Always looking for fresh approaches to DFS
Didn't like that line either way. Ended up going with Josh Allen over 255 combo yds rushing/passing for +100 with a boost. Looks like it was the way to go since that happened in 1st half. 😂
Jaguars always play the bills tough though
Facts 😂 Josh Hines-Allen is the better Josh Allen lol😂😂😂
@@kidgetmoney3366ya ok bud lol
Bills role.
@@rickhalberstadt4006or roll
Roll *@@rickhalberstadt4006
Nice hit today Kyle.
Bless you brutha
Nice job yesterday sauce
Etienne Jr had 26 carries for 136 rush yards and 2 Touchdowns, with 4 recs for 48 yards receiving last year vs bills i can see them running the ball mostly again, bills pass defense awesome rush defense still struggles.
In a bad mood off a pair of losses to the Dolphins and Browns by a combined eight points, the Jaguars are a live pup under the Monday night lights. Buffalo is out of the gate with a pair of straight up wins over Arizona and Miami and this is going to be a challenging spot for head coach Sean McDermott and his troops.
Jacksonville’s 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS record in its last eight games is certainly noted and respected. However, going into this weekend, NFL underdogs priced at +5 or more have done admirably well inking a solid 8-1-1 ATS mark. In addition, in their last 12 on foreign soil, the Jags have inked a respectable 9-3 ATS tally. Also, when matched up against an opponent that takes the field with confidence off a straight up win, head coach Doug Pedersen and his squad owns a noteworthy 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS record.
Buffalo is going to have its hands full in this matchup. When taking the field with momentum off two or more straight up wins, the Bills have been a financial mess inking a horrible 79-121-8 ATS record provided they hold a team won/loss percentage of .501 or better. In pspecific situation arriving off a division battle, Coach McDermott and his crew fall to a horrible 27-56-4 ATS including a nasty 17-48-3 ATS if they take the field off a straight up win of seven points or more. With those three parameters live and Buffy tackling a foe that played in the comforts of home last, this team trend crashes to a disgusting 4-25-1 ATS including a stunning 1-15 ATS if the Bills were on the road last.
The Jags came close in their first two games and couldn’t find a way to come out on top. Matched up against a Buffalo squad entering off a primetime upset win at Miami, Coach Pedersen will have his troops ready to finish and pick up their first win of the season. Take Jacksonville. l
Bol really called them over/unders total damnit 😂u got that shit kirm no cap lmao 😂
What happened to you and the pick dawgs crew picking college football on Saturday's?
Parlaying by teasing Jax up to +10 and Bills -5.5. Fingers and toes crossed.
The sauce is en fuego!’n
bro you’re looking lean!!! way to go!
I rode with ya on a 4 teamer good locks
Jags money line is the play
If u Wana lose your money ya
Just take the points. Why make your bet harder
@@bigmike-ip8bn Keep in mind the Referee for the bills game today favored road team. Road teams went 11-3 on the ML last season with him.
@@TrendSageWagersBills don't need the refs like Kansas City .
I'm thinking bills 34-17
Went 5 for 7 today in nfl. LFG!!! 👍
I also had packers ML eagles ML, ravens ML ravens over but nothing to show for it cuz of parlays
What are your picks tonight Hobbs
@@marcosbados4303 it’s a tough night honestly but I like both games under
I’ll probably play jags ml. If you get a number at that 5.5-6.5 range, dogs have been winning outright this week (panthers,broncos,rams,giants) plus the jags have beat the bills regardless of the jags qb since Josh Allen became qb.
Crazy thing about that bills broncos game last year… I almost hit a 24 leg parlay cashed out after the 22nd leg… the 23rd leg was bills ML vs broncos and 24 leg was Kansas ML college basketball vs Kentucky turned $40 to 2k after that cash out… bills had 12 men on the field which made the broncos rekick the game winning fg after missing the 1st attempt
Who do you like tonight? Bills or Jags?
@@Additupmo I would do like jags alt spread of +10, bengals ml, Jamar Chase +40 rec yards, Joe burrow +200 passing yards for tonight… that is +125 on fanduel each leg is pretty safe
@@noah.conley i only have bookmaker
Teaser: Jags +11.5 and Bengals -1...thoughts???
Jags ML/Bungals -7.5. No need to tease
Jags getting their shit pushed in
@@Jay-mk4bb Go sleep
Skins ML
@@biggstravels1851HA!
Yup you were sleep deprived picking Jags
great Clemson!!!!! pick..... thankyou!!!
Josh Allen and cook are going to steam roll this team
What about your Bears pick?
Jags +2 alt and over 51 in putting 700 to win around 4 bands let’s fkn go
Jags got DESTROYED bad bet played with them for 3 quarters like it was nothing
Ummm yeah, guess we know who Allen is going to throw it to now….🙄 Glad I took the Bills
The bookies are pissed today
Jags +5.5
Jags are getting cooked. Hopefully we get a comeback to hit that +5.5.
Bills win this by 6 ! Defence will force Trevor to make mistakes
Stop the shenanigans
Naa I think this is a let down spot for the bills after thumping the fins. They lose fighting. Jags plus the points.
@@badduke96 bills in a romp. lets roll
I'll take that. Bills dominate tonight
@@buyystocks nice call
Great job
Dr.K is cooking nicely.
Josh Allen is going off today …
Nailed it
Yo sause I’m confused….. where is the bengals vs Washington breakdown ? Is there a separate video ??? You show both games on the cover pic of this video but you only break down the bills game 🤔
Sauce needs sleep like all of us.. let’s tune in tmrw
Let the sauce sleep he voiced it at the end of the video 😂ee
You didn’t watch the whole video huh lol
@@Messiahdingo 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@Messiahdingo nope but I demand excellence. Sause should be better !!!!!!!! J/k 🤣🤣🤣🤣
You NEVER bet against the Bills at home in September!!!😊
Bro Jags were close tho… I was only about 40 points short of the cover
I need jax +5.5 on a 5 teamer should i let it ride or insurance my bet?
Always hedge
Screw baseball. 7-1 in NFL yesterday and only loss was a live bet on Ravens -3.5. Up 28-6 with 10 minutes left. Smh.
Diggs, was a problem. Let's face it.
You know, you can go in and make the spread whatever you want?
Haha. You know those numbers next to your bet… the odds… you know they aren’t just there for display… they actually mean something 😂😂
@@KyleKirms 🤣🤣
@@KyleKirms lolololol
FIRST HIT TREVOR TAKES FROM VON MILLER ITS GAME OVER. BILLS DEFENSE IS TOUGHHHHHHH
I came across this channel the other day, I was enticed by how big and fluffy the host was. I wasn’t sure what to think right away.. does this guy maybe work for the books? Why is his beard so perfectly full? He probably makes good money because no way he can keep it that clean without the prop maintenance. I thought about it for a few hours, and I was essentially sold. I was like let’s ride this guy. So I tailed the jags tonight. News flash, you SUCK
7-1 U SHARP MF YOU 🔥🔥🔥🔥🐐
Rainy night in Buffalo. Jags go 0-3... imo
Must win game for Jax
You think Jax covers +5.5??
You think the Bills might be flat? You’ve never been to a Monday night game in Orchard Park…..
Kinda like last year right?
Mnf trick sack wake up dude
Everything you said is screaming under!
Get some rest big dawg
🐐
So many upsets 😂
Yup
Ouch
Over 45.5
Jags are cheeks u think they can stop buffalo i highly doubt it
Oh Maron 🤌🏻
I win 90% of the time I trust the pie chart lol
What’s the props
No bueno
Look like he pick losers tonight
Jags ml
🐆🐆🐆 Let’s go Jags
Nope
#Duuuval #ItWasAlwaysTheJags #DTWD
Jags….. bruh
Wassup player need a win
Lmfao you guys are a joke. Working for the bookies to give fucked up advise. I took bills all the way.
Tell your boy who faded Kyler Murray, THANK YOU 😂😂
Shadowed to complete my 5 leg parlay for $1800 👍
Jacksonville is horrible
To verbose… stop talking so much Chief!
Over45.5🎯
Buggin
This game ain't going over. Cincy game will though.
First
Lame