Biggest Market Black Swan Events: Former Intelligence Officer Lewis Sage-Passant

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  • Опубліковано 13 чер 2024
  • Lewis Sage-Passant, who formerly worked for British military intelligence and is now the Global Head of Intelligence at Novo Nordisk, discusses the threats of terrorism, war, and current geopolitical hotspots around the world.
    *This video was recorded on May 20, 2024
    Listen on Spotify: open.spotify.com/show/510WZMF...
    Listen on Apple Podcasts: podcasters.spotify.com/pod/sh...
    LEWIS SAGE-PASSANT
    Twitter (@LSagePassant): x.com/LSagePassant
    Encyclopedia Geopolitica: encyclopediageopolitica.com/
    UA-cam: / @encyclopediageopoliti...
    FOLLOW DAVID LIN:
    Twitter (@davidlin_TV): / davidlin_tv
    TikTok (@davidlin_TV): / davidlin_tv
    Instagram (@davidlin_TV): / davidlin_tv
    For business inquiries, reach me at david@thedavidlinreport.com
    *This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
    0:00 - Intro
    1:29 - Lewis’ background
    2:59 - Terrorism
    11:50 - Taiwan Strait
    18:51 - Iran-Israel
    27:00 - War in Ukraine
    37:02 - Global security risks
    #investing #geopolitics #economy

КОМЕНТАРІ • 162

  • @Reathety
    @Reathety 24 дні тому +88

    If I wanted the CIA's / MI6's opinion I'd turn on the TV.

    • @iriscrocus1717
      @iriscrocus1717 24 дні тому +6

      very well said

    • @oishibeats5476
      @oishibeats5476 24 дні тому +4

      Best comment i heard the guy talking about "Other nations using proxys but not the G7" and i knew i had to turn off this video right away. Great comment doe, my thoughts exactly.

    • @thorstentrapp274
      @thorstentrapp274 24 дні тому +1

      Bang on!

    • @sg137iu89
      @sg137iu89 23 дні тому +1

      Now you're on the list! 👉

    • @wilfhigginson465
      @wilfhigginson465 23 дні тому

      @@sg137iu89 now we are too😂

  • @kyleb4327
    @kyleb4327 24 дні тому +54

    Requirement for getting an interview: "Must have a bookshelf behind you"

    • @qake2021
      @qake2021 24 дні тому +2

      🤣🤣🤣👍😁😁😁

    • @dustinmiller2775
      @dustinmiller2775 24 дні тому +1

      It's so true. Those shelves get smaller and smaller, too. I've seen like, ten books before.

    • @deborahcurtis1385
      @deborahcurtis1385 24 дні тому +1

      @@dustinmiller2775 Actually depending on the relevant field, some try to hide the books they are reading for security reasons. So only ten books could be deliberately misleading.

    • @dougscott188
      @dougscott188 24 дні тому

      I used to have a large bookshelf and after we sold our house I got rid of almost all of them and only read Kindle now. Saves a lot of space.

    • @borisborisov5636
      @borisborisov5636 24 дні тому +1

      pretty sure he has not read any of those books

  • @stevecooper9896
    @stevecooper9896 24 дні тому +48

    Lewis Sage-Passant still thinks Russia blew up Nordstream, give him the sack.

    • @AK-hs6kz
      @AK-hs6kz 24 дні тому +8

      hes a liar😂

    • @davidrelyea6284
      @davidrelyea6284 23 дні тому +3

      read this comment and stopped the video. Not worth listing to him.

    • @user-jx5bm2jj8j
      @user-jx5bm2jj8j 23 дні тому +1

      No credibilities

    • @shinobudev
      @shinobudev 23 дні тому

      Why? Is it not possible that it was really Russia? Or perhaps a combination of both? Why are we limiting ourselves to a black and white truth?

    • @joemurray8902
      @joemurray8902 22 дні тому

      1: It was David Lin who mentioned it - and he said as recent - Nordstream is not recent. Lewis did not say anything about any pipeline. (go back and look - I did)
      2: David was referencing the recent "suspicious" damage to the Balticconnector pipeline - which they are now are saying it was from a ship dragging its anchor accross the line. But they originally suspected Russia. And that is what David was talking about - but as I said Lewis never addressed it.

  • @wanasong5611
    @wanasong5611 24 дні тому +42

    FREE JULIAN ASSANGE!

    • @jakelemay7913
      @jakelemay7913 24 дні тому +1

      We should say so more often. Thanks.

  • @tenplus1025
    @tenplus1025 23 дні тому +9

    This guys take proves working in intelligence and understanding intelligence can be mutually exclusive. Ukraine loses this war in every scenario

  • @5ayes12
    @5ayes12 24 дні тому +22

    head of intelligence of a pharmaceutical company for fat people and british intelligence my favourite oxymoron

  • @vallmak
    @vallmak 24 дні тому +33

    David made his hair look extra cool today to rub it into the bald guy's face. Messed up David.

    • @kyleb4327
      @kyleb4327 24 дні тому +4

      😂

    • @dustinmiller2775
      @dustinmiller2775 24 дні тому

      This comment leads me to believe you may have suffered Narcissistic abuse 😏

    • @scott7521
      @scott7521 23 дні тому

      Weird. Lots of people here that are follicle obsessed.

    • @joemurray8902
      @joemurray8902 22 дні тому

      LOL!!!!

  • @duperpokgab
    @duperpokgab 24 дні тому +7

    The irony is that everyone knows about the Taiwanese geopolitical risks. So while the threats are real, the general preparedness towards the possibility of such an outcome eliminates it as a black swan.

    • @joemurray8902
      @joemurray8902 22 дні тому

      Good point!

    • @darrenhere5856
      @darrenhere5856 19 днів тому

      NVDA is holding up the whole market. you think if TSM shuts down the market yawns ??

  • @Success101king
    @Success101king 24 дні тому +7

    You nailed this interview. Great questions eventhough it's outside of you usual finance niche.

  • @colonelflashman972
    @colonelflashman972 24 дні тому +3

    Great show, information .job done

  • @petervelasquez8784
    @petervelasquez8784 23 дні тому +1

    Damn Bro, take a break. Good job, good job. It’s okay to take a break, we’ll still be here.

  • @myutube8x
    @myutube8x 23 дні тому

    You surely came prepared and conducted an excellent interview on this new important topic.
    And thank you for having this fantastic quest Lewis on, to fill in so many gaps for us. A+

  • @MrGear
    @MrGear 24 дні тому +54

    It's been dumping and pumping in this range for ages! It's technically just going sideways, sideways means generally stagnant. More emphasis should be put into day trading, as it less affected by the unpredictable nature of the market. Trading has been going smooth for me as I managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 432k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Tobias Hawke, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

    • @MrGear
      @MrGear 24 дні тому

      Tobias Hawke program is widely available online..

    • @cat6318
      @cat6318 24 дні тому

      Exploring new investment opportunities demonstrates your proactive stance towards financial growth during these volatile times. Diversifying your portfolio can play a crucial role in effectiveIy mitigating risks..

    • @liwi46
      @liwi46 24 дні тому

      Over the years, I've been a part of numerous trading programs, sifting through a barrage of information. Yet, nothing has come close to the sheer clarity, depth, and precision of Tobias insights. It's akin to finding a diamond in a coal mine.

    • @BCelt348
      @BCelt348 24 дні тому

      Indeed, the recent market downturn serves as evidence that a vast majority of individuals lacked a sufficient understanding of the underlying financial dynamics at play.

    • @LeoVillaraza
      @LeoVillaraza 24 дні тому

      Tobias gave me the autonomy I need to learn at my own pace and ask questions when I need to he’s so accommodating.

  • @RaymondLi604
    @RaymondLi604 24 дні тому +5

    32:46 Russia vs Italy economies the same!? OMG, major blindspot here. Why NATO & Western economies are in decline 📉

  • @spivackl
    @spivackl 24 дні тому +5

    Great to see that David has taken his great interviewing skills into his own program. But i think he left his comb behind back at kitco. I hope they can forward it!

  • @ronaldingleby8158
    @ronaldingleby8158 24 дні тому +13

    This guy needs to listen to McGregor and Ritter for current Uke/Rooskie war situation. His view is summer 2020.

    • @deborahcurtis1385
      @deborahcurtis1385 24 дні тому

      I think he'd be well aware of their stances and level of credibility, and would be staying well away.

    • @pranotisurve
      @pranotisurve 23 дні тому

      “His view is summer 2020” 😂😂😂

    • @wasdwasdedsf
      @wasdwasdedsf 22 дні тому

      @@deborahcurtis1385 the narrative and views of people like this one in the video are the laughing stock , actually

    • @jennyadams108
      @jennyadams108 22 дні тому

      Agreed

  • @pongod5751
    @pongod5751 22 дні тому

    David's show is wild

  • @carolinacamilo3261
    @carolinacamilo3261 24 дні тому +2

    I enjoyed this one!

  • @14Unow
    @14Unow 24 дні тому +6

    Taiwan biggest trading partner is China. Logically, that is where their future exists. If the West is interfering in this relationship and what is it hoping to achieve? Taiwan is historically a Chinese island and people there speak Chinese.

    • @jennyadams108
      @jennyadams108 22 дні тому

      Well said!

    • @connorferguson2269
      @connorferguson2269 9 днів тому

      I'm not going to point out how I can tell your a little pink, but I know, your country is failing due to your brainless leaders and your people will be better of in the end when it happens.

  • @innoccente1
    @innoccente1 24 дні тому +30

    This Analyst is so full of BS he may as well be recruited to work for the state department!

  • @johnpasierbowicz
    @johnpasierbowicz 23 дні тому +1

    Black Swan events, by definition, are completely unknown and come out of nowhere. COVID… MBSs… So speculating on various Black Swan events automatically DQs them from being a Black Swan event…

  • @matthuntelaar8486
    @matthuntelaar8486 24 дні тому +6

    Why is CIA on this channel?

  • @speteydog2260
    @speteydog2260 23 дні тому

    Nice to the point interview. Lots of knowledge. Thank you.

  • @azzeddinemechedal666
    @azzeddinemechedal666 23 дні тому

    That's why his bearish 😅😂😂🎉. More people like this one please 🙏 David 😅

  • @markperl5900
    @markperl5900 23 дні тому

    Very interesting and well informed guest. Thanks, David. I've steered well clear of any holding in Nvidia specifically because of the threat of China. Sooner or later, they will definitely take Taiwan, and I'm sure we'll only find out after the fact, by which time any investment there will be down the toilet. There has never been more geo-political stress or industrial espionage threat. Great interview 👍🏻

  • @Arteshir
    @Arteshir 22 дні тому +1

    Do the kids playing in the background pose vc any security risk to the neighbors?

  • @user-nn8wg2py4z
    @user-nn8wg2py4z 23 дні тому

    someday the bookshelf in the background will be bare with only a kindle.

  • @jackwalsh1468
    @jackwalsh1468 24 дні тому +1

    David, I see you stepping into "Tom Clancy's" shoes and working on a future book deal.
    "How to make a body double using AGI" Is it "David Lin" or an "AGI Body Double"
    100's of ways to present one's hair style. Cheers, Mate.

  • @KoDeMondo
    @KoDeMondo 24 дні тому +1

    It's really strange this guy didn't mention anything about the Ben Gurion canal project that is passing directly to Gaza.

  • @jennyadams108
    @jennyadams108 22 дні тому

    He is way behind the curve.

  • @baffinsansterre
    @baffinsansterre 23 дні тому

    David, have a look on Sam Cooper's work on chinese political & economical infiltration in Canada.

  • @douglasthompson9482
    @douglasthompson9482 23 дні тому

    Excellent interview. My training is very similar, not as in-depth though.

  • @cjoe1950
    @cjoe1950 16 днів тому

    I literally fell asleep half way

  • @danielorzech4563
    @danielorzech4563 24 дні тому +2

    Excellent interview!

  • @ScottsFinancialThoughts
    @ScottsFinancialThoughts 22 дні тому

    The US is still paying cheap gas prices compared to many other countries.

  • @randolphr5074
    @randolphr5074 24 дні тому +4

    This guy works for pharma and the state but we’re supposed to trust him?
    Lmaoooooooooooooooooo

  • @dogbox2290
    @dogbox2290 24 дні тому

    Disruption in all layers of a functioning flourishing society.

  • @mrwolf750
    @mrwolf750 24 дні тому +4

    Where did he buy that beard?

    • @genestone4951
      @genestone4951 24 дні тому

      Im guessing he takes Testosterone... certainly doesn't have it naturally.

    • @good2goskee
      @good2goskee 24 дні тому

      goes with the fake spy glasses and costume nose..... he (she) is actually a circus midget in disguise

    • @InvestgoldUK
      @InvestgoldUK 24 дні тому +2

      It was his disguise for the video

    • @iriscrocus1717
      @iriscrocus1717 24 дні тому +1

      Come on now - he is the intelligence man so has to have a disguise.

    • @Resmith18SR
      @Resmith18SR 23 дні тому +1

      The same place David bought his hair.😂😂😂

  • @RaymondLi604
    @RaymondLi604 24 дні тому

    24:17 Iran vs Israel - you totally skipped the military math! Millions vs billions! Sustainability! 🚀

  • @user-ow3ni2zd2x
    @user-ow3ni2zd2x День тому

    Where is kim Philby

  • @paddyervine6192
    @paddyervine6192 23 дні тому +1

    I don’t believe a word the “so called” “Lewis” “Sage””Passant” “claims” in his “interview”.

  • @ChrisTopher-vs9zz
    @ChrisTopher-vs9zz 24 дні тому +7

    What a stupid guess! I stopped watching it the 6 Minute 50 second mark because he was talking about terrorism and state-sponsored this and stay sponsored that but not one single time did he say the word Iran. That one single time did he say Hamas. That one single time did he say hooties. That one single time did he say Hezbollah. And this guy is a so-called expert?

    • @GardenDoctorKris
      @GardenDoctorKris 24 дні тому

      Hooties and the blowfish

    • @oishibeats5476
      @oishibeats5476 24 дні тому

      Closed it down aswell when he said G7 Dont Do proxy wars, they are the forefathers of proxy wars, this guy is talking pure CIA Propaganda.

  • @jeremiahrygh8119
    @jeremiahrygh8119 22 дні тому

    The channel is for those who miss daytime dramas. It continually talks about the same stuff from a thousand different angles. Mostly about Trump because it's one of the most consistent money makers for them

  • @Stuey-007
    @Stuey-007 24 дні тому

    What a great interview… China is going to hurt with the Straits of Hormuz… It’s probably the largest user of the route so if it wants to trade with the West then it better start thinking about being a team player

  • @Kristofur77
    @Kristofur77 24 дні тому

    Sorry about your Canucks David

  • @RaymondLi604
    @RaymondLi604 24 дні тому

    11:56 On Taiwan reunification - see Hong Kong - how it fell in economic significance compared to mainland's tier 1 cities. This pattern repeated, when mainland's domestic semicons meet then beat Taiwan's. Economics over kinetics 🏳️

  • @iriscrocus1717
    @iriscrocus1717 24 дні тому +1

    He uses the word inteligence a few times and it makes him inteligent.

  • @ronfesta771
    @ronfesta771 24 дні тому

    Me thinketh it's always., overcast in........Jolly 'ol!@!?😝😂🤪

  • @fooling6373
    @fooling6373 24 дні тому +3

    I can't believe that China would ever risk its economy over Taiwan. I think the whole conversation is ridiculous.

    • @simonlo9956
      @simonlo9956 23 дні тому

      Agreed. The Chinese prefer to win without any actual fighting and will stay on this course to its exhaustion or they get what they want. This could take decades, who knows what the world will be like then. Most of us will probably be dead.

  • @backrack01
    @backrack01 24 дні тому +1

    Interesting guest.

  • @ALANGREENSPAN420
    @ALANGREENSPAN420 24 дні тому

    🚨BLACK🚨SWAN🚨SEASON🚨

    • @edwardk3
      @edwardk3 24 дні тому

      No. Black Swans hurt women disproportionately!

  • @ALANGREENSPAN420
    @ALANGREENSPAN420 24 дні тому +3

    🪙BYOB🪙BE🪙YOUR🪙OWN🪙BANK🪙

  • @Resmith18SR
    @Resmith18SR 23 дні тому

    Do they even have a decent Chinese buffet in China? 😂

  • @BobHaikou
    @BobHaikou 24 дні тому

    Taiwan is not high risk. It's low risk. It's high consequences. Correct me if I'm wrong.

  • @staticchair
    @staticchair 24 дні тому +3

    Shilly

  • @donragnar8430
    @donragnar8430 24 дні тому

    Always wary of bald analysts since Macro Alf

  • @tenplus1025
    @tenplus1025 24 дні тому

    From government to the upper echelon of the private sector. Seems like the path of least resistance nowadays. Teach the private sector how to coerce the public like government. 😂

  • @maxwolf8055
    @maxwolf8055 23 дні тому +2

    🤣👉 BULL 💩 US PROPAGANDA

  • @pauliuspetkus9830
    @pauliuspetkus9830 24 дні тому +2

    To be honest interview about nothing… sorry 😀 dude didn’t say anything new

  • @azzeddinemechedal666
    @azzeddinemechedal666 23 дні тому

    Tomorrow Nvidia will provide your points 😅

  • @yttean98
    @yttean98 24 дні тому

    Running of Guests to interview now you are resorting to interviewing Intelligent Officer, what's next? My suggestion you go through most of your past interviews over the last 12-15 months or so, narrow down on the possible outcomes that may happen over the next 6-9months use your own judgements and then inform us, rather than interviewing more and more people causing factual complexity and furthermore may cause confusions among viewers. I have stopped watching many of your interviews except those from Prof. Hanke.

  • @CharlesVaughn-bm9gq
    @CharlesVaughn-bm9gq 17 днів тому

    Stay out of Taiwan andChina dispute. They will work it out without a war. Will we ever learn from history? Butt out!

  • @laudfarter1957
    @laudfarter1957 23 дні тому +2

    "Former intelligence"....did he ever have any? Lots of fancy words and British accent, empty otherwise.

  • @fatfatthewaterrat5010
    @fatfatthewaterrat5010 23 дні тому

    Dooooooooommmmmmmmmm

  • @davebrewer7170
    @davebrewer7170 24 дні тому

    Mr. Lin is looking yellowish. Jaundice? Go make an appt with Canadian health care. Please try to get in to see a doctor before 2025

  • @ElectricCult
    @ElectricCult 24 дні тому +4

    Your guest makes some interesting points but when it comes to the Russia/Ukraine war he needs to educate himself and not just parrot MSM talking points.

  • @vincentmurphy9252
    @vincentmurphy9252 24 дні тому

    ZzzzzZzzzzzZzzzzzz great to fall asleep 💤

  • @tankimlai293
    @tankimlai293 24 дні тому +4

    Don't think he is intelligence on global issues

  • @raymond_sycamore
    @raymond_sycamore 24 дні тому +3

    David, lay off the adderall...

    • @kyleb4327
      @kyleb4327 24 дні тому

      OMG 😂

    • @Resmith18SR
      @Resmith18SR 23 дні тому

      ​@@kyleb4327I think he needs more.😂😂😂

  • @seanfarley8382
    @seanfarley8382 24 дні тому +3

    Very disappointing choice of guest

  • @KoDeMondo
    @KoDeMondo 24 дні тому

    DAVID YOU CAN'T MOVING MARKET! you talk like you move goods from the shop shelves. 😂

  • @caseyrindal1815
    @caseyrindal1815 23 дні тому +1

    This guy speaks of terrisem as if its spontaneous. Worked in British intel, he knows what a game or joke it all is. Don't buy it.

  • @whdndrn
    @whdndrn 24 дні тому

    The chance China is willing to take financial hit for Taiwan is so so insignificant. Another weak episode.

  • @teamadmin9460
    @teamadmin9460 24 дні тому +1

    Novo nordisk fu crap

  • @blakeeyster3034
    @blakeeyster3034 23 дні тому +1

    Pretty boring really (tbh)

  • @JoelSonofJack
    @JoelSonofJack 24 дні тому +1

    More neocon BS David? Smh

  • @shawnb9193
    @shawnb9193 24 дні тому

    Posting dramatic titles to get clicks. Dramatic and more dramatic

  • @eldalyeffendi6171
    @eldalyeffendi6171 24 дні тому +1

    UNLIKE

  • @vamp66666666
    @vamp66666666 23 дні тому +1

    sounds stupid ngl

  • @thefixins105
    @thefixins105 24 дні тому

    This guys dyed beard is distracting me so much I just think every word out of his mouth is also not real