Virus outbreak in a model city: How important is social distancing?

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  • Опубліковано 5 сер 2024
  • In light of the current corona virus (COVID-19) pandemic, I created a little model to explore different measures to fight viruses. How effective are measures such as tests, quarantine, and social distancing?
    Feel free to share the video, and if you like to explore various questions with simple models like this, don't forget to subscribe!
    Sources:
    Rhodes, A., et al. "The variability of critical care bed numbers in Europe." Intensive care medicine 38.10 (2012): 1647-1653.
    Distribution of household sizes roughly according to:
    www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Ges... (last accessed 3/25/2020)
    You can also find me at:
    / tobiasllemke
    / marblescience
  • Наука та технологія

КОМЕНТАРІ • 63

  • @ImMigrant98086
    @ImMigrant98086 3 роки тому +35

    The one dislike is from an infected marble

  • @dionysus326
    @dionysus326 4 роки тому +20

    This is impressive, Great Work!!
    Instant suscribe

  • @shayansheshashayan4083
    @shayansheshashayan4083 3 роки тому +2

    A mathematical approach to solve the crisis always helps.

  • @irishfeler9675
    @irishfeler9675 2 роки тому +1

    I stumbled along this by chance, but I love these videos! Very clear and concise explanations and applications of data science. Your channel is a hidden gem of UA-cam

  • @christophbucker1142
    @christophbucker1142 4 роки тому +12

    Very clear and nicely presented model. Thank you

  • @garyboy7135
    @garyboy7135 3 роки тому +18

    This is amazing. Perhaps you can do tutorials on how you do these simulations ?

    • @MarbleScience
      @MarbleScience  3 роки тому +24

      I probably won't find the time to make such tutorials, but you can find my code on Github: github.com/TobiasLe/VirusMarbleModel
      If you know some python this might give you some insights.

    •  3 роки тому +1

      @@MarbleScience thank you for this repo. I was exactly looking for that. and btw Great sims!! keep up the hard work!!

  • @xinz2937
    @xinz2937 2 роки тому +1

    Loved it, a great example and illustration of explaining the importance of social distancing!

  • @richardwolf843
    @richardwolf843 3 роки тому +1

    Loved the simulation, also loved the reflection of this experiment at the end of the video. For me your work is not 'humble' at all.
    Would love to see more people on the internet so positively persuading yet so intelligent.
    Thank you for the video.

  • @arkady1028
    @arkady1028 3 роки тому

    I see this vid now for the first time in a almost pandemic year. is it possible that this youngman is becomming the president off the WHO. We need this intelligent youngsters to beat the fossils in the leadership. Thanks, you are a gold marble

  • @baxtersegers1445
    @baxtersegers1445 3 роки тому

    Very high-quality video and I love this style of simulation. I will be following this channel for a while.

  • @Taylor-ub8eb
    @Taylor-ub8eb 3 роки тому +1

    watching this in November. spot on.

  • @ryanwong1412
    @ryanwong1412 3 роки тому

    I wish that all Americans watch this video and see the importance social distancing / quarantining.
    Awesome code and video. Please keep it up!

  • @ridethree
    @ridethree 3 роки тому +1

    Best video I have seen all year. Keep up the great work! Subscribed!

  • @andrewd9518
    @andrewd9518 3 роки тому +1

    Keep up the good work I am sharing. THIS is the kind of information that needs to be shared on Facebook.

  • @flamingocobra73
    @flamingocobra73 3 роки тому +1

    I love your videos, I look forward to the following ones. Greetings from Spain

  • @v.dineshkumar2562
    @v.dineshkumar2562 3 роки тому

    Boss, U are a great story teller. I wish, you had made more videos and post them regularly. Waiting for the contents on this channel to get regular.

  • @valor36az
    @valor36az 3 роки тому +1

    Please keep up the work your videos are amazing

  • @spikarooni6391
    @spikarooni6391 3 роки тому

    Congratz on 500K subs in 2 years

  • @jacopogianolli8305
    @jacopogianolli8305 3 роки тому +1

    Great video! Very interesting

  • @justinhealey-htcohio3798
    @justinhealey-htcohio3798 4 роки тому +2

    Awesome Video!

  • @matzelauda6673
    @matzelauda6673 3 роки тому

    Nice animations!

  • @metinEsturb
    @metinEsturb 3 роки тому

    Hammer video! Seit langem mal wieder ein Kanal bei dem ich sogar Benachrichtigungen aktiviere, weil ich mich schon auf dein nächstes Video freue :)

  • @ScazzaMage
    @ScazzaMage 3 роки тому

    Impressive work, instant sub indeed! :D

  • @nicolasd6304
    @nicolasd6304 3 роки тому +4

    your work is impressive and thanks you talk slowly (i learn english)

  • @s.e.7268
    @s.e.7268 3 роки тому

    It is a very good visualization of the SEIR Model, I guess. Great work!!

  • @marcoadorno4367
    @marcoadorno4367 3 роки тому

    Great video!

  • @Dennis-hb8tw
    @Dennis-hb8tw 4 роки тому +2

    Will you publish the simulation and details somewhere? Maybe in a git etc.?

    • @MarbleScience
      @MarbleScience  4 роки тому +8

      I uploaded the code to GitHub now :)
      github.com/TobiasLe/VirusMarbleModel

  • @abd.rahaman6615
    @abd.rahaman6615 3 роки тому +2

    I can build this kind of simulation by using anylogic. marblescience do you heard of anylogic. But what application actually used I am lillte bit confused.

    • @MarbleScience
      @MarbleScience  3 роки тому +2

      Interesting! No I did not know anylogic. I used python and Blender to make the simulations. You can find the code here: github.com/TobiasLe/VirusMarbleModel

    • @abd.rahaman6615
      @abd.rahaman6615 3 роки тому

      @@MarbleScience Thank you for your kind reply. I love simulation, keep uploading more videos.

  • @ScienceSeekho
    @ScienceSeekho 3 роки тому +2

    How do you do this animations? They are amazing

    • @MarbleScience
      @MarbleScience  3 роки тому +3

      I use Blender in combination with some python scripting. The physics engine is called Bullet. Bullet is also integrated in Blender, but I run it externally with a little wrapper I have written for pybullet. (github.com/TobiasLe/bpyBullet) That gives me a bit more flexibility. For example I added sounds on collisions of marbles. I think its hardly noticeable now with the music though 😃

    • @ykartd
      @ykartd 3 роки тому +1

      @@MarbleScience STUNNING animation work!! How much time did you spend working on these animations and what's your level of experience with Blender prior to making these videos?

    • @MarbleScience
      @MarbleScience  3 роки тому +3

      @@ykartd I had basically no experience with blender or other 3D software before I started. I began with the great donut tutorial like everyone seams to: ua-cam.com/video/TPrnSACiTJ4/v-deo.html
      But yes it certainly takes time to get into it. I certainly spent spend more then a month working on this video.

  • @SellusionStar
    @SellusionStar 3 роки тому +1

    Beautiful animation. Well explained and high quality. :)
    Are you from Germany?

    • @popogast
      @popogast 3 роки тому

      Ist er. Sieh Dir doch seine Kanalinfo an!

    • @SellusionStar
      @SellusionStar 3 роки тому +1

      @@popogast Steht nichts drin. Deswegen hatte ich gefragt. Zumindest wird nichts in der mobile Ansicht angezeigt.

    • @popogast
      @popogast 3 роки тому +1

      @@SellusionStar Daran könnte es liegen. Bitte sehr:
      ua-cam.com/users/MarbleScienceabout
      "Details
      Ort: Deutschland"
      Verzeihung, falls ich zu rüpelhaft klang.

    • @popogast
      @popogast 3 роки тому

      @@SellusionStar Gestatte mir noch eine Frage: Schaust Du Dir das Gewimmel auf dem Smartphone an?

    • @SellusionStar
      @SellusionStar 3 роки тому

      @@popogast Vielen Dank, alles gut!
      Und ja, Mäusekino. 😁

  • @MrGucky2010
    @MrGucky2010 3 роки тому

    Did you use Blender to do this simulation?

  • @aashsyed1277
    @aashsyed1277 2 роки тому

    but wait...whaaat? u assumed that everybody becomes recovered? besides that awesome video!

    • @MarbleScience
      @MarbleScience  2 роки тому

      :D yes I did. For the dynamics of the virus it actually doesn't really matter if people die or recover. At least if they are immune afterwards, it is both the same from the perspective of the virus.

  • @Alex-fl2yh
    @Alex-fl2yh 3 роки тому

    This is inspired by Primer, right?
    I love the emergence of easy-to-acces Data Analysis content so people can learn how learning from Data works

    • @MarbleScience
      @MarbleScience  3 роки тому

      Thanks! Yes Primer has certainly been an inspiration.

    • @ykartd
      @ykartd 3 роки тому

      What's Primer?

    • @Alex-fl2yh
      @Alex-fl2yh 3 роки тому

      @@ykartd Check this channel, it is amazing:
      ua-cam.com/channels/KzJFdi57J53Vr_BkTfN3uQ.html

  • @fillemptytummy
    @fillemptytummy 3 роки тому

    Horrible Visual when it's speed up.