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MicroStrategy is poised to break through its previous high within the next month and trade above $600, as there is a significant amount of liquidity concentrated around the last top candle.
@@Josh-zq7pq Boring if you don't predict how on earth will you ever know when to trade. I am always looking for my next trade. If you look on the daily chart we are just poised to breakout of a W pattern and as long as we are above the daily 5EMA I will stay in the trade if we close below it I will react and close my trade.
Hey bud love the channel. If you look at the BTC chart top from 11/21 to present, you will see an expanded flat (similar to lots of market charts). It explains the funny structure and foretells a significant drop from the top which I believe will be found at 115-120k
I'm not sure the MSTR can be analysed in the usual cycles, lower highs, higher highs way. Because Saylor is able to keep the price from running too much by tapping the ATM whenever he can, so the stock will not perform like a 'normal' stock.
Price is the truth, and if the price makes lower lows and lower highs it’s in a downtrend regardless of fundamentals. But in any case, I would expect diluting shareholders to eventually put downward pressure on price.
Hello camel , been a member absolutely love what you do not many like you , learning so much from you, any reason why the vix has pumped with the Nasdaq and s and p ?
I don't agree with you on MSTR somehow being prescient of BTC, but you sure as hell taught me a great deal about the other stuff. Great content as always and cheers
it lead the top of the last cycle, lead the bottom, lead the breakout early cycle, and lead the breakout above 73k - I think it is now leading the top but that is yet to be confirmed
Hello sir graeat video as always!,i was wondering if ever you are considering to make a vix video someday if you didnt do it already in the member section And as always thanks for the authenticity!
I’m not sharp but I find that btc circulating supply tweet sus and then to use “crypto” from COIN exchange as validation shows the disconnect.. or I’m confused and btc = entire crypto market…?
'A large portion of trading volume comes from futures, options, and perpetual contracts, where the same Bitcoin can be “traded” multiple times without ever actually moving on-chain'
Fair value accounting is huge and no one is talking about it. But I guess it will soon enough be a topic, especially once we get into the new year. However am sure most will take a year to change things, so perhaps more a catalyst for 2026 new rally start.
Hey Camel love the content! Question - you think the probability is high for a crypto Macro consolidation, most alts hitting lower highs and then break out in 2028? Charts are talking. What’s your thoughts? Cheers mate
Supply shock will be caused by unexpected information. Strategic reserve is already factored in. The wildcard is what makes people remove all sell orders against sudden demand.
Open the BTC Weekly chart and draw a trend line through the closes from Dec 2017, Mar 2021, and have a look at where we just rejected last night. It's now or never time..
@@WhiskyMystery Sure, but that's not the metric. It literally counts "total bitcoin". Despite the name, it doesn't track movement of coins--just potential of movement (i.e. already mined).
I see too many similarities with 2020 BTC chart, even the dates are almost identical (taking the fractal from early September). I believe the cycle will be accelerated due to the major stock top, so it just makes so much sense to derisk around March. But we'll see what the charts will have to say
stock price of MSTR is irrelevant short term because of the ATM (At the Market) option Saylor has when it runs. So lower high this week says nothing imo.
Love a good bull video to start the week. Question: a lot of people calling for some kind of resistance around 130k. Thoughts? Any special strategy for dealing with it if it comes?
I thought that MSTR already violated the hyperwave 4th last week, if it closes at a new high this week does that mean we are not yet in the hyperwave 4th?
it has violated it - according to hyperwave theory the top is in. But as I noted plenty of times, I do not trade hyperwave, I only consult them out of interest. My system took me out ahead of hyperwave, and thus I remain out of the market.
brother it lead the top last time, lead the bottom in 22, lead the breakout early cycle, lead the breakout again to new highs above 73k. The camel crew has been using it as a leading indicator for years, if you are just noticing now, that's on you
base 220 -300 then enter a massive cool down until fall ish or early winter 2025 and rocket past 300 to ???? or i'm wrong and we all just die during tax season
Camel, unlike last cycle, tradfi investors have more ways to bet on bitcoin than MicroStrategy, are you sure you should go all in on the "MicroStrategy is leading indicator" idea? I'm not saying this is wrong, i'm just pointing out etfs etc might muddy the water.
FASB had previously recognized BTC as an indefinite intangible asset for U.S. accounting. As such, you could only record impairments to those assets on your books. Now you can reflect the gains on your BS.
my sell off targets are as follows: $156,696 (10th percentile) $173,133 (25th percentile) $192,107 (Median or 50th percentile) 60% out will let the rest run for the following higher number $211,326 (75th percentile) 80% out $227,091 (90th percentile)
Greetings from munich,germany I am a bit concerned because of this flying stuff all over the world. I dont trust the media they lie. Its made up i am sure But i am scared of its chaning the markets Sold 2 percent of my Portfolio today:D
Im not sure how the tax accounting works in US, and know it is different for public stocks, but i would love to show a loss on BTC for 3 years outa 4. Would do anything for a “loss”😂
1. Regarding the supply shock. Of course there is ALWAYS enough bitcoin to buy. At the right (higher) price. This is what is meant with supply shock. 2. Regarding MSTR. Why no mention of the NASDAQ100 inclusion, this is super bullish? And why so impatient to give MSTR only one week to reach a higher high? Exactly one week later massive amounts of liquidity will flow in due to said inclusion. 3. If crazy fartcoin memecoins are a top signal then the top was in february 2024. Clearly not the case. Memes are just part of the cycle. The whole crypto is a bubble, including all the fancy tech coins. Those projects do have value but it's all about attention. Memes are better at getting that attention than complicated (and often vaporware) tech.
if that's the final top I will be a little disappointed, but that's because I only got in after the 74k ath as I didn't really look into bitcoin before that
I expect a 50% performance next year at most: - 2023: 156% - 2024: 150% - 2025: 50% That's 9,6x growth in this cycle Also, everybody knows the play now, and sure is going to sell in the first quarter next year.
These tradfi guys have no idea how a finite supply works, it all depends on demand. This is ETF buyer’s first cycle and they will round trip and sell when the price is low, they will believe the fud. Price moves upward on the idea of a supply shock, not when it happens.
I hope we slow down and let the 100k seller dump there bags to the diamond hands . I feel we need 2 million coins to migrate from early adopters into generational wealth hands . And the same again at 200 and 500k
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Great to hear!
@@camelfinance(>^_____^
Danke Herr Kamel 🐫
Bremen, Germany represent 🐪🐫
@mastas7 Wow super 😃👌
Could I get a deep dive analysis on the fartcoin?
Thanks for the Monday update, Camel. We’d love to see BTC continue up for longer, but long strong and bearish is the way to go. Cautiously optimistic.
00:08 Hey that's me in the intro 👀😂
Love your videos.
@@tadas8808 Thanks Tadas!
The reason I’m still here watching your videos is because you are extremely good with your approach. And I’m inexperienced just wanting to make money
Just arrived, my Xmas present, 'tell that to the bond market ' mug, love it!! Thank you 🐪
Happy holidays!
MicroStrategy is poised to break through its previous high within the next month and trade above $600, as there is a significant amount of liquidity concentrated around the last top candle.
Poised to isn’t the same as through though. React don’t predict.
@@Josh-zq7pq Boring if you don't predict how on earth will you ever know when to trade. I am always looking for my next trade. If you look on the daily chart we are just poised to breakout of a W pattern and as long as we are above the daily 5EMA I will stay in the trade if we close below it I will react and close my trade.
Thanks Camel as always!
My pleasure!
Hey bud love the channel. If you look at the BTC chart top from 11/21 to present, you will see an expanded flat (similar to lots of market charts). It explains the funny structure and foretells a significant drop from the top which I believe will be found at 115-120k
Thanks Camel! Sounding positive :) will be interesting to see what happens with btc and the crypto miners this week
Thanks buddy
Hi Camel. What are your thoughts with the drone situation in the East Coast?
Have a great week!
You too!!
I'm not sure the MSTR can be analysed in the usual cycles, lower highs, higher highs way. Because Saylor is able to keep the price from running too much by tapping the ATM whenever he can, so the stock will not perform like a 'normal' stock.
Price is the truth, and if the price makes lower lows and lower highs it’s in a downtrend regardless of fundamentals. But in any case, I would expect diluting shareholders to eventually put downward pressure on price.
@@m_r__r_o_b_o_t shares are diluting, but BTC per share is increasing
Me: Damn, we made a new ATH
Camel Finance: Yeah, follow the yellow squiggle..
Thanks Camel, good update.
thank you Camel 😁😁🥰
You're welcome 😊
Hello camel , been a member absolutely love what you do not many like you , learning so much from you, any reason why the vix has pumped with the Nasdaq and s and p ?
23k subs nearly a 1k likes. 🎉
Looking at the chart perhaps phase 4 of hyperwave could be starting?
I don't agree with you on MSTR somehow being prescient of BTC, but you sure as hell taught me a great deal about the other stuff. Great content as always and cheers
it lead the top of the last cycle, lead the bottom, lead the breakout early cycle, and lead the breakout above 73k - I think it is now leading the top but that is yet to be confirmed
Pretty much sums up my stance since mid '23
Appreciate the upload! Step Finance looks user-friendly-how does it perform?
Camel crew rocks🎉🎉
Thank you Camel! Gald to be following you during this bull market.
U say if mstr fsils to print a new ath this week while btc does, its a sign of shorter cycle, but why?
Thanks Camel
I agree with u. After new ATH in 2020, we got 4 months in green candles...it may repeat 😊
Thank you
Legend 👍🏻
Great video!
Hello sir graeat video as always!,i was wondering if ever you are considering to make a vix video someday if you didnt do it already in the member section
And as always thanks for the authenticity!
I’m not sharp but I find that btc circulating supply tweet sus and then to use “crypto” from COIN exchange as validation shows the disconnect..
or I’m confused and btc = entire crypto market…?
6:20 camel surely this includes derivatives futures leverage etc? Couldntt be onchain volume of actual bitcoin
'A large portion of trading volume comes from futures, options, and perpetual contracts, where the same Bitcoin can be “traded” multiple times without ever actually moving on-chain'
Fair value accounting is huge and no one is talking about it. But I guess it will soon enough be a topic, especially once we get into the new year. However am sure most will take a year to change things, so perhaps more a catalyst for 2026 new rally start.
Hey Camel love the content! Question - you think the probability is high for a crypto Macro consolidation, most alts hitting lower highs and then break out in 2028? Charts are talking. What’s your thoughts? Cheers mate
wow, what a wild times.
Super exciting week!
Thanks aCamel
Love it mate thank you
138k...........69k.......148k.....Crash till 29900.....
Thanks and remember me
Yes because that never happens
Are camels more closely related to bulls or bears?
Love it when Camel is in high spirits and positive! Have a great week! 🐪gang
Let's see what happens in the next couple of weeks, as always good TA
Thanks!
“I’m seeing some craziness out here.” You said it, fella. 🐪
Supply shock will be caused by unexpected information. Strategic reserve is already factored in. The wildcard is what makes people remove all sell orders against sudden demand.
All the best, cheers, bye???
Open the BTC Weekly chart and draw a trend line through the closes from Dec 2017, Mar 2021, and have a look at where we just rejected last night. It's now or never time..
Do you think altcoin season will continue or are we done?
it hasnt begun
6:16 “Circulating Supply” is the number of Bitcoin that have been mined. It goes up by ~450 every day. It is not the coins that change hands.
But if every minor kept all the coins, they wouldn’t be circulating
@@WhiskyMystery Sure, but that's not the metric. It literally counts "total bitcoin". Despite the name, it doesn't track movement of coins--just potential of movement (i.e. already mined).
@@hckytwn3192 ok but then that is useless in this context as we know mined does not mean available
I see too many similarities with 2020 BTC chart, even the dates are almost identical (taking the fractal from early September). I believe the cycle will be accelerated due to the major stock top, so it just makes so much sense to derisk around March. But we'll see what the charts will have to say
stock price of MSTR is irrelevant short term because of the ATM (At the Market) option Saylor has when it runs. So lower high this week says nothing imo.
Love a good bull video to start the week.
Question: a lot of people calling for some kind of resistance around 130k. Thoughts? Any special strategy for dealing with it if it comes?
Thanks - no not really, I think we stick to the plan, trade the charts until they break
MicroStrategy hitting an all
Time high should be easy with the qqq addition.
I thought that MSTR already violated the hyperwave 4th last week, if it closes at a new high this week does that mean we are not yet in the hyperwave 4th?
it has violated it - according to hyperwave theory the top is in.
But as I noted plenty of times, I do not trade hyperwave, I only consult them out of interest.
My system took me out ahead of hyperwave, and thus I remain out of the market.
What about Saylor selling…. Does the share dilution matter at all?
Yes, but it’s more complex as the number of bitcoin per share is increasing
You and Alex becker are the only guys saying they don’t know for sure.
i cant prove it but i feel like that volume being traded over and over is price manipulation
great news
MSTR has been around Bitcoin a few years & now it’s a leading indicator. ? Sure
brother it lead the top last time, lead the bottom in 22, lead the breakout early cycle, lead the breakout again to new highs above 73k. The camel crew has been using it as a leading indicator for years, if you are just noticing now, that's on you
Thanks babe
Truly a wild time to be alive
A supply shock might just fuel alt season. "No btc left? Damn, well what else you got? Fartcoin?"
Wild times!
base 220 -300 then enter a massive cool down until fall ish or early winter 2025 and rocket past 300 to ????
or i'm wrong and we all just die during tax season
Very wise camel
lets go
I can be honest and actually will hold my hand up and say I have no idea ✋🏼
CAMEL CREW
LETS GOOOOOOOOO
Lets Gooooo!
this time is not wilder then last ten years or ten years before or before!!!
Camel, unlike last cycle, tradfi investors have more ways to bet on bitcoin than MicroStrategy, are you sure you should go all in on the "MicroStrategy is leading indicator" idea? I'm not saying this is wrong, i'm just pointing out etfs etc might muddy the water.
Heard that at the rate saylor is going, he will be out of the 21 billion ATM in ~5 weeks…
I'm starting to regret selling my BTC at 98k but i only did so knowing I had one more
$180K will be the top
⭐️🐪⭐️
Crypto Camel pump incoming
FASB had previously recognized BTC as an indefinite intangible asset for U.S. accounting. As such, you could only record impairments to those assets on your books. Now you can reflect the gains on your BS.
What do you think about the UFO nonsense?
UFO to the moon
On pulse right?
200k is too high. 110k to 120k is more likely.
Aliens coming to crash the markets ❤
I feel paper hands cause everyone is too bullish... Just ride the wave I guess
my sell off targets are as follows: $156,696 (10th percentile)
$173,133 (25th percentile)
$192,107 (Median or 50th percentile) 60% out will let the rest run for the following higher number
$211,326 (75th percentile) 80% out
$227,091 (90th percentile)
First for once!
Beat me by a sec
Isn't there a minimum age for UA-cam ?
MSTR right now tests its trend line from above on the 1h chart. 🐪 🐪🐪
German ex-finance minister just spoke positively about Bitcoin, in the parlament! ❤ Wild times indeed.
@@Kryptoherra imagine if Germany bought back 100k+ when they sold at 50k that would be funny and potentially top call for btc xD
Greetings from munich,germany
I am a bit concerned because of this flying stuff all over the world.
I dont trust the media they lie.
Its made up i am sure
But i am scared of its chaning the markets
Sold 2 percent of my Portfolio today:D
Im not sure how the tax accounting works in US, and know it is different for public stocks, but i would love to show a loss on BTC for 3 years outa 4. Would do anything for a “loss”😂
👌
Cycles going extinct again 😆
1. Regarding the supply shock. Of course there is ALWAYS enough bitcoin to buy. At the right (higher) price. This is what is meant with supply shock.
2. Regarding MSTR. Why no mention of the NASDAQ100 inclusion, this is super bullish? And why so impatient to give MSTR only one week to reach a higher high? Exactly one week later massive amounts of liquidity will flow in due to said inclusion.
3. If crazy fartcoin memecoins are a top signal then the top was in february 2024. Clearly not the case. Memes are just part of the cycle. The whole crypto is a bubble, including all the fancy tech coins. Those projects do have value but it's all about attention. Memes are better at getting that attention than complicated (and often vaporware) tech.
Agreed
Nope, i will not be disappointed when BTC hits 130k
if that's the final top I will be a little disappointed, but that's because I only got in after the 74k ath as I didn't really look into bitcoin before that
@SeppeDeVos-md7jk that's still 80%. Hardly anyone got in at the cycle low
I expect a 50% performance next year at most:
- 2023: 156%
- 2024: 150%
- 2025: 50%
That's 9,6x growth in this cycle
Also, everybody knows the play now, and sure is going to sell in the first quarter next year.
These tradfi guys have no idea how a finite supply works, it all depends on demand. This is ETF buyer’s first cycle and they will round trip and sell when the price is low, they will believe the fud. Price moves upward on the idea of a supply shock, not when it happens.
Wild time to be alive for sure. Strategic bitcoin reserve letting some big trumps boys out at the top?…..
time will tell
I hope we slow down and let the 100k seller dump there bags to the diamond hands . I feel we need 2 million coins to migrate from early adopters into generational wealth hands . And the same again at 200 and 500k
DOGE coin about to run to all time high momentum picking up