Why billionaire investor Ken Langone thinks the U.S. is already in a recession
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- Опубліковано 26 чер 2022
- Ken Langone, co-founder of Home Depot, joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to discuss the U.S. economy, inflation, the Federal Reserve and more. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: cnb.cx/2NGeIvi
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Why are stocks on the verge of a bear market?
I think many people are finding out that "risk tolerance" is not a psychological issue but a tangible attribute of their portfolio. If you owned stocks you intended to sell in the next ten years, then you may have had high personal psychological risk tolerance but your portfolio had very low real risk tolerance. The suggestion is that people shouldn't panic and sell when the market goes down locking in their losses. But if you will need the money now or in the near future you really have no choice unless you are willing to bet the market will go up before you need to sell.
Your comments do support the need for diversification and strategic investment planning before being in the midst of market turmoil as we are experiencing now. Anyone needing money now or in the near future should not be invested in equities to begin with. The longer your horizon, the more risk and the higher percentage of your portfolio can be in equities. In 10 years, it's highly likely the S&P will be substantially higher than it is now. In the near term, perhaps unlikely. I Bonds, FDIC savings accounts and the like can provide safety for emergency funds, retirement living expenses and other short-mid term needs.
@@AyaanFarax223 What if someone would like to start just with concepts of stock trading? What is your recommendation?
@@cristinabaker5292 I have my funds well diversified by using trade signals from my investment advisor Karen Marie Emma a US registered CFA who you might have heard about or seen in the CNBC news and tbh it's been a huge relief. Highly diversified portfolio, mind blowing earnings and little to no engagement at all on my part.
@@AyaanFarax223 Interesting.. I'd love to start moderate and maybe advance to aggress!ve. Do you just give her your money or copy manually? I have a full time job. And what does Karen Marie Emma charge for her services?
Ones upon a time Roman Empire was also great. We all know how that ended...
They started issuing cryptodenarius..
@@thomasauslander3757 lol
It's different this time. With globalization, US dollar being the reserve currency, oil being traded in USD only, the might of the US army. The Roman empire didn't have all that.
@@JJs_playground you live in the world of fantasy your country has half the economy it had at the end of the second world war and when the dollar
De-dollarization has already begun
“You don’t get everything you want, I don’t get everything I want but together we will have more.” Both sides have forgotten how to compromise.
...hard to compromise with people trying to overthrow the government. Admit that, and we can start trusting the GOP a little. Trust...and verify.
What “sides” are you referring to. This country is systemically divided to the CORE for Multiple reasons. Nothing to do with pop politics. Pop politics is simply how the American disease reveals itself.
@@AudiTTQuattro2003 pretty convenient to forget about the CHAZ and 6 months of rioting, ignoring one sides flaws and demonizing the other side does nothing productive, I agree on the trusting part though, neither side trusts the other.
@@ryanschweinsburg296 Keep it simple. No trusts you.
Dwight Vietzke , if you think that more than 10% of the GOP thought it was a good idea to overthrow the government, then you are mistaken and still part of the problem. Just like not all of the Left are antifa members that want to defund the police and silence (usually conservative) free speech on university campuses.
This guy gets it 100% agree our country being divided makes us weaker
Why is he dividing then and not understanding the need for improved infrastructure!
Until those fomenting division around very real issues of concern can be openly discussed, debated, and addressed forthrightly, without the fear of reprisal, _being canceled,_ there can be no resolution.
@@nicopono1 .. "infrastructure" is nothing but a buzzword. It's been used by corrupt politicians to buy votes to support kickbacks and to exchange political favors to gain personal power. Their favorite"infrastructure " projects are just a tool to them. That's why you do not see real improvements to the infrastructure. Even after spending 100s of billion$.
@@tmcche7881 right wing idiot alert 🚨
@@nicopono1 it probably doesnt make him any money thats why lol
The threat is our own government and politicians
Absolutely
List to this guy. I have listened to him for 40 years. He's a top-down thinker. We need to hear more from guys like him.
Did you listen to him during last election? He wanted to get rid of evil and bring Joey baby. Now, he's saying we are in bad shape? Do you ever think for yourself?
Always good to hear your thoughtful and logical analysis. So a Dead Cat Bounce is sorta that 1 small surge when it hits "a" bottom, but after it comes back down, it settles into a new lower bottom? Because i think I remember the term. As traders we can still make good money 😀,I trade with Bobby Lucas, his skills set is exceptional. I am already growing my 2.2 btc to 9 btc.
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That's his handle up there 👆
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First good guest they’ve had in years.
Leon Cooperman is another good guest
He's a patriot 👍 Godbless America
A common enemy we can all come together on? Billionaires. It's a bit silly hearing a man as wealthy as him saying "we don't get everything we want" lol. Us working class people don't get everything we want, you mean? We will never stop being as divided as we are as long as there is such an extreme income and wealth gap in the U.S.
Nothing has changed in the last 10-20 years except the number of whiners, give it a rest
@@therealbuba If you think nothing has changed in the last 20 years you are utterly delusional. The "whining" will only become more and more frequent until things change, so you better get used to it buddy.
Getting billoners on air is a mistake CNBC they are completely detached from avg family struggles
But they understand more about macroeconomics than someone who thinks DoorDash is a good use of their money.
@@kylesmith8128 did you hear that, Sammy? The problem is avocado toast and DoorDash, not the system being set up to enrich the wealthy and screw over the working class.
Nothing like a billionaire telling you "you can't get everything you want, I can't get everything I want, but if we work together we'll have more than we have now"
give it a rest.
What’s your point? Lol
Seriously! Like this guy even remembers what it's like to not have everything he wants at all times. So tone deaf.
@@JCS_fan you miss the point
My exact thoughts.
He’s to the point and tells it like it is.
but is he right?
No one can be completely right when predicting the future. I think it's more about the mind set, willing to accept the realities of a current situation and moving forward from there. Stay long and strong
@@mr.financial , The the longer you wait, the longer things change to the positive.
Two vocal fryers needing a cough drop.
How petty do we get? That’s the state of America right now.
Omg CNBC had a real interview!
So build back better would cause inflation, not the fact the fed bailout all the stock or leaving rate so low creating stupid assets like nft, creating a bubble out of housing. But fixing roads and fighting climate change by building better infrastructure would cause more inflation.
When he first said it i was like wait what? But now that u word it this way it makes me wonder even more what he meant by that 🤔
Elderly billionaire? Why doesn't he give his money away since he has very little time left on earth?
why should he ? he worked hard for that money! he did not steal it, he has created value for society, so why should he ??
@@reitroka8369 'He worked hard for that money' Sure he did, bud...
Becky does the best interviews she LETS THE GUEST TALK! That’s why Warren Buffet always has her interview him very classy.
Becky is one of the best CNBC has to offer, if not the best. I completely agree.
@@kylesmith8128 She's one of the best of ALL networks; not just CNBC. She did not cut him off once which is so rare these days
@@888strummer Yeah totally, but I don't watch many other networks in the USA. Our non-financial news is just trash.
Insightful Video Kevin. I was really hopeful of my investments this year, but all my plans has been disoriented, I've been studying the market crashes and I realized some investors made millions from the recent 2020 recession and I was wondering if such success rate could be achieved in this present market
@Makin Junaid Baz If you trade with the proper preparation and technics. You can beat the market several times
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@Makin Junaid Baz I just looked up this person out of curiosity, and surprisingly she seems really proficient. I thought this was just some overrated BS, I appreciate this.
@@EmmanuelMonforte49439 lol
FINALLY someone says TRUTH!!! Ken speaking the epitome of common sense and yet sounds like a genius cause no one else is talking about unity. 👍
Well said! 100% Agree
Decked
"pull together" yet he wants more money lol
Exactly
I do not vote democrat. But I agree with him . Work together for the benefit of America. Freedom is everything.
Freedom is at odds with security, and I assume you like some level of security. Freedom and security will always clash.
When you're determine towards achieving a goal, you have to be proactive and start from a little. Some months ago I was determined towards achieving the standard I am today. I drew the map and choose the pattern to follow. I came in contact with an online investment platform that guided me. I took the bold step and initiated an investment in the Crypto stock market. I made 16.6BTC in just 3 weeks from the 2.4BTC I invested. Although, I'll still striving to acquire more, but I'm thankful to Margaret who guided me through out the process
The common enemy is stupidity... and who perpetuates that? Even if we come together, you can't build on idiocy and delusion.
love this guy! hahaha first time i've seen him.
You also loved it when trumpy wanted to go to Mars and then probe Uranus with his mushroom 🍄
@@nicopono1 go away rino
HAHAHAHA! THIS is what you love?
Well said
“Stocks trade on reported earnings.” In the late 70s and early 80s, the difference between inflation-adjusted earnings (and economic statistics) and nominal numbers made weakness look strong. Company takeovers then entered their heyday. Corporations and the economy were weaker than reported numbers indicated.
Well said
Very true, together we are strong. I wish all Americans would come together
I agree. I only spend money on food and necessities.
Guest: “The enemy within is divisiveness.”
Host: “Pandemic should have been our World War II moment.”
Always remember : The consumer is king in America and will not be manipulated, coerced, or exploited.
Twin city St. Paul still in Minnesota ?
Thanks for the info, my greatest worry is how do we recover from all these economic and global troubles? Especially with the increase in gas price, inflation and recession on a high odd
Over the last five years, the market generated an average return above 19%. Even with 15% inflation, you come out with a 4% growth in real returns. On top of that, if you own properties, inflation pumps up your property value a lot which can make borrowing a lot.
@@stephaniestella213 Recessions are gold mines if you only look at the past 100 years, but they have been a major cause of conflict and disaster for as long as human civilization has been. If you don't have a bunker full of food and supplies, don't go rejoicing. Recessions are a dreaded affliction, and we still don't know how this one will pan out.
@@thelmaroberts9935 < I overcame my market apprehension and had the good fortune to meet financial advisor EILEEN RUTH SPARKS on the CNBC business news show. She helped me grow my portfolio from $18,368 to $62,820 in just eight weeks, and she's still going strong with her unstoppable methods.
Working together is how we should be. I totally agree with him.
What Ken Langone is saying is that we have a big inflation and that federal reserve has to raise the interest rates and that is true so SPY and DIA and QQQ and IWM is over bought I agree with Ken because he is a very smart trader I had been following him for a long time
Outstanding suit & tie combo today, Mr. Langone.
This is unbelievably powerful.
Wow he is out of touch
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Great interview. Langone is one sharp dude. Love his mindset. Btw Becky is looking as lovely as ever. She has been aging like a fine wine. Classy, smart and beautiful.
Amen Brother 🙏 🙏
2 weeks ago we had a housing shortage ( ???) get your story straight
It is easy to fix this. Just add to part about price stability that FED chair looses job if inflation goes above 5% and if inflation is above 2.5% for 24 consecutive months. You will never hear about transitory BS about inflation after that.
And with 0 notice days.
Based on C-level bonuses this method works very well with employees.
Not.sure why biden reappointed powell
How about get inflation under control or head chopped off lol
bunch of battered wives in the comments section lol. Billionaire investor who made a living ripping off the little guy comes on and talks about how inflation hates average americans, hilarious.
Ken for President!
28 % Gain Week. * ALPP... Alpine 4 Holdings. U.S. Manufacturing. Revenue Up 195 % in 1st qt 2022. 11 subsidiaries.
Whats that rattle noise in the background when Ken Lagone is talking? Its like a shaker noise? Wtf is that?
I LIKE THIS GUY!!!!!!!!
Who is the guy Ken references at 2:32, Dan Vruckamille?.. "gets it more right, more of the time than anyone I know"
Stan Druckenmiller
@@morebullishthantomlee : Thanks!
He is correct
so truuue
There's an African proverb thst says “When there is no enemy within, the enemy outside can do you no harm.”
Government needs inflation to prepare for the next generation. Like 70's inflation allowed for our wars and excess.
This is our 70's. This is our decade of inflation to prepare for spending on next generation's wars and excess.
Take it like a man.
When Whirlpool and Best Buy are undervalued is a sign of a recession,
currently they are undervalued.
5 yr. treasuries will bounce today off 3.25% yield. Smart money is locking in rates at this level. I am smart!
definitely didn't expect the crypto market to run up like it did this week. I hoped it was gonna be those low low prices for at least a couple months. So I take it you don't think this was the bottom? for crypto anyway? Appreciate the videos and you spreading your knowledge🍻
It’s true! Many investors try swinging for the fences on high-risk growth coins, without building a strong foundation first. If you can handle the volatility & invest in them, there is nothing wrong with that. Most just can’t handle the volatility.
I always keep emergency cash for expenses and more to take advantage of dips.
Market fluctuations are to be expected. ''Katrina Marie Hanks'' is a good coach who has prepared me for times like this, kept emergency funds for buying the dips. You should only be taking out what can be taken out during downturns. Do not be tempted to sell. All that you invested over time (esp during upward trends) will be lost.
Except there were no N95+ masks to be worn, Mr Langone. The cloth masks only stop the gobbers, not the aerosols. Maybe important for the symptomatic. Yet, there is no study that demonstrated efficacy by wearing cloth masks. "Follow the science." What was the real purpose demanding cloth masks.
Mr Langone, put your money where your mouth is, focused on the manufacture of personal protective equipment, especially N95+ masks, within the United States.
( lets work together ) says the guy have billions 🙄
No idea what the interest is in whether we happen to be in or out of a recession. It's meaningless. We're in the neighborhood. The question is which things are inflating or deflating, the rate, potential risks.
What's really frustrating about the start is he crapped on infrastructure investments and cheered tax reductions. So all we did is give free liquidity to businesses and did ZERO to address our infrastructure that's 70yrs old 🙄
But thank God they didn't make it worse by investing in citizen needed infrastructure and only gave us free liquidity to buy up all the real estate and farm land 🤷♂️
human beings are not infrastructure. Propaganda and torturing the meaning of words to coerce hand outs is dishonest
Just remember infrastructure is: the basic physical and organizational structures and facilities (e.g. buildings, roads, power supplies) needed for the operation of a society or enterprise. That is it , not all this other ridiculous nonsense that progressives include. And FYI, the government needs to stop spending money, or should I say stop financing wars all over the world.
@@cg5648 your definition is correct. Your claim liberals include a lot of fluff, I will also acknowledge as true.
However, my point is about 2017-19 when the country was strong, we decided to use that strength to give corporations money back which they in turn used for stock buybacks. How about the liquidity crisis of 2019 where the Fed issued a massive corporate bond buying spree?? This isn't liberals, that's a gop controlled govt pushing trickle down reganomics to the detergent of us all
The ignoring the part that enriched me to try and blame a liberal law THAT NEVER PASSED is the definition of deflection, a logical fallacy 🤷♂️
He didn’t “crap on infrastructure”. He brought up the (obvious) point that printing even more money to spend last year would have made inflation (our top economic problem currently) much worse. The reason why his “we’re all in this together” mantra doesn’t work (excepting wars), is because dumb people (mainly) can be pandered to and they’ll buy virtually anything someone with a pleasing emotional message puts before them. I didn’t hear that all the Real Estate in the USA was bought up? Sounds scary!! More brains, less cliches…….
@@davidm1411 if he cared about inflation and people's understanding he'd of highlighted WHY it's here vs saying, oh look at the boogey man over there that never passed.
Notice he skipped the part where he got access to virtually free money to throw into the markets like real estate, you know, creating price inflation... 🤷♂️
talks about the BBB plan but not the 9t printed by the fed over the last few years?
Glad to hear he still thinks US is still thinks it's a great country..
Actually he's referring to the past history.
News flash we were always divided
What should people agree on:
Actual living wages for all
Increased salary as bonuses of board members and CEOs increase
Higher taxes for corporations
Bigger taxes for rich people
I am new to the stock market. Every stock that I bought so far, I was out of luck because I bought them when they were expensive. I feel I missed on all the stock opportunities so far for the tech stocks.I believe having 75K yearly income would be a good investment so I want to plug all my savings into the stock market. I know this sounds a bit dull but I would like to know if I should learn investing or let somebody else (more capable like a FA) do it for me? Please share your thoughts. I am kind of tired of searching for a good stock to buy and loosing all the good opportunities :(
@Dr Benny That’s impressive! How could someone go about getting investment guidance from a coach like that. Would you mind sharing your coach's Info?
@Dr Benny I just looked up this person out of curiosity, and surprisingly she seems really proficient. I thought this was just some overrated BS, I appreciate this
I run a large corporation. Rising intrest rates are a blessing to me because all my competition are to small to stay in business as rates go higher. What does this mean? It means that we will be the only one left in the end and we can raise prices as high as we want. so if you think inflation is going to go down because rates go higher, your wrong, in fact inflation is going much, much higher before this is over.
Great leaders by force of will, intelligence, moral strength, humility, selflessness and empathy can gain consensus - Look at what we have had for 'leadership' for a long time, and why we are here is no mystery.
Food inflation is going to be a lot worse when the harvest comes around, and will continue into next year, as a result of relying too much on foreign countries for our food and energy
lol the fart
In the USSR there was already something similar 30 years ago, prepare great America for perestroika
Recession? My chain smoking neighbor and his wife and kids still afford to chain smoke cigarettes and hookah 24/7 behind my walls. My kids and I are smoking second-hand hookah and cigarettes 24/7. My home smells and feels like a nightclub and hookah lounge, feel free to come to my home if recession wipes you out of your money to buy cigarettes. It doesn't stop my Syrian immigrant neighbors from buying their tobacco and feeding their teenage kids hookhah 24/7. Smoking is like drinking water to these people and their young kids. It's disgusting. If you are a lawyer who wants to make extra money, represent me to sue my HOA and my Syrian neighbor who has a cash business and i doubt he reports his taxes honestly. I will let you have 100% of whatever settlement that the court will grant me if you win my case.
He argued that COVID pales in comparison to WW2, she argued that COVID was WW2.
Here for Becky ;)
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The problem is that each side’s extreme views have taken over the public coverage. Left : everyone should want to be trans or they’re evil. Right : we care about life so much that we’ll disallow abortions but still make it easy for a teenager to walk into a retailer and buy a military style machine gun. I think the majority of people would agree that these views don’t make any sense. So what happens when one side appears to be pushing such an extreme view onto others? The opposing view gets stronger and responds…and on and on and on…this is where we are
He must have been listening to Peter schiff.
Montgomery Burns
dude is right
All the ancient civilizations: we are the greatest nation on earth, period
Do an account of how much money went to big banks and Wallstreet. Tax the rich. The problem is the thieves. Dots connected.
Just withdraw my first $700k profit after my first trade with a reputable company days ago, my hope was actually restored in bitcoin investment now currently grown my Bitcoin portfolio
Someone come collect their grandpa...
breakeven rate, which forecasts average annual inflation over the next five years of 2.82%. The metric measures the difference between rates for five-year Treasury notes and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, no recession this year or next.
The signaling effects from prices are meaningless in a manipulated market.
let's get together so that I can make some more billions and not pay taxes
Something tells me this guy is in touch with current reality. Listen to old money. They have history. They can sense it. They are diverse. Turn off Tik Tok, this guy knows his s 🤯
In touch with current reality my butt. This man hasn't lived in the real world for a very long time.
@@JCS_fan you don't think this man has a clue what he's talking about
He’s swimming in money so easy to say.
inflation right now is under reported. If we're not in a recession's very likely in the year 12 months or so.
But in the long term, if you've got money invested in the stock market LEAVE IT THERE!
The largest increases in the stock market come soon after the largest losses, so if you sell now you'll most probably loose out on the gains.
And remember - invest regularly - dollar cost averaging means you'll be better off when stocks do rise : )
And NO ONE can predict when stocks will rise or fall.
Yepp..dollar cost averaging to the rescue😂
Bagholder avenue 😂 do you have a background in finance in the slightest? Giving financial advice without a liscense is a federal crime.
Anyone who thinks we are in recession now is wrong. We haven’t seen nothing yet. The recession will be long and painful, and hasn’t yet started. Long term, I mean, 5 years or more, I am very positive.
Well-said. Hire me and 1000 other educated Americans and we will fashion a new party of moderates who do not wear a blue or a red shirt.
When you're determine towards achieving a goal, you have to be proactive and start from a little. Some months ago I was determined towards achieving the standard I am today. I drew the map and choose the pattern to follow. I came in contact with an online investment platform that guided me. I took the bold step and initiated an investment in the Crypto stock market. I made 16.6BTC in just 3 weeks from the 2.4BTC I invested. Although, I'll still striving to acquire more, but I'm thankful to Margaret who guided me through out the process
I think it's just a worry that inflation may take a while to get under control. Realistically with 8.5% inflation long rates should be in the double digits. The reason they're still below 3% is there's still this belief that the inflation is transient. If there are signs inflation is going to hang around longer than the bond market is currently expecting, all hell is going to break loose and it's going to vaporize the stock market. Watch inflation indicators very carefully
The world suffering both recession and hyperinflation at the same time. What a time!
@@PhilipMurray251 BTW not to come across as too bearish... if we see signs in the near future that inflation is moderating then we can get a big rally in stocks. My crystal ball just isn't telling me which one it is yet
@@Patriciacraig599 Being a new trader, I'll cherish the idea of being educated more on how the yield correlates with the market and inflation. If you could be kind to share some materials I can read, Will be much appreciated. thank you.
@@Robertgriffinne From the little I learnt from my advisor who's a pundit, Inflation mostly affects stock yields in that, as inflation erodes the value of a dollar of earnings, it makes it difficult for the market too gauge the current value of the companies that make up market indexes. On the flip side, inflation favors value stocks (if you know how to take advantage of this in the market). I gain always from inflation because of the picks my advisor makes. I hope this helps.
@@Natalieneptune469 this is honestly encouraging, because I've always stuck with the growth stocks and loss has been a common occurrence in austere times like this. If you don't mind, who's the advisor you work with? will love to reach out for a rescue.
WE MUST ALL PRAY TO DONALD TRUMP!!!! ONLY HE CAN ENSURE THIS RAIN EVENT WILL ACTUALLY VERIFY!!! ONLY DONALD TRUMP CAN MAKE IT RAIN!!!! ONLY TRUMP CAN SAVE HOUSTON FROM DROUGHT!!! WE MUST BOW DOWN AND WORSHIP DONALD TRUMP!!! WE MUST PLACE A CROWN OF GLORY ON HIS HEAD!!!!!!! DONALD TRUMP IS GOD ALMIGHTY!!!!!!
#standrunkenmiller
why can't we have people like this for POTUS?
Well he defiantly fits the age requirement as we only elect old grandpas these past 6 years (and most likely going forward)
...because the idiot supported Trump, who literally tried to overthrow the government.
Because people vote for the most charismatic liars, not the reasonable ones.
Plenty of reasonable people run every election cycle and they rarely make it out of the primaries. The last one was Mitt Romney and look at how he couldn't get elected.
Because you wanted Trump
Gop will end us all
Even with the fluctuation in the economy, I'm so excited I've been earning $45,000 from my $10,000 investment every 10days.
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Walmart bought cheap ,they stock warehouses with enough merchandise for year ,which will pay considering how much prices went up .So they bought cheap ,have big inventory, and making triple profits!Good bissnes model for rest to follow
BIllionaire: "I don't get what I want." ==> Ask the single parent, who needs 2 jobs to pay all bills and feed their children. USA great country on the back of the poor & middle class.
1-Don’t get bill u cannot afford.
2.don’t live to work, work to live
3. Marry a woman , who does mot want to spend money
I gave you the 3 columns for your wealth foundation .
@@johnnytolengo742 I live in Europe, Germany, Johnny Tolengo. We have better Social System than you in the US and very good salaries ;)
In the US the rich don't care and exploit the poor and middle-class, see Amazon, Fast food restaurants etc. Not enoug Dollars for a living due to your neo-liberal, ignorant, destructive system. God save America, LOL
HEADED INTO AN INFLATIONARY DEPRESSION AS THE FEDERALRESERVE NOTE GOES TO ZERO !!!
He has a brain like Joe Boy . Shop at Lowes now .