The New Car Market Is Crashing. My Predictions (I Hope They Don't Come True)

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  • Опубліковано 12 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 673

  • @1970HondaCL100
    @1970HondaCL100 7 місяців тому +287

    It’s the prices. Nobody needs $100,000 pickups.

    • @tehcompbuilder
      @tehcompbuilder 7 місяців тому +10

      100% this.

    • @jamestindle79
      @jamestindle79 7 місяців тому +7

      for a bunch of plastic

    • @Jesse-qo9oj
      @Jesse-qo9oj 7 місяців тому +12

      We definitely need to get back to simplicity. We dont need rolling houses that do everything for you.

    • @boostgoober7262
      @boostgoober7262 7 місяців тому +1

      Doesn't stop them from buying them and defaulting on a $2000/month payment. It's a mess

    • @NorthN2TheEast
      @NorthN2TheEast 7 місяців тому

      And they are more unreliable

  • @krtacct
    @krtacct 7 місяців тому +91

    i dont want a daily with
    1 afm / cylinder deactivation
    2 direct injection
    3 a turbo
    4 hybrid power
    5 “safety systems” that throw fits when im driving down the road
    6 crap plastic engine parts
    7 bullshit emissions devices that cost $10k to repair
    8 ev
    9 $50k+ price of admission
    needless to say, new cars do nothing for me.

    • @fknsl1
      @fknsl1 7 місяців тому +3

      My 1963 Dodge D-100 was reliable as all get-out. But sometimes it would stall at traffic lights. Eventually had to sell because, well, Rust and Kids!!!
      Why would I ever buy a NEW CAR THAT STALLS AT TRAFFIC LIGHTS!!!!

    • @kousinkoolaid
      @kousinkoolaid 7 місяців тому +7

      The only one I’d remove from that list is turbo. What the hell is wrong with you?! 😂 always turbo. Always. Ive only had 1 car without a turbo. They get a bad wrap never had an issue.

    • @Bueller611
      @Bueller611 7 місяців тому +4

      Agreed. This is I went with a 5.0 f150 XLT. Simple, powerful, enough space to haul the family comfortably and parts are everywhere.

    • @10speedr
      @10speedr 7 місяців тому +1

      You forgot the touch screen's on the list

    • @juiceyou321
      @juiceyou321 7 місяців тому +1

      You're right, I don't want a turbo either, I WANT 2 TURBOS! I'm with you on the rest of the list though.

  • @smokeycoonhoundut6081
    @smokeycoonhoundut6081 7 місяців тому +89

    It’s wild man. The thing for me is… a vehicle with power windows/door locks, AC and a radio is literally all I want. I have zero desire to have all the over the top electronics. I’m a mechanic… all I see is future repair expenses. And I’m flat out refusing to purchase a $60-$70k car.. ill drive old junk forever

    • @brandonsipe5038
      @brandonsipe5038 7 місяців тому

      Where they get us is in the narrow markets. I have a wife and four children in car seats. I NEED a van or a large SUV. You can’t get any minivan on the markets from the four that are produced for less than $40k out the door and that’s bare minimum’s. Don’t even think about getting into a base model expedition or suburban for that… it’s a joke. Thankfully we are financially set up and we are putting LUMP sums on our new Odyssey to pay it off before this market crash.

    • @smokeycoonhoundut6081
      @smokeycoonhoundut6081 7 місяців тому +1

      @@brandonsipe5038 I relate fully. I’ve got 4 kids and a wife as well. She was driving a 2005 Sienna up until just a few years ago. We got a used 2018 Pacifica 😬 and it’s paid off for now. It had an extended warranty that I had to use a couple of times. Now I’m daily driving the back up vehicle.. a 2009 Pilot.. but before that I had a base model Nissan Versa with manual everything.. unfortunately I couldn’t fit everyone in it if something were to happen to the van so I had to find something bigger

    • @arrgorndenethor
      @arrgorndenethor 7 місяців тому +3

      I went to a 20 year old Mustang due to cost and maintenance

    • @rocks2rocks06
      @rocks2rocks06 7 місяців тому +2

      All of my vehicles are older than 2005 now, I got rid of everything new because they were junk. the most reliable vehicles I've ever owned had AC and cruse control.

    • @larryhall6416
      @larryhall6416 7 місяців тому +1

      Amen brother

  • @isaaccan3155
    @isaaccan3155 7 місяців тому +165

    Cash for Clunkers destroyed the lower class. It only helped people who had enough money to buy a new car. And now there is no such thing as a cheap used car lime their was 20 years ago. $500 cars are now $2000.

    • @bigwater52
      @bigwater52 7 місяців тому +22

      Dude. You can’t even buy a junker for 2k 🤣 the car market has already crashed. The housing market is about to do the same thing! I can’t wait for it! Been planning and saving for 10 years for this moment and the second it falls and levels I’m buying everything i can! Gonna turn my 500k into 20 million in a matter of years

    • @wesw9586
      @wesw9586 7 місяців тому +4

      Yeah. Been helping my buddy shop for a new daily. Not seen much of anything even close to reliable or practical for less than 3000.

    • @adolpholiverbush5867
      @adolpholiverbush5867 7 місяців тому +12

      ​@@bigwater52The housing market isn't going to crash that's silly talk. There's literally 0 indicators that's going to happen. Join bigger pockets or another real estate community and educate yourself on how to win regardless of the market, because prices aren't coming down.

    • @ZEPRATGERNODT
      @ZEPRATGERNODT 7 місяців тому +1

      Got to hit the tow yard auctions! You can find some gold in there. I do.

    • @bigwater52
      @bigwater52 7 місяців тому

      @@ZEPRATGERNODT same! I’ve gained a great friendship with some local yards here (live in an upscale county) i think the best one i i ever got cost me 388$ and was a r32 gt a skyline. Was loaded out with all the hks goodies. And had been towed for sitting in a no parking zone. He sent me pics about 2 weeks after they got it. And i told him on the 91st day to call me and id pay him top dollar. I think i spent about 3600’that day on about 15 running and driving cars. Unfortunately i coukd t get a title for it even after trying the title bond and etc etc. so i listed it on being a traiilwr as runnin/driving in a 7-10 condition. But nobody can read. Sold for 17k then buyer backed out after he read it couldn’t be registered. Went up a few more times and was a no sale. So i listed it on marketplace and ended up trading the car for 2.1 acres in the outskirts of town. Fast forward another year and i got a call from the city, stating they would like to purchase 1.8 acres of the property to widen the road and install a roundabout. Told them I’d sell the property as a whole. After we had it surveyed, the city came back and stated they actually only wanted 1.3 acres. And i made a 7 figure profit off of 388$. 3 months later Wawa gas stations contacted me to the remaining land. And ended up signing a 99 year lease, with 0.00$ in leasing/rent. However the way i get paid from it is i get 18% of the monthly revenue. If they sell out, i get 25% the sale. It pays me roughly, 40k month

  • @stlchucko
    @stlchucko 7 місяців тому +147

    Big problem is price. They’ve been outrageous the past 3 years.

    • @a.jsipple7322
      @a.jsipple7322 7 місяців тому +6

      20 Years. Manufacturing quantities, used to provide the ability, to offer products at an affordable rate. This hasn't been the case for decades.

    • @magcivic4771
      @magcivic4771 7 місяців тому +7

      U would think with all the tech advancement. Stuff would get cheaper. Also the manufacturer are doing extra stuff that nobody wants

    • @xxxxxxx3760
      @xxxxxxx3760 7 місяців тому

      the real problem is the government spending/sending money and we're left paying for it

    • @randr10
      @randr10 7 місяців тому

      More than 3 years. Prices have been out of control for over a decade. They just went even more ballistic over the last few.

  • @trailingrails9953
    @trailingrails9953 7 місяців тому +21

    Prices are just astronomical. $45-50k for a stupid crossover is insane. Trucks are closing in on $100k. Some are over that. $30k 8 year-old used trucks in the rust belt with over 200k miles is just insanity.

  • @lomax3216
    @lomax3216 7 місяців тому +98

    The auto manufacturers have all priced themselves out of most peoples price range. When a car note is near that of a house note, something is wrong. I was a life long Ford truck customer. I shopped for a new one to replace one that was four years old. I wanted the same truck, just a new one. The price had gone up $24,000. That is ridiculous and I'm just not going to accept that much of a price increase.

    • @brendyngreiner3148
      @brendyngreiner3148 7 місяців тому

      I tried to buy a used F150 last year that was 2/3 years old, it is insane how they are priced. I gave up. Lol

    • @03treefitty
      @03treefitty 7 місяців тому +9

      Problem is a house note turned into a medium sized buisness note. Bidenomics cmon man it ads up

    • @steveh5587
      @steveh5587 7 місяців тому +2

      The quality of new cars is so bad, I’m driving a 2005 g35 that’s built like a tank, i refuse to give it up

    • @steveh5587
      @steveh5587 7 місяців тому +3

      I want a wrangler but $55,000!? Screw that. Should be $25,000

    • @steveh5587
      @steveh5587 7 місяців тому

      Well per the president, Americans have the money to spend or they have our money to give away

  • @RyanFannon-fy1yf
    @RyanFannon-fy1yf 7 місяців тому +43

    Killer topic coop. Enjoyed the hell out of this. We need more solos.

  • @wesw9586
    @wesw9586 7 місяців тому +125

    They don't want you to have a car. They don't want you to be free. People need to wake up and take the power back before it's too late.

    • @racerex340
      @racerex340 7 місяців тому +12

      No dude, they want you to have a car, they just want to make absurd profit margins. The Pandemic and lack of inventory caused prices to skyrocket, and with so few cars available dealerships could charge what they wanted and still move product, even used cars, average car prices went up. Prior to the pandemic, a new entry Camry was $25K, entry 2wd F150 was $28K, but now Camry MSRP for base is $27.5K with 2024 F150 base MSRP now starting at $38K growing 10% per year for the last couple of years. Problem now is that availability issues are long gone and inventory piled up but manufacturers don't want to give those profit margins back as lower margins will hurt stock price. This is exactly the same problem with food/grocery store prices, the producers of food product and supermarkets got away with cranking up profits during and following the pandemic but refused to drop prices again once availability and transport costs subsided.
      Consumer prices never permanently go back down, ever, doesn't matter if you're talking about food, cars or housing, we're stuck with these increases until the effects of inflation causes salaries/incomes to inch back up to close the gap. Tesla is a great example, they were already one of the most profitable auto manufacturers in the world in 2019 with gross margins of 17%, with price hikes raising them to over 30% at the end of 2021, they increased their profits by 100% from 2020 to 2021. Every other manufacturer followed suit.
      Best thing that could happen is seeing a bunch of these manufacturers file bankruptcy again, and the government shouldn't bail them out again as every one of those companies has shifted even more jobs north and south of the border since the last bailout. Let them crumble, let the market implode. When most manufacturers are at 12% to 15% gross profit margin and interest rates on new vehicles under 5%, vehicles are affordable across segments, and the only way we'll ever see that again is if the industry collapses completely due to us not buying the overpriced vehicles.
      Just wait, they will all wait until they are in huge trouble before we'll see manufacturer backed 0%-1.9% financing on 72m, then 60 month loans, thousands in cash back, anything to keep from dropping MSRP's.
      One very interesting question is once the new market falls apart, what happens to the used market? Usually the two follow each other, more expensive new cars drive used car prices up, but if the new car prices come down combined with slashing production, it could allow used cars to remain overpriced as people will need to buy something.

    • @wesw9586
      @wesw9586 7 місяців тому +4

      @@racerex340 on the surface of it, this is a solid analysis. But it runs deeper than that.

    • @pyrocl0
      @pyrocl0 7 місяців тому

      ​@@wesw9586explain then?

    • @kevinhicks5088
      @kevinhicks5088 7 місяців тому

      Unfortunately there got to powerful can't even try to stand up with out being shutdown immediately. Look at all the groups that's tried and were they are. What we do just eat it plan to live in another country I guess

    • @paromanin
      @paromanin 7 місяців тому

      ​@@racerex340a mini version of this has and is happening in Ontario Canada. The last couple years, mildly used cars (20k or less, 1 or 2 years old) have had higher asking prices than new cars, because every new car now needs to be ordered. There is no inventory. So people who need a car asap are turning to the slightly used market and paying premiums.

  • @a.jsipple7322
    @a.jsipple7322 7 місяців тому +50

    Manufacturing Has lost their way. EPA, Unions And government involvement are to blame.

    • @travisy7861
      @travisy7861 7 місяців тому

      Unions only try and keep wages and benefits. So corporations can't take advantage of the worker. Corporations are the problem, not unions.

    • @phantom240
      @phantom240 7 місяців тому +1

      Fucking CAFE standards and chicken tax.

  • @2k6rado
    @2k6rado 7 місяців тому +35

    New trucks are just flat out too expensive for what they are. Interest rates don’t help at all. The general quality and reliability of new trucks are crap and replacement parts for warranty aren’t available so I’m paying on something I can’t even use. Let’s get the parts shortages figured out and address all the bugs and issues with current vehicles before moving onto building more crap vehicles.
    Also the dealership greediness needs to stop. The markups, non negotiable “add-ons” and fees are bs.

  • @geogmz8277
    @geogmz8277 7 місяців тому +31

    None of the new cars is attractive, but the price makes it even worse.

  • @PhaQ2
    @PhaQ2 7 місяців тому +32

    The government getting involved is the reason for this in the first place! Let the free market dictate supply and demand.

    • @CooperBogetti
      @CooperBogetti  7 місяців тому +5

      Absolutely, ballots are a tragedy.

    • @shred1894
      @shred1894 7 місяців тому

      A lot of it started when Obama bailed out the automakers instead of letting them collapse and split up so new brands could be built.

  • @kennynelson2269
    @kennynelson2269 7 місяців тому +29

    There is not a vehicle made today that is worth the money they are asking for them.its unreal what the prices are.

  • @thatturbotruck
    @thatturbotruck 7 місяців тому +22

    People can't afford new cars. Inflation is out of hand and people are having issues even getting a house anymore. It's sad our government would rather enact programs like that than make sure Americans can afford to live a decent life. They just want more tax and more poverty.

    • @pyrocl0
      @pyrocl0 7 місяців тому +2

      It's not inflation. It's corporate greed. The last dealer I worked at, they would have 1200 new cars on the lot. 3 to 7 trucks of new cars showing up M-F. They have less than 180 now. Which gives less options for the consumer. If you want one, you're going to pay for it. Even the banks are killing it at interest rates. Also, pre-pandemic the number of cars you got the next year was decided on how many you sold the year before at some dealers. That is not happening anymore at the ones I worked at.

    • @thatturbotruck
      @thatturbotruck 7 місяців тому +2

      @@pyrocl0 that's true also. It's honestly both.

  • @Harold_That_Guy
    @Harold_That_Guy 7 місяців тому +6

    Cooper out here dropping big knowledge in a one take. Great stuff man.

  • @fourstarman1
    @fourstarman1 7 місяців тому +7

    There isnt a lot of people that want to go down and buy a 60k dollar half ton, v6/4cyl truck, and have to pay 8-10 interest on it. Its like an 800 dollar a month truck payment... and in 5 years its worth 30k dollars. Nobody in their right mind WANTS that.

  • @fourstarman1
    @fourstarman1 7 місяців тому +7

    can all of you imagine if any manufacturer happened to come out with a decent looking car, that got moderate fuel mileage, and had moderate power, and it came to the market at... 25k? Say a decent looking car, that gets 25mpg and makes 275hp? That is actually extremely easy to make happen. It doesnt come with a bunch of lane departure crap, beeping shit everywhere, push button start crap, 11 cameras, 1200 dollar each led lights at every corner. Just a decent looking rig, moderate mileage, moderate power, a good stereo, good ac and heat for the 25-28k range? I cant imagine it wouldnt instantly become the hottest selling car in america.

    • @lisashiela9137
      @lisashiela9137 7 місяців тому +1

      One problem stands in their way, e.p.a!

    • @strongkase2089
      @strongkase2089 6 місяців тому

      They tried to make vehicles like that... then dealerships mark them up so much they're just as much as the $35-40k MSRP vehicles

    • @BLKMGK4
      @BLKMGK4 6 місяців тому

      Nissan Versa - already available. Won't make your HP requirement but 275HP is more than needed. Not many people buy them though

  • @scottsmith5623
    @scottsmith5623 7 місяців тому +8

    I watched a short video a few weeks ago where a guy was showing how certain dealerships were spreading their new inventory across their lot to hide the fact that there was 20+ new vehicles of the same model.

    • @jacobhanson9009
      @jacobhanson9009 7 місяців тому

      Our local ford dealership has started to fill the back of the kia lot. It's across the road, and behind the kia building. I wouldn't put it past them that they are hiding overstock. I wonder if their online stock represents that.

  • @erikrobbins4792
    @erikrobbins4792 7 місяців тому +52

    Maybe it's all crap that real car people refuse to buy.

    • @motodanny3972
      @motodanny3972 7 місяців тому +8

      This is 90% of it I drive a 98 F150 I paid 1000 dollars for 13 years ago. And I'll drive it till I can't get parts anymore

    • @nunya2445
      @nunya2445 7 місяців тому +8

      I want a truck, not an IPhone.

    • @Gfj1978
      @Gfj1978 7 місяців тому +2

      You know that most consumers in the market for new cars aren’t “car people” right 😂

    • @sangamonriverrats
      @sangamonriverrats 7 місяців тому +3

      i'm a car guy ... i have a 97 trans am i bought new, its the only new car i have ever bought. i gave 23k for it, i will never buy a new vehicle again, instead i'll buy used stuff and just maintain them. the new cars are ugly AF ...

  • @jamesglenn2006
    @jamesglenn2006 7 місяців тому +16

    They should all try to make solid affordable cars and trucks, not this garbage that is being offered today.

    • @gw4686
      @gw4686 7 місяців тому

      Safety regulations pushe by major manf. has made the cheapest car way more than needed.

  • @mvpgarage2944
    @mvpgarage2944 7 місяців тому +2

    I think the manufacturers are finally seeing the point of diminishing returns on loading up new vehicles with ridiculous amounts of gimcrackery. I do not need lane departure warnings, trailer backing assistance, and a bunch of other useless junk. Last year when I noticed some rust forming on my ‘14 Sierra with 60k, I sold it while it still looked really nice and I had a lot of positive equity in it still. I replaced it with a MINT garage kept OBS 1500 Suburban that I got for $11K with 125k on the clock. I wanted a nice 2500 OBS but couldn’t find one so I’m swapping the diffs for the gears and beef I wanted. Guys like me are the dudes destroying the new car market and it makes me smile

  • @jmegetkrunk
    @jmegetkrunk 7 місяців тому +18

    Unless the cost of living comes down people can't just buy a new car,

  • @NerwinC
    @NerwinC 7 місяців тому +3

    Great episode today. I've been watching the average income and cost of new vehicles and housing and can't figure out how a dealer can ask everyone to spend 80K-90K on a new vehicle, and then 75K-85K on one they just took back on trade because the last owner either couldn't afford it or didn't like it.

  • @mikescherrer4923
    @mikescherrer4923 7 місяців тому +11

    So you're saying I should continue to stockpile and hoard 90's shitboxes. Check, done.

  • @maddb3457
    @maddb3457 7 місяців тому +4

    Cars are the worst investment we've created as a flex. To get from point A to point B in a safe and reliable way you need 12-15k.
    The average new vehicle nowadays is 40-50k and in 5 years you've paid 60k for a car that's worth 30k. Just stupid.
    Also there are a ton of jobs that rely on inventory moving. A lot of peoples livelihood . I think this situation is only solved to move inventory to raise demand for new production.
    I'm the odd one out that would wait for them to essentially give a truck at half price for something 2 years old because I just want cruise control 4wd ac and heated seats.
    To be honest what is the point if dealerships now. It is an archaic system that we needed before the Internet and the ability to build out the vehicle on the web. Dealership fees and a middle man that siphons off of a sale. How many people know that they want when they go to a dealer. We need to go to direct to consumer. That's 25% right there.

    • @Drummin003
      @Drummin003 7 місяців тому

      You'll still need the dealer for warranty items. That and if they would just have 2-3 vehicles of every model with different options packages so you can see it in person and test drive the car/truck/suv. From there you go online and order it to your specification. I will not buy/order a car if I can't test drive it first.

  • @fordmd9704
    @fordmd9704 7 місяців тому +8

    King ranch f150 used to be a 35-40k truck back in the 2000's, now $90-100k, ridiculous and the new trucks are junk i work on them for a dealer, overpriced garbage

    • @ryandee8543
      @ryandee8543 7 місяців тому +1

      The buying power of our dollar has been cut in half. The price of the truck has really stayed the same in a way. The longer a fiat currency goes the less its worth. We need to go back on gold standard. If you made 100k in the early 00 you lived like a king. Now you need 100k to merely live.

  • @Colbycheese2518
    @Colbycheese2518 7 місяців тому +1

    I've been saying this since 2019, and dealerships were buying people out of their manufacturing waitlists. It won't be a housing bubble it will be an auto bubble. Trucks for 100,000 was always a stupid price. It's a truck that's supposed to work.

  • @tristanviola
    @tristanviola 7 місяців тому

    I've seen this coming for years. I appreciate you putting this out there. I don't hear many people talk about it

  • @briand4635
    @briand4635 7 місяців тому +11

    This what happens when the manufactures damn near double the price of a lot of their models in ten years and never mind the economy that is in the toilet.

    • @MichaelSmith-kr9qw
      @MichaelSmith-kr9qw 7 місяців тому

      Well it is also the idiots who kept buying them in droves as well.....Supply vs Demand and during the pandemic idiots kept buying them up like it was a toilet paper shortage once again.

  • @jnljnl8485
    @jnljnl8485 7 місяців тому +4

    Its hard to reduce the price of your product when government mandated equipment is a main driver of the price.

  • @luiszavala9728
    @luiszavala9728 7 місяців тому +1

    It’s also affected the used car market. I’m seeing salvage/rebuilt title cars at used car lots going for 10k +

  • @alexzachgo8559
    @alexzachgo8559 7 місяців тому +2

    Let the FREE MARKET do its thing. The federal gov has NO business bailing anyone out.

  • @jamesfrench3539
    @jamesfrench3539 7 місяців тому +6

    You should do more of this style video! I listen to you on Spotify at work! Like the way you think

  • @kennethh.566
    @kennethh.566 7 місяців тому +3

    Prices of everything skyrocketed during covid...all the govt money pumped into the economy during covid was like crack cocaine to the US economy. Now the govt money high has faded and were now left with the mess of persistent inflation which continues to give us tons of over priced goods and services that fewer and fewer can afford. Not to mention, many folks remember the gouging car dealers were doing as recently as early this year with their HUGE markups. Hell, there were some dealers actually titling brand new vehicles so they could sell them as "used" in order to circumvent the manufacturers anti-markup policies for new vehicles...absolutely crazy stuff.

  • @agauthier89
    @agauthier89 7 місяців тому +2

    Been saying this for the last few years. Market is going to reset, when is a guess unless you have a seat at the table. Solar market is similar, value plummets and has little resell value.

  • @cliffgardner5717
    @cliffgardner5717 7 місяців тому +2

    When a new car costs as much as a house and interests rates are crazy out of control, even with great credit, it's not worth buying right now. People don't have $60k-100k for a new truck also. Also the dealership market adjustments on nicer cars is stupid too. Why do I need pay $5k-25k markup for a nicer non-suv car

  • @michaelmyboy3199
    @michaelmyboy3199 7 місяців тому +2

    I'm a salesman for a Chevrolet dealership. Interest rates are a huge issue right now. The average rate at my dealership is 8.5%. We have 90 day old Silverado's with almost $9k off and they're still sitting.

    • @tjspaddy
      @tjspaddy 7 місяців тому +1

      Issue, but not as big as the cost of the vehicle.

  • @PoeBoys
    @PoeBoys 7 місяців тому

    Cooper! Make more videos like these and we all will watch your channel go to the moon! I'm excited to see it brotha!

  • @heavyhemi2828
    @heavyhemi2828 7 місяців тому +4

    Well.... if I made more money, or new cars weren't so expensive. I'd like a new car, but I'll stick with my 05 for now.

    • @bigwater52
      @bigwater52 7 місяців тому +2

      Dude, I’m a small business owner. I went to buy a new work truck as my 05 Silverado with 800k miles was just costing a lot of money to keep on the road. They gave me 2k trade in and i had 10k to put down. My business nets about 1.1-1.3 yearly. Credit score above 820 these folks wanted 20k down on a 34k new truck. How tf can the average guy/family afford to put down 85% of the cost of a new car….. if i wanted to put 20k down I’d just buy a 20k truck. Oh and an 18.9% intrest rate. A new car is so hard to get for the average person/family

  • @dwarfgrumpy
    @dwarfgrumpy 7 місяців тому +1

    I have a 2015 Golf now paid off. I have no plans to replace it until it needs to be replaced.

  • @whiskeyriver8578
    @whiskeyriver8578 7 місяців тому +2

    Being on the service side of the house at a dealer I can tell you the fix/repair has gone way up.

    • @southerninterloper4107
      @southerninterloper4107 7 місяців тому

      I'm assuming that's a function of labor costs. Which is a function of inflation. Which is a function of #Bidenomics.

  • @CCDzine
    @CCDzine 7 місяців тому +4

    Maybe They want dealerships to get out of the business of selling cars so that They can go full Claus Schwab/WEF on us. We will own no cars and we will be haappy. Dealers can shift to distribution of your government vehicle, provided your social credit is good.

  • @ThomasKlausen
    @ThomasKlausen 7 місяців тому

    I'm seeing a lot of the same over here. I live in a small town in northern Norway and a lot of the dealers here have had to move their stock to other lots to not have people notice that they've got 20-50 brand new cars not being bought. I'm getting ads for 50K vehicles with 8K discounts, 3 year loans with 0.85% interest. People over don't want/can't afford new vehicles right now and the manufacturers are getting desperate.

  • @riverrat4631
    @riverrat4631 7 місяців тому +2

    America wants cheap transportation. Like the mini trucks from the 70’s and 80’s. Toyota, Nissan, S-10, Ranger, Dodge D50, Chevy Luv. I bought a new 1987 Nissan hardbody 2 weeks after graduating high school. I believe I gave $5,900 for a regular cab, 2wd, 4cyl 5spd. No radio, no AC. Just basic transportation because I was going to work in the Trades. I drove 85 miles to my first job as an Ironworker as a first year apprentice making $8.10 a hour. After four years I made $16.75hr.
    My Nissan truck payment was $112 a month. But I needed a reliable truck because I was driving over 1,000 miles a week. In 2yrs I put 100,000 miles on that truck. Sold it for $3500. I went and bought a new base model Toyota truck just like it for $6,800. Did the same thing. Sold it in 2yrs for $3800. Americans need cheap basic transportation. Like a base mini truck for $20-$25k with inflation. Not $60-$100k for a F150 I’m afraid to use or put miles one. I just bought a 2016 GMC 1500 regular cab work truck for $15k with 50,000 miles. I will drive it till 200k and buy another. I refuse to spend over $25 for a truck. 🇺🇸🦅

  • @Horrechet
    @Horrechet 7 місяців тому +1

    There were 6mil cars in the used market, there’s now 2mil in circulation. The new car market was never a strong push for middle America. But the used market is missing the three to 4 year old models because of the pandemic, there’s a year or two left of this at minimum. New car manufacturing becoming “old” inventory is because of the push to produce, and essentially “we’ll finish it later” thought. Summary is it’s probably up a creek for two more years

  • @BRETTLYBOOST
    @BRETTLYBOOST 7 місяців тому

    I just got out of the car sales business after 7 years. Started at Kia, moved to Ford. The high interest rates, lack of rebates, greedy dealership owners/management, and dwindling used car market really destroyed the business for the time being. I now build the M1A1 Abrams and it was a fantastic career move, although it was later than it should’ve been.

  • @wdtcctr100
    @wdtcctr100 7 місяців тому

    I never paid attention to the market, but this makes total sense. I have bought a new car with a lease for my last couple of vehicles but just this month I bought my car out instead of trading it in for a new one because it's just getting too expensive.

  • @lowlife7453
    @lowlife7453 7 місяців тому +2

    If they came out with a carbureted, no info-tainment, base base base vehicle for like $20k I would consider buying new.

  • @christopherodle14
    @christopherodle14 7 місяців тому +3

    I just got a 23 gmc sierra, got 10k off....still got screwed! Bad situation left me at a dealers mercy...

  • @Ghostixe
    @Ghostixe 7 місяців тому

    I've been a mechanic for 13 years, I've seen the failure rates of these new vehicles. It's like they build in a shelf life for them so they don't last. Most modern vehicles start experiencing major issues after 100k miles, and most people will put that on a vehicle before their loan is paid. We speak to manufacturers for service bulletins and explanations for common failures, and we are told it starts with development. Major manufactures are cutting cost in materials and labor, and as long as they get paid for the vehicle, and warranty expires before the problems begin, it's not their problem.
    The vehicle market has some very serious problems, and it extends far beyond prices and inventory.

  • @gtrider316
    @gtrider316 7 місяців тому

    Always enjoy Coop's car talk!

  • @yohanonshine4664
    @yohanonshine4664 7 місяців тому +1

    The car companies have already figured in the price the cost of unsold inventory that's why they go up in price. New cars sell for about ten times the cost to make them.

  • @vancepowers6427
    @vancepowers6427 7 місяців тому

    I love this content Cooper. Keep it up. Make sure you lock your doors and have cameras at your house because they might come after you lol

  • @boredom.victim
    @boredom.victim 7 місяців тому +3

    how could the car market possibly crash? they're selling vehicles that are missing parts, charging way too much and the vehicles are less and less reliable - why wouldn't people throw bucketloads of money they don't have to buy brand new broken cars instead of the old reliable ones that just need a little work?

  • @TraceA1000
    @TraceA1000 7 місяців тому +2

    I work at a ford dealership and they have a new 23 on the lot I was interested in and they wanted me to pay 70,000 for 2,000 more I could get a 24 in the same trim, or pay 10,000 less and get a trim down in a 24 model. That’s ridiculous to me

  • @young11984
    @young11984 7 місяців тому +1

    The more the EPA puts strict emission limitations keeps requiring automakers to install more and more expensive emission technology into them, also everybody doesnt want every option on a vehicle. Give us an option for a basic PS, AC, PW no frills truck for 1/4 of the base full size truck. $50k for a base truck is stupid, take all the extra junk out and you cut weight and problems

    • @lietuvis96
      @lietuvis96 7 місяців тому

      But they engineer parts to fail. The quality of the materials, parts, etc. Went down wnd prices now are crazy expensive for the quality.

  • @toddschlicher
    @toddschlicher 7 місяців тому +3

    They just need to bring back the good leasing deals. Cars would fly off the lots.

  • @chuckeelhart1746
    @chuckeelhart1746 7 місяців тому +1

    I’m old, retired and in excellent financial shape. I have NEVER and will NEVER buy a new car. Just doesn’t make sense. I’ve always been able to buy lower mileage vehicles for far better prices.

  • @joshuakahley8605
    @joshuakahley8605 7 місяців тому +2

    Check out the boat market! Boats are going for 1/2 the price than 2023

  • @isaacfulcher4465
    @isaacfulcher4465 7 місяців тому

    Cooper you are 100% spot on. Thank you for speaking the truth that no other media wants to talk about.

  • @davenorman8251
    @davenorman8251 7 місяців тому +2

    Car prices are ridiculous...Think about what you can build for $100K.

  • @Thecleananunseenteam
    @Thecleananunseenteam 7 місяців тому +8

    Man cash for clunkers was the worst thing to ever happen to the car market of course it ran up prices and made it where it really hard to get parts cars if you find one your going to pay up for it so then you think you are better off getting a new car tearable Idea 💡

  • @isotope115
    @isotope115 7 місяців тому

    I think one other factor is that a lot of people just don't drive as much as they did 3-4 years ago. I used to drive 1000+ miles per month and now I'm stuck working from home so its more like 300 miles . My car's simply are not wearing out, why do I need to replace them.

  • @domjunior1582
    @domjunior1582 7 місяців тому +1

    Not disagreeing with you, but an observation I had recently. I sent my wife’s car to the local Dodge dealership for its free oil change and state inspection, and I was surprised at how little the inventory was. There were only 2 2500 rams and a handful of each model after that. This isn’t a small town dealership, it’s one location of probably 5 of the same company. Maybe they are hiding them off site to try to change the image of supply and demand?

  • @jessecastro895
    @jessecastro895 7 місяців тому

    I paid off my Honda Accord a couple months ago and the last thing I wanted is a new car. Mine is perfectly fine and not that outdated to buy a new one. I also work from home so I drive less than 10k miles a year. This market is insane and I hate that I hope it crashes. I personally know people that will be affected. The same goes for the housing market.

  • @BrookerDynamics
    @BrookerDynamics 7 місяців тому

    The inventory levels are still way below historic levels. Having some new-old stock vehicles on the lot was pretty common in the past too; it's not a new phenomenon. Only very recently have the big three started offering incentives on trucks again which was common place pre-pandemic. Companies are building inventory because they know a small drop in interest rates will spike demand again. It's the floodgate for the auto market (and the housing market). They don't want to be caught sitting on their hands without enough inventory to cover demand. That's where they were in '21-'22. The big 3 are also all in a lot better shape today than they were in 2007. All of them are earning billions in profit, and periodically buying back stock/reinvesting in new infrastructure. The post covid boom filled their coffers so they can wait out a year with lower sales.

  • @isaaccan3155
    @isaaccan3155 7 місяців тому +12

    I make almost 6 figure but I drive a $500 car because it cost more to feed my family and fuel my , and my wife’s car, than it did 4 years ago.

    • @jooka2010
      @jooka2010 7 місяців тому +1

      Cap! Nobody drives 500$ cars anymore

    • @RustyWells2
      @RustyWells2 7 місяців тому

      ​@@jooka2010Get out of your bubble!

  • @jonpeters4383
    @jonpeters4383 7 місяців тому +7

    Coop the UAW for the big three were just on strike that ended October 2023.

  • @codymorgan4616
    @codymorgan4616 7 місяців тому +5

    Good vid buddy! Keep it up

  • @rickymitchell2014
    @rickymitchell2014 7 місяців тому +2

    Auto makers have been getting over on the consumer for years my 2018 Denali hd was sticker price at 67k a new one now is 98k that is ridiculous. As a union worker the union strike is not going to be beneficial for anyone but the company the workers will not be paid while out on strike.

  • @MTK143x
    @MTK143x 7 місяців тому

    The problem is not that nobody wants the vehicles... They are desirable, just priced out of everyone's budget. I'd love to trade my vehicle in, but can't because of the prices.

  • @sxscnylyfe8122
    @sxscnylyfe8122 7 місяців тому

    Couldn't agree more coop. I have 5 more months on my lease and I'm just waiting it out hoping for more serious rebates and deals. Also it seems to me like they have been forcing the sale of vehicles instead of leases due too them getting burned over the last 5 years with lease vehicles

  • @taylorurqs
    @taylorurqs 7 місяців тому

    I work at a diesel repair/performance shop in Canada and most people are spending upwards of $20k on major repairs on older trucks (10-25 year old trucks) because it’s more cost effective than getting into something newer to replace it

    • @bmorg7244
      @bmorg7244 7 місяців тому +1

      I have an 08 Sierra with 430,000 kms on it. I looked at what I could get for $15-$18k in a used truck. I'm now in the middle of refreshing my 5.3, ordered a rebuilt trans for it, a new box from the south and new rockers and I'll be good to go for another 400k!

  • @Max23653
    @Max23653 7 місяців тому +1

    its an economical problem the country is in a state that no one but the people who make 7 figures a year or had owned the things they had can afford to breath in most states if you dont make 30+ dollars an hour you are going to have to work two jobs just to make ends meet

  • @darylnicklen3685
    @darylnicklen3685 7 місяців тому +1

    The Manufacturers need to make more base and lower spec cars and trucks people can afford.

  • @OlePittyP
    @OlePittyP 7 місяців тому

    Insurance companies are totaling out cars with minimum damage now. More totaled cars off the road and insurance is only paying a percentage of worth. So now new vehicles are being purchased and insurance premiums are going up.

  • @BKetch
    @BKetch 7 місяців тому

    7:34 Look up the 2032 EPA tail pipe emissions rule. I looked it up when it first happened to see if any car even meets that regulation today, and none do. Trying to push everyone into EVs. Even though manufactures see that, that is not the answer and moving away from them.

  • @4thinthefire
    @4thinthefire 7 місяців тому +1

    It shouldn't really be called a "crash", they priced these cars sooo high to a point no one can afford anything, and anything they can afford they don't want to buy. So the prices will need to come down to reflect true Market Value. It's like if I go around the neighborhood and tell an old lady I can mow her 1/4 lawn for $175, she'll be like "no i can't afford that, I can only afford $35 - $40". Either I have to lower my prices or deal with a lot less customers or no customers at all.

  • @scotthansen2240
    @scotthansen2240 7 місяців тому

    Well, this already happened in the powersports market. Prices are out of line, people stop buying, those that do are tagged with MASSIVE interest, dealers get wrecked, and the parent companies lose money like mad and their stocks tank and layoffs go nuts. Cars ARE next whether we like it or not.

  • @johnhamblin12201
    @johnhamblin12201 7 місяців тому

    Price.... that's how it's fixed. I ordered a 2022 super duty in 2021, msrp was 100k. Our family gets Ford A plan which you buy at invoice (what the dealer pays), my truck was low 70s invoice. They're greedy, plain and simple. Granted not every vehicle is marked up that much, but the markups are crazy. Also these manufactures keep adding technology alot of people don't want or need, further raising the cost.

  • @brianfields2135
    @brianfields2135 7 місяців тому

    I watched a video recently that brought the point that 2024 will be the last year you can purchase a new car with a sticker price under 20k. Interest rates will have to drop as well.
    New cars are becoming less unique with less options to distinguish one car from the next and needing to have to higher trim levels to get certain features will be drag on the market as well.

  • @chris2669
    @chris2669 7 місяців тому

    Manufacturers and their pricing is the problem. Instead of holding dealers feet to the fire over markup they were adding they added it to sticker and now you don’t hear about it anymore. Remove the 30% and it is back to normal pricing.

  • @theaterlightman89
    @theaterlightman89 7 місяців тому +5

    The buyers are on strike right now

  • @EGS_Media
    @EGS_Media 7 місяців тому

    I'm driving a car with over 300,000 miles and would love something newer, but even the used car market is outrageous. Luckily our other car was bought brand new in 2020 before prices jumped. Hoping prices plummet at some point but not holding my breath.

  • @Axial32
    @Axial32 7 місяців тому

    Also. Theyve started to force tons of parts, body panels and airbag parts discontinued after 10 years. I cant get many oem replacement body panels for all the major manufacturers

  • @shaunlaughter4478
    @shaunlaughter4478 7 місяців тому +14

    Say you're voting for Trump without saying you're voting for Trump!😂😂😂 I need one of those foil caps, Bro!! I really dig this side of you. I've never thought about what you were telling us, but it makes perfect sense. Keep it coming, Coop!!

  • @RyanFannon-fy1yf
    @RyanFannon-fy1yf 7 місяців тому +1

    I know for a fact that the Ford truck plant in Louisville was storing overstock trucks at the Kentucky speedway close to my house.
    Thousands of them. All 2020 models

  • @cmattdabrat
    @cmattdabrat 7 місяців тому

    The problem I see across the board is inflation over the past 3-4 years vs the increase in salary. Vehicles have gone up 30%, along with the cost of living and housing, and wage increase only 7%. Not to mention dealerships price gouging. This is why their lots are filled with new vehicles. They've saturated the market with those willing to pay the high prices. Now it's down to those that could potentially use a new vehicle, but with the prices, it just makes more sense to fix what you have and keep driving. The bells and whistles are nice, but not at the cost of being in the poor house.
    I recently just bought a new 2024 Custom Silverado (as basic as it gets) because they had a 10k rebate do to their price inflation and TONs of stock. I still don't feel like a I got a fair price based on how high interests rates are and it doesn't seem like we're getting any kind of interest break because the government keeps borrowing money and they have to pay that back some how.

  • @SCARFACE69247
    @SCARFACE69247 7 місяців тому +2

    Anything over $30,000 should be off limits for consumers!
    Seeing smooth brains buying $100,000 F-350s with a max tow weight of 30,000 pounds over a $100,000 Peterbilt that can tow 80,000 is the definition of insanity especially when you still have to get a CDL to max tow with the F-350!

    • @SCARFACE69247
      @SCARFACE69247 7 місяців тому

      Also, insurance will Never pay for those $30,000 dealer markups!

  • @nunya1667
    @nunya1667 7 місяців тому

    Have a 2017 Silverado with 209k miles and is just about due to be replaced. I’m seeing 2023’s and 2024’s advertised for $10k+ off MSRP and it’s been hard to not pull the trigger. However, I’m enjoying not having a vehicle note and also waiting to see just how low the prices will continue to drop.

  • @dumbcarguys
    @dumbcarguys 7 місяців тому +2

    It's time. It needs to crash. It has been out of hand for the last 5 years. Majority of consumers are buying vehicles outside their budget. Carrying it over from 2-3 cars, to keep up with the Jones'. Dealerships wholeheartedly took advantage of this and now its time for them to take a hit.

  • @granthartley3291
    @granthartley3291 7 місяців тому

    I work for Honda on the manufacturing side, we are full tilt. im not at the dealer level but sales are strong.

  • @topsecretmx5142
    @topsecretmx5142 7 місяців тому

    The automakers did not price themselves out on their own they had help from the dealers. Almost all dealers were having trouble getting inventory so they chose to order the vehicles most profitable to their bottom lines vehicles that had tons of options. This caused the manufacturers to shift to producing more top end models and less lower trims. With inflation prices and interest rates being out of control nobody can afford them anymore even if you can finance it for 8yrs.

  • @pearlbluesoul
    @pearlbluesoul 7 місяців тому

    Covid flip market is what crushed used market. More than anything else, chip shortages that caused used cars to be in demand and then flippers came in to buy and resell at a premium while they were inflated.

  • @davidbeck305
    @davidbeck305 7 місяців тому

    Prices have been out of control for a while. Doesn’t seem to stop people from buying them. Interest rates are the game changer in my opinion.

  • @seanmorgan5819
    @seanmorgan5819 7 місяців тому

    I went to look at a new f150 sxt “base model” with excellent credit and the rate was 8% for 84 months with a payment of almost $1000 through fords financing program. I was blown away.

  • @ToStompU
    @ToStompU 7 місяців тому

    All we have right now in our market is the very few people who actually have enough money to keep this going so the stretch between poor and rich is huge.

  • @derekgraham603
    @derekgraham603 7 місяців тому

    Electric eels are fresh water 😂... all great points a few years ago I was going to order a new truck and went used instead. So glad I didn't fall in the trap saved a ton of money for something I'm just going to work on anyways. Life's too short to stay stock

  • @ryanwatson6911
    @ryanwatson6911 7 місяців тому

    Its a simple matter of economics. Their manufacturing and sales strategy was a tremendous failure and average people know when literally everything is getting more expensive that it might be a better decision to fix a vehicle than to buy one. The interest rates do not help affordability as well