Why Michael Burry Is ALL IN on Alibaba? | BABA Stock Analysis

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  • Опубліковано 28 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 133

  • @CEOAirsoft
    @CEOAirsoft Місяць тому +11

    You said that Baba wasn't buying back shares but a simple Google search shows they're buying aggressively and still have $22 billion left to spend in their buyback program through 2027. Am I missing something?

    • @OlegScherbina
      @OlegScherbina 13 днів тому

      issuing more new shares than buying back

  • @mididoddi
    @mididoddi 28 днів тому +3

    Thanks!

    • @BaldInvestor
      @BaldInvestor  28 днів тому

      Thank you so much! That is very generous of you. Wishing you a wonderful year ahead!

  • @mysandwichlife
    @mysandwichlife Місяць тому +18

    Yes, Alibaba has been buying back shares:
    June 2024
    Alibaba repurchased $5.8 billion in shares, which included 613 million ordinary shares and 14.8 million American Depository Shares (ADSs).
    September 2024
    Alibaba repurchased $4.1 billion in shares, which included 414 million ordinary shares and 52 million ADSs.
    First two quarters of 2024
    Alibaba repurchased roughly $10 billion in shares.
    2024
    Alibaba repurchased $12.5 billion in shares, which reduced its total share count by 5%.

    • @druvaciam5407
      @druvaciam5407 Місяць тому +7

      Videos on this channel is full of errors.

  • @ryannemdjen
    @ryannemdjen Місяць тому +153

    Acquiring stocks could appear simple, but choosing the right stock without a tested plan can be very difficult. My main barrier to growing my $210K portfolio, which I've been working on for a while, is the absence of well-defined entry and exit plans. Any guidance on this would be highly valued.

    • @CameronDonna-w7n
      @CameronDonna-w7n Місяць тому +1

      Personally, I would say have a mentor. Not sure where you will get an experienced one, but if your knowledge of the market is limited, it seems like a good bet.

    • @Simeonedavis
      @Simeonedavis Місяць тому +1

      A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.

    • @MilaCruz-d5r
      @MilaCruz-d5r Місяць тому

      How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and i'm eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?

    • @Simeonedavis
      @Simeonedavis Місяць тому +1

      I'm very cautious about giving specific recommendations as everyone's situation varies. Consider independent financial advisors like Judith Lynn Staufer I've worked with her for some years and highly recommend her. Check if she meets your criteria.

    • @MilaCruz-d5r
      @MilaCruz-d5r Місяць тому +1

      I just curiously Googled her name and her website came up right away. It looks interesting so far. I sent her an email and i hope she responds soon.

  • @druvaciam5407
    @druvaciam5407 Місяць тому +10

    $BABA is buying back shares not issues. The video is incorrect.

  • @Louisjake-w1m
    @Louisjake-w1m Місяць тому +170

    Purchasing a stock may seem straightforward, but selecting the correct stock without a proven strategy can be exceedingly challenging. I've been working on expanding my $210K portfolio for a while, and my primary obstacle is the lack of clear entry and exit strategies. Any advice on this matter would be greatly appreciated.

    • @cherry810803
      @cherry810803 Місяць тому

      Even with the right strategies and appropriate assets, investment returns can differ among investors. Recognizing the vital role of experience in investment success is crucial. Personally, I understood this significance and sought guidance from a market analyst, significantly growing my account to nearly a million. Strategically withdrawing profits just before the market correction, I'm now seizing buying opportunities once again.

    • @gabbe_wng9712
      @gabbe_wng9712 Місяць тому

      I agree with you. As an early investor in NVDA, AVGO, ANSS, and PLTR, my financial advisor's advice was incredibly helpful. Over the past 7 years, she has helped me find stocks that did 10x multiple times. With her help, I've grown my portfolio to over a million dollars.

    • @Linda-pr
      @Linda-pr Місяць тому

      Hey, I'm trying to find a certified one to boost my investments/portfolio, but it's tough online. Can I get a rec from you, since you know about this stuff?

    • @gabbe_wng9712
      @gabbe_wng9712 Місяць тому +1

      Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Eleanor Bonnici Deskin’’ for about two years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.

    • @Linda-pr
      @Linda-pr Місяць тому

      Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.

  • @pb6481
    @pb6481 Місяць тому +4

    A fair point at 3:55 that their diluted shares outstanding was lower 10 years ago, although at this rate, I would think that the statement doesn't hold true anymore by the end of the year.

  • @jacobr4166
    @jacobr4166 Місяць тому +2

    BABA is not diluting, they have an insane buyback program now and have been a net positive for investors on the buyback front since 2020.

  • @elden6629
    @elden6629 Місяць тому +4

    The analysis is irrelevant due to the company being listed only 10 years ago and having gone through 2 top management changes during that time. Saying share buybacks are an X even when they've been buying back huge amounts during the past year or so is a bit funny and might dissuade potential buyers unnecessarily. The current management has proven to be dedicated to increasing shareholder returns and also realigning the company to perform better during times of great competition.

  • @ChairmanMeow086
    @ChairmanMeow086 Місяць тому +4

    There is share buyback . Get accurate ,
    There is share purchase by new ceo and jack ma last year , that should be mentioned

  • @kizhissery
    @kizhissery Місяць тому +3

    individual insider : ❎
    Him : we would like to see above 2 percent.
    individual insider : 💀(jack ma)
    Him : Atleast breathing

  • @MrRoeckLEE
    @MrRoeckLEE Місяць тому +1

    My biggest stocks in my portfolio for 2025 :
    - Louis Vuitton
    - Dior
    - Alibaba
    - JD
    The time of value stocks has come !!

  • @DashydashA411
    @DashydashA411 Місяць тому +1

    3 days ago i put 50k into Alibaba. It went up 10% in an instant. Im gonna hold it for a few more months as i and many others believe it will rise to $127. The Chinese government will be decreasing interest rates so I thinks its wise to invest

  • @mididoddi
    @mididoddi 29 днів тому +1

    Thank you for the video! It looks like it is one of the best in recent times with more than 457 likes!

    • @BaldInvestor
      @BaldInvestor  28 днів тому +2

      Thank you! Yes, the channel is growing faster than I could have hoped for. Thank you for being with me on this journey almost from the beginning. Happy New Year!

    • @mididoddi
      @mididoddi 28 днів тому

      @@BaldInvestor I just made a small donation to your channel. Thank you for everything you do and my best wishes to you and your family for 2025 and the years ahead. Keep an eye on NYSE: FLUT, NASDAQ: GMAB, and also trends such as supercomputing, humanoid robot and, space sector that is expected to reach $1.8 trillion by 2035. I understand that valuing companies that are not making profit is difficult but taking small risks by investing small amounts is probably okay.

    • @BaldInvestor
      @BaldInvestor  28 днів тому +2

      Thank you very much! I’ll add them to my list. I’m also working on a video about Nvidia, which is making a big bet on humanoid robots, so it will definitely be interesting to see how that develops.

  • @BoskoBuha99
    @BoskoBuha99 Місяць тому +4

    Wait i thought they were buying back shares?

  • @mysandwichlife
    @mysandwichlife Місяць тому +1

    Yes, disposable income in China is increasing:
    2023
    Disposable personal income in China increased to 51,821 CNY in 2023, which was an all-time high. The real increase in disposable income for the year was 6.1%.
    First half of 2024
    The median of the nationwide per capita disposable income was 17,358 yuan, which was a 5.9% increase.
    First three quarters of 2024
    The average disposable income in China increased by 4.9% when adjusted for price.
    First quarter of 2024
    Per capita disposable income in China was 11,539 yuan, which was a 6.2% increase year on year

  • @popeyeSailor-e5v
    @popeyeSailor-e5v Місяць тому +5

    Howard Marks is likely invested in Alibaba debt, NOT in BABA stock.

    • @international_dividend
      @international_dividend Місяць тому

      Interesting point. I think he did buy stock but hedged and this limits loses. But you could be right.

    • @popeyeSailor-e5v
      @popeyeSailor-e5v Місяць тому

      ​@@international_dividendWhat makes u think he bought stock? (honest question) Search for his recent interviews here on UA-cam for insight.

  • @CSqrdX
    @CSqrdX Місяць тому +2

    I believe this company should be evaluated on the basis of performance in the past 5 years. China has undergone a massive ideological transformation since 2019 - since 2015 but policies didn’t start to take hold for a couple more years - and Baba’s management/business model has also changed. They’re a massive buyer of shares now. However, their financial metrics/market position has also eroded significantly.

    • @pulkitsharma4927
      @pulkitsharma4927 Місяць тому

      I am interested in what do you mean by massive ideological transformation

    • @monash4250
      @monash4250 Місяць тому

      Can you elaborate please. Thank you

  • @mysandwichlife
    @mysandwichlife Місяць тому +2

    #NIO and BABA are a going to boom in the next 1 to 2 years.

    • @z06tiKo
      @z06tiKo 23 дні тому

      Nio? 😂

    • @mysandwichlife
      @mysandwichlife 22 дні тому

      @z06tiKo Yep, look at the % gains of NIO vs BABA past few days.

    • @z06tiKo
      @z06tiKo 22 дні тому

      @@mysandwichlife my man. Nio is down 40% in past 1 year with a negative P/E ratio. Don't put your life savings into it. Plus, what does the gains in few days matter when you supposedly state it will boom in 1-2 years. Are you a day trader or long term investor?

  • @begior
    @begior Місяць тому +4

    I'm interested in an analisys of JD . Could you make It in next weeks?

    • @BaldInvestor
      @BaldInvestor  Місяць тому +3

      Do you have access to my calendar? 😉 JD is coming next week.

    • @mitch8575
      @mitch8575 Місяць тому

      Can't make true analysis of scam stocks

  • @yagmur_altiok
    @yagmur_altiok Місяць тому +3

    Can you also inspect JD also?

  • @Flisci
    @Flisci Місяць тому +2

    Superinvestors ARE buying BABA

  • @tomliu6358
    @tomliu6358 Місяць тому

    BABA is neutral, but XIACY (xia mi) is my focus after Ford CEO drives its SU7 car and listened quarterly conference calls from its CEO. A true impressive die heart captain. The beauty part is to be political neutral, make money with highest margin on cars, cell phones and others. 200% better than that money losing NIO. A conglomerate like Mitsubishi Heavy Industries of Japan.

  • @serghorpt
    @serghorpt Місяць тому +3

    Now is 87$ not 95$ but great analysis the big concerns is of courses Trump and China relationship but baba is a good bet

    • @BaldInvestor
      @BaldInvestor  Місяць тому +2

      Thank you. I'm glad you like it. Making such videos takes time so some times the price may change, but the fundamentals don't change that fast.

    • @mysandwichlife
      @mysandwichlife Місяць тому

      China needs the US as much as the US needs China. The rest is smoke and mirrors.

  • @INXIETE
    @INXIETE 19 днів тому

    6:40 How do you know? Did they call you? Stop speculating

  • @stanislavgritciuk337
    @stanislavgritciuk337 Місяць тому +1

    Bad analysis on share buybacks. They now buying 10% of total share per year

  • @ivanmorgan958
    @ivanmorgan958 23 дні тому

    What about jmia? Can you make a video on the Amazon from africa?

  • @chesu5032
    @chesu5032 Місяць тому

    thanks for doing this

  • @이찬-s2o
    @이찬-s2o Місяць тому +5

    "I made a 50% gain with Alibaba and sold everything during the recent spike, but thanks to geopolitics, I'm now too chicken to buy back in."

    • @sandeepketham
      @sandeepketham Місяць тому +1

      I purchased at 59:and sold at 117

    • @popeyeSailor-e5v
      @popeyeSailor-e5v Місяць тому +2

      Why? 🤷 The same geopolitics were present when u bought previously.

  • @sandrovieira5772
    @sandrovieira5772 Місяць тому

    Paying off now 😊

  • @dyjacks5732
    @dyjacks5732 Місяць тому

    Why don’t just go for AMZN? It looks much promising

  • @albertgammon118
    @albertgammon118 10 днів тому

    Thx

  • @user-wv1mf3dc6w
    @user-wv1mf3dc6w Місяць тому

    Buying back at lot of stock

  • @Anonimowany1
    @Anonimowany1 16 днів тому

    And yet the stock goes down. I guess stocks dont represent logic. It's literally pointless to use logic statements to predict market prices.

  • @lebi87
    @lebi87 Місяць тому

    Who is Burry? We was wrong so many times that I still don’t know why he is still mentioned… i can say as well that there will be “crash” …

    • @matjul2008
      @matjul2008 Місяць тому

      He was played by Batman

  • @blaiseparnell6432
    @blaiseparnell6432 Місяць тому

    Alibaba are known for their huge buybacks, what are you talking about?

  • @lakepoet
    @lakepoet Місяць тому +3

    I lost 60% when Xi Jinping arbitrarily decided to devalue Chinese equities. Now I only invest in free capital markets.

    • @mitch8575
      @mitch8575 Місяць тому

      You paid street tax in china! Basically you got robbed

    • @monash4250
      @monash4250 Місяць тому +1

      Not arbitrarily... Interests of the nation come before individual greed. But the typical American doesn't understand that.

    • @mitch8575
      @mitch8575 Місяць тому

      Yep it has been a complete scam job.i can't believe people compair baba to Amazon or mercado libre, baba is a scam pump and dump and has destroyed investors allthewhile tsai stays employed? Sickening

  • @Dutch_Fire
    @Dutch_Fire Місяць тому

    Dude, Alibaba is buying back shares aggressively lol. How could you not spot that in an analysis

  • @dankestranch8738
    @dankestranch8738 6 днів тому

    Michael Burry was right in a big way once, and has been wrong about basically everything else.

  • @monkeyman123321
    @monkeyman123321 Місяць тому

    If BABA drops back down to 69 Im in deep.

  • @crohmer
    @crohmer 28 днів тому

    hes not "ALL IN," he trades out of positions constantly

  • @brunocarmona4958
    @brunocarmona4958 Місяць тому +1

    It's my second biggest position. I also own JD and other chinese companies. Chinese stocks are cheap

    • @CSqrdX
      @CSqrdX Місяць тому +3

      …for a reason

  • @stonecold9132
    @stonecold9132 29 днів тому

    Yes the guy that predicted a crash a few times last year ....whatever😅

  • @haiyang1000
    @haiyang1000 Місяць тому +2

    Can you explain Liberty Media Corp Formula One Series C (FWONK) why many gurus including Berkshire Hathaway bought it?

  • @rowanwood5397
    @rowanwood5397 Місяць тому +4

    politics drives this stock, and company. no thanks.

    • @fizzyfish-k4q
      @fizzyfish-k4q Місяць тому

      lobbying and the US market is no different

  • @international_dividend
    @international_dividend Місяць тому +3

    Hong kong investor here. Americans make a huge mistake in analysing Chinese stocks as they do US stocks. There is much more at play, and the market is easily manipulated by the govt - like now, the govt recently directed investment banks to invest. Think about it, the banks are forced to dump money in the market to keep it stable... why would you want to voluntarily buy in? The other thing is that despite massive Chinese growth over the last two decades, the market struggles to stay over 2008 levels. If the US market was at the same point as it was in 2008 there would be mass panic and hysteria.

    • @investorslifepk
      @investorslifepk Місяць тому +1

      Hong Kong investor here as well, is the market now not mainly depressed by US- China tensions rather than fair value?

    • @international_dividend
      @international_dividend Місяць тому

      @investorslifepk HK💪🇭🇰 To some extent, but the Chinese market has never kept pace with the gains of the economy or their companies (less a few euphoric years around the gfc). So the usual value metrics used for, say, US companies have never been the same. Tencent, for instance, isn't dependent on the US market. Chinese pharma is maybe an even better example.
      Not sure if you saw the same trend, but I noticed the hk market used to be closely aligned to the US (eg US market rises, HK goes up, and when US goes down, hk goes down) but has shifted. Natural, given the composition of the hk market. But now, it's not so much aligned with China but if US or China market goes down, HK will go down! We literally hit 1997 levels a few months ago - extraordinary.

    • @investorslifepk
      @investorslifepk Місяць тому +1

      @@international_dividend It is already quite depressed, one can only be hopeful than any sensible government will align policies & wellbeing of the economy for growth.
      There are some very good deals but if only market realizes value some day

    • @international_dividend
      @international_dividend Місяць тому

      @@investorslifepk Yes, agree. In the meantime the tax-free dividends are of some comfort while we wait. Tracker fund 2800 just paid!

    • @monash4250
      @monash4250 Місяць тому

      I don't understand what you mean by government manipulating the Chinese market. Isn't that the same everywhere. The government here in the US has been manipulating the market from the beginning. Non-stop money printing at the time of covid which sent the stock market soaring and then the interest rate hikes that crashed the market. How is that any different?

  • @kizhissery
    @kizhissery Місяць тому

    happy he didnt invest in pinduoduo 😂

  • @UkpeneEmma
    @UkpeneEmma Місяць тому +17

    Thank you Lord Jesus for the gift of life and blessings to me and my family $14,120.47 weekly profit Our lord Jesus have lifted up my Life!!!🙏❤️❤️

    • @UkpeneBlessing-v9y
      @UkpeneBlessing-v9y Місяць тому

      I'm 37 and have been looking for ways to be successful, please how??

    • @UkpeneEmma
      @UkpeneEmma Місяць тому

      Sure, the investment-advisor that guides me is..

    • @UkpeneEmma
      @UkpeneEmma Місяць тому

      Elizabeth stark

    • @freddiearthur2151
      @freddiearthur2151 Місяць тому

      Same, I met Elizabeth stark last year for the first time at a conference in Wilshire, after then my Life has changed for good.God bless Elizabeth stark

    • @BnazerriKhiid
      @BnazerriKhiid Місяць тому

      Her services is the best, I got a brand new Lambo last week and paid off my mortgage loan thanks to her wonderful services!

  • @AJohnson0325
    @AJohnson0325 Місяць тому

    a while back, I found out charlie munger had some ali baba which almost convinced me to buy a bunch. I never did and then the stock kept going down. There are better and more obvious plays

  • @mitch8575
    @mitch8575 20 днів тому

    Can we do a video on how many peoples lives been wiped out in the drop from 300 to 82?

  • @Chimichanga5666
    @Chimichanga5666 Місяць тому

    When you acquire chinese stocks, you never actually own them... Let that sink in.

    • @monash4250
      @monash4250 Місяць тому +3

      WTF does that even mean?