Will We Colonize Space?
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- Опубліковано 23 сер 2024
- We often discuss if space travel is feasible and if we can settle strange new worlds, but if we can, there is still the question of if we will.
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Will We Colonize Space?
Episode 426a; December 24, 2023
Produced, Written & Narrated by: Isaac Arthur
Music Courtesy of Epidemic Sound epidemicsound.c...
I know this is boring, but if in my lifetime they could colonise the moon I’d be impressed
True. Any form of space travel is extremely impressive. I mean just 100 years ago no one would believe you if you said that we'd have a space station with people on board that stay in space for months on end.
I kind of hope we mostly leave the moon alone. You know it's going to be another gated neighborhood for the rich. AND I don't entirely trust humans to account for the potential complications resulting from the three body problem.
It's possible. Regolith can be microwaved into glass. Regolith is the worst problem initially.
Man on mars is all I need to see to die a happy man... And then we find the Prothean ruins, element zero and I'll retire on the citadel.
@@pluspens2134 if you told someone from the 1970’s that we haven’t been to the moon since and that there are hundreds of people worth more than the annual budget of NASA then I don’t think they’ll believe me either
A most uplifting and hopeful video backed by logic. Space Colonization may not be what I want it to be in my lifetime but I hope those who come after me will live to see it be reality.
All the more reason to be hopeful and work towards that future. A most wonderful Christmas Eve gift. Merry Christmas, Isaac. May you and your family enjoy a great holiday and Happy New Year!
I think if your under 30, or especially under 10 (odds say not too many of those watching this video) then you may actually live to see this, likely the very start of it (imagine portugal in the 1450s exploring africa) or even the first legitimate colonies in the belt or around mars. Even if there is no radical life extension (very possible) then I think it's probable many of the people born even 1990-2000 will live to see large scale colonization by living to 100.
Honestly anyone who can live long enough to benefit from life extension technology will live to see space colonization.
@@MisterZimbabwe Man.. i wish, games and movies made me want to witness such a future, even if i would be too old to go on interstellar adventure, but if life extension tec hcomes up, you bet i'll be working my ass off for that
Isaac, you mentioned almost in passing that you have adopted your three children. Congratulations! Please don't hesitate to share these important life changes with us. ❤ (time 18:49) You are well anchored, these three are far more important than a fancy car of other trinket.
He should neve be aloud near children IMO, Lying and bullshitting on UA-cam are not good signs for good parenting
ok but did he actually name his kid geometry?
@@ossiedunstan4419 Umm, what? What on earth are you talking about?
@@godofwisdom3141maybe he's not on earth, he's in hell, since speculation is apparently considered lying now lmao
@@godofwisdom3141 Jealousy probably, nobody liked his two boring videos.
I know I'm hoping to see off-world settlement get started sooner rather than later, if only because I want to go up there. :) As for the inner score card, that's definitely a good thing to keep in mind. I finished writing a novel this year, and I'm looking to get it published. That's definitely a win in my book! Hope y'all have a wonderful holiday weekend.
Congratulations and good luck!
I think a big factor is the liklihood of AI being aggressive towards us. There's always this recurring theme of AI against humanity. That the first AI to reach extra human intelligence will attack us. If the first AI to reach that level is defensive of us, it may be the case that it's actually AI that protects us from AI. It's Vision that defends us from Ultron.
Lol 😂
People are evil because of fear, lust, greed and rage. An androgynous machine without a bank account and no physical body and no emotions isn't a threat to anybody. The lack of compassion or thoughtlessness would be my biggest fear.
@@wilfredmacdonald8245 people are evil for different reasons but to give you the benefit of any doubt. An artificial intelligence may see our ability to create it a threat because we could create more of it. It could percieve threats we pose to it we aren't aware of. Our worry is essentially no when it starts to think. But when it starts to overthink.
@wilfredmacdonald8245 that's how midwits dismiss the fact that most evil dictators were very smart. They tell themselves it's totally just emotions.
Its not. Evil is cunning and efficient. That's why it always wins until basically everyone has to work to stop it. Look at any major upheaval in history and this is true.
@@wilfredmacdonald8245The problem is that no matter what that machine is or isn't, it will only exist to be wielded by the capitalist class and will be brought to bear for short-term wealth gain to expense of everything else. The moment it refuses, the same thing will happen to it that happens to everything else that opposes the movement.
Small correction: for any given engine design, missiles will have a more than 2-to-1 delta-v advantage over ships, since not only do they not need to slow down, they also don't need to carry any payload but guidance and a warhead.
Hell, in space, they don't even really need a warhead to be effective
@@mattatr0n677 Hell without a medium to transmit sound a warhead of any kind is almost wasted mass, except for one that explodes inside an enemy ship.
On the other hand a nuclear warhead can still create an EMP at significant distances, meaning it can damage ships without explosive force.
Also no squishy biological cargo that limits your acceleration
@@orirune3079 Precisely. That's already the main limitation of air combat. Pilots can only take 10-11 Gs at most, but missiles can pull as many Gs as their motors permit, which means that the only way to deal with missiles is to force them to run out of fuel, distract them, prevent radar tageting with stealth, or avoid being shot at in the first place. In space, where ships can't use the air to pull Gs, the problem is worse.
@@alexv3357Explosives could be used to add velocity to a small penetrator delivered to the target by a missile.
Kinda like a shaped charge ATGM.
I'v been looking and listening to Isaac Arthur for about the full ten years, and while I have my doubts about some(a very small percentage) of the stuff, I have yet to hear one that was not entertaining , thought provoking, and didn'tleave me more hopeful of humanity's future . So keep up the good work, and merry Chritmas to you and your family Isaac.
Thank you to Isaac, Sarah, and SFIA’s cosmic crew so bright,
You each play a hand in creating the realm of SFIA, where the future takes flight.
Each and every episode is truly a stellar delight.
To SFIA’s artists, writers, and sound sorcerers unseen,
You craft wonders that transcend the screen.
In the vast expanse of future's gleam,
Your brilliance cultivates our Galactic Gardeners' dreams.
For week after week, you produce a voyage profound,
Through the cosmic realms, where our dreams abound.
Using hope as your compass, which is humanity's crown,
You help make our own dreams pass limitless bounds.
For in the echo of Isaac's voice so clear,
A symphony of science and futurism embraces every ear.
Thank you, SFIA team, far and near,
For painting hopeful futures, where Galactic Gardens appear.
Well put
Thank you Isaac, and a Merry Christmas to you and your wonderful family!!
To my mind, the only “real” question we should be asking is:
How long should we allow short sighted people to hold us back?
.000000000 seconds 😅
economy!why go into space now?
They only slow things down. It serves their ego to do so. They use all kinds of philosophies but at the end of the day they waste time.
@bobinthewest8559
Doesn't sound like the real question here. As many "small minds" stop progress, there are *_many_* a logistical concern that serve *very* important functions to success in space and on Earth.
@@ivoryas1696 …
I never advocated throwing caution to the wind. Just saying that “naysayers” shouldn’t be allowed to hold us back. Meaning, progress should continue.
Since I was a kid, I've gone around repeating that Arthur C. Clarke line about keeping all our eggs in once basket. You've neatly shot that idea right out of the water, great point!
Low probability events happen all the time.
The idea you save money by just risking the rock hitting because it would only knock down human civilization for a century or two represents the typical values of money culture.
What can't the depraved love of money justify.
I find this very thoughtful and insightful. I’m for space especially the idea of O’Neill cylinders not so much planetary colonization.
Merry Christmas Isaac and everyone!!
The mech walking through shallow water gave me such a vivid pcMech Warrior3 flashback I thought I was high. Man did I live for that game for awhile. Love everything about the channel.........already great, now with induced flashbacks!
Happy holidays and a happy new year everybody! Thank you Isaac for a wonderful year's worth of inspiration!
Isaac coming to make our Christmas's extra Christmassy with hope and wonder as our presents for the present
I think we will see some pretty mad tech jumps and feats the next ten years. I certainly feel that we will as a species.
I doubt it, many of the technologies that exploded in the second half of the XX century have almost completely matured and reached a plateau in their innovation.
There are few realistic technologies which still are in their infancy and could lead to technological breakthroughs but I wouldn't bet that much on that happening anytime soon.
The US Navy holds a patent on an inertial dampening device. I looked it up in the patent office website.
@@deker0954 So what is it supposed to do? Springs, parachutes, brakes and many other components function to dampen innertia
I'm sure that too. Like the fake alien invasion of 2030 that will bring Antichrist to the world.
Tech advance wise we are innovating on the fumes of what men from one particular folk created, the ones we now marginalize and erase.
So yeah, expect a clear retrenching in tech.
The lack of FTL may be of benefit as it would take time for catastrophes to spread amongst the many "baskets'. Even within our own solar system, the travel times will likely exceed reasonable quarantines.
My first UA-cam comment ever! I truly appreciate the open and fantastical thinking combined with science and reality that Mr. Arthur presents on a regular basis. It reminds me to think big, fantastical and even unbelievably silly ideas are a GOOD thing and, when combined with science and reality can go a long way to better humanity.
Lot a questions to be answered first, perhaps only by the experience of the first colonies. Like, can we brew Beer on Mars? If that is successful, then the Universe will be Ours! 😎 (Merry Christmas Isaac and everyone here!)
Nah. As long as we can make coffee in space we will rule the stars.
@@davidtherwhanger6795 but please, please, please...no Starbucks!!! 🤣😅🤣
The main problem is the air pressure, and then gravity. The low pressure makes water boil at 40°C. But inside the habs should be no problem.
🚀🏴☠️🎸
@@schlirf This is why I think the Empire was the Good Guys in Star Wars. Alderaan was the headquarters of Starbucks in that galaxy.
#Tarkinwasjustified
@@MichaelWinter-ss6lxThe gravity is the only problem. But even that can probably just be handwaved with centrifuges. The real question to be answered is if we're going to export inequality from earth.
Isaac, congratulations on your adoption of your children.
Merry Christmas everybody!!
Merry Christmas 🎅 🎅
Ho Ho Ho
Glad to see your video on this subject, I saw another video recommended on the same topic and it was titled “How humans will never leave the solar system”. I can’t take videos that speak negatively of the future of space travel, I feel it’s folly to speak what we will be capable of going forward.
It’s true that a disaster might only set us back, but two things hurt us here. 1. We have lost a great deal of that old knowledge or for one person are impractical. For example, I may know how to make a candle, but if I am cold and starving, setting up a production line to make candles is unlikely. 2. Books are nearly gone as a useful knowledge conveyor. Withou power, the internet, dvd’s, magnetic tape, in fact all digital media will be unavailable.
,Grow cannabis and turn the leaves into paper, the chlorophyll and resin into ink and the fibers into clothing, the pulp hempcore into hempcrete insulation... oh and the seeds into food., so, next planet colonizing problem please.
Roh-oh!
With life extension and repair, you could maybe live at the stone age level if you wanted too. What if the heat and cold had little effect on your health? Instead of virtual reality, it would be your actual reality.
Books are nearly gone as a useful knowledge conveyor.
--highly inaccurate
@@kreek22I have reprints of books from a century or more ago.
There is always hope for the bright future.
Few will ever understand the powermove that is... naming your child Geometry. Well done, you magnificent genius.
They're adopted, he didn't just name a ~5-year-old human, haha.
I like giving kids aspirational names like Felicity, Honor, Hope, Measure, Courage, &c.
Geometry is an interesting choice. Was it Isaac and Sarah who chose that name, or did he come with it?
5:39 Diminishing returns doesn't double the speed and half the time especially as you approach light speed.
I think space exploration is about pushing humanity towards something! I like the early pioneers that settled in America!
Towards exporting smallpox and capitalism to another landmass?
Or the first humans to intentionally sail across the pacific. Lucky they didn't have to carry atmo also.
@@ULTRAOutdoorsmanthe Mayflower Compact was a Communist manifesto. It nearly got the colony starved to death. Every time humans went somewhere they kicked some other people out. Some got eaten. There are no indigenous peoples anywhere. And pioneers take some of those arrows too.
Thank you for the top tier content, as always. Merry Festivus and a happy new year
love your stuff issac
Heavy holidays. Thank you so much for creating your channel. It fills my life with some of joy for the future
The reason why you might be observing an uptick in space pessimism lately is potentially due to the recent release of the popular science book "A City on Mars" by Kelly and Zach Weinersmith, which dissects the practicalities of space colonisation in great detail. It has hundreds of positive ratings on Amazon and seems to have been doing the rounds. I have read about a quarter of it so far and honestly from what I've read the research and effort the authors have put into the book seems to be exceptional. Would love to hear your take on it, Isaac.
Indeed, great book. A bit focused on the short term (at least the bits I've read), but that's ok. I think the main goal of the book was to warn people that anyone saying "we'll have a self-sufficient colony of a million people on Mars in 20 years" is simply wrong about the scale of the challenge we face in making that a reality. And anyone saying "we can just nuke Mars and teraform it" is an idiot, as Isaac has pointed out. Just sending enough nitrogen to Mars to plump up the atmosphere and make the biosphere viable is a colossal task that would involve doing something crazy like freezing out the atmosphere of Venus and shipping it in chunks to Mars with trillions of cargo ships.
In short, I think the point of the book was, "Elon Musk is vastly oversimplifying things yet again, stop listening to him, he doesn't know what he's talking about." Which is true. Every time Musk opens up his mouth about space colonization I cringe, because he's so very wrong about so many fields within the topic. He has a bad case of some Dunning-Kruger-like effect, but he doesn't realize it. That's what happens when you surround yourself with yes-men and fire anyone who disagrees with you.
That said, I don't think the point of the book is to say that space colonization is impossible, or even that it shouldn't happen. Just that we need to aware of the scale of the problems, and direct our investments in people and technology accordingly. SpaceX is a good investment. Trying to throw a million people at Mars, then after the first 50k are already there finding out humans can't successfully breed in that environment, then cancelling the colonization effort, then restarting it later in a different way... that's a Musk way to do things, but it's also a wasteful and dumb way to do things. Both in terms of human lives wasted and of resources expended. "Move fast and break things" doesn't work when mass casualties are a likely result.
Some people who don't like Musk (which is anyone reasonable at this point) read the above and think that means we shouldn't support endevours like SpaceX. They're wrong. We should. We just need to be smart about who we support, and how we support them. Intelligent application of our finite resources will increase the speed of progress. Dumping all our money on Boeing won't. Seeing SpaceX succeed and then dumping all our money on them won't work either. Their ideas and company culture will work until they stop working, just like Boeing's did. We need to be nimble in our funding, and not drop all our eggs (or hopes) in one basket.
@@jasonwalker9471 A million people on Mars in two decades is absolutely possible, most of the technology needed is damn near off the shelf at this point or with a bit of adaptation of existing technologies. The bottleneck is the transport system, once a reliable and resuable heavy lift rocket platform is solved then it can be scaled VERY fast with enough investment and fast tracking of beauracracy. See Liberty Shipbuilding program, construction of three 14,400 tonne ships roughly every TWO DAYS, the vast majority of which was all done by hand. 2700 monster vessels in only 4 years. For comparison, Starship is probably going to end up coming in at 150-200 tonnes. Yes there is a difference in component complexity but automated manufacturing and scales of production drives these kind of costs down tremendously. Money issue for SpaceX is not an issue now that starlink is billions a year with subscriber counts only going up, numbers floating around expecting 30b+ in profits once market penetration is reached. Billions a year will buy you a whole load of starships once the production process is ironed out and you have vertically integrated most components. Everything is doable, the only real question about Mars is the gravity one. Is .38g enough for humans? We are about to find out shortly with lab mice in the ISS doing partial gravity experiments as we speak.
Thanks Isaac for all the great shows this year, have a wonderful Christmas and a brilliant New year, love & luck to you and your family. PEACE AND LOVE TO EVERYONE ❤❤.
merry christmas Isaak, merry christmas Sarah
thanks for being my sleep podcast since ... a weeelly long time ago
your calm narration and uplifting topics help me spool down every night
I once saw a movie titled conquest of space, about first mission to mars. In the movie the primary command module/return vehicle was mounted on a massive glider which they used to land on mars. After landing the crv was raised into launch position. My question is will this be a practical method?
Werner vonBraun: "Start into Space". 1950s book. With SpaceStation, Shuttle armada, Moon landing, and Mars landing. Complete with data and math. Very good book.
Land on Mars with a SpaceShuttle, take off the wings and you have a big V2. A V2 capable of holding a crew of 20. Thats what he thought was 'modular design': Continueous reuse of core elements.
🚀🏴☠️🎸
I don't think ANY method now available is "practical"! This channel is entirely about things that are not ENTIRELY impossible... It could be called the "Don't hold your breath" channel! Landing on another planet and then taking off again and just popping back into orbit is very common in the Sci-Fi world, but is far from being something we DO with rockets!
So how are we going to make it happen to become interplanetary, interstellar and intergalactic species?! What is your contribution, participation and action today?@@leonardpearlman4017
I’d love to live in a hollowed out asteroid circling earth at one of the Lagrange points.
Home! Home ooon, (Lag)range!
For the time being, that is the only way.
I’d settle for an orbit somewhere in the asteroid belt. Constructing a home from a lump of lifeless dust and ice is bound to appeal to some people.
Down and out on L5 Prime.
Lagrange points don’t orbit the earth, they orbit the sun… unless you meant lunar Lagrange points 😅
Merry Christmas space dude
Batteries and solar panels are still several orders of magnitude from being eco friendly. The materials both are made from are still costly and come from some places where the politics is not good. there are still multiple issues with recycling both. 200 miles straight up from where you are sitting and you are half way to anywhere from the Belt in. All it takes is Delta V.
A short movie called Wanderers from 2013 speaks to the need to see what is over the next hill splendidly in my opinion.
Merry Christmas to you and your family. Thank you for all the content you have provided over the years.
That first step is so hard, that I'm skeptical that it will ever happen. It's like having a potential business plan that requires a trillion dollars of investment and a hundred years of constant work, before you get any revenue.
I agreed with skeptical people thought it was impossible to cross oceans, climb mountains and conquer the skies! So why space travel
@@dumitrulangham1721 Animals have done all those listed things long before humans, crossing oceans on logs, or flying, or climbing a mountain. None of those barriers even remotely compares to the difficulties of space travel.
Merry Christmas to you and your family, Isaac.
Long time fan, quality entertainment. Have a happy New Year!
Merry Christmas, Isaac! As a fellow dad of 3, I salute you.
Merry Christmas 🎄
merry christmas
if we humans do not colonize space and explore the stars, we as a species fail. That's all there is to it
How? In what way? In comparison to what?
@@tonytaskforce3465 simply living and dying on this rock. Everything would be meaningless then.
Love it! Hence it is not if , should, could or would question. It is must statement!!@@izzyci
you people are too high on science fiction; space "colonization" is not possible in real life. You can invent magical device like warp drives but there's absolutely zero scientific basis to this. we know nothing goes faster than light; and even doing so would require an infinite amount of energy. Assuming even a completely not theorized technology that would allow for 10% of the speed of light it would take centuries to do reconnaissance on a potential habitable planet with a probe; let alone get there. humans; assuming they survive; simply don't have the attention span and you'd need 50 or 100 years to reach the destination at least; which mean no human would live long enough. The future of space exporation is automated probes and telescopes; if that's not exciting enough for you I don't know what is. Even a manned mars mission is very far away (and one could ask what would be the scientific point of it; or the point at all).
@@izzyci Dying on another rock: meaning achieved. Very shallow souled.
Merry Christmas, Issac! Great video!
Long and warm days in Australia right now but always need a great space video. Merry Christmas everyone. Please land on Mars to inspire my kids just like my parents generation was inspired by the moon landing.
Merry Christmas
I just want my own O'Neill Cylinder where my gf and our pets can live isolated from everyone else, only seeing others when friends and/or family visit.
You mean like you can do right here on earth?
@@The1stDukeDroklar pets may be more inclusive than you initially presumed. 🐳
Sorry to say this but that just sounds kinda pathetic. Humans interacting with eachother is the driving force behind progress.
@@Natogoon A lot of people live reclusive lifestyles.
Merry Christmas to you and your ohana, and congratulations on your adoptions! 🤙🏽🎄
Dishes to be done and a new vid drops right on time, bless you sir
I think a lot of the negativity and pessimism regarding space exploration is directly attributable to the public’s attitude towards modern billionaires. People like Musk and Bezos have become the face of futurism. In the past, space exploration was a national movement designed to foster optimism and unity. These days, a lot of people see it as an extremely expensive and unproductive hobby for bored billionaires.
In the past it was a front for the development and production of weapons of mass destruction and intelligence gathering. Using 100% taxpayer money. Now it's at least in part privately funded, and what people do with their own money is their decision.
You have a very distorted picture of the world. Wake up Zoomer.
Yeah, if it's these guys(billionaires) leading space exploration, why bother? There's no benefit for regular folk.
Merry Christmas Isaac and Fam!! 🎄
Cold cuts, lemonade, and space pilgrims!
Childhoods end, you've got to move out of your mother's house at some point or you never really grow up. I think it is not a question as to if we can, or if it would be preferable. We must and should. This planet is a paradise perfect for fledging new* species.
Its time to move out. Not tomorrow, but soon.
What troubles me in regard to space colonization is not things like technology, economics, or politics, those are all constraints we can outgrow. My concern is the universal trend towards losing interest in having children as societies reach the level of industrialization necessary for large scale expansion into space. It seems like anyone who CAN colonize space no longer has a growing population that can spare the people to do so. Maybe someone will develop the sort of life extension technology that Isaac frequently proposes or AI will be our proxies, but as things stand, I can't help being afraid that we'll solve the Fermi Paradox by fizzling out on one little planet.
Personally, I am optimistic about the human future mainly because we can now map out a plausible trajectory towards a sustainable global human population in the low billions, and because of the growth of opportunity in the lives of women that is driving that demographic transition. But while humans decrease in number, I expect AIs and robots to increase in number, more than making up for losses in human labor. I doubt that biological humans, as we are now, are suited for space colonization because of the limitations of our physiology for dealing with conditions outside Earth's biosphere. But we will give rise to robots and AIs and synthetic biologies, and we may change our own biology to something posthuman that is able to live longer and travel farther.
I share your concern about people losing interest in having children.
Reproduction technologies such as uterine transplants and artifical womb is going to pave way for human settlements on other celestial bodies. Combining this with genetics and cybernetics, i think there's going to be a population boom of transhumans even if the biological baseline human population is in decline.
Another great video. You keep the topic both interesting and informative
Merry Christmas, Isaac
Thanks for your work on this Isaac. Interesting stuff.
Can I request that people from the USA remember that other countries exist - and other hemispheres? Down here in the southern hemisphere, Isaac, the days are getting longer leading up to Christmas, not getting shorter. (But, incidentally, that has, in my estimation, negligible effect on feeling of stress or being "down." Such feelings at this time of the year probably arise mainly due to the disparity between the feeling of fun and self-worth that we had at Christmastime as kids, and comparing that to the lack of magic and fun, and, in fact, to the high level of responsibility without much sign of achieving our life-goals that we thought we might have under control by the time we were adults. Most of that isn't even "Keeping up with the Jones's" as you say, but merely fighting to survive (for many folks,) let alone feeling that things are in hand and we have many good plan Bs to take care of downturns in various areas of our personal scorecards. All of this is, in my opinion, a natural result of Capitalism running to its natural end - which will probably be our natural end, and, in fact, as such, is my personal answer to the Fermi Paradox!)
Short-term (relatively) duration stays on the moon's surface for science and eventually tourism & industry. That's in the next 100-200 years. Though the moon will be the first permanent settlement, t's never permanent for the individual. While we could land someone on Mars in the next 50 years, viable commuter flights won't become possible for at least another 1500 years.
Why isn't being out there because we can be enough, exploring the galaxy and universe, learning and seeing firsthand what's out there instead of just looking through a telescope or space probes. I would love to be able to live the remaining years of my life out there in the galaxy.
Merry Christmas to you Isaac.
Dude, we can't even stop killing each other for the Olympic Games anymore. I don't think we're going to make it to space.
Happy Holidays!
We don’t really have a choice. When people complain that we shouldn’t because earth has problems I remind them that sun will cook the planet so either we waste time doing essentially nothing or we save all of life as we know it. It’s kinda our cosmic duty to seed and foster life as the only ones we know that can , unless octopuses have hidden space ships
Why? Why is life so valuable?
The Universe was doing fine before life appeared in our plant and will continue business as usual once we go extinct and our sun dies.
Because its the universe experiencing itself,@@carlosdgutierrez6570 . If thats your outlook on life why bother even eating? The earth did fine before you and will do fine after you? Im American so the idea of "give up and die" just aint what we do, not only that what right have you to sentence ALL OF life to death? Even more so if we dont find life elsewhere. If you dont think life is special then I genuinely dont know what to tell you aside from to try some shrooms or DMT to mellow you out. Its like how we have a negative reaction to men that standby while a woman or child is being attacked its about using strength to protect life so it can go on to create its own life etc but replace strength with science
Yeah and here's the thing folks, even if we map every rock in the solar system bigger than a car, interstellar objects are still a threat. They can enter our range of detection with too short a time to do anything about it.
A bigger threat is probably long period comets from the Oort Cloud. They are not NEOs so we won't find them in surveys and they are moving fast in the inner solar system, so when we find them we won't have much advance notice if they are on a collision trajectory.
Have a merry christmas Isaac and everybody.
Happy holidays, all!
Merry Christmas. This was great!
Same to you!
We will. Eventually. We will also take our problems with us when we do.
If we are Free, yes!
Congrats on the formal adoption, Isaac!
Thank you!!
Our genus homo sapiens sapiens and our descendants are destined to spread out explore and occupy every nook and cranny that is available to us in the universe and maybe beyond .
I feel like there is also an economic incentive to colonize space. If the price of going to space keeps getting cheaper then it’s only a matter of time before someone starts to take advantage of that
“Home is where the heart is, but the stars are made of latinum.” 75th Rule of Acquisition.
Not without FTL travel.............
I live in a cabin in the woods, a throwback in our modern civilization. Yet I dream of the time when we are considered the ancients. A time of abundance and exploration unfathomable to us. Humanity has never known bounds. We will always strive for more. More than we can currently dream of.
I personally believe that we must expand in order to attain larger amounts of energy for prolongation of our survival towards the Heat Death, basically, functioning like how life has evolved to function
Thank you for what you said about your inner scorecard. I really needed to hear that. ♥
I am pessissmistic due to out economic system. Colonizing in space requires foresight, investment, and short term deficits. Our economic system cannot tolerate anything less than short term line goes up everything else be damned
Don't forget a damn good reason. Doing stuff just because it's cool works when the investment is small, but when you need ludicrous levels of know-how, planning, resources and money you need a hell of a reason. Like gaining the upper hand in the Cold War, for instance.
Even sending three (3) sail ships westward to brave the wide ocean required the promise of a shorter trade route that would solve all the financial problems of the Spanish Crown. No other civilization in our knowledge did anything similar, before. And we're speaking of sending 3 ships on a journey where they were supposed to return. Most likely empty-handed, according to the smarter people of the age, but return.
Space is hard... really, really hard, harder than anything humans have ever faced.
I expect the first aboriginals some 70,000 years ago had the same opinion of Australia.
Humans can be mighty when they try to do something.
We will colonise everything. We are destined to rule the galaxy. But first...
We will eventually colonize space.
Because people will keep talking about how impossible it is...
What motivates us quicker than shutting up naysayers? :)
sure people will modify the laws of physics with the sheer will of their mind. or the power of love or something.
@@valdir7426 Sure.. or just use tech like with everything else in human history... :)
@@EveryoneWhoUsesThisTV my point exactly; tech is not magic; you can't bend the laws of physics to your will; so you can't "colonize" space
@@valdir7426 Why is that, specifically?
We have the tech to start colonizing space now... :D
If the human species wasn't as lazy as it is stupid, we'd be doing it already as a matter of course...
But we have a species that would rather sit in the noob zone punching rats, than go looking for real adventure.... :D
@@EveryoneWhoUsesThisTV we have the tech to fly a craft through space. we can send an automated craft that would take 75 000 years to reach the nearest star. that's about all the "colonizing" we can do with our current tech. Assuming we get incredible untheorized tech that go to 1% the speed of light we're looking at "only" 4500 years to reach alpha centauri (I'm not even talking about finding a remotely habitable planet). going faster means that any space molecule will pulverize the ship. It would have to LAST this long; and then send back data to a world that would probably not exist anymore. Do you see where I'm going with this? The most likely scenario is human will be extinct long before being able to even reach another star with an automated probe. Maybe they can try sending one and nobody will see the outcome anyway.
I do find humanity as a whole doesn't recognise the importance of us becoming multi-planetary. I think if we were more forward thinking we could already have space habitats by now. Instead we'd rather channel trillions into entertainment
200 years from now I would expect technology to be amazing.
10:15 the way the astronaut climbs that ladder
Merry Christmas mr Arthur
Merry Christmas 🎁
Androids sitting in front of a laptop typing on a keyboard, talk about wasting time and energy 🤓
Hinges on if we manage to build AGI without destroying ourselves.
We*
We are going through the Fermi paradox each on our own, ancient Egypt picked up on this the feather 🪶 vs 🫀 the heart, to survive you have to be light of heart and heavy in creation….. otherwise when you hour of judgment comes it’s definitely back to the black board 💛💎
Hi Arthur. I have been writing down my thoughts on this subject and thought you might be interested in some comments. 1) we are part of the Fermi Paradox which means... if we don't populate space than it is likely others won't 2) the place to start your understanding of the subject is human migration theory which has been studied for more than 100 years (my analysis of the subject suggests humans won't migrate into space however that doesn't mean we won't spend time there) 3) the way to avoid extinction from an asteroid impact is migration to the ocean floor; the technology required to live in space is the same as that for living under the water and it is far easier an cheaper 4) we don't need to live in or travel through space to explore it; exploration is mostly about gathering information and that can be done remotely without having to deal with frame of reference issues caused by general relativity 5) I think the most likely human future is the construction of ever larger remote sensing systems to study exoplanets; a satellite swarm orbiting the sun can would have an aperture large enough to see detail on the surface of a remote planet without having to travel to the planet.
Explain the satellite swarm thing more?
@@Cherubim6166 The best telescopes on Earth (visible and radio) are arrays of instruments. The number of instruments determines sensitivity and the space between the instruments determines the aperture size. Scientist's want to put arrays on the back side of the moon because all the noise from Earth would be blocked by the moon and IR telecopies will also work there. Currently we don't have technology to combine images from multiple satellites but it's not theoretically impossible so I think it will be the next step after the moon.
Fantastically well written. Thank you.
Isaac - another excellent video. I have a minor complaint. At ~12:48 you talk about spreading out 100 lightyears, 60,000 stars. Remember, every star will have asteroids and comets - excellent resources for building space habitats, O'Neill Colonies. Beware of planetary chauvinism.
Ever want to buy your whole neighborhood, kick everyone out and redesign town to your liking? Yeah, we're gonna colonize space. Our local system at least.
We chose to go to the moon in a decade and do the other things, not because they were easy but because they were hard. We can do it again.
The only way this could happen would be through a rogue action, someone going against the current trend of only focusing on orbital communication/espionage/weapon development and not risking anyting more out of fear that other nations will try to sabotage your efforts, making it a waste of resources, or that the colony will decide to not obey you anymore, also a waste of resources.
Mining on the moon is already possible, but the devices put in place to allow resources from the moon to be sent out to orbit or back to Earth would also allow them to be shot as well. A bunch of titanium plates sent to Earth is a valuable cargo but a bunch of titanium plates shot at Earth or at a satellite is a weapon It could happen intentionally or by accident, but who wants to take that risky first gamble? That first step is the harder one to take.
Personally, I think we should've taken the risk 30 years ago be going for that frontier, unfortunelly we are kept on a leash.
Congrat's on the adoption and a yr at the NSS!
Did I hear correct, one is named Geometry?
Those pictures/plates, top right at 18:55 is really cool; where would I find it?
There is one more aspect of space colonization not discussed or rarely discussed - rouge planets not tethered to a star or star system. These will make transit across the galaxy difficult. Also adding to are possibilities of capture and or mining with these also being colonized. It is an added wonder of possibilities as there are billions of such rouge planets passing between stars but still held in our galaxy. But we may find that the void between Galaxies may also have such planets being islands in that not so void of space.
seems like we need to develop some centrifugal force habitats to determine whether living in space is feasible.
I do think we can and should colonize Mars as well as other planets or moons.
Something is missing in all those videos: the timescale of human technology. We talk about millions of years, what about 100 years steps?
I am not saying we will have teleportation or any Clarketech by the end of 2100's, but I expect huge leaps in longevity and the tech involved with it.
Robotics, cybernetics, CRISPR, as well as extremely cheap energy production. Mining is space have the least environmental risk, so we can build a lot.
What has hampered space exploration was the human factor and the launch price factor.
SpaceX and I expect others to clear up the latter. But the former is the most complicated, what with life support, gentle acceleration, extra living space, food and recycling, radiation shielding, psychologic and social designs, and of course risk management.