This is the MOST Reliable Live Tell in Poker
Вставка
- Опубліковано 9 лип 2024
- When your villian doesn't have a live oreo cookie tell to spot, one of the most reliable tells to look for is bet pacing. If a nut changing card comes that actually improved your opponent's hand, they should be pausing to consider bet sizing options for value. Snap bets on board changing cards are typically made by bluffers attempting to project strength while actually holding a weaker hand.
0:00 - Intro
1:11 - Preflop
2:47 - Flop
3:50 - Turn
5:48 - River
7:18 - Most Reliable Live Tell
10:52 - Hero Decision
10:54 - Reveal
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the biggest tell in live poker is the old guy saying it's time to go then betting half his stack. 100% poket rockets
Here are my top 3 live tells(90-95% reliability):
#1 From the Gman himself(Garrett). About 10-12 years ago he put up a series of 2-3 powerpoint videos on youtube about live tells. He took them down after 2 months and was never able to find them again. One of his tell was: if someone acting before you take a long time to check, it is usually a sign he doesn't want to see a big bet from you and will mostly fold to it(like a second pair or a draw).
#2 Got it from an old Negranu interview. after someone make a big polarizing bet if you ask them how much they have behind. If they overeact and raise their arm super quick(in a jerk reaction) to show you their chips they are usually bluffing. If they are calmly showing you so you can count it is usually a true bet.
#3 Commonly known but still alot of people don't know about this one. If someone bet big and are looking everywhere other than the table/action(they are looking at the TV, the celling, the waitress) they have the nuts/big big hand.
Agree with all these
Good stuff. I love live tells. They are so beneficial and pros use them if they'd like to admit it or not. It's sad what poker had come to, as it takes poker as only a left brain, mathematical game. Poker is multifaceted and the lack of info on the psychology of the game is saddening.
@@DonTrump-sv1siwhy the hell is it saddening? I love that
Most players suck at this.
"He's middle aged, in his thirties" Ouch, that hurt a bit....
I guess we ain’t surviving last 60, my friend.
I read a story of someone beating up an 'elderly' person. The person was 60. At 59 I was highly offended.
This guy is clueless, he said to many things to isolate just one, but yes that was one of the first
Happy he lost to 69
The most reliable tell I see is the sigh, or the shake of the head, and then the big bet. 99% of the time its a monster
I won't be using that technique again!
@@chaseantarctica I was just joking then. Its totally not a tell
@@timmyp34 Just kidding. Dont take me so seriously
@@chaseantarctica similar idea, but if you don’t think that the good player has reason to think you’re good, I like doing some poorly acted fake thinking, then a dumb shrug and a big bet (on a bluff)
Not all actors work in Hollywood.
I've played hands like this. When you don't have much history with villain and then treat them like a solid thinking player with reasonable ranges, but then lose a bunch at showdown cause they end up being a clown.
My favorite tell on amateurs is someone’s posture in a medium sized pot on the flop / turn on a wet-ish board. Strong correlation between posture and how hard they’re drawing
What specifically about their posture indicates a draw, and conversely, what posture indicates a strong hand?
This call is why you should be 3betting preflop here at a high frequency
This content has rocketed my win rate to the stratosphere.
Bart, you’re a legend and have all the right ideas about the game.
Thank you 🙏
never really thought about this concept before. great analysis, thanks!
The best tell is when the villain jams, flips his cards over and says: “Can you beat this?”.
Thanks for the content! Had to stop playing live for a few months due to travel but hope to get back to the streets soon
I play more than half of my sessions on the road…it’s nice to play at my home casino(s), but I can’t get out there more than once or twice a month.
If a work trip has me near a card room and my schedule allows I will definitely get in a session or two.
Bart you gotta get in TOUCH with live poker man. 78ss alllll day from sb is calling a preflop raise
Facts
Hi Bart. Thanks for the content ❤
Gotta play a raise-or-fold strategy pre-flop from the SB when you're playing these stakes against even semi-competent opponents. What hands is hero beating on the river? He's losing to all of V's over-pairs, all V's flopped or turned sets, all V's 9x, all flush draws, 87, and 43. He's basically just bluff-catching in a spot where he's losing to all of V's value-hands, and only beating maybe 12 semi-logical bluffs - AK/AQ with one club. Even if we don't give him any 96 combos, he still has about 60 hands that might take this line for value, and have TT crushed.
Maybe V shouldn't have 96 opening UTG+1, but most V's are going to have enough value in their range to barrel on this river, and not necessarily worry about hero having many stronger hands, when hero didn't 3B pre. Hero doesn't have that many really strong hands here, either, as played. Unless hero's seen V turn middling pairs like 77/88 into bluffs, I think this is just a fold on the river.
V has - AA/KK/QQ/JJ (24 overpair combos), AKcc/AQcc/AJcc/A5cc/KQcc/QJcc/JTcc/87cc/54cc/43cc (10 flush combos), 99/66/22/55 (10 boats/quads), 87s/43s (6 straights), A9s/K9s/Q9s/J9s/T9s/98s (12 combos of trips). That's 62 combos for value. His bluffs are AK/AQ with one club (12 combos), and maybe 88/77 (another 12). So he's got 2.5-2.6 value hands for every 1 bluff. Even if we give V some AJo/ATo combos with the Ac, it's still only another 3-5 combos for bluffs. Assuming he bluffs with all of them, it's 25-30 bluff candidates, at the absolute most, with more than twice as many value hands.
Hero has - JJ/TT (12 overpairs), QJcc/JTcc/54cc (three flushes, none of them the nut flush), and half as many combos of trips (6), since V has a 9 in his hand. TT is the absolute worst hand he has in his range for value, so...yeah, call, because you're getting 2-to-1.
Or just fold. Yeah. Do that. Fold.
@@1vailchrisif you think V is betting all overpairs, 9x, straights etc for value then it’s certainly a fold yes.
But I have to agree with Bart that I don’t think most players bet over the size of the pot with overpairs on this river.
@@JohnSmith-nx7zj I think you missed my point. First, V's over-bet is really just a pot-sized bet. It's over by $25, which is negligible. What hands can V have that hero beats here? As played, why would V be afraid of betting (or even over-betting) the pot with an over-pair when the 9c comes on the river, and hero checks again, knowing V can just check back? Hero's most likely 9x holding would have the 9 of clubs in it. Hero shouldn't be calling a >70% pot bet on turn with just a flush draw. Hero shouldn't have any sets or 2P here. Even if we take over-pairs out of V's range, V can still have a flush, a straight, trips, and a boat. V still has about 40 hands that crush hero's TT, and TT is the absolute worst value hand in hero's range. V has maybe 12-15 logical bluffs, and perhaps an equal number of less intuitive bluffs. This hand is just a pure fold on this river card.
@@1vailchris you can make the case that players should bet AA on this river in V’s spot but I don’t think many do. JJ seems very thin. Sure you can get value from TT exactly (but a lot of players will fold that as evidenced by these comments) but that’s literally it.
So I guess I’d discount overpairs myself. However I do agree with you that it’s a fold because I think you’re giving V more bluffs than I would.
@@JohnSmith-nx7zj My main point isn't that V should or would be betting over-pairs here. My main point is that hero literally can't beat any of V's value range - which might conceivably include over-pairs - and that V has a TON of thick value here (especially if his range includes over-pairs). Even if V isn't barrelling this river with his over-pairs (which I don't think we can safely assume, given that V opened UTG1 with 96), or even if we say V shouldn't be betting his over-pairs, V still has about 40 value hands that have TT crushed, and very few bluffs. I just don't see how we can call with TT in hero's spot, when V takes this line, and when TT is the absolute worst hand in hero's range.
@Bart, why could the Small Blind not have 87 suited?
Probably the most I’ve ever disagreed with hand analysis before.
1) i don’t understand why hero can’t have 78
2) hero doesn’t think a flush can overbet because of full houses but I think this is the perfect card to overbet on to get easy value from trips, low flushes, straights, and even hero calls.
3) villain showed so much strength betting 2/3,2/3, overbet. Unless you know that this guy overbets a lot I would expect this is value so so often. I wouldn’t have expected 69 but I would have guessed nutted flushes mainly and the occasional 66, 55, 99.
As always, thanks for the hand upload and analysis Bart. Always great content
My biggest tell is a snap call is almost always a big draw.
The only reliable tell i ever... rely upon, is when someone bets too quickly, and too much, on the river.
All this hand really demonstrates is how absolutely critically fundamental position is. It's more important than your cards. Realistically the only option that hero can take that doesn't involve him turning tens into a bluff is to just call down any reasonable size bets and let himself get bluffed off if villain turns up the gas, hero is just that such a positional disadvantage here there's nothing he can do
Getting to what I said earlier it's why 3 betting preflop out of position with 10's should be done close to 100% of the time.
4:30 Why shouldn't the hero have 7-8 suited here? I can understand if there was a 3-bet preflop, but it was only a raise from UTG.
I feel like it's assumed a bad play pre since open UTG should be strong. It's lower stakes tho. So many coaches seem to apply GTO rules and expectations where there's much more variance in low stakes. Thinking players love to call out "bad play", but we enjoy the bad play most times, except when it hits.
There is no pacing here though, because the hero is first to act. In the five seconds that the hero takes to check, the villain was deciding what to bet. Now if the villain was first to act, then maybe you could get a tell off of the pacing
This is why we should put in a large 3bet (4x+) in the SB w/ people behind to act. It should blast out 69s.
Ask somebody if u can see their stack after they make a bet, if they lift their hands up quick, it’s usually a bluff. If they slowly move their hands or don’t react much, they have it
Who taught you this? Just curious
I agree that when people act really quick, especially when they give their chips a extra little slam and it's on the river, the Villian has SwaDoosh. But about a month ago I went with this read and I was VERY Wrong.
The reason this tell can often work against you is because often amateur players are so excited when they've made their hand that they just kneejerk slam bang throw a bet out
I've seen plenty an older Asian male do the chip slam with monsters. Seems to be their signature move.
Yeah chip slam isn’t reliable AT ALL
I feel like there's no way calling here isn't a massive punt... No one overbet bluffs on such a dynamic river
Love how they are laughing at the guy for opening 69s in EP but the money he won in this pot pays for like 75x where he does opens lightly and misses the flop and doesn't win the pot
Yes, just higher variance. Often played with a maniac image.
All the analysis and range configuration and villain shows up with 9-6 lol. Pokers fun😂
This thumbnail has inspired me to bring Oreos to my next session and work on my Russian accent.
Second comment 🃏♦️♠️♥️♣️🃏
Must mean I'll get second place in the lodge dirty tirdy, I feel it!
Love the content, keep it up bart!
People do weird things sometimes in poker which is why it is so good!
A huge tell is when your opponent is John Malkovich, you’re probably good cuz you’re in rounders
The classic "disappointing" click of the tongue on the river....they always have it. They try to make it look like they missed but this tell they don't even think about it. I've folded sets and been right because of this tell.
I get chills every time i hear Boston Harbor. Lower the damn rake!
It's a monopoly, what do you expect?
More rake is better.
thats why you want to 3bet TT preflop
If I have something like QJ suited in this spot as the villain, I’m betting every street to move the hero off a weak pair or suited connecters. If he calls on the river it’s a hero call and you accept it. If he check raises I fold
I mean let’s be honest here. The + 1 repped 2 pair from the start
This mostly seems unlucky to me. I don't really think hero made any clear cut mistakes. Yes, he could 3 bet pre, but I don't hate his flat. That said, I don't love bluff catching with hands that beat nothing. Now you could say he beats AK, but villain has to be a bit creative/aggressive for this to be AK & he really should have a club. The other thing this hand demonstrated is that it's dangerous to remove hands from ranges. It's not like I think many people are opening 96 from UTG, but more that if that is ever there then 87s is easily there also [for both players]. At any rate, I really prefer at least 1 hand my opponent might be over-valuing for bluff catching. Here we don't beat a 9, a set, a straight, a flush, an over-pair. We only beat air.
A reliable live tell is when someone pretends like they forgot they were in the hand and then when the dealer reminds them that still have cards, then they raise
They have the nuts 100% of the time
These are the most basic tells that everyone is aware of. There’s tons more that are equally reliable that not every man and his dog knows about
Unless you have reason to believe this guy is good, I would think it's a clear fold. With all the disposable income these days, the standard of play at 2-5 and below is low enough where people are raising hands like this from EP and also overvaluing hands like an overpair or a flush (even non-nutted) on the river. Yes, I can see a lot of bluffs here from folks like that too. But the amount of value they have (compared to thoughtful play) is just way too high.
I disagree that 87 suited is, or should be, out of the range of the SB there. 87s plays well in a 4-way or 5-way pot, and at least for me has always been profitable even with some flat/folding and double-flatting OOP. It helps if the table is loose passive to give better hope of nobody squeezing, so maybe your 4th hand at a table of unknowns isn't the ideal time to do that. But I wouldn't rule it out for myself, much less for an unknown hero who just arrived, from the perspective of a UTG opener who raises first to act with 3 potential squeezers on his right. Personally I prefer 65s and 76s, but 87s is not out of the question.
87 is in SB's preflop range, but not after the turn, when hero just check-calls again. Hero should be looking to build a pot with his turned straights, by donk-leading or check-raising.
7:17: Thumbnail origin.
Man if I woulda watched this video before playing last night I 100% woulda found the right call against this maniac on the river who just snap all in’s the river.
You da man Bart. Why couldn’t you release this yesterday.. :(
UTG+1 downbetting on a flop that is not good for them, is begging to be XR'd especially when I'm holding a club.
He didn't downbet. He opened pre to $30. He c-bet $50 into a $75 pot.
Sometimes there ain't no accounting for taste.
Thirties is _middle-aged_? LOL
I guess that makes me Old Man Coffee!
I thought the same thing
As a 33 year old man can confirm we are middle aged 😂.
@@Yourfavoritedealer You _think_ you're middle aged. I'm going to be middle aged in a year or two. I'm 78
If you would've 3 bet this probably doesn't happen
Agreed. But imagine if he did 3B pre, and V did call. I mean, if V is opening 96s UTG+1, which is insane, he might be insane enough to call a 3B with position on the SB. He's never folding after the flop, on this runout. Only thing hero could do would be to c-bet flop, then check-fold turn or river. Even then - if he 3B's pre and V flats, it'd be hard to put V on a bigger pair than TT. Maybe JJ/QQ. Have to put V on some draw that got there on the turn or river if hero can find the fold somehow.
@1vailchris if he does call a big 3 bet with garbage hands, then great. 3 bet the crap out of him for value the rest of the session and any future sessions you play with him.
@@michaelstephens9852 yep, that'll work too, once the sting of this hand wears off.
Thirties is middle aged?
It’s not?
@@mrfahrenheit2006 No, it’s not.
Life expectancy is @ 75.
Divide that into 3 segments and you get;
Young age 0-25
Middle age 25-50
Old age 50-75
@@leviwhatever6192 Except thats not how it works. Middle age begins at 45 and runs through 65. This is based on life sciences and actuary tables. Also life expectancy in the US isn’t 70. Even if it was, that is not how you determine age ranges anyway.
@@gazorpazorp9798 male life expectancy is 71.
So you're saying people are only in old age for 1 year on average?
Lol.
THAT'S not how it works.!
Caller put him on AK. Why can't he have jj, qq, kk, or even aa with a club.?
What on the face of the Earth is villain getting value from with AA-JJ?
@@noex100 TT.
Hold TF on. Did he say 30s is middle aged? I’m in my 50s and offended lol
Bruh. I'm 51. These 20-somethings have no idea.
Hand reveal spoiler:
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Nice
My sincere condolences Bart. I just heard about the passing of your pet dog 😞😞
this middle aged man feels attacked
"middle aged, late thirties"
say what?
Bluff catching someone's shove on a flushy paired river board is like grabbing an exposed wire with bare hands just to see whether is dead or live?! If wire is dead, then I got free wires, if it is alive, then...
lol love your analogy
Yeah this is obviously the most reliable poker tell of all time…
… click bait title. You forgot to mention the most obvious tell. That is when your opponent over bets on a paired board they have a boat, and its not a small one. 10/j clubs should be considering folding, although I don’t think most ppl are good enough to make it.
Not 3-betting TT here is criminal. Hero just let a guy see a flop with 96s from utg and played as passively as possible lol
Okay and you'd be saying the opposite if the guy showed aces
@@ticenits1926 I'd be saying the same if the guy showed aces. TT should be 3B from the SB pre-flop, facing a single raise from UTG+1. AA is going to 4B pre. So hero 3B's, V 4B's, and hero can call or fold depending on V's 4B sizing. Say he calls. He checks flop, V c-bets. Hero calls. Hero checks turn, V should check back. River should go check-check. No one is shocked when V has AA, and no one faults hero for how he played TT pre-flop.
Really? I thought it was the dumbest thing ever, like it was so obvious the movie was just rubbing it in my face...
Another dumb anylsis. If he had quads he would bet smaller?! But the caller made the call super light w 10’s. Why should he bet smaller if he got a call? If anything he should bet bigger. Straights flushes and boats aren’t folding. 10s should probably fold to any bet size and qq and better probably always 3bet pre. The callers most likely range has to call or should fold to any bet. Not much in between.
If you want to play better poker id do the opposite of what this guy suggests. 10s is a snap fold, probably should consider folding the turn. Unless you have a live read hes bluffing. I was expecting to see quads or pocket six but its the same difference. He made a good bet. The take away from this video is to overbet the nuts on the river. These once a week amatures don’t know how to fold in obvious spots they are supposed to fold. Overbet nuts= win big. Call 10s on that river = you’re a call station donkey.
This is how you own these OMCs and nits that flat TT.
You mean raise with garbage and hope to hit a lucky flop. Guys that open this trash will miss most of the time and will not want to give up and will bluff off their chips a lot
@@guillermoalvarez9400 Easier to fold against OMCs with these hands if you don’t hit. But the big pots are these types of hands against a nits tight range.