AVOID Prismatic Evolutions FOMO: Lessons From Evolving Skies

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  • Опубліковано 25 гру 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 54

  • @PikaPikaPapa
    @PikaPikaPapa  Місяць тому +5

    What is going on all you Pokemon Collecting Maniacs!! We loovveeeee our data here at the PikaPikaPaPa channel so I thought's I'd share my favorite website with you down below. So if you've ever wanted to look at the same data sets that I do or wonder where I pull my numbers from check out the below!
    Use this link------ www.pokedata.io/signup?code=papa to get 10% off access to my favorite Pokémon price and data websites
    Already a member? Use code PAPA to get 10% off a paid subscription!

  • @InKleining
    @InKleining Місяць тому

    Amazing data, you always give us the details that really matter! Great presentation

  • @samersalama6275
    @samersalama6275 Місяць тому

    I forgot about this version of your videos! It scares me to see cards selling at their low end when they first come out. I will always be a little skeptical buying when the set comes out. Very interesting video.

  • @aaronhoover6201
    @aaronhoover6201 Місяць тому +3

    One of the best financial breakdown videos I’ve seen of those big hitters. And I watch way too many videos. Nicely done.

  • @colevitiritto8976
    @colevitiritto8976 Місяць тому +9

    Am I missing something? Moonbreon is NOT $821 raw NM this right now. It’s over $1200.

    • @yurxspedup
      @yurxspedup Місяць тому +2

      Almost $1400?with taxes + shipping lol

    • @colevitiritto8976
      @colevitiritto8976 Місяць тому +2

      @ exactly. His data is WAY off almost everywhere in the video

    • @MapleDragonz
      @MapleDragonz Місяць тому

      I'm looking at PriceCharting and Moonbreon is around 1000 USD raw just going off of actual completed sales on eBay. I personally don't use TCGplayer as I'm not in the states, so maybe that's where the price difference is? Also a lot of people try to sell for higher but completed transactions is where the real data is at. And I see it fluctuating between 900-1100 (also he's said in many videos it takes time to upload so he might have pulled this data 2 weeks ago when the price for moonbreon raw was actually below 900 USD)

  • @simracerjoe
    @simracerjoe Місяць тому

    Excellent data! Thank you again my friend! Always so professional!

  • @ivanaytor93
    @ivanaytor93 Місяць тому

    Sweet data! Good to see what we have experienced over the past 4 years or so, with modern pokemon singles, layed out as you did here :)

  • @nigelhankey9906
    @nigelhankey9906 Місяць тому

    So intresting
    Keep it up no one does this sort of information it’s crazy 🔥🔥
    And also invaluable and people won’t appreciate it until it’s to late!

  • @takeiteasybrah
    @takeiteasybrah Місяць тому +2

    Some people are comparing PrEv to Crown Zenith which has Eevolutions in the $20 range. And a lot of people claim that they don’t like Tera cards. This gave me hope that I would actually be able to afford the Eevolutions which I think look awesome. But then the Bootychu jumped over the Moonbreon so hard (when comparing prices on release) that now I’m back to thinking this set is going to be crazy.

  • @jims135
    @jims135 Місяць тому

    Ryan, you are awesome!!! Should have 100K subs, and hopefully that will come. Thank you again.

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  Місяць тому

      Appreciate it my friend! Thanks for the support! 🙏

  • @TripleTeeCG
    @TripleTeeCG Місяць тому

    Really liked this video. Please keep doing these formats as the months past.

  • @sylsgames2459
    @sylsgames2459 Місяць тому +4

    I feel like although the data presented is good, and it's nice to see how ES has done in the past. It's not really comparable imo. The hype now is bigger than it was at the start of ES. There wasn't really an ES for people to fomo over back then. Now that everyone has seen what ES did, everyone's been waiting for the next ES. Everyone's going to buy, everyone's going to hold. Prices will be higher. The market is booming right now. Boxes over 150-160 at release. It's a completely different market and mindset right now. Everyone wants to do the same thing, which will drive prices higher. I do agree, that once the bubble pops, if it even does, prices will drop a bit. But saying "Dont fomo prismatic because look what happened to ES and look how ES dropped" i think is wrong mindset. 2 different sets, more fomo, bigger market, anticipation of the "next es".
    Yes, don't spend your whole salary on it or use credit cards. Focus on your financial situation first, but definitely get some Prismatic product when you can. You cant even find SS, 151, TWM in the wild anymore.

    • @LittleRedCar10
      @LittleRedCar10 Місяць тому

      I agree a 1:1 comparison to ES does not work anymore. The market right now is reaching mania Fomo levels. The prices for Prismatic Evolution chase cards and sealed product will probably be sky high, and any available retail stock will be immediately grabbed by scalpers (which will push Fomo even higher).

  • @lovet5307
    @lovet5307 Місяць тому

    Great video. I think the Umbreon will skyrocket after release if the pull rates are similar to Surging Sparks. Too much fomo at the moment.
    I'm interested to see how the Japanese set will do.

  • @40YOCollector
    @40YOCollector Місяць тому

    Nice work man!! Really appreciate it!!

  • @slayerzerg
    @slayerzerg Місяць тому

    Great analysis sir!

  • @adamlassen1185
    @adamlassen1185 Місяць тому

    love this analysis 👏 👌

  • @michaelnorman8581
    @michaelnorman8581 Місяць тому

    I hope they print it like crown zenith, 151 atleast in my area did not have enough products out there day it came out it was sold out pretty much everywhere. I’m also hoping pull rates are a little better with that set that’s definitely one I think most will want to have a master set of myself included

  • @PokePackRipperNYC
    @PokePackRipperNYC Місяць тому

    Thanks for doing this!

  • @Christopher-ej6xr
    @Christopher-ej6xr Місяць тому

    First, great video as always.

  • @tylerjones3864
    @tylerjones3864 Місяць тому

    Moonbreon selling for over $1200 raw.... tons and tons of comps reflecting that.

  • @HitTheBreaks-TCG
    @HitTheBreaks-TCG Місяць тому

    Great info!

  • @voydkid
    @voydkid Місяць тому

    the thumbnail goes hard

  • @lopez156210
    @lopez156210 Місяць тому

    One thing is clear, prismatic evolutions is getting massive attention. Even though the set will be releasing product throughout 2025 the way things are it looks like there will be more demand than supply. Sadly if you missed pre orders, it could become difficult to get product on release specially at “a good price”. From what I’ve seen about this set, it’s going to be massive with quite a lot of illustrations cards so pull rates could be a disaster.
    One thing I am noticing is that there is people already pushing an agenda about trying to make prismatic evolutions into evolving skies 2.0 lol there may be some market manipulation depending on the rest of the chase/illustration cards. If the rest of the illustration cards are mediocre best believe we will have a repeat of evolving skies and umbreon will be the most wanted card. Let’s hope that’s not the case and the rest of the other cards are 🔥. Although I gotta say I am happily waiting for the set to release. In a sense, we are getting that “Eevee heroes” now that we didn’t get back in the day lol

  • @jomjom64
    @jomjom64 Місяць тому

    Great data

  • @Darko0699
    @Darko0699 Місяць тому

    I also heard gonna get a lot of stock... I preordered some to make sure because back in the day with eevee heroes I opened all my boxes and regret. Lets see what I think in 5 years if my preorder was smart or not haha

  • @lKINGl
    @lKINGl Місяць тому

    Sylveon espeon and umbreon. Mark why word they will be the top chase

  • @dizzy530
    @dizzy530 Місяць тому

    The fomo is real in the scarlet and violet era 😅

  • @kaijutraps
    @kaijutraps Місяць тому +1

    I'm just buying everything I see at msrp 🤷🏼‍♂️

  • @lKINGl
    @lKINGl Місяць тому

    Umbreon will probably be at $500-600 out the gate and quickly hit $1000 🙃

  • @nativeretrospective6931
    @nativeretrospective6931 Місяць тому +1

    Evolving Skies is 4 years old already, the old Pokemon gatekeepers hate new cards simple as that. These cards should be in TCG Pocket too, the new Moonbreon will compete with the old. This is just coping, these so called “investors” are just mad they can’t make plays on these cards and they know it.

    • @grydon6422
      @grydon6422 Місяць тому

      No, you are just simping for the new era cards for no reason, probably because you own cards like moonbreon and are thus deeply biased.
      It’s not about the new cards being bad, many of them are stunning looking. It’s about the market having logic behind it (like any investment market), which it has always more or less followed, and then that logic being thrown out of the window for no reason in the recent years because uneducated people like you fomo the prices to ridiculous levels.
      With the amount of pop these cards have, combined with the size of the hobby = amount of collectors, the prices of cards like Moonbreon are just simply unwarranted. Anyone who has followed how the market behaves for more than couple of years should be educated enough to understand the numbers don’t match up on many of the modern cards, which is why the prices should and imo will eventually crash.
      Moonbreon is what, 1.2-1.5k card as a PSA10, with a Pop of *14k.* A card from a normal set, with no real story behind it, and cool looking art but objectively nothing crazy compared to the other cards of the set and other modern sets with alt arts.
      Prior to this madness, meaning just few years ago, a card with 1k+ pop was considered ”high”, limiting the price of many cards (ironically back then I felt that was bit too low of a pop to be considered high..). And now people are acting as if 14k pop is not crazy high, or the saying the dumbest statements of them all ”pop doesn’t matter” lmao, even though the hobby has not increased 14x in a few years, not even close. It has grown, but not anywhere that much.
      Good comparison I like to throw in this topic is Munch Pikachu promo - I’ll share my analysis of it and then compare:
      1. Based on a real famous painting - combining something famous from the real world to the biggest media franchise is always a good thing, might attract art collectors outside of Pokemon too
      2. Pikachu - the mascot, always popular
      3. Part of a 5 card set, each card connecting to one another in the art - psychologically feels like a manageable small set to collect + encourages you to collect all 5 due to the link in the art -> if one booms, others might follow
      4. Part of a limited art exhibition in Japan only - Extreme exclusivity which is always a plus
      5. 3 different methods of obtaining these 5 cards, and only one method for this specific Pikachu card from the art exhibition itself, which lasted only for like a week - cool story behind the card(s).
      -> Pop is currently ~3.2k - *price of PSA10 is ~2k.* With all that behind it, with that ”low of a pop” and the price is ”only” at 2k. And the funny thing is, even though I own this card and I’d love to be biased and say it should be waay more expensive, these numbers actually make sense and follow the logic the market has followed prior to the Moonbreon craze.
      And there’s one more lesson here. People think Moonbreon cannot crash, it’s invincible right? That’s naive children talking (which is not surprising, we are talking about Pokemon cards after all). I thought the same about this very Pikachu card. I watched it climb very fast from like 1800k to some sales being above 3k, and snagged it at 2.5k which felt like a very good deal before it went out of my reach. Pop was around 1k back then. Then it stopped moving for a while, but then at some point, absolutely crashed. In the end, went as low as 900. All the points I listed above, even lower pop than today, and still dropped like 70% after a huge demand for a while. Now, it did recover mostly eventually, but it’s still under that 2.5k today and has stagnated to the 2-2.2k range.
      There is absolutely nothing but hypium keeping cards like Moonbreon as expensive as they are, as they lack most of most crucial points making a card special, and it’s way too readily available; the hobby is simply not large enough for demand to be way above 14k consistently, it’s not sustainable. It will come down *fast,* when the focus truly moves to something else and there is couple of people selling a bit cheaper than before because the demand quiets down a bit, and then the downward spiral begins. ”Beautiful art” is not enough alone, just a fraction of the performance of a card.
      A little lecture, sorry about that. Hopefully you/somebody gets something out of this.

  • @RonnieSportz
    @RonnieSportz Місяць тому

    I wonder if anyone has done statistical analysis on what drivers are best indicators for the best sets. Maybe a multiple regression analysis or even apply machine learning techniques because I doubt there are simple linear relationships. I’m thinking features like, set size, number of chase cards, specific chase pokemon (unbreon, charizard, pikachu), number of reprints, so many more. Would be a fascinating analysis.

  • @unclen2479
    @unclen2479 Місяць тому

    Is it just me or does "raw card" sound like "rock hard" lmao

  • @Theu131
    @Theu131 Місяць тому +11

    You gotta read these prices out loud. How much was moonbreon on launch day? How much after a year? I can’t read the charts on my phone because they are so small, and I’m assuming a lot of other people watch on their phones too. The only way a person can watch your videos right now and get all the info is on a lap top, full screen. You are losing anyone watching on a phone, walking or driving , or just casually listening while doing chores. If you don’t care, that’s ok, but I just sent your stuff to a friend cus I think your content is awesome, and they had to stop your last video because they listen to stuff while they drive and they cant tell what you are talking about.

    • @trentp1993
      @trentp1993 Місяць тому

      Are you going to cry about it? The 10 min you spent writing this stupid shjt you could have looked up the chart yourself.

    • @DadsDeckTCG
      @DadsDeckTCG Місяць тому +9

      Wow the entitlement! This guy is working hard proving great content and information and here you are crying for your way. You’re very rude and didn’t offer any positive constructive criticism. Try making your own content!
      If you were a good friend you’d tell your “friend” to pull over instead of watching UA-cam on the road focusing on numbers and visual data! 🤦‍♂️

    • @takeiteasybrah
      @takeiteasybrah Місяць тому +1

      I disagree. I recognize your frustration but I don’t think it would be practical for Ryan to read out all the numbers. His videos are full of data. That’s what differentiates him from other UA-camrs. But that also means that his videos are full of spreadsheets that may be difficult for some people to read on a small screen. It also means his videos are not designed to be listened to passively while doing chores. It’s unfortunate that his videos do not work for you or your friend, but I hope he doesn’t try to make them more mobile friendly because I don’t see how he could do that without decreasing their quality.

    • @Pokerley
      @Pokerley Місяць тому +2

      Im watching on phone too and can read all of the data easily. And i not even watching on Fullscreen.
      You might should consider to try glasses.
      Beside that Videos are for watching. For Driving you and your friend should better listen some music or an Podcast.
      Safety First on the streets

    • @technicalmuffin
      @technicalmuffin Місяць тому

      Tell ur friend to get on a laptop- this is no joke

  • @DookDeek
    @DookDeek Місяць тому +1

    I think because there are no booster boxes for this set, the ETBs will have some value. Pre-order became available at 12 last night from Target so I was able to order 9 ETBs. They sold out when I checked this morning so I regret not picking up more. If they end up flopping, I don't think they will go below retail so I can at least get my money back. Not saying others should invest in this though. Everyone's financial situation is different.

    • @trentp1993
      @trentp1993 Місяць тому +1

      Youre a real genius. And you got 9 dude stfu

    • @DookDeek
      @DookDeek Місяць тому

      @@trentp1993 Thank you. Yeah, Target allows a max of 3 per purchase but I was able to do 3 separate purchases of 3 so it would probably let you keep buying more that way but I stopped at that amount. Tip is to refresh Target, Walmart and Best Buys at 12am if you're up that late normally. It's like an automated restock it seems when they become available. Hope you're able to snag some in the near future for retail buddy!

  • @xoxobobo1687
    @xoxobobo1687 Місяць тому

    to much kawai for me

  • @ViolentRainbow
    @ViolentRainbow Місяць тому

    I like the set but I don't think it will hold a candle to evolving skies. Eveolving skies wasn't just about the eeveelutions, there were a ton of S tier alt arts in that set, but in prismatic evolutions a lot of the chase cards are kinda meh, I mean the eevee, glaceon, vaporeon, flareon and especially jolteon cards are so basic and boring. I like the umbreon a lot, and the espeon, sylveon and leafeon are nice too but compared the evolving skies they're pure pig filth.

  • @PikaPikaAsh
    @PikaPikaAsh Місяць тому

    Awesome man!