Will the Russian strategy change after the presidential elections? András György Deák, Inforádió

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Has a new Russian economic model emerged in the two years of war? Is Moscow preparing for the post-war situation? Can the former era of German-Russian cooperation, of Western technology and industrial production based on cheap raw materials, ever return? Will those who buy raw materials today have to pay in roubles? How does this affect the exchange rate? Where do you get so many roubles? What are the new export markets? What routes are used and how are they transported? Will the withdrawal of Western companies create a setback or business opportunities? Has Chinese technology entered where Western technology left?
What is the role of economic issues in the Russian presidential election campaign? How much of an issue is war? Are hardliners or pro-Westerners better able to squeeze Vladimir Putin? If the current Russian president wins, will he have more leeway to end the war? How much economic power does Russia have left to continue the aggression? What is the Russian state's income from? Where does the money that is spent on war come from?
Russian banks made a record profit of 3.3 trillion roubles last year, largely driven by demand for mortgages and loans to finance large business acquisitions. Is the population feeling the pinch? What is the imagined and real mechanism of action of EU sanctions? How is Moscow now circumventing the sanctions? Who will be hurt more in 2024?
How much economic power does Ukraine have left? What is Kiev spending Western aid on? What is working and what is not in the Ukrainian economy? After Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky replaced and then reinstated Chief of General Staff Valery Zaluzhny after his appointed successors refused to take his seat and Ukraine's international partners condemned the move - who is in charge of the Ukrainian leadership?
In autumn 2023, the NKE conducted a poll of 5,310 people on threat and security perceptions in five countries in the region (Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, Romania and Slovakia). What do they think about increased military spending, conscription, military cooperation in the region and the role of NATO? How are Hungarian perceptions similar to and different from those of other countries in the region?
András György Deák, Senior Research Fellow at the John Lukács Institute of the National University of Public Service, spoke on Inforádió's Arena programme on 31 January 2024. The presenter is Tibor Exterde. Podcast.
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