👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm 🏈 Live NFL Odds: wt.buzz/nfl-odds 📺 Rest of NFL Week 11 Videos: wt.buzz/2024nfl11 🏈 More Free NFL Picks: www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NFL 🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for NFL Week 11? Let us know in the comments below 👇
What do you think about George Pickens 50+ rec yards Najee Harris 50 rush yards Russel Wilson 150+ pass yards For Thursday’s browns vs Steelers game All hit 100% in last 5 games
Sounds proper with solid facts too support it.Whats the plus on that bcs of alternate spreads it won't be 6-1 if they where all minus 110-120..Soo I'm estimating like Plus 292 or something like that?
I agree with the weather! I locked in the over at over 36 on Monday. I added some receiving/rushing on Steelers for the Browns being bad. I like the over for Wilson
Love the analysis. Quick question, I see you hardly mention red zone scoring/opponent red zone scoring in referencing totals. Is this a product of variability, meaning do you think red zone scoring/defence is unpredictable? I also mention that because both these teams, over the last 3 games, are the worst 2 teams in the league at red zone scoring. Definitely not questioning the motivation because I understand the value of the total from where it opened. Just wondering if I’m putting too much stock in red zone success. Thanks!
You mentioned fog...........remember "the fog bowl"? It broke my heart. Thursday, I like Cleveland as the Steelers should have a letdown after beating Ravens, Cleveland was looking ahead and got clobbered by Saints. Browns will be focused so grab that hook plus a three. Good luck this week.
Like under 18.5 first half Pittsburgh vs Cleveland, instead of full game, will be a chess match in first half, feel out process, like jaylen Warren over 31.5 rushing yard, last 5 games 7 rushing yard, 44 rush yards, 66 rushing yards, 41 rushing yards. Great video breakdown. Good luck. B Daddy
Im pretty new to sports betting. But researching tons as i usually do when im interested and smell the possibility of money. When you say youre up 220 units since last season, is a unit basically 1% of your bankroll? So 220%? I almost feel like this is a reliable form of investment as crazy as that may sound. But only if looked at like investing rather than juat gambling. 2% here, 10% there, etc
I cant find the dude in the comments that criticized Steve Merrils pick today. Im looking for him to tell him to find a big rock and kick it. This is why Steve Merril is the pro and youre the Joe. I bet he deleted his comment after saying how delusional Steve was for taking the DAWGS.
The weather might be a factor, but both teams have to play in the same elements. As a Steelers fan, this game will be close. No matter what record the Browns have, they always save it up for this game. They’re not going to the playoffs, so all that does matter now, is beating Pittsburgh, and nothing else.
This is the first time Winston has ever played against Steelers in his career. I could see this getting ugly for him, he hasn't faced a defense like the Steelers this year and has always been on warm weather teams. Steelers to cover and over seems to easy though, what is being overlooked?
@@__G___ they are coming in from a close combat brawl vs Baltimore in a short turn around to play an easy & weak opponent Cleveland. Pittsburgh won't have the same energy level and this is Cleveland's Super Bowl sort of speak.
I love your analisis on these Thursday games, but tonight I have to take the under 37. Thursday games, both teams don't want to be there. Both defenses are really good. Weather will be a deciding factor. It's going to be running running and more running. Pittsburgh just wants to get the hell out of Dodge with no injuries.
I think the rain helps the total go over as well. So much more harder as a defender to find your footing and when tackling it becomes alot harder to wrap up.
You are an idiot. I took the under 17.5 first half. Look at the weather now. Stop being a mo mo and listening to this idiot. Ive paper trading his bets for the last 2 years and he gets 39 percent wins.
Njoku always seems to find the endzone against my steelers. I think they lose either this week or next. Thx for the content. You and Rob Veno are the best!
@@topshots0074 if you’re concerned about the bet losing, you could always take Cleveland +3.5/4, and hope to middle it. Put 80 on it, if Steelers cover, you make your 100 like you had cashed out, if browns win outright, you profit 80, if Steelers win and browns cover, you hit the jackpot
Bad spot for the Steelers off a tough game vs Ravens & the Bengals on deck. Problem with the Browns is they're relying much too much on Winston slinging it. They need to use Nick Chubb allot more if they expect to compete vs decent teams. Losing to Carolina or the Saints is how you get me off betting on a team. I was high on the Browns last week against the Saints. Not making that mistake again! I'll lay the 3.5 here with a much better Pittsburgh Steelers team in this one. Two teams that D is the strength of both teams. I'll stay away from the over/under. Go Pack Go!
I don't like the idea that this is a bad spot, had they won by 14 vs Ravens, I would be more into the letdown spot, but they barely squeaked by the Ravens, this can be a 'get right' spot for their offense imo.
Steve I'm worried about my steelers this week seems like a trap game !! I think the hook could come in and the steelers win by 3 and don't cover.. I always pout this as a 3 pts game no matter the records. The total play sounds good , let's rock that over !!! at 36... public play for steelers is always suspect. how about the 6 pt teaser and over in this ????
Pittsburgh and the points -3.5. Jameis Winston's probably going to throw at least 3 interceptions that's all I'm going to say. Pittsburgh money line 💵💵
![NFL Predictions and Best Bets For EVERY Week 12 Game [Steelers at Browns & more]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/l8ZkCXfz95g/mqdefault.jpg)
![NFL Predictions and Best Bets For EVERY Week 12 Game [Steelers at Browns & more]](/img/tr.png)
👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm
🏈 Live NFL Odds: wt.buzz/nfl-odds
📺 Rest of NFL Week 11 Videos: wt.buzz/2024nfl11
🏈 More Free NFL Picks: www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NFL
🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for NFL Week 11? Let us know in the comments below 👇
Smash that LIKE 👍
Great call on the over Steve! Definitely took that recommendation - been on fire with TNF. Thanks for the videos!
9-1 Thursday night!! Thanks, Steve! See you next week.
What do you think about
George Pickens 50+ rec yards
Najee Harris 50 rush yards
Russel Wilson 150+ pass yards
For Thursday’s browns vs Steelers game
All hit 100% in last 5 games
Sounds proper with solid facts too support it.Whats the plus on that bcs of alternate spreads it won't be 6-1 if they where all minus 110-120..Soo I'm estimating like Plus 292 or something like that?
TYVM I’ll consider that in a parlay!!! 💙💯🏈💋👍🏻
Najee 100% 50 rushing
@@karoonboomie2813 your welcome I hope it hits I’m going g to lock in rn bouta say fuxk it let’s go!
Add Steelers for the win as another leg as well. Doesn’t hurt.
Thanks Steve! I'm on the Steelers tonight.
Enjoy the game and good luck
I agree with the weather! I locked in the over at over 36 on Monday. I added some receiving/rushing on Steelers for the Browns being bad. I like the over for Wilson
Good luck tonight Nathan!
Steve how about Winston over
33.5 attempts
Tkz
Your a moron
I parlayed PIT ML and ov 30.5
@bradmoss6653, good luck with your bet!
Trap game
You are stupid, stop listing to these idiots
I may be wrong but ill Go Browns +3.5 ML an U 36.5
Cant say exactly why but i know this rivalry Browns may get up for this one
Love this!! Best of luck!
Love the analysis. Quick question, I see you hardly mention red zone scoring/opponent red zone scoring in referencing totals. Is this a product of variability, meaning do you think red zone scoring/defence is unpredictable? I also mention that because both these teams, over the last 3 games, are the worst 2 teams in the league at red zone scoring. Definitely not questioning the motivation because I understand the value of the total from where it opened. Just wondering if I’m putting too much stock in red zone success. Thanks!
Great question... certain teams will do better in redzone than others, but I do think overall there is some random variance in those numbers.
You mentioned fog...........remember "the fog bowl"? It broke my heart. Thursday, I like Cleveland as the Steelers should have a letdown after beating Ravens, Cleveland was looking ahead and got clobbered by Saints. Browns will be focused so grab that hook plus a three. Good luck this week.
Once a decade we get fog... but it is always memorable!
@@stevemerril3086 My Eagles lost that day, and it was so unfortunate. Have a good evening, Steve.
I’ve got Pitt with Miami(Sunday Vs New England) in a 2 team ML parlay(+103)
Steelers an dolphins on a pick 2 parlay sounds sweet lock of the week ☝️💯
@RandomRandy32, good luck with your bet!
Would you recommend teaser between OVER and Cleveland? Thanks
Now you got another L on your resume.
Like under 18.5 first half Pittsburgh vs Cleveland, instead of full game, will be a chess match in first half, feel out process, like jaylen Warren over 31.5 rushing yard, last 5 games 7 rushing yard, 44 rush yards, 66 rushing yards, 41 rushing yards. Great video breakdown. Good luck. B Daddy
Now this guy gets it. You know the NFL. Learn to fade this guy when its time.
love these videos. I was thinking that total looks awfully low.
Starting to rise a bit higher now
106.7 on your FM dial....Merril, you're a GOAT
That was a good line - LoL
@@stevemerril3086 You absolutely crushed that Steve
Hi Steve..your totals best bets rarely fail.. would it be good idea for you to provide more best bets on that front as well.. thanks for your support
When I see value, I use totals, but sharps bet them more, so usually more betting/value opportunities with Sides.
THANK YOU!
Thanks for watching!
Im pretty new to sports betting. But researching tons as i usually do when im interested and smell the possibility of money. When you say youre up 220 units since last season, is a unit basically 1% of your bankroll? So 220%? I almost feel like this is a reliable form of investment as crazy as that may sound. But only if looked at like investing rather than juat gambling. 2% here, 10% there, etc
I cant find the dude in the comments that criticized Steve Merrils pick today. Im looking for him to tell him to find a big rock and kick it. This is why Steve Merril is the pro and youre the Joe. I bet he deleted his comment after saying how delusional Steve was for taking the DAWGS.
great video Steve...keep em coming...we will win!
Will do... thanks for watching!
Thanks Steve
Thanks for watching as always!
I bought the total down to 34, thinking weather would be a factor. But I'm still happy at -150 if they can cover it.
GREAT CALL ON OVER 36.5. THX.
I'm in on the over. Great vid Steve
Thank you for watching!
The weather might be a factor, but both teams have to play in the same elements. As a Steelers fan, this game will be close. No matter what record the Browns have, they always save it up for this game. They’re not going to the playoffs, so all that does matter now, is beating Pittsburgh, and nothing else.
as Steeler fan I remember when the Steelers won about 15 straight vs Cleveland if memory serves me .
@ Yes, back when we owned that team and during times when the NFL wasn’t so whacky, like it is these days. 😆
I’m very confident Steelers got the next 3 games. Russel Wilson has been paying my bills with draft kings🤣
This is the first time Winston has ever played against Steelers in his career. I could see this getting ugly for him, he hasn't faced a defense like the Steelers this year and has always been on warm weather teams. Steelers to cover and over seems to easy though, what is being overlooked?
@@__G___ they are coming in from a close combat brawl vs Baltimore in a short turn around to play an easy & weak opponent Cleveland. Pittsburgh won't have the same energy level and this is Cleveland's Super Bowl sort of speak.
hey Steve, what do think if the o/u goes to 37?
About 4% chance it lands exactly 37, so less value.
I want to bet seriously and I see that you’re picks usually win how could I learn more about how and what to bet on?
I love your analisis on these Thursday games, but tonight I have to take the under 37. Thursday games, both teams don't want to be there. Both defenses are really good. Weather will be a deciding factor. It's going to be running running and more running. Pittsburgh just wants to get the hell out of Dodge with no injuries.
@conezonetv, good luck with your bet!
bruh the browns defense is overrated what good defensive game has the browns had
Howd that work out?
I think the rain helps the total go over as well. So much more harder as a defender to find your footing and when tackling it becomes alot harder to wrap up.
Thank you @JustLiftUce for tuning in and taking the time to comment!
You are an idiot. I took the under 17.5 first half. Look at the weather now. Stop being a mo mo and listening to this idiot. Ive paper trading his bets for the last 2 years and he gets 39 percent wins.
Wrong again. Camel breath
Dumb
Whats was the final score again loser? Yeah STFU BXTCH @tsfurlan
I see Pitt spanking Cleveland. I had Steelers and under against Baltimore. It's always a fist fight had to be under. I do like the over here as well
Hate to tell you but the Steelers are extremely overrated. They won’t cover and might also lose outright.
@@Lambiscon4906nah browns just got whopped by the aints pit wins by double digits easy
@@Lambiscon4906best defense in the league
@@Zerosmashandmorebrowns win 24-16
@@Lambiscon4906I’ll be back to this exact comment tomorrow night. Can’t wait.
I thought Harris over props might be a best bet for this game. CLV also giving up yards and TDs to the running game.
Pitt has cincy next week so possible look ahead taking Cleveland lightly?
Also pitt is like 0-7 on thursday or something.
Thank you @natecollison8331 for tuning in and taking the time to comment!
Going to try for the under. Looks really windy.
Njoku always seems to find the endzone against my steelers. I think they lose either this week or next. Thx for the content. You and Rob Veno are the best!
Boom!
winds could get up to 30 to 40 mph. You still like the over?
What’s your thoughts on the browns wideouts?
Been a Browns fan for 40 years. 1 thing ive learned 100 times. Never bet on the Browns
Steelers is my last parlay on a $10 to $188, I could be smart and cash out $105; but I’m still debating if it’s worth it.
could hedge the other side for a small profit!
@@topshots0074 if you’re concerned about the bet losing, you could always take Cleveland +3.5/4, and hope to middle it. Put 80 on it, if Steelers cover, you make your 100 like you had cashed out, if browns win outright, you profit 80, if Steelers win and browns cover, you hit the jackpot
@ spoken like a true Jedi 🗣️
Nah let it ride
Cash it then make another bet on Steelers
Division I will take CLEV +4 and the over as u say 9/1 Stev still no 1 the best 👍video
Najee anytime TD 🥂
Thanks for including the prop
Jameis Winston passing yards prop is suspiciously low 🤔
Yeah it was 212 on FD I took over that for sure be. And he covered.
I like Cleveland in a Wilson bad Game.
Im on Baltimore to win the Division, starting these next few Weeks Steelers begin Losing
But how are the browns going to score on Pittsburgh?
Teams that play Ravens usually lose the next game. Not sure if that’s still a thing tho.
Bad spot for the Steelers off a tough game vs Ravens & the Bengals on deck.
Problem with the Browns is they're relying much too much on Winston slinging it.
They need to use Nick Chubb allot more if they expect to compete vs decent teams.
Losing to Carolina or the Saints is how you get me off betting on a team.
I was high on the Browns last week against the Saints. Not making that mistake again!
I'll lay the 3.5 here with a much better Pittsburgh Steelers team in this one.
Two teams that D is the strength of both teams. I'll stay away from the over/under.
Go Pack Go!
I don't like the idea that this is a bad spot, had they won by 14 vs Ravens, I would be more into the letdown spot, but they barely squeaked by the Ravens, this can be a 'get right' spot for their offense imo.
Never use the word better in the NFL. The season starts over every week
Browns faded badly in New Orleans....
Steve I'm worried about my steelers this week seems like a trap game !! I think the hook could come in and the steelers win by 3 and don't cover.. I always pout this as a 3 pts game no matter the records. The total play sounds good , let's rock that over !!! at 36... public play for steelers is always suspect. how about the 6 pt teaser and over in this ????
No trap game Steelers are winning
UNDER!
Snow and rain mix at the start of kickoff
Looks like it will indeed be snowing. Gonna cash out and take a over on Warren or Harris
I don't find it weird that it dropped to 36nhlf it's like the books are begging u to take the over
On PPPPRRRIIIMMMMEEEEE!! Lolol thx for help! Chingling Steelers crushing Browns only doing stats maybe Harris a td, stay cool Stevie!!!🏈💋🏈💋🏈🇺🇸
I must have been a good boy this year because I got the superbowl for Christmas💛🖤💛🖤
It might be a Brawl , not a Game.
I remember Cleveland beat San Fran 9 to 6 like that😮.
I love Cleveland in this spot. If I get it at 4
Brother Steve is awesome!💪🏼 Boom! Boom!💥
-Chad J. Merrill
I'm looking at Patrick Queen Tackles O/U. LIne is 4.5.
@drinkingpoolwater, good luck with your bet!
Cleveland +4
Coaching "firing" setup in Cleveland tomorrow
In 3 games, small sample size 2015,19, and 23. Russell Simpson has thrown a total of 0 int's.
I’m taking under the original spread of 41.5
Thursday night football has been low in scoring all year
I like this game for the over also on a teaser and parlay
Way to go Steve! On the over! I owe you a steak dinner!
20 -13 Steelers Najee any touch down
Harris anytime TD
Winston - 0.5 interceptions
Wilson - 1.5 TD
@beaugilmore361, good luck with your action!
Hilarious…106.7 on your FM 📻 dial…”Tell ‘em what’s he’s won Bob! A new car!”😉 Boom! Boom!
Ur da man Steve
Reverse teaser parlay 6pt pit over
Why wouldn’t 10 of us get together and split the yearly package and just share the picks among us?
Oh sure.. Go for it
Both Qb over Warren rec Pickens rec
BUT WHAT ABOUT THE WEATHER STEVE
Thanks for watching, best of luck on Thursday night everyone! 💲👍🏈
Hmmm. I don’t know. I think this is a pass for me. Love the information though.
Thank you @jasonmarshall7547 for tuning in and taking the time to comment!
screams Brown's at home SMits time to sell high on pitt....CLE ML....book it great show
Pittsburgh and the points -3.5. Jameis Winston's probably going to throw at least 3 interceptions that's all I'm going to say. Pittsburgh money line 💵💵
100% correct or 3 TDs he'll give it a go ,Guess you dont know the rivalry an energy of this Game ,Browns ML because the steelers seem like a lock
Pittsburgh SOUP-line.
I hear good stuff here.
Russell Simpson is 3-0 vs browns believe it or not.
Prime game to script for steeler to lose or not cover !!
Browns win 24-16
I almost predicted the final score
Washington over 1.5 receptions for plus money?? I’m feeling greedy
I put the farm on Pitt. Rivalries make me nervous tho
I wanna go Pittsburgh -3.5 but i could definitely see them winning by 1 or 2. I might hammer Pittsburgh ML.
Sorry... What are you going to do with the animals?
If you got any cattle I know a guy that can take em. I know you have a plenty of bullsh!t
This is probably a 17-10 17-14 final
Im taking steelers ML
good
Pittsburgh Always have a problem playing at Cleveland and its happening again
8 and 1....shit i got your last pick of Las Vegas Raiders pover Miami Dolphins and lost $500. Thanks
He said Thursday night record
@@AtomicHousebetting on the raiders especially against a hungry dolphins team at home with Tua was just a bad decision.
Tonight steelers win by 3 browns loose but cover the +3.5
Steelers over point
Just for the record, each of the browns last eight games in November have gone under...your welcome.
Pittsburgh please cover
@tannerpaquette9922, good luck with your action!
💩
I don't think Brown's running game is on point. Give me Pitt -3
💩
Tomlinson never got best coach. Russ disrespected for yrs. 4th highest qb rat all time. Chip this yr
No was 28th pass rush steelers 4th
pass
👍👍👍👍
Thanks for the picks smh
22 -17 steelers
Priiiiime