IS THE STOCK MARKET ABOUT TO CRASH?
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- Опубліковано 7 лип 2024
- Big gains in the stock market have many wondering if a stock market crash is coming. This week, I show why a crash in the near term is not likely and where the opportunity in stocks lies. Plus, my regular market analysis and the trade of the week on NNOX.
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-SOFT LANDING- -HARD LANDING- ........CRASH LANDING
It’s all about Institution buying or selling - Price of stocks it’s irrelevant; Institutions always and I mean always go vs Retail Investors. So the more greed and regular people buying the Higher chance institutions pull the Rug. Just ask Buffett how much he’s buying now at this prices
If the market keeps pumping, and you’re not in it, you’re not missing out. We will see numbers lower than where we are now. Maybe not tomorrow but eventually it will. The market has NEVER gone up and ONLY up without any correction. The only way for top traders to profit is to SELL. So obviously they want to spread FOMO just so they can accumulate a few extra Ms off the dumb money. Just be patient if you missed this ride! Let it rest, or even if wait till this week or next and short it for the short term! Only when it breaks support though.
The fact that we're taking about it crashing is a clear sign it is not about to.
I promise it will crash, starting this month!!!!!! DRV IS GOING UP, WHEN DRV GOES UP, STOCKS COME DOWN
Yes this one channel is controlling the market 😂
All of the past recessions have seen M2(Money supply) shrink by .50% or less. Right now the M2 supply is at -4.10%. That's 8 times more than any of the past constrictions. In 2008 M2 shrunk less than .50% and it led to a huge crash. This crash could be worse than the great depression.
Be careful of things related to base effects. The stimulus/ expansion of M2 during COVID was absolutely unprecedented. At least some of the 2023 terrible manufacturing data is simply the effect of the denominator being exorbitantly high from the stimulus/supply chain madness of 2022. EPB research on X just put out a tweet on the M4 money supply vs. trend. After the massive COVID pile M4 has contracted, and now it's just slightly above the trendline established in 2010-2019. Personally, I'm pretty bearish on macro economic environment for the next 24 months, but some of the "this is the worst ever" reports were already baked into the cake in 2021 with the size of the batshit crazy levels of stimulus and deficit spending that were passed by Congress and/or the Fed.
Lol ok doom and gloom.
@@racerx2580 he's right
Awesome content, please keep it up 👍🏽
First time to watch your video and give thumbs up 👍🏼
Tight money, rate inversion, tighter credit, ISM and PMI extended decline suggest trouble ahead.. technically all is good.. but once support is broken the market should fall significantly.. after euphoric optimism fear is next…
It is the first time I found you on UA-cam: I learned a lot from listening to you. You do this greatly. Thank you.
I will follow you.- Kind regards from Denmark.
Tyler, as your Outlook chart reminds us, why were so many experts very wrong about 2023, and what has changed to convince the skeptic that somehow those same people are right now?
If I can’t follow stocks during the day. How do I determine if I’m buying into a swing trade vs a day trade opportunity?
Thank you for your analysis. I keep hearing from others that March is bad seasonally. You said it is positive. Do you have some stats? I also didn't hear the catalyst you mentioned that would push the small caps up in the face of rising interest rates.
I think we are going higher in all, with bitcoin leading
One of the tricks is deciding when/whether to stay in tech which is generally the best performing sector over the long term or rotate into other things temporarily that are oversold. The ratio charts can help with this as for now tech is still the king.
Dont listen to fools its time to buy!!!
Hi Tyler. What's your recommendation for a day trading platform for Canadian stocks? I'm mainly trading on the TSX.
And excellent video, by the way. Thank you!
if you trade Canadian stock not enough liquidity check out Wolves of wealth and The Trading Fraternity
Well by your logic if you consider the magnificent 7 ( or large caps ) as overbought and they are driving the S&P500 then they have a higher probability of a pull back or correction... once that happens fear takes over the market and the rest is history. I see a mild correction though not a crash.
There will be a crash or a major correction in the next weeks. Wanna bet?
tops difficult to predict - but sure feels like a correction is due.
Not yet, we go higher. Text book cup and handle formation. No reason to sell yet…
the answer to will the Market Crash will be determend on what Technologies will be released to the public . we are in a TIME of CHANGE .
echoey
Nope… just keep moving your stops up and keep riding wallstreets momentum
I am not sure of what kind of catch-up IWM can have with SP500 or NDX, because if you look at the move from the lows of 10/27/23 the two indices moved up about the same % 25+, ndx is about 30% up. No crash it is about to happen yet. Pull back starting week of 3/18-3/25 candle on a weekly chart +- a week for the 3 indices. Monthly it will be a print high this month of march and then couple of monthly candles pull back. Then melt up to the 5600+ spx and another pull back to just pop in euphoria like move as the soft landing has been achieved to 6000 everyone will be we have made it. Will have to see the pull backs and duration to give more precise numbers. Bullish year though most of the year till November elections with small sharp pull back and after that for a bit more up as politics gets sorted out since elections will be another mess to deal with.
Look at Russell 2000. Doing much of nothing.
Crash incoming