If you look closely at the data you're providing, and pay close attention to the actual years, you will see that in some cases, the market did not come back, in fact it got crushed. This tells me the only thing that matters is the economy. And here is what we know...the consumer is tapped out, growth is slowing, the yield curve is beginning to uninvert, and inflation is coming down quickly. Consumers are tired of paying insane prices and are beginning to curb spending. Translation = the companies in the S&P were able to benefit from inflation by passing it on to the consumer, but that has changed. Consumers are not willing to pay high prices so sales are going to come down and in order to maintain margins, companies will have to fire people, which does not bode well for the unemployment rate, which is already trending higher. That said, long term investing is fine and DCA is good, but be careful buying every small dip.
Do note that A.I. and robots are replacing jobs, so the unemployment data may not be reliable. In fact, companies' efficiencies will go up further as deadwoods are gotten rid of and profitabilty may in fact go up further. With Trump onboard, interest rates is definitely going to be reduced and Jerome Powell could be replaced.
4.2% isn't a crash, it's a pull back, which happens on average 3 times per year for the SNP 500. Though, prior to last week, it didn't follow this trend since 2023.
People are funny creatures. When stocks are high everyone is depressed or in panic that they missed the opportunity to buy. When stocks go lower they panic sell or steer away from buying these 'falling knives' they would have killed to get cheaper a month ago.
I tend to think my portfolio's going to rally this month. All Semiconductors. NVDA's up $4 today again and the markets not even open yet. Hope there're some deals to be had October 8th though, when my CD becomes available. It would be nice to ride the escalator up this time rather than buy during all-time highs like this year.
Bought short-term puts leading up to NVDA earnings, but that's when leadership in mkt is restored & semis rip again after this oversold 30% drop. PCE & CPI should give confidence for cuts.. WMT earnings & Retail# Thurs need to not be terrible
How about I just DCA in early October…it’s literally the low on my portfolio every year so why not just go 30-40% cash and go in mostly around that time and DCA after that…?
Hi Tom, Tom Lee had told us and his interview on CNBC that what happened in Japan is a one time event and he said if they unwind the rest of our stock slowly, it won’t cause any problems.
donno what u saying...i trust my own data and research..and these times are not to be long term..better be short term...max 6 months...things changing very fast.
Nasdaq Comp support 16.000. Heading to 18600. Charts are the bible,forget everything else.Especially if consumer spending this week is ok. Support at 16.000 is confirmed.
I would like to ask about December, cause I heard many times, that December/January is awful too (but maybe only for daytraders?) Would be happy to hear your opinion about it. Thank you
The information is so controlled it’s nuts. Democrats are manipulating the information as the election is coming up and the dollar is losing its global power. Still the better currency but it will bring pain to the health of the dollar.
Funny you should say this, when my channel did 240% more views over the past 6 months and is growing at 17k new subscribers per month which is 4x the usual pace. 🤣
Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680k savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.
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The mret is both insane concecrted and esilynmanupted by the banks and hedges funds
😊
If you look closely at the data you're providing, and pay close attention to the actual years, you will see that in some cases, the market did not come back, in fact it got crushed. This tells me the only thing that matters is the economy. And here is what we know...the consumer is tapped out, growth is slowing, the yield curve is beginning to uninvert, and inflation is coming down quickly. Consumers are tired of paying insane prices and are beginning to curb spending. Translation = the companies in the S&P were able to benefit from inflation by passing it on to the consumer, but that has changed. Consumers are not willing to pay high prices so sales are going to come down and in order to maintain margins, companies will have to fire people, which does not bode well for the unemployment rate, which is already trending higher. That said, long term investing is fine and DCA is good, but be careful buying every small dip.
😂
Do note that A.I. and robots are replacing jobs, so the unemployment data may not be reliable. In fact, companies' efficiencies will go up further as deadwoods are gotten rid of and profitabilty may in fact go up further. With Trump onboard, interest rates is definitely going to be reduced and Jerome Powell could be replaced.
4.2% isn't a crash, it's a pull back, which happens on average 3 times per year for the SNP 500. Though, prior to last week, it didn't follow this trend since 2023.
MAIN REASON FOR THIS 'URGENT WARNING' = TOM'S NEW SHIRT. GOT IT. :)))
🤪
People are funny creatures. When stocks are high everyone is depressed or in panic that they missed the opportunity to buy. When stocks go lower they panic sell or steer away from buying these 'falling knives' they would have killed to get cheaper a month ago.
100% agree
Market is just like the sea, small fish medium fish, and there is whale eat them all, be carefull
Chicken Little never seems to get tired of proclaiming "the sky is falling"; or is it the little boy who cried wolf one too many times ??
???
Exactly!
@@TheTravellingScotsman I think I need to travel to Scotland & probably live there. Looks like the people there aren't gullible 🐑🐑🐑
Thank you brother Tom , God bless you 🙏
You won't see it coming!!!!
Nope.
Tom forget about the economy - enjoy some Papaya & Ananas in Thailand
Mango sticky rice
I tend to think my portfolio's going to rally this month. All Semiconductors. NVDA's up $4 today again and the markets not even open yet. Hope there're some deals to be had October 8th though, when my CD becomes available. It would be nice to ride the escalator up this time rather than buy during all-time highs like this year.
Unless we get a recession and the market will take a 50% hair cut.
Thanks bro! Always informative and helps keep me calm.
Loving the shirt Tom!
❤️
Thanks for amazing analysis… now just sit and DCA
Bought short-term puts leading up to NVDA earnings, but that's when leadership in mkt is restored & semis rip again after this oversold 30% drop. PCE & CPI should give confidence for cuts.. WMT earnings & Retail# Thurs need to not be terrible
How about I just DCA in early October…it’s literally the low on my portfolio every year so why not just go 30-40% cash and go in mostly around that time and DCA after that…?
Great presentation.
This changes everything….
How is BRK B as an investment?
Saying BUY now and the next week.
Thank you Tom..always appreciate ❤❤❤
Tom, we’re in anomalous territory. PLTR in pre-trading is considerably up. We’ll see.
Many new contracts , increased competition in the business world and global chaos is probably adding to PLTR profits
Hi Tom, Tom Lee had told us and his interview on CNBC that what happened in Japan is a one time event and he said if they unwind the rest of our stock slowly, it won’t cause any problems.
The BEST youtuber on youtube!!!
Advise should have been prior mpondaty morning TOOO Late
Past performance does not necessarily repeat in the future!
You need to relax a bit
donno what u saying...i trust my own data and research..and these times are not to be long term..better be short term...max 6 months...things changing very fast.
Could have done with an urgent warning before seeing that shirt Tom!
Fed cut will dump markets when any remanining yen carry trades unwind. Thats just my opinion
What if Thursday Initial Jobless Claims are 255000? Won't that trigger another recession fear crash to new lows?
Assumptions.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Nasdaq Comp support 16.000. Heading to 18600. Charts are the bible,forget everything else.Especially if consumer spending this week is ok. Support at 16.000 is confirmed.
I like your shirt. Oh and the video!
Nice Shirt and good Advise
Where does this leave small caps / rus2000? Will rate cuts push them to out perform the s&p ?
Good morning Tom. Thanks for the update.
Big deal.
We wait another year and Tesla will still be down well below its high of $400.
I would like to ask about December, cause I heard many times, that December/January is awful too (but maybe only for daytraders?) Would be happy to hear your opinion about it. Thank you
I expect it to revisit 5200 and then back up
Thanks for the warning and doing the analysis that benefits us all.
Thank you Tom for the in depth analysis and insights
Much appreciated
Nope i dont like gambling. Looking past years and compere to curent environment is not corect.
Why wouldn't it just stay at this level?
He changed his shirt 😂
nice shirt
where did u get the data source, Tom? Can share please, many thanks :)
Oh I thought the thumbnail was talking about your shirt?
Haha that shirt is legendary my guy
Hahah, my man
Koh Samui is amazing.
Everyone gets paid except mmtlp..sad soo sad
Thanks from Brazil Tom
Its not market manipulation.... it just looks exactly like market manipulation. Definitely two very different things!😂
GM, Tom. Nice PJs. 😊
Cpi ppi and inflation this week. Plus Iran. Don't think the historic data can account for those. Either way i bought last week
Lol
Who else thinks Versidium will outperform XRP soon?
Tread carefully, something big is coming as the economy is tanking without them saying so.
The information is so controlled it’s nuts. Democrats are manipulating the information as the election is coming up and the dollar is losing its global power. Still the better currency but it will bring pain to the health of the dollar.
Great research. Thank you, Tom.
Buffet owns more t bills thwn entire US government
Last week was warning shot for uninversion flush dead ahead
Any of stats will be dwarfed by the cpi and PPI data this week…. Those stats mean NOTHING!!! Thanks though
Jamie Dimon is predicting a recession. Any thoughts on that Tom?
Stop looking at past charts without contextualizing... basics of investing I thought
Thank you for your analysis and clarification 😊😊😊
Not to panic! Got it 👍
nice shirt.
😂 Your hair is looking more & more like Tom lee s 😂.....
👍
Man! Show-stopping shirt today 🤓
Boom!
Let's see if the EV and AI sectors can start off the week Green.? Thumbs Up video/ comments. Thanks
Nice shirt 😁👍
Thanks Tom !!
What's with the shiner Tom?
Grandpa started something so I had no choice but to help him
Your optimism frightens me
thanks
I am ready Tom, I am casting my fishing poles right now....buying Palantir at 21$, NVDA at 75$, come on baby! Hey Tom Lee where you at???🤣
Thanks for this checkpoint Tom 🙏
Love your vids
Get KASPA!!!!!
Thanks Tom 🙏
But we are in August
Definitely not third.
96th.. spot for sale 1000 PLTR shares o.n.o
Rumour is that NVIDIA will announce very bullish news on it's earnings.
🧨 totally agree
your clickbaits are making you more and more irrelevant, because people don't even open your videos just to see nothing important that you said...
Funny you should say this, when my channel did 240% more views over the past 6 months and is growing at 17k new subscribers per month which is 4x the usual pace. 🤣
I like the statistics, thanks.
Glad to hear it!
nice top😀
Glad you like it! Haha
Grandpa bought it for me
market is selling as I'm watching this video , 🤣
Are those your pajamas?
It’s grandpa’s
Wealthy people pulling their investments in August in order to fund kids education in the fall? :D
So now you’re wearing grandpa’s shirt. Cool, I like it!
🫡🤣
Me too. Where in Thailand can I buy it?
❤️
🎉Hi, What Do You'll Think of ACIC ⁉️
ACIC Is Up Over 1300%
Yay, some more bad news...
Tom you’re good at YouTubing. Your vacationing needs work.
Facts 🤣
👍
Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680k savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.
Everything bad then next video will be all good
Rubbish
Tom Lee: “yeah, but did you see this random stat that no one’s ever heard about that points to the market stealing your wife”
Those were some of the most useless stats I have ever heard. Sorry Tom not your best work.
3rd?
😮😮😮
First one!