Bear Market Survival Secrets with a 100 Million Dollar Portfolio Manager

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 18 жов 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 122

  • @ranger5281
    @ranger5281 8 місяців тому +1

    Reviewed this excellent interview again, made 20 pages of notes/charts. Don shares some serious gems, notably: 1) how to quickly pyramid into a stock using ATR 2) better understanding growth stock portfolio volatility with relative ATR adjusted Beta 3) Position sizing, position risk, position limits 4) calculating portfolio "open risk" to your stops 5) using 3 mo RS in Marketsmith, and the RS line 5) using leveraged ETFs for portfolio length, or hedging, 6) benefits of trading liquid leaders 7) importance of "M" in CANSLIM, market timing, and lots of details on how he approaches M, 8) using growth-oriented index ETF's to monitor market timing & health. Kudos Don and Richard!

  • @jimformermilkman
    @jimformermilkman 2 роки тому +7

    One of the best interviews I’ve heard in a long time.
    One I had to stop and take notes.
    ( I listen to podcasts and trading programs almost every waking hour too ).
    Definitely giving this one a re-listen.
    Thanks to you both !!!
    Cheers!!

    • @ranger5281
      @ranger5281 8 місяців тому +1

      Don really shares a lot about the breadth of his approach. Especially portfolio management tactics.

  • @RichardMoglen
    @RichardMoglen  2 роки тому +10

    Timestamps:
    0:00 Introductions
    0:50 Don Vandenbord's Background
    1:30 Starting to trade in the 90s
    3:40 Sell Discipline
    7:30 Starting a Hedge Fund in 2015
    9:00 Resources and Influences
    11:30 Stay with Liquid Leaders
    13:50 Early Mistakes
    17:40 N in CANSLIM, What will make the stock Double
    19:35 Don's Presentation
    21:34 Sequence of Returns
    23:24 3 Timeframes
    24:49 Study of bear Markets, 200 SMA
    33:00 How far below the 200sma do we usually go
    34:20 ATR adjusted Risk
    41:30 Monitoring Growth ETFs- G-6
    44:50 Lagging Relative Strength in Feb 2021
    47:00 Stock Selection
    48:20 LNTH Analysis
    49:30 FSLY Example in 2020
    53:00 Offensive Sell Rules
    55:30 Advice on sell rules
    57:30 How many positions do you usually have?
    58:15 SSO position
    1:00:45 The Tale of the Tape, Market Analysis
    1:05:00 Daily Routine
    1:08:00 respect Price
    1:08:50 Watch the relative Strength Line
    1:12:55 Current Stock Analysis
    1:17:20 breakouts in a bear market
    1:19:00 Advice for new Traders

  • @IB568
    @IB568 2 роки тому +13

    Love to hear more from Institutional traders and investors. 👍

  • @Dyokemarket
    @Dyokemarket 2 роки тому +3

    Awesome interview Richard! I briefly got to meet Don last week, outstanding guy!

  • @galactus1111
    @galactus1111 2 роки тому +5

    Great interview! Seeing the creativity of each trader is always wonderful. Love the ATR beta breakdown and use of growth-oriented ETFs to observe market health

  • @veganmafiaboss1645
    @veganmafiaboss1645 Рік тому +2

    Only 25 minutes in but this is a good a** video.

  • @tomc1266
    @tomc1266 2 роки тому +5

    Love your channel Richard , appreciate you share all these interviews , as more than better. I watch every single video with pleasure learning my edge . Great Job 👍.

  • @achievingbeyond1456
    @achievingbeyond1456 2 роки тому +2

    One of the best interviews Ive seen for learning from the higher end of town....great to hear about how one sees market direction and the rules about entries and exits....great share..thanks

  • @bimalthakkar5118
    @bimalthakkar5118 2 роки тому +1

    Very apropos for the current environment! Thanks for bringing this interview Richard!

  • @sivilinsivov2412
    @sivilinsivov2412 2 роки тому +12

    Thank you for your hard work, Richard. Because of your amazing interview, I have improved exponentially my trading results. We need more people like you.

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 роки тому +1

      Awesome to hear that! Keep at it

    • @xilllllix
      @xilllllix 2 роки тому +1

      what's crazy is this is all FREE!

  • @georgetkaczuk6240
    @georgetkaczuk6240 2 роки тому +4

    Great interview and presentation, loved the use of ATR to risk, and the G6, a great story told here

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 роки тому

      Thank you George cheers. I hope you’re doing well!

  • @stormhammerx
    @stormhammerx 2 роки тому +2

    I resonate with Don's analytical approach to the markets. This was a very insightful interview.

  • @figgy163
    @figgy163 2 роки тому

    It’s amazing how much more you pick up watching an episode for a second time. Nugget after nugget. Outstanding interview, thanks to both.👍

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 роки тому

      Thanks Tony! --Don

    • @santiagonegroni9032
      @santiagonegroni9032 2 роки тому

      I have literally watched all of Richard’s interviews like 3-4 times each. I’ve already watched this one twice. It is amazing how much more things sink in after the 1st and even more after the 2nd time watching them. Of all his interviews, I can relate to this one the most. Love how this guy looks out for his clients. From my experience, most financial advisors suck and wouldn’t know risk management if it slapped them upside their heads.

  • @denislacasse5514
    @denislacasse5514 Рік тому +1

    Great interview, great guest!

  • @mariangelgimenez561
    @mariangelgimenez561 2 роки тому +1

    Excellent interview and valuable content in every minute, knowing the market situation, where we are, what to expect as new traders and investors, where to stop and when to continue with practical and obvious examples... Dan's experience is priceless to me.. infinitely grateful for the knowledge you share Richard..!

  • @sincere7028
    @sincere7028 2 роки тому

    Great great for me this was Up there with the Position Size interview!

  • @titanstrading
    @titanstrading 2 роки тому +2

    Great video! So many gems, thanks you so much

  • @amospan14
    @amospan14 2 роки тому

    Thank you Richard and Don for putting together this presentation! Well done and very informative walkthrough! Also Happy Father's Day to you and your dads gentlemen! =)

  • @adriansaw8329
    @adriansaw8329 2 роки тому +1

    Richard can you cover the uranium sector using CANSLIM and other methodologies? We have the fundamentals pretty much covered just interested in analysis from a different lense. Thanks!

  • @cetilly
    @cetilly 2 роки тому +1

    This guy is a real baller; knows his stuff

  • @mhkl5448
    @mhkl5448 2 роки тому +1

    Nice beard Rich ! Great interview as always

  • @Andrew-dj1wd
    @Andrew-dj1wd 2 роки тому +2

    Learned a lot from this interview Richard.
    Did Don give a clear G-6 Composite range to get out or in? Is there a magic number?
    He answered this by jumping onto the RSI (eg Fastly's sharp down trend in RSI) but never said at what level he acts on the G-6 Composite.
    His Grotection score from FEB 2021 (14.6%) to NOV 2021 (6.5%), a factor of 2.2 change is a huge success, lower drawdowns, faster compounding.
    $110 million portfolio of 8 to 12 stock is a different ball game compared to managing $billions on a 140 to 160 stock portfolio at Ark Invest.
    Does Cathy at Ark use Stop Losses? It does not appear that she does. How does she protect the down side?
    Don's clients likely have sweet dreams at night compared to Cathy's clients.

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 роки тому +1

      She runs an etf which is different than a fund, no real risk management.
      Glad to hear you enjoyed the interview!

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 роки тому

      We love it when our clients sleep well ! Watch our nightly videos for updates on the relative strength of the G6

  • @gospelG
    @gospelG 2 роки тому +2

    I love this video...this dude is a pro...one of the best videos on trading I've seen

  • @realpristinecap
    @realpristinecap 2 роки тому +1

    Another great interview Richard 👊

  • @brett4856
    @brett4856 2 роки тому +3

    Interesting with risk analysis. Please do a new video with Don on just risk analysis.

  • @Karim.711
    @Karim.711 Рік тому

    This would be a great video to reshare again

  • @faismtl
    @faismtl 2 роки тому

    Thank you Richard
    It was a great experience

  • @rajenmody3101
    @rajenmody3101 2 роки тому +1

    Great Work as always Richard and Great Presentation Don! Loved it and it is so practical! Just one comment which I don't agree: "NVDA is the past". Not true and far from it, even though I agree that stock in broken like every growth stock. But you just have to let it settle, may be at the next retracement level ~120. It is one of the best company IMO.

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 роки тому +2

      Thanks for watching Rajen cheers! Good companies do not necessarily make great stocks, important to remember.

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 роки тому

      "THE PAST" comment referred to leadership from a stock performance perspective. I would not be surprised if NVDA has another day in the sun.

  • @eddiem1155
    @eddiem1155 2 роки тому +1

    So many 💎..thanks Richard

  • @jamesw8538
    @jamesw8538 2 роки тому +2

    This channel should have way more subs, great content, thank you.

  • @dazz075
    @dazz075 2 роки тому

    Hi Richard great interview. Could you recommend any US brokers for guys like me that aren't based in the US?

  • @boydbailey5907
    @boydbailey5907 2 роки тому +2

    below 200dMA on what time frame? DAILY? WEEKLY? Thank you for clarifying.

  • @mooienummers
    @mooienummers 2 роки тому

    What's the yearly performance you have? And compared to the SP500?

  • @beny79kb
    @beny79kb 2 роки тому +2

    What a great interview

  • @MomoTrader809
    @MomoTrader809 2 роки тому +1

    Awesome interview!

  • @snakesnarroz
    @snakesnarroz Рік тому

    Is Don's ATR calculated with standard lookback of 14? Thanks for the help if anyone knows.

  • @vdzneladze1
    @vdzneladze1 2 роки тому

    Brilliant!

  • @rune54321
    @rune54321 2 роки тому +1

    Great episode!

  • @davidbond9783
    @davidbond9783 2 роки тому +1

    awesome presentation

  • @skbaustralia9660
    @skbaustralia9660 2 роки тому

    thanks Richard, just wondering whether we can get 21/21 screen setting on market smith

  • @Andrew-dj1wd
    @Andrew-dj1wd 2 роки тому

    Don's daily G6 Composite will give a similar trend line to that of the Advance/Decline (A/D) Line of S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW

  • @Empurity
    @Empurity 2 роки тому

    Need these interviews on a Podcast platform

  • @phixi0n
    @phixi0n 2 роки тому

    Great video. I find some of these traders don't like giving away any information and beat around the bush, which can be annoying to watch. At least some actual examples of entry/exit were given here.

  • @ericson4534
    @ericson4534 2 роки тому

    Thank u 👌👍

  • @RichardMoglen
    @RichardMoglen  2 роки тому +1

    Enjoy!

    • @jroq8370
      @jroq8370 2 роки тому +2

      Gary Kaltbaum's radio show also introduced me to William O'neill and Stan Weinstein. I think he would be a great guest. You're doing fabulous work, Richard. We appreciate you!

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 роки тому

      @@jroq8370 thanks!

  • @topdowninvestor7711
    @topdowninvestor7711 2 роки тому

    Nice video!

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 роки тому

      Glad you enjoyed it!

    • @topdowninvestor7711
      @topdowninvestor7711 2 роки тому

      @@RichardMoglen Hi Richard - I have a request - could you try getting Gil Morales and/or Chris Kacher on your show in the future? They are co-authors of the book, "Trade Like an O'Neil Disciple: How We Made 18,000% in the Stock Market".

  • @phixi0n
    @phixi0n 2 роки тому +1

    How is the RS Rating line calculated? It's not an RSI is it?

    • @RichardMoglen
      @RichardMoglen  2 роки тому +3

      Price of the stock divided by the price of the Spx. It’s very different than the rsi

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 роки тому +2

      RS line is stock performance vs SP500 return

  • @noticiasdarua6986
    @noticiasdarua6986 2 роки тому

    You should interview Gil morales

  • @junwatanabeenrolledagent1765

    WOOOOOO

  • @ssin5807
    @ssin5807 Рік тому

    Why does no one talk about shorting on the market downturns like now?

  • @abdullrhemahmed50
    @abdullrhemahmed50 Рік тому

    I wish you interview some experienced forex traders.

  • @mikeb9130
    @mikeb9130 2 роки тому

    Richard, thanks for the video, but I have to question his discussion about his FSLY entry and his position sizing and risk management. He said his starting position size is 2% of the account. If a client had $1M to invest, that is a $20,000 starter position. He said the max risk is .02% of the $1M account. That is $200 of total risk on this position. If he bought a $20,000 position on FSLY at $35 on 5/11 that is 571 shares. $200 of risk on 571 shares is .35 cents per share. The ATR on FSLY that day is around $2.40 per share. FSLY hit a low of $33.01 that day. Either he is an amazing timer of entries, I misunderstood what he was saying, my math is wrong, or things don't add up!

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 роки тому

      The 0.20% is on the total portfolio, not the individual position. Refer to my example of getting stopped out 5 times & the overall impact to the total portfolio is -1%

    • @mikeb9130
      @mikeb9130 2 роки тому +1

      @@donvandenbord7671 Sorry Don. You said zero point two percent and I thought I heard .02% That makes sense Thanks

  • @alphabeta8403
    @alphabeta8403 2 роки тому +1

    ***CRITICAL points NOT to miss***
    26:00 Importance of 200 DMA
    29:55 Taking partial profits at 21 and 50 DMA

  • @TC-sr1qf
    @TC-sr1qf 2 роки тому

    I never buy a stock below the 200 day MA WOOO!
    Rick Flair

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 роки тому +1

      it's true...how else can the Nature Boy afford that Rolex. --Don

    • @TC-sr1qf
      @TC-sr1qf 2 роки тому

      @@donvandenbord7671 lol exactly! Lots of great insights in the interview. One I'll definitely be replaying and taking notes. Thanks for doing it!

  • @brianwong1908
    @brianwong1908 2 роки тому

    Sorry, don’t quite understand about SSO

    • @donvandenbord7671
      @donvandenbord7671 2 роки тому

      Because we can’t buy illiquid CANSLIM stocks, we allocate a portion of the portfolio to SSO as a ‘replacement”. This provides the added benefit of smoothing returns.

  • @bibbidi_bobbidi_bacons
    @bibbidi_bobbidi_bacons 5 місяців тому

    lol hope he held a few thousand shares of NVDA from $150🤣

  • @johnstaresatcandles7438
    @johnstaresatcandles7438 2 роки тому +3

    Bacon

  • @gacktcbiz
    @gacktcbiz 2 роки тому +1

    BACON

  • @lutherv.779
    @lutherv.779 2 роки тому

    DV sexy AF